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Affiliated Managers Group (AMG)
NYSE:AMG

Affiliated Managers (AMG) AI Stock Analysis

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Affiliated Managers

(NYSE:AMG)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$204.00
▲(11.38%Upside)
AMG's stock score reflects a strong technical position, supported by positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events. While financial performance presents some challenges, particularly in revenue and cash flow, the company's proactive strategic initiatives and positive market momentum suggest potential for future growth and value creation.
Positive Factors
Growth Strategy
AMG's long-term organic growth profile has improved meaningfully over the last five years due to ongoing strategy to evolve the business mix more toward Alternatives.
Investment
AMG has invested more than $2 billion in areas of secular growth and accelerated the evolution of the company towards private markets and liquid alternatives, expected to enhance long-term organic revenue and earnings growth.
Valuation
AMG is trading at a discount to its peer group, which supports the OUTPERFORM investment rating.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow
Net client cash outflows were $8.3 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting challenges in the equities sector.
Revenue Performance
Revenues decreased 0.7% to $496.6 million, below the estimate of $510.0 million and the FactSet consensus of $501.9 million.

Affiliated Managers (AMG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Affiliated Managers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAffiliated Managers Group, Inc., through its affiliates, operates as an asset management company providing investment management services to mutual funds, institutional clients, and high net worth individuals in the United States. It provides advisory or subadvisory services to mutual funds. These funds are distributed to retail and institutional clients directly and through intermediaries, including independent investment advisors, retirement plan sponsors, broker-dealers, major fund marketplaces, and bank trust departments. The company also offers investment products in various investment styles in the institutional distribution channel, including small, small/mid, mid, and large capitalization value and growth equity, and emerging markets. In addition, it offers quantitative, alternative, and fixed income products, and manages assets for foundations and endowments, defined benefit, and defined contribution plans for corporations and municipalities. Affiliated Managers Group provides investment management or customized investment counseling and fiduciary services. Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. was formed in 1993 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida with additional offices in Prides Crossing, Massachusetts; Stamford, Connecticut; London, United Kingdom; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; Sydney, Australia; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan, Zurich, Switzerland and Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMG primarily makes money through its ownership interests in a diverse array of independent investment management firms. The company's revenue model is largely based on the fees earned by these affiliates, which include management fees, performance fees, and other related investment advisory fees. Management fees are typically calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), whereas performance fees are earned based on the investment performance of client portfolios relative to benchmarks or specific targets. AMG's revenue is further enhanced by its strategic partnerships, which often involve acquiring equity stakes in high-quality asset managers. These partnerships allow AMG to benefit from the growth and success of its affiliates, contributing to its overall earnings.

Affiliated Managers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with significant achievements in alternative strategies and strategic partnerships, despite challenges in the equities segment and a decline in adjusted EBITDA.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record $14 Billion Net Client Cash Inflows
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. achieved a record $14 billion in net client cash inflows into alternative strategies, offsetting outflows from the long-only business.
Strategic Partnerships and Investments
Announced three new partnerships with Northbridge Partners, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, committing approximately $700 million to these new partnerships in 2025.
Strong Liquid Alternatives Performance
Liquid alternatives saw $10 billion in net inflows, driven primarily by tax-aware solutions, marking the strongest quarterly flow number in liquid alternatives in the company's history.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchases
Repurchased $173 million in shares in the first quarter, with a plan to repurchase approximately $400 million for the full year 2025.
Significant Gain from Peppertree Sale
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. reported a significant gain from the sale of its minority stake in Peppertree, doubling the initial investment.
8% Accretion Expected from New Investments
New investments in Northbridge Partners, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, along with the Peppertree sale, are expected to result in approximately 8% accretion in economic earnings per share.
Negative Updates
Equities Net Outflows
The company experienced net outflows of approximately $14 billion in equities, reflecting industry and performance headwinds.
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $228 million, representing a decline of 12% year over year, driven by lower performance fees and one-time catch-up fees from the prior year.
Company Guidance
During Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance insights. They reported a record $14 billion in net client cash inflows into alternative strategies, largely driven by significant momentum at affiliates AQR and Pantheon, which offset outflows from the long-only business. The company's strategic investments in new partnerships, including Northbridge, Verition, and Qualitas Energy, involved a commitment of approximately $700 million. These investments are expected to be accretive to earnings, enhancing the company's organic growth profile. The company also executed $173 million in share repurchases during the first quarter and plans to repurchase approximately $400 million for the full year, subject to market conditions. Looking ahead, they anticipate second-quarter adjusted EBITDA to range between $210 million and $225 million, with collective accretion in run-rate economic earnings per share from new investments expected to be approximately 8%. The company's strategic shift towards alternatives is expected to continue improving its business mix, driving sustained organic growth and incremental shareholder value over time.

