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Lazard (LAZ)
NYSE:LAZ

Lazard (LAZ) AI Stock Analysis

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LAZ

Lazard

(NYSE:LAZ)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(2.77% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
Score is anchored by a cyclical financial rebound and a positive earnings-call outlook (record advisory performance and constructive 2026 guidance), but is held back by high leverage and clearly bearish technical conditions (trading below major moving averages with weak momentum). Valuation is neutral-to-supportive mainly due to the dividend yield, but not enough to offset the balance-sheet and trend risks.
Positive Factors
Record Financial Advisory Performance
Record advisory revenue demonstrates a durable competitive position in M&A, restructuring and capital markets advice. Strong advisory fees are less transactional-risky over cycles than one-off items, underpinning predictable fee pools, stronger client relationships and a pipeline that supports multi-quarter fee realization.
Asset Management AUM and Inflows
Rising AUM and record gross inflows signal an inflection in asset management, strengthening recurring management fees. Product expansion (ETF launches) and distribution momentum diversify fee sources and reduce reliance on advisory cycles, supporting steadier revenue and cross‑sell opportunities over multiple quarters.
Improving Cash Generation & Productivity
Material cash generation improvement provides durable funding for dividends, buybacks and strategic hires while enabling debt paydown. Higher revenue per Managing Director and rising cash flow support reinvestment in growth initiatives and provide a buffer against cyclical downturns in deal activity.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Significantly elevated leverage for a capital-markets advisory constrains financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to earnings volatility. High debt amplifies downside when deal activity or AUM falls, limiting ability to invest or return capital without materially raising risk in stressed market conditions.
Margin Compression & Profit Volatility
Sustained margin compression vs prior cycles highlights structural pressure on profitability from higher compensation and investment spending. Lower margins increase earnings cyclicality, reduce buffer to cover fixed costs and make returns more sensitive to top-line swings over the medium term.
AUM Volatility and Concentration Risk
Large client relationship closures and quarter-to-quarter AUM swings show concentration and flow risks in Asset Management. Material outflows can quickly reduce fee income, strain distribution efforts, and magnify the impact of market/FX moves on recurring revenues and reported AUM levels.

Lazard (LAZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lazard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLazard Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a financial advisory and asset management firm in North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, and Central and South America. It operates in two segments, Financial Advisory and Asset Management. The Financial Advisory segment offers various financial advisory services regarding mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, capital advisory, shareholder advisory, capital raising, sovereign advisory, and other strategic advisory matters. This segment serves corporate, partnership, institutional, government, sovereign, and individual clients across various industry areas, including consumers, financial institutions, healthcare and life sciences, industrials, power and energy/infrastructure, and real estate, as well as technology, telecommunication, and media and entertainment. The Asset Management segment offers a range of investment solutions, and investment and wealth management services in equity and fixed income strategies; asset allocation strategies; and alternative investments and private equity funds to corporations, public funds, sovereign entities, endowments and foundations, labor funds, financial intermediaries, and private clients. The company was founded in 1848 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLazard generates revenue primarily through its Financial Advisory and Asset Management services. In the Financial Advisory segment, the company earns fees from advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, and capital raising activities, which are typically contingent on successful transactions. The Asset Management division generates management fees based on the asset base of its clients, as well as performance fees tied to investment returns. Key revenue streams include advisory fees from high-profile transactions, management fees from institutional and retail clients, and performance fees from outperforming investment funds. Additionally, Lazard benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances that enhance its advisory capabilities and expand its client base, further contributing to its earnings.

Lazard Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights the revenue generated from different business segments, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and how diversified the company's income streams are.
Chart InsightsLazard's financial advisory segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by strong M&A activity, with a notable 14% year-over-year increase in Q3 2025. Asset management also shows positive momentum with an 8% rise, supported by record inflows and a 17% increase in AUM. Despite potential risks from a U.S. government shutdown affecting deal timings, Lazard's strategic expansions and new managing director hires are bolstering its advisory capabilities, positioning the firm for continued success.
Data provided by:The Fly

