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P10 Holdings (PX)
NYSE:PX

P10 Holdings (PX) AI Stock Analysis

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PX

P10 Holdings

(NYSE:PX)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
â–²(5.32% Upside)
P10 Holdings' overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and successful fundraising efforts, balanced by challenges in profitability and leverage management. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided a balanced view of strengths and challenges, contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates effective business expansion and strong demand for the company's services, supporting long-term growth potential.
Strong Fundraising
Successful fundraising efforts exceeding targets suggest strong investor confidence and enhance the company's ability to scale operations.
Fee-Paying Assets Growth
The increase in fee-paying assets under management reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, driving sustainable revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow growth raises concerns about liquidity and the company's ability to fund operations and investments without external financing.
Decreased Net Profit Margin
A decreasing net profit margin indicates challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial performance and shareholder returns.

P10 Holdings (PX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

P10 Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionP10, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-asset class private market solutions provider in the alternative asset management industry in the United States. The company offers private equity, venture capital, private credit, impact investing, and private credit services, as well as primary fund of funds, secondary investment, and direct and co-investments services. It also provides tax credit transaction and consulting services. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyP10 Holdings generates revenue primarily through management fees and carried interest from its investment funds. The company manages several private equity and venture capital funds, earning management fees based on the total capital committed by investors. Additionally, P10 benefits from carried interest, which is a share of the profits from the investments made by these funds, typically realized when the investments are exited. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and strategic alliances within the industries they invest in also contribute to their earnings. The firm's ability to identify and invest in high-growth potential companies is a critical factor in its revenue generation.

P10 Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in fee-paying assets under management and successful fundraising, with key achievements including the closing of RCP's Secondary Fund V above target. However, challenges such as increased step-downs and expirations, and a decrease in adjusted net income were noted. Overall, the highlights and lowlights appear balanced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Fee-Paying Assets Under Management
P10 ended the third quarter with $29.1 billion of total fee-paying assets under management, representing a 17% increase year-over-year.
Successful Fundraising and Deployment
Raised and deployed $915 million in organic gross new fee-paying assets under management. The company exceeded its annual organic gross fundraising guidance for 2025 and raised its full-year target to $5 billion.
Commingled Fund Success
RCP's Secondary Fund V closed at $1.26 billion, exceeding the target of $1 billion, and was closed in just 13 months compared to 25 months for its predecessor.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the third quarter were approximately $40 million, with a strong balance sheet and ample borrowing capacity to support future M&A.
Growth in Core Fee-Related Revenue
Fee-related revenue grew 5% year-to-date, with an 11% increase when excluding direct and secondary catch-up fees.
Negative Updates
Increased Step-Downs and Expirations
Step-downs and expirations for full year 2025 are expected to be slightly above the initial expectation of 5% to 7%, driven primarily by early paydowns in the credit business.
Decrease in Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income (ANI) decreased by 7% from the third quarter of 2024, primarily due to higher cash interest expenses following a debt refinancing.
Lower Share Repurchases
Share repurchases in the third quarter slowed due to capacity being pulled forward into the second quarter, with approximately 110,000 shares repurchased.
Company Guidance
During the P10 Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and discussed its financial performance. P10 ended the third quarter with $29.1 billion in total fee-paying assets under management, marking a 17% year-over-year increase. The company exceeded its annual organic gross fundraising guidance of $4 billion for 2025, raising its target to $5 billion. P10 achieved $915 million in organic gross new fee-paying assets under management during the quarter, despite $673 million in step-downs and expirations. The firm also reported a 5% year-to-date growth in fee-related revenue (FRR) and a 17% year-over-year increase in assets under management (AUM) to $42.5 billion. Additionally, P10's adjusted net income (ANI) was $28.6 million, and its fee-related earnings (FRE) margin stood at 47%. The company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0375 per share and highlighted its ongoing share repurchase program, repurchasing approximately 110,000 shares at a weighted average price of $11.34.

P10 Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
P10 Holdings shows strong revenue growth and solid gross margins, but faces challenges in maintaining net profitability and managing increased leverage. The decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, although cash conversion remains efficient. The company needs to address profitability and leverage to sustain its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
75
Positive
P10 Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 56.3% increase, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin remains solid at 49.5%, although slightly lower than previous years. The net profit margin has decreased to 4.9% in the TTM, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. Overall, the company shows a positive growth trajectory but faces pressure on net profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.19 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity has decreased to 4.2%, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. Despite these challenges, the equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
P10 Holdings experienced a significant decline in free cash flow growth by 60.5% in the TTM, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 4.58, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. However, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue301.31M296.45M241.73M198.36M150.53M67.37M
Gross Profit150.34M141.13M87.45M104.06M95.78M42.84M
EBITDA74.94M91.83M48.69M72.32M56.59M24.26M
Net Income15.33M18.70M-7.13M29.21M10.77M23.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets936.01M869.27M834.07M826.36M676.22M582.43M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.99M67.45M30.47M20.02M40.92M11.77M
Total Debt424.07M340.37M310.12M307.78M228.20M297.74M
Total Liabilities539.22M482.38M408.91M392.48M281.05M522.59M
Stockholders Equity344.78M347.00M385.59M393.14M395.16M59.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.65M96.59M46.22M60.21M48.86M10.63M
Operating Cash Flow27.77M100.97M47.69M61.67M49.02M10.67M
Investing Cash Flow-43.51M-5.80M-2.25M-98.59M-47.40M-214.19M
Financing Cash Flow-6.65M-59.11M-42.87M22.93M29.08M196.84M

P10 Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.97
Price Trends
50DMA
10.03
Negative
100DMA
10.92
Negative
200DMA
10.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
51.01
Neutral
STOCH
34.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.84, below the 50-day MA of 10.03, and below the 200-day MA of 10.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PX.

P10 Holdings Risk Analysis

P10 Holdings disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. P10 Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

P10 Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.15B6.9616.18%13.53%33.44%25.22%
71
Outperform
$1.09B8.388.75%17.34%-16.58%65.24%
70
Neutral
$1.12B8.5015.07%5.41%-3.07%18.00%
68
Neutral
$1.24B13.859.80%11.90%25.28%-1.69%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$931.50M13.845.43%14.17%36.15%-38.59%
62
Neutral
$1.10B75.024.38%1.48%9.77%26.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PX
P10 Holdings
9.97
-2.81
-21.99%
CSWC
Capital Southwest
21.52
2.54
13.38%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
9.03
-0.84
-8.51%
VRTS
Virtus Investment Partners
165.53
-48.73
-22.74%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.56
-1.15
-10.74%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
15.20
2.23
17.19%

P10 Holdings Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
P10 Holdings Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, P10, Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting a 17% year-over-year increase in fee-paying assets under management, reaching $29.1 billion. The company also announced a stock repurchase program and declared a quarterly cash dividend, reflecting its strong financial performance and strategic focus on the middle and lower-middle markets.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
P10 Holdings Enters Interest Rate Collar Agreement
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 15, 2025, P10, Inc. entered into an interest rate collar hedging transaction with East West Bank to manage the variable interest rate risk associated with its borrowings under an amended credit agreement. The transaction involves a notional amount of $211,250,000, with a SOFR floor of 2.310% and a cap of 4.250%, effective from September 30, 2025, to August 1, 2028.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025