tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
WisdomTree (WT)
NYSE:WT

WisdomTree (WT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
554 Followers

Top Page

WT

WisdomTree

(NYSE:WT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(14.20% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong operating results and cash generation alongside very positive earnings-call momentum and guidance (record AUM, organic inflows, margin expansion). Technicals also support the view with a strong uptrend, though overbought signals add near-term risk. Valuation is the main drag due to a higher P/E and low dividend yield, and leverage remains a key financial risk.
Positive Factors
Record AUM and Diversified Inflows
Sustained, large AUM growth increases fee-bearing scale and reduces reliance on any single product or region. Diverse net inflows across ETFs, models, metals and Europe improve revenue stability, support distribution leverage, and amplify long-term organic revenue generation.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Robust free cash flow growth provides durable internal funding for marketing, product launches, buybacks and dividends without excessive external financing. Steady cash conversion enhances financial flexibility to invest in distribution and private/tokenized offerings over the medium term.
Margin Expansion and Operating Leverage
Sustained margin expansion reflects scalable fee-based economics and improving product mix (higher fee yields from metals, Europe, models). Higher operating leverage supports durable profitability as AUM grows, helping absorb incremental marketing and platform investments.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Elevated leverage raises fixed financing costs and reduces resilience to AUM declines or market shocks. High debt amplifies refinancing and interest-rate risk, constrains flexibility for opportunistic investments, and can pressure credit metrics if revenue growth softens.
Lumpy Performance Fee Revenue
Material reliance on performance fees and asset-price sensitive revenues increases earnings volatility and complicates multi-period planning. Lumpy fees make operating results less predictable, affecting capital allocation, dividend consistency, and investor assessment of recurring earnings power.
Convertible Notes: Dilution & Interest Costs
Outstanding convertibles create near-term dilution and ~ $40M of annual interest expense, which can depress EPS and ROE until retirements. Financing-related share increases and fixed interest burdens reduce net income available to equity holders and limit capital allocation flexibility.

WisdomTree (WT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WisdomTree Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWisdomTree, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an exchange-traded funds (ETFs) sponsor and asset manager. It offers ETFs in equities, currency, fixed income, and alternatives asset classes. The company also licenses its indexes to third parties for proprietary products, as well as offers a platform to promote the use of WisdomTree ETFs in 401(k) plans. It develops index using its fundamentally weighted index methodology. In addition, the company provides investment advisory services. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyWisdomTree generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets under management (AUM) in its ETFs and other investment products. These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of AUM and are collected on an ongoing basis. Additionally, the company may earn performance fees from certain investment strategies that exceed predetermined benchmarks. WisdomTree also engages in securities lending, where it lends out securities held in its funds to generate additional income. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and distribution agreements enhance its market reach and contribute to its overall earnings by facilitating the sale and distribution of its products.

