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Capital Southwest Corp. (CSWC)
NASDAQ:CSWC
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Capital Southwest (CSWC) AI Stock Analysis

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CSWC

Capital Southwest

(NASDAQ:CSWC)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
â–²(14.04% Upside)
Capital Southwest's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including increased dividends and robust origination pipeline, are significant strengths. However, challenges in cash flow management and competitive pressures on loan spreads are notable risks. The stock's reasonable valuation and high dividend yield further support its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Capital Southwest reported solid earnings with interest and dividend income totaling $47M, and fee income rising significantly compared to the previous quarter.
Investment Portfolio
The investment portfolio increased 13% sequentially to $1.70B, driven by strong originations, which is a positive indication of growth.
Negative Factors
Base Rates and Yields
Lower base rates are putting downward pressure on portfolio yields, which is a challenge for CSWC.
Market Competition
Competition across the industry remains fierce, putting pressure on spreads in the direct lending market.

Capital Southwest (CSWC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capital Southwest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) is a publicly traded business development company (BDC) that primarily focuses on providing customized financing solutions to lower middle-market companies in the United States. The company invests in various sectors, including healthcare, technology, manufacturing, and services, by offering debt and equity capital to support growth and operational needs. CSWC aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its investors while supporting the development of its portfolio companies through tailored financial solutions and strategic guidance.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapital Southwest generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments and capital gains from its equity investments in portfolio companies. The company typically provides loans in the form of senior secured debt, subordinated debt, or equity co-investments, which yield interest payments that contribute to its revenue stream. Additionally, CSWC earns management fees from its investment activities and may receive incentive fees based on the performance of its investments. The company focuses on building long-term relationships with its portfolio companies, often engaging in follow-on investments as these companies grow. Key partnerships with financial advisors, business owners, and industry experts also enhance its deal flow and investment opportunities, thereby contributing to its overall earnings potential.

Capital Southwest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 0.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant achievements in financial management, dividend increases, and successful expansions in capitalization. Despite facing competitive pressure on loan spreads and a slight decline in NAV per share, the overall financial health and strategic initiatives of the company are positive.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Reduction in Key Financial Metrics
Reduced investment portfolio weighted average debt to EBITDA from 3.5x to 3.4x, investment revenue PIK rate from 7.6% to 5.8%, and nonaccrual rate from 1.7% to 0.8% of the investment portfolio at fair value.
Increased Dividend Payments
Transitioned regular dividend payment frequency from quarterly to monthly, declaring a total of $0.58 in regular dividends for the quarter and a quarterly supplemental dividend of $0.06 per share.
Expansion of Capitalization Resources
Received final approval for a second SBIC license to access up to $175 million in additional SBA debentures and increased corporate credit facility by $25 million, bringing total commitments to $510 million.
Strong Origination and Investment Activity
Generated $115 million in total new commitments to 3 new and 12 existing portfolio companies, with add-on financings being a significant source of originations.
Equity Portfolio Growth and Realized Gains
Equity portfolio marked at 125% of cost, with $27.2 million in realized gains from two equity investment exits. Over the past two quarters, equity portfolio produced $41.3 million in total realized gains.
Negative Updates
Competitive Pressure on Loan Spreads
Experienced spread compression over the last six months with weighted average spread decreasing from 8.50% two years ago to around 7.50% currently, due to competitive pressure from banks and nonbank lenders.
NAV Per Share Decline
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share decreased from $16.70 to $16.59, primarily driven by the annual issuance of restricted stock compensation to employees.
Company Guidance
During the Capital Southwest First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, management provided a comprehensive financial overview, highlighting key metrics that illustrate the company's strong performance and strategic initiatives. The company successfully reduced the investment portfolio's weighted average debt to EBITDA from 3.5x to 3.4x and decreased the investment revenue PIK rate from 7.6% to 5.8%. Additionally, the nonaccrual rate improved from 1.7% to 0.8% of the investment portfolio at fair value. Capital Southwest reported pretax net investment income of $0.61 per share and realized gains of $27.2 million from two equity exits, boosting the undistributed taxable income balance to $1 per share. The Board declared a total of $0.64 per share in dividends for the September quarter, including regular and supplemental dividends. The company also received final approval for its second SBIC license, enabling access to up to $175 million in additional SBA debentures, and increased its corporate credit facility to $510 million. Despite competitive pressures, the company maintained a robust originations pipeline, committing $115 million to new and existing portfolio companies, with a substantial focus on new opportunities. The call also noted progress on the AFFE rule, which could positively impact trading volumes for BDCs.

