Moelis (MC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.00B
• Dividend Yield: 3.82%
• Average Volume (3M): 674.51K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.49
• Revenue Growth: 51.19%
• EPS Growth: 456.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,308
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 0.68
• Shares Outstanding: 73,996,340
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 685,031
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 674,508
• PEG Ratio: -0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 12.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.45
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.78
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.99
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.39
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 15.73
• 1Y Price Target: $78.60
• Price Target Upside: 17.59% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $74.00 ▲(10.71% Upside)

Moelis & Company shows strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the primary drivers of the stock score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock appears overvalued based on its P/E ratio. These factors collectively result in a moderate overall stock score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant revenue growth reflects strong demand for Moelis' advisory services, indicating robust market positioning and potential for continued expansion.

Strong Balance Sheet

A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and growth.

Strategic Hiring

Strategic hiring in key areas like private capital advisory strengthens Moelis' expertise and service offerings, supporting long-term growth and competitive advantage.

Negative Factors

Cash Level Volatility

Volatility in cash levels could impact liquidity and operational flexibility, posing a risk to financial stability if not managed effectively.

Restructuring Activity

A decline in restructuring activity may limit revenue opportunities in this segment, affecting overall growth if not offset by other areas.

CEO Transition

Leadership changes can introduce uncertainty and require adjustment periods, potentially impacting strategic direction and operational continuity.

Moelis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moelis & Company (MC) is a global investment banking firm that provides financial advisory services to a diverse range of clients, including corporations, governments, and financial sponsors. The company specializes in mergers and acquisitions, restructuring, and capital markets advisory, offering insights and strategic advice across various sectors including technology, healthcare, energy, and consumer products.

How the Company Makes Money

Moelis generates revenue primarily through advisory fees earned from its investment banking services. The company charges clients for its expertise in mergers and acquisitions, restructuring advisory, and other financial consulting services. Key revenue streams include success fees that are contingent on the completion of transactions, retainer fees for ongoing advisory services, and fees for capital raising activities. Additionally, Moelis may benefit from strategic partnerships with other financial institutions, which can enhance its service offerings and client reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Moelis Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moelis demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth, efficient operations, and robust cash flow generation. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage. However, attention should be given to past volatility in margins and cash levels to ensure continued financial stability.

Income Statement

The company's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 15.9% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous annual report. Gross profit margin is healthy at 32.1% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 17.7% and 18.3% respectively, reflecting operational efficiency. The net profit margin improved to 14.3% TTM, showcasing profitability. However, there was volatility in past EBIT margins, which should be monitored.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet presents a solid equity ratio of 38.4% TTM, indicating a stable capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.42 TTM, suggesting moderate leverage. ROE is a strong 38.4% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, there has been a significant decrease in cash and cash equivalents over the last two years, which might affect liquidity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.48 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to profits. Free cash flow grew by 15.3% TTM, reflecting strong cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 2.42 TTM, highlighting substantial free cash relative to net income. Despite this strength, past fluctuations in investing cash flow may pose future challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.47B	1.19B	854.75M	985.30M	1.54B	943.28M
Gross Profit	727.29M	1.19B	140.00M	367.10M	626.70M	382.47M
EBITDA	316.40M	183.39M	-32.03M	224.07M	503.16M	270.42M
Net Income	234.57M	136.02M	-24.70M	150.34M	365.21M	178.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.52B	1.38B	1.18B	1.22B	1.56B	1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	281.58M	412.47M	186.42M	206.79M	520.21M	202.48M
Total Debt	0.00	223.24M	215.68M	192.76M	191.89M	196.61M
Total Liabilities	898.61M	899.55M	817.30M	757.93M	1.08B	751.97M
Stockholders Equity	535.03M	441.61M	352.14M	444.50M	489.07M	479.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	523.41M	415.39M	141.78M	27.04M	920.55M	388.56M
Operating Cash Flow	552.89M	427.49M	158.47M	32.99M	936.98M	429.21M
Investing Cash Flow	-182.55M	17.11M	48.57M	-11.18M	-17.01M	-39.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-231.35M	-215.10M	-229.17M	-326.90M	-602.54M	-351.79M

Moelis Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 66.84
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 66.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.85, below the 50-day MA of 69.73, and above the 200-day MA of 64.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MC.

Moelis Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EVR	76 Outperform	$11.71B	24.20	31.39%	1.12%	27.00%	63.47%
MC	71 Outperform	$5.00B	20.80	51.98%	3.82%	51.19%	456.59%
PIPR	71 Outperform	$5.77B	24.59	19.30%	1.77%	12.77%	36.43%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
LAZ	64 Neutral	$4.70B	19.67	36.41%	4.04%	1.58%	1.93%
PJT	61 Neutral	$5.82B	25.74	―	0.61%	23.16%	64.04%
PWP	53 Neutral	$1.66B	23.13	―	1.48%	20.01%	―

Moelis Corporate Events

Moelis & Company Reports Strong Revenue Growth in 2025

Moelis & Company is a prominent global independent investment bank that offers strategic financial advisory services across various industry sectors, including mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and corporate finance, with a strong presence in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific.

Moelis Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance

On October 29, 2025, Moelis & Company reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025. The company’s adjusted revenues rose by 34% in the third quarter and 37% for the first nine months compared to the previous year. The firm also declared a regular quarterly dividend and highlighted its strategic growth through new hires in key sectors. Moelis & Company maintained a strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt, further supporting its growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Buy with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.