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Piper Sandler (PIPR)
NYSE:PIPR

Piper Sandler (PIPR) AI Stock Analysis

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PIPR

Piper Sandler

(NYSE:PIPR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$384.00
â–²(8.60% Upside)
Piper Sandler's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record revenues and strategic growth in investment banking. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. Cash flow management issues and external risks, such as a government shutdown, also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Margin Profile
High gross (53.82%) and net (13.75%) margins reflect durable fee-based earnings and pricing power across advisory and trading. Sustained margins support reinvestment in talent and technology, provide a buffer through cycles, and underpin long-term profitability and cash generation.
Corporate Investment Banking Franchise
Corporate investment banking revenues of $292M, including $212M in advisory, show a deep advisory franchise and deal-execution capability. Strong DCM/ECM activity and a robust advisory pipeline indicate durable client relationships and repeatable high-fee revenue streams over quarters.
Conservative Leverage and ROE
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.09) alongside a 19.09% ROE signals conservative leverage and efficient capital deployment. This balance sheet strength provides flexibility for strategic hires, acquisitions, or shareholder returns and enhances resilience to capital-markets volatility.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow
A severe decline in free cash flow (-158% TTM) and low operating-cash-to-net-income ratios point to cash conversion issues. Persistent negative FCF reduces capacity to self-fund growth, dividends or buybacks and increases reliance on external financing, weakening structural financial flexibility.
Revenue Concentration / Cycle Exposure
With advisory contributing $212M of CIB revenues, the firm is materially exposed to deal flow cycles. Heavy concentration in advisory and corporate finance amplifies revenue volatility across market cycles and makes earnings more sensitive to sustained downturns in M&A and capital markets activity.
Exposure to Policy/Market Disruptions
Management flagged risks from a government shutdown affecting corporate financing. Dependence on uninterrupted market and regulatory operations means prolonged policy disruptions can delay transactions, compress DCM/ECM activity and materially reduce fee income until resolution.

Piper Sandler (PIPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Piper Sandler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPiper Sandler Companies operates as an investment bank and institutional securities firm that serves corporations, private equity groups, public entities, non-profit entities, and institutional investors in the United States and internationally. The company offers investment banking and institutional sales, trading, and research services for various equity and fixed income products. It provides advisory services, such as mergers and acquisitions, equity private placements, and debt and restructuring advisory; raises capital through equity and debt financings; underwrites municipal issuances; and offers municipal financial advisory and loan placement services, as well as various over-the-counter derivative products. The company also offers public finance investment banking services that focus on state and local governments, and cultural and social service non-profit entities, as well as the education, healthcare, hospitality, senior living, and transportation sectors. In addition, it provides equity and fixed income advisory and trade execution services for institutional investors, and government and non-profit entities. Further, the company is involved in the alternative asset management funds merchant banking and healthcare to invest firm capital and to manage capital from outside investors, as well as trading activities. The company was formerly known as Piper Jaffray Companies and changed its name to Piper Sandler Companies in January 2020. Piper Sandler Companies was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyPiper Sandler generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is investment banking, which includes advisory services for mergers and acquisitions (M&A), capital raising, and underwriting of equity and debt securities. The firm also earns fees from public finance activities, assisting municipalities in funding projects. Additionally, Piper Sandler generates revenue from institutional brokerage services, which encompasses equity research, trading, and sales to institutional investors. The company's asset management division contributes to its earnings by managing investment portfolios for clients, charging management fees based on assets under management. Significant partnerships with various corporations and institutional clients, along with its strong market presence, further enhance its revenue potential.

Piper Sandler Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Advisory Services Completed Transactions
Total Advisory Services Completed Transactions
Counts the number of advisory deals closed, indicating the firm's success in securing and completing client engagements in this competitive sector.
Chart InsightsPiper Sandler's advisory transactions have shown volatility, with a notable dip in 2023 but a recovery trend into 2024. The latest earnings call highlights a strong performance in advisory revenues, up 12% year-over-year, driven by higher fees and strategic acquisitions like G Squared Capital Partners. Despite challenges in corporate financing, the firm maintains growth momentum in advisory services, which is crucial for sustaining overall revenue growth. Investors should note the positive impact of strategic acquisitions and increased dividends, despite anticipated revenue softening in other segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

