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New Mountain Finance (NMFC)
NASDAQ:NMFC

New Mountain Finance (NMFC) AI Stock Analysis

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NMFC

New Mountain Finance

(NASDAQ:NMFC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
â–²(16.28% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial quality (high margins and strong free-cash-flow improvement) and supportive income/valuation characteristics (high dividend yield with a moderate P/E). These are tempered by neutral technical momentum and earnings-call risks around NAV decline, nonaccruals, and portfolio concentration.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Significant improvement in free cash flow indicates robust cash generation, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting dividend sustainability.
Dividend Coverage
Consistent dividend coverage underscores the company's ability to generate stable income, appealing to income-focused investors.
Defensive Sector Focus
Strategic focus on defensive growth sectors reduces exposure to cyclical risks, supporting long-term stability and resilience.
Negative Factors
Net Asset Value Decline
A decline in net asset value reflects potential challenges in asset performance, impacting investor confidence and long-term valuation.
Nonaccrual Challenges
Nonaccrual status indicates credit quality issues, potentially affecting income generation and necessitating increased risk management.
Portfolio Concentration
High portfolio concentration can increase risk exposure, requiring strategic adjustments to achieve better diversification and stability.

New Mountain Finance (NMFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New Mountain Finance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNew Mountain Finance Corporation (Nasdaq: NMFC), a business development company is a private equity / buyouts and loan fund specializes in directly investing and lending to middle market companies in defensive growth industries. The fund prefers investing in buyout and middle market companies. It also makes investments in debt securities at all levels of the capital structure including first and second lien debt, unsecured notes and mezzanine securities. In some cases, its investments may also include equity interests. It targets energy, specialty chemicals and materials, trading companies and distributors, commercial printing, diversified support services, education services, environmental and facilities services, office services and supplies, media, distributors, health care services, health care facilities, application software, business services, systems software, federal services, distribution and logistics, interactive home entertainment, telecommunication services, hydroelectric power generation, electric power generation by fossil fuels, electric power generation by nuclear fuels, health care technology, and security and alarm services. The fund seeks to invest in United States of America. It seeks to invest between $10 million and $50 million per transaction. The firm invests through both primary originations and open-market secondary purchases. It invests in companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $200 million and target investments up to a $125 million hold size. The fund seeks a majority stake in its portfolio companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyNew Mountain Finance generates revenue primarily through interest income from the loans and debt securities it holds in its investment portfolio. The company typically invests in senior secured loans, which offer higher yields compared to traditional fixed-income investments. Additionally, NMFC may earn management fees for managing its investment portfolio, as well as potential performance fees based on the returns generated for its investors. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with private equity firms and financial institutions, which can enhance deal flow and provide access to quality investment opportunities. The overall revenue model is designed to capitalize on the interest earned from investments, providing a steady stream of income while also focusing on capital appreciation.

New Mountain Finance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights NMFC's strong dividend coverage, strategic focus on defensive sectors, and successful historical performance. However, challenges such as a decline in net asset value, nonaccruals, and portfolio concentration present concerns. The sentiment is balanced with both positive initiatives and notable challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dividend Coverage and Stock Buyback Program
Adjusted net investment income for the quarter was $0.32 per share, covering the $0.32 per share dividend. NMFC has fully utilized a $50 million stock repurchase program and announced a new $100 million buyback.
Portfolio Quality and Strategic Initiatives
Approximately 95% of NMFC's investments are rated green, and the company is exploring a $500 million portfolio sale to diversify and reduce PIK income.
Strong Historical Performance
Since its IPO in 2011, NMFC has returned approximately $1.5 billion to shareholders with a low net realized loss rate of just 1 basis point.
Continued Focus on Defensive Growth Sectors
NMFC focuses on lending to sectors with sustainable tailwinds, avoiding volatile and cyclical industries.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
Net asset value per share declined $0.15 compared to Q2, to $12.06, due to modest declines in four investments.
Nonaccrual Challenges
The first lien debt position in Beauty Industry Group moved to nonaccrual status due to weaker consumer demand and China supply chain tariffs.
Portfolio Concentration Issues
High concentration in certain large positions necessitates a portfolio sale to achieve better diversification.
Impact of Capital Structure on Edmentum
Edmentum's valuation is pressured by expensive PIK securities, despite the company performing well.
Company Guidance
During the New Mountain Finance Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and strategic plans were highlighted. The company reported an adjusted net investment income of $0.32 per share, matching its quarterly dividend payout. The net asset value per share decreased by $0.15 from the previous quarter to $12.06, attributed to declines in four specific investments. NMFC maintained a loan-to-value ratio of 45% and 95% of its investments were rated as green. The firm's stock is trading at a 20% discount to book value, offering a 13% yield on its $0.32 quarterly dividend. Additionally, NMFC completed a $50 million stock repurchase program and announced a new $100 million buyback plan. The company is exploring a $500 million portfolio sale to enhance financial flexibility and reduce exposure to PIK income. Since its IPO in 2011, NMFC has returned approximately $1.5 billion to shareholders, generating an annualized return of 10%, and it continues to hold investment-grade ratings from Moody's and Fitch.