Lazard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted meaningful progress on Lazard's strategic objectives with record Financial Advisory revenue, an Asset Management inflection (AUM and revenue growth, record gross inflows, and ETF launches), improved MD productivity, and a solid pipeline of won-but-not-yet-funded mandates supporting management's expectation of positive net flows in 2026. Near-term challenges include substantial Q4 Asset Management outflows driven by the closure of a large sub-advised relationship, FX and market sensitivity, accelerated hiring that temporarily pressures productivity, and higher compensation and investment spending. Management emphasized disciplined expense control, AI adoption, and leadership appointments to drive execution. Overall, positive operational and strategic momentum appears to outweigh the identifiable near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Firm-wide Revenue Growth
Reported firm-wide revenue of $3.0 billion for fiscal 2025, up 5% year-over-year; fourth quarter revenue of $892 million, up 10% year-over-year.
Record Financial Advisory Performance
Financial Advisory delivered record revenue of $1.8 billion in 2025; Q4 Financial Advisory revenue was $542 million, up 7% year-over-year. Record revenue in EMEA and for the private capital advisory group; strong restructuring and liability management results.
Improved Banker Productivity
Average revenue per Managing Director (MD) reached $8.9 million in 2025, an increase of $2.5 million since 2023. Company set a 2030 MD productivity target of $12.5 million.
Asset Management Inflection and AUM Growth
Asset Management revenue was $1.2 billion for 2025; average AUM for Q4 was $261 billion, up 12% year-over-year. Q4 Asset Management revenue was $339 million, up 18% year-over-year and 15% sequentially.
Record Gross Inflows and ETF Launch Momentum
Achieved record gross inflows that exceeded the $50 billion target for 2025. Launched seven active U.S. ETFs in 2025 with ETF AUM surpassing $800 million, supporting distribution and product diversification.
Won-but-Not-Yet-Funded Pipeline and Net Flows Outlook
Won-but-not-yet-funded mandates totaled $13 billion (higher than a year ago), underpinning management's expectation of positive net flows in 2026. Excluding one closed sub-advised relationship, full-year 2025 net inflows were $8.4 billion.
Capital Return and Shareholder Distributions
Returned $393 million to shareholders in 2025 (including $187 million in dividends, $91 million in share repurchases, and $115 million for employee tax obligations); declared quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share.
Expense Discipline and Slight Improvement in Compensation Ratio
Full-year compensation expense was $2.0 billion with a compensation ratio improving to 65.5% from 65.9% the prior year; non-compensation ratio ~20% for the year, and management plans disciplined expense control as revenues grow.
Leadership and Strategic Positioning
Key leadership additions and changes: Chris Hogben named CEO of Asset Management, Rosalie Berman as COO, Eric Van Naustrand as CIO, and Tracy Farr appointed CFO; continued execution of Lazard 2030 strategy and emphasis on AI and 'contextual alpha' as strategic differentiators.
Negative Updates
Large Q4 Asset Management Outflows
Reported net outflows of $19.7 billion during the quarter, largely driven by the closure of one U.S. sub-advised relationship; AUM as of December 31 was reported as down 4% versus September 2025.
AUM Volatility from Market and FX
During the quarter, market appreciation added $10 billion to AUM but foreign exchange depreciation reduced AUM by $800 million, illustrating sensitivity of AUM to market and FX movements.
Temporary Productivity Pressure from Accelerated Hiring
Aggressive MD hiring (more than double 2024 net additions) creates temporary downward pressure on productivity as new hires acclimate, and requires ongoing ramp time before full productivity is realized.
Elevated Compensation and Investment Spend
Compensation expense accelerated (Q4 compensation expense $585 million; full-year $2.0 billion) as the firm invests in talent to support growth, creating near-term cost pressure despite modest improvement in the compensation ratio.
Mixed AUM Reporting Detail
Transcript shows average Q4 AUM of $261 billion (+12% YoY) but also reports AUM 'as of December 31' as $24 billion (+12% YoY, -4% vs Sept 2025), a figure that appears inconsistent with other AUM figures and may indicate reporting ambiguity in the discussion.
Macroeconomic and Political Uncertainty Risks
Management acknowledged geopolitical and U.S. political uncertainty (including the midterms) and general timing variability in M&A activity; while they do not expect material impact, these remain sources of risk to deal volumes and timing.
Q4 Adjusted Tax Rate Spike
Adjusted effective tax rate for Q4 was elevated at 29.5% compared with the full-year adjusted effective tax rate of 22.7%, representing a quarterly tax rate volatility point.
Company Guidance
Lazard guided to accelerating Financial Advisory activity and positive net flows in Asset Management for 2026, supported by 2025 results: firm-wide revenue of $3.0 billion (+5% YoY; Q4 $892 million, +10% YoY), Financial Advisory record revenue of $1.8 billion (Q4 $542 million, +7% YoY) and Asset Management revenue of $1.2 billion (Q4 $339 million, +18% YoY; Q4 management fees $301 million; FY management fees $1.1 billion; FY incentive fees $59 million). Key balance-sheet and flow metrics included average Q4 AUM of $261 billion (+12% YoY), year‑end won‑but‑not‑funded mandates of $13 billion, record gross inflows that exceeded the $50 billion target, seven U.S. active ETFs launched with >$800 million AUM, Q4 market appreciation of $10 billion, a Q4 FX drag of $0.8 billion, and Q4 net outflows of $19.7 billion (FY net inflows of $8.4 billion excluding the closed sub‑advised relationship). Productivity and cost guidance: average revenue per Managing Director was $8.9 million in 2025 (up $2.5M since 2023) with a 2030 target of $12.5M/MD, a hiring goal of 10–15 net FA MDs per year (2024: 11 net adds; 2025: >2x 2024), FY compensation expense $2.0 billion (Q4 $585M) with a FY comp ratio of 65.5% (65.9% prior), FY non‑comp expense $613 million (~20% ratio), adjusted effective tax rate 22.7% FY (Q4 29.5%), $393 million returned to shareholders in 2025 (including a $0.50/share quarterly dividend), and an expectation of mid‑to‑high single‑digit dollar increases in non‑comp expense in 2026 alongside planned operating leverage.