Capital Southwest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capital Southwest demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. However, cash flow management presents a significant challenge, with negative free cash flow and reliance on external financing. The balance sheet reflects a stable yet leveraged position.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Capital Southwest has shown impressive revenue growth with a significant increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross and net profit margins are strong, indicating efficient management of costs relative to revenues. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting effective operational control. However, the historical volatility in revenue growth may denote potential challenges in sustaining this trajectory.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging debt and equity. The return on equity is commendable, indicating solid profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio implies a stable asset financing structure, yet the relatively high liabilities compared to equity could pose risks if financial conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Capital Southwest faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows inconsistency, suggesting a need for improved cash generation efficiency. Positive financing cash flow reflects reliance on external funding, which might not be sustainable long-term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.44M157.73M138.53M90.33M83.00M72.58M
Gross Profit0.00204.44M109.06M58.70M80.77M72.58M
EBITDA0.00140.64M88.91M71.69M65.46M57.53M
Net Income113.99M70.55M83.39M33.09M42.81M50.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.88B1.88B1.56B1.26B973.96M735.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.22M43.22M32.27M21.59M11.43M31.61M
Total Debt956.07M961.47M774.05M637.64M528.59M381.30M
Total Liabilities999.21M999.21M801.08M667.28M553.09M399.33M
Stockholders Equity883.63M883.63M755.68M590.41M420.87M336.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-217.26M-217.26M-188.51M-227.38M-184.67M-68.25M
Operating Cash Flow-217.26M-217.26M-188.50M-227.10M-182.68M-68.25M
Investing Cash Flow-1.67M-1.67M-13.00K-281.00K-2.00M-103.92M
Financing Cash Flow231.52M231.52M199.20M237.53M164.49M86.12M

Capital Southwest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.80
Price Trends
50DMA
21.99
Positive
100DMA
20.92
Positive
200DMA
20.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
55.24
Neutral
STOCH
69.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSWC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.91, above the 50-day MA of 21.99, and above the 200-day MA of 20.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSWC.

Capital Southwest Risk Analysis

Capital Southwest disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Capital Southwest reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Capital Southwest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.26B14.269.74%12.03%12.82%-5.37%
74
Outperform
$1.11B7.0617.31%12.85%31.43%30.85%
71
Outperform
$897.42M10.108.95%9.97%5.87%-12.64%
70
Outperform
$1.03B12.337.37%11.87%55.25%-47.99%
68
Neutral
$17.46B11.6510.44%3.86%10.36%1.15%
66
Neutral
$983.41M9.129.42%11.87%-3.29%-16.86%
65
Neutral
$1.09B13.526.18%12.64%39.05%-32.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSWC
Capital Southwest
22.80
1.53
7.19%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
10.36
-0.37
-3.45%
PFLT
Pennantpark $
10.36
0.41
4.12%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
16.45
2.74
19.99%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
15.16
0.93
6.54%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
15.87
3.53
28.61%

Capital Southwest Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Capital Southwest Announces Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Capital Southwest announced its financial results for the first fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2025. The company reported a total investment portfolio of $1.8 billion, with a credit portfolio of $1.6 billion and an equity portfolio of $166.2 million. The quarter saw $113.4 million in new committed credit investments and $1.8 million in new equity co-investments. Pre-tax net investment income was $32.7 million, and the company paid a total of $0.64 per share in dividends. The results reflect a strengthening balance sheet and a conservative underwriting approach, with non-accruals representing less than 1% of the portfolio. The company also announced a change in its dividend payment frequency from quarterly to monthly, aiming to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSWC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capital Southwest stock, see the CSWC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capital Southwest Holds 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Capital Southwest Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where shareholders voted on several key proposals. These included the election of six directors, approval of executive compensation, an amendment to the 2021 Employee Restricted Stock Award Plan, and the ratification of RSM US LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The successful approval of these proposals indicates continued shareholder support for the company’s strategic direction and governance, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSWC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capital Southwest stock, see the CSWC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Capital Southwest Shifts to Monthly Dividends
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Capital Southwest Corporation announced a transition from quarterly to monthly dividend payments, starting in July 2025. The company declared total dividends of $0.64 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, which includes monthly regular dividends of $0.1934 per share for July, August, and September, and a supplemental dividend of $0.06 per share payable in September. This change is seen as a shareholder-friendly initiative, reflecting the company’s strong earnings and credit quality, and is expected to benefit all shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSWC) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capital Southwest stock, see the CSWC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capital Southwest Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 14, 2025

Capital Southwest Corporation announced its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and year ended March 31, 2025. The company reported a total investment portfolio of $1.8 billion, with significant growth in both credit and equity portfolios. The firm generated a pre-tax net investment income of $28.5 million for the quarter and paid dividends totaling $0.64 per share. The company also increased its borrowing capacity and received a license to operate a second SBIC subsidiary, enhancing its access to cost-effective debt capital. These developments indicate a strong financial performance and strategic positioning for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSWC) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capital Southwest stock, see the CSWC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025