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Charles Schwab (SCHW)
NYSE:SCHW

Charles Schwab (SCHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

(NYSE:SCHW)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
â–²(9.02% Upside)
Charles Schwab's strong earnings performance and strategic corporate actions are significant positives. However, challenges in cash flow management and mixed technical signals temper the overall outlook. The company's moderate valuation and strategic initiatives provide a balanced investment case.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Client Engagement
High client engagement and account growth reflect strong brand loyalty and market position, supporting future revenue streams.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Forge Global enhances Schwab's access to private markets, potentially driving growth and diversifying revenue sources.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow can limit investment capacity and operational flexibility, posing a risk to long-term financial health.
Dependency on Market Conditions
Reliance on favorable market conditions could lead to volatility in performance if market dynamics shift unfavorably.
Legal Challenges
Ongoing legal challenges could distract management and incur costs, potentially impacting operational focus and financial resources.

Charles Schwab (SCHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Charles Schwab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCharles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) is a leading financial services company based in the United States that provides a broad range of investment services and products. Primarily focused on individual investors, the company operates in sectors including brokerage, banking, and asset management. Core offerings encompass self-directed trading, wealth management, retirement planning, and financial advisory services, enabling clients to manage their investments through innovative technology and a client-centric approach.
How the Company Makes MoneyCharles Schwab generates revenue through several key streams. Its primary source of income comes from net interest revenue, which is derived from the interest earned on cash balances held by clients and loans provided to them. The company also earns commissions and fees from executing trades for clients, though it has eliminated commissions on stock and ETF trades, shifting its focus to other revenue sources. Additionally, Schwab generates income through asset management fees from its investment advisory services and mutual funds. The firm has established partnerships with various financial institutions and technology providers to enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its earnings through enhanced client engagement and retention.

Charles Schwab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with notable achievements in revenue, client engagement, and asset growth. Despite some concerns regarding interest rate exposure and market dependency, the overall outlook is positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings and Revenue Growth
Q2 2025 adjusted earnings per share reached $1.14, a 56% increase over the second quarter of last year. Total revenue for the second quarter was $5.9 billion, up 25% over the same period last year.
Strong Client Engagement and Asset Growth
Core net new assets reached $218 billion in the first half of 2025, up 39%. Investors opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in Q2, and daily average trades reached $7.6 million.
Increased Managed Investing Net Flows
Managed investing net flows increased 37% year-over-year for the second quarter, with Schwab Wealth Advisory net flows over $10 billion in the first half of 2025.
Improved Efficiency and Use of AI
Schwab is implementing 40 AI use cases to enhance client service and internal efficiency, contributing to an adjusted pretax profit margin of over 50%.
Growth in Younger Client Demographics
Growth in younger investors with more than 30% of new-to-firm clients under 30 and nearly 60% under 40.
Negative Updates
Interest Rate Sensitivity
The firm faces exposure to interest rate changes, with hedging measures in place to manage potential impacts of rate cuts expected later in 2025.
Dependency on Trading and Market Conditions
The overall financial performance is partially dependent on sustained trading volumes and favorable market conditions, which are subject to change.
Company Guidance
During Schwab's 2025 Summer Business Update, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. In the first half of 2025, Schwab achieved core net new assets of $218 billion, up 39%, and opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in the second quarter. Daily average trades reached 7.6 million, and margin balances were $83.4 billion. The company reported a 25% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2, totaling $5.9 billion, and adjusted earnings per share grew 56% to $1.14. Schwab's strategic focus on client growth, scale, efficiency, and innovation, including investments in artificial intelligence and the rollout of Schwab Wealth Advisory, was highlighted. The firm anticipates continued strong revenue and earnings growth, supported by disciplined expense management and opportunistic capital returns. Schwab also emphasized its leadership in digital assets, holding $25 billion in client assets in crypto ETPs. The company's competitive position remains strong, with a focus on expanding client relationships and services, particularly among younger investors.

Charles Schwab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Charles Schwab demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, though recent revenue declines and a high reliance on liabilities present challenges. The company maintains healthy margins and a solid ROE, indicative of effective management and operational efficiency. Continued focus on revenue growth and balance sheet strengthening will be crucial for sustaining long-term financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 73.96%, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is around 32.12%, showing healthy profitability but a decrease from previous years. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is negative, suggesting a decline in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is at 12.38%, and the EBITDA margin is at 52.06%, both indicating solid earnings before interest and taxes, though lower than past performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.74, suggesting a moderate level of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is calculated at 19.17% for TTM, reflecting strong profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio of 8.99% highlights a low proportion of equity in the total assets, indicating potential liquidity risks. The financial position is stable but relies significantly on liabilities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate has significantly improved, showing strong cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.14, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08, indicating a slight decrease in cash flow efficiency compared to net income. Overall, cash flow metrics are positive but show room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.16B26.00B25.52B22.31B19.00B12.11B
Gross Profit22.91B19.61B18.84B20.76B18.52B11.69B
EBITDA11.97B9.13B7.72B10.64B8.88B4.90B
Net Income8.23B5.94B5.07B7.18B5.86B3.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets465.25B479.84B493.18B551.77B667.27B549.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.57B124.70B149.25B188.03B453.03B377.75B
Total Debt27.58B45.13B59.08B37.88B23.77B13.63B
Total Liabilities415.87B431.47B452.22B515.16B611.01B492.95B
Stockholders Equity49.38B48.38B40.96B36.61B56.26B56.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.40B2.05B18.89B1.09B1.20B6.22B
Operating Cash Flow-753.00M2.67B19.59B2.06B2.12B6.85B
Investing Cash Flow33.42B35.43B57.41B32.05B-75.66B-125.85B
Financing Cash Flow-44.81B-47.06B-61.24B-68.72B96.32B143.98B

Charles Schwab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price97.23
Price Trends
50DMA
93.94
Positive
100DMA
94.41
Positive
200DMA
89.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
62.15
Neutral
STOCH
83.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCHW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 97.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.87, above the 50-day MA of 93.94, and above the 200-day MA of 89.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCHW.

Charles Schwab Risk Analysis

Charles Schwab disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Charles Schwab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Charles Schwab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$277.81B17.9415.15%2.23%7.22%48.18%
76
Outperform
$31.67B15.6417.64%1.26%6.45%5.85%
75
Outperform
$27.81B30.0919.82%0.48%11.88%28.96%
74
Outperform
$171.67B22.6617.05%1.11%5.90%66.60%
73
Outperform
$261.64B17.7213.57%1.60%2.31%44.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$28.47B32.7421.32%0.34%35.19%-18.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCHW
Charles Schwab
97.23
23.82
32.45%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
62.94
19.19
43.86%
LPLA
LPL Financial
352.74
25.92
7.93%
MS
Morgan Stanley
172.96
52.88
44.04%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
160.22
7.17
4.68%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
876.30
321.52
57.95%

Charles Schwab Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Charles Schwab Issues $2 Billion Senior Notes
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Charles Schwab Corporation issued $2 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes, with maturities in 2031 and 2036, raising approximately $1.986 billion after expenses. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster the company’s capital structure and enhance its market position by leveraging favorable interest rates and strong investor demand.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Charles Schwab to Acquire Forge Global Holdings
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Charles Schwab announced its agreement to acquire Forge Global Holdings for approximately $660 million, aiming to enhance access to private markets for investors. This acquisition is expected to deepen liquidity and transparency, leveraging Schwab’s extensive client base and Forge’s expertise in private market platforms. The transaction, anticipated to close in the first half of 2026, will integrate Forge’s capabilities with Schwab’s existing services, potentially transforming private market access and offering new growth opportunities for private companies and investors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025