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Federated Hermes (FHI)
NYSE:FHI

Federated Hermes (FHI) AI Stock Analysis

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FHI

Federated Hermes

(NYSE:FHI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(14.27% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying profitability/ROE and improved leverage, supported by favorable valuation (low P/E and a solid dividend). Technicals are constructive with price above major moving averages, though momentum looks somewhat stretched. Earnings call commentary was broadly positive on AUM and flows but tempered by cost pressures and near-term seasonality, while the disclosed legal action adds a modest risk overhang.
Positive Factors
Record AUM & money-market scale
Scale of ~$900B AUM and a giant money-market franchise provide durable, recurring management fees and cash-like liabilities that stabilize revenue. Large, sticky cash balances offer a steady fee base, distribution muscle and cross-sell leverage to institutional and intermediary clients over time.
High margins and return on equity
Sustained high operating and net margins alongside very strong ROE indicate efficient fee economics and disciplined cost structure. Improved leverage boosts capital efficiency, supporting cash generation, dividends and reinvestment capacity across market cycles, underpinning long-term shareholder returns.
Private markets + product performance
Growing private markets fundraising and a multi‑year pipeline diversify fee streams toward higher‑delta, longer‑duration management fees. Strong MDT and equity performance drives win rates and client retention, strengthening competitive differentiation and lowering AUM volatility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Fixed income outflows
Material fixed-income redemptions reduce a meaningful fee pool and can persist if investor preferences shift or mandates re-price lower fees. Sustained outflows pressure total AUM, fee revenue and diversification, making results more sensitive to product mix and market cycles over the medium term.
Higher distribution expense from share-class mix
A structural shift into share classes with higher distribution fees raises recurring operating expenses and compresses net margins. If intermediary-driven share-class demand persists, distribution costs may remain elevated, reducing operating leverage and constraining durable margin expansion.
Legal proceedings over wind farm investment
A substantial derivative/direct claim tied to a past infrastructure investment introduces potential financial, reputational and governance risk. Even if management expects no material impact, litigation outcomes, insurance recoveries, or governance findings could affect capital, deal underwriting standards and investor confidence.

Federated Hermes (FHI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Federated Hermes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFederated Hermes, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, including high net worth individuals, banking or thrift institutions, investment companies, pension and profit sharing plans, pooled investment vehicles, charitable organizations, state or municipal government entities, and registered investment advisors. Through its subsidiaries, it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, balanced and money market mutual funds along with separate client-focused equity, fixed income, money market, and balanced portfolios. Through its subsidiaries, the firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap companies. The firm makes its fixed income investments in ultra-short, short-term, and intermediate-term mortgage-backed, U.S. Government, U.S. corporate, high yield, and municipal securities. It employs both fundamental and quantitative analysis to make its equity investments. Federated Hermes, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with additional offices in New York City and London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyFederated Hermes generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets it manages across various investment products, including mutual funds, separate accounts, and institutional portfolios. The company earns a percentage of the assets under management (AUM), which can vary based on the type of investment product and the performance of the assets. Additionally, Federated Hermes may receive performance fees for exceeding certain investment benchmarks or targets. Their revenue model is also supported by distribution fees from selling investment products through financial intermediaries and partnerships with other financial institutions. The company emphasizes sustainable investing, which has attracted a growing clientele interested in ESG-compliant investment solutions, further contributing to its earnings.

