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Charles Schwab (SCHW)
NYSE:SCHW
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Charles Schwab (SCHW) AI Stock Analysis

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

(NYSE:SCHW)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$104.00
â–²(10.64% Upside)
Charles Schwab's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and solid financial performance, despite challenges in revenue growth and market dependency. The technical analysis and valuation suggest a neutral to slightly cautious outlook, with the stock trading near its moving averages and a moderate P/E ratio. The company's strategic focus on innovation and client growth supports a positive long-term outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability and expansion.
Client Growth
Robust client acquisition and asset growth enhance Schwab's market position and revenue base, ensuring sustained competitive advantage and business resilience.
Innovation and AI
Investment in AI and innovation boosts operational efficiency and client satisfaction, positioning Schwab for long-term success in a tech-driven financial landscape.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Interest rate sensitivity poses a risk to financial performance, as rate fluctuations can impact revenue streams and profitability, challenging long-term stability.
Market Dependency
Reliance on market conditions and trading volumes introduces volatility, potentially affecting revenue predictability and long-term financial health.
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth rate indicates challenges in maintaining consistent revenue streams, which could impact long-term growth and market competitiveness.

Charles Schwab (SCHW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Charles Schwab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Charles Schwab Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides wealth management, securities brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and financial advisory services. The company operates in two segments, Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment provides retail brokerage, investment advisory, banking and trust, retirement plan, and other corporate brokerage services; equity compensation plan sponsors full-service recordkeeping for stock plans, stock options, restricted stock, performance shares, and stock appreciation rights; and retail investor and mutual fund clearing services, as well as compliance solutions. The Advisor Services segment offers custodial, trading, banking, and support services; and retirement business and corporate brokerage retirement services. This segment provides brokerage accounts with equity and fixed income, margin lending, options, and futures and forex trading; cash management capabilities comprising third-party certificates of deposit; third-party and proprietary mutual funds; plus mutual fund trading and clearing services; and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), including proprietary and third-party ETFs. It also offers advice solutions, such as managed portfolios of proprietary and third-party mutual funds and ETFs, separately managed accounts, customized personal advice for tailored portfolios, and specialized planning and portfolio management. In addition, this segment provides banking products and services, including checking and savings accounts, first lien residential real estate mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, and pledged asset lines; and trust services comprising trust custody services, personal trust reporting services, and administrative trustee services. As of December 31, 2021, the Company had approximately 400 domestic branch offices in 48 states and the District of Columbia, as well as locations in Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The Charles Schwab Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCharles Schwab generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from commission fees on trades executed by its clients, although it has moved to a commission-free model for online trades of stocks and ETFs. A significant portion of its revenue comes from asset management fees charged on investment advisory accounts, which are based on the assets under management (AUM). Schwab also earns interest income from cash balances and margin lending, as well as through its banking services, including interest on loans and fees from deposit accounts. Moreover, Schwab earns income from its proprietary investment products and third-party mutual funds. The firm has established partnerships with various financial technology firms, enhancing its service offerings and attracting more clients, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Charles Schwab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with notable achievements in revenue, client engagement, and asset growth. Despite some concerns regarding interest rate exposure and market dependency, the overall outlook is positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings and Revenue Growth
Q2 2025 adjusted earnings per share reached $1.14, a 56% increase over the second quarter of last year. Total revenue for the second quarter was $5.9 billion, up 25% over the same period last year.
Strong Client Engagement and Asset Growth
Core net new assets reached $218 billion in the first half of 2025, up 39%. Investors opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in Q2, and daily average trades reached $7.6 million.
Increased Managed Investing Net Flows
Managed investing net flows increased 37% year-over-year for the second quarter, with Schwab Wealth Advisory net flows over $10 billion in the first half of 2025.
Improved Efficiency and Use of AI
Schwab is implementing 40 AI use cases to enhance client service and internal efficiency, contributing to an adjusted pretax profit margin of over 50%.
Growth in Younger Client Demographics
Growth in younger investors with more than 30% of new-to-firm clients under 30 and nearly 60% under 40.
Negative Updates
Interest Rate Sensitivity
The firm faces exposure to interest rate changes, with hedging measures in place to manage potential impacts of rate cuts expected later in 2025.
Dependency on Trading and Market Conditions
The overall financial performance is partially dependent on sustained trading volumes and favorable market conditions, which are subject to change.
Company Guidance
During Schwab's 2025 Summer Business Update, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. In the first half of 2025, Schwab achieved core net new assets of $218 billion, up 39%, and opened 1.1 million new brokerage accounts in the second quarter. Daily average trades reached 7.6 million, and margin balances were $83.4 billion. The company reported a 25% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2, totaling $5.9 billion, and adjusted earnings per share grew 56% to $1.14. Schwab's strategic focus on client growth, scale, efficiency, and innovation, including investments in artificial intelligence and the rollout of Schwab Wealth Advisory, was highlighted. The firm anticipates continued strong revenue and earnings growth, supported by disciplined expense management and opportunistic capital returns. Schwab also emphasized its leadership in digital assets, holding $25 billion in client assets in crypto ETPs. The company's competitive position remains strong, with a focus on expanding client relationships and services, particularly among younger investors.

