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Cboe Global Markets Inc (CBOE)
BATS:CBOE
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Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) AI Stock Analysis

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CBOE

Cboe Global Markets

(BATS:CBOE)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$255.00
â–²(9.64% Upside)
Cboe Global Markets' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation metrics slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantages
The key competitive advantages of index options and the expansion into additional client channels should attract more volume over time.
Global Expansion
Data Vantage revenues accelerated as international expansion efforts continue to gain traction.
Revenue Growth
Cboe reported another strong quarter with revenue at a record level, driven by strength in its derivatives franchise, which is a key beneficiary of volatility.
Negative Factors
EPS Growth Concerns
Once conditions normalize, slowing derivatives momentum is expected to reassert itself, which should weigh on EPS growth.
Valuation Concerns
The valuation setup for CBOE is less attractive as it is 15% more expensive on a relative basis compared to diversified financials.
Volume Decline
A significant sequential decline in exchange volumes is expected in the second half, with a forecasted -6% half-over-half growth.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cboe Global Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCboe Global Markets (CBOE) is a leading global exchange operator that provides trading, data, and technology services across various asset classes, including equities, options, and futures. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, CBOE operates several exchanges, notably the Cboe Options Exchange and the Cboe Futures Exchange, and is renowned for its innovative products such as index options, volatility products, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The company plays a critical role in enhancing market efficiency and liquidity, catering to a diverse clientele including retail investors, institutional traders, and market makers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCboe Global Markets generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from transaction fees, which are charged for the execution of trades on its exchanges. Additionally, the company earns revenue from the sale of market data and technology solutions, providing vital information and tools to traders and institutions. CBOE also benefits from listing fees for new products and securities on its exchanges. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms enhance its offerings and capabilities, contributing to its earnings. Moreover, revenue from proprietary products, such as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), further bolsters its financial performance.

Cboe Global Markets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong financial performance and growth across multiple segments, particularly in derivatives and data. However, the closure of the Japan equities business and the decline in futures segment revenue were noted challenges. Overall, the positive growth metrics and strategic initiatives outweighed the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Cboe grew net revenue 14% year-over-year to a record $587 million, driven by robust volumes in derivatives, cash, and spot markets, as well as strong new sales growth in the Cboe Data Vantage business.
Derivatives Franchise Performance
The Derivatives franchise delivered a record quarter with organic net revenue increasing 17% year-over-year. SPX options volumes jumped 21% year-over-year and SPX 0DTE volumes rebounded to new highs.
Cash and Spot Markets Growth
Second quarter net revenue was up 11%, with the Europe and Asia Pacific segment achieving a 30% increase driven by strong industry volumes and market share gains in Europe.
Cboe Data Vantage Success
Net revenue for Data Vantage improved by 11% year-over-year, with 45% of new data sales occurring internationally. The segment continues to leverage new technologies and expand global access.
Strong Financial Health
Cboe posted a 14% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $2.46, with adjusted operating EBITDA margin expanding by 2.3 percentage points to 65.8%.
Negative Updates
Closure of Japan Equities Business
Cboe announced the closure of its Japan equities business, reflecting a strategic reallocation of resources to higher potential return activities. This decision will result in a pretax charge of approximately $5 million.
Futures Segment Decline
Futures net revenue decreased 14% from the second quarter of 2024, primarily due to lower volumes.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter earnings call for Cboe Global Markets, several key metrics were highlighted. Cboe posted a 14% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching a record $587 million, and a 14% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $2.46. The Derivatives franchise delivered a record quarter with a 17% rise in organic net revenue, notably with SPX options volumes increasing 21% year-over-year. The Data Vantage business also saw a net revenue increase of 11%. Moreover, Cboe's adjusted operating EBITDA grew 19%, with the margin expanding by 2.3 percentage points to 65.8%. The company revised its 2025 guidance, lowering the full year expense guidance range to $832 million to $847 million, and raised its full-year total organic net revenue growth guidance to high single digits. Additionally, the company plans a strategic exit from its Japan equities business, expecting a pretax charge of approximately $5 million in Q3 2025.

