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Charles Schwab (SCHW)
NYSE:SCHW
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Charles Schwab (SCHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

(NYSE:SCHW)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$125.00
▲(11.34% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
SCHW scores well primarily due to strong profitability and improving balance-sheet leverage, reinforced by a bullish earnings-call outlook (raised 2026 revenue growth and guided NIM expansion). The score is held back by volatile and recently weaker free cash flow, plus overbought technical conditions (high RSI/Stoch) that increase near-term pullback risk; valuation appears reasonable but not notably cheap given the modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and operating scale
Schwab combines substantial revenue scale with high and improving profitability. Its broad platform and low cost per account support operating leverage, helping the company convert growth in client activity and assets into durable earnings.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash conversion
Reported earnings remain strong, but inconsistent operating and free cash flow indicates weaker earnings-to-cash conversion than the income statement suggests. Persistent volatility could constrain capital returns, reinvestment flexibility or funding resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and operating scale
Schwab combines substantial revenue scale with high and improving profitability. Its broad platform and low cost per account support operating leverage, helping the company convert growth in client activity and assets into durable earnings.
Read all positive factors

Charles Schwab Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Income Before Taxes by Segment
Breaks down pre-tax profits by business line, highlighting the most profitable parts of the company and where cost or revenue pressures could hit overall earnings.
Chart InsightsBoth Investor and Advisor Services fell into a clear trough through 2023 but have rebounded sharply, with 2025 delivering the strongest, accelerating profits — a sign of renewed fee and interest-income momentum and meaningful operating leverage across Schwab’s businesses. Advisor Services is more volatile, highlighting sensitivity to asset flows and market value, while Investor Services’ rebound implies rate- and scale-driven margin recovery. The upside is real for EPS, but exposure to market swings or rate cuts remains the main risk to this trajectory.
Data provided by:The Fly

Charles Schwab (SCHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Charles Schwab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) stands as a prominent financial services enterprise, delivering a comprehensive suite of offerings that encompass wealth management, securities trading and brokerage, banking services, asset administration, cu...
How the Company Makes Money
Schwab generates revenue from a mix of net interest income and fee-based income tied to brokerage, asset management, advisory, and banking activities. A major driver is net interest revenue: Schwab earns interest on interest-earning assets (includ...

Charles Schwab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong, broad-based operational and financial momentum: record revenue and EPS, significant new account and asset inflows, trading and lending growth, product innovation (crypto pilot, Forge, AI initiatives), and improved operating leverage. The main negatives are manageable near-term headwinds and uncertainties — higher expense growth this year (driven by volume and acquisitions), reliance on market-driven trading activity, subdued hard-to-borrow securities-lending, and uncertainty around tokenization and timing of emerging revenue streams. Overall, achievements and growth metrics substantially outweigh the challenges described.
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
2Q26 total revenue of $7.1 billion (+21% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.62 (+42% YoY); adjusted pre-tax profit margin of 54.3%.
Negative Updates
Higher Near-Term Expense Growth
Full-year expense growth raised to 9.5%–10.5% (vs prior underlying 5.5%–6.5%) driven by volume-related operating costs and inclusion of Forge (adds ~100 bps to expense growth).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Financial Results
2Q26 total revenue of $7.1 billion (+21% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.62 (+42% YoY); adjusted pre-tax profit margin of 54.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Schwab updated its 2026 scenario, guiding to 17.5%–18.5% total revenue growth, full‑year net interest margin expanding to roughly 3.00%–3.10% (with a 4Q26 NIM exit of 3.25%–3.30%), a full‑year daily average trades assumption of 10.6 million (2Q26 was 11.9M), an assumed ~13% full‑year market appreciation, 5% organic asset‑gathering growth, and annual expense growth of 9.5%–10.5% (underlying expense growth 5.5%–6.5%); the update implies materially stronger operating leverage (about +800 bps versus the prior scenario), adjusted Tier‑1 leverage of ~6.75%–7.0% (6.8% at quarter end), and the financials exclude any opportunistic share repurchases in H2.

Charles Schwab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement performance (revenue up to ~$30.0B TTM with very strong net margin ~33.6% and improved EBIT margin ~43.5%) and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.74 vs. higher levels in 2023–2024) support a solid score. The main constraint is cash-flow quality: free cash flow fell sharply in TTM (~-61.9% YoY) and operating cash flow has been volatile, increasing near-term earnings-to-cash conversion risk.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.03B27.68B26.00B25.52B22.31B19.00B
Gross Profit26.02B23.92B19.61B18.84B20.76B18.52B
EBITDA14.40B12.82B9.13B7.72B10.64B8.88B
Net Income10.10B8.85B5.94B5.07B7.18B5.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets517.30B491.00B479.84B493.18B551.77B667.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.60B108.11B124.70B149.25B188.03B453.03B
Total Debt37.10B30.95B45.13B59.08B37.88B23.77B
Total Liabilities467.42B441.57B431.47B452.22B515.16B611.01B
Stockholders Equity49.88B49.42B48.38B40.96B36.61B56.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.71B8.76B2.05B18.89B1.09B1.20B
Operating Cash Flow4.33B9.31B2.67B19.59B2.06B2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-1.43B24.54B35.43B57.41B32.05B-75.66B
Financing Cash Flow3.65B-29.70B-47.06B-61.24B-68.72B96.32B

Charles Schwab Risk Analysis

Charles Schwab disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Charles Schwab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Charles Schwab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$16.24B11.3726.62%2.62%44.47%39.64%
75
Outperform
$196.54B20.5920.40%1.16%10.13%48.07%
72
Outperform
$336.23B17.4318.13%1.86%17.88%40.08%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$28.68B28.9318.45%0.37%38.82%-14.48%
64
Neutral
$301.74B15.7916.97%1.60%8.38%42.87%
61
Neutral
$93.16B48.5222.70%39.14%14.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCHW
Charles Schwab
112.27
16.26
16.93%
LPLA
LPL Financial
361.88
-4.09
-1.12%
MS
Morgan Stanley
216.77
71.10
48.81%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
1,058.88
324.71
44.23%
FUTU
Futu Holdings
125.63
-61.38
-32.82%
HOOD
Robinhood
112.09
3.29
3.02%

Charles Schwab Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Charles Schwab Raises $2.6 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
On August 12, 2026, The Charles Schwab Corporation issued $1.25 billion of 5.108% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2032 and $1.35 billion of 5.655% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2037, raising approximately $2.582 billion in net pr...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Charles Schwab Issues $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 25, 2026, The Charles Schwab Corporation issued $1 billion of 4.603% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2029, raising approximately $995.5 million in net proceeds after underwriting discounts and offering expenses. The notes were issu...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Charles Schwab Shareholders Reelect Board, Governance Status Quo
Neutral
May 22, 2026
At its annual meeting of stockholders held on May 21, 2026, The Charles Schwab Corporation reported that all director nominees were elected with more votes in favor than against, reaffirming support for the existing board. Shareholders also approv...
Private Placements and Financing
Charles Schwab Raises $2.2 Billion Through Senior Notes
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, The Charles Schwab Corporation issued $1.0 billion of 4.744% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2030 and $1.25 billion of 5.493% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes due 2037, raising approximately $2.236 billion in net procee...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026