Charles Schwab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Charles Schwab shows strong profitability with healthy margins and a solid ROE. However, recent revenue declines and high reliance on liabilities present challenges. The company demonstrates effective management and operational efficiency but needs to focus on revenue growth and balance sheet strengthening.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 73.96%, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is around 32.12%, showing healthy profitability but a decrease from previous years. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is negative, suggesting a decline in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is at 12.38%, and the EBITDA margin is at 52.06%, both indicating solid earnings before interest and taxes, though lower than past performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.74, suggesting a moderate level of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is calculated at 19.17% for TTM, reflecting strong profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio of 8.99% highlights a low proportion of equity in the total assets, indicating potential liquidity risks. The financial position is stable but relies significantly on liabilities.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate has significantly improved, showing strong cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.14, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08, indicating a slight decrease in cash flow efficiency compared to net income. Overall, cash flow metrics are positive but show room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.67B26.00B25.52B22.31B19.00B11.69B
Gross Profit21.63B19.61B18.84B20.76B18.52B11.69B
EBITDA10.81B9.13B7.72B10.64B8.88B0.00
Net Income7.28B5.94B5.07B7.18B5.86B3.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets458.94B479.84B493.18B551.77B667.27B549.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.58B124.70B149.25B188.03B453.03B377.75B
Total Debt37.67B45.13B59.08B37.88B23.77B13.63B
Total Liabilities409.49B431.47B452.22B515.16B611.01B492.95B
Stockholders Equity49.45B48.38B40.96B36.61B56.26B56.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.18B2.05B18.89B1.09B1.20B6.22B
Operating Cash Flow17.81B2.67B19.59B2.06B2.12B6.85B
Investing Cash Flow35.80B35.43B57.41B32.05B-75.66B-125.85B
Financing Cash Flow-45.15B-47.06B-61.24B-68.72B96.32B143.98B

Charles Schwab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price94.00
Price Trends
50DMA
95.29
Negative
100DMA
92.65
Positive
200DMA
85.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
49.28
Neutral
STOCH
33.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCHW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.63, below the 50-day MA of 95.29, and above the 200-day MA of 85.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCHW.

Charles Schwab Risk Analysis

Charles Schwab disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Charles Schwab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Charles Schwab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$31.33B36.9019.15%0.71%12.30%20.76%
76
Outperform
$251.57B17.8614.13%2.39%6.36%45.50%
76
Outperform
$239.14B17.4112.78%1.63%3.53%45.85%
72
Outperform
$33.26B16.3718.16%1.20%9.42%14.86%
70
Outperform
$170.78B25.3315.59%1.13%4.64%54.26%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$25.18B21.5329.46%0.38%29.23%13.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCHW
Charles Schwab
94.00
29.92
46.69%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
69.61
32.91
89.67%
LPLA
LPL Financial
312.18
74.31
31.24%
MS
Morgan Stanley
158.09
53.72
51.47%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
167.64
44.35
35.97%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
796.78
310.14
63.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 04, 2025