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S&P Global (SPGI)
NYSE:SPGI

S&P Global (SPGI) AI Stock Analysis

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SPGI

S&P Global

(NYSE:SPGI)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$543.00
▲(6.35% Upside)
S&P Global's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on innovation and shareholder returns supports a positive outlook, but market challenges in specific segments pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
S&P Global's consistent revenue growth across its segments underscores its strong market position and ability to capture demand in financial services.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow management ensures financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term growth.
AI and Product Innovation
Investments in AI and strategic partnerships enhance product offerings, positioning S&P Global as a leader in innovative financial solutions.
Negative Factors
Commodity Insights Challenges
Sanctions and market consolidation in the energy sector pose risks to the Commodity Insights segment, potentially impacting future revenue.
Regulatory Uncertainty in Mobility
Regulatory and tariff uncertainties in the automotive sector may hinder growth in the Mobility division, affecting overall revenue stability.
Sanctions Impact
Sanctions create financial headwinds for S&P Global, particularly impacting the Commodity Insights segment, challenging profitability.

S&P Global (SPGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

S&P Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionS&P Global (SPGI) is a leading provider of financial market intelligence, analytics, and data-driven insights, serving a diverse range of sectors including finance, energy, and commodities. The company operates through four main segments: Ratings, Market Intelligence, Platts, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. S&P Global Ratings assesses the creditworthiness of entities and securities, while Market Intelligence offers data and analytics for investment and financial decision-making. Platts provides information and benchmarks for the commodities markets, and S&P Dow Jones Indices is known for its indices, including the widely recognized S&P 500.
How the Company Makes MoneyS&P Global generates revenue through several key streams. The Ratings segment earns fees from issuers of debt securities and other financial instruments for credit ratings and related services. Market Intelligence derives revenue from subscriptions to its data and analytics platforms, which cater to financial professionals and institutions seeking insights and risk assessment tools. Platts generates revenue from providing price assessments and market intelligence for energy and commodities, often through subscriptions and data services. The S&P Dow Jones Indices segment earns licensing fees from investment products tied to its indices, as well as revenue from data products. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and corporations enhance S&P Global's offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

S&P Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Indicates the stability and predictability of income, showcasing the strength of subscription-based or repeat business models.
Chart InsightsS&P Global's recurring revenue remains robust, particularly in the Global Market Intelligence segment, which shows consistent high percentages. The latest earnings call highlights strong revenue growth and margin expansion, driven by AI initiatives and indices performance. However, challenges such as a decline in Billed Issuance and sanctions affecting Commodity Insights could pose risks. The company's strategic focus on AI and data innovations is expected to sustain growth, with anticipated revenue increases and margin improvements throughout the year.
Data provided by:The Fly

S&P Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with record revenue, profit, and EPS, driven by growth in Ratings, Indices, and Market Intelligence. Significant shareholder returns and strategic investments in AI and partnerships were highlighted. However, challenges in Commodity Insights and the Mobility division due to sanctions and regulatory uncertainty were noted. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
S&P Global delivered record revenue, operating profit, and EPS in Q3 2025. Revenue increased 9% year-over-year, with subscription revenue rising 6%. Adjusted EPS increased by 22%.
Significant Shareholder Returns
Nearly $1.5 billion was returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks since the last earnings call. An additional $2.5 billion share repurchase is planned for Q4 2025.
Ratings and Indices Growth
Double-digit revenue growth was reported in Ratings and Indices businesses, showcasing the value of S&P Global's franchises.
Strong Performance in Market Intelligence
Market Intelligence saw 8% organic constant currency revenue growth, the strongest in six quarters.
AI and Product Innovation
S&P Global announced advancements in AI, including AI-powered document search and new partnerships with Cambridge Associates and Mercer.
Successful Portfolio Optimization
The multiyear exercise of portfolio optimization within Market Intelligence is substantially complete, including the planned divestiture of Enterprise Data Management and thinkFolio.
Record Margins Achieved
The company delivered a 330 basis points year-on-year margin expansion to 52.1%.
Private Markets Revenue Acceleration
Private Markets revenue growth doubled from last quarter, accelerating to 22% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Commodity Insights
Revenue growth was tempered by incremental sanctions and customer consolidation in the energy space. Upstream Data & Insights revenue declined 2% year-over-year.
Sanctions Impact on Commodity Insights
Recent U.S. sanctions are expected to contribute a $6 million headwind in 2025 and a $20 million headwind in 2026 for Commodity Insights.
Regulatory and Tariff Uncertainty in Mobility
Manufacturing revenue declined 3% year-over-year due to tariffs and regulatory uncertainty affecting consulting revenues and discretionary spending at automotive OEMs.
Company Guidance
During S&P Global's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record financial performance with a 9% year-over-year revenue increase and a 22% rise in adjusted EPS. Subscription revenue grew by 6%, and the company achieved 180 basis points of margin expansion on a trailing 12-month basis. S&P Global returned nearly $1.5 billion to shareholders and announced a planned $2.5 billion share repurchase in Q4 to return about 85% of 2025 adjusted free cash flow. The company expects to fund the acquisition of With Intelligence through $1 billion in incremental debt and cash on hand. Additionally, the Ratings and Indices businesses saw double-digit revenue growth, reflecting the value of S&P Global's global franchises. The company also highlighted advancements in AI and strategic partnerships, including a planned acquisition of With Intelligence and collaborations with Cambridge Associates and Mercer. Overall, S&P Global raised its revenue guidance and adjusted EPS outlook, citing strong execution and continued focus on innovation and strategic investments.

