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Raymond James Financial (RJF)
NYSE:RJF

Raymond James Financial (RJF) AI Stock Analysis

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RJF

Raymond James Financial

(NYSE:RJF)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$181.00
â–²(9.19% Upside)
Raymond James Financial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic investments and record-breaking growth highlight its robust market position. Technical analysis and valuation suggest a stable outlook, while challenges like cash flow conversion and expense management are areas for improvement.
Positive Factors
Record Client Asset Growth
The significant growth in client assets under administration indicates strong market demand and effective client acquisition strategies, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
Technology and AI Investments
Substantial investments in technology and AI position the company for future innovation, operational efficiency, and competitive advantage in financial services.
Strong Financial Performance
Consistent revenue growth and record financial performance reflect robust business operations and market positioning, supporting long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
Decline in Pretax Income
A decline in pretax income suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact future earnings and financial health.
Interest Rate Impact
Interest rate reductions have negatively impacted income, potentially affecting future profitability and financial performance in a low-rate environment.
Expense Growth
Rising expenses, driven by growth initiatives, may pressure margins and require careful management to sustain profitability and operational efficiency.

Raymond James Financial (RJF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Raymond James Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRaymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group segment offers investment services, portfolio management services, insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds; support to third-party product partners, including sales and marketing support, as well as distribution and accounting, and administrative services; margin loans; and securities borrowing and lending services. The Capital Markets segment provides investment banking services, including equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory services; and fixed income and equity brokerage services. The Asset Management segment offers asset management, portfolio management, and related administrative services to retail and institutional clients; and administrative support services, such as record-keeping. The Raymond James Bank segment provides insured deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate (CRE) and CRE construction, tax-exempt, residential, securities-based, and other loans; and loan syndication services. The Other segment engages in the private equity investments, including various direct and third-party private equity investments; and legacy private equity funds. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRaymond James Financial generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, the company earns money from advisory fees, commissions on trades, and interest income from loans and investments. The Private Client Group segment contributes significantly through wealth management services, where financial advisors charge fees based on assets under management and commissions from investment products. The Capital Markets segment earns revenue from investment banking activities, including underwriting and advisory fees from public offerings and mergers and acquisitions. Additionally, the Asset Management segment provides investment solutions and earns fees from managed funds. The company also benefits from its banking operations through interest income from loans and mortgages. Strategic partnerships and relationships with various financial institutions enhance its service offerings and revenue potential.

Raymond James Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Raymond James Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance with record-breaking revenues and growth in client assets, as well as successful recruitment and strategic investments in technology and AI. However, challenges were noted with a decline in pretax income and increased expenses due to interest rate impacts and growth investments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Achieved record revenues and net income for the fifth consecutive year, with annual net revenues of $14.1 billion (10% growth) and pretax income of $2.71 billion (3% growth).
Strong Asset Growth
Record client assets of $1.73 trillion, 11% year-over-year growth in client assets under administration, and record net bank loans of $51.6 billion.
Successful Adviser Recruitment
Record recruitment of financial advisers with $407 million trailing 12-month production, a 21% increase over last year's record.
Capital Markets Segment Performance
The Capital Markets segment achieved its third-highest revenue on record, supported by strong M&A and debt underwriting activities.
AI and Technology Investments
Invested approximately $1 billion in technology, including strategic AI initiatives, and appointed a Chief AI Officer and Head of AI Strategy.
Negative Updates
Decline in Pretax Income
Quarterly pretax income declined 4% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Interest Rate Impact
Decline in pretax income year-over-year in the Private Client Group due to interest rate reductions totaling 125 basis points since September 2024.
Expense Growth
Non-compensation expenses increased 11% over the year-ago quarter, driven by growth initiatives and higher investment sub-advisory fee expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Raymond James Financial fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 earnings call, CEO Paul Shoukry highlighted the company's record-breaking financial performance, including net revenues of $3.7 billion for the quarter, a 10% growth over the preceding quarter. The firm also achieved record client assets of $1.73 trillion and a record number of financial advisers totaling 8,943. The company reported a quarterly pretax income of $731 million and record fiscal year net revenues of $14.1 billion, marking a 10% increase over the prior year. Key business drivers such as recruited financial advisers with a trailing 12 production of $407 million and net bank loans of $51.6 billion also reached record levels. Raymond James made significant technology investments, approximately $1 billion, including strategic AI initiatives, and maintained a strong balance sheet with a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 13.1%. The firm returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and remains committed to investing in growth through both organic means and strategic acquisitions.

