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Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR)
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Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings

(NASDAQ:VCTR)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(15.71% Upside)
Victory Capital Holdings receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call insights. The stock benefits from strong technical indicators and a reasonable valuation. While there are some concerns about cash flow and net outflows, the company's strategic acquisitions and growth in ETF platforms provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Victory Capital Holdings' acquisition of Amundi US is seen as a strategic move to expand international distribution and enhance fixed income capabilities.
Earnings
The 1Q25 earnings per share for Victory Capital Holdings increased due to better operating expenses.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decline
The earnings per share for Victory Capital Holdings declined by 3.9% due to lower management fees and a higher share count.
Market Volatility
There is a risk if market volatility persists, which could affect financial estimates.

Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Victory Capital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVictory Capital Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset management company worldwide. It offers investment advisory, fund administration, fund compliance, fund transfer agent, and fund distribution services. The company provides specialized investment strategies to institutions, intermediaries, retirement platforms, and individual investors. As of December 31, 2021, its franchises and solutions platform managed a set of 130 investment strategies for a range of institutional and retail clients, and direct investors. The company has strategic alliance with Xavier University of Louisiana. Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyVictory Capital generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets under management (AUM) across its investment products. These fees are typically a percentage of the AUM and can vary based on the type of investment strategy offered. Additionally, the company earns performance fees when investment strategies exceed certain performance benchmarks, thus incentivizing strong investment returns. Another key revenue stream is the provision of advisory services and solutions to institutional clients, which may also be accompanied by consulting fees. Victory Capital's growth has been bolstered by strategic acquisitions and partnerships that expand its investment capabilities and client base, enabling it to enhance its earnings potential.

Victory Capital Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Victory Capital with significant growth milestones achieved, including record client assets and successful strategic acquisition with Amundi. Despite some challenges like net outflows and one-time acquisition costs, the company has demonstrated robust financial performance and growth potential, particularly in the ETF platform and international expansion.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Client Assets
Total client assets increased by 76% quarter-over-quarter, reaching more than $300 billion, marking a record high for a quarter end.
Strategic Acquisition Success
Successfully closed on a multifaceted strategic transaction with Amundi, resulting in significant size and scale increase and $70 million of net expense synergies achieved on a run rate basis.
ETF Platform Growth
ETF platform posted positive net flows of more than $4 billion in the first half of the year, bringing ETF assets under management to $15 billion, up nearly 90% from the same time last year.
Increased Share Repurchase Plan
Board authorized an increase to the share repurchase plan from $200 million to $500 million, the largest in the company's history.
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue increased by 60% from the first quarter, with adjusted EBITDA margin at 50.8% and adjusted net income of $132.8 million or $1.57 per diluted share.
Negative Updates
Net Outflows
Net outflows for the quarter were $660 million, though there has been improvement in long-term flows on both gross and net basis.
One-time Acquisition Costs
GAAP results included $53 million of acquisition-related restructuring and integration costs, which were higher than previous quarters.
Lower Fee Rate
The realized fee rate decreased to 49.4 basis points from the first quarter, with an expected further decrease to the range of 46 to 47 basis points.
Company Guidance
During the Victory Capital Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance highlights. Total client assets surged by 76% quarter-over-quarter to over $300 billion, marking a record high for quarter-end. Gross long-term flows reached $15.4 billion, while net outflows were $660 million, representing the third consecutive quarter of improving long-term flows. Adjusted EBITDA was $179 million with a margin of 50.8%, and adjusted net income with a tax benefit totaled $133 million or $1.57 per diluted share. The integration of the Amundi U.S. business is progressing well, achieving $70 million of net expense synergies on a run rate basis, with $40 million more expected over the next 15 months. The company expanded its ETF offerings and managed $15 billion in ETF assets, up 90% year-over-year. Victory Capital's Board approved a share repurchase plan increase from $200 million to $500 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth prospects.

