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Stonex Group Inc. (SNEX)
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StoneX Group (SNEX) AI Stock Analysis

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SNEX

StoneX Group

(NASDAQ:SNEX)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$97.00
▼(-3.78% Downside)
StoneX Group's overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance with strong gross profit margins but challenges in cash flow and leverage. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while valuation remains reasonable. The earnings call highlighted both growth opportunities and challenges, contributing to a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Institutional Segment Growth
Strong growth in the Institutional segment indicates robust demand and effective market positioning, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions of RJO and Benchmark strengthen market leadership in global derivatives, promising future earnings growth and operational synergies.
Custody and Clearing Expansion
Expansion in custody and clearing enhances StoneX's service offerings and client base, supporting sustained revenue growth and market presence.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting strategic flexibility, posing long-term stability concerns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth highlights cash generation issues, which could constrain investments and operational flexibility over time.
Commercial Segment Decline
Decline in the Commercial segment suggests challenges in maintaining revenue streams from physical contracts, impacting overall growth potential.

StoneX Group (SNEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

StoneX Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStoneX Group Inc. is a global financial services firm that provides a wide range of financial solutions for commercial clients, institutional investors, and retail customers. Operating primarily in the sectors of commodities, foreign exchange, and risk management, StoneX offers services such as market access, trade execution, clearing, and advisory services. The company focuses on enhancing the financial outcomes for its clients through innovative technology and personalized service.
How the Company Makes MoneyStoneX Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing trade execution and clearing services for various financial instruments, including commodities and foreign exchange. The company earns fees and commissions on the transactions it facilitates, which can include both spot and derivative products. Additionally, StoneX derives income from advisory services, where it offers customized solutions to its clients based on market conditions. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, further contributing to its earnings.

StoneX Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant achievements in the Institutional and Retail segments and strategic acquisitions, challenges were notable in the Commercial segment, particularly due to tariff uncertainties and declines in physical contracts. Interest and fee income also saw a decline. Overall, the sentiment was balanced, with both positive growth areas and notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Institutional Segment Growth
The Institutional segment saw record net operating revenues and segment income with growth of 27% and 41%, respectively.
Self-Directed Retail Segment Performance
Net operating revenues were up 18% and segment income was up 49%, driven by a 34% increase in average daily volume of FX CFD contracts.
RJO and Benchmark Acquisitions
Closed acquisitions of RJO and Benchmark, expected to be materially accretive to earnings and enhance margins. The RJO acquisition positions StoneX as a market leader in global derivatives.
Custody and Clearing Expansion
Custody and clearing business expanded with correspondent clearing balances surpassing $24 billion, a 27% year-over-year increase.
Negative Updates
Commercial Segment Decline
Commercial segment net operating revenues declined 24%, driven by a 44% decline in physical contracts and increased interest expense related to precious metals activities.
Challenges in Physical Contracts and Tariff Uncertainty
Operating revenues derived from physical contracts were down 17% versus the prior year, primarily due to tariff-related uncertainties.
Interest and Fee Income Decline
Interest and fee income on client balances decreased 11% versus the prior year, due to lower short-term interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the StoneX Group Inc. Q3 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, CFO Bill Dunaway shared various financial metrics and insights regarding the company's performance and guidance. For the third quarter, net income was reported at $63.4 million with diluted earnings per share of $1.22, representing a 2% net income growth but a 2% decline in EPS due to additional shares outstanding. The quarter incurred pretax acquisition-related charges of $8.9 million. Operating revenues saw a 4% increase year-over-year and remained flat compared to the previous quarter. The trailing 12-month results showed a significant 17% increase in operating revenues and a 26% rise in net income, amounting to $296.9 million, with earnings per share at $5.87 and a return on equity of 16.6%, surpassing the 15% target. The call also highlighted the growth in securities, payments, and FX CFDs, despite declines in listed and OTC derivatives and physical contracts. StoneX's book value per share at the quarter's end was $40.36. Going forward, the company expects the recent acquisitions of RJO and Benchmark to be materially accretive to earnings, with an emphasis on future growth and synergies within their diverse and integrated financial ecosystem.