Lazard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is improving with a return to profitability and re-accelerating revenue growth, and cash generation is solid. The main drag is balance-sheet risk: leverage remains high (debt-to-equity ~3.0x), increasing sensitivity to market-driven earnings volatility and contributing to a weaker overall financial profile than earlier-cycle levels.
Income Statement
73
Positive
LAZ shows a clear earnings recovery after a loss in 2023, returning to profitability in 2024 and 2025. Revenue growth re-accelerated in 2025 (4.36% vs. 0.21% in 2024), but profitability is notably below prior-cycle levels: net margin fell to 7.43% in 2025 (from 9.07% in 2024 and 16.16% in 2021), and operating profitability also compressed versus 2020–2022. Overall, improving top-line and positive earnings momentum are strengths, while margin volatility and a lower profitability profile than earlier years are key weaknesses.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Leverage is the main constraint. Debt remains high relative to equity, with debt-to-equity at 3.04x in 2025 (still elevated even though improved from 5.13x in 2023). Equity has rebuilt from 2023–2025, helping stabilize the capital structure, but the balance sheet remains meaningfully levered for a capital-markets business. Returns on equity are strong in profitable years (27.11% in 2025), yet this also reflects the small equity base—raising sensitivity to earnings swings.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving versus the weak 2023 period. Operating cash flow increased to $519M in 2025 (from $165M in 2023), and free cash flow grew 11.06% in 2025. However, cash flow coverage of net income weakened in 2025 (operating cash flow to net income at 0.64 vs. 0.83 in 2024), indicating less cash conversion year-over-year despite still healthy absolute cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.19B3.09B2.55B2.83B3.27B
Gross Profit1.01B1.08B605.13M1.17B1.37B
EBITDA449.41M511.27M40.90M640.77M842.99M
Net Income236.83M279.91M-75.48M357.52M528.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.94B4.79B4.64B5.85B7.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.58B1.19B2.01B2.81B
Total Debt2.58B2.19B2.18B2.20B2.24B
Total Liabilities3.95B4.03B4.07B4.59B5.49B
Stockholders Equity873.65M636.24M423.76M556.46M975.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow505.23M697.33M136.37M784.47M826.38M
Operating Cash Flow537.18M742.83M164.66M833.98M866.08M
Investing Cash Flow-81.98M134.07M-38.32M-56.44M-39.06M
Financing Cash Flow-463.64M-439.67M-1.57B-1.38B195.84M

Lazard Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.60
Price Trends
50DMA
51.63
Negative
100DMA
50.40
Positive
200DMA
49.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
44.92
Neutral
STOCH
47.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LAZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.87, below the 50-day MA of 51.63, and above the 200-day MA of 49.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LAZ.

Lazard Risk Analysis

Lazard disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lazard reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lazard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.83B28.9119.46%1.66%3.96%-20.33%
73
Outperform
$6.40B8.0730.87%2.88%27.66%131.25%
71
Outperform
$4.78B20.183.69%51.19%456.59%
70
Outperform
$6.69B19.0116.17%32.53%13.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$5.27B18.6821.65%1.63%12.77%36.43%
60
Neutral
$4.75B21.3630.59%4.06%1.58%1.93%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LAZ
Lazard
50.60
3.84
8.22%
SNEX
StoneX Group
127.50
45.35
55.21%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
192.00
1.10
0.57%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
295.55
18.00
6.49%
MC
Moelis
59.36
-6.03
-9.23%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
41.41
5.81
16.32%

Lazard Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lazard Appoints Tracy Farr as New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Lazard announced that long-time insider Tracy Farr has been appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective February 1, 2026, succeeding Mary Ann Betsch, who became CFO in 2022 and will move to a senior advisor role through June 30, 2026 to support the transition. Farr, a 20-year finance veteran who joined Lazard in 2013 and most recently served as a managing director in the Capital Structure Advisory group and on corporate development and strategy initiatives, steps into the role with a mandate from CEO Peter Orszag to drive operational efficiency, profitable growth and progress toward the firm’s Lazard 2030 goals while deepening engagement with the investment community. Betsch, credited with strengthening Lazard’s global finance function, advancing reporting and planning, overseeing the firm’s transition to a C‑corporation and broadening shareholder engagement, will receive continued salary, benefits and equity vesting during her advisory period and severance benefits after her separation, while Farr’s compensation package is aligned with other executive officers, underscoring a carefully managed leadership handover that aims to preserve continuity in financial strategy and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LAZ) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lazard stock, see the LAZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026