Federated Hermes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed multiple strong positive developments: record and rising AUM, standout equity and MDT sales performance, record money market balances, successful private fundraising and a healthy pipeline, revenue growth, strategic expansion (Asia and UK), and active digital/tokenization initiatives. Notable challenges include fixed income outflows, a meaningful increase in distribution expenses tied to share-class mix, reduced performance fees, acquisition-related costs, and expected seasonal Q1 headwinds to revenue and higher compensation expense. On balance, the breadth and magnitude of the positive business and product performance highlights outweigh the operational and timing-related lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Assets Under Management
Ended fiscal year with record AUM of $903 billion; more recent managed assets reported at approximately $909 billion (including $684 billion in money markets, $101 billion in equities, $101 billion in fixed income, $19.5 billion in alternative/private markets, and $3 billion in multi-asset).
Strong Equity Sales and MDT Momentum
Full-year 2025 gross equity sales reached a record $31 billion (including $9 billion in Q4). Q4 equity assets increased $3.2 billion (+3% q/q) with Q4 net equity sales $1.5 billion and full-year net equity sales $4.6 billion (vs net redemptions of $10.7 billion in 2024). MDT strategies: Q4 record gross sales of $4 billion and over $2 billion in net sales; 2025 MBE gross sales $19.1 billion and net sales $13 billion (both record highs).
Positive Fund Performance Metrics
MDT performance: 6 of 9 MDT strategies in top performance quartile and 4 in top decile for trailing three years (Morningstar). Overall equity funds: 49% beating peers and 27% in the top quartile (trailing three years). Fixed income: 42% beating peers and 18% in the top quartile (trailing three years).
Money Market Franchise Expansion and Record Levels
Total money market assets rose by $30 billion to $683 billion at year-end; money market fund assets increased $6 billion (+3% q/q) to $508 billion while money market separate accounts rose $14 billion in Q4. Estimated money market fund market share ~7% (slightly down from 7.1% in Q3).
Private Markets Fundraising and Pipeline
European direct lending III final close raised $780 million (EDL I $330M, EDL II ~$700M historically). PEC global private equity co-invest (vintage six) closed ~ $300 million to date; prior PEC vintages raised ~$400–$600M each (PEC V ~ $500M). Net institutional mandates yet to fund ~ $2.7 billion (approx. $1.2B expected into private markets, $1.4B into equities, $0.1B into fixed income).
Revenue Growth and Operational Drivers
Total Q4 revenue increased $13.4 million (+3% q/q); incremental revenue driven by higher money market assets (+$8M) and higher equity assets (+$5.5M). Q4 operating expenses rose modestly (+$7.3M, +2% q/q) primarily from higher distribution expenses tied to larger fund assets.
Digital Asset and Tokenization Initiatives
Launched strategic digital initiatives including partnership with Archax (tokenized money market funds), sub-advisory role on a private tokenized fund, and participation in a BNY/Goldman mirrored tokenization initiative; pipeline of tokenization projects and potential institutional and retail use cases (collateral, margining, real-time settlement).
Strategic Expansion and M&A Progress
Progress toward FCP acquisition expected to close in 2026 to augment UK-based US multifamily housing expertise; UK real estate team selected as exclusive developer for a significant mixed-use Manchester project; announced planned Hong Kong office to deepen Asia Pacific presence (subject to approvals).
Negative Updates
Fixed Income Outflows and Asset Decline
Fixed income assets ended the year at $100 billion, down $1.7 billion q/q. Q4 fixed income net redemptions totaled $2.8 billion (including ~$1.7 billion from two large public entities and a previously disclosed $1 billion high yield redemption).
Higher Distribution Expenses and Mix Impact
Q4 distribution expense increased materially (distribution expense up ~$8.8 million q/q; commentary noted an almost 25% jump in distribution costs YoY). Management attributed much of the increase to a shift into share classes with higher-than-average distribution fees, adding roughly $10 million to both distribution revenue and related expense.
Decline in Performance/Carried Interest
Total Q4 carried interest and performance fees fell to $1.6 million from $3.6 million in the prior quarter, reducing fee-related upside; approximately $570,000 of Q4 fees were nearly offset by equivalent compensation expense.
Acquisition and Transaction Related Costs
Incurred ~$1.3 million of FCP acquisition transaction costs in Q4 (mostly professional services); additional transaction costs estimated at approximately $9.2 million in 2026 (timing tied to expected Q2 close), and the initial purchase price will require approximately $215.8 million cash and $23.2 million in FHI Class B stock.
Seasonal and Near-Term Headwinds to Q1 Results
Seasonal factors and timing: fewer days in Q1 expected to reduce revenues by ~$10.2 million and distribution expenses by ~$2.6 million versus Q4. Additionally, compensation and related expenses are expected to be higher in Q1 (about $8 million of seasonally higher stock compensation and payroll taxes), creating mixed near-term operating leverage.
Flat to Slight Market Share Pressure in Money Markets
Although money market assets grew to record levels, estimated market share dipped slightly to ~7% from 7.1% in Q3, indicating modest relative competitive pressure despite absolute growth.
Company Guidance
Management offered detailed guidance and metrics: they closed 2025 with record AUM of $903B (recent managed assets ~ $909B), including money‑market assets of ~$683B (reported also as ~$684B a few days later) and money‑market mutual fund assets near $500–508B, equities ~$101B, fixed income ~$100–101B, alternatives ~$19.5B and multi‑asset ~$3B; they expect the FCP acquisition to close in 2026 (target Q2) with additional transaction costs of about $9.2M and an initial purchase consideration of $215.8M cash plus $23.2M in Class B stock, an estimated 2026 tax rate of 25–28% (24.4% effective in Q4), and Q1 seasonality that should lower revenues by ~$10.2M and distribution expense by ~$2.6M while increasing compensation-related expenses by roughly $8M; Q4 results showed revenue up $13.4M (3%)—driven by ~$8M from higher money‑market assets and $5.5M from equities—operating expenses up $7.3M (2%, distribution expense +$8.8M), cash & investments of $724M ($680M ex non‑controlling interest), and a business pipeline including ~$2.7B of unfunded institutional mandates (≈$1.2B to private markets, $1.4B to equities — ~$1.3B to MDT — and ~$0.1B to low‑duration fixed income); notable flows and fundraising: 2025 gross equity sales $31B (Q4 $9B) with full‑year net equity inflows $4.6B (vs $10.7B net redemptions in 2024), MDT Q4 gross sales ~$4B and >$2B net (MBE 2025 gross $19.1B/net $13B), fixed income assets ~$100B with Q4 net redemptions $2.8B (ultra‑short inflows +$624M), and private markets closings including EDL III $780M and PEC VI ~ $300M to date.

