tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
WisdomTree (WT)
NYSE:WT

WisdomTree (WT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
562 Followers

Top Page

WT

WisdomTree

(NYSE:WT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
â–²(11.19% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/16/26
The score is driven by improving profitability, strong AUM/inflow momentum and supportive 2026 operating leverage guidance, partially offset by meaningfully higher leverage on the balance sheet and currently weak technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Record & growing AUM
Sustained AUM growth provides a durable fee base and scale economics for WisdomTree. Higher AUM increases recurring advisory revenues, supports operating leverage and marketing ROI, and helps smooth fixed-cost absorption across products, improving revenue resilience over the medium term.
Improved profitability and cash generation
Material margin expansion and FCF growth indicate durable operating strength: high operating margins and cash conversion enable reinvestment in distribution, support dividends and debt reduction, and provide a buffer through market cycles, underpinning sustained profitability.
Strategic inorganic expansion & European footprint
The Atlantic House deal and earlier Ceres acquisition structurally broaden product capabilities (outcomes/derivatives, private assets) and deepen European adviser distribution. These moves diversify revenue streams and accelerate product innovation, enhancing long‑term growth optionality and cross‑sell potential.
Negative Factors
Sharply higher leverage
The step-up in debt materially increases financial risk and interest sensitivity; higher leverage reduces flexibility to invest or return capital and raises vulnerability to AUM declines. In a downturn, elevated debt can amplify earnings volatility and constrain strategic options.
Convertible-linked dilution and interest costs
Potential share dilution from convertibles and persistent interest expense weigh on per‑share metrics and free cash available for growth or buybacks. Until convertibles are retired, financing costs and dilution can limit the company’s ability to deleverage and fully monetize margin gains.
Flow variability and lumpy performance fees
Revenue tied to net flows and performance fees creates structural volatility: AUM and fee revenue can swing quarter to quarter with market rotations or asset‑class shifts. This makes earnings less predictable, complicates resource planning and can pressure margins if inflows decelerate.

WisdomTree (WT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

WisdomTree Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWisdomTree, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an exchange-traded funds (ETFs) sponsor and asset manager. It offers ETFs in equities, currency, fixed income, and alternatives asset classes. The company also licenses its indexes to third parties for proprietary products, as well as offers a platform to promote the use of WisdomTree ETFs in 401(k) plans. It develops index using its fundamentally weighted index methodology. In addition, the company provides investment advisory services. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyWisdomTree generates the majority of its revenue from investment advisory and management fees earned on assets under management (AUM) in its ETFs/ETPs and other managed products. These fees are typically charged as an annual expense ratio (or management fee) calculated as a percentage of average AUM and accrued daily, so revenue generally rises and falls with (a) net inflows/outflows and (b) market movements that change AUM levels. The company may also earn other operating revenue associated with its products and platform services (e.g., service/administration-related fees) and interest income on corporate cash and seed capital, but specific amounts and mix are not provided here. Key factors influencing earnings include AUM scale, product fee rates, distribution reach via brokerage and advisory platforms, the cost of fund operations and marketing, and market volatility that affects AUM. If WisdomTree has material revenue-sharing arrangements with distributors or other partnerships affecting net economics, those arrangements exist in industry practice but specific partner terms are null.

