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Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD)
NASDAQ:CGBD
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Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) AI Stock Analysis

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CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc

(NASDAQ:CGBD)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:―
CGBD’s stock score reflects a solid financial foundation and strong valuation metrics. The recent strategic merger and robust dividend yield are key strengths. However, technical indicators show bearish trends, and recent financial performance poses some risks. The company’s earnings call provides a positive outlook with strategic growth initiatives.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger enhances portfolio scale and market position, offering long-term value through increased efficiency and investment opportunities.
Portfolio Growth
Significant portfolio growth indicates strong market demand and effective investment strategies, supporting long-term revenue generation.
Investment Grade Ratings
Investment grade ratings enhance credibility and lower borrowing costs, improving financial stability and supporting future growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue and net income may indicate challenges in maintaining growth momentum, potentially affecting long-term profitability.
Unrealized Losses
Unrealized losses reflect potential valuation issues in the investment portfolio, impacting asset quality and future earnings stability.
Net Asset Value Decline
A decline in NAV suggests pressure on asset valuations, which could affect investor confidence and future capital raising efforts.

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc (CGBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTCG BDC, Inc. (CGBD) is a business development company that primarily invests in the debt of middle-market companies. It operates within the financial services sector, focusing on providing customized financing solutions through senior secured loans, mezzanine loans, and equity investments. The company aims to support the growth and expansion of its portfolio companies while delivering attractive returns to its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyTCG BDC generates revenue primarily through interest income and capital gains from its investment portfolio. The company makes money by charging interest on its loans to middle-market companies, which forms the core of its revenue stream. Additionally, it earns income from dividends on equity investments and may realize gains from the sale of investments. TCG BDC's earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to source high-quality debt investments with favorable terms. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships to enhance its investment opportunities and expand its portfolio.

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Fair Value of Investments by Type
Fair Value of Investments by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture for Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. Highlights included strong origination, dividend sustainability, and improved nonaccruals. However, there were challenges with a slight decrease in net asset value, unrealized losses, and pressure on spreads. The overall sentiment leans towards neutral given the balance of positive and negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Origination and Deployment
CGBD benefited from strong originations, funding $260 million in investments and achieving net investment activity of $117 million. Total investments increased from $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion.
Dividend and Spillover Income
The Board declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.40 per share, with an attractive yield of over 12%. CGBD has $0.86 per share of spillover income.
Decrease in Nonaccruals
Nonaccruals decreased by 140 basis points at cost between June 30 and September 30, showcasing strong credit quality.
Negative Updates
Slight Decrease in Net Asset Value
Net asset value decreased from $16.43 per share as of June 30 to $16.36 per share as of September 30.
Unrealized Losses
Total aggregate realized and unrealized net loss for the quarter was about $3 million or $0.04 per share, due to markdowns on underperforming investments.
Pressure on Spreads
There is ongoing pressure on spreads, with new originations reflecting tighter conditions relative to the existing portfolio.
Company Guidance
During Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance were disclosed. The company reported a net investment income of $0.37 per share on a GAAP basis and $0.38 per share after adjustments. A fourth-quarter dividend of $0.40 per share was declared. The net asset value decreased slightly to $16.36 per share from $16.43 per share in the previous quarter. Total investments grew from $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, with $260 million funded into new and existing borrowers, resulting in a net investment activity of $117 million after repayments. The firm anticipates increased deal activity supported by declining base rates and a robust economic outlook. Credit quality remains stable, with nonaccruals decreasing by 140 basis points at cost from June 30 to September 30. The company is optimistic about future performance, emphasizing a disciplined approach to underwriting and diversification within its portfolio, which comprised 221 investments across 158 companies and more than 25 industries as of September 30.

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TCG BDC demonstrates efficient management of operations with strong EBIT margins and a solid equity position. However, the recent drop in revenue and net income highlight areas of potential concern. The company’s cash flow remains strong, but monitoring the cash generation trends will be critical moving forward.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company has shown a fluctuating revenue trend with a revenue decline in the most recent year. Despite this, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin and EBIT margin, indicating efficient cost management. The absence of net income in the latest year is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a solid equity base with a satisfactory debt-to-equity ratio, indicating lower leverage and potential for financial stability. The equity ratio suggests a balanced asset structure. However, the reduction in total assets over the years could be a risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operations shows strength with a substantial free cash flow, although it has decreased from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable due to net income being zero in the latest year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue194.32M167.76M220.39M138.63M198.72M52.94M
Gross Profit133.01M99.28M167.97M94.67M167.96M17.12M
EBITDA74.83M91.72M169.96M87.47M161.13M7.40M
Net Income73.94M88.98M92.28M85.64M160.35M6.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B1.93B1.94B2.04B2.03B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.27M29.67M60.45M16.09M22.99M52.23M
Total Debt1.31B967.65M980.18M1.08B1.04B983.92M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.02B1.03B1.12B1.08B1.02B
Stockholders Equity1.19B905.20M912.81M917.42M948.80M901.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-284.33M104.27M230.61M14.51M75.43M305.16M
Operating Cash Flow-284.33M104.27M230.61M14.51M75.43M305.16M
Investing Cash Flow-229.22M0.000.00-56.96M6.06M236.87M
Financing Cash Flow146.04M-108.14M-200.67M-77.08M-50.78M-273.49M

