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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market
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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$0.74
▼(-8.13% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
AMTD’s score is held back mainly by weakening cash-flow quality and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partly offset by a reasonably supported balance sheet and a very low P/E that suggests the stock is priced cheaply versus reported earnings.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Moderate leverage and meaningful equity growth improve solvency and capital flexibility over the medium term. This balance-sheet strength supports funding of operating needs, acquisitions or investments and provides a buffer against shocks, helping sustain operations across market cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash conversion
Low operating cash conversion versus reported earnings undermines earnings quality and indicates profits are not consistently translating into cash. Over months, this can constrain reinvestment, raise working-capital strain and reduce reliability of reported profitability for planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Moderate leverage and meaningful equity growth improve solvency and capital flexibility over the medium term. This balance-sheet strength supports funding of operating needs, acquisitions or investments and provides a buffer against shocks, helping sustain operations across market cycles.
Read all positive factors

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) is a Hong Kong–based financial services group that provides digital financial services and solutions. Its activities have historically included investment banking and advisory services, capital market services, asset and wea...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD IDEA Group’s revenues primarily come from fees and commissions generated by its financial services businesses. Key revenue streams have historically included: (1) investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees (e.g., sponsor work, und...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet looks reasonably supported (moderate leverage and growing equity), but operating performance is less consistent. Revenue was volatile with a multi-year decline before a modest 2025 rebound, and ROE has compressed to low single digits. Cash flow is the key weakness, with weak operating cash flow coverage versus net income in 2024–2025, raising earnings-quality concerns despite strong reported margins.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.21M54.07M171.81M1.04B1.39B
Gross Profit24.92M24.45M122.67M1.06B761.82M
EBITDA91.47M75.49M168.52M1.22B1.35B
Net Income43.60M51.04M142.99M1.23B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B2.07B1.49B8.27B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.40M87.86M120.23M1.08B526.26M
Total Debt292.42M283.49M96.55M20.58M64.24M
Total Liabilities385.38M369.89M193.02M454.49M898.05M
Stockholders Equity1.74B1.59B1.29B7.57B5.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.09M5.15M39.91M209.13M434.80M
Operating Cash Flow17.84M5.16M39.98M209.15M434.80M
Investing Cash Flow-174.97M-45.34M-266.97M-576.43M-358.70M
Financing Cash Flow145.47M-17.34M209.35M916.97M-6.66M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.90
Negative
100DMA
0.96
Negative
200DMA
0.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
37.55
Neutral
STOCH
39.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, below the 50-day MA of 0.90, and below the 200-day MA of 0.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.73B9.6014.08%11.82%8.54%-23.45%
70
Outperform
$763.73M22.313.25%15.44%11.89%-58.67%
68
Neutral
$742.15M14.854.09%17.37%12.58%-40.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$1.08B19.475.50%17.78%117.29%-58.47%
62
Neutral
$728.23M-16.23-4.83%17.69%-50.21%-161.42%
57
Neutral
$1.51B0.202.65%5.78%-10.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.76
-0.18
-19.26%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
7.79
-1.20
-13.38%
PFLT
Pennantpark
7.58
-1.55
-16.96%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.93
0.34
3.57%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
11.37
-0.60
-5.00%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
18.43
4.44
31.77%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA Unit TGE Launches US$10 Million Buyback and Two-Year Insider Lock-Up
Jun 18, 2026
On June 17, 2026, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), a media, entertainment and hospitality-focused subsidiary of AMTD Digital and part of the wider AMTD ecosystem, announced that its board had approved a share repurchase program of up to US$1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026