tiprankstipranks
Jefferies Group (JEF)
NYSE:JEF
Want to see JEF full AI Analyst Report?

Jefferies (JEF) AI Stock Analysis

938 Followers

Top Page

JEF

Jefferies

(NYSE:JEF)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(6.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is mainly held back by elevated leverage and weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow) despite modest revenue growth and positive net profitability. Technicals also lean weak with the stock below key moving averages and a low RSI, while valuation is only moderately supportive due to a higher P/E that is partially offset by the dividend yield. Corporate events are a mild positive due to continued capital markets access, but do not fully offset balance-sheet risk.
Positive Factors
Investment banking growth
Sustained, broad-based growth in advisory and underwriting revenues indicates durable franchise expansion. Market share gains and a growing addressable market support recurring fee pools and backlog conversion over multiple quarters, reducing reliance on a single deal or cyclical short-term spikes.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A materially higher leverage posture reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to market funding conditions. Elevated debt amplifies earnings volatility via higher interest burden and constrains the firm's ability to deploy capital or absorb shocks in downturns, a structural balance-sheet risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Investment banking growth
Sustained, broad-based growth in advisory and underwriting revenues indicates durable franchise expansion. Market share gains and a growing addressable market support recurring fee pools and backlog conversion over multiple quarters, reducing reliance on a single deal or cyclical short-term spikes.
Read all positive factors

Jefferies (JEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jefferies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as a diversified global financial services firm, primarily focused on investment banking, capital markets, and asset management. Its extensive operations span the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, a...
How the Company Makes Money
Jefferies primarily makes money through its investment banking and capital markets franchise at Jefferies LLC. Key revenue streams include: (1) Investment banking fees: advisory fees from mergers and acquisitions and other strategic advisory work;...

Jefferies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Top-line growth is modest in TTM and profitability is positive but cyclical/volatile. The main drags are the sharply higher leverage profile and persistently negative operating and free cash flow in TTM, which weakens earnings quality and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.22B10.82B10.52B7.44B7.15B8.95B
Gross Profit6.60B6.46B6.22B4.51B3.77B4.62B
EBITDA1.12B1.06B4.68B3.21B2.42B3.34B
Net Income741.85M710.48M743.38M277.69M785.45M1.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.38B76.01B64.36B57.91B51.06B56.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.96B14.04B12.15B8.53B9.70B10.76B
Total Debt32.31B23.76B20.36B16.09B13.72B11.42B
Total Liabilities63.72B65.37B54.13B48.10B40.76B45.38B
Stockholders Equity10.61B10.57B10.16B9.71B10.23B10.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-93.97M-1.71B-459.84M-1.93B1.58B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow128.78M-1.50B-209.25M-1.93B1.80B1.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.84B-298.81M210.31M-12.20M-60.54M-409.87M
Financing Cash Flow2.34B3.59B3.35B1.06B-2.84B994.29M

Jefferies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.09
Price Trends
50DMA
53.13
Negative
100DMA
48.97
Positive
200DMA
53.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
40.12
Neutral
STOCH
19.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JEF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.05, below the 50-day MA of 53.13, and below the 200-day MA of 53.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JEF.

Jefferies Risk Analysis

Jefferies disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jefferies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jefferies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.19B17.7341.05%0.95%47.30%68.64%
76
Outperform
$5.81B19.7021.56%1.63%30.99%32.50%
73
Outperform
$9.59B21.5918.79%1.33%9.48%5.23%
71
Outperform
$11.02B8.6615.14%1.43%9.07%45.94%
71
Outperform
$5.41B22.5942.00%3.69%19.19%26.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
45
Neutral
$10.49B26.587.08%2.52%16.38%39.47%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JEF
Jefferies
51.30
-4.01
-7.25%
EVR
Evercore Partners
341.04
56.51
19.86%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
72.14
0.64
0.89%
SF
Stifel Financial
71.85
0.29
0.41%
MC
Moelis
66.42
3.18
5.03%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
137.96
-44.78
-24.50%

Jefferies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jefferies Issues $1.1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. entered into a purchase agreement with a syndicate of underwriters led by Jefferies LLC and SMBC Nikko Securities America, Inc. to issue and sell $1.1 billion aggregate principal amount of 5.125% S...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jefferies Prices $1.1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. announced it had priced a $1.1 billion public offering of 5.125% Senior Notes due April 28, 2031, with an effective yield of 5.304%. The debt issue, expected to settle on April 28, 2026 pending cus...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Jefferies Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Capital Changes
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
At Jefferies’ recent annual meeting, shareholders voted to re-elect all nominated directors to the board, with each candidate receiving strong majority support despite varying levels of opposition and abstentions. Investors also backed, on a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2026