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Charles Schwab (SCHW)
NYSE:SCHW

Charles Schwab (SCHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

(NYSE:SCHW)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
â–²(12.63% Upside)
The score is driven by strong profitability and a positive earnings outlook (record results and continued expansion guidance), supported by constructive technical trends. It is tempered by weaker cash flow metrics (negative operating and free cash flow) and a valuation that is not especially cheap given a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Scale of Client Assets & Accounts
A record $11.9 trillion in client assets and 46.5 million accounts create durable revenue streams from asset-based fees and deposit funding. Scale strengthens cross-sell, lowers unit costs, and provides a competitive moat that supports long-term client retention and product expansion.
High Profitability & Margins
Very strong operating and net margins reflect a capital-efficient, tech-enabled brokerage model with high recurring fee capture. Sustainable margins provide free cash to invest in digital platforms and client experience, enabling durable competitive advantage and resilience through cycles.
Strategic Expansion into Private Markets
Acquiring Forge expands Schwab’s product moat into private markets, unlocking new fee pools and differentiation vs. pure brokerages. Integrating private market liquidity and distribution leverages Schwab’s scale for long-term fee diversification and deeper client engagement.
Negative Factors
Weak Operating Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow in the trailing period signals structural cash generation weakness, forcing reliance on financing or asset sales. Over months this can constrain reinvestment, capital returns, and reduce flexibility to weather revenue volatility.
Interest Rate / NIM Sensitivity
Schwab’s business depends materially on net interest margin and interest-earning assets. Modest asset growth guidance and NIM exposure mean rate declines or margin compression would materially reduce core net interest revenue, hurting long-term revenue stability and earnings predictability.
Reliance on Debt Financing
A moderate but meaningful debt-to-equity ratio and issuance of senior notes increase fixed obligations. Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility, raises refinancing risk in stress periods, and can magnify earnings pressure if revenue or margins deteriorate over the medium term.

Charles Schwab (SCHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Charles Schwab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Charles Schwab Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides wealth management, securities brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and financial advisory services. The company operates in two segments, Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment provides retail brokerage, investment advisory, banking and trust, retirement plan, and other corporate brokerage services; equity compensation plan sponsors full-service recordkeeping for stock plans, stock options, restricted stock, performance shares, and stock appreciation rights; and retail investor and mutual fund clearing services, as well as compliance solutions. The Advisor Services segment offers custodial, trading, banking, and support services; and retirement business and corporate brokerage retirement services. This segment provides brokerage accounts with equity and fixed income, margin lending, options, and futures and forex trading; cash management capabilities comprising third-party certificates of deposit; third-party and proprietary mutual funds; plus mutual fund trading and clearing services; and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), including proprietary and third-party ETFs. It also offers advice solutions, such as managed portfolios of proprietary and third-party mutual funds and ETFs, separately managed accounts, customized personal advice for tailored portfolios, and specialized planning and portfolio management. In addition, this segment provides banking products and services, including checking and savings accounts, first lien residential real estate mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, and pledged asset lines; and trust services comprising trust custody services, personal trust reporting services, and administrative trustee services. As of December 31, 2021, the Company had approximately 400 domestic branch offices in 48 states and the District of Columbia, as well as locations in Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The Charles Schwab Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCharles Schwab generates revenue through several key streams. Its primary source of income comes from net interest revenue, which is derived from the interest earned on cash balances held by clients and loans provided to them. The company also earns commissions and fees from executing trades for clients, though it has eliminated commissions on stock and ETF trades, shifting its focus to other revenue sources. Additionally, Schwab generates income through asset management fees from its investment advisory services and mutual funds. The firm has established partnerships with various financial institutions and technology providers to enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its earnings through enhanced client engagement and retention.

Charles Schwab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with notable achievements in revenue, client engagement, and asset growth. Despite some concerns regarding interest rate exposure and market dependency, the overall outlook is positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings and Revenue Growth
Q2 2025 adjusted earnings per share reached $1.14, a 56% increase over the second quarter of last year. Total revenue for the second quarter was $5.9 billion, up 25% over the same period last year.
Strong Client Engagement and Asset Growth
Core net new assets reached $218 billion in the first half of 2025, up 39%. Investors opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in Q2, and daily average trades reached $7.6 million.
Increased Managed Investing Net Flows
Managed investing net flows increased 37% year-over-year for the second quarter, with Schwab Wealth Advisory net flows over $10 billion in the first half of 2025.
Improved Efficiency and Use of AI
Schwab is implementing 40 AI use cases to enhance client service and internal efficiency, contributing to an adjusted pretax profit margin of over 50%.
Growth in Younger Client Demographics
Growth in younger investors with more than 30% of new-to-firm clients under 30 and nearly 60% under 40.
Negative Updates
Interest Rate Sensitivity
The firm faces exposure to interest rate changes, with hedging measures in place to manage potential impacts of rate cuts expected later in 2025.
Dependency on Trading and Market Conditions
The overall financial performance is partially dependent on sustained trading volumes and favorable market conditions, which are subject to change.
Company Guidance
During Schwab's 2025 Summer Business Update, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. In the first half of 2025, Schwab achieved core net new assets of $218 billion, up 39%, and opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in the second quarter. Daily average trades reached 7.6 million, and margin balances were $83.4 billion. The company reported a 25% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2, totaling $5.9 billion, and adjusted earnings per share grew 56% to $1.14. Schwab's strategic focus on client growth, scale, efficiency, and innovation, including investments in artificial intelligence and the rollout of Schwab Wealth Advisory, was highlighted. The firm anticipates continued strong revenue and earnings growth, supported by disciplined expense management and opportunistic capital returns. Schwab also emphasized its leadership in digital assets, holding $25 billion in client assets in crypto ETPs. The company's competitive position remains strong, with a focus on expanding client relationships and services, particularly among younger investors.

