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P10 Holdings (PX)
NYSE:PX

P10 Holdings (PX) AI Stock Analysis

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PX

P10 Holdings

(NYSE:PX)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(6.38%Upside)
P10 Holdings' overall score is driven by a solid financial performance and positive corporate events, highlighting strategic growth and strong cash flow management. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends and valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued, which could limit future gains. Addressing profitability and leverage concerns while monitoring market trends will be critical for future performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Targets
Long-term financial targets are ahead of expectations across fee-paying AUM (FPAUM) and fee-related earnings (FRE) margins.
Leadership Changes
The appointment of Luke Sarsfield as CEO is a significant development for the company.
Valuation
Private markets growth at a compelling valuation has resulted in an initiation at an overweight rating.
Negative Factors
Growth Outlook
Slower than expected growth outlook has led to a downgrade.

P10 Holdings (PX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

P10 Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionP10 Holdings (PX) is a leading alternative asset management firm specializing in private equity, venture capital, and private credit. The company focuses on providing investors with access to a diversified portfolio of investment strategies across various sectors, aiming to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns. P10 Holdings leverages its extensive network and expertise to offer strategic investment solutions and advisory services to its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyP10 Holdings generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance-based incentives. The company earns management fees by overseeing and managing assets on behalf of its clients, typically calculated as a percentage of the total assets under management. Additionally, P10 Holdings may receive performance fees, which are contingent on achieving specific investment benchmarks or returns. These fee structures incentivize the firm to enhance investment performance while aligning its interests with those of their investors. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and other financial entities further bolster their revenue streams by expanding their investment reach and capabilities.

P10 Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -13.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant achievements in fundraising, revenue growth, and strategic acquisitions, indicating strong momentum and a positive outlook for 2025. However, challenges regarding margin pressures and the non-recurring nature of recent catch-up fees present areas of concern.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fundraising and Revenue Growth
P10 exceeded its financial and operating guidance with $3.8 billion in gross fundraising, a 23% increase in revenues, and a 17% rise in adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024.
Successful Bonaccord Capital Partners Fund II Closing
Bonaccord Capital Partners closed Fund II with a record $1.6 billion, marking the first fund of P10 to attract more than $1 billion in capital.
Strategic Acquisitions and M&A Activity
Announced the acquisition of Qualitas Funds, a leading European private equity fund of funds manager, poised to expand P10's European investor base and product offerings.
Expanding Global LP Base
P10's global LP base grew to over 3,800 relationships, expected to increase to approximately 5,000 with the addition of Qualitas Funds.
Strong Financial Metrics
Fee-related revenue grew by 14%, and full year FRE margins were 48.8%. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter was 50.5%.
Negative Updates
Pressure on FRE Margins
The ongoing mix shift within P10's portfolio, with newer and faster-growing strategies having lower core FRE margins, is expected to put downward pressure on margins.
Impact of Catch-Up Fees
Extraordinary catch-up fees, particularly from Bonaccord II, are not expected to be repeated, potentially affecting future fee rate stability.
Modest Downward Margin Pressure from Qualitas Funds
The acquisition of Qualitas Funds is expected to exert modest downward pressure on 2025 FRE margins, already factored into mid-40% guidance.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, P10 demonstrated robust financial performance, surpassing its projected targets from early 2024. The company achieved $3.8 billion in gross fundraising, significantly exceeding the $2.5 billion guidance, and realized a 23% increase in revenue, as well as a 17% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, P10's fee-paying Assets Under Management (AUM) grew by 10%, with revenues from fee-related activities increasing by 14%, excluding direct and secondary catch-up fees. The firm reported a full-year fee-related earnings (FRE) margin of 48.8%. For 2025, P10 anticipates further growth, with expectations of at least $4 billion in gross fundraising and plans to have 19 commingled funds in the market. Furthermore, they project step downs and expirations to account for 5% to 7% of fee-paying AUM, with a core fee rate of 103 basis points, excluding catch-up fees.

