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Piper Sandler (PIPR)
NYSE:PIPR

Piper Sandler (PIPR) AI Stock Analysis

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PIPR

Piper Sandler

(NYSE:PIPR)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$330.00
â–²(339.71% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by a strong financial recovery and very low leverage, reinforced by an upbeat earnings outlook and shareholder-return actions. These positives are tempered by weak current technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~20 with a ~1.9% yield).
Positive Factors
Advisory Business Strength
Advisory now drives the majority of fees with $1.0B+ in revenues and 28% YoY growth, plus a #2 rank in U.S. M&A under $1B. This durable, fee‑based franchise tilts the revenue mix toward higher‑margin, repeatable advisory mandates and builds long‑term client relationships, supporting sustained profitability and market share gains versus trading‑dependent peers.
Negative Factors
Pronounced Cyclicality
The business remains strongly cyclical, with revenue and margins swinging materially year‑to‑year. That structural cyclicality reduces predictability of earnings and free cash flow, complicates workforce and compensation planning, and increases the chance of temporary underinvestment or defensive cost cuts in weaker market periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Advisory Business Strength
Advisory now drives the majority of fees with $1.0B+ in revenues and 28% YoY growth, plus a #2 rank in U.S. M&A under $1B. This durable, fee‑based franchise tilts the revenue mix toward higher‑margin, repeatable advisory mandates and builds long‑term client relationships, supporting sustained profitability and market share gains versus trading‑dependent peers.
Read all positive factors

Piper Sandler (PIPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Piper Sandler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Piper Sandler Companies operates as an investment bank and institutional securities firm that serves corporations, private equity groups, public entities, non-profit entities, and institutional investors in the United States and internationally. T...
How the Company Makes Money
Piper Sandler primarily earns revenue through fees and commissions tied to investment banking and institutional securities activities. A major portion of revenue comes from investment banking advisory and underwriting fees, including (1) M&A and o...

Piper Sandler Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Advisory Services Completed Transactions
Total Advisory Services Completed Transactions
Counts the number of advisory deals closed, indicating the firm's success in securing and completing client engagements in this competitive sector.
Chart InsightsPiper Sandler's advisory transactions have shown volatility, with a notable dip in 2023 but a recovery trend into 2024. The latest earnings call highlights a strong performance in advisory revenues, up 12% year-over-year, driven by higher fees and strategic acquisitions like G Squared Capital Partners. Despite challenges in corporate financing, the firm maintains growth momentum in advisory services, which is crucial for sustaining overall revenue growth. Investors should note the positive impact of strategic acquisitions and increased dividends, despite anticipated revenue softening in other segments.
Data provided by:The Fly

Piper Sandler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed strong performance and momentum: record quarterly and annual revenues, robust advisory growth (including non-M&A advisory and debt capital markets), record equity brokerage results, improved operating leverage, meaningful shareholder returns (including a special dividend and stock split), and strategic investments in talent and capabilities. Near-term headwinds cited include Q4 fixed income softness, equity markets volatility affecting ECM, seasonal unpredictability for Q1, and modestly higher non-compensation costs related to relocations and investments. On balance the positives materially outweigh the challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Q4 and Strong Full-Year Financials
Adjusted net revenues of $635 million in Q4 (record), Q4 operating margin 27.2%, adjusted EPS $6.88; full-year adjusted net revenues $1.9 billion, full-year operating margin 21.9%, adjusted EPS $17.74.
Negative Updates
Q4 Fixed Income Softness
Fixed income revenues were $48 million in Q4, down from a strong Q3 and the year-ago period, signaling near-term softness in trading revenue despite full-year fixed income up 9% to $203 million.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Q4 and Strong Full-Year Financials
Adjusted net revenues of $635 million in Q4 (record), Q4 operating margin 27.2%, adjusted EPS $6.88; full-year adjusted net revenues $1.9 billion, full-year operating margin 21.9%, adjusted EPS $17.74.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to a constructive 2026 outlook, saying the advisory pipeline is building and they expect another strong year of advisory revenue (after advisory produced ~$1.0B in 2025, 55% of net revenues, and grew 28% year‑over‑year), with corporate IB aiming to grow annual revenues to $2.0B+ over the medium term; January ECM and financing activity are healthy and public finance issuance should be similar to 2025 (municipal financings generated $146M for the year, 555 negotiated transactions raising $19B par) with a return to normalized seasonality. They expect equity brokerage revenues to be roughly flat with 2025 (record $230M, ~1,700 unique clients, 11B shares traded), see more client activity ahead as rates are anticipated to fall (driving additional DCM/PCA and M&A work), and reiterated capital/expense guidance: 2026 compensation ratio to be similar to 2025 (~60.1% Q4 / 61.4% FY), a modest increase in non‑compensation costs (notably a New York office relocation) with full‑year non‑comp expense ratio broadly in line with 2025, an effective tax rate around 30% excluding the $30M RS vesting benefit, and ongoing shareholder returns (Board approved a $5.00 special dividend plus a $0.70 quarterly dividend, a 4‑for‑1 split effective March 24, 2026, and potential to lean into buybacks).

