tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
LPL Financial (LPLA)
NASDAQ:LPLA

LPL Financial (LPLA) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
600 Followers

Top Page

LPLA

LPL Financial

(NASDAQ:LPLA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$383.00
â–²(5.70% Upside)
The score is anchored by mixed financial quality—strong top-line growth and improved gross margin offset by weaker net margins and negative operating/free cash flow. A constructive earnings call (record assets/EPS and Commonwealth integration progress) supports the outlook, but elevated valuation and only neutral technicals limit the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Diversified, recurring revenue model
LPL earns recurring advisory fees based on AUM plus commissions and technology fees, creating diversified cash flow streams. This mix supports durable revenue stability across cycles, reduces reliance on single-product sales, and underpins long-term advisor platform stickiness.
Scale and asset-gathering momentum
Record $2.3T assets and strong organic net new assets (7% annualized) signal durable scale benefits: larger AUM base drives recurring fee revenue, improves bargaining power with product providers, and enhances network effects that attract and retain advisors over multiple quarters.
Successful acquisition integration and synergies
High retention and an indicated run-rate EBITDA contribution from the Commonwealth deal point to meaningful, lasting operating leverage. Successful integration expands advisor count and AUM while delivering cost synergies that sustainably improve margins once fully realized.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund growth, pay down debt, or return capital. Over months this can force higher reliance on external funding, increase interest costs, and constrain strategic investments and acquisitions.
Compressing net margins and falling ROE
Material declines in net margin and ROE indicate deteriorating profitability and lower capital efficiency. If persistent, this reduces internal capital generation, limits reinvestment capacity, and weakens returns to shareholders despite top-line growth.
Rising interest expense and revolver reliance
Increasing interest expense from revolver usage raises fixed costs and sensitivity to rate moves, eroding net margins. Over the medium term this can constrain flexibility for M&A or buybacks and may force more conservative capital allocation until cash conversion improves.

LPL Financial (LPLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LPL Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLPL Financial Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an integrated platform of brokerage and investment advisory services to independent financial advisors and financial advisors at financial institutions in the United States. Its brokerage offerings include variable and fixed annuities, mutual funds, equities, retirement and education savings plans, fixed income, and insurance, as well as alternative investments, such as non-traded real estate investment trusts and auction rate notes. The company also provides advisory platforms that provide access to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, stocks, bonds, certain option strategies, unit investment trusts, and institutional money managers and no-load multi-manager variable annuities. In addition, it offers money market programs; and retirement solutions for commission-and fee-based services that allow advisors to provide brokerage services, consultation, and advice to retirement plan sponsors. Further, the company provides other services comprising tools and services that enable advisors to maintain and grow their practices; trust, investment management oversight, and custodial services to trusts for estates and families, as well as insurance brokerage general agency services; and technology products, such as proposal generation, investment analytics, and portfolio modeling. The company was formerly known as LPL Investment Holdings Inc. and changed its name to LPL Financial Holdings Inc. in June 2012. LPL Financial Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLPL Financial generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by charging fees for asset management and advisory services, as well as commissions from brokerage transactions. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from advisory fees based on assets under management (AUM), which are recurring in nature and provide a stable income. Additionally, LPL collects commissions from the sale of various financial products, including mutual funds, ETFs, and insurance products. The firm also benefits from technology and transaction-based fees charged to advisors for using its proprietary platforms and services. LPL has established partnerships with various financial product providers, which enhances its offerings and contributes to its revenue through distribution agreements. Overall, the combination of fees from advisory services, commissions from transactions, and technology service revenue constitutes the primary drivers of LPL Financial's earnings.

LPL Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net New Assets
Net New Assets
Measures the flow of new client assets, indicating the firm's ability to attract and retain clients, a key driver of future revenue.
Chart InsightsLPL Financial's net new assets have shown significant volatility, with a notable spike in Q4 2024, driven by strategic acquisitions and strong organic growth. The latest earnings call highlights a robust financial performance, with record total assets and a 5% annualized growth rate in net new assets. Despite challenges like higher interest expenses and reduced trading volumes, LPL's successful acquisition strategies and high asset retention rate position it well for continued growth, although macroeconomic uncertainties may temper adviser movement and organic growth in the near term.
Data provided by:The Fly