StoneX Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
StoneX Group demonstrates moderate revenue growth and a strong gross profit margin, but faces challenges with low net profit margins and high leverage. The negative free cash flow growth and low operating cash flow coverage highlight potential cash flow issues. While the company shows some profitability, managing debt levels and improving cash flow generation will be crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
StoneX Group shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 6.31% TTM, indicating a positive trend in sales. However, the net profit margin is quite low at 0.23%, suggesting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The gross profit margin of 48.39% is strong, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 1.37% and 1.44%, respectively, indicating potential inefficiencies in operations.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.34, which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. Return on equity is reasonable at 16.16%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the high leverage could impact financial stability in the long term.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow growth is negative at -187.93% TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.036, suggesting limited cash generation from operations relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.94, indicating good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.79B99.89B60.86B66.04B42.53B54.14B
Gross Profit2.30B2.01B1.61B861.30M561.80M451.90M
EBITDA1.87B1.61B1.25B517.70M293.70M340.30M
Net Income296.90M260.80M238.50M207.10M116.30M169.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.27B27.47B21.94B19.86B18.84B13.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.31B1.27B1.11B1.11B1.11B952.60M
Total Debt16.51B11.32B6.48B5.35B7.40B118.70M
Total Liabilities32.29B25.76B20.56B18.79B17.94B12.71B
Stockholders Equity1.98B1.71B1.38B1.07B904.00M767.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow989.90M441.70M-70.60M-279.00M2.06B1.93B
Operating Cash Flow1.05B506.90M-23.70M-229.50M2.12B1.95B
Investing Cash Flow-77.60M-63.70M-53.00M-49.50M-59.80M-241.60M
Financing Cash Flow109.90M188.00M-169.30M65.80M-35.60M312.30M

StoneX Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price100.81
Price Trends
50DMA
97.33
Negative
100DMA
95.18
Negative
200DMA
88.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.19
Positive
RSI
29.25
Positive
STOCH
8.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNEX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 100.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.65, above the 50-day MA of 97.33, and above the 200-day MA of 88.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.25 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNEX.

StoneX Group Risk Analysis

StoneX Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. StoneX Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

StoneX Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.31B7.5229.43%2.75%27.66%131.25%
71
Outperform
$5.77B24.5919.30%1.77%12.77%36.43%
71
Outperform
$5.00B20.8051.98%3.82%51.19%456.59%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$4.60B19.2336.41%4.04%1.58%1.93%
61
Neutral
$5.69B25.150.61%23.16%64.04%
58
Neutral
$4.18B14.4916.01%53.19%23.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNEX
StoneX Group
86.07
21.20
32.68%
LAZ
Lazard
49.55
-6.49
-11.58%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
328.62
0.65
0.20%
MC
Moelis
62.93
-11.80
-15.79%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
35.07
1.72
5.16%
PJT
PJT Partners
168.27
9.88
6.24%

StoneX Group Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
StoneX Group Files Prospectus for Stock Resale
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, StoneX Group Inc. filed a prospectus supplement for the resale of up to 3,085,554 shares of its common stock by selling stockholders. The company will not receive any proceeds from this sale, which is part of a shelf registration under the Securities Act of 1933.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNEX) stock is a Hold with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on StoneX Group stock, see the SNEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
StoneX Group Announces New Stock Repurchase Plan
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 13, 2025, StoneX Group Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a new stock repurchase plan for fiscal year 2026, allowing the company to buy back up to 2.25 million shares of its common stock from October 1, 2025, to September 30, 2026. This move follows the expiration of the previous repurchase authorization on September 30, 2025, which allowed for the repurchase of up to 1.5 million shares, indicating a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNEX) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on StoneX Group stock, see the SNEX Stock Forecast page.

StoneX Group Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for StoneX Group Inc. presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both robust growth and notable challenges. The company demonstrated strong performance in its institutional and self-directed retail segments, bolstered by strategic acquisitions of R.J. O’Brien and Benchmark. However, the commercial segment faced difficulties, with decreased interest and fee income attributed to tariff uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains positive due to the strategic moves and segment performances.

StoneX Group Inc. Reports Steady Q3 Growth
Aug 7, 2025

StoneX Group Inc., a Fortune-500 company headquartered in New York City, operates a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to the global market ecosystem through a blend of digital platforms, clearing and execution services, and deep expertise. The company serves over 54,000 commercial, institutional, and payments clients, and more than 400,000 retail accounts from more than 80 offices across six continents.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
StoneX Group Completes Acquisition of R.J. O’Brien
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, StoneX Group Inc. announced the completion of its acquisition of R.J. O’Brien, the oldest independent futures brokerage in the U.S. This acquisition positions StoneX as the largest non-bank Futures Commission Merchant in the U.S. and enhances its global derivatives capabilities. The merger is expected to bring significant revenue synergies, cost savings, and capital synergies, while expanding StoneX’s client float by nearly $6 billion. The integration aims to strengthen StoneX’s role in the global financial infrastructure and deliver enhanced services and reach to clients.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNEX) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on StoneX Group stock, see the SNEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025