tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Capital Southwest (CSWC)
:CSWC

Capital Southwest (CSWC) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,203 Followers

Top Page

CS

Capital Southwest

(NASDAQ:CSWC)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
â–²(10.28%Upside)
Capital Southwest's overall score reflects its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, emphasized by consistent dividend payments and strategic growth initiatives. Technical indicators suggest stable market positioning, though cash flow challenges require monitoring. Positive earnings call sentiment and corporate events further bolster the company's outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Capital Southwest reported solid earnings with interest and dividend income totaling $47M, and fee income rising significantly compared to the previous quarter.
Investment Portfolio
The investment portfolio increased 13% sequentially to $1.70B, driven by strong originations, which is a positive indication of growth.
Negative Factors
Base Rates and Yields
Lower base rates are putting downward pressure on portfolio yields, which is a challenge for CSWC.
Market Competition
Competition across the industry remains fierce, putting pressure on spreads in the direct lending market.

Capital Southwest (CSWC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capital Southwest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) is a Dallas, Texas-based business development company that provides capital to support the acquisition and growth of small to mid-sized businesses. Operating primarily in the lower middle market sector, CSWC specializes in offering flexible financing solutions that include senior and subordinated debt, as well as equity co-investments. The company's investment portfolio spans various industries, with a focus on generating income and capital appreciation for its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapital Southwest makes money through interest income from its debt investments and capital gains from its equity investments. The company generates revenue by providing loans and making equity investments in small to mid-sized businesses, which pay interest or dividends back to CSWC. Additionally, the firm may realize capital gains when it exits equity investments at a higher valuation. CSWC manages its portfolio to maintain a balance between risk and return, often partnering with other financial institutions to diversify risk and enhance deal flow. The company's revenue is significantly influenced by the performance of its portfolio companies, market interest rates, and overall economic conditions.

Capital Southwest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in the investment portfolio, strong financial performance, successful capital raising efforts, and consistent dividend growth. However, it also acknowledged challenges posed by geopolitical uncertainties, tariff risks, and potential spread compression. Despite these challenges, the positive developments and achievements outweigh the risks and uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Investment Portfolio Growth
The investment portfolio grew by approximately $300 million, or 21%, from $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion.
Decreased Non-Accruals and Improved Debt Portfolio Quality
Non-accruals at fair value decreased from 2.3% to 1.7%, and the weighted average leverage in the investment portfolio reduced to 3.5 times.
Significant Unrealized Appreciation in Equity Portfolio
Unrealized appreciation grew from $38.5 million, or $0.85 per share, to $53.2 million, or $1 per share.
Successful Capital Raising and Diversification
Raised over $300 million in new debt capital commitments and secured a second SBIC license for an additional $175 million in debt capital.
Consistent Dividend Growth
Increased regular dividends from $2.24 per share in fiscal year 2024 to $2.31 per share in fiscal year 2025, with an additional $0.23 per share in supplemental dividends.
Robust Financial Performance
Generated pre-tax net investment income of $0.56 per share with a 110% dividend coverage for the 12 months ended March 31, 2025.
Strong Equity Portfolio Performance
Equity portfolio marked at 142% of cost, representing $53.2 million in embedded unrealized appreciation.
Improved Corporate Ratings
BBB minus corporate ratings affirmed by Moody's and Fitch, and secure debt rating upgraded from BBB minus to BBB flat.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainties
Trade policy changes and government cost reductions have created uncertainty impacting the lower rental market and causing potential slower M&A activities.
Exposure to Tariff Risks
Identified 7% of the debt portfolio at fair value as having moderate risk due to tariff exposure, with 1% having both moderate risk and a loan-to-value above 50%.
Potential Spread Compression
Lenders may compete harder for deals due to macroeconomic uncertainties, which could lead to spread compression in the lower middle market.
Company Guidance
During Capital Southwest's fourth quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's financial performance and strategic direction. The investment portfolio grew by approximately $300 million, or 21%, reaching $1.8 billion, while the weighted average leverage was reduced to 3.5 times. The equity portfolio saw unrealized appreciation increase from $38.5 million to $53.2 million, translating to $1 per share. The company raised over $300 million in new debt capital, including a $230 million convertible bond issuance and $75 million in secured debt commitments. Additionally, $180 million was raised through the ATM equity program. With an affirmed BBB minus corporate rating and an upgraded secure debt rating by Fitch, Capital Southwest maintained its dividend growth, increasing regular dividends from $2.24 to $2.31 per share and paying $0.23 in supplemental dividends. The adjusted pre-tax net investment income was $0.61 per share, with a robust undistributed taxable income balance of $0.79 per share. The company declared a $0.58 regular dividend and a $0.06 supplemental dividend for the June 2025 quarter. Amidst geopolitical uncertainties and trade policy changes, the company identified limited exposure to tariffs with only 7% of its debt portfolio at moderate risk. Capital Southwest plans to leverage its balance sheet, which is positioned with low leverage and significant liquidity, to navigate current market conditions and continue its strategic investment approach.