S&P Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
S&P Global exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, supporting long-term sustainability. The company is well-positioned for continued growth in the financial data and stock exchanges industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
S&P Global shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.13% and consistent annual growth. The gross profit margin remains robust at 51.55% TTM, although it has decreased from previous years. Net profit margin is healthy at 28.10% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is strong at 12.66% TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial foundation, though there is room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
S&P Global demonstrates impressive free cash flow growth of 92.4% TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.37, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting excellent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.01B14.21B12.50B11.18B8.30B7.44B
Gross Profit10.51B9.82B8.36B7.43B6.12B5.35B
EBITDA7.33B6.78B5.15B6.02B4.46B3.58B
Net Income4.13B3.85B2.63B3.25B3.02B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.75B60.22B60.59B61.78B15.03B12.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.69B1.32B1.30B6.51B4.12B
Total Debt11.87B11.93B12.00B11.65B4.70B4.75B
Total Liabilities22.05B22.71B22.49B22.04B9.49B9.19B
Stockholders Equity33.24B33.16B34.20B36.48B2.03B509.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.46B5.57B3.57B2.51B3.56B3.49B
Operating Cash Flow5.64B5.69B3.71B2.60B3.60B3.57B
Investing Cash Flow-225.00M-255.00M562.00M3.63B-120.00M-240.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.45B-5.00B-4.28B-11.33B-1.01B-2.17B

S&P Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price510.59
Price Trends
50DMA
490.68
Positive
100DMA
511.15
Negative
200DMA
506.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.63
Negative
RSI
63.51
Neutral
STOCH
82.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 510.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 495.70, above the 50-day MA of 490.68, and above the 200-day MA of 506.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPGI.

S&P Global Risk Analysis

S&P Global disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&P Global reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&P Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$91.26B29.1411.32%1.19%8.96%30.16%
78
Outperform
$53.06B33.1314.07%1.12%16.41%68.03%
77
Outperform
$87.95B39.6457.08%0.76%8.77%13.62%
74
Outperform
$98.43B26.4613.35%3.96%5.84%8.51%
73
Outperform
$151.36B36.3412.57%0.77%9.04%21.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$41.42B34.941.31%9.02%3.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPGI
S&P Global
510.59
27.60
5.71%
CME
CME Group
273.74
46.98
20.72%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
160.05
13.42
9.15%
MCO
Moody's
499.02
40.43
8.82%
MSCI
MSCI
551.23
-41.82
-7.05%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
92.93
16.49
21.57%

S&P Global Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
S&P Global Announces Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

S&P Global has announced a Senior Notes Offering, which is a significant financial maneuver for the company. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and could have implications for its stakeholders, although specific details on the impact were not provided.

Private Placements and Financing
S&P Global Announces $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, S&P Global Inc. announced the pricing of a private offering of $1 billion in senior notes, with $600 million due in 2031 and $400 million due in 2035. These notes, guaranteed by Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC, are intended to fund general corporate purposes, including potential acquisitions and debt refinancing, and are expected to close on December 4, 2025, subject to customary conditions.

Business Operations and Strategy
S&P Global Hosts Investor Day for Strategic Insights
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, S&P Global announced details about its investor day, which was scheduled to take place on the same day. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s strategic direction and operational plans, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Executive/Board Changes
S&P Global Appoints Robert Moritz as New Director
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 4, 2025, S&P Global‘s Board of Directors appointed Robert Moritz as a new Director, effective March 1, 2026, expanding the board from nine to ten members. Mr. Moritz will join the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee and Audit Committee, receiving standard compensation and participating in the company’s Director Deferred Stock Ownership and Compensation Plans.

Financial Disclosures
S&P Global Releases Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, S&P Global Inc. released its earnings report for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s operational results and financial condition. The report also included guidance for the remainder of 2025, offering insights into the company’s future expectations and potential impacts on its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025