WisdomTree Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad-based and diversified growth: record and expanding AUM, strong organic inflows, meaningful revenue and operating margin expansion, and fast traction in metals, European listed products, models/SMAs and tokenization. Management updated guidance reflecting operating leverage (lower comp ratio range and improved gross margin) while outlining intentional incremental investments (higher discretionary spend) and noting a few near-term headwinds (seasonal Q1 comp, forecasting variability from performance fees, modest Q4 outflows, and potential dilution from convertible notes). On balance the positive operational and financial momentum, strategic product and distribution wins, and margin expansion materially outweigh the manageable near-term risks called out on the call.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record and Rapidly Growing AUM
Assets under management ended the year at $144.5B (a record), up 5% from Q3 and over 30% year-over-year; global AUM subsequently reached $160.8B, up $16B or 11% from year-end driven by favorable markets and nearly $2B of net inflows to start the year.
Strong Organic Flows and Growth Rate
Generated $8.5B of net inflows for the year, representing an ~8% organic growth rate; multiple growth engines produced diversified inflows across regions and asset classes.
Material European Franchise Expansion
European listed products AUM rose from $30.7B to $53.3B (~+74%), supported by more than $6B of net inflows (including $4.3B into the UCITS franchise and ~$1B into commodity products), with European revenues rising as ~70% of those revenues are asset-based.
Substantial Revenue and Margin Improvement
Adjusted revenues for the quarter were $147.4M (+17% vs Q3; ~+33% vs prior year quarter); full-year adjusted revenues grew ~15.4% year-over-year and adjusted operating margin expanded nearly 300 basis points to 36.5%.
Successful Ceres Acquisition and Private Assets Expansion
Ceres acquisition (closed Oct 1) added almost $2B in farmland strategies, contributed ~$12M of revenue in the quarter (including $7.1M of performance fees), and expanded annual revenue capture and operating margins by >200 basis points.
Metals and Thematics Momentum
Metals strategies AUM increased 83% with >$1B of net inflows across the suite; metals now represent ~28.5% of global AUM. Thematic launches (e.g., rare earths) saw rapid traction — one rare earth fund grew from $100M in November to $700M; three strategic metals funds total ~$1.4B.
Model/SMAs and Tokenization Traction
Model AUA grew to over $6B from $3.8B at end of 2024 (~+58%); tokenized AUM reached ~$770M from essentially zero a year ago; WisdomTree Connect expanded from 4 to 29 onboarded institutions and wallets holding WisdomTree assets exceeded 3,500.
Updated 2026 Operating Leverage and Guidance Highlights
Guidance forecasts a lower compensation-to-revenue ratio of 26–28% (a ~2 percentage-point downward shift), gross margin 82–83% (vs 81.9% prior year), discretionary spend $80–$86M (planned marketing/sales investments) and interest expense ~ $40M for 2026 with expected decline after convertible note retirements.
Negative Updates
Modest Q4 Outflows and Flow Variability
Management noted modest outflows in Q4 despite strong full-year inflows, indicating some quarter-to-quarter flow volatility and sensitivity to market rotations and product demand.
Increased Discretionary Spending
Discretionary spending guidance increased to $80M–$86M versus $71M last year (incremental marketing, sales/distribution and Ceres-related costs), which could pressure near-term margins if AUM/revenue growth slows.
Near-Term Compensation Seasonality and Q1 Pressure
First-quarter compensation-to-revenue ratio is expected to be ~30% (seasonally higher due to payroll taxes/benefits/year-end bonuses) before stepping down to the 26–28% annual range, creating near-term EPS headwinds in Q1.
Forecasting Uncertainty from Performance Fees and Other Revenue
Ceres contributed $7.1M of performance fees this quarter (driven by farmland price appreciation and solar developments) — management flagged these fees and other revenue items as difficult to forecast and potentially lumpy going forward.
Potential Dilution and Interest Expense from Convertible Notes
Weighted average diluted shares expected to be 152M–157M (vs 145M prior year), implying ~7M–12M incremental shares tied to convertible notes; interest expense forecasted at ~$40M for 2026 until convertible retirements — both items introduce dilution and financing cost considerations.
Company Guidance
For 2026 WisdomTree provided detailed financial guidance: they expect a compensation-to-revenue ratio of 26%–28% (a roughly 2 percentage‑point downward shift versus prior guidance) with first‑quarter comp running about 30% before stepping down to the annual range; discretionary spending of $80M–$86M (vs. $71M in 2025) primarily for marketing, sales/distribution and Ceres-related costs; gross margin of 82%–83% (vs. 81.9% in 2025) with upside as AUM grows; third‑party distribution expense of $17M–$19M (vs. $16M); interest expense of about $40M for the year (roughly $10.5M in Q1 and Q2, then about $9.5M per quarter in H2) and interest income of ~ $8M; an adjusted tax rate of ~24%; and weighted average diluted shares of 152M–157M (vs. 145M last year), which contemplates roughly $7M–$12M of incremental shares tied to convertible notes under recent stock price assumptions.