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.98
Price Trends
50DMA
12.68
Negative
100DMA
13.03
Negative
200DMA
13.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
37.36
Neutral
STOCH
11.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CGBD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.44, below the 50-day MA of 12.68, and below the 200-day MA of 13.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CGBD.

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Risk Analysis

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Carlyle Secured Lending Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.10B6.6816.18%13.97%33.44%25.22%
72
Outperform
$826.50M9.189.07%10.57%-6.30%-6.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$869.73M10.377.03%14.19%-8.23%-35.72%
66
Neutral
$891.94M8.279.42%12.96%-3.29%-16.86%
65
Neutral
$987.20M14.675.43%13.40%36.15%-38.59%
63
Neutral
$904.87M10.797.37%13.46%55.25%-47.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
11.98
-2.81
-18.98%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.62
-0.45
-4.49%
PFLT
Pennantpark $
9.25
-0.77
-7.67%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
15.29
0.70
4.83%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
13.89
-1.26
-8.33%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
14.60
2.15
17.31%

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
TCG BDC Appoints Thomas Hennigan to Board
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Mark Jenkins resigned from the Board of Directors of Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc., while retaining his role as Managing Director and Head of Global Credit at The Carlyle Group. The Board appointed Thomas Hennigan, a seasoned executive with extensive experience in financial management and risk assessment, as a Class II director to fill the vacancy. Mr. Hennigan’s appointment is expected to bring valuable insights to the Board, leveraging his deep understanding of the company’s operations and industry.

Spark’s Take on CGBD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CGBD is a Neutral.

CGBD’s stock score reflects a solid financial foundation and strong valuation metrics. The recent strategic merger and robust dividend yield are key strengths. However, technical indicators show bearish trends, and recent financial performance poses some risks. The company’s earnings call provides a positive outlook with strategic growth initiatives.

To see Spark’s full report on CGBD stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Carlyle Secured Lending Schedules Q1 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. announced it will host a conference call on May 7, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. The company will release its quarterly financial results on May 6, 2025, and the call will be accessible via a public webcast on its website. This announcement highlights Carlyle Secured Lending’s ongoing commitment to transparency and communication with its stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Spark’s Take on CGBD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CGBD is a Neutral.

CGBD demonstrates strong financial and strategic positioning with robust income generation and strategic growth initiatives. However, it faces challenges with recent revenue and net income declines. The stock’s current bearish technical outlook and the need for cautious cash flow monitoring are balanced by a strong valuation proposition with a high dividend yield.

To see Spark’s full report on CGBD stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsDividendsFinancial Disclosures
TCG BDC Merges with CSL III, Reports Strong 2024
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. presented its earnings to former investors of Carlyle Secured Lending III, detailing financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. The company successfully merged with CSL III on March 27, 2025, enhancing its portfolio and market position. The merger and the strong performance in 2024, including a 2.1% quarterly net total return and a $0.75 per share dividend, indicate robust income generation and strategic growth, benefiting stakeholders by leveraging the OneCarlyle platform for investment opportunities.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
TCG BDC Completes Acquisition of Carlyle Secured Lending III
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) completed its acquisition of Carlyle Secured Lending III (CSL III), following a merger agreement initially announced in August 2024. This merger resulted in CGBD issuing approximately 18,935,108 shares of common stock to former CSL III shareholders. The merger was approved by 96% of voting shareholders at a special meeting held on March 26, 2025. The transaction aims to create long-term value through increased portfolio scale and efficiency, with a closing price per share of CGBD’s common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market being less than 11% greater than its net asset value per share as of March 25, 2025.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
TCG BDC Announces Strong 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024, highlighting a strong finish with portfolio growth and net investment income above the base dividend. The company declared a first quarter 2025 dividend of $0.45 per share, including a supplemental dividend, payable on April 17, 2025. The announcement reflects CGBD’s robust performance despite market challenges, positioning it well for continued success in 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025