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Stonex Group Inc. (SNEX)
NASDAQ:SNEX

StoneX Group (SNEX) AI Stock Analysis

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SNEX

StoneX Group

(NASDAQ:SNEX)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$111.00
▲(4.41% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven primarily by decent but riskier financial quality (high leverage and thin margins) and weak technicals, partly offset by an attractive earnings multiple and a strong, upbeat earnings call emphasizing record results and synergy-led improvement.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent TTM operating and free cash flow of several billion provides durable internal funding for growth, acquisitions, capital needs and shareholder actions. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external financing and cushions the firm versus episodic market volatility.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Very high debt-to-equity materially increases financial risk over the medium term. Elevated leverage reduces flexibility for opportunistic investment, amplifies earnings volatility from funding-cost moves, and heightens refinancing and liquidity stress in tighter markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent TTM operating and free cash flow of several billion provides durable internal funding for growth, acquisitions, capital needs and shareholder actions. Strong cash conversion reduces reliance on external financing and cushions the firm versus episodic market volatility.
Read all positive factors

StoneX Group (SNEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

StoneX Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to market ecosystem worldwide. Its Commercial segment provides risk management and hedging, exchange-traded and OTC pr...
How the Company Makes Money
StoneX primarily makes money by earning transaction-based and service-based fees, interest and financing-related income, and spreads/commissions associated with facilitating customer trading and hedging activity across multiple asset classes. Key...

StoneX Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive quarter driven by record net income, EPS and revenues, significant contribution from the R.J. O'Brien and Benchmark acquisitions, outstanding performance in precious metals and listed derivatives, and improved interest income. Material growth was offset by notable softness in FX/CFD and self-directed retail revenues, near-term expense increases (including legal and integration costs), and the need to fully realize acquisition synergies over time. On balance, the positive operational and financial momentum and scale benefits from acquisitions outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Net Income, EPS and Revenues
Net income of $139 million (record) and diluted EPS of $2.50 for the quarter; net income up 63% year-over-year and EPS up 48% year-over-year. Operating revenues just over $1.4 billion, up 52% versus prior year; net operating revenues up 47% versus prior year.
Negative Updates
FX/CFD Revenue and Rate Compression
FX/CFD revenues declined 30% year-over-year (from a near-record prior year quarter); rate per million declined ~30% and average daily volume declined 4% year-over-year, driven by lower spread retention in self-directed business and muted FX volatility.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Net Income, EPS and Revenues
Net income of $139 million (record) and diluted EPS of $2.50 for the quarter; net income up 63% year-over-year and EPS up 48% year-over-year. Operating revenues just over $1.4 billion, up 52% versus prior year; net operating revenues up 47% versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said the R.J. O'Brien integration remains on track (U.K. entity migration completed, releasing $20M of capital; U.S. consolidation targeted by year‑end) and reaffirmed expected cost synergies of $50M to be realized across fiscal 2026–27 while expanding OTC products (power in Australia, carbon in Europe), opening Madrid and Paris offices and advancing digitization. They reiterated strong financial positioning after a record Q1 — net income $139M, diluted EPS $2.50 (up 63% and 48% YoY), operating revenues just over $1.4B (up 52% YoY), net operating revenues up 47% YoY, ROE 22.5% (32.4% return on tangible book), trailing‑12‑month net income $359.8M, diluted EPS $6.70 and ROE 16.9% — and highlighted product performance (listed derivatives op rev +141% YoY, physical contracts +69% YoY including $75M precious metals segment income, OTC +72%, securities +43%, FX/CFD down 30%). On the balance‑sheet and interest sensitivity front they noted book value per share $48.17, average client equity +100% (RJO added $5.8B), entry into $1.2B of fixed‑rate SOFR swaps (2‑yr duration, avg rate 3.32%), and that a 100‑bp short‑term rate move would change annualized net income by $43.2M (≈$0.80/sh); the Board also approved a three‑for‑two stock split (record Mar 10, distribution Mar 20, trading Mar 23).

StoneX Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid revenue growth and strong recent operating/free cash flow support the business, but structurally thin net margins and a highly leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~7.8x) materially raise risk in weaker market/funding conditions.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue143.47B132.38B99.89B60.86B66.04B42.53B
Gross Profit2.88B2.58B2.01B1.61B861.30M561.80M
EBITDA2.20B1.99B1.61B1.25B517.70M293.70M
Net Income359.80M305.90M260.80M238.50M207.10M116.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.78B45.27B27.47B21.94B19.86B18.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.59B1.61B1.27B1.11B1.11B1.11B
Total Debt20.24B18.52B11.32B6.48B5.35B7.40B
Total Liabilities45.26B42.89B25.76B20.56B18.79B17.94B
Stockholders Equity2.52B2.38B1.71B1.38B1.07B904.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.55B4.32B441.70M-70.60M-279.00M2.06B
Operating Cash Flow3.62B4.39B506.90M-23.70M-229.50M2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-488.70M-840.00M-63.70M-53.00M-49.50M-59.80M
Financing Cash Flow426.80M914.80M188.00M-169.30M65.80M-35.60M

StoneX Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.31
Price Trends
50DMA
76.69
Negative
100DMA
69.44
Positive
200DMA
66.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Negative
RSI
51.99
Neutral
STOCH
80.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.14, above the 50-day MA of 76.69, and above the 200-day MA of 66.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNEX.

StoneX Group Risk Analysis

StoneX Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. StoneX Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

StoneX Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.31B3.1421.69%1.63%12.77%36.43%
73
Outperform
$6.77B5.0630.48%2.88%27.66%131.25%
71
Outperform
$4.41B22.1344.30%3.69%51.19%456.59%
71
Outperform
$3.32B23.9384.45%0.58%23.16%64.04%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$5.96B5.7716.43%32.53%13.38%
60
Neutral
$3.84B19.9930.96%4.06%1.58%1.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNEX
StoneX Group
77.96
25.56
48.78%
LAZ
Lazard
41.25
-1.75
-4.06%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
75.05
13.21
21.37%
MC
Moelis
55.44
-1.79
-3.13%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
43.44
6.63
18.01%
PJT
PJT Partners
139.20
0.16
0.11%

StoneX Group Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
StoneX Group Receives Favorable Outcome in BTIG Arbitration
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
In November 2023, BTIG, LLC filed a civil complaint in San Francisco Superior Court against StoneX Group Inc. and StoneX Financial Inc., alleging various claims tied to StoneX’s hiring of former BTIG employees, with the matter later moved to...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
StoneX Group Shareholders Back Board and Leadership Changes
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
At its annual meeting held on March 10, 2026, StoneX Group Inc. shareholders re-elected ten directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, with all nominees receiving strong majority support, and approved KPMG LLP as the company’s indepen...
Financial DisclosuresStock Split
StoneX Group Announces Three-for-Two Stock Split Plan
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
For the fiscal 2026 first quarter ended December 31, 2025, StoneX Group Inc. reported record net operating revenues of $724.4 million, up 47% year-on-year, and record net income of $139.0 million, translating into diluted earnings per share of $2....
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026