Piper Sandler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and robust activity in corporate investment banking and debt capital markets advisory. However, there are concerns regarding the potential impact of a government shutdown on corporate financing and ongoing challenges in the consumer sector.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Quarterly Adjusted Net Revenues
Piper Sandler reported quarterly adjusted net revenues of $455 million, a 29% increase over the same period last year.
Strong Performance in Corporate Investment Banking
Corporate investment banking revenues were $292 million, reflecting significant growth over the prior year with a notable advisory component generating $212 million, up 13% year-over-year.
Robust Equity Capital Markets Activity
The third quarter saw strong equity capital markets activity, contributing to a 12% increase in net revenues from the sequential quarter.
Record Year for Debt Capital Markets Advisory
The debt capital markets advisory business is on pace to deliver a third consecutive record year, with higher average fees and a broader client base.
Improved Operating Margin
The company achieved an operating margin of 21.2% for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing its target of 20%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Equity Brokerage Revenues
Equity brokerage revenues for the third quarter of 2025 were down 7% from the second quarter due to moderated volatility.
Potential Impact of Government Shutdown on Corporate Financing
Concerns were raised about the risks to corporate financing if the government shutdown persists, potentially impacting revenues if not resolved in the coming weeks.
Challenges in Consumer Sector
The consumer sector continues to face difficulties, affecting the ability to fully capitalize on market opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the Piper Sandler Companies Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with adjusted net revenues of $455 million, a 21.2% operating margin, and an adjusted EPS of $3.82, all marking improvements over the previous year. The company's corporate investment banking revenues reached $292 million, driven by significant growth in financial services and healthcare advisory and corporate financing. Piper Sandler completed 82 transactions, contributing to $212 million in advisory revenues. The firm also excelled in corporate financing with $80 million in revenues from 38 financings, raising $14 billion. The company's public finance and brokerage businesses generated $39 million and $54 million, respectively, while fixed income revenues were $56 million. Piper Sandler's ongoing investment in talent and strategic acquisitions in the technology sector, including the G Squared acquisition, has bolstered its capabilities and positioned it well for future growth. Looking ahead, the company expects a robust advisory pipeline for the fourth quarter, although corporate financing revenues may moderate from the third quarter's peak.

Piper Sandler Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Piper Sandler shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a robust gross profit margin of 53.82% and a net profit margin of 13.75%. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but cash flow management is a concern due to negative free cash flow growth and low cash flow coverage ratios.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Piper Sandler's income statement shows a strong revenue growth rate of 7.22% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is robust at 53.82%, and the net profit margin has improved to 13.75%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while healthy, suggest room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is strong at 19.09%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly mentioned, which could provide additional insights into asset financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -158.31% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential cash flow management issues. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio further highlights cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.48B1.31B1.38B1.98B1.20B
Gross Profit1.67B1.48B1.30B1.37B1.97B1.18B
EBITDA294.37M245.48M159.96M165.38M484.22M123.97M
Net Income236.42M181.11M85.49M110.67M278.51M40.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.22B2.26B2.14B2.18B2.57B2.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.00M482.83M383.10M365.62M970.97M507.94M
Total Debt114.66M98.82M164.16M234.77M214.63M294.48M
Total Liabilities756.66M840.16M841.51M927.53M1.34B1.07B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.23B1.09B1.05B1.06B829.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.05M297.76M265.58M-255.51M686.51M762.18M
Operating Cash Flow20.66M313.25M275.63M-224.91M707.09M779.76M
Investing Cash Flow-48.81M-31.77M-10.05M-127.10M-20.58M-435.00M
Financing Cash Flow-206.81M-180.61M-249.59M-250.06M-223.12M-87.56M

Piper Sandler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price353.60
Price Trends
50DMA
349.08
Negative
100DMA
344.38
Positive
200DMA
313.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.48
Positive
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
14.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PIPR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 353.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 361.97, above the 50-day MA of 349.08, and above the 200-day MA of 313.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PIPR.

Piper Sandler Risk Analysis

Piper Sandler disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Piper Sandler reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Piper Sandler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.87B24.4051.98%3.69%51.19%456.59%
72
Outperform
$12.85B21.5111.72%1.43%7.54%2.73%
71
Outperform
$8.69B27.4891.85%0.58%23.16%64.04%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$6.26B26.6319.30%1.63%12.77%36.43%
64
Neutral
$5.01B20.9530.80%4.06%1.58%1.93%
60
Neutral
$12.76B21.846.36%2.52%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PIPR
Piper Sandler
353.60
49.66
16.34%
JEF
Jefferies
61.85
-13.77
-18.21%
LAZ
Lazard
52.61
-0.29
-0.55%
SF
Stifel Financial
126.24
10.62
9.19%
MC
Moelis
72.90
-1.80
-2.41%
PJT
PJT Partners
178.73
14.91
9.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025