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S&P Global (SPGI)
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S&P Global (SPGI) AI Stock Analysis

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SPGI

S&P Global

(NYSE:SPGI)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$632.00
â–²(12.03% Upside)
S&P Global's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly offset the positives. Overall, the company is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by strategic initiatives and robust financial health.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
S&P’s second-quarter results came in nicely ahead of expectations across every segment.
Revenue Growth
Full-year revenue growth guidance was raised primarily to reflect better-than-feared issuance in the quarter.
Negative Factors
Demand and Headwinds
There is a tempered outlook for Commodity Insights due to demand softness in the Consulting Services portion and expected modest headwinds in Price Assessments from incremental sanctions.
Market Uncertainty
Issuance improved in May, but remained muted as global economic uncertainty weighed on issuers.

S&P Global (SPGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

S&P Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionS&P Global (SPGI) is a leading provider of financial information and analytics, serving a diverse range of clients across various sectors including finance, investment, and corporate management. The company operates through four main segments: Ratings, Market Intelligence, Platts, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. S&P Global Ratings offers credit ratings and research, Market Intelligence provides data and analytics for financial markets, Platts focuses on energy and commodities information, and S&P Dow Jones Indices manages a wide array of market indices that are benchmarks for investment performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyS&P Global generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Ratings segment earns fees from issuing credit ratings to corporations, governments, and other entities, driven by the volume of ratings and ongoing surveillance fees. Market Intelligence derives income from subscriptions to its data and analytics services, which assist clients in making informed investment and business decisions. Platts generates revenue through its pricing services and market reports related to energy and commodities, which are essential for market participants. Lastly, S&P Dow Jones Indices earns licensing fees from investment funds and financial products that track its indices. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms, enhancing its data offerings and expanding its client base.

S&P Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Indicates the stability and predictability of income, showcasing the strength of subscription-based or repeat business models.
Chart InsightsS&P Global's recurring revenue remains robust, particularly in the Global Market Intelligence segment, which shows consistent high percentages. The latest earnings call highlights strong revenue growth and margin expansion, driven by AI initiatives and indices performance. However, challenges such as a decline in Billed Issuance and sanctions affecting Commodity Insights could pose risks. The company's strategic focus on AI and data innovations is expected to sustain growth, with anticipated revenue increases and margin improvements throughout the year.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

S&P Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and successful capital returns. Significant achievements in AI initiatives and indices performance were noted. However, there were challenges with Billed Issuance decline and sanctions impacting Commodity Insights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 6% year-over-year, with subscription revenue increasing 7%. Market Intelligence division saw an acceleration to 7% organic constant currency revenue growth.
Margin Expansion
The company delivered 150 basis points of trailing 12-month margin expansion.
Capital Returns
Nearly $950 million returned to shareholders in the second quarter through dividends and share repurchases.
Private Markets Growth
Private markets revenue saw solid growth in the second quarter, with private credit being a major driver.
AI and Data Innovations
Progress in AI and data distribution strategy with hyperscale partners and introduction of AI-powered tools like CreditCompanion and SPICE index builder.
Indices Performance
S&P Dow Jones Indices revenue increased 15%, driven by higher AUM and strength in Exchange-Traded Derivative revenue.
Negative Updates
Billed Issuance Decline
Billed Issuance declined 4% year-over-year in the second quarter, with bank loan Billed Issuance materially below the levels of the previous year.
Upstream Softness
Upstream Data & Insights revenue grew only 1% year-over-year, impacted by elevated cancellations due to customer consolidation in the energy space.
Sanctions Impact
Sanctions causing a 1 to 2 percentage point headwind in price assessments for Commodity Insights in the back half of the year.
Company Guidance
During the S&P Global's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. The company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in overall revenue, with subscription revenue rising by 7%. They achieved a 150 basis point expansion in trailing 12-month margins. S&P Global returned nearly $950 million to shareholders in the second quarter through dividends and share repurchases. The Market Intelligence division saw a 7% organic constant currency revenue growth and over 200 basis points of margin expansion. Private markets revenue also showed strong growth, with a particular emphasis on the Ratings business. The company continues to focus on artificial intelligence, having introduced new products and reached milestones with hyperscale partners to expand data distribution. For the remainder of the year, the company anticipates total revenue growth between 5% to 7%, expects adjusted margins of 48.5% to 49.5%, and projects adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $17 to $17.25, which represents a 10% growth year-over-year at the high end.

S&P Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
S&P Global demonstrates strong financial performance with high profitability and operational efficiency. The income statement shows robust margins, while the balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable debt levels. Despite a slight decline in cash flow growth, cash generation remains healthy.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
S&P Global's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 69.67% and a net profit margin of 27.30%, reflecting efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.42% for the TTM, but the company has shown steady growth over the past years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating a conservative leverage approach. The return on equity is healthy at 11.98% for the TTM, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 55.47%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.52% for the TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.93, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also solid at 0.97, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, cash flow remains healthy despite recent growth challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.70B14.21B12.50B11.18B8.30B7.44B
Gross Profit10.24B9.82B8.36B7.43B6.12B5.35B
EBITDA7.09B6.78B5.15B6.02B4.46B3.58B
Net Income4.01B3.85B2.63B3.25B3.02B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.40B60.22B60.59B61.78B15.03B12.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85B1.69B1.32B1.30B6.51B4.12B
Total Debt11.90B11.93B12.00B11.65B4.70B4.75B
Total Liabilities22.43B22.71B22.49B22.04B9.49B9.19B
Stockholders Equity33.50B33.16B34.20B36.48B2.03B509.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.41B5.57B3.57B2.51B3.56B3.49B
Operating Cash Flow5.58B5.69B3.71B2.60B3.60B3.57B
Investing Cash Flow-67.00M-255.00M562.00M3.63B-120.00M-240.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.75B-5.00B-4.28B-11.33B-1.01B-2.17B

S&P Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price564.15
Price Trends
50DMA
528.99
Positive
100DMA
511.64
Positive
200DMA
508.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.42
Negative
RSI
69.31
Neutral
STOCH
71.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 564.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 544.47, above the 50-day MA of 528.99, and above the 200-day MA of 508.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPGI.

S&P Global Risk Analysis

S&P Global disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&P Global reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&P Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$104.60B35.0810.89%1.03%11.44%29.10%
79
Outperform
$92.58B43.8655.18%0.70%11.47%16.14%
78
Outperform
$55.16B36.9413.28%1.04%23.55%49.91%
77
Outperform
$170.68B42.9711.76%0.66%10.72%23.30%
77
Outperform
$99.00B26.5913.62%3.86%11.15%13.98%
72
Outperform
$43.77B37.48-117.99%1.24%10.48%0.98%
68
Neutral
$17.51B11.6510.43%3.82%9.93%1.68%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPGI
S&P Global
564.15
76.81
15.76%
CME
CME Group
274.70
75.79
38.10%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
182.68
27.88
18.01%
MCO
Moody's
521.32
57.20
12.32%
MSCI
MSCI
565.72
9.05
1.63%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
95.40
26.45
38.36%

S&P Global Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
S&P Global Reports 6% Revenue Increase in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, S&P Global reported a 6% increase in second-quarter revenue to $3.755 billion, driven by growth in Market Intelligence and S&P Dow Jones Indices. The company announced the appointment of Bill Eager as President of S&P Global Mobility, effective August 15, 2025, as part of the planned separation of Mobility into a standalone public company. The company also plans additional share repurchases and updated its full-year revenue growth guidance to 5%-7%, with a focus on customer engagement and innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPGI) stock is a Buy with a $565.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on S&P Global stock, see the SPGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025