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Affiliated Managers Group (AMG)
NYSE:AMG

Affiliated Managers (AMG) AI Stock Analysis

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AM

Affiliated Managers

(NYSE:AMG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$208.00
▲(3.74%Upside)
Affiliated Managers Group showcases strong operational efficiency and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in alternative strategies. The stock is currently exhibiting bullish technical indicators, supported by positive corporate developments. However, declining revenue and free cash flow pose challenges, requiring close monitoring. Overall, AMG presents a solid investment opportunity with a well-balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Earnings Guidance
Q1/25 earnings guidance expects adjusted EBITDA to be above consensus.
Investment Strategy
AMG has invested more than $2 billion in areas of secular growth and accelerated the evolution of the company towards private markets and liquid alternatives, expected to enhance long-term organic revenue and earnings growth.
Valuation
AMG is trading at a discount to its peer group, which supports the OUTPERFORM investment rating.
Negative Factors
Cash Outflows
Net client cash outflows were $8.3 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting challenges in the equities sector.
Equity Challenges
Despite challenges in equities, AMG's long-term organic growth profile has improved meaningfully over the last five years.
Revenues
Revenues decreased 0.7% to $496.6 million, below the estimate of $510.0 million and the FactSet consensus of $501.9 million.

Affiliated Managers (AMG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Affiliated Managers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) is a global asset management company that partners with investment management firms to help them enhance their growth and development. The company operates in the financial services sector, focusing on a diverse range of investment strategies across equity, fixed income, and alternative assets. AMG provides strategic, operational, and distribution support to its affiliates, enabling them to maintain their investment independence while benefiting from the company's resources and expertise.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMG primarily makes money through its ownership interests in a diverse array of independent investment management firms. The company's revenue model is largely based on the fees earned by these affiliates, which include management fees, performance fees, and other related investment advisory fees. Management fees are typically calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), whereas performance fees are earned based on the investment performance of client portfolios relative to benchmarks or specific targets. AMG's revenue is further enhanced by its strategic partnerships, which often involve acquiring equity stakes in high-quality asset managers. These partnerships allow AMG to benefit from the growth and success of its affiliates, contributing to its overall earnings.

Affiliated Managers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with significant achievements in alternative strategies and strategic partnerships, despite challenges in the equities segment and a decline in adjusted EBITDA.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record $14 Billion Net Client Cash Inflows
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. achieved a record $14 billion in net client cash inflows into alternative strategies, offsetting outflows from the long-only business.
Strategic Partnerships and Investments
Announced three new partnerships with Northbridge Partners, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, committing approximately $700 million to these new partnerships in 2025.
Strong Liquid Alternatives Performance
Liquid alternatives saw $10 billion in net inflows, driven primarily by tax-aware solutions, marking the strongest quarterly flow number in liquid alternatives in the company's history.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchases
Repurchased $173 million in shares in the first quarter, with a plan to repurchase approximately $400 million for the full year 2025.
Significant Gain from Peppertree Sale
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. reported a significant gain from the sale of its minority stake in Peppertree, doubling the initial investment.
8% Accretion Expected from New Investments
New investments in Northbridge Partners, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, along with the Peppertree sale, are expected to result in approximately 8% accretion in economic earnings per share.
Negative Updates
Equities Net Outflows
The company experienced net outflows of approximately $14 billion in equities, reflecting industry and performance headwinds.
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $228 million, representing a decline of 12% year over year, driven by lower performance fees and one-time catch-up fees from the prior year.
Company Guidance
During Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance insights. They reported a record $14 billion in net client cash inflows into alternative strategies, largely driven by significant momentum at affiliates AQR and Pantheon, which offset outflows from the long-only business. The company's strategic investments in new partnerships, including Northbridge, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, involved a commitment of approximately $700 million. These investments are expected to be accretive to earnings, enhancing the company's organic growth profile. The company also executed $173 million in share repurchases during the first quarter and plans to repurchase approximately $400 million for the full year, subject to market conditions. Looking ahead, they anticipate second-quarter adjusted EBITDA to range between $210 million and $225 million, with collective accretion in run-rate economic earnings per share from new investments expected to be approximately 8%. The company's strategic shift towards alternatives is expected to continue improving its business mix, driving sustained organic growth and incremental shareholder value over time.

