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Houlihan Lokey (HLI)
NYSE:HLI
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Houlihan Lokey (HLI) AI Stock Analysis

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HLI

Houlihan Lokey

(NYSE:HLI)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$137.00
â–¼(-2.30% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
HLI scores 64 driven primarily by strong underlying financial health (solid margins, low leverage, and good cash conversion). The score is held back by weak technicals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and a mixed earnings-call backdrop where significant near-term deal delays weighed on results despite management citing record pipeline and steady cost discipline.
Positive Factors
Healthy margins and profitability
Sustained high operating and net margins reflect advisory pricing power and low capital intensity. Durable margin structure supports cash generation through cycles, funds reinvestment and shareholder returns, and provides a buffer versus revenue volatility inherent in deal-driven models.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and uneven revenue trends
Advisory revenue depends on deal activity and is inherently lumpy. Persistent volatility in top-line growth increases forecasting uncertainty, pressures leverageable cost structures, and can compress realized profitability during extended weak deal environments despite solid margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy margins and profitability
Sustained high operating and net margins reflect advisory pricing power and low capital intensity. Durable margin structure supports cash generation through cycles, funds reinvestment and shareholder returns, and provides a buffer versus revenue volatility inherent in deal-driven models.
Read all positive factors

Houlihan Lokey (HLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Houlihan Lokey Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is a prominent global investment banking firm offering a comprehensive suite of financial advisory services. These include expertise in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), capital markets, financial restructuring, and valuation. T...
How the Company Makes Money
Houlihan Lokey primarily makes money by earning advisory fees for executing client engagements, with revenue recognized when advisory services are performed and transactions or milestones are achieved. Its key revenue streams are: (1) Corporate Fi...

Houlihan Lokey Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced meaningful near-term challenges — notably a 24% decline in Corporate Finance revenue and a ~54% drop in technology-related revenue — with offsetting strengths such as overall profitability (adjusted EPS $1.35), FVA growth (+13% revenue, +9% fee events), a healthy restructuring outlook, record backlog/pipeline metrics, stable compensation discipline (61.5% ratio), active M&A/talent strategy, and continued investment in AI and data capabilities. Management framed the results as a temporary disruption tied to identifiable macro factors and emphasized that most delayed transactions remain in the pipeline, supporting medium-term confidence.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and EPS
Total revenues of $511 million and adjusted EPS of $1.35 for Q1 fiscal 2027, demonstrating continued profitability despite near-term headwinds.
Negative Updates
Corporate Finance Revenue Decline
Corporate Finance revenues were $303 million, down 24% year-over-year. Although closed transactions were flat at 127, the average transaction fee on closed deals decreased significantly as larger fee deals were disproportionately delayed.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Revenue and EPS
Total revenues of $511 million and adjusted EPS of $1.35 for Q1 fiscal 2027, demonstrating continued profitability despite near-term headwinds.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance and targets emphasized operational stability and specific fiscal-year targets alongside quarter metrics: Q1 results were revenue $511M and adjusted EPS $1.35, with Corporate Finance revenues $303M (‑24% YoY) on 127 closed transactions (flat YoY) and lower average fees, Financial Restructuring $119M with 23 closed transactions (‑34% YoY) and higher average fees, and Financial & Valuation Advisory $89M (+13% YoY) with 1,042 fee events (+9% YoY vs 957). For fiscal 2027 they reaffirm a long‑term adjusted compensation expense ratio target of 61.5% (Q1 61.5% vs 61.5% prior year), expect adjusted non‑compensation expense growth for the year similar to last year (Q1 non‑comp $100M, +6% vs $94M), and forecast a full‑year adjusted effective tax rate of 26–28% (Q1 ETR 13% vs ‑1% prior year). They also said restructuring should be a solid, elevated year, noted record backlog/pipeline/new‑mandate levels in Corporate Finance, expect the Intrepid acquisition to close by end of Q2 adding 32 colleagues, and reported ~1.3M shares issued and ~1.1M repurchased (≈800k withheld, ≈300k via repurchase).

Houlihan Lokey Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are strong overall: healthy profitability (TTM net margin ~16%, operating margin ~22%), conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.22), and solid cash conversion (FCF ~97% of net income). The main constraint is cyclicality and mixed near-term momentum, with uneven revenue trends and a recent decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.52B2.62B2.39B1.91B1.81B2.27B
Gross Profit1.28B2.57B919.92M737.05M696.64M861.32M
EBITDA594.44M604.90M597.59M427.63M435.03M661.40M
Net Income406.16M425.70M399.71M280.30M254.22M437.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.72B4.31B3.82B3.17B2.97B2.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments797.00M1.36B1.14B728.80M720.69M833.70M
Total Debt493.00M492.11M438.19M415.41M374.87M197.63M
Total Liabilities1.35B1.86B1.64B1.33B1.36B1.44B
Stockholders Equity2.25B2.34B2.17B1.84B1.61B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow484.63M681.82M808.91M261.73M85.54M727.92M
Operating Cash Flow499.76M704.13M848.61M328.46M136.27M736.60M
Investing Cash Flow4.53M2.18M-265.06M-70.41M-3.00M-273.91M
Financing Cash Flow-513.32M-492.94M-329.07M-250.59M-240.46M-459.06M

Houlihan Lokey Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price140.23
Price Trends
50DMA
137.51
Negative
100DMA
143.30
Negative
200DMA
158.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.18
Positive
RSI
40.65
Neutral
STOCH
45.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 140.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.55, above the 50-day MA of 137.51, and below the 200-day MA of 158.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HLI.

Houlihan Lokey Risk Analysis

Houlihan Lokey disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Houlihan Lokey reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
If the Final Conversion Date occurs, the voting power of shares of our common stock controlled by the HL Voting Trust would significantly decline and the voting power of shares held by our other holders of Class A common stock would significantly increase, which could affect our status as a "controlled company", change the holders of the voting power of our common stock and ultimately affect the market price of our Class A common stock in ways we cannot anticipate. Q1, 2026

Houlihan Lokey Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$12.57B9.1216.36%1.79%11.06%60.96%
73
Outperform
$5.44B22.1443.55%3.88%13.69%12.33%
72
Outperform
$5.39B16.6522.90%2.59%32.12%40.51%
71
Outperform
$12.40B16.7053.00%1.00%45.68%59.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$8.77B20.6117.78%1.78%1.59%-1.40%
60
Neutral
$12.59B14.728.51%2.86%29.74%35.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
129.00
-57.07
-30.67%
EVR
Evercore Partners
305.94
13.26
4.53%
JEF
Jefferies
56.62
-0.19
-0.33%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
74.79
-3.91
-4.97%
SF
Stifel Financial
83.09
9.94
13.58%
MC
Moelis
66.63
-1.31
-1.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026