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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(3.09% Upside)
AMTD IDEA Group's strong valuation and profitability margins are offset by declining revenue and weak cash flow generation. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, but the stock's low P/E ratio indicates potential undervaluation. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events limits additional context.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
Expanding the hotel portfolio indicates strategic growth and diversification, potentially enhancing revenue streams and market presence.
Strong Profit Margins
High profit margins and low leverage suggest effective cost management and financial stability, supporting long-term profitability.
Market Positioning
Significant revenue growth in digital services highlights strong market positioning and potential for sustained expansion in digital sectors.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The sharp decline in revenue poses a risk to future profitability and indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share.
Weak Cash Flow Generation
Reduced cash flow generation limits operational flexibility and may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Cash Reserves
Declining cash reserves can strain liquidity, impacting the company's ability to meet short-term obligations and invest in strategic initiatives.

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, engages in investment banking activities in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Investment Banking, Asset Management, and Strategic Investment. It offers a range of investment banking services, including equity underwriting, debt underwriting, securities brokerage, institutional sales and distribution, and research, as well as advisory services on credit rating, financing, and mergers and acquisitions transactions. The company also provides professional investment management and advisory services primarily to corporate and other institutional clients. In addition, it makes long-term strategic investments focusing on Asia's financial and new economy sectors. The company was formerly known as AMTD International Inc. AMTD IDEA Group was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. AMTD IDEA Group operates as a subsidiary of AMTD Group Company Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMTD generates revenue through multiple channels, including investment banking fees from advisory services in mergers and acquisitions, underwriting, and capital raising activities. The company also earns income from asset management fees, which come from managing investment funds and portfolios for clients. Additionally, AMTD benefits from revenue-sharing agreements and strategic partnerships with fintech firms and other financial institutions, enhancing its service capabilities and market reach. The firm's focus on innovative technology solutions and digital platforms also attracts clients looking for modern financial services, contributing to its overall earnings.

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMTD IDEA Group shows strong profitability margins with a net profit margin of 94.4% and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, the significant drop in revenue and weakened cash flow generation present potential risks.
Income Statement
The company's income statement shows a significant drop in revenue in the most recent year, falling from $122.7 million to $54.1 million, indicating a negative revenue growth rate. Despite a lower revenue base, the company achieved a strong gross profit margin of 45.2% and an impressive net profit margin of 94.4%, suggesting effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the declining revenue trend poses a potential risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
AMTD IDEA Group maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. The company's equity ratio is strong at 76.9%, indicating substantial financial stability and a strong equity base. Return on equity is robust at 32.1%, suggesting effective use of shareholders' funds. However, the decrease in cash and cash equivalents over the years could affect liquidity.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reflects a challenging year with operating cash flow dropping significantly to $5.16 million. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, denoting a decrease in cash generation capability. However, the company maintains a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.10, indicating some ability to convert profits into cash. The cash flow situation requires monitoring to ensure future operational flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.07M122.72M174.31M177.64M141.51M
Gross Profit24.45M157.25M116.89M97.70M141.25M
EBITDA75.49M102.06M155.74M172.90M131.91M
Net Income51.04M142.99M157.44M157.22M146.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B1.49B1.06B857.67M1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.86M120.23M138.16M67.49M66.62M
Total Debt283.49M96.55M457.24K64.24M14.99M
Total Liabilities369.89M193.02M58.25M115.17M103.47M
Stockholders Equity1.59B1.29B969.74M740.50M1.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.15M39.91M26.80M55.76M257.19M
Operating Cash Flow5.16M39.98M26.80M55.76M257.21M
Investing Cash Flow-45.34M-266.97M-73.88M-46.00M-461.96M
Financing Cash Flow-17.34M209.35M117.52M-854.11K164.39M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.97
Price Trends
50DMA
1.04
Negative
100DMA
1.08
Negative
200DMA
1.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
39.85
Neutral
STOCH
17.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.05, below the 50-day MA of 1.04, and below the 200-day MA of 1.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.14B6.9216.18%13.53%33.44%25.22%
71
Outperform
$1.09B8.418.75%17.34%-16.58%65.24%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$1.12B1.3811.11%
67
Neutral
$922.22M10.997.03%13.63%-8.23%-35.72%
66
Neutral
$943.88M14.025.43%14.17%36.15%-38.59%
63
Neutral
$903.87M12.706.80%13.64%36.91%-48.79%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.97
-0.23
-19.17%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.15
-0.77
-7.76%
PFLT
Pennantpark $
9.11
-0.56
-5.79%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.59
-0.94
-8.93%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
12.65
-3.78
-23.01%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
15.12
2.05
15.68%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA’s TGE Subsidiary Prices Oversubscribed First SPAC on NYSE
Dec 22, 2025

