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Stifel Financial Corp (SF)
NYSE:SF
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Stifel Financial (SF) AI Stock Analysis

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SF

Stifel Financial

(NYSE:SF)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$128.00
▲(10.12% Upside)
Stifel Financial scores well due to strong earnings call highlights and positive technical indicators, despite moderate financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's strategic growth and market position are promising, although attention is needed on profitability metrics.
Positive Factors
Client Assets and Market Levels
Client assets increased to $501B, reflecting a rise in equity market levels and successful recruiting efforts.
Recruitment and Team Expansion
Recruiting momentum continued to accelerate, with the strongest quarter since 2015, and a healthy pipeline of larger teams should provide a tailwind over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Client Money Markets and Insured Products
Client money markets and insured product balances fell 1% month-over-month, driven by a decrease in sweep deposits and lower Smart Rate balances.
Investment Banking Revenue
Investment banking guidance indicates a 10% decline in revenue compared to the previous year, partly due to market volatility.

Stifel Financial (SF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stifel Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStifel Financial Corp., a financial services and bank holding company, provides retail and institutional wealth management, and investment banking services to individual investors, corporations, municipalities, and institutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and Canada. It operates in three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. The company provides private client services, including securities transaction and financial planning services; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading and research, and municipal finance services; investment banking services, such as mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements; and retail and commercial banking services comprising personal and commercial lending programs, as well as deposit accounts. It also participates in and manages underwritings for corporate and public finance; and offers financial advisory and securities brokerage services. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyStifel Financial generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, it earns income from Wealth Management services, which include commissions from trading, advisory fees from managed accounts, and performance-based fees. The Institutional Group contributes to revenue through trading and underwriting services, while the Investment Banking segment generates fees from advisory services related to mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements. Additionally, Stifel has strategic partnerships and alliances that enhance its service offerings, and it benefits from a network of offices and advisors that expand its market reach. Overall, the company's diversified revenue model helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations and provides steady income across various economic conditions.

Stifel Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Stifel Financial's strong performance in the second quarter of 2025, with record net revenue and significant achievements in Global Wealth Management. The company also made strategic moves with successful acquisitions and adaptations in Europe. However, challenges in the European restructuring and the nonperforming asset ratio were noted as areas of concern. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the challenges, reflecting a strong positioning for the second half of the year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Second Quarter Net Revenue
Stifel Financial achieved a record second quarter net revenue of $1.28 billion, representing a 6% year-over-year growth, with gains across most segments except for a modest decline in advisory.
Strong Global Wealth Management Performance
Global Wealth Management posted its strongest second quarter ever with record client asset levels and higher net interest income. It was ranked #1 overall in the J.D. Power Advisor Satisfaction Study for the third straight year.
Institutional Business Resilience
The Institutional business showed resilience with a 7% year-over-year revenue increase and record fixed income revenue.
Successful Acquisition of Bryan Garnier
Stifel completed the acquisition of Bryan Garnier, a European boutique investment bank, supporting its European operations by expanding advisory and investment banking focus.
Improved Market Conditions
Investor sentiment improved significantly due to greater clarity on tariff and tax policy, leading to a rebound in M&A and capital markets activity.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe
Stifel incurred $28 million in severance and restructuring charges as part of a shift in focus in European operations towards investment banking and away from sales and trading.
Nonperforming Asset Ratio
The nonperforming asset ratio stands at 51 basis points, which is a notable metric to monitor.
Company Guidance
During the Stifel Financial Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the remainder of the year. Stifel reported record net revenue of $1.28 billion and core EPS of $1.71, which represents a 6% year-over-year growth and a return on tangible common equity of 22%. Global Wealth Management achieved record client asset levels of $517 billion and demonstrated strong recruitment with 82 new advisers added, contributing to a 5% annualized increase in net new assets by June. The Institutional Group generated $420 million in revenue, up 7% year-over-year, with significant contributions from investment banking and fixed income underwriting, which rose 18% sequentially. Stifel also highlighted its strategic acquisition of Bryan Garnier to enhance its European advisory operations. Looking forward, the company anticipates continued growth, supported by improving market conditions and strong recruitment momentum, and expects to maintain its compensation ratio at 58% with non-compensation expenses around 20% of revenues.

