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LPL Financial (LPLA)
NASDAQ:LPLA

LPL Financial (LPLA) AI Stock Analysis

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LPL Financial

(NASDAQ:LPLA)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$414.00
▲( 11.14% Upside)
LPL Financial receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company's solid revenue growth, strong equity position, and successful acquisitions contribute significantly to its positive outlook. While technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, careful attention to cash flow management and market conditions is advised due to potential liquidity challenges and competitive pressures.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The acquisition of Commonwealth Financial Network for $2.7B is expected to enhance LPLA's scale and competitive position in the market.
Earnings
LPL continued its long record of earnings beats with adjusted EPS of $5.15 in the quarter, which was above consensus.
Growth Initiatives
LPLA executing on growth initiatives and expense discipline, despite integrating several acquisitions, complexity around large mandate wins, and increasing advisor recruiting efforts.
Negative Factors
Financial Impact
Substantial onboarding and integration costs are expected, totaling approximately $485M, which will impact financials in the short term.
Share Repurchases
Share repurchases will be on hold in the near term due to the increased leverage ratio following the acquisition.

LPL Financial (LPLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LPL Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLPL Financial Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an integrated platform of brokerage and investment advisory services to independent financial advisors and financial advisors at financial institutions in the United States. Its brokerage offerings include variable and fixed annuities, mutual funds, equities, retirement and education savings plans, fixed income, and insurance, as well as alternative investments, such as non-traded real estate investment trusts and auction rate notes. The company also provides advisory platforms that provide access to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, stocks, bonds, certain option strategies, unit investment trusts, and institutional money managers and no-load multi-manager variable annuities. In addition, it offers money market programs; and retirement solutions for commission-and fee-based services that allow advisors to provide brokerage services, consultation, and advice to retirement plan sponsors. Further, the company provides other services comprising tools and services that enable advisors to maintain and grow their practices; trust, investment management oversight, and custodial services to trusts for estates and families, as well as insurance brokerage general agency services; and technology products, such as proposal generation, investment analytics, and portfolio modeling. The company was formerly known as LPL Investment Holdings Inc. and changed its name to LPL Financial Holdings Inc. in June 2012. LPL Financial Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLPL Financial generates revenue primarily through fees and commissions associated with the advisory and brokerage services it provides. The company earns asset-based fees from advisory services and margin interest, which are charged based on the assets managed or held in client accounts. Additionally, LPL Financial receives commission revenue from transactions executed on behalf of clients. The company also benefits from partner relationships, including revenue-sharing agreements with mutual fund firms, insurance companies, and other financial product providers. These partnerships contribute to LPL's earnings by providing access to a wide range of financial products that advisors offer to their clients. Furthermore, LPL Financial generates income from interest on client cash balances and other ancillary services.

LPL Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LPL Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a robust balance sheet with no debt and increasing equity. However, cash flow metrics suggest potential liquidity challenges due to increased capital expenditures. While the company is on a solid growth trajectory, attention to cash flow management will be crucial to sustaining long-term financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
LPL Financial has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from $2.35 billion in 2021 to $12.39 billion in 2024. Gross profit margin stands strong at 90.0% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased from 10.6% in 2023 to 8.5% in 2024, suggesting increased expenses or cost pressures impacting net profitability. Overall, the income statement reveals robust growth and solid profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy improvement in equity, with stockholders' equity rising from $2.08 billion in 2023 to $2.93 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly as total debt was eliminated by 2024. ROE is strong at 36.1% for 2024, reflecting effective utilization of equity in generating profits. The equity ratio at 22.0% indicates a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with a strong equity position and reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning decline in free cash flow from $109.3 million in 2023 to -$284.9 million in 2024, primarily due to a significant increase in capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio decreased as well, indicating less cash generation relative to earnings. Despite these challenges, the company has effectively managed operating cash flows historically. Overall, the cash flow situation shows potential strain due to high capital investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.39B10.05B3.06B2.35B2.00B
Gross Profit
3.37B3.05B1.95B1.35B1.10B
EBIT
1.77B1.63B1.24B601.33M626.07M
EBITDA
2.11B1.99B1.53B832.02M908.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.06B1.07B845.70M459.87M472.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.01B541.76M847.52M495.25M808.61M
Total Assets
13.32B10.39B9.48B7.99B6.52B
Total Debt
5.75B3.96B2.72B2.81B2.59B
Net Debt
4.78B3.50B1.87B2.32B1.78B
Total Liabilities
10.39B8.31B7.31B6.32B5.21B
Stockholders Equity
2.93B2.08B2.17B1.67B1.31B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-284.94M109.33M1.64B237.15M634.41M
Operating Cash Flow
277.59M512.61M1.95B453.13M789.94M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.59B-860.19M-376.40M-458.64M-187.50M
Financing Cash Flow
1.42B-208.53M-504.27M278.84M-275.19M

LPL Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price372.50
Price Trends
50DMA
333.21
Positive
100DMA
341.98
Positive
200DMA
303.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.79
Negative
RSI
63.01
Neutral
STOCH
44.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 372.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 355.98, above the 50-day MA of 333.21, and above the 200-day MA of 303.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPLA.

