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Invesco (IVZ)
NYSE:IVZ

Invesco (IVZ) AI Stock Analysis

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IVZ

Invesco

(NYSE:IVZ)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(14.81% Upside)
Invesco's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance, robust technical indicators, and positive corporate events. The company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiency have led to record AUM and significant inflows, supporting its growth trajectory. While valuation is fair, the attractive dividend yield enhances investor appeal. Challenges in fundamental equities and ETF restructuring are noted but are outweighed by the company's strengths.
Positive Factors
Record AUM Growth
The record AUM and strong inflows indicate robust client trust and effective asset management strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing Invesco to invest more in growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
ETF Expansion
The expansion in ETF offerings indicates strong market demand and positions Invesco well in the growing passive investment trend, supporting future growth.
Negative Factors
Equities Outflows
Significant outflows in fundamental equities suggest challenges in maintaining investor confidence in these products, potentially impacting revenue.
QQQ ETF Restructuring Challenges
Delays in restructuring the QQQ ETF could hinder operational efficiency and limit the potential benefits of modernization, affecting competitiveness.
Non-Cash Impairment Charge
The impairment charge reflects potential missteps in asset management, impacting financial results and signaling challenges in strategic execution.

Invesco (IVZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Invesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInvesco Ltd. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to retail clients, institutional clients, high-net worth clients, public entities, corporations, unions, non-profit organizations, endowments, foundations, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also launches equity, fixed income, commodity, multi-asset, and balanced mutual funds for its clients. It launches equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and balanced exchange-traded funds. The firm also launches and manages private funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm also invests in alternative markets, such as commodities and currencies. For the equity portion of its portfolio, it invests in growth and value stocks of large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap companies. For the fixed income portion of its portfolio, the firm invests in convertibles, government bonds, municipal bonds, treasury securities, and cash. It also invests in short term and intermediate term bonds, investment grade and high yield bonds, taxable and tax-free bonds, senior secured loans, and structured securities such as asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, and commercial mortgage-backed securities. The firm employs absolute return, global macro, and long/short strategies. It employs quantitative analysis to make its investments. The firm was formerly known as Invesco Plc, AMVESCAP plc, Amvesco plc, Invesco PLC, Invesco MIM, and H. Lotery & Co. Ltd. Invesco Ltd. was founded in December 1935 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia with an additional office in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvesco primarily generates revenue through investment management fees, which are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM). The company earns these fees by managing client investments in various products, including mutual funds and ETFs. Additionally, Invesco generates performance fees when the investment returns exceed certain benchmarks or targets. Another significant revenue stream comes from advisory and administrative services provided to institutional clients. The firm also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial advisors and institutions that distribute its investment products, enhancing its market reach and client acquisition. Overall, the company's earnings are closely tied to the performance of the financial markets and the levels of AUM, which can fluctuate based on market conditions and investor sentiment.

Invesco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
AUM by Investment Approach
AUM by Investment Approach
Breaks down assets under management by investment strategy, indicating where Invesco is focusing its expertise and attracting investor interest.
Chart InsightsInvesco's passive investment approach is showing robust growth, outpacing active strategies, with a notable surge in assets under management. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting strong ETF and index performance, contributing significantly to net inflows. However, challenges in fundamental equities and private markets persist, potentially impacting future growth. The strategic partnership with MassMutual and Barings, along with operational efficiency improvements, positions Invesco well for continued expansion, despite regulatory headwinds in China.
Data provided by:The Fly

Invesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Invesco reported strong financial performance with record AUM and significant inflows across diverse asset classes and regions. The expansion of ETF offerings and progress in private markets were notable successes. However, challenges in fundamental equities and the slow progress in restructuring the QQQ ETF were significant concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM and Strong Inflows
Invesco reached a record AUM of $2.1 trillion with net long-term inflows of nearly $29 billion, marking an 8% annualized organic growth. This was the best flow quarter since 2021.
Successful ETF and Index Expansion
Invesco's ETF and index offerings reached $1 trillion in AUM. The company launched several new ETFs, including active ETFs, contributing to a 15% annualized organic growth in this segment.
Progress in Private Markets
Private credit and direct real estate drove $600 million in net inflows. Invesco launched 3 new CLOs and expanded partnerships with Barings to accelerate growth in private markets.
Strong Performance in China JV
Invesco's China JV reached a record high AUM of $122 billion, reflecting a 16% increase over the last quarter. The JV delivered $8.1 billion in net long-term inflows.
Deleveraging and Capital Management
Invesco repaid $260 million of a bank term loan, with plans to repay the remaining $240 million by the end of the month, capturing 60% of the expected EPS run rate benefit.
Negative Updates
Fundamental Equities Outflows
Overall net outflows in fundamental equities totaled $5 billion, with significant redemptions from the developing markets fund due to a strategic repositioning.
Non-Cash Impairment Charge
A non-cash impairment charge of $36 million was recorded due to the sale of Intelliflo, a cloud-based practice management software subsidiary.
Challenges in QQQ ETF Structure Change
The process of soliciting shareholder approval for modernizing the QQQ ETF structure has been slower than expected, requiring additional time to reach a quorum.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Invesco demonstrated significant progress across multiple strategic initiatives, yielding strong financial and operational outcomes. The firm achieved a record $2.1 trillion in assets under management (AUM), driven by $29 billion in net long-term inflows, marking an 8% annualized organic growth rate. This growth was broad-based, with 40% of long-term AUM sourced from clients outside the U.S., primarily in the EMEA and Asia Pacific regions. Invesco's ETF and index offerings reached a milestone of $1 trillion in AUM, with a 15% annualized organic growth rate, reflecting robust demand across various products. The firm also actively streamlined operations, including selling Intelliflo for $100 million and a majority stake in its Indian business, expecting $140-$150 million in proceeds. Balance sheet strength was enhanced by repaying $260 million of term loans, contributing to an improved leverage ratio of 0.63x. Adjusted operating income rose with a 34.2% margin, supported by well-managed expenses and operational leverage gains. These efforts underscore Invesco's commitment to enhancing shareholder returns and positioning itself for sustained growth in dynamic markets.

Invesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Invesco's financial statements indicate strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with a stable balance sheet and robust cash flows. However, historical volatility in margins and leverage ratios suggests the need for cautious financial management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Invesco's income statement shows a strong recovery in revenue with a TTM growth rate of 52.6%, indicating robust business performance. The gross profit margin is stable at around 33%, and the net profit margin has improved to 13.3% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, historical volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 in the TTM, indicating financial stability. Return on equity has improved slightly to 5.6%, but remains moderate. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong asset base. However, past fluctuations in leverage ratios highlight potential risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 10% in the TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.98, showcasing effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.28B6.07B5.72B6.05B6.89B6.15B
Gross Profit2.22B2.03B2.01B2.44B2.83B2.39B
EBITDA1.52B1.24B1.13B1.53B2.80B1.40B
Net Income1.05B774.80M-96.90M920.70M1.63B761.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.44B27.01B28.93B29.76B32.69B36.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52B1.50B1.93B1.43B2.15B1.71B
Total Debt1.62B7.55B9.04B8.56B9.71B9.12B
Total Liabilities13.65B11.34B13.02B12.91B16.01B21.48B
Stockholders Equity14.01B14.56B14.60B15.21B15.50B14.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.37B1.12B1.14B510.30M969.30M1.12B
Operating Cash Flow1.39B1.19B1.30B703.20M1.08B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-639.10M68.40M-244.30M-375.60M-847.90M-859.60M
Financing Cash Flow-898.10M-1.66B-585.40M-966.90M117.30M-285.90M

Invesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.00
Price Trends
50DMA
24.06
Positive
100DMA
22.93
Positive
200DMA
19.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
68.05
Neutral
STOCH
65.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.47, above the 50-day MA of 24.06, and above the 200-day MA of 19.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IVZ.

Invesco Risk Analysis

Invesco disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Invesco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Invesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.22B15.3429.38%1.18%9.33%33.17%
77
Outperform
$12.02B18.337.29%3.09%6.64%
76
Outperform
$3.58B12.9519.77%8.83%-12.92%
74
Outperform
$7.85B17.0415.95%0.01%1.08%8.24%
74
Outperform
$12.50B26.323.84%5.33%2.31%5.71%
73
Outperform
$7.11B13.5411.10%3.46%14.48%34.97%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVZ
Invesco
27.00
10.40
62.65%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
279.09
96.60
52.93%
AB
AllianceBernstein
39.31
5.21
15.28%
BEN
Franklin Resources
24.00
4.70
24.35%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
83.44
1.64
2.00%
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
46.02
5.07
12.38%

Invesco Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends
Invesco Announces $500 Million Share Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Invesco Ltd. entered into an agreement with Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company to repurchase $500 million of its 5.9% Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Series A Preference Shares at an 18% premium. The repurchase is expected to close by mid-December 2025, with MassMutual maintaining a significant stake in Invesco. The dividend for the fourth quarter of 2025 will be prorated and reflected in the first quarter 2026 dividend.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025