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Invesco (IVZ)
NYSE:IVZ

Invesco (IVZ) AI Stock Analysis

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IVZ

Invesco

(NYSE:IVZ)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(8.85% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid cash-flow durability and improved leverage, alongside a constructive technical trend. It is held back by inconsistent profitability (including a TTM net loss) and limited valuation clarity from a negative P/E, while the latest earnings-call excerpt is positive but lacks quantitative guidance; the share repurchase is a modest additional support.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Invesco’s TTM operating and free cash flow have strengthened and improved versus prior year, indicating durable internal funding for operations, dividends, and buybacks. Consistent cash conversion supports capital allocation flexibility and resilience through market cycles over coming months.
Improved leverage and balance sheet
A material reduction in reported leverage to near-zero on a substantial equity base increases financial flexibility. Lower debt reduces refinancing risk, supports strategic investments and capital returns, and materially improves the firm’s ability to withstand episodic market stress over the medium term.
Stable AUM and recurring inflows
Large, stable AUM with recurring long-term inflows indicates durable distribution and client relationships across products. Steady asset bases preserve management-fee revenue and provide a platform for cross-selling, reducing revenue volatility tied solely to short-term market swings.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent profitability
Earnings volatility and intermittent net losses weaken predictability of retained earnings and ROE, complicating capital planning. Persistent swings hinder sustained margin improvement and make it harder to rely on earnings to fund growth, dividends, or sizable buybacks over the next several quarters.
Limited quantitative disclosure
A qualitative-only earnings call with no explicit guidance or metrics reduces transparency for investors and limits accountability. Over time this can obscure operational weak spots, make forecasting harder, and weaken external confidence in management’s ability to deliver sustained improvements.
Fee pressure from low-cost competitors
Structural competition from large low-cost passive providers and pricing pressure compresses long-term fee pools for active managers. For Invesco, persistent fee erosion can shrink gross margin potential and requires offsetting scale gains or product differentiation to sustain revenue and profitability.

Invesco (IVZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Invesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInvesco Ltd. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to retail clients, institutional clients, high-net worth clients, public entities, corporations, unions, non-profit organizations, endowments, foundations, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also launches equity, fixed income, commodity, multi-asset, and balanced mutual funds for its clients. It launches equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and balanced exchange-traded funds. The firm also launches and manages private funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm also invests in alternative markets, such as commodities and currencies. For the equity portion of its portfolio, it invests in growth and value stocks of large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap companies. For the fixed income portion of its portfolio, the firm invests in convertibles, government bonds, municipal bonds, treasury securities, and cash. It also invests in short term and intermediate term bonds, investment grade and high yield bonds, taxable and tax-free bonds, senior secured loans, and structured securities such as asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, and commercial mortgage-backed securities. The firm employs absolute return, global macro, and long/short strategies. It employs quantitative analysis to make its investments. The firm was formerly known as Invesco Plc, AMVESCAP plc, Amvesco plc, Invesco PLC, Invesco MIM, and H. Lotery & Co. Ltd. Invesco Ltd. was founded in December 1935 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia with an additional office in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvesco primarily generates revenue through investment management fees, which are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM). The company earns these fees by managing client investments in various products, including mutual funds and ETFs. Additionally, Invesco generates performance fees when the investment returns exceed certain benchmarks or targets. Another significant revenue stream comes from advisory and administrative services provided to institutional clients. The firm also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial advisors and institutions that distribute its investment products, enhancing its market reach and client acquisition. Overall, the company's earnings are closely tied to the performance of the financial markets and the levels of AUM, which can fluctuate based on market conditions and investor sentiment.

Invesco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
AUM by Investment Approach
AUM by Investment Approach
Breaks down assets under management by investment strategy, indicating where Invesco is focusing its expertise and attracting investor interest.
Chart InsightsInvesco's AUM has shown robust growth, particularly in the Passive segment, which reached $1 trillion, reflecting a 15% annualized organic growth rate. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding ETF offerings, as highlighted in their latest earnings call. Despite challenges in fundamental equities, the overall increase in AUM, driven by strong inflows and strategic initiatives, underscores Invesco's resilience and adaptability in dynamic markets. The firm's efforts in deleveraging and capital management further enhance its financial stability, positioning it well for sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Invesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call excerpt is qualitatively positive: management highlights strategic milestones, client focus, business transformations, and positioning for accelerated profitable growth. However, the transcript provides no quantitative financial metrics, percentage changes, or explicit discussion of challenges or risks in the provided excerpt, limiting the ability to validate the positive statements with data.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Reported Strategic Milestones in 2025
Management stated that 2025 marked a year of significant milestones, highlighting progress across the organization including transformation efforts and value-unlocking initiatives. No specific numeric metrics or percentage changes were provided in the transcript.
Client Focus and Business Transformation
Executives emphasized a renewed focus on clients and that key aspects of the business have been transformed to better serve clients and drive future growth. The transcript references strategic priorities being accelerated to support these efforts.
Positioned for Accelerated Profitable Growth
Management communicated that the firm is positioned for continued 'accelerated profitable growth' in the global asset management market, indicating confidence in future performance and strategic direction. The statement is qualitative—no financial figures or growth rates were included in the excerpt.
Investor Communication and Disclosure Practices
The company reiterated availability of a press release and presentation on its Investor Relations website, and noted that the presentation includes forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures with disclosures and reconciliations, reflecting standard investor transparency practices.
Negative Updates
Absence of Quantitative Financial Metrics in Transcript
The provided transcript excerpt contains no financial metrics (revenue, net income, AUM, EPS) or percentage changes. The lack of quantitative detail in the excerpt limits assessment of underlying financial performance and trends.
No Specific Challenges, Risks, or Negative Trends Discussed
The discussion in the excerpt is entirely qualitative and positive; there is no mention of specific near-term challenges, market headwinds, margin pressures, or geographic/segment weaknesses. The omission of any lowlights or risk commentary may leave investors wanting more clarity on potential risks.
Company Guidance
The excerpt of the call does not include any explicit quantitative guidance (no revenue, EPS, AUM, growth rate, margin, expense-savings, capital-return or FY‑2026 targets); it only references forward-looking statements and non‑GAAP measures (see Slide 2 and the appendix for reconciliations) and highlights strategic priorities on Slide 3. Available metrics in the transcript are: Fiscal Year 2025, Fiscal Period 4, Transcript Date 2026-01-27, a one-hour call, and presenters Andrew Schlossberg (President & CEO) and Allison Dukes (CFO); the press release and presentation are posted on invesco.com.

Invesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving operating/free cash flow is a key positive, and leverage appears meaningfully improved in TTM. Offsetting this, profitability has been inconsistent with a return to a net loss in TTM, keeping overall financial quality in the middle range.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has been relatively steady with a modest rebound in 2024 (annual) and slight growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability, however, has been volatile: the company swung from losses in 2023 (annual) to solid profitability in 2024, then back to a net loss in TTM, despite still showing healthy gross profit and EBITDA margins. Overall, the income profile shows resilience in top-line and operating earnings capacity, but inconsistent bottom-line performance elevates risk.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Leverage improved meaningfully versus prior years: debt-to-equity moved from roughly 0.5–0.6 (2020–2024 annual) to 0.0 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), alongside a still-substantial equity base. Return on equity has been positive in most years (strong in 2021, modest in 2022–2024), but turned negative in 2023 and remains only moderate in TTM, reflecting earnings instability. Balance sheet strength appears improved on leverage, though returns are not consistently strong.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and improved versus 2024 (annual), with positive free cash flow growth in TTM. Free cash flow has consistently tracked net income reasonably well across years, indicating earnings are generally supported by cash generation. The main weakness is year-to-year volatility (notably weaker cash flow in 2022), but the recent trajectory is favorable.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.38B6.07B5.72B6.05B6.89B6.15B
Gross Profit2.75B2.03B2.01B2.44B2.83B2.39B
EBITDA1.38B1.24B1.13B1.53B2.80B1.40B
Net Income-281.70M774.80M-96.90M920.70M1.63B761.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.09B27.01B28.93B29.76B32.69B36.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B1.50B1.93B1.43B2.15B1.71B
Total Debt0.007.55B9.04B8.56B9.71B9.12B
Total Liabilities14.09B11.34B13.02B12.91B16.01B21.48B
Stockholders Equity12.23B14.56B14.60B15.21B15.50B14.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.51B1.12B1.14B510.30M969.30M1.12B
Operating Cash Flow1.53B1.19B1.30B703.20M1.08B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-974.40M68.40M-244.30M-375.60M-847.90M-859.60M
Financing Cash Flow-149.50M-1.66B-585.40M-966.90M117.30M-285.90M

Invesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price27.56
Price Trends
50DMA
26.44
Positive
100DMA
24.66
Positive
200DMA
20.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
49.03
Neutral
STOCH
33.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 27.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.14, above the 50-day MA of 26.44, and above the 200-day MA of 20.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IVZ.

Invesco Risk Analysis

Invesco disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Invesco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Invesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.18B14.1511.10%3.34%14.48%34.97%
76
Outperform
$10.36B15.5629.38%1.18%9.33%33.17%
74
Outperform
$8.65B18.7815.95%0.01%1.08%8.24%
74
Outperform
$13.30B27.973.84%5.33%2.31%5.71%
73
Outperform
$3.85B13.9419.77%8.93%-12.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$12.09B-17.04-2.10%3.08%6.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVZ
Invesco
27.56
9.16
49.78%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
313.58
123.91
65.33%
AB
AllianceBernstein
42.57
6.12
16.79%
BEN
Franklin Resources
25.66
6.64
34.94%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
86.10
1.09
1.28%
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
48.05
6.03
14.35%

Invesco Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends
Invesco Announces $500 Million Share Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Invesco Ltd. entered into an agreement with Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company to repurchase $500 million of its 5.9% Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Series A Preference Shares at an 18% premium. The repurchase is expected to close by mid-December 2025, with MassMutual maintaining a significant stake in Invesco. The dividend for the fourth quarter of 2025 will be prorated and reflected in the first quarter 2026 dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (IVZ) stock is a Buy with a $33.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invesco stock, see the IVZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026