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Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR)
NASDAQ:VCTR
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Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings

(NASDAQ:VCTR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(10.78% Upside)
Victory Capital Holdings has a strong overall stock score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call insights. The company's successful integration of acquisitions and growth in non-U.S. markets are significant strengths. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, which slightly offsets the positive outlook. The valuation is reasonable, providing a balanced investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust business expansion and effective market penetration, enhancing long-term earnings potential.
Strategic Acquisitions
Effective integration of acquisitions strengthens operational efficiency and expands investment capabilities, supporting future growth.
Strong Balance Sheet
Improved leverage management enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
Reduced free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities, affecting long-term expansion.
Net Long-Term Outflows
Persistent outflows could indicate client dissatisfaction or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future revenue streams.
Performance Fee Variability
Variability in performance fees can lead to unpredictable revenue, challenging the stability of earnings and financial planning.

Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Victory Capital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVictory Capital Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset management company worldwide. It offers investment advisory, fund administration, fund compliance, fund transfer agent, and fund distribution services. The company provides specialized investment strategies to institutions, intermediaries, retirement platforms, and individual investors. As of December 31, 2021, its franchises and solutions platform managed a set of 130 investment strategies for a range of institutional and retail clients, and direct investors. The company has strategic alliance with Xavier University of Louisiana. Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyVictory Capital generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees from its investment products. The company earns management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) across its various investment strategies, which can include mutual funds, separately managed accounts, and institutional investment products. Performance fees are earned when investment returns exceed specified benchmarks, providing an incentive for the firm to maximize client returns. Additionally, Victory Capital may benefit from revenue-sharing agreements with its distribution partners, which could include financial advisors and broker-dealers. The firm's extensive distribution network and partnerships enhance its ability to attract new clients and grow AUM, which is crucial for sustaining its revenue growth.

Victory Capital Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Victory Capital's third-quarter earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful integration of acquisitions, and significant growth in the ETF platform and non-U.S. markets. Although there were net long-term outflows, the company's financial metrics and strategic initiatives indicate continued positive momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Gross Flows
Victory Capital achieved record high gross flows for Q3 2025, with total assets reaching $313 billion.
Strong Performance in Non-U.S. Markets
Long-term gross flows outside of the U.S. were strong at an annualized rate of $68 billion, or 23% of long-term AUM.
New All-Time High Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA hit a new all-time quarterly high at $191 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 52.7%.
Successful Integration and Synergies
The integration of Pioneer Investments is slightly ahead of plan, achieving $86 million of net expense synergies on a run rate basis.
Rapid Growth in ETF Platform
VictoryShares ETF platform achieved year-to-date positive net flows of $5.4 billion, representing a 53% organic growth rate through the first 9 months of 2025.
Capital Returns to Shareholders
Victory Capital returned a total of $163 million to shareholders in Q3 2025, marking an all-time high.
Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Flexibility
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $116 million of cash and a net leverage ratio of 1.1x.
Negative Updates
Net Long-Term Outflows
The company experienced net long-term outflows of $244 million, annualized at 33 basis points of AUM.
Performance Fee Variability
Performance fees were down compared to previous quarters, impacting the overall fee rate.
Company Guidance
During the Victory Capital Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record performance metrics, including a total asset under management (AUM) of $313 billion and record high gross flows. Long-term gross flows increased by 10% quarter-over-quarter to $17 billion, aided by the expansion of the U.S. distribution team. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $191 million, representing a margin of 52.7%, while adjusted earnings per diluted share reached a new high of $1.63, up 4% from the previous quarter. Victory Capital also reported net expense synergies of approximately $86 million on a run rate basis from the integration of Pioneer Investments, with a clear path to achieving the remaining $24 million to meet their $110 million target. Additionally, they repurchased 1.8 million shares during the quarter, maintaining $355 million of capacity on their existing repurchase authorization. The company is optimistic about future growth, particularly in non-U.S. markets, and aims to further capitalize on the integration with Amundi.