WisdomTree Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad-based and diversified growth: record and expanding AUM, strong organic inflows, meaningful revenue and operating margin expansion, and fast traction in metals, European listed products, models/SMAs and tokenization. Management updated guidance reflecting operating leverage (lower comp ratio range and improved gross margin) while outlining intentional incremental investments (higher discretionary spend) and noting a few near-term headwinds (seasonal Q1 comp, forecasting variability from performance fees, modest Q4 outflows, and potential dilution from convertible notes). On balance the positive operational and financial momentum, strategic product and distribution wins, and margin expansion materially outweigh the manageable near-term risks called out on the call.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record and Rapidly Growing AUM
Assets under management ended the year at $144.5B (a record), up 5% from Q3 and over 30% year-over-year; global AUM subsequently reached $160.8B, up $16B or 11% from year-end driven by favorable markets and nearly $2B of net inflows to start the year.
Strong Organic Flows and Growth Rate
Generated $8.5B of net inflows for the year, representing an ~8% organic growth rate; multiple growth engines produced diversified inflows across regions and asset classes.
Material European Franchise Expansion
European listed products AUM rose from $30.7B to $53.3B (~+74%), supported by more than $6B of net inflows (including $4.3B into the UCITS franchise and ~$1B into commodity products), with European revenues rising as ~70% of those revenues are asset-based.
Substantial Revenue and Margin Improvement
Adjusted revenues for the quarter were $147.4M (+17% vs Q3; ~+33% vs prior year quarter); full-year adjusted revenues grew ~15.4% year-over-year and adjusted operating margin expanded nearly 300 basis points to 36.5%.
Successful Ceres Acquisition and Private Assets Expansion
Ceres acquisition (closed Oct 1) added almost $2B in farmland strategies, contributed ~$12M of revenue in the quarter (including $7.1M of performance fees), and expanded annual revenue capture and operating margins by >200 basis points.
Metals and Thematics Momentum
Metals strategies AUM increased 83% with >$1B of net inflows across the suite; metals now represent ~28.5% of global AUM. Thematic launches (e.g., rare earths) saw rapid traction — one rare earth fund grew from $100M in November to $700M; three strategic metals funds total ~$1.4B.
Model/SMAs and Tokenization Traction
Model AUA grew to over $6B from $3.8B at end of 2024 (~+58%); tokenized AUM reached ~$770M from essentially zero a year ago; WisdomTree Connect expanded from 4 to 29 onboarded institutions and wallets holding WisdomTree assets exceeded 3,500.
Updated 2026 Operating Leverage and Guidance Highlights
Guidance forecasts a lower compensation-to-revenue ratio of 26–28% (a ~2 percentage-point downward shift), gross margin 82–83% (vs 81.9% prior year), discretionary spend $80–$86M (planned marketing/sales investments) and interest expense ~ $40M for 2026 with expected decline after convertible note retirements.
Negative Updates
Modest Q4 Outflows and Flow Variability
Management noted modest outflows in Q4 despite strong full-year inflows, indicating some quarter-to-quarter flow volatility and sensitivity to market rotations and product demand.
Increased Discretionary Spending
Discretionary spending guidance increased to $80M–$86M versus $71M last year (incremental marketing, sales/distribution and Ceres-related costs), which could pressure near-term margins if AUM/revenue growth slows.
Near-Term Compensation Seasonality and Q1 Pressure
First-quarter compensation-to-revenue ratio is expected to be ~30% (seasonally higher due to payroll taxes/benefits/year-end bonuses) before stepping down to the 26–28% annual range, creating near-term EPS headwinds in Q1.
Forecasting Uncertainty from Performance Fees and Other Revenue
Ceres contributed $7.1M of performance fees this quarter (driven by farmland price appreciation and solar developments) — management flagged these fees and other revenue items as difficult to forecast and potentially lumpy going forward.
Potential Dilution and Interest Expense from Convertible Notes
Weighted average diluted shares expected to be 152M–157M (vs 145M prior year), implying ~7M–12M incremental shares tied to convertible notes; interest expense forecasted at ~$40M for 2026 until convertible retirements — both items introduce dilution and financing cost considerations.
Company Guidance
For 2026 WisdomTree provided detailed financial guidance: they expect a compensation-to-revenue ratio of 26%–28% (a roughly 2 percentage‑point downward shift versus prior guidance) with first‑quarter comp running about 30% before stepping down to the annual range; discretionary spending of $80M–$86M (vs. $71M in 2025) primarily for marketing, sales/distribution and Ceres-related costs; gross margin of 82%–83% (vs. 81.9% in 2025) with upside as AUM grows; third‑party distribution expense of $17M–$19M (vs. $16M); interest expense of about $40M for the year (roughly $10.5M in Q1 and Q2, then about $9.5M per quarter in H2) and interest income of ~ $8M; an adjusted tax rate of ~24%; and weighted average diluted shares of 152M–157M (vs. 145M last year), which contemplates roughly $7M–$12M of incremental shares tied to convertible notes under recent stock price assumptions.