On December 19, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), a France‑headquartered media and entertainment platform and subsidiary of AMTD Digital, successfully priced and listed its first sponsored special purpose acquisition company, TGE Value Creative Solutions Corp, on the New York Stock Exchange. The SPAC’s initial public offering comprised 15 million units at $10 each, with each unit including one Class A ordinary share and half a redeemable warrant, and began trading under the ticker “BEBE U,” with the underlying shares and warrants expected to trade separately as “BEBE” and “BEBE WS”; the oversubscribed order book was filled by reputable investors, underscoring strong market demand. TGE Value Creative Solutions is positioned to seek acquisitions or business combinations across sectors including media, digital media, entertainment, high fashion, lifestyle, culture, and gaming, aligning with TGE’s core business focus. The launch marks the first tangible execution step in TGE’s business expansion strategy, unveiled in July 2025, to sponsor a series of SPACs to pursue complementary “de‑SPAC” transactions, signaling an effort to accelerate platform growth, strengthen AMTD’s broader media and digital ecosystem, and create value-enhancing synergies for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

AMTD IDEA Group’s TGE Acquires 50% Stake in Ritz Carlton Perth
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, AMTD IDEA Group’s subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), announced the successful execution of a Sale and Purchase Agreement (SPA) to acquire a 50% stake in The Ritz Carlton Hotel in Perth, Australia, valued at A$280 million. This acquisition marks a significant milestone in TGE’s strategic expansion within the hospitality sector, enhancing its global footprint with premium properties. The Ritz-Carlton, Perth, being the 100th Ritz-Carlton property globally, aligns with TGE’s vision of delivering exceptional hospitality experiences worldwide, further strengthening its portfolio, which includes properties in major cities such as Hong Kong, Singapore, New York, and London.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

AMTD IDEA Group’s Subsidiary Secures London Stock Exchange Listing
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group, a subsidiary of AMTD IDEA Group, announced its successful application for a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. This move is expected to enhance the company’s market presence in the UK and Europe, increase share trading liquidity, and support its geographically diverse shareholder base. The listing aligns with the company’s strategic goals and reinforces its commitment to international markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

AMTD IDEA’s TGE Plans Secondary Listing on LSE
Nov 26, 2025

On November 24, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group announced plans for a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange (LSE). This move aims to enhance trading liquidity, expand its shareholder base, and strengthen its presence in the UK and European markets, complementing its existing New York Stock Exchange listing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

AMTD IDEA Group’s TGE Acquires 100th Ritz Carlton Hotel
Nov 14, 2025

The Generation Essentials Group, a subsidiary of AMTD Digital Inc., announced its agreement to acquire the 100th Ritz Carlton Hotel globally, located in Perth, Australia. This acquisition is part of TGE’s strategic expansion in the global hospitality sector, enhancing its portfolio with a landmark property at Elizabeth Quay. The hotel features luxury accommodations and amenities, offering guests a blend of local culture and contemporary luxury. This move is expected to strengthen TGE’s position in the hospitality industry and expand its global footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

AMTD Digital Inc. Reports Massive Revenue Growth for First Half of 2025
Oct 31, 2025

AMTD Digital Inc. reported a significant 1,085.9% increase in revenue for the six months ending April 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. This growth is attributed to the consolidation of The Generation Essentials Group (TGE) and expansion in its hospitality, media, and entertainment sectors. The company’s total assets amounted to $899.1 million, with net assets at $548.0 million. The integration of TGE has bolstered AMTD Digital’s strategic positioning in the market, demonstrating resilience and potential for future opportunities. This financial performance reflects the company’s commitment to delivering long-term value to shareholders and expanding its global footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

The Generation Essentials Group Reports 160% Revenue Surge in H1 2025
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, The Generation Essentials Group reported a significant financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a 160% increase in revenue compared to the previous year. The company also completed a business combination with Black Spade Acquisition II Co, resulting in a one-off share-based payment expense. Despite this, the company achieved a non-GAAP adjusted net income of $61 million, marking a 74.5% increase. This growth underscores the company’s strategic expansion in the global entertainment and hospitality sectors, as well as its commitment to delivering long-term value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMTD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMTD IDEA Group stock, see the AMTD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025