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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/14/25
AMTD's overall stock score of 53 reflects a mixed outlook, driven primarily by weak financial performance (score: 50, weight: 0.5) due to significant revenue decline and cash flow challenges, despite a strong balance sheet. Valuation (score: 80, weight: 0.2) provides a positive note with a low P/E ratio, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, technical analysis (score: 42, weight: 0.3) indicates bearish momentum with the stock trading below key moving averages. The score suggests caution due to financial and technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
Expanding the hotel portfolio indicates strategic growth and diversification, potentially enhancing revenue streams and market presence.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The sharp decline in revenue poses a risk to future profitability and indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic Expansion
Expanding the hotel portfolio indicates strategic growth and diversification, potentially enhancing revenue streams and market presence.
Read all positive factors

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, engages in investment banking activities in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Investment Banking, Asset Management, and S...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD generates revenue through multiple channels, including investment banking fees from advisory services in mergers and acquisitions, underwriting, and capital raising activities. The company also earns income from asset management fees, which c...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMTD IDEA Group's financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is a strength with a score of 75, reflecting a solid equity base and manageable debt. However, the income statement scores low at 45 due to a significant revenue decline of 55.9%, despite strong profitability margins. Cash flow is a major concern with a score of 30, driven by an 87.1% drop in free cash flow and poor cash conversion ratios. The overall score reflects stability offset by revenue and cash flow risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.07M122.72M174.31M177.64M141.51M
Gross Profit24.45M157.25M116.89M97.70M141.25M
EBITDA75.49M102.06M155.74M172.90M131.91M
Net Income51.04M142.99M157.44M157.22M146.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B1.49B1.06B857.67M1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.86M120.23M138.16M67.49M66.62M
Total Debt283.49M96.55M457.24K64.24M14.99M
Total Liabilities369.89M193.02M58.25M115.17M103.47M
Stockholders Equity1.59B1.29B969.74M740.50M1.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.15M39.91M26.80M55.76M257.19M
Operating Cash Flow5.16M39.98M26.80M55.76M257.21M
Investing Cash Flow-45.34M-266.97M-73.88M-46.00M-461.96M
Financing Cash Flow-17.34M209.35M117.52M-854.11K164.39M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.03
Price Trends
50DMA
1.01
Negative
100DMA
1.02
Negative
200DMA
1.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
49.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, above the 50-day MA of 1.01, and below the 200-day MA of 1.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.03B8.998.03%17.34%-16.58%65.24%
66
Neutral
$1.25B7.4914.09%13.53%33.44%25.22%
61
Neutral
$803.43M59.291.29%14.17%36.15%-38.59%
60
Neutral
$775.33M12.095.87%13.63%-8.23%-35.72%
54
Neutral
$837.40M3.23%13.64%36.91%-48.79%
53
Neutral
$1.13B0.063.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
1.00
0.02
2.04%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
7.97
-0.62
-7.16%
PFLT
Pennantpark
8.44
-0.20
-2.27%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.13
0.26
2.88%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
10.97
-1.96
-15.19%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
15.07
2.71
21.92%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA Highlights TGE’s $300 Million Hotel Acquisition Push and Tribeca Hilton Garden Inn Deal
Dec 29, 2025
On December 29, 2025, AMTD IDEA Group filed a Form 6-K highlighting that its affiliate AMTD Digital’s subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), has executed a sales and purchase agreement to acquire 100% of the Hilton Garden Inn New...
AMTD IDEA’s TGE Subsidiary Prices Oversubscribed First SPAC on NYSE
Dec 22, 2025
On December 19, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), a France‑headquartered media and entertainment platform and subsidiary of AMTD Digital, successfully priced and listed its first sponsored special purpose acquisition company, TGE ...
AMTD IDEA Group’s TGE Acquires 50% Stake in Ritz Carlton Perth
Dec 15, 2025
On December 15, 2025, AMTD IDEA Group’s subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), announced the successful execution of a Sale and Purchase Agreement (SPA) to acquire a 50% stake in The Ritz Carlton Hotel in Perth, Australia, valued...
AMTD IDEA Group’s Subsidiary Secures London Stock Exchange Listing
Dec 10, 2025
On December 10, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group, a subsidiary of AMTD IDEA Group, announced its successful application for a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. This move is expected to enhance the company’s market presence...
AMTD IDEA’s TGE Plans Secondary Listing on LSE
Nov 26, 2025
On November 24, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group announced plans for a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange (LSE). This move aims to enhance trading liquidity, expand its shareholder base, and strengthen its presence in the UK and E...
AMTD IDEA Group’s TGE Acquires 100th Ritz Carlton Hotel
Nov 14, 2025
The Generation Essentials Group, a subsidiary of AMTD Digital Inc., announced its agreement to acquire the 100th Ritz Carlton Hotel globally, located in Perth, Australia. This acquisition is part of TGE’s strategic expansion in the global ho...
AMTD Digital Inc. Reports Massive Revenue Growth for First Half of 2025
Oct 31, 2025
AMTD Digital Inc. reported a significant 1,085.9% increase in revenue for the six months ending April 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. This growth is attributed to the consolidation of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) and expans...
The Generation Essentials Group Reports 160% Revenue Surge in H1 2025
Oct 20, 2025
On October 20, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group reported a significant financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a 160% increase in revenue compared to the previous year. The company also completed a business combination with Bla...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025