Affiliated Managers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Affiliated Managers demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency with robust margins and a healthy balance sheet. However, recent trends of declining revenue and free cash flow suggest potential challenges in maintaining growth. Financial stability is supported by prudent leverage and strong equity returns, positioning the company well within the asset management industry despite cash flow concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement showcases a solid financial performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 55.7% and a Net Profit Margin of 21.3% in the TTM period. However, there's a slight decline in Total Revenue from $2.05 billion to $2.03 billion, indicating a revenue contraction of -0.3% year-over-year. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 31.7%, while the EBITDA Margin stands at 51%. Despite the revenue contraction, margins remain strong, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.82, indicating a balanced leverage level. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 13.6%, suggesting effective use of equity for generating profits. The Equity Ratio is at 36.6%, highlighting a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and prudent debt management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a decline in Free Cash Flow from $928.7 million to $718.9 million, reflecting a negative Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -22.6%. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.15, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.66, further reinforcing cash efficiency despite the recent decline.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.03B2.04B2.06B2.33B2.41B2.03B
Gross Profit1.13B1.13B1.15B1.26B1.37B1.14B
EBITDA1.04B1.07B1.23B1.88B1.27B769.60M
Net Income434.10M511.60M672.90M1.15B565.70M202.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.71B8.83B9.06B8.88B8.88B7.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments816.50M1.01B1.27B1.15B987.00M1.11B
Total Debt2.62B2.62B2.54B2.54B2.49B2.31B
Total Liabilities4.25B4.18B4.10B4.24B4.49B3.90B
Stockholders Equity3.19B3.35B3.59B3.23B2.79B2.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow718.90M928.70M861.90M1.04B1.25B1.00B
Operating Cash Flow931.80M932.10M874.30M1.05B1.26B1.01B
Investing Cash Flow269.00M379.10M264.50M-109.90M-583.70M-53.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.19B-1.18B-758.30M-1.40B-798.30M-455.40M

Affiliated Managers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price200.50
Price Trends
50DMA
179.28
Positive
100DMA
171.77
Positive
200DMA
178.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.43
Negative
RSI
76.89
Negative
STOCH
91.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 200.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.95, above the 50-day MA of 179.28, and above the 200-day MA of 178.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMG.

Affiliated Managers Risk Analysis

Affiliated Managers disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Affiliated Managers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Affiliated Managers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.35B14.4026.57%3.03%6.53%36.51%
AMAMG
76
Outperform
$5.65B15.5912.81%0.02%-6.37%-28.43%
ABAB
76
Outperform
$4.57B11.1320.69%7.76%53.17%
JHJHG
75
Outperform
$6.32B15.948.55%3.99%17.41%-4.75%
CNCNS
69
Neutral
$3.97B25.4735.42%3.18%10.26%19.56%
67
Neutral
$16.84B11.729.71%3.76%11.61%-9.60%
63
Neutral
$6.59B103.13-71.28%4.52%118.79%-285.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMG
Affiliated Managers
200.50
45.76
29.57%
AB
AllianceBernstein
41.24
10.35
33.51%
CNS
Cohen & Steers
77.87
7.73
11.02%
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
40.30
7.54
23.02%
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings
64.74
18.57
40.22%
STEP
StepStone Group
56.61
12.23
27.56%

Affiliated Managers Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Affiliated Managers Appoints Thomas Wojcik as President
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. appointed Thomas M. Wojcik as President while he continues as Chief Operating Officer. This move is part of AMG’s strategy to enhance its growth and value creation, with Wojcik playing a key role in expanding the company’s participation in secular growth areas, including private markets and liquid alternative strategies, which now contribute significantly to earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMG) stock is a Buy with a $191.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Affiliated Managers stock, see the AMG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Affiliated Managers Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were considered. The stockholders elected directors with over 96% approval, approved executive compensation by 97%, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm with 93% support.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMG) stock is a Buy with a $202.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Affiliated Managers stock, see the AMG Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AMG Announces New Partnerships and Strong Q1 Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, AMG reported financial results with an Economic Earnings per share of $5.20, reflecting its strategic growth and capital allocation. The company announced new partnerships with Verition Fund Management and Qualitas Energy, enhancing its business profile in alternatives and private markets. AMG also declared a quarterly dividend and repurchased $173 million in common stock, demonstrating its strong capital position and commitment to shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025