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Tradeweb Markets Inc (TW)
NASDAQ:TW
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Tradeweb Markets (TW) AI Stock Analysis

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TW

Tradeweb Markets

(NASDAQ:TW)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$144.00
▲(13.59% Upside)
Tradeweb Markets demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driving a high score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the stock appears overvalued, which tempers the overall score. The company's robust growth and strategic focus on innovation are significant strengths, but market challenges and valuation concerns present risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Tradeweb Markets reported a 33% year-over-year growth in quarterly volumes for 2Q25.
Market Expansion
The company continues to expand volumes at a high rate despite tough comparisons due to heightened volatility and continued share gains.
Revenue Growth
Fixed trading revenues rose by 25% year-over-year, contributing to a total trading revenue increase of 28% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Growth Concerns
Signs of the firm’s organic growth decelerating amid stagnating market share across Credit, Cash Treasuries, and Equities, making TW more susceptible to swings in industry volumes.
Market Share
Tradeweb’s U.S. Treasuries market share of 21.5% was its lowest quarterly market share since 1Q24 and down from ~23% in both the prior quarter and the year before.
Valuation Concerns
Slower organic revenue growth prospects to weigh on premium valuation.

Tradeweb Markets (TW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tradeweb Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTradeweb Markets Inc. is a leading global operator of electronic marketplaces for fixed income, derivatives, and equities. The company provides a platform that facilitates trading in various financial instruments, serving a diverse clientele that includes institutional investors, dealers, and other financial market participants. Tradeweb's core products include trading solutions for government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and interest rate derivatives, among others, enabling clients to execute trades efficiently and transparently in a rapidly evolving market environment.
How the Company Makes MoneyTradeweb generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees, which are charged each time a trade is executed on its platform. The company also earns revenue from subscription fees for access to its trading technology and services, which are used by clients to streamline their trading operations. Key revenue streams include fees from trading in fixed income products, derivatives, and equities, as well as additional services such as data analytics and post-trade processing. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and market participants enhance Tradeweb's liquidity and trading volumes, further contributing to its earnings.

Tradeweb Markets Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Tradeweb's strong revenue growth, particularly in international markets and emerging technologies like AiEX. However, challenges such as the decline in U.S. Treasuries market share and impacts on ICD due to market volatility were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Tradeweb achieved record revenues of $513 million for the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, surpassing $1 billion in revenue in the first half of the year.
Strong International Growth
International business revenues increased by 41% with significant growth in EM and APAC regions, contributing to overall company growth.
Equities and Credit Performance
Equities revenue grew by 50% year-over-year, and credit revenue experienced double-digit growth, driven by strong performance in credit derivatives and municipal bonds.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 83 basis points compared to 2024, highlighting improved profitability.
Technological Advancements
Increased usage of AiEX and Portfolio Trading, with average daily trades in AiEX increasing over 125% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
U.S. Treasuries Market Share Decline
Market share in U.S. Treasuries declined year-over-year by 400 basis points due to industry-wide shifts towards voice-centric trades.
ICD Business Impacted by Volatility
ICD business experienced volatility with some large clients drawing down money market fund balances, impacting forward revenue.
Fee Per Million Decrease in Certain Segments
Cash credit average fees per million decreased 11% due to dealer plan migrations and a mix shift away from retail within U.S. credit.
Company Guidance
During Tradeweb's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong financial performance and future growth expectations. Tradeweb reported record quarterly revenues of $513 million, marking a 26.7% year-over-year increase, with total trading revenues rising by 28%. The company achieved a notable adjusted EBITDA margin of 54.2%, reflecting an 83-basis-point increase compared to 2024. The robust growth was driven by various sectors, including international business, which grew by 41%, and equities, which saw a 50% increase. The rates business also contributed significantly, with record revenues from swaps, global government bonds, and mortgages. Tradeweb's focus on innovation and electronic trading solutions, such as AiEX and Portfolio Trading, continued to resonate well with clients, contributing to the positive outlook for sustained double-digit revenue growth in 2025. The company also highlighted its strategic investments, including plans to increase adjusted expenses to $1 billion to $1.05 billion, with a focus on U.S. and European credit, global repos, and digital assets, while aiming to maintain or surpass 2024's adjusted EBITDA margin levels.

Tradeweb Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tradeweb Markets exhibits strong financial health across all key verticals. The company is effectively growing revenue and profit, maintaining robust margins, and efficiently managing costs. Its low leverage and high equity ratio underscore financial stability, while strong cash flow growth and cash generation capabilities highlight operational efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tradeweb Markets has demonstrated impressive growth in its revenue, with a notable increase of 11.58% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous annual period. The gross profit margin remains strong at 65.63%, reflecting efficient cost management and a robust business model. The net profit margin has also improved to 28.85% in the TTM, highlighting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 38.86% and 49.44% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Tradeweb Markets is notably strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0053, signifying minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 9.16%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is high at 75.67%, confirming a solid capital structure with minimal reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial growth in free cash flow of 14.54% in the TTM, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.87, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.76, both reflecting strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.93B1.73B1.34B1.19B1.08B892.66M
Gross Profit1.28B1.13B877.91M756.36M669.19M543.00M
EBITDA1.08B978.68M733.33M616.01M542.88M428.57M
Net Income558.29M501.51M364.87M309.34M226.83M166.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.06B7.27B7.06B6.26B5.99B5.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.63B1.34B1.71B1.26B973.05M792.28M
Total Debt32.32M35.75M49.08M27.94M24.33M34.46M
Total Liabilities1.33B869.11M1.13B713.82M681.24M660.69M
Stockholders Equity6.10B5.80B5.37B4.95B4.65B4.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow981.47M856.78M684.33M572.73M526.67M400.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.04B897.74M746.09M632.82M578.02M443.23M
Investing Cash Flow-891.36M-969.19M-132.76M-60.10M-259.11M-62.54M
Financing Cash Flow-249.13M-290.26M-168.17M-276.70M-136.10M-52.69M

Tradeweb Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price126.77
Price Trends
50DMA
136.28
Negative
100DMA
137.37
Negative
200DMA
135.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.00
Positive
RSI
34.67
Neutral
STOCH
4.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 126.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.46, below the 50-day MA of 136.28, and below the 200-day MA of 135.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TW.

Tradeweb Markets Risk Analysis

Tradeweb Markets disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tradeweb Markets reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tradeweb Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$29.86B26.3126.43%66.97%86.46%
80
Outperform
$27.94B32.7319.15%0.42%12.30%20.76%
75
Outperform
$33.49B16.2818.16%1.16%9.42%14.86%
73
Outperform
$29.97B48.659.51%0.35%27.97%28.39%
68
Neutral
$17.82B11.9010.30%3.72%9.69%0.80%
68
Neutral
$7.09B32.0016.41%1.59%8.30%-14.39%
68
Neutral
$13.22B23.555.75%2.39%1.00%46.98%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TW
Tradeweb Markets
126.08
10.00
8.61%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
61.79
30.40
96.85%
JEF
Jefferies
64.76
8.00
14.09%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
187.51
-46.76
-19.96%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
167.95
51.71
44.49%
FUTU
Futu Holdings
183.93
126.27
218.99%

Tradeweb Markets Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tradeweb Markets Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Tradeweb Markets Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made. Stockholders elected Class III directors for a three-year term, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm, and approved executive compensation, reflecting confidence in the company’s leadership and financial oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025