Raymond James Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Raymond James Financial exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, high profitability, and effective equity utilization. The company maintains a stable balance sheet, though attention to cash flow conversion efficiency could enhance financial resilience.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Raymond James Financial has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 2.58% increase in the latest year. The company maintains strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 88.15% and a solid net profit margin of 13.42%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35. The return on equity is robust, highlighting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Raymond James Financial shows positive free cash flow growth of 14.94%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.91B15.91B14.74B12.84B11.16B9.78B
Gross Profit14.03B14.03B12.59B11.34B10.75B9.66B
EBITDA4.76B4.76B2.82B2.44B2.17B1.93B
Net Income2.13B2.13B2.07B1.74B1.51B1.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.23B88.23B82.99B78.36B80.95B61.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.28B18.28B19.25B18.47B15.99B15.52B
Total Debt4.41B4.41B4.03B3.48B3.79B3.17B
Total Liabilities75.73B75.73B71.33B68.17B71.52B53.59B
Stockholders Equity12.50B12.50B11.67B10.21B9.46B8.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.25B2.25B1.95B-3.69B-19.00M6.57B
Operating Cash Flow2.43B2.43B2.15B-3.51B72.00M6.65B
Investing Cash Flow-4.32B-4.32B-968.00M-274.00M-7.15B-5.14B
Financing Cash Flow2.36B2.36B438.00M1.44B5.88B5.23B

Raymond James Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.77
Price Trends
50DMA
160.68
Positive
100DMA
163.93
Positive
200DMA
155.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Negative
RSI
59.99
Neutral
STOCH
63.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RJF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.37, above the 50-day MA of 160.68, and above the 200-day MA of 155.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RJF.

Raymond James Financial Risk Analysis

Raymond James Financial disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Raymond James Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Raymond James Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$32.65B16.1017.64%1.26%6.45%5.85%
75
Outperform
$29.30B31.7819.82%0.46%11.88%28.96%
75
Outperform
$13.11B22.6711.73%1.43%7.54%2.73%
74
Outperform
$180.20B23.7317.05%1.07%5.90%66.60%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$29.67B34.4521.32%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
63
Neutral
$13.06B21.866.29%2.52%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RJF
Raymond James Financial
165.77
9.11
5.82%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
65.96
20.92
46.45%
JEF
Jefferies
63.47
-14.75
-18.86%
LPLA
LPL Financial
374.28
39.50
11.80%
SF
Stifel Financial
128.39
22.49
21.24%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
101.18
27.04
36.47%

Raymond James Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Raymond James Reports Record Client Asset Growth
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Raymond James Financial reported operating data for November 2025, noting a 10% year-over-year increase in client assets under administration, reaching a record $1.77 trillion. The growth was primarily fueled by net asset inflows due to strong advisor recruiting and favorable equity market conditions. Despite strong investment banking pipelines, revenues in the segment were down 20% for the first two months of the quarter compared to the previous quarter, reflecting timing-related factors for closings.

Stock BuybackDividends
Raymond James Financial Increases Quarterly Dividend by 8%
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Raymond James Financial announced an 8% increase in its quarterly dividend for common stock, raising it to $0.54 per share, payable on January 16, 2026. The company also declared a quarterly dividend for its Series B Preferred Stock and authorized a $2 billion share repurchase program, replacing the previous $1.5 billion authorization. This move reflects the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure.

Business Operations and Strategy
Raymond James to Redeem Series B Preferred Stock
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Raymond James Financial announced its decision to redeem all 80,500 outstanding shares of its Series B Preferred Stock and the related depositary shares on January 2, 2026. This move will result in no remaining outstanding shares of the Series B Preferred Stock or Series B Depositary Shares, impacting the company’s capital structure and potentially influencing its financial strategy.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Raymond James Reports Record Client Assets in October
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Raymond James Financial reported its operating data for October 2025, highlighting a record $1.75 trillion in client assets under administration, a 13% year-over-year increase driven by higher equity markets and net asset inflows. Despite a 2% sequential decline in clients’ domestic cash sweep and Enhanced Savings Program balances due to quarterly fee billings, the company maintains strong pipelines for advisor recruiting and investment banking, indicating robust future prospects.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Raymond James Reports Record Client Assets in August
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Raymond James Financial reported its operating data for August 2025, highlighting a record $1.69 trillion in client assets under administration, a 10% increase year-over-year, driven by higher equity markets and net asset inflows. Despite a decline in domestic cash sweep and Enhanced Savings Program balances, the firm noted strong advisor recruiting and a robust investment banking pipeline, indicating positive momentum in its operations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Raymond James Financial Amends Credit Agreement for Growth
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Raymond James Financial, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement, extending the maturity date to September 23, 2030, increasing the facility amount to $1 billion, and decreasing the interest rate applicable to borrowings. This strategic financial adjustment is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and potentially improve its market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025