Moelis (MC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $6.01B
• Dividend Yield: 3.69%
• Average Volume (3M): 772.75K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.40
• Revenue Growth: 51.19%
• EPS Growth: 456.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,308
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 0.68
• Shares Outstanding: 73,996,340
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 718,049
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 772,751
• PEG Ratio: -0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 12.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.45
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.78
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.84
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.45
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.81
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.54
• 1Y Price Target: $76.57
• Price Target Upside: 2.07% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7
• EPS Forecast (FY): 3.36
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $1.75B

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $77.00 ▲(2.64% Upside)

Moelis & Company demonstrates strong financial performance and technical momentum, supported by a robust balance sheet and significant revenue growth in key segments. The earnings call further reinforces this positive outlook, despite some noted risks. Valuation is moderate, providing a balanced investment opportunity.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategy, enhancing long-term financial stability.

Strong Balance Sheet

A strong balance sheet with no debt provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting sustainable growth and strategic investments.

Expansion of Managing Director Count

Increasing the number of managing directors strengthens leadership and expertise, potentially driving future growth and client acquisition.

Negative Factors

Decline in Capital Structure Advisory

A decline in Capital Structure Advisory could indicate challenges in diversifying revenue streams, impacting long-term revenue stability.

Potential Impact of U.S. Government Shutdown

Delays in regulatory reviews due to government shutdowns can disrupt deal timelines, affecting revenue recognition and client satisfaction.

Concerns Around AI Disruption

AI disruption poses risks to traditional advisory models, necessitating adaptation to maintain competitive advantage and client relevance.

Moelis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory firm. It offers advisory services in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters. The company offers its services to public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds. The company serves its clients in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. It has strategic alliances in Mexico with Alfaro, Dávila y Scherer, S.C.; and in Australia with MA Moelis Australia. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Moelis & Company generates revenue primarily through advisory fees earned from providing strategic advice on mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, and capital raising activities. The company charges fees based on the completion of transactions, which can vary depending on the complexity and scale of the advisory work. Key revenue streams include success fees from mergers and acquisitions, fees for financial restructuring services, and advisory fees related to capital markets transactions. Additionally, Moelis benefits from ongoing relationships with clients, leading to repeat business and referrals. The firm's reputation for high-quality service and its ability to navigate complex financial situations also contribute significantly to its earnings.

Moelis Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moelis exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and cash flow generation. While profitability margins have room for improvement, the company's operational efficiency and effective cash management are commendable. The balance sheet is stable, though there is a slight increase in leverage.

Income Statement

Moelis has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 23.06% in the latest year, recovering from a decline in the previous period. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin of 11.39% suggests room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, reflecting better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 indicates a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable but slightly higher than previous years. Return on equity is strong at 30.80%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 32.02%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with potential for increased equity financing.

Cash Flow

Moelis has achieved a remarkable free cash flow growth rate of 111.48%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high, reflecting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 97.17% further underscores the company's strong cash flow position.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.47B	1.19B	854.75M	985.30M	1.54B	943.28M
Gross Profit	743.48M	1.19B	140.00M	367.10M	626.70M	382.47M
EBITDA	288.76M	183.39M	-32.03M	224.07M	503.16M	270.42M
Net Income	234.57M	136.02M	-24.70M	150.34M	365.21M	178.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.52B	1.38B	1.18B	1.22B	1.56B	1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	281.58M	412.47M	186.42M	206.79M	520.21M	202.48M
Total Debt	267.74M	223.24M	215.68M	192.76M	191.89M	196.61M
Total Liabilities	898.61M	899.55M	817.30M	757.93M	1.08B	751.97M
Stockholders Equity	535.03M	441.61M	352.14M	444.50M	489.07M	479.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	523.41M	415.39M	141.78M	27.04M	920.55M	388.56M
Operating Cash Flow	552.89M	427.49M	158.47M	32.99M	936.98M	429.21M
Investing Cash Flow	-182.55M	17.11M	48.57M	-11.18M	-17.01M	-39.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-231.35M	-215.10M	-229.17M	-326.90M	-602.54M	-351.79M

Moelis Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 75.02
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.88, above the 50-day MA of 67.40, and above the 200-day MA of 64.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MC.

Moelis Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MC	78 Outperform	$6.01B	24.96	51.98%	3.69%	51.19%	456.59%
EVR	76 Outperform	$14.27B	29.43	31.39%	0.95%	27.00%	63.47%
PJT	71 Outperform	$8.73B	27.60	91.85%	0.58%	23.16%	64.04%
HLI	70 Outperform	$12.74B	29.35	20.29%	1.33%	20.99%	25.02%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
LAZ	66 Neutral	$4.89B	20.45	36.41%	4.06%	1.58%	1.93%
LPLA	63 Neutral	$28.80B	33.11	21.32%	0.32%	35.19%	-18.62%

Moelis Corporate Events

Moelis Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance

On October 29, 2025, Moelis & Company reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025. The company’s adjusted revenues rose by 34% in the third quarter and 37% for the first nine months compared to the previous year. The firm also declared a regular quarterly dividend and highlighted its strategic growth through new hires in key sectors. Moelis & Company maintained a strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt, further supporting its growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.