Piper Sandler Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 rebound with solid profitability (EBIT margin ~20% and net margin ~15%), very conservative leverage (debt-to-equity trending down to near-zero) and attractive ROE (~19%). Offsets include pronounced cyclicality across years and volatile cash flow (negative in 2022 and an unusually large negative FCF growth print in 2025).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.48B1.31B1.38B1.98B
Gross Profit1.78B1.48B1.30B1.37B1.97B
EBITDA412.92M245.48M159.96M165.38M484.22M
Net Income281.33M181.11M85.49M110.67M278.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.002.26B2.14B2.18B2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00482.83M383.10M365.62M970.97M
Total Debt0.0098.82M164.16M234.77M214.63M
Total Liabilities-1.46B840.16M841.51M927.53M1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.46B1.23B1.09B1.05B1.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow697.53M297.76M265.58M-255.51M686.51M
Operating Cash Flow732.19M313.25M275.63M-224.91M707.09M
Investing Cash Flow-178.01M-31.77M-10.05M-127.10M-20.58M
Financing Cash Flow-229.94M-180.61M-249.59M-250.06M-223.12M

Piper Sandler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price75.05
Price Trends
50DMA
80.12
Negative
100DMA
81.94
Negative
200DMA
80.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.38
Negative
RSI
48.25
Neutral
STOCH
59.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PIPR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 75.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.54, below the 50-day MA of 80.12, and below the 200-day MA of 80.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PIPR.

Piper Sandler Risk Analysis

Piper Sandler disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Piper Sandler reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Piper Sandler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.35B12.5421.69%1.63%12.77%36.43%
71
Outperform
$4.43B22.1344.30%3.69%51.19%456.59%
71
Outperform
$3.37B23.8884.45%0.58%23.16%64.04%
70
Outperform
$11.18B12.5511.96%1.43%7.54%2.73%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$3.87B19.9930.96%4.06%1.58%1.93%
56
Neutral
$8.32B15.359.22%2.52%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PIPR
Piper Sandler
75.05
14.75
24.45%
JEF
Jefferies
40.28
-10.45
-20.59%
LAZ
Lazard
41.25
-0.17
-0.42%
SF
Stifel Financial
72.24
10.73
17.45%
MC
Moelis
55.44
-0.11
-0.20%
PJT
PJT Partners
139.20
4.08
3.02%

Piper Sandler Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Piper Sandler Completes Four-for-One Forward Stock Split
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
On March 23, 2026, Piper Sandler Companies implemented a previously announced four-for-one forward stock split of its common stock, maintaining the $0.01 par value while increasing authorized shares from 100 million to 400 million. The amendment t...
Stock Split
Piper Sandler Announces Four-for-One Forward Stock Split
Positive
Feb 6, 2026
On February 6, 2026, Piper Sandler announced that its board of directors approved a four-for-one forward stock split of the company’s common stock, to be implemented by increasing the number of authorized shares through an amendment to its c...
Executive/Board Changes
Piper Sandler Expands Board, Appoints New Independent Director
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
Effective February 4, 2026, Piper Sandler Companies expanded its board of directors from nine to ten members and elected Stuart M. Essig as a director for an initial term ending at the firm’s 2026 annual meeting of shareholders, also appoint...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026