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S&P Global (SPGI)
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S&P Global (SPGI) AI Stock Analysis

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SPGI

S&P Global

(NYSE:SPGI)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$543.00
▲(8.77% Upside)
S&P Global's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on innovation and shareholder returns supports a positive outlook, but market challenges in specific segments pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
S&P Global's consistent revenue growth across its segments underscores its strong market position and ability to capture demand in financial services.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow management ensures financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term growth.
AI and Product Innovation
Investments in AI and strategic partnerships enhance product offerings, positioning S&P Global as a leader in innovative financial solutions.
Negative Factors
Commodity Insights Challenges
Sanctions and market consolidation in the energy sector pose risks to the Commodity Insights segment, potentially impacting future revenue.
Regulatory Uncertainty in Mobility
Regulatory and tariff uncertainties in the automotive sector may hinder growth in the Mobility division, affecting overall revenue stability.
Sanctions Impact
Sanctions create financial headwinds for S&P Global, particularly impacting the Commodity Insights segment, challenging profitability.

S&P Global (SPGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

S&P Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionS&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity, and automotive markets. It operates in six divisions: S&P Global Ratings, S&P Dow Jones Indices, S&P Global Commodity Insights, S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Global Engineering Solutions. The S&P Global Ratings division operates as an independent provider of credit ratings, research, and analytics, offering investors and other market participants information, ratings, and benchmarks. The S&P Dow Jones Indices division is an index provider that maintains various valuation and index benchmarks for investment advisors, wealth managers, and institutional investors. The S&P Global Commodity Insights division offers data and insights for global energy and commodity markets and enable its customers to make decisions. The S&P Global Market Intelligence division delivers data and technology solutions for customers to provide insights for making decisions. It offers data and services that bring end-to-end workflow solutions, including capital formation, data and distribution, ESG and sustainability, leveraged loans, private markets, sector coverage, supply chain, and issuer solutions, as well as credit, risk, and regulatory solutions. The S&P Global Mobility division provides insights derived from unmatched automotive data, enabling its customers to anticipate change and make decisions. The S&P Global Engineering Solutions division offers engineering expertise and solutions in industries, such as aerospace and defense, energy, architecture, construction, and transportation. Its solutions empower business and technical leaders to transform workflows and make decisions. S&P Global Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyS&P Global generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Ratings segment earns fees from issuing credit ratings to corporations, governments, and other entities, driven by the volume of ratings and ongoing surveillance fees. Market Intelligence derives income from subscriptions to its data and analytics services, which assist clients in making informed investment and business decisions. Platts generates revenue through its pricing services and market reports related to energy and commodities, which are essential for market participants. Lastly, S&P Dow Jones Indices earns licensing fees from investment funds and financial products that track its indices. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms, enhancing its data offerings and expanding its client base.

S&P Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Indicates the stability and predictability of income, showcasing the strength of subscription-based or repeat business models.
Chart InsightsS&P Global's recurring revenue remains robust, particularly in the Global Market Intelligence segment, which shows consistent high percentages. The latest earnings call highlights strong revenue growth and margin expansion, driven by AI initiatives and indices performance. However, challenges such as a decline in Billed Issuance and sanctions affecting Commodity Insights could pose risks. The company's strategic focus on AI and data innovations is expected to sustain growth, with anticipated revenue increases and margin improvements throughout the year.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

S&P Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with record revenue, profit, and EPS, driven by growth in Ratings, Indices, and Market Intelligence. Significant shareholder returns and strategic investments in AI and partnerships were highlighted. However, challenges in Commodity Insights and the Mobility division due to sanctions and regulatory uncertainty were noted. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
S&P Global delivered record revenue, operating profit, and EPS in Q3 2025. Revenue increased 9% year-over-year, with subscription revenue rising 6%. Adjusted EPS increased by 22%.
Significant Shareholder Returns
Nearly $1.5 billion was returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks since the last earnings call. An additional $2.5 billion share repurchase is planned for Q4 2025.
Ratings and Indices Growth
Double-digit revenue growth was reported in Ratings and Indices businesses, showcasing the value of S&P Global's franchises.
Strong Performance in Market Intelligence
Market Intelligence saw 8% organic constant currency revenue growth, the strongest in six quarters.
AI and Product Innovation
S&P Global announced advancements in AI, including AI-powered document search and new partnerships with Cambridge Associates and Mercer.
Successful Portfolio Optimization
The multiyear exercise of portfolio optimization within Market Intelligence is substantially complete, including the planned divestiture of Enterprise Data Management and thinkFolio.
Record Margins Achieved
The company delivered a 330 basis points year-on-year margin expansion to 52.1%.
Private Markets Revenue Acceleration
Private Markets revenue growth doubled from last quarter, accelerating to 22% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Commodity Insights
Revenue growth was tempered by incremental sanctions and customer consolidation in the energy space. Upstream Data & Insights revenue declined 2% year-over-year.
Sanctions Impact on Commodity Insights
Recent U.S. sanctions are expected to contribute a $6 million headwind in 2025 and a $20 million headwind in 2026 for Commodity Insights.
Regulatory and Tariff Uncertainty in Mobility
Manufacturing revenue declined 3% year-over-year due to tariffs and regulatory uncertainty affecting consulting revenues and discretionary spending at automotive OEMs.
Company Guidance
During S&P Global's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record financial performance with a 9% year-over-year revenue increase and a 22% rise in adjusted EPS. Subscription revenue grew by 6%, and the company achieved 180 basis points of margin expansion on a trailing 12-month basis. S&P Global returned nearly $1.5 billion to shareholders and announced a planned $2.5 billion share repurchase in Q4 to return about 85% of 2025 adjusted free cash flow. The company expects to fund the acquisition of With Intelligence through $1 billion in incremental debt and cash on hand. Additionally, the Ratings and Indices businesses saw double-digit revenue growth, reflecting the value of S&P Global's global franchises. The company also highlighted advancements in AI and strategic partnerships, including a planned acquisition of With Intelligence and collaborations with Cambridge Associates and Mercer. Overall, S&P Global raised its revenue guidance and adjusted EPS outlook, citing strong execution and continued focus on innovation and strategic investments.

