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Cboe Global Markets Inc (CBOE)
BATS:CBOE

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) AI Stock Analysis

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Cboe Global Markets

(BATS:CBOE)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
Cboe Global Markets receives a strong overall score, driven by its solid financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes. The company's strategic initiatives in derivatives and global expansion offer promising growth prospects. While technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, the strong financial foundation and effective cash flow management provide stability. The CEO transition is seen as a positive development, with experienced leadership poised to sustain growth.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantages
The key competitive advantages of index options and the expansion into additional client channels should attract more volume over time.
Revenue Growth
Cboe's derivatives revenue growth was in the midteens, driven by record volumes in proprietary index and multi-listed options.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
The valuation setup for CBOE is less attractive as it is 15% more expensive on a relative basis compared to diversified financials.
Volume Decline Forecast
A significant sequential decline in exchange volumes is expected in the second half, with a forecasted -6% half-over-half growth.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cboe Global Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCboe Global Markets, Inc. is a leading provider of market infrastructure and tradable products, delivering cutting-edge trading, clearing, and investment solutions to market participants around the world. The company operates across various sectors including equities, derivatives, and foreign exchange, and is renowned for its innovative products such as options and futures trading on its exchanges. Cboe's core services include operating regulated securities and derivatives exchanges, offering trading technology solutions, and providing market data services.
How the Company Makes MoneyCboe Global Markets makes money primarily through transaction fees collected from trades executed on its platforms. This includes fees from options, futures, and equities trading. The company also generates revenue from access and capacity fees, which are charged to market participants for connectivity and market data subscriptions to its trading systems. Additionally, Cboe earns revenue from market data sales and licensing its proprietary indices and analytics. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions, such as those with technology firms and other exchanges, further enhance its service offerings and contribute to its revenue streams.

Cboe Global Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cboe Global Markets exhibits strong financial health across all key metrics. The company is experiencing steady revenue and profit growth, supported by strong margins and efficient operational performance. Its balance sheet is solid, with a healthy equity position and manageable leverage. Cash flow generation is robust, ensuring liquidity and financial flexibility. While liabilities warrant monitoring, Cboe's financials present a positive trajectory and stability in the financial sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cboe Global Markets demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 5.8% increase in TTM compared to the previous annual period. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a gross profit margin of 56.3% and a net profit margin of 18.6% for TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 28.9% and 31.8% respectively, indicating efficient operational management. The consistent revenue growth trajectory reflects positively on Cboe's market position and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cboe's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 51.4%, highlighting a strong equity foundation. Return on equity is a healthy 18.1%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder capital. However, the relatively high total liabilities warrant monitoring, though they are well-covered by assets and equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cboe's cash flow is strong, with significant growth in free cash flow, up 71.2% in the latest TTM period compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.3, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Similarly, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.2, reflecting efficient cash utilization. Overall, Cboe demonstrates excellent cash flow management, providing a cushion for future investments and obligations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.33B4.09B3.77B3.96B3.49B3.43B
Gross Profit
2.44B1.61B1.92B1.74B1.19B1.03B
EBIT
1.25B1.10B1.06B970.10M805.90M662.20M
EBITDA
1.40B1.27B1.27B1.14B988.90M865.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
804.90M764.90M761.40M235.00M529.00M468.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.15B1.03B600.70M524.40M379.00M337.80M
Total Assets
8.67B7.79B7.49B7.00B6.81B6.52B
Total Debt
1.60B1.60B1.61B1.87B1.43B1.34B
Net Debt
556.40M679.00M1.07B1.44B1.09B1.09B
Total Liabilities
4.22B3.51B3.50B3.53B3.21B3.17B
Stockholders Equity
4.45B4.28B3.98B3.47B3.60B3.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.78B1.04B1.03B591.30M545.80M1.41B
Operating Cash Flow
1.85B1.10B1.08B651.10M596.80M1.46B
Investing Cash Flow
-148.20M-141.80M-55.10M-835.10M-352.70M-430.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-440.90M-495.00M-656.10M81.70M-200.30M-201.70M

Cboe Global Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price231.58
Price Trends
50DMA
219.61
Positive
100DMA
211.77
Positive
200DMA
208.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.58
Negative
RSI
60.87
Neutral
STOCH
90.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBOE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 231.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 224.58, above the 50-day MA of 219.61, and above the 200-day MA of 208.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBOE.