WisdomTree Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability and efficiency (74.57% gross margin; net margin improved to 21.10%) and strong free-cash-flow growth (FCF up 76.3% TTM). The main offset is balance-sheet risk from high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.56) and a relatively low equity ratio.
Income Statement
78
Positive
WisdomTree's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 2.8% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is strong at 74.57%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 21.10%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased compared to the previous year, which could indicate rising operational costs.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.56, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the return on equity is robust at 23.60%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, which may affect financial stability in the long term.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 76.3% in the TTM period, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.50, suggesting a balanced conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue457.02M427.74M349.04M301.35M304.32M249.91M
Gross Profit298.86M306.46M168.16M138.69M157.24M118.51M
EBITDA147.02M117.37M136.41M56.11M71.69M-21.35M
Net Income96.42M66.69M102.55M50.68M49.80M-35.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.03B944.14M1.03B1.04B896.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments555.85M266.63M188.03M258.34M267.88M108.32M
Total Debt956.23M512.91M275.47M322.68M319.16M187.22M
Total Liabilities1.07B633.56M402.43M728.21M768.44M630.43M
Stockholders Equity373.42M399.98M541.71M305.61M269.42M266.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow127.12M113.32M83.34M54.87M75.03M46.66M
Operating Cash Flow127.83M113.46M85.60M55.09M75.32M47.14M
Investing Cash Flow-43.15M-23.88M82.05M-37.66M-99.63M10.64M
Financing Cash Flow292.24M-36.00M-171.64M-22.78M92.55M-60.18M

WisdomTree Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.20
Price Trends
50DMA
12.98
Positive
100DMA
12.95
Positive
200DMA
12.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.05
Negative
RSI
68.27
Neutral
STOCH
61.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.93, above the 50-day MA of 12.98, and above the 200-day MA of 12.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WT.

WisdomTree Risk Analysis

WisdomTree disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WisdomTree reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WisdomTree Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.33B21.4920.03%3.78%22.09%58.98%
73
Outperform
$2.28B21.6026.69%0.95%12.05%120.13%
70
Neutral
$1.10B8.3815.07%5.41%-3.07%18.00%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.98B23.387024.00%0.08%21.53%42.18%
65
Neutral
$2.38B27.523.23%3.21%21.37%17.19%
60
Neutral
$2.31B41.033.91%18.33%109.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WT
WisdomTree
16.20
6.50
67.01%
BBT
Beacon Financial Corporation
28.35
0.33
1.18%
VRTS
Virtus Investment Partners
163.25
-22.67
-12.19%
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management
55.42
30.82
125.28%
GCMG
GCM Grosvenor
11.32
-1.62
-12.52%
PAX
Patria Investments
14.61
3.45
30.91%

WisdomTree Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
WisdomTree Reports Record AUM and Strong Q4 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 28, 2026, WisdomTree’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share, payable on February 25, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 11, 2026, underscoring the company’s ongoing capital return to investors. Reporting fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 30, 2026, the firm posted record assets under management of $144.5 billion, net income of $40.0 million (diluted EPS of $0.28), and an operating income margin of 40.5%, with operating revenues rising 17.4% from the prior quarter, driven largely by the acquisition of Ceres Partners and higher European ETP revenues; despite modest net outflows in the quarter, WisdomTree achieved 320 basis points of annual operating margin expansion for 2025, $8.5 billion in full-year net inflows and roughly 8% organic growth, while management highlighted growing contributions from model portfolios, SMAs, tokenized assets and private markets, along with multiple industry awards that reinforce its competitive positioning and strategic momentum entering 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (WT) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WisdomTree stock, see the WT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
WisdomTree Declares Dividend and Expands Buyback Program
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 27, 2025, WisdomTree‘s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share, payable on November 26, 2025. The Board also increased the company’s share repurchase program by $190 million, totaling $250 million, set to expire in April 2028. The third quarter of 2025 saw WisdomTree achieve record assets under management (AUM) of $137.2 billion, driven by $2.2 billion in net inflows and strong performance across its business lines. The company reported a net income of $19.7 million, despite a $13 million loss from the repurchase of convertible notes. WisdomTree’s strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of Ceres Partners and leadership in tokenization, position it for sustained growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (WT) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WisdomTree stock, see the WT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026