P10 Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
P10 Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and efficient operational management, although profitability has been inconsistent, particularly in 2023. The balance sheet shows significant leverage, which requires careful management to mitigate financial risk. The cash flow statements reveal a solid cash generation capacity, supporting the company's growth and operational needs. The company appears well-positioned for future growth, provided it addresses profitability and leverage concerns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
P10 Holdings has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory over the years, with a significant increase in total revenue from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a notable negative margin in 2023 due to a net loss, signaling some profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity has been positive overall, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio has been stable, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets with equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
P10 Holdings has shown impressive free cash flow growth, with a substantial increase in free cash flow in 2024 compared to previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash-generating ability relative to net income. The company has also managed to maintain a stable free cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating effective cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
298.00M296.45M241.73M198.36M150.53M67.37M
Gross Profit
142.71M141.13M87.45M104.06M95.78M42.84M
EBIT
59.75M60.62M20.92M43.42M40.35M8.69M
EBITDA
78.06M91.83M48.69M72.32M56.59M24.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
18.20M18.70M-7.13M29.21M10.77M23.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
74.39M67.45M30.47M20.02M40.92M11.77M
Total Assets
877.35M869.27M834.07M826.36M676.22M582.43M
Total Debt
0.00340.37M310.12M307.78M228.20M297.74M
Net Debt
-74.39M272.92M279.65M287.76M187.28M285.96M
Total Liabilities
503.10M482.38M408.91M392.48M281.05M522.59M
Stockholders Equity
374.25M347.00M385.59M393.14M395.16M59.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
79.89M96.59M46.22M60.21M48.86M10.64M
Operating Cash Flow
85.28M100.97M47.69M61.67M49.02M10.67M
Investing Cash Flow
-6.81M-5.80M-2.25M-98.59M-47.40M-214.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-33.09M-59.11M-42.87M22.93M29.08M196.84M

P10 Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.87
Price Trends
50DMA
10.93
Negative
100DMA
11.74
Negative
200DMA
11.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
31.89
Neutral
STOCH
11.41
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.81, below the 50-day MA of 10.93, and below the 200-day MA of 11.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.41 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PX.

P10 Holdings Risk Analysis

P10 Holdings disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. P10 Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, may disrupt the market, lead to greater legal and regulatory risks, and adversely affect our ability to compete. Q4, 2024

P10 Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WTWT
76
Outperform
$1.48B29.8710.77%1.16%20.66%-47.25%
71
Outperform
$943.90M6.6617.56%14.00%46.14%34.91%
69
Neutral
$1.23B10.5213.66%5.10%0.63%1.46%
PAPAX
68
Neutral
$2.21B30.7813.16%4.30%7.56%-46.44%
67
Neutral
$1.12B1.4411.11%
65
Neutral
$12.93B9.817.84%78.03%12.20%-7.74%
PXPX
61
Neutral
$1.12B65.105.24%1.52%18.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PX
P10 Holdings
9.79
1.89
23.92%
VRTS
Virtus Investment Partners
177.54
-25.99
-12.77%
WT
WisdomTree
10.24
0.92
9.87%
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.97
-0.72
-42.60%
PAX
Patria Investments
13.83
2.08
17.70%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
14.52
1.65
12.82%

P10 Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
P10 Holdings Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, P10 Holdings reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a record fundraising and deployment of over $1.4 billion in gross new fee-paying assets under management. The company also completed the acquisition of Qualitas Funds, expanding its global presence. Financial highlights include a 2% year-over-year increase in revenue to $67.7 million and a 10% increase in fee-paying assets under management to $26.3 billion. Despite a slight decrease in GAAP net income compared to the previous year, P10 increased its quarterly dividend by 7% and repurchased over 1.2 million shares. The company’s strong performance underscores its platform’s strength and its strategic positioning for future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
P10 Holdings Appoints New Board Members
Positive
Apr 21, 2025

On April 21, 2025, P10, Inc. announced the appointment of Jennifer Glassman and Stephen Blewitt to its Board of Directors, filling two current vacancies. Ms. Glassman, the CFO of Towerbrook Capital Partners, joins as a Class I director and will serve on the Audit Committee, while Mr. Blewitt, co-founder of Youth.Work.Connect., joins as a Class III director and will serve on the Compensation Committee. Both appointees are recognized for their extensive experience in the investment industry, with Ms. Glassman having a background in financial services and Mr. Blewitt in private markets. The appointments are part of P10’s strategy to enhance its governance profile and create long-term value for its investment strategies and shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
P10 Holdings Completes Acquisition of Qualitas Equity Funds
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

On April 4, 2025, P10, Inc. completed its acquisition of Qualitas Equity Funds SGEIC, S.A., a Madrid-based private equity platform specializing in the European lower-middle market. The acquisition, valued initially at $63 million, aims to expand P10’s global presence and enhance its offerings in the private markets sector. Qualitas Funds, with approximately $1 billion in fee-paying assets under management, provides fund-of-funds and direct co-investing opportunities to over 1,300 limited partners. The acquisition is expected to strengthen P10’s position in the European market and provide new investment opportunities for its global client base.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.