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Nasdaq (NDAQ)
NASDAQ:NDAQ
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Nasdaq (NDAQ) AI Stock Analysis

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NDAQ

Nasdaq

(NASDAQ:NDAQ)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(8.91% Upside)
Nasdaq's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by mixed technical indicators and a high valuation. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives are significant strengths, but the high P/E ratio and cash flow concerns present risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust business expansion and effective market positioning, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Partnerships
This partnership expands Nasdaq's global reach and enhances its competitive position by facilitating access to international capital markets.
Innovative AI Implementations
AI innovations improve client offerings and operational efficiency, strengthening Nasdaq's technological edge and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
High Total Debt
High debt levels can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A significant decline in free cash flow growth could limit Nasdaq's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations.
Delayed IPO Activity
Delayed IPO activity can affect Nasdaq's revenue from listings, impacting its growth prospects in the competitive exchange market.

Nasdaq (NDAQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nasdaq Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNasdaq, Inc. operates as a technology company that serves capital markets and other industries worldwide. The Market Technology segment includes anti financial crime technology business, which offers Nasdaq Trade Surveillance, a SaaS solution for brokers and other market participants to assist them in complying with market rules, regulations, and internal market surveillance policies; Nasdaq Automated Investigator, a cloud-deployed anti-money laundering tool; and Verafin, a SaaS technology provider of anti-financial crime management solutions. This segment also handles assets, such as cash equities, equity derivatives, currencies, interest-bearing securities, commodities, energy products, and digital currencies. The Investment Intelligence segment sells and distributes historical and real-time market data; develops and licenses Nasdaq-branded indexes and financial products; and provides investment insights and workflow solutions. The Corporate Platforms segment operates listing platforms; and offers investor relations intelligence and governance solutions. As of December 31, 2021, it had 4,178 companies listed securities on The Nasdaq Stock Market, including 1,632 listings on The Nasdaq Global Select Market; 1,169 on The Nasdaq Global Market; and 1,377 on The Nasdaq Capital Market. The Market Services segment includes equity derivative trading and clearing, cash equity trading, fixed income and commodities trading and clearing, and trade management service businesses. This segment operates various exchanges and other marketplace facilities across various asset classes, which include derivatives, commodities, cash equity, debt, structured products, and exchange traded products; and provides broker, clearing, settlement, and central depository services. The company was formerly known as The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc. and changed its name to Nasdaq, Inc. in September 2015. Nasdaq, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNasdaq generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from transaction fees, listing fees, and market data services. Transaction fees are earned from trades executed on its exchanges, while listing fees are charged to companies for being listed on Nasdaq. Additionally, Nasdaq provides market data services, selling real-time and historical data to financial institutions and traders. The company also earns revenues from technology solutions, offering proprietary trading technology to other exchanges and financial institutions. Strategic partnerships with financial organizations and technology firms further enhance its revenue potential, allowing Nasdaq to expand its service offerings and reach a broader client base.

Nasdaq Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable and stable revenue generated from ongoing subscriptions or contracts, highlighting the company's financial stability and potential for sustainable growth.
Chart InsightsNasdaq's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, with a notable acceleration in 2023, reaching $2.9 billion by mid-2025. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its Financial Technology and Market Services divisions, which have shown robust performance. Despite challenges like expense growth and regulatory uncertainties, the momentum in Financial Crime and Regulatory Technology, along with record net inflows in its index business, underscores Nasdaq's strong positioning and potential for sustained ARR growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Nasdaq Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Nasdaq demonstrated strong financial performance with record revenue growth, robust ARR, and successful cross-selling strategies. However, challenges such as delayed IPO activity and slower-than-expected growth in Financial Crime Management Technology moderated the outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Nasdaq delivered $1.3 billion in net revenue, a year-over-year increase of 11%, with solutions revenue exceeding $1 billion for the first time.
Strong Financial Performance
Operating income was $732 million, up 16%, with a 19% increase in diluted EPS. The operating margin was 56%, and the EBITDA margin was 58%.
Robust Annualized Recurring Revenue
Overall annualized recurring revenue (ARR) grew 9% to $3 billion, with Financial Technology ARR up 12%.
Market Services Growth
Market Services division delivered 13% net revenue growth, driven by elevated volumes in U.S. options and equities.
Successful Cross-Selling Strategy
Achieved 65 new clients, 97 upsells, and 4 cross-sells in Financial Technology, with cross-sells representing over 15% of the sales pipeline.
Innovative AI Implementations
AI-powered solutions like Nasdaq Verafin's Agentic AI digital workers were launched, improving client workflows and reducing compliance workflow time by 80%.
Positive Regulatory Developments
SEC approved IPO documentation with mandatory arbitration and reduced frequency of mandated disclosures, supporting Nasdaq's policy priorities.
Negative Updates
Delayed IPO Activity
Global uncertainty and short-term delays, such as the government shutdown, impacted IPO activity, despite a robust pipeline.
Challenges in Financial Crime Management Technology
Financial Technology division's Financial Crime Management Technology expected to end the year just below the range, with slower-than-expected performance in enterprise client signings.
Regulatory Technology Revenue Decline
Regulatory Technology revenue grew only 9%, with a decline in professional services revenue versus prior year.
Company Guidance
During Nasdaq's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial performance with $1.3 billion in net revenue, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase. Solutions revenue exceeded $1 billion for the first time, marking a 10% growth. Annualized recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 9% to reach $3 billion. Operating income was reported at $732 million, representing a 16% increase, and diluted EPS grew by 19%. The Capital Access Platforms division experienced an 8% revenue growth, while Financial Technology and Market Services divisions both saw a 13% increase in revenue. Operating expenses were noted at $583 million, up 5% year-over-year, contributing to an operating margin of 56% and an EBITDA margin of 58%. Nasdaq's strong performance was attributed to its diversified platform, strategic partnerships, and the integration of AI solutions to enhance client offerings.