New Mountain Finance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and efficiency (net margin 30.55%, EBIT margin 71.24%, gross margin 87.99%) and improving cash generation (free cash flow growth 87.11% TTM; operating cash flow to net income 1.07). Main risk is weakening top-line momentum (revenue growth rate down 10.02% TTM). Balance sheet appears stable with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.40) and a solid equity ratio (40.87%).
Income Statement
65
Positive
New Mountain Finance's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 10.02%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong net profit margin of 30.55% and an EBIT margin of 71.24%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The gross profit margin is also robust at 87.99%. Despite the revenue decline, the company demonstrates strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.99%, which is reasonable but shows room for improvement. The equity ratio stands at 40.87%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet indicates a balanced approach to leveraging and equity management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 87.11% TTM, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.07, showing that operating cash flows are well-aligned with net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that the company effectively converts its net income into free cash flow. Overall, the cash flow position is strong and improving.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue393.79M329.83M341.98M347.33M267.10M270.91M
Gross Profit72.53M123.78M374.84M89.09M203.65M56.90M
EBITDA71.78M116.88M0.0083.83M207.41M60.85M
Net Income71.05M113.44M135.34M74.73M201.40M58.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.09B3.25B3.16B3.35B3.30B3.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.68M80.32M70.09M71.19M58.08M78.97M
Total Debt454.99M1.84B1.79B1.98B1.91B1.80B
Total Liabilities1.83B1.89B1.83B2.03B1.95B1.86B
Stockholders Equity1.26B1.35B1.32B1.31B1.32B1.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.92M42.00M76.00M70.12M51.69M102.99M
Operating Cash Flow85.92M42.00M76.00M70.12M51.69M102.99M
Investing Cash Flow337.36M0.00256.80M-36.92M-68.01M197.65M
Financing Cash Flow-421.22M-31.36M-333.96M-19.69M-4.53M-270.25M

New Mountain Finance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.60
Price Trends
50DMA
9.15
Negative
100DMA
9.22
Negative
200DMA
9.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
31.75
Neutral
STOCH
17.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.11, below the 50-day MA of 9.15, and below the 200-day MA of 9.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMFC.

New Mountain Finance Risk Analysis

New Mountain Finance disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New Mountain Finance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New Mountain Finance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.27B7.6716.18%13.53%33.44%25.22%
70
Outperform
$821.59M9.129.07%10.80%-6.30%-6.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$899.52M13.365.43%14.17%36.15%-38.59%
62
Neutral
$870.54M9.338.18%13.18%-26.08%-27.65%
61
Neutral
$944.55M13.286.80%13.64%36.91%-48.79%
60
Neutral
$908.37M10.837.03%13.63%-8.23%-35.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
8.60
-1.60
-15.69%
PFLT
Pennantpark $
9.41
-0.46
-4.69%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
14.89
-0.35
-2.30%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
12.38
-4.56
-26.92%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
13.17
-2.96
-18.35%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
16.97
3.97
30.50%

New Mountain Finance Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
New Mountain Finance refreshes board with director transition
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 15, 2026, New Mountain Finance Corporation announced the retirement of long-serving independent director Alfred F. Hurley Jr., who had sat on the board since 2010 and was credited by the chairman with providing high-quality strategic, market and financial guidance to the firm’s debt-focused investment business. To fill the vacancy, the board appointed veteran private equity and corporate finance executive John P. Malfettone as a director effective the same day, adding him to all key board committees and drawing on his extensive experience at firms including Clayton, Dubilier & Rice, Oak Hill Capital Partners and GE, as well as his existing roles within New Mountain affiliates, signaling continuity and depth in the company’s governance and oversight of its credit investing activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMFC) stock is a Sell with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Mountain Finance stock, see the NMFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
New Mountain Finance Q3 2025 Financial Results Announced
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, New Mountain Finance Corporation announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting a net investment income of $0.32 per share and a net asset value of $12.06 per share. The company declared a fourth-quarter distribution of $0.32 per share, payable on December 31, 2025, and highlighted strategic initiatives including a new $100 million stock repurchase plan and exploring a secondary portfolio sale to enhance financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMFC) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Mountain Finance stock, see the NMFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
New Mountain Finance Amends Revolving Loan Agreement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, New Mountain Finance Corporation amended its existing revolving loan agreement, extending the maturity date of its credit facility from December 2027 to December 2030, which could impact the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategy. Additionally, the company launched a new stock repurchase program on October 23, 2025, authorizing up to $100 million in stock buybacks, following the termination of its previous program, potentially affecting shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMFC) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New Mountain Finance stock, see the NMFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026