tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Nasdaq (NDAQ)
NASDAQ:NDAQ
Advertisement

Nasdaq (NDAQ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
6,490 Followers

Top Page

NDAQ

Nasdaq

(NASDAQ:NDAQ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(14.86% Upside)
Nasdaq's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are offset by mixed technical indicators and a high valuation. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic focus on IPOs and innovative solutions position it well for future growth, but attention to cash flow stability and valuation is necessary.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Nasdaq's consistent revenue growth highlights its expanding market reach and successful business strategies, ensuring long-term financial stability.
Market Services Growth
The significant growth in Market Services underscores Nasdaq's strong competitive position and ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
IPO Success
Nasdaq's leadership in IPOs enhances its reputation and attracts more listings, contributing to sustained revenue and market influence.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
The decline in free cash flow growth could impact Nasdaq's ability to invest in new opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
Expense Increase
Rising expenses may pressure profit margins, requiring careful management to sustain profitability and operational efficiency.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory uncertainties can delay business implementations and impact client confidence, posing challenges to growth and operations.

Nasdaq (NDAQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nasdaq Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) is a global technology company that operates the Nasdaq stock exchange and provides a range of financial services. Founded in 1971, Nasdaq is known for its electronic trading platform, which facilitates the buying and selling of securities. The company operates in several sectors, including market services, listing services, and information services. Its core products and services include equity and options trading, market data solutions, and listings for public companies on its exchanges.
How the Company Makes MoneyNasdaq generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, it earns money from transaction-based fees on trades executed on its exchanges, which include equities, options, and futures. Additionally, Nasdaq collects listing fees from companies that choose to list their shares on its exchanges. Another significant revenue stream comes from market data services, where the company sells real-time and historical market data to institutional clients, brokers, and financial professionals. Nasdaq also provides technology solutions to other exchanges and financial institutions, which include trading, surveillance, and clearing services. Partnerships with various financial institutions and market participants enhance its earnings by expanding its client base and product offerings, while ongoing innovations in technology and trading platforms contribute to its competitive edge in the financial markets.

Nasdaq Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable and stable revenue generated from ongoing subscriptions or contracts, highlighting the company's financial stability and potential for sustainable growth.
Chart InsightsNasdaq's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, with a notable acceleration in 2023, reaching $2.9 billion by mid-2025. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its Financial Technology and Market Services divisions, which have shown robust performance. Despite challenges like expense growth and regulatory uncertainties, the momentum in Financial Crime and Regulatory Technology, along with record net inflows in its index business, underscores Nasdaq's strong positioning and potential for sustained ARR growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nasdaq Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Nasdaq's strong financial performance and growth across various segments, particularly in Market Services and IPOs. However, expense increases and regulatory uncertainties presented challenges. Overall, the positives significantly outweigh the negatives, indicating a robust and promising outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Nasdaq delivered $1.3 billion in net revenue, a year-over-year increase of 12%. Operating income grew 16%, and EPS increased by 24%.
Record Growth in Market Services
Market Services delivered record net revenues, reflecting broad-based strength across U.S. and European markets with a 21% growth.
IPO Success and Listings Leadership
Nasdaq welcomed 38 new operating companies with a 79% win rate and extended its listings leadership to 46 consecutive quarters.
Agentic AI Launch
Nasdaq Verafin announced the launch of Agentic AI workforce, showing potential to reduce alert review workload by over 80%.
Negative Updates
Expense Increase
Operating expenses were up just under 8% year-over-year, driven by the timing of the annual compensation cycle.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Uncertainty in U.S. and European regulatory environments affected client readiness and delayed implementations.
Company Guidance
During Nasdaq's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided robust guidance and highlighted key financial metrics. Net revenue reached $1.3 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 12%, with solutions revenues growing by 10% to $991 million. The overall annualized recurring revenue (ARR) saw a 9% rise, totaling $2.9 billion. Operating income increased by 16% to $721 million, contributing to an EPS growth of 24%. Expenses rose by just under 8%, primarily due to the timing of the annual compensation cycle. The Capital Access Platforms division reported 9% revenue growth and 6% ARR growth, while Financial Technology delivered 10% revenue growth and 11% ARR growth. Market Services experienced a significant 21% net revenue growth. Despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, Nasdaq remains optimistic about the IPO outlook for the remainder of the year and into 2026, supported by strong performance in recent listings and an improving business environment.

