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Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)
BATS:CBOE

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) AI Stock Analysis

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CBOE

Cboe Global Markets

(BATS:CBOE)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$311.00
▲(17.13% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (profitability and balance sheet strength) and a constructive earnings outlook with raised growth guidance. These positives are moderated by weakening free cash flow growth, technically overbought conditions, and a relatively expensive valuation with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Cboe’s low leverage and strong ROE reflect a conservative capital structure that preserves financial flexibility. Over the medium term this supports investment in product development, selective M&A, and resilience through market cycles, enabling steady capital returns and risk management.
Record revenue and margins
Record revenue and EPS, coupled with a TTM gross margin of ~69.5% and net margin ~21.3%, indicate durable demand and operating leverage across core franchises. Strong margins support reinvestment in tech and data products and provide a buffer against cyclical trading volumes.
Data Vantage growth
High single-digit to low-double-digit growth in Data Vantage driven mainly by new sales signals durable, recurring revenue expansion. This diversifies the fee mix away from transaction sensitivity and enhances long-term margin stability from higher-value data/licensing products.
Negative Factors
Weakening cash flow growth
A sharp 66% decline in FCF growth and modest OCF-to-net-income conversion reduce capacity to fund capex, buybacks, or acquisitions from operations. If cash conversion remains impaired, the company may face tougher choices on capital allocation or increased reliance on balance-sheet measures.
Futures segment weakness
A 22% drop in futures net revenue highlights structural sensitivity to volume declines in a key derivatives product. Persistent futures weakness would increase revenue cyclicality, reduce diversification benefits from derivatives, and pressure long-term top-line stability.
Strategic realignment execution risk
Divestitures and wind-downs aim to focus the core business but are expected to reduce net revenue (~3%) and require execution of sales and wind-down plans. These moves concentrate operations, risk integration or disposal setbacks, and could temporarily disrupt revenue and client relationships.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cboe Global Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCboe Global Markets, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an options exchange worldwide. It operates through five segments: Options, North American Equities, Futures, Europe and Asia Pacific, and Global FX. The Options segment trades in listed market indices. The North American Equities segment trades in listed U.S. and Canadian equities. This segment also offers exchange-traded products (ETP) transaction and ETP listing services. The Futures segment trades in futures. The Europe and Asia Pacific segment offers pan-European listed equities and derivatives transaction services, ETPs, exchange-traded commodities, and international depository receipts, as well as ETP listings and clearing services. The Global FX segment provides institutional foreign exchange (FX) trading and non-deliverable forward FX transactions services. The company has strategic relationships with S&P Dow Jones Indices, LLC; FTSE International Limited; Frank Russell Company; MSCI Inc.; and DJI Opco, LLC. The company was formerly known as CBOE Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Cboe Global Markets, Inc. in October 2017. Cboe Global Markets, Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCboe Global Markets generates revenue primarily through transaction fees, which are charged for trades executed on its exchanges. These fees are collected from market participants, including retail and institutional investors, as well as market makers. Additionally, CBOE earns revenue from the listing and trading of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and through market data services, which provide valuable trading information to clients. The company also engages in licensing agreements for its proprietary indexes, such as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), which contributes to its revenue stream. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms further enhance CBOE's product offerings and market reach, ultimately supporting its earnings growth.

Cboe Global Markets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a robust financial performance with record revenue and EPS, driven by strong growth in the Derivatives and Data Vantage segments. However, there are challenges such as a decline in Futures net revenue and strategic divestitures. The overall sentiment reflects a positive outlook with strategic focus on growth opportunities despite some operational changes.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue and EPS
Cboe achieved record net revenue of $605.5 million, a 14% increase year-over-year, and a record adjusted diluted EPS of $2.67, a 20% increase.
Strong Derivatives Market Performance
The Derivatives segment delivered a record quarter with net revenue increasing 15% year-over-year. SPX options complex set new records, with SPX 0DTE average daily volume surging 62% year-over-year.
Cash and Spot Markets Growth
Net revenue in Cash and Spot Markets was up 14%, driven by strong performance in European cash equities and a 24% increase in net revenue from Europe and APAC.
Data Vantage Segment Growth
Net revenue increased by 12% year-over-year, with 90% of growth driven by new unit and new sales. The business has shown robust performance with high demand for U.S. proprietary market data.
Negative Updates
Futures Net Revenue Decline
Futures net revenue decreased 22% from the third quarter of 2024 due to lower volumes.
Strategic Realignment and Business Divestitures
Cboe announced the initiation of a sales process for Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada, and a wind-down of U.S. and European Corporate Listings efforts, which indicates a shift away from these areas.
Company Guidance
During the Cboe Global Markets Third Quarter Earnings Call, detailed guidance for the fiscal year 2025 was provided. The company reported a 14% increase in net revenue year-over-year to a record $605.5 million, with adjusted diluted EPS rising by 20% to $2.67. The Derivatives Markets, Cash and Spot Markets, and Data Vantage categories all posted double-digit net revenue growth. Cboe announced strategic realignments, including the initiation of a sales process for its Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada businesses and the discontinuation of U.S. and European Corporate Listings efforts. These changes are expected to be accretive to earnings, with a projected 3% reduction in net revenue and an 8% to 10% reduction in adjusted operating expenses based on 2025 guided ranges. The company increased its full-year organic net revenue growth guidance to low double digits to mid-teens and raised its Data Vantage growth outlook to high single-digit to low double-digit. The call also highlighted a strong balance sheet with an adjusted cash position of $1.5 billion and a leverage ratio of 1.0x. Cboe plans to leverage its core strengths and emerging market trends, focusing on growth areas such as retail-oriented digital and crypto products, prediction markets, and optimizing its core businesses.