S&P Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
S&P Global demonstrates strong financial performance with high profitability and operational efficiency. The income statement shows robust margins, and the balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable debt levels. However, a slight decline in cash flow growth is a concern, though overall cash generation remains healthy.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
S&P Global's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 69.67% and a net profit margin of 27.30%, reflecting efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.42% for the TTM, but the company has shown steady growth over the past years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating a conservative leverage approach. The return on equity is healthy at 11.98% for the TTM, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 55.47%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.52% for the TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.93, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also solid at 0.97, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, cash flow remains healthy despite recent growth challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.01B14.21B12.50B11.18B8.30B7.44B
Gross Profit10.51B9.82B8.36B7.43B6.12B5.35B
EBITDA7.33B6.78B5.15B6.02B4.46B3.58B
Net Income4.13B3.85B2.63B3.25B3.02B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.75B60.22B60.59B61.78B15.03B12.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.69B1.32B1.30B6.51B4.12B
Total Debt11.87B11.93B12.00B11.65B4.70B4.75B
Total Liabilities22.05B22.71B22.49B22.04B9.49B9.19B
Stockholders Equity33.24B33.16B34.20B36.48B2.03B509.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.46B5.57B3.57B2.51B3.56B3.49B
Operating Cash Flow5.64B5.69B3.71B2.60B3.60B3.57B
Investing Cash Flow-225.00M-255.00M562.00M3.63B-120.00M-240.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.45B-5.00B-4.28B-11.33B-1.01B-2.17B

S&P Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price499.21
Price Trends
50DMA
505.42
Negative
100DMA
519.56
Negative
200DMA
511.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.94
Negative
RSI
54.44
Neutral
STOCH
80.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPGI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 499.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 485.10, below the 50-day MA of 505.42, and below the 200-day MA of 511.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPGI.

S&P Global Risk Analysis

S&P Global disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&P Global reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&P Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$96.59B25.9613.35%3.99%5.84%8.51%
73
Outperform
$151.16B36.2912.57%0.76%9.04%21.35%
73
Outperform
$49.03B30.6214.07%1.17%16.41%68.03%
72
Outperform
$86.96B39.1957.08%0.78%8.77%13.62%
71
Outperform
$83.80B26.7611.32%1.29%8.96%30.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$43.20B36.441.18%9.02%3.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPGI
S&P Global
499.21
12.71
2.61%
CME
CME Group
267.85
56.12
26.51%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
146.98
-7.08
-4.60%
MCO
Moody's
487.46
29.72
6.49%
MSCI
MSCI
574.90
7.00
1.23%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
85.87
9.22
12.03%

S&P Global Corporate Events

S&P Global’s Mobility Spin-Off: Navigating Uncertainties and Risks Ahead
Nov 1, 2025

S&P Global’s plan to spin off its Mobility business into a separate publicly traded entity faces significant uncertainties and risks. The separation, announced for April 2025, hinges on satisfying numerous complex conditions and could be delayed or derailed by unforeseen developments. The anticipated tax-free status and strategic benefits are not guaranteed, and the process may incur substantial costs and divert management’s focus from core operations. Market reactions could be negative if the separation does not proceed as planned, potentially impacting the company’s financial health and share value.

S&P Global Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth
Nov 1, 2025

S&P Global’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by record-breaking revenue, profit, and earnings per share (EPS). The company showcased significant growth in its Ratings, Indices, and Market Intelligence sectors, while also emphasizing substantial shareholder returns and strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and partnerships. Despite some challenges in the Commodity Insights and Mobility divisions due to sanctions and regulatory uncertainties, the overall sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with highlights far outweighing any setbacks.

S&P Global Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

S&P Global is a leading provider of essential intelligence, offering data, analytics, and benchmarks to governments, businesses, and individuals across global capital, commodity, and automotive markets.

Financial Disclosures
S&P Global Releases Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, S&P Global Inc. released its earnings report for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting the company’s operational results and financial condition. The report also included guidance for the remainder of 2025, offering insights into the company’s future expectations and potential impacts on its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPGI) stock is a Buy with a $557.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on S&P Global stock, see the SPGI Stock Forecast page.

S&P Global’s Mobility Spin-Off: Navigating Uncertainties and Potential Setbacks
Aug 2, 2025

The planned separation of S&P Global’s Mobility business into an independent, publicly traded company is fraught with uncertainties and potential setbacks. The complexity of the spin-off, coupled with the need to satisfy numerous conditions, poses a significant risk to its completion within the anticipated timeline or at all. Unforeseen developments, such as market disruptions or challenges in meeting required conditions, could adversely impact the separation, potentially leading to less favorable terms or delayed benefits. Furthermore, the anticipated strategic and financial advantages may not materialize, and the significant resources required for the separation could detract from other business operations, affecting the company’s overall performance and share value.

S&P Global Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

S&P Global is a leading provider of essential intelligence, offering data, analytics, and benchmarks to enable decision-making in the global capital, commodity, and automotive markets.

S&P Global Reports Strong Earnings Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

S&P Global’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by strong revenue growth and margin expansion. The company celebrated significant achievements in AI initiatives and indices performance, although it faced challenges with a decline in Billed Issuance and the impact of sanctions on Commodity Insights.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025