Cboe Global Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cboe Global Markets demonstrates strong financial health across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow. Strong revenue growth and efficient operations support profitability. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage and strong equity. Cash flow generation is robust, underscoring financial stability and ability to fund operations and investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cboe Global Markets shows strong income performance with a robust Gross Profit Margin of 67.7% and a solid Net Profit Margin of 19.8% for TTM. Revenue has grown steadily, with a growth rate of 10.7% in the most recent period, indicating a positive trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 28.7% and 31.5% respectively, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a healthy Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.34, indicating manageable leverage. Return on Equity stands at 19.3%, showing effective capital utilization. The Equity Ratio is 51.6%, indicating a strong equity base supporting its assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cboe's cash flow performance is strong, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 74.1%, and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.01, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.09, reflecting efficient cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.53B4.09B3.77B3.96B3.49B3.43B
Gross Profit2.52B1.61B1.92B1.74B1.19B1.03B
EBITDA1.46B1.27B1.27B1.14B988.90M865.90M
Net Income898.40M764.90M761.40M235.00M529.00M468.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.05B7.79B7.49B7.00B6.81B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.03B600.70M524.40M379.00M337.80M
Total Debt1.60B1.60B1.61B1.87B1.43B1.34B
Total Liabilities4.38B3.51B3.50B3.53B3.21B3.17B
Stockholders Equity4.67B4.28B3.98B3.47B3.60B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.81B1.04B1.03B591.30M545.80M1.41B
Operating Cash Flow1.88B1.10B1.08B651.10M596.80M1.46B
Investing Cash Flow-228.00M-141.80M-55.10M-835.10M-352.70M-430.50M
Financing Cash Flow-367.10M-495.00M-656.10M81.70M-200.30M-201.70M

Cboe Global Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price232.58
Price Trends
50DMA
239.76
Negative
100DMA
231.12
Positive
200DMA
218.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.22
Positive
RSI
39.42
Neutral
STOCH
18.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBOE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 232.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 242.73, below the 50-day MA of 239.76, and above the 200-day MA of 218.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CBOE.

Cboe Global Markets Risk Analysis

Cboe Global Markets disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cboe Global Markets reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cboe Global Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$99.90B33.5010.89%1.07%11.44%29.10%
78
Outperform
$54.11B36.0313.28%1.06%23.55%49.91%
77
Outperform
$96.38B25.8813.62%4.05%11.15%13.98%
76
Outperform
$164.94B41.4511.76%0.70%10.72%23.30%
70
Outperform
$24.49B27.4520.64%1.12%18.99%17.97%
70
Outperform
$43.11B36.91-117.99%1.26%10.48%0.98%
68
Neutral
$18.06B11.9710.24%3.74%9.75%1.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
232.58
23.71
11.35%
CME
CME Group
261.94
51.73
24.61%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
174.27
14.37
8.99%
SPGI
S&P Global
538.06
25.91
5.06%
MSCI
MSCI
555.15
3.53
0.64%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
93.48
22.74
32.15%

Cboe Global Markets Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cboe Global Markets Approves Equity Incentive Increases
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Cboe Global Markets‘ Board approved increases in equity incentive awards for Chris Isaacson and Patrick Sexton due to their expanded global leadership roles. Isaacson’s target equity award was set at $2,625,000 and Sexton’s at $1,310,000, with both receiving special awards to be granted on July 15, 2025, split between restricted stock units and performance share units. These awards are contingent on meeting specific performance goals and continued employment, reflecting the company’s strategy to align leadership incentives with long-term performance objectives.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cboe Global Markets Amends Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Cboe Global Markets, Inc. entered into an Amendment and Restatement Agreement with Cboe Clear Europe N.V. and other financial institutions to amend and extend the existing credit facility agreement. The agreement extends the term until June 26, 2026, maintains the aggregate commitment at Euro 1.2 billion, with an increase to Euro 1.7 billion after the accordion feature, and updates provisions to comply with current laws and regulations. This move ensures continued financial flexibility and stability for Cboe Global Markets, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relationships positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025