Cboe Global Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are solid: strong income statement (85) with healthy margins and profitability, a robust balance sheet (78) with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.32) and strong ROE (21.5%). The main drag is cash flow quality (70), including a sharp decline in free cash flow growth (-66% TTM) and only moderate operating cash flow to net income (0.32).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cboe Global Markets has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 1.9% and consistent profitability. The gross profit margin has improved significantly to 69.5% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is healthy at 21.3%, showing effective conversion of revenue into profit. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 21.5%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 53.9%, showcasing a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cboe's cash flow performance shows mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.32, indicating room for improvement in cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 89.2%, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined significantly by 66% in the TTM, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.62B4.09B3.77B3.96B3.49B3.43B
Gross Profit2.28B2.07B1.92B1.74B1.48B1.25B
EBITDA1.57B1.27B1.27B659.70M971.50M857.60M
Net Income983.00M764.90M761.40M235.00M529.00M468.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.07B7.79B7.49B7.00B6.81B6.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.53B1.03B600.70M524.40M379.00M337.80M
Total Debt1.59B1.60B1.61B1.87B1.43B1.34B
Total Liabilities4.18B3.51B3.50B3.53B3.21B3.17B
Stockholders Equity4.88B4.28B3.98B3.47B3.60B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B963.70M748.00M808.80M545.80M1.41B
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.02B793.00M868.60M596.80M1.46B
Investing Cash Flow-95.90M-141.80M-55.10M-835.10M-352.70M-430.50M
Financing Cash Flow-364.80M-495.00M-656.10M81.70M-200.30M-201.70M

Cboe Global Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price265.52
Price Trends
50DMA
257.88
Positive
100DMA
249.61
Positive
200DMA
240.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.97
Positive
RSI
52.87
Neutral
STOCH
15.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBOE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 265.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 264.43, above the 50-day MA of 257.88, and above the 200-day MA of 240.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBOE.

Cboe Global Markets Risk Analysis

Cboe Global Markets disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cboe Global Markets reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cboe Global Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$98.32B31.3911.32%1.19%8.96%30.16%
76
Outperform
$46.20B39.191.24%9.02%3.45%
75
Outperform
$27.69B28.4121.51%1.06%16.74%26.74%
74
Outperform
$103.15B27.7313.35%3.92%5.84%8.51%
74
Outperform
$56.36B31.9415.28%1.07%16.41%68.03%
73
Outperform
$159.91B38.3912.57%0.73%9.04%21.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
265.52
63.56
31.47%
CME
CME Group
289.83
57.73
24.87%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
175.10
17.06
10.80%
SPGI
S&P Global
528.63
11.05
2.13%
MSCI
MSCI
608.24
18.95
3.22%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
98.09
16.75
20.59%

Cboe Global Markets Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cboe Global Markets Announces Major Leadership Reshuffle
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Cboe Global Markets announced a sweeping leadership reshuffle that will see long-serving Chief Operating Officer Chris Isaacson retire from his role effective March 6, 2026, after which he will remain with the company as an advisor and consultant through the end of 2026 under a retirement and consulting agreement governing his compensation and equity treatment. Scott Johnston, a veteran operations executive with more than four decades of experience at firms including Akuna Capital, Hudson River Trading, Citadel, Tower Research Capital, CME Group and UBS, will join Cboe on February 17, 2026 and is expected to assume the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer on March 7, 2026, with a pay package comprising a $550,000 base salary, annual incentives, a long-term equity grant and sign-on awards. Alongside the COO succession, Cboe named Heidi Fischer as Executive Vice President, Global Head of Equities and Spot Markets to oversee its global cash equities and spot businesses, promoted Alex Dalley to lead European Equities (subject to regulatory approval), expanded Jon Weinberg’s remit to head global FX and off-exchange trading, and introduced a regional office leadership model across Kansas City, New York, London and Amsterdam—moves that collectively tighten the firm’s operational focus, deepen specialist leadership in key asset classes and support its globalization strategy at a time of intensifying competition in exchange and off-exchange market infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBOE) stock is a Buy with a $304.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cboe Global Markets stock, see the CBOE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026