Federated Hermes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and returns (2025 operating margin ~29%, net margin ~22%, ROE ~34%) with improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.29 in 2025). Offsetting factors are revenue growth volatility and some variability in cash-flow coverage (FCF-to-net income ~0.95 in 2025).
Income Statement
83
Very Positive
Revenue has grown over the last several years (from ~$1.45B in 2020 to ~$1.80B in 2025), with modest growth in 2024–2025 after stronger gains in 2022–2023. Profitability is a clear strength: 2025 net margin is ~22% and operating margin is ~29%, both improved versus 2024. The main weakness is growth volatility (notably the revenue decline in 2021 and slower growth more recently), which suggests results can be sensitive to market/asset levels and fee pressure.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks reasonable and has improved recently: debt-to-equity declined to ~0.29 in 2025 from ~0.42 in 2024, with equity rising to ~$1.20B. Returns on shareholder capital are strong (return on equity ~34% in 2025), indicating efficient profitability. The key watch-out is that debt levels, while manageable, have fluctuated over time, and total assets/equity growth has been steady rather than accelerating.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is generally solid and closely tracks earnings: free cash flow is near net income across years (~0.94–1.00x), indicating good earnings quality. Free cash flow growth rebounded strongly in 2025 (+~15%), but cash flow coverage of net income dipped below 1.0 in 2025 (~0.95) after being stronger in 2022–2024, and operating/free cash flow also shows some year-to-year volatility (notably weaker in 2021).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.63B1.61B1.45B1.30B
Gross Profit1.37B1.09B1.05B933.10M767.96M
EBITDA513.88M416.70M427.60M396.40M396.28M
Net Income403.30M268.31M298.98M239.50M270.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23B2.08B2.10B2.02B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments724.30M641.04M560.67M521.75M426.67M
Total Debt348.37M461.97M457.94M452.78M346.07M
Total Liabilities965.86M933.96M947.75M912.97M840.97M
Stockholders Equity1.20B1.10B1.13B1.05B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow297.35M342.53M303.92M319.58M159.96M
Operating Cash Flow297.35M346.55M311.83M323.95M170.38M
Investing Cash Flow2.01M64.25M-30.61M-32.36M10.82M
Financing Cash Flow-237.88M-286.40M-243.09M-168.51M-249.47M

Federated Hermes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.01
Price Trends
50DMA
53.45
Positive
100DMA
51.59
Positive
200DMA
49.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Negative
RSI
57.94
Neutral
STOCH
83.27
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FHI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.40, above the 50-day MA of 53.45, and above the 200-day MA of 49.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FHI.

Federated Hermes Risk Analysis

Federated Hermes disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Federated Hermes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Federated Hermes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$4.34B10.9234.09%2.46%9.32%53.51%
78
Outperform
$3.62B13.2318.35%8.93%-12.92%
76
Outperform
$4.43B16.9818.61%3.00%33.03%-3.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$3.41B22.4931.53%3.92%12.73%19.01%
65
Neutral
$3.25B9.9463.64%8.72%5.46%2.10%
63
Neutral
$3.16B9.658.34%11.70%24.12%1.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FHI
Federated Hermes
56.01
18.41
48.97%
AB
AllianceBernstein
39.26
4.21
12.01%
CNS
Cohen & Steers
66.87
-16.59
-19.88%
GBDC
Golub Capital Bdc
11.99
-2.03
-14.48%
APAM
Artisan Partners
40.28
2.10
5.51%
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings
69.18
8.22
13.49%

Federated Hermes Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Federated Hermes Faces Legal Action Over Wind Farm Investment
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Hermes GPE LLP and Hermes Infrastructure II GP LLP, subsidiaries of Federated Hermes, acknowledged service of legal proceedings in the High Court in London brought by Aberdeen City Council as administering authority of the Aberdeen City Council Pension Fund, relating to a 2019 investment of about £104 million by Hermes Infrastructure Fund II in the Ventus Portfolio, a group of five Swedish onshore wind farms that has since declined in value. The plaintiff is pursuing derivative claims on behalf of the fund’s general partner against Hermes GPE for alleged professional negligence and breach of the fund’s limited partnership agreement, and direct claims against the general partner for failing to properly oversee the manager, seeking recovery tied to an alleged £87 million diminution in value (including approximately 38.1% of that amount on its own direct claim), while Federated Hermes and its affiliates deny the allegations, say the claims lack merit, do not expect a material adverse impact on the group’s financial position, and have notified their insurers as a precaution.

The most recent analyst rating on (FHI) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Federated Hermes stock, see the FHI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Federated Hermes Announces Leadership Changes Effective 2026
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Federated Hermes announced upcoming leadership changes effective April 30, 2026, as part of its succession plan. John B. Fisher will step back from his role as President and CEO of the Federated Advisory Companies, with Paul A. Uhlman taking over the position. Uhlman, who has been with the company for 35 years, will oversee global investment teams. Bryan M. Burke will succeed Uhlman as President of Federated Securities Corp. and lead global sales efforts. These changes are expected to ensure a smooth transition and continued focus on delivering long-term value and investment solutions to clients.

The most recent analyst rating on (FHI) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Federated Hermes stock, see the FHI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026