LPL Financial Risk Analysis

LPL Financial disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LPL Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LPL Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TWTW
80
Outperform
$34.43B59.829.14%0.29%28.86%29.26%
80
Outperform
$29.79B25.7840.36%0.32%26.32%8.63%
75
Outperform
$8.17B37.8316.25%1.37%7.22%-15.53%
RJRJF
73
Outperform
$29.32B14.0018.84%1.31%11.79%25.74%
SFSF
69
Neutral
$9.57B17.7511.48%1.85%12.85%20.21%
64
Neutral
$12.67B9.747.58%17015.08%12.21%-6.96%
JEJEF
59
Neutral
$9.99B16.786.38%2.89%16.62%139.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPLA
LPL Financial
372.50
90.62
32.15%
JEF
Jefferies
48.42
3.62
8.08%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
217.85
14.23
6.99%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
145.32
23.52
19.31%
SF
Stifel Financial
93.13
14.17
17.95%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
145.62
35.42
32.14%

LPL Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, record asset growth, and strategic acquisitions, which indicate positive business momentum. However, these achievements were set against macroeconomic challenges, increased competition in recruiting, and capital management adjustments. The overall sentiment of the call is positive, driven by significant growth and strategic initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Organic Net New Assets
LPL Financial attracted record organic net new assets of $71 billion, representing a 16% annualized growth rate.
Acquisition of Commonwealth Financial Network
LPL Financial reached an agreement to acquire Commonwealth Financial Network, aiming to preserve Commonwealth’s service experience while enhancing it with LPL's platform.
Record Recruited Assets
In the first quarter, recruited assets were $39 billion, bringing the total for the trailing 12 months to a record $167 billion.
Strong Asset Retention
Overall asset retention remains industry leading at 98% for the first quarter and over the last twelve months.
Adjusted EPS and Margin
The company reported a record adjusted EPS of $5.15 and an adjusted pre-tax margin of approximately 40%.
Onboarding of Large Institutions
Successfully onboarded the retail wealth management business of WinTrust Financial and completed the transition of Prudential Advisors onto the platform.
Lowered G&A Expense Outlook
The upper end of the full year 2025 core G&A outlook range was lowered by $15 million due to efficiency efforts.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The company accomplished strong results against a challenging operating backdrop with rising macroeconomic uncertainty.
Seasonal Reduction in Cash Balances
Overall client cash balances ended the quarter at $53 billion, down $2 billion sequentially, primarily due to advisory fees paid during the quarter.
High Competition in Recruiting
The competitive landscape in recruiting is intense, with some peers increasing transition assistance to attract advisors.
Potential Delays in Advisor Movements
Volatility in the market might lead to advisors pushing out moves, impacting short-term recruiting results.
Decreased Share Repurchases
Share repurchases were paused following the announcement of the planned acquisition of Commonwealth to maintain a strong capital position.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, LPL Financial Holdings, Inc. reported strong financial performance, with several key metrics highlighting their success. Total assets reached a new quarterly high of $1.8 trillion, driven by record organic net new assets of $71 billion, which represented a 16% annualized growth rate. The company also achieved a record adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.15. Additionally, recruited assets for the quarter were $39 billion, contributing to a total of $167 billion over the trailing twelve months. Asset retention remained robust at 98%. LPL Financial also completed the acquisition of the Investment Center and announced plans to acquire Commonwealth Financial Network, aiming for a 90% retention target. The company's adjusted pretax margin was approximately 40%, with gross profit rising to $1.273 billion, and core G&A expenses being adjusted to a range of $1.730 billion to $1.765 billion for the full year 2025.

LPL Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LPL Financial Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, LPL Financial held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected ten nominees to serve as directors until the 2026 annual meeting, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the current fiscal year, and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (LPLA) stock is a Buy with a $405.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LPL Financial stock, see the LPLA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LPL Financial Announces Acquisition of Commonwealth Network
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 28, 2025, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. announced its agreement to acquire Commonwealth Financial Network for $2.7 billion in cash. This acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2025, will integrate Commonwealth’s 2,900 independent advisors managing $285 billion in assets into LPL’s network. The move aims to enhance LPL’s service offerings and expand its market presence in the wealth management industry. Commonwealth’s CEO will join LPL’s Management Committee, and the company will retain its brand while benefiting from LPL’s scale and resources.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.