Nasdaq Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nasdaq's financial performance is strong, with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust margins, and the balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern that needs attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nasdaq's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 49.72% and a net profit margin of 19.89%. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 69% in the TTM period, indicating robust business expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 28.84% and 36.50%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, showing moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 13.96%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 39.22%, indicating a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a healthy balance sheet, the relatively high total debt requires monitoring to ensure continued financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 168.7% in the TTM period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.90, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. While cash generation remains strong, the negative free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.17B7.40B6.06B6.23B5.89B5.63B
Gross Profit4.06B2.99B2.55B2.34B2.23B1.94B
EBITDA2.98B2.46B2.00B1.85B1.93B1.51B
Net Income1.63B1.12B1.06B1.13B1.19B933.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.65B30.39B32.29B20.87B20.11B17.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.53B776.00M641.00M683.00M601.00M2.94B
Total Debt9.55B9.87B10.87B5.85B6.22B5.93B
Total Liabilities18.62B19.20B21.47B14.70B13.71B11.54B
Stockholders Equity12.02B11.19B10.82B6.15B6.39B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10B1.73B1.54B1.55B920.00M1.06B
Operating Cash Flow2.33B1.94B1.70B1.71B1.08B1.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.47B-953.00M-5.99B49.00M-2.65B-231.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.41B-2.56B4.22B1.04B1.42B1.38B

Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.98
Price Trends
50DMA
87.92
Positive
100DMA
90.69
Negative
200DMA
84.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
61.00
Neutral
STOCH
85.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NDAQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.04, above the 50-day MA of 87.92, and above the 200-day MA of 84.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NDAQ.

Nasdaq Risk Analysis

Nasdaq disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nasdaq reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nasdaq Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$26.93B27.6221.51%1.09%16.74%26.74%
74
Outperform
$99.88B26.8513.35%3.87%5.84%8.51%
73
Outperform
$50.90B31.7814.07%1.17%16.41%68.03%
73
Outperform
$149.64B35.9312.57%0.77%9.04%21.35%
71
Outperform
$88.93B28.3911.32%1.21%8.96%30.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$42.30B35.681.28%9.02%3.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NDAQ
Nasdaq
89.98
8.00
9.76%
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
258.12
44.18
20.65%
CME
CME Group
280.87
53.03
23.28%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
156.29
-2.88
-1.81%
SPGI
S&P Global
495.61
-23.06
-4.45%
MSCI
MSCI
562.74
-39.25
-6.52%

Nasdaq Corporate Events

Nasdaq Achieves Milestone in Q3 2025 with Strong Revenue Growth
Oct 22, 2025

Nasdaq, Inc. is a global technology company that provides a diverse range of services including data, analytics, software, and exchange capabilities to clients in the financial sector. The company aims to enhance liquidity, transparency, and integrity in the global economy.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Nasdaq Achieves Milestone with Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Nasdaq reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant milestone with Solutions quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion and annual recurring revenues reaching $3 billion for the first time. The company experienced a 15% increase in net revenue compared to the previous year, driven by strong growth in Financial Technology and Index revenues. Nasdaq’s performance reflects its successful transformation into a leading technology platform, with substantial investments in technology and people to drive long-term growth. The company also returned $155 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, and updated its 2025 non-GAAP operating expense and tax rate guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (NDAQ) stock is a Buy with a $101.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nasdaq stock, see the NDAQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 24, 2025