Stifel Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stifel Financial's financial health is moderate, with strengths in cash flow management and a stable balance sheet. However, there are concerns in the income statement, particularly with declining profitability metrics and inconsistent revenue growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Stifel Financial's income statement shows mixed results. The gross profit margin is solid, indicating efficient cost management. However, the recent negative EBIT margin in TTM reflects operational challenges. Net profit margin has declined, suggesting pressure on profitability. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong, with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio indicating controlled leverage. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, return on equity has seen a downward trend, which can be concerning for long-term profitability potential.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends, with a strong free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation. Operating cash flow has increased, showcasing robust cash management. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent, highlighting potential volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27B5.95B5.10B4.54B4.68B3.70B
Gross Profit3.41B4.94B4.27B4.33B1.33B849.82M
EBITDA1.05B1.18B788.15M955.33M1.24B0.00
Net Income620.80M731.38M522.54M662.15M824.86M503.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.38B39.90B37.73B37.20B34.05B26.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.03B3.00B3.36B1.67B4.08B4.51B
Total Debt3.03B1.54B2.00B1.17B1.17B1.17B
Total Liabilities34.85B34.21B32.43B31.87B29.01B22.37B
Stockholders Equity5.54B5.69B5.29B5.33B5.03B4.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow635.80M416.65M447.35M1.08B683.92M1.59B
Operating Cash Flow888.95M490.44M499.33M1.16B872.09M1.66B
Investing Cash Flow-2.96B-2.31B923.96M-4.32B-6.97B-1.69B
Financing Cash Flow1.35B980.10M-254.58M3.19B5.79B1.20B

Stifel Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.24
Price Trends
50DMA
105.69
Positive
100DMA
97.99
Positive
200DMA
102.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.12
Positive
RSI
66.65
Neutral
STOCH
70.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.72, above the 50-day MA of 105.69, and above the 200-day MA of 102.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SF.

Stifel Financial Risk Analysis

Stifel Financial disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stifel Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stifel Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.60B32.6020.38%1.18%23.39%29.86%
76
Outperform
$11.90B28.0029.16%1.03%23.24%55.76%
76
Outperform
$5.96B28.4317.91%1.66%10.46%50.47%
75
Outperform
$11.70B22.1411.11%1.51%8.76%10.32%
74
Outperform
$5.09B18.6350.41%3.61%10.40%91.75%
68
Neutral
$12.63B23.215.75%2.38%1.00%46.98%
62
Neutral
C$15.63B6.6713.72%5.98%22.38%-10.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SF
Stifel Financial
116.24
32.73
39.19%
EVR
Evercore Partners
314.87
76.16
31.90%
JEF
Jefferies
62.99
7.23
12.97%
LAZ
Lazard
55.41
9.43
20.51%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
336.53
74.09
28.23%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
196.58
47.37
31.75%

Stifel Financial Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Stifel Financial Reports May 2025 Operating Results
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. reported its operating results for May 31, 2025, highlighting a 3% increase in total client assets and a 4% rise in fee-based assets due to recruiting and market appreciation. Despite a slight decline in client money market and insured product levels, investment banking activity showed signs of recovery after being affected by market volatility in April, with expectations of a 10% decrease in investment banking revenue for the quarter compared to the same period in 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Stifel Financial Announces Co-President Victor Nesi’s Retirement
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. announced the retirement of Victor Nesi, Co-President and Head of the Institutional Group, effective July 1, 2025. Nesi, who has been with the company since 2009, will join the Board of Directors upon his retirement. Under his leadership, the Institutional Group saw significant growth, with revenues increasing from $391 million in 2008 to $2.2 billion in 2021. His strategic vision and leadership have positioned the group for continued success, and he leaves behind a seasoned leadership team to carry forward the firm’s culture and momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Stifel Financial Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where eleven directors were elected to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the executive compensation and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025. The meeting saw a significant shareholder turnout, with 97,820,030 shares represented, indicating strong engagement in corporate governance matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Hold with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stifel Financial Reports April 2025 Asset Growth
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Stifel Financial Corp. reported its operating results for April 2025, showing a 7% increase in total client assets and an 11% rise in fee-based assets compared to the previous year, attributed to market appreciation and successful recruitment of financial advisors. Despite significant market volatility, the company maintained stable asset levels month-on-month, while client money market and insured product balances decreased by 5% due to seasonal factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SF) stock is a Hold with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stifel Financial stock, see the SF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025