Nasdaq Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nasdaq's financial performance is strong, with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust margins, and the balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern that needs attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nasdaq's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 49.72% and a net profit margin of 19.89%. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 69% in the TTM period, indicating robust business expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 28.84% and 36.50%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, showing moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 13.96%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 39.22%, indicating a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a healthy balance sheet, the relatively high total debt requires monitoring to ensure continued financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 168.7% in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.90, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. While cash generation remains strong, the negative free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.17B7.40B6.06B6.23B5.89B5.63B
Gross Profit4.06B2.99B2.55B2.34B2.23B1.94B
EBITDA2.98B2.46B2.00B1.85B1.93B1.51B
Net Income1.63B1.12B1.06B1.13B1.19B933.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.65B30.39B32.29B20.87B20.11B17.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments697.00M776.00M641.00M683.00M601.00M2.94B
Total Debt9.55B9.87B10.87B5.85B6.22B5.93B
Total Liabilities18.62B19.20B21.47B14.70B13.71B11.54B
Stockholders Equity12.02B11.19B10.82B6.15B6.39B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10B1.73B1.54B1.55B920.00M1.06B
Operating Cash Flow2.33B1.94B1.70B1.71B1.08B1.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.47B-953.00M-5.99B49.00M-2.65B-231.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.41B-2.56B4.22B1.04B1.42B1.38B

Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price86.19
Price Trends
50DMA
89.71
Negative
100DMA
90.75
Negative
200DMA
84.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.08
Positive
RSI
42.39
Neutral
STOCH
18.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NDAQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 86.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.76, below the 50-day MA of 89.71, and above the 200-day MA of 84.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NDAQ.

Nasdaq Risk Analysis

Nasdaq disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nasdaq reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nasdaq Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$96.59B25.9613.35%3.94%5.84%8.51%
75
Outperform
$26.31B26.9921.51%1.09%16.74%26.74%
73
Outperform
$48.85B30.5114.07%1.17%16.41%68.03%
73
Outperform
$151.16B36.2912.57%0.77%9.04%21.35%
71
Outperform
$83.80B26.7611.32%1.28%8.96%30.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$43.20B36.441.18%9.02%3.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NDAQ
Nasdaq
86.19
8.96
11.60%
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
252.64
55.22
27.97%
CME
CME Group
271.42
58.86
27.69%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
147.52
-6.85
-4.44%
SPGI
S&P Global
490.00
-3.56
-0.72%
MSCI
MSCI
580.39
11.66
2.05%

Nasdaq Corporate Events

Nasdaq Achieves Milestone in Q3 2025 with Strong Revenue Growth
Oct 22, 2025

Nasdaq, Inc. is a global technology company that provides a diverse range of services including data, analytics, software, and exchange capabilities to clients in the financial sector. The company aims to enhance liquidity, transparency, and integrity in the global economy.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Nasdaq Achieves Milestone with Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Nasdaq reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant milestone with Solutions quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion and annual recurring revenues reaching $3 billion for the first time. The company experienced a 15% increase in net revenue compared to the previous year, driven by strong growth in Financial Technology and Index revenues. Nasdaq’s performance reflects its successful transformation into a leading technology platform, with substantial investments in technology and people to drive long-term growth. The company also returned $155 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, and updated its 2025 non-GAAP operating expense and tax rate guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (NDAQ) stock is a Buy with a $101.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nasdaq stock, see the NDAQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025