Affiliated Managers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Affiliated Managers presents a mixed financial picture. Strong gross profitability and a healthy equity base are positive, but declining revenues and recent negative free cash flow highlight underlying challenges. The absence of debt in TTM is a positive development, but the overall financial trajectory indicates potential concerns over cash flow sustainability and net income pressure.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a mixed performance in the income statement. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is strong at 84.07%. However, the Net Profit Margin has decreased to 37.62% compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on net income. Revenue has declined over the past two years, with a significant drop of 26.33% from 2022 to TTM. The EBIT Margin is solid at 41.55%, but lower than in previous years, suggesting potential efficiency challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is fairly robust with no total debt reported in TTM, significantly improving the Debt-to-Equity ratio. The Equity Ratio is healthy at 37.87%, indicating a solid equity base. Moreover, the Return on Equity for TTM is strong at 17.05%, demonstrating good profitability against shareholder investments. However, the overall equity has decreased slightly over the past years, which should be monitored.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow metrics indicate some concerns. The Free Cash Flow has turned negative in TTM, from a positive $861.9 million the previous year, highlighting issues in cash generation. The lack of Operating Cash Flow data for TTM prevents a full analysis, but the previous year's Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was sound. The cash flow statement suggests potential liquidity issues that need addressing.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.03B2.04B2.06B2.33B2.41B2.03B
Gross Profit
1.13B2.00B1.15B1.26B1.37B1.14B
EBIT
645.00M706.70M792.10M805.20M1.02B566.60M
EBITDA
1.04B1.07B1.23B1.88B1.27B769.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
434.10M511.60M672.90M1.15B565.70M202.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
816.50M1.01B1.27B1.15B987.00M1.11B
Total Assets
8.71B8.83B9.06B8.88B8.88B7.89B
Total Debt
0.002.62B2.54B2.54B2.49B2.31B
Net Debt
-816.50M1.67B1.72B2.11B1.58B1.27B
Total Liabilities
4.25B4.18B4.10B4.24B4.49B3.90B
Stockholders Equity
3.19B3.35B3.59B3.23B2.79B2.78B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
718.90M928.70M861.90M1.04B1.25B1.00B
Operating Cash Flow
722.90M932.10M874.30M1.05B1.26B1.01B
Investing Cash Flow
269.00M379.10M264.50M-109.90M-583.70M-53.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.19B-1.18B-758.30M-1.40B-798.30M-455.40M

Affiliated Managers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price183.15
Price Trends
50DMA
170.15
Positive
100DMA
171.36
Positive
200DMA
176.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.85
Negative
RSI
62.11
Neutral
STOCH
90.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 183.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 179.59, above the 50-day MA of 170.15, and above the 200-day MA of 176.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMG.

Affiliated Managers Risk Analysis

Affiliated Managers disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Affiliated Managers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Affiliated Managers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.18B13.8426.57%3.15%6.53%36.51%
ABAB
76
Outperform
$4.47B10.9020.69%7.92%53.17%
JHJHG
76
Outperform
$5.81B14.668.55%4.34%17.41%-4.75%
AMAMG
74
Outperform
$5.21B14.3812.81%0.02%-6.37%-28.43%
CNCNS
69
Neutral
$3.95B25.3335.42%3.20%10.26%19.56%
64
Neutral
$12.85B9.817.79%78.20%12.23%-7.93%
63
Neutral
$6.69B103.13-71.28%1.67%118.79%-285.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMG
Affiliated Managers
183.15
34.79
23.45%
AB
AllianceBernstein
40.42
10.25
33.97%
CNS
Cohen & Steers
76.17
7.81
11.42%
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
36.85
5.45
17.36%
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings
63.30
16.73
35.92%
STEP
StepStone Group
57.21
15.13
35.96%

Affiliated Managers Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Affiliated Managers Appoints Thomas Wojcik as President
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. appointed Thomas M. Wojcik as President while he continues as Chief Operating Officer. This move is part of AMG’s strategy to enhance its growth and value creation, with Wojcik playing a key role in expanding the company’s participation in secular growth areas, including private markets and liquid alternative strategies, which now contribute significantly to earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMG) stock is a Buy with a $191.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Affiliated Managers stock, see the AMG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Affiliated Managers Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were considered. The stockholders elected directors with over 96% approval, approved executive compensation by 97%, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm with 93% support.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMG) stock is a Buy with a $202.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Affiliated Managers stock, see the AMG Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AMG Announces New Partnerships and Strong Q1 Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, AMG reported financial results with an Economic Earnings per share of $5.20, reflecting its strategic growth and capital allocation. The company announced new partnerships with Verition Fund Management and Qualitas Energy, enhancing its business profile in alternatives and private markets. AMG also declared a quarterly dividend and repurchased $173 million in common stock, demonstrating its strong capital position and commitment to shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.