Victory Capital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Victory Capital Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The company has improved its leverage position, enhancing financial stability. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting future growth and investment opportunities. However, attention should be paid to maintaining gross profit margins and further improving cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Victory Capital Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a 13.18% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The company maintains a high net profit margin of 34.05% in TTM, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in TTM, showing a decrease from previous years, which indicates improved leverage management. Return on equity remains strong at 22.24%, highlighting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio suggests moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant free cash flow growth of 24.49% in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, which limits a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.16B893.48M821.03M854.80M890.26M775.35M
Gross Profit713.03M529.77M455.97M455.50M479.05M402.51M
EBITDA522.18M481.37M394.32M440.14M391.80M328.94M
Net Income294.19M288.86M213.16M275.51M278.39M212.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.21B2.55B2.54B2.54B2.58B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.74M126.73M123.55M38.17M69.53M22.74M
Total Debt1.02B963.86M989.27M985.51M1.13B779.01M
Total Liabilities1.81B1.43B1.49B1.48B1.65B1.02B
Stockholders Equity2.40B1.12B1.05B1.07B929.93M707.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow328.51M338.70M325.12M329.97M363.52M242.56M
Operating Cash Flow332.22M339.98M330.29M335.21M376.20M250.62M
Investing Cash Flow75.26M-3.98M-7.84M-6.32M-556.59M-12.34M
Financing Cash Flow-480.21M-332.76M-237.13M-360.19M227.22M-252.70M

Victory Capital Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price63.19
Price Trends
50DMA
64.32
Negative
100DMA
66.72
Negative
200DMA
63.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
49.94
Neutral
STOCH
44.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VCTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 63.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.35, below the 50-day MA of 64.32, and below the 200-day MA of 63.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VCTR.

Victory Capital Holdings Risk Analysis

Victory Capital Holdings disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Victory Capital Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Victory Capital Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.10B16.1216.46%3.09%33.03%-3.55%
76
Outperform
$7.53B16.3415.95%0.02%1.08%8.24%
76
Outperform
$3.74B13.5419.77%8.44%-12.92%
69
Neutral
$3.37B11.6462.04%8.68%5.46%2.10%
68
Neutral
$3.90B10.5232.06%2.64%9.32%53.51%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$3.25B20.0231.53%3.89%12.73%19.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings
63.19
-4.37
-6.47%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
267.60
80.10
42.72%
AB
AllianceBernstein
41.10
7.90
23.80%
CNS
Cohen & Steers
63.77
-37.55
-37.06%
FHI
Federated Hermes
50.32
8.81
21.22%
APAM
Artisan Partners
41.82
-3.13
-6.96%

Victory Capital Holdings Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Victory Capital Reports Stable AUM Growth in October
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as of October 31, 2025, amounting to $313.0 billion, with total client assets reaching $315.8 billion. The report highlights a slight increase in AUM from the previous month, indicating a stable growth trajectory. This announcement underscores Victory Capital’s strong market position and its ability to manage a diverse range of asset classes, benefiting stakeholders by potentially enhancing investment returns and maintaining competitive performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Victory Capital Reports Q3 AUM and Net Outflows
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as $310.6 billion, with total client assets amounting to $313.4 billion as of September 30, 2025. The company experienced long-term AUM net outflows of $244 million for the third quarter. Victory Capital also announced a conference call scheduled for November 7, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter financial results, highlighting its ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Victory Capital Holdings Extends Credit Agreement and Refinances Loans
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. announced the Sixth Amendment to its Credit Agreement, extending the maturity date of its $100 million revolving credit facility to September 23, 2030, while reducing the interest rate margin by 0.25% per annum. Additionally, the company refinanced its existing term loans with new term loans totaling $985 million, set to mature on September 23, 2032, with adjusted interest rates, thereby enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially improving its cost of capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Victory Capital Holdings Reports Growth in August AUM
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Victory Capital Holdings reported its total assets under management (AUM) as $303.7 billion and total client assets as $306.4 billion as of August 31, 2025. This announcement reflects a slight increase in AUM from the previous month, indicating a stable growth trajectory for the company, which may positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (VCTR) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Victory Capital Holdings stock, see the VCTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025