Capital Southwest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capital Southwest shows strong revenue growth and profitability, backed by efficient cost and operational management. However, cash flow issues, with negative free cash flow and reliance on external financing, are concerning. The balance sheet is stable but leveraged, necessitating attention to liquidity and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Capital Southwest has shown impressive revenue growth with a significant increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross and net profit margins are strong, indicating efficient management of costs relative to revenues. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting effective operational control. However, the historical volatility in revenue growth may denote potential challenges in sustaining this trajectory.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging debt and equity. The return on equity is commendable, indicating solid profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio implies a stable asset financing structure, yet the relatively high liabilities compared to equity could pose risks if financial conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Capital Southwest faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows inconsistency, suggesting a need for improved cash generation efficiency. Positive financing cash flow reflects reliance on external funding, which might not be sustainable long-term.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
204.44M138.53M90.33M83.00M72.58M
Gross Profit
204.44M109.06M58.70M80.77M72.58M
EBIT
120.45M84.60M40.07M46.84M55.56M
EBITDA
181.27M88.91M71.69M65.46M57.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
118.18M83.39M33.09M42.81M50.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
43.22M32.27M21.59M11.43M31.61M
Total Assets
1.88B1.56B1.26B973.96M735.58M
Total Debt
394.02M774.05M637.64M528.59M381.30M
Net Debt
350.80M741.78M616.06M517.16M349.69M
Total Liabilities
999.21M801.08M667.28M553.09M399.33M
Stockholders Equity
883.63M755.68M590.41M420.87M336.25M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-217.26M-188.51M-227.38M-184.67M-68.25M
Operating Cash Flow
-217.26M-188.50M-227.10M-182.68M-68.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.67M-13.00K-281.00K-2.00M-103.92M
Financing Cash Flow
231.52M199.20M237.53M164.49M86.12M

Capital Southwest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.31
Price Trends
50DMA
20.43
Positive
100DMA
21.29
Positive
200DMA
21.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
59.63
Neutral
STOCH
85.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSWC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.95, above the 50-day MA of 20.43, and below the 200-day MA of 21.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSWC.

Capital Southwest Risk Analysis

Capital Southwest disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capital Southwest reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capital Southwest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.17B14.528.52%10.82%13.86%-29.53%
73
Outperform
$943.90M6.6617.56%13.92%46.14%34.91%
71
Outperform
$927.97M10.578.86%9.70%14.33%25.35%
70
Outperform
$1.04B11.657.59%11.76%93.63%24.41%
66
Neutral
$1.01B8.959.87%10.74%12.24%-3.21%
65
Neutral
$1.17B10.928.11%11.82%-3.55%-20.43%
64
Neutral
$12.83B9.787.78%16985.64%12.26%-7.81%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSWC
Capital Southwest
21.31
-2.12
-9.05%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
10.81
-0.39
-3.48%
PFLT
Pennantpark $
10.46
0.28
2.75%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
17.01
1.91
12.65%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
15.75
0.85
5.70%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
14.60
1.58
12.14%

Capital Southwest Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capital Southwest Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 14, 2025

Capital Southwest Corporation announced its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and year ended March 31, 2025. The company reported a total investment portfolio of $1.8 billion, with significant growth in both credit and equity portfolios. The firm generated a pre-tax net investment income of $28.5 million for the quarter and paid dividends totaling $0.64 per share. The company also increased its borrowing capacity and received a license to operate a second SBIC subsidiary, enhancing its access to cost-effective debt capital. These developments indicate a strong financial performance and strategic positioning for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSWC) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capital Southwest stock, see the CSWC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Capital Southwest Announces Regular and Supplemental Dividends
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Capital Southwest Corporation announced a regular dividend of $0.58 per share and a supplemental dividend of $0.06 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2025. The dividends will be payable on June 30, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of June 13, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, supported by its dividend reinvestment plan, which allows registered stockholders to reinvest dividends into additional shares.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.