Victory Capital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Victory Capital Holdings exhibits a strong financial position with solid profitability, efficient operations, and stable growth. The income statement highlights strong margins and revenue stability, while the balance sheet reflects a sound financial structure with good returns on equity. Cash flow analysis shows excellent cash conversion and liquidity management. However, the company's high leverage is an area to monitor for potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Victory Capital Holdings shows robust financial performance with strong profitability. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 61.6% and the net profit margin at 37.0%, indicating efficient cost management and a healthy bottom line. Revenue growth has been moderate, with a 0.42% increase from the previous year, suggesting stability in its revenue streams. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 48.5% and 52.9% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a solid financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.84, reflecting a balanced use of debt and equity. Return on equity is impressive at 29.0%, highlighting effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is 44.3%, suggesting a stable asset base supported by equity. However, the company carries a significant amount of total debt, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company's cash flow position is strong with a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 3.34% over the last year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.06, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.05, further emphasizing the firm's ability to convert profits into cash effectively. Overall, the cash flow metrics reflect solid liquidity and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B893.48M821.03M854.80M890.26M775.35M
Gross Profit647.07M529.77M455.97M455.50M479.05M402.51M
EBITDA535.24M477.97M394.32M413.59M412.45M360.56M
Net Income316.48M288.86M213.16M275.51M278.39M212.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.25B2.55B2.54B2.54B2.58B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.87M126.73M123.55M38.17M69.53M22.74M
Total Debt1.01B963.86M1.00B985.51M1.13B769.01M
Total Liabilities1.78B1.43B1.49B1.48B1.65B1.02B
Stockholders Equity2.47B1.12B1.05B1.07B929.93M707.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow263.87M338.70M325.12M329.97M363.52M242.56M
Operating Cash Flow266.91M339.98M330.29M335.21M376.20M250.62M
Investing Cash Flow75.65M-3.98M-7.84M-6.32M-556.59M-12.34M
Financing Cash Flow-354.15M-332.76M-237.13M-360.19M227.22M-252.70M

Victory Capital Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.73
Price Trends
50DMA
65.98
Positive
100DMA
62.33
Positive
200DMA
62.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.44
Negative
RSI
60.26
Neutral
STOCH
87.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.51, above the 50-day MA of 65.98, and above the 200-day MA of 62.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VCTR.

Victory Capital Holdings Risk Analysis

Victory Capital Holdings disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Victory Capital Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Victory Capital Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$4.05B11.5932.69%2.42%5.92%54.93%
81
Outperform
$4.85B17.9415.59%2.52%19.81%12.83%
79
Outperform
$6.24B16.5313.47%0.02%-5.87%-21.51%
76
Outperform
$4.44B11.9518.55%8.23%16.78%
75
Outperform
$3.84B12.9067.97%7.34%9.98%12.97%
71
Outperform
$3.84B23.9432.70%3.20%12.95%23.72%
68
Neutral
$17.50B11.6610.44%3.82%9.93%1.59%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings
71.73
21.73
43.46%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
222.99
51.05
29.69%
AB
AllianceBernstein
41.22
9.50
29.95%
CNS
Cohen & Steers
76.63
-5.05
-6.18%
FHI
Federated Hermes
53.65
21.41
66.41%
APAM
Artisan Partners
47.79
10.50
28.16%

Victory Capital Holdings Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Victory Capital Reports Stable AUM for July 2025
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as of July 31, 2025, amounting to $299.8 billion, with total client assets reaching $302.9 billion. The announcement highlights the company’s stable asset management performance, with slight increases in various asset classes compared to the previous month, indicating a steady market position and potential positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Victory Capital Holdings Reports Q2 AUM and Client Assets
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as $298.6 billion and total client assets as $301.6 billion as of June 30, 2025. Despite a decrease in long-term AUM net flows by $660 million for the second quarter, the company showed growth in various asset classes and regions. Victory Capital plans to release its second-quarter financial results on August 7, 2025, followed by a conference call on August 8 to discuss the outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Victory Capital Holdings Reports May 2025 AUM Figures
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as $289.4 billion and total client assets as $293.1 billion as of May 31, 2025. The company also highlighted the successful integration of the Pioneer Investment business, which is expected to maintain a consolidated fee rate realization of 46 to 47 basis points starting in the second quarter, with no anticipated impact on EBITDA or EBITDA margin due to accounting changes. The issuance of 5.4 million shares of preferred stock to Amundi S.A. on May 23, 2025, increased the total number of fully diluted shares to approximately 88.3 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025