Cboe Global Markets Risk Analysis

Cboe Global Markets disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cboe Global Markets reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our decision to wind down the Cboe Digital spot crypto market may negatively impact our digital asset business. Q4, 2024
2.
A limited number of customers comprise a material portion of our revenues, and the loss of key customers or a significant reduction in trading or clearing volumes by key customers could adversely affect our operating results. Q4, 2024

Cboe Global Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCME
79
Outperform
$102.37B28.5613.40%3.70%11.72%13.31%
ICICE
79
Outperform
$101.03B36.4710.27%1.04%13.25%10.82%
78
Outperform
$24.25B30.3618.93%1.05%15.76%1.97%
77
Outperform
$46.95B37.0811.43%1.17%25.89%16.37%
76
Outperform
$156.42B40.0411.68%0.72%12.98%42.72%
71
Outperform
$43.23B38.42-117.99%1.18%11.67%-0.89%
64
Neutral
$12.64B9.787.67%17015.08%12.23%-6.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
231.58
54.89
31.07%
CME
CME Group
284.07
84.79
42.55%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
176.12
44.01
33.31%
SPGI
S&P Global
510.02
82.23
19.22%
MSCI
MSCI
558.67
68.77
14.04%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
81.78
22.40
37.72%

Cboe Global Markets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong financial performance for Cboe with record-breaking revenue and profit, driven by robust growth in derivatives and DataVantage segments. There were strategic expansions in Asia Pacific and continued focus on global sales efforts and product innovation. However, there were challenges in North American equities and some variability in retail engagement. Overall, the sentiment reflects a positive outlook for Cboe's future growth, supported by a strong balance sheet and strategic initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Profit
Cboe reported a 13% increase in net revenue year over year to a record $565 million and a 16% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share to a record $2.50.
Strong Derivatives Business Performance
The derivatives business delivered a record quarter with organic net revenue increasing 16% year over year. SPX options volumes increased 13% year over year while VIX options volumes jumped 33%.
DataVantage and Global Expansion
DataVantage business saw an 8% increase in organic net revenue year over year. Cboe expanded client onboarding in Asia Pacific, including new clients in Korea and Taiwan.
Cash and Spot Markets Growth
Cash and spot markets' organic net revenue increased 10%, driven by healthy trading volumes and growth across regional equities.
Future Growth Opportunities
Cboe is focused on expanding its global sales efforts and product innovation, with significant opportunities identified in the Asia Pacific region.
Negative Updates
Challenges in North American Equities
North American equities net revenue increased only 2% year over year, with a 9% decline in net transaction and clearing fees.
Retail Engagement Variability
Retail investors showed disciplined behavior, but their participation during volatility spikes was lower compared to institutional investors.
Company Guidance
During the Cboe Global Markets First Quarter Earnings Call, guidance for 2025 was provided, highlighting an increase in the full-year total organic net revenue growth guidance to mid to high single digits from mid-single digits, reflecting a strong start to the year. The company reaffirmed its DataVantage organic net revenue growth range of mid to high single digits and maintained its full-year adjusted expense guidance range of $837 million to $852 million. Capital expenditures are expected to remain between $75 million and $85 million, with depreciation and amortization projected to be in the $55 million to $59 million range. The effective tax rate on adjusted earnings is anticipated to be between 28.5% and 30.5% for the full year, while interest expense net of interest income is projected at $2 million to $3 million for the second quarter. The company emphasized disciplined expense management, maintaining a strong operating efficiency, and leveraging a flexible balance sheet to produce durable returns for shareholders.

Cboe Global Markets Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cboe Global Markets Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Cboe Global Markets held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. The stockholders approved the Third Amended and Restated Long-Term Incentive Plan, elected a new Board of Directors, ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved a stockholder proposal on political spending. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and operational strategies moving forward.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cboe Global Markets Announces CEO Transition
Positive
May 1, 2025

Cboe Global Markets announced the retirement of CEO Fredric J. Tomczyk, effective May 7, 2025, with Craig Donohue appointed as his successor. Donohue, a seasoned executive with extensive experience in global financial markets, is expected to drive forward Cboe’s strategic initiatives and enhance its market leadership, ensuring a smooth transition and continued growth for the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.