WisdomTree Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (accelerating 2025 revenue growth and materially higher net margin) and solid free cash flow growth are partly offset by a sharp 2025 leverage increase (debt up to $956.6M; debt-to-equity 2.31x), raising balance sheet risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue growth accelerated in 2025 (up 8.0% vs. near-flat growth in 2024), and profitability strengthened meaningfully, with net margin improving to 22.1% from 15.6% in 2024. Operating profitability is solid (2025 operating margin ~35.3% and EBITDA margin ~36.0%), and results show a clear recovery from the 2020 loss year. Offsetting this, profit margins have been somewhat volatile over the period (notably 2023’s unusually high net margin vs. 2024), suggesting earnings can swing with market/fee dynamics.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Balance sheet risk increased in 2025 as total debt rose sharply to $956.6M from $512.9M in 2024, pushing debt to equity up to 2.31x (from 1.28x). While returns on equity are strong (26.4% in 2025) and equity grew modestly, the step-up in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to earnings or market downturns relative to prior years (e.g., 2023 debt to equity was only ~0.51x).
Cash Flow
69
Positive
Cash generation is a key strength: free cash flow closely tracks reported earnings (free cash flow roughly equal to net income in 2025), and free cash flow grew a strong 17.4% in 2025. However, operating cash flow covered a smaller portion of earnings in 2025 than in 2024 (coverage fell to ~0.52 from ~1.04), indicating weaker cash conversion year-over-year even though absolute cash flow increased.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue493.75M427.74M349.04M301.35M304.32M
Gross Profit356.07M306.46M168.16M138.69M157.24M
EBITDA177.97M117.37M136.41M56.11M71.69M
Net Income109.13M66.69M102.55M50.68M49.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.51B1.03B944.14M1.03B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments418.85M266.63M188.03M258.34M267.88M
Total Debt956.59M512.91M275.47M322.68M319.16M
Total Liabilities1.10B633.56M402.43M728.21M768.44M
Stockholders Equity413.67M399.98M541.71M305.61M269.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.24M113.32M83.34M54.87M75.03M
Operating Cash Flow149.46M113.46M85.60M55.09M75.32M
Investing Cash Flow-313.03M-23.88M82.05M-37.66M-99.63M
Financing Cash Flow288.28M-36.00M-171.64M-22.78M92.55M

WisdomTree Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.84
Price Trends
50DMA
15.73
Negative
100DMA
13.71
Positive
200DMA
13.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
35.57
Neutral
STOCH
3.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.56, below the 50-day MA of 15.73, and above the 200-day MA of 13.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WT.

WisdomTree Risk Analysis

WisdomTree disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. WisdomTree reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

WisdomTree Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.81B12.097024.00%0.08%21.53%42.18%
69
Neutral
$1.79B29.3214.71%3.78%22.09%58.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$2.10B15.6826.49%0.95%12.05%120.13%
65
Neutral
$2.41B25.543.20%3.21%21.37%17.19%
62
Neutral
$2.08B8.56-863.72%3.91%18.33%109.57%
55
Neutral
$839.75M8.0515.07%5.41%-3.07%18.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WT
WisdomTree
14.84
6.42
76.31%
BBT
Beacon Financial Corporation
28.78
3.41
13.43%
VRTS
Virtus Investment Partners
125.42
-40.86
-24.57%
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management
50.73
25.45
100.66%
GCMG
GCM Grosvenor
10.28
-2.48
-19.41%
PAX
Patria Investments
11.39
0.25
2.24%

WisdomTree Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
WisdomTree Acquires Atlantic House to Expand ETF Platform
Positive
Mar 16, 2026

On March 13, 2026, WisdomTree agreed to acquire London-based Atlantic House Holdings Limited, a derivatives-focused, systematic investment manager with roughly £4.1 billion in assets, for £150 million in cash plus working capital adjustments. The deal, announced publicly on March 16, 2026, is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals, financing and customary closing conditions, and includes standard warranties, non-compete covenants and protections around employment of key staff.

WisdomTree plans to use the acquisition to expand its global defined outcome and derivatives ETF capabilities, extend its Models and Portfolio Solutions platform into the U.K. wealth market and deepen its adviser distribution footprint across Europe. The transaction is positioned as a disciplined, growth-oriented move that should modestly boost earnings in 2026, diversify and improve the quality of the company’s revenue mix, and lift total assets under management to about $163 billion once Atlantic House is integrated and its strategies are rolled out across WisdomTree’s ETF and model portfolio platforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (WT) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WisdomTree stock, see the WT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
WisdomTree Reports Record AUM and Strong Q4 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 28, 2026, WisdomTree’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share, payable on February 25, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 11, 2026, underscoring the company’s ongoing capital return to investors. Reporting fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 30, 2026, the firm posted record assets under management of $144.5 billion, net income of $40.0 million (diluted EPS of $0.28), and an operating income margin of 40.5%, with operating revenues rising 17.4% from the prior quarter, driven largely by the acquisition of Ceres Partners and higher European ETP revenues; despite modest net outflows in the quarter, WisdomTree achieved 320 basis points of annual operating margin expansion for 2025, $8.5 billion in full-year net inflows and roughly 8% organic growth, while management highlighted growing contributions from model portfolios, SMAs, tokenized assets and private markets, along with multiple industry awards that reinforce its competitive positioning and strategic momentum entering 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (WT) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WisdomTree stock, see the WT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 16, 2026