LPL Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements including record assets, strong organic growth, and successful acquisition integration with Commonwealth. Despite these successes, challenges such as high interest expenses and depressed adviser movement were noted. Overall, the positive achievements and growth metrics outweigh the challenges presented in the call.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Assets
Total assets increased to a record $2.3 trillion, driven by the acquisition of Commonwealth and solid organic growth.
Strong Organic Growth
Organic net new assets of $33 billion were attracted, representing a 7% annualized growth rate.
Record Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EPS reached a record $5.20, an increase of 25% from a year ago.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Progress in integrating Commonwealth with 80% of assets signed to stay, targeting 90% retention.
Increased Recruiting Success
Recruited assets were $33 billion in Q3, contributing to a record $168 billion over the trailing 12 months.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
Meaningful progress in reducing cost to serve, leading to an adjusted pretax margin of approximately 38%.
Negative Updates
High Interest Expense
Interest expense was $106 million in Q3, up $4 million sequentially, driven by increased usage of the revolver.
Depressed Adviser Movement
Industry-wide adviser movement remained depressed, impacting the pace of organic growth.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. reported significant growth, reaching a record $2.3 trillion in total assets, bolstered by the acquisition of Commonwealth and a 7% annualized growth rate in organic net new assets, totaling $33 billion. The company achieved a record adjusted EPS of $5.20, marking a 25% increase from the previous year. LPL recruited $33 billion in assets during the quarter, bringing the trailing 12-month total to a record $168 billion. The firm maintained a 98% asset retention rate prior to the offboarding of misaligned OSJ assets. The acquisition of Commonwealth Financial Network added approximately 3,000 advisers, with nearly 80% of assets signed to remain with LPL, aiming for a 90% retention target. The integration of Commonwealth is expected to yield a run rate EBITDA of approximately $425 million once fully integrated. LPL also reported a 38% adjusted pretax margin, driven by cost efficiency measures, and lowered its 2025 core G&A expense outlook to a range of $1.86 billion to $1.88 billion.

LPL Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LPL Financial shows strong revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, indicating effective cost management and business expansion. However, declining net profit margins and negative cash flows pose challenges to profitability and liquidity. The reduction in leverage is a positive sign, but the decrease in return on equity suggests a need for improved profitability.
Income Statement
LPL Financial has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.22% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 5.35% in TTM from 8.55% in 2024, suggesting pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 43.37% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained relatively stable, indicating consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.53 in TTM from 1.96 in 2024, showing a reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased to 20.61% in TTM from 36.12% in 2024, indicating a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
LPL Financial's cash flow position is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.41, suggesting that despite negative cash flows, the company is generating cash relative to its net income. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.57B12.39B10.05B8.60B7.72B5.87B
Gross Profit3.76B3.37B3.05B2.37B1.71B1.49B
EBITDA2.05B2.11B1.99B1.53B936.43M908.93M
Net Income833.05M1.06B1.07B845.70M459.87M472.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.03B13.32B10.39B9.48B7.99B6.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54B1.01B541.76M884.28M514.92M818.36M
Total Debt7.71B5.75B3.96B2.95B3.05B2.59B
Total Liabilities12.99B10.39B8.31B7.31B6.32B5.28B
Stockholders Equity5.04B2.93B2.08B2.17B1.67B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.94B-284.94M109.33M1.64B237.15M634.41M
Operating Cash Flow-1.38B277.59M512.61M1.95B453.13M789.94M
Investing Cash Flow-3.17B-1.59B-860.19M-376.40M-458.64M-187.50M
Financing Cash Flow4.40B1.42B-208.53M-504.27M278.84M-275.19M

LPL Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price362.36
Price Trends
50DMA
365.63
Negative
100DMA
352.55
Positive
200DMA
355.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
50.33
Neutral
STOCH
30.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 362.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 366.11, below the 50-day MA of 365.63, and above the 200-day MA of 355.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPLA.

LPL Financial Risk Analysis

LPL Financial disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LPL Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LPL Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$33.12B16.2917.64%1.26%6.45%5.85%
75
Outperform
$31.38B33.9519.82%0.46%11.88%28.96%
75
Outperform
$13.24B22.9911.73%1.43%7.54%2.73%
74
Outperform
$178.00B23.5017.05%1.07%5.90%66.60%
73
Outperform
$24.56B35.4710.51%0.45%22.17%40.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$28.80B33.1121.32%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPLA
LPL Financial
365.36
39.34
12.07%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
70.79
25.22
55.34%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
170.89
18.69
12.28%
SF
Stifel Financial
131.56
28.44
27.58%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
101.90
30.12
41.96%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
104.93
-24.56
-18.97%

LPL Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
LPL Financial appoints Somesh Khanna to board
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 5, 2026, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. elected Somesh Khanna to its board of directors as an independent director, a move announced publicly on January 8, 2026. Khanna, currently a senior advisor at McKinsey & Company and executive co-chair of technology services firm Apexon, brings more than 30 years of consulting and financial services leadership, including senior roles in global banking, digital strategy and organizational transformation, as well as prior CEO experience in a digital trade receivables securitization business. He also serves on the boards of KeyCorp and Persado. LPL’s board chair, Jim Putnam, highlighted Khanna’s deep expertise in digital transformation, artificial intelligence and data-driven strategic planning as directly aligned with LPL’s growth trajectory and ongoing efforts to innovate for financial advisors, institutions and their clients, suggesting his appointment could strengthen the firm’s strategic positioning in technology-enabled wealth management. Khanna’s addition to the board, combined with his advanced management and engineering education, underscores LPL’s focus on leveraging digital and AI capabilities to support advisors and enhance productivity across its large, advisor-centric platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPLA) stock is a Buy with a $444.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LPL Financial stock, see the LPLA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026