Charles Schwab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (net margin 28.04%; EBIT/EBITDA margins 36.04%/40.32%) and solid ROE (17.54%) support the score, but it is held back by negative operating and free cash flow in the TTM period and slower recent revenue growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Charles Schwab has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 1.83% increase in TTM. The company maintains robust profitability with a gross profit margin of 78.03% and a net profit margin of 28.04%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 36.04% and 40.32%, respectively. However, the revenue growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, indicating potential challenges in sustaining high growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 17.54%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.39, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.84B26.00B25.52B22.31B19.00B12.11B
Gross Profit23.92B19.61B18.84B20.76B18.52B11.69B
EBITDA12.82B9.13B7.72B10.64B8.88B4.90B
Net Income8.85B5.94B5.07B7.18B5.86B3.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.80B479.84B493.18B551.77B667.27B549.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments632.00M124.70B149.25B188.03B453.03B377.75B
Total Debt279.00M45.13B59.08B37.88B23.77B13.63B
Total Liabilities765.00M431.47B452.22B515.16B611.01B492.95B
Stockholders Equity3.04B48.38B40.96B36.61B56.26B56.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.68B2.05B18.89B1.09B1.20B6.22B
Operating Cash Flow10.07B2.67B19.59B2.06B2.12B6.85B
Investing Cash Flow25.69B35.43B57.41B32.05B-75.66B-125.85B
Financing Cash Flow-46.41B-47.06B-61.24B-68.72B96.32B143.98B

Charles Schwab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.88
Price Trends
50DMA
99.14
Positive
100DMA
96.42
Positive
200DMA
93.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Positive
RSI
57.21
Neutral
STOCH
67.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCHW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.72, above the 50-day MA of 99.14, and above the 200-day MA of 93.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCHW.

Charles Schwab Risk Analysis

Charles Schwab disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Charles Schwab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Charles Schwab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$32.71B33.7520.41%0.46%11.88%28.96%
78
Outperform
$33.55B16.1717.16%1.26%6.45%5.85%
78
Outperform
$273.92B18.3013.91%1.55%2.31%44.49%
77
Outperform
$184.59B22.3118.11%1.07%5.90%66.60%
76
Outperform
$286.20B17.9116.34%2.14%7.22%48.18%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$31.13B35.4320.86%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCHW
Charles Schwab
103.88
21.25
25.72%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
73.44
16.68
29.39%
LPLA
LPL Financial
388.96
19.16
5.18%
MS
Morgan Stanley
180.08
42.69
31.07%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
169.89
3.64
2.19%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
913.30
268.25
41.58%

Charles Schwab Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Charles Schwab Announces Key Executive and Organizational Changes
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Charles Schwab announced a series of executive transitions and organizational changes, highlighted by the immediate appointment of Dennis Howard as Managing Director, Chief Technology, Operations and Data Officer, expanding his remit beyond his prior CIO role to oversee a newly formed Technology, Operations, and Data organization. Effective July 1, 2026, the firm will see the retirement of Charles Schwab Bank CEO Paul Woolway, to be succeeded by Tyler Woulfe as President and CEO of the bank, and the retirement of General Auditor Mitch Mantua, with Jessica Bramhall stepping in as General Auditor, while Neesha Hathi will lead a newly created Wealth Advisory and Banking Services organization that brings Charles Schwab Bank under her purview; together, these moves consolidate technology, operations, data, wealth advisory, and banking leadership in a way that is designed to deepen Schwab’s relationships with investors and advisors and reinforce the firm’s operational and governance structure as long-tenured executives depart.

The most recent analyst rating on (SCHW) stock is a Buy with a $126.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charles Schwab stock, see the SCHW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Charles Schwab Issues $2 Billion Senior Notes
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Charles Schwab Corporation issued $2 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes, with maturities in 2031 and 2036, raising approximately $1.986 billion after expenses. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster the company’s capital structure and enhance its market position by leveraging favorable interest rates and strong investor demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (SCHW) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charles Schwab stock, see the SCHW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Charles Schwab to Acquire Forge Global Holdings
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Charles Schwab announced its agreement to acquire Forge Global Holdings for approximately $660 million, aiming to enhance access to private markets for investors. This acquisition is expected to deepen liquidity and transparency, leveraging Schwab’s extensive client base and Forge’s expertise in private market platforms. The transaction, anticipated to close in the first half of 2026, will integrate Forge’s capabilities with Schwab’s existing services, potentially transforming private market access and offering new growth opportunities for private companies and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SCHW) stock is a Buy with a $134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Charles Schwab stock, see the SCHW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026