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LPL Financial (LPLA)
NASDAQ:LPLA

LPL Financial (LPLA) AI Stock Analysis

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LPL Financial

(NASDAQ:LPLA)

73Outperform
LPL Financial's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, such as the recent acquisition of Commonwealth Financial Network. The company shows robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, though liquidity challenges from capital expenditures and moderate valuation metrics slightly temper the outlook. The earnings call and corporate events score positively, reinforcing the company's growth trajectory amidst some technical analysis caution.
Positive Factors
Acquisition and Expansion
The acquisition of Commonwealth Financial Network for $2.7B is expected to enhance LPLA's scale and competitive position in the market.
Revenue Synergies
The deal is anticipated to bring revenue synergies, particularly through the transition to self-clearing, which will contribute significantly to the target EBITDA.
Negative Factors
Asset Outflows
The separation of large OSJs has resulted in significant outflows, with $8.5B out of the expected $20B occurring so far.
Financial Impact
Substantial onboarding and integration costs are expected, totaling approximately $485M, which will impact financials in the short term.
Share Repurchases
Share repurchases will be on hold in the near term due to the increased leverage ratio following the acquisition.

LPL Financial (LPLA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

LPL Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLPL Financial Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an integrated platform of brokerage and investment advisory services to independent financial advisors and financial advisors at financial institutions in the United States. Its brokerage offerings include variable and fixed annuities, mutual funds, equities, retirement and education savings plans, fixed income, and insurance, as well as alternative investments, such as non-traded real estate investment trusts and auction rate notes. The company also provides advisory platforms that provide access to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, stocks, bonds, certain option strategies, unit investment trusts, and institutional money managers and no-load multi-manager variable annuities. In addition, it offers money market programs; and retirement solutions for commission-and fee-based services that allow advisors to provide brokerage services, consultation, and advice to retirement plan sponsors. Further, the company provides other services comprising tools and services that enable advisors to maintain and grow their practices; trust, investment management oversight, and custodial services to trusts for estates and families, as well as insurance brokerage general agency services; and technology products, such as proposal generation, investment analytics, and portfolio modeling. The company was formerly known as LPL Investment Holdings Inc. and changed its name to LPL Financial Holdings Inc. in June 2012. LPL Financial Holdings Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLPL Financial generates revenue primarily through fees and commissions associated with the advisory and brokerage services it provides. The company earns asset-based fees from advisory services and margin interest, which are charged based on the assets managed or held in client accounts. Additionally, LPL Financial receives commission revenue from transactions executed on behalf of clients. The company also benefits from partner relationships, including revenue-sharing agreements with mutual fund firms, insurance companies, and other financial product providers. These partnerships contribute to LPL's earnings by providing access to a wide range of financial products that advisors offer to their clients. Furthermore, LPL Financial generates income from interest on client cash balances and other ancillary services.

LPL Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LPL Financial shows strong revenue growth with a significant increase in gross profit margin, though net profit margin slightly decreased. The balance sheet is robust with increased equity and no debt, but cash flow concerns arise from a decline in free cash flow due to high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
LPL Financial has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from $2.35 billion in 2021 to $12.39 billion in 2024. Gross profit margin stands strong at 90.0% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased from 10.6% in 2023 to 8.5% in 2024, suggesting increased expenses or cost pressures impacting net profitability. Overall, the income statement reveals robust growth and solid profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy improvement in equity, with stockholders' equity rising from $2.08 billion in 2023 to $2.93 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly as total debt was eliminated by 2024. ROE is strong at 36.1% for 2024, reflecting effective utilization of equity in generating profits. The equity ratio at 22.0% indicates a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with a strong equity position and reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning decline in free cash flow from $109.3 million in 2023 to -$284.9 million in 2024, primarily due to a significant increase in capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio decreased as well, indicating less cash generation relative to earnings. Despite these challenges, the company has effectively managed operating cash flows historically. Overall, the cash flow situation shows potential strain due to high capital investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.39B10.05B3.06B2.35B2.00B
Gross Profit
3.37B3.05B1.95B1.35B1.10B
EBIT
1.67B1.63B1.24B601.33M626.07M
EBITDA
1.98B1.99B1.53B832.02M908.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.06B1.07B845.70M459.87M472.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.01B541.76M847.52M495.25M808.61M
Total Assets
13.32B10.39B9.48B7.99B6.52B
Total Debt
5.75B3.96B2.72B2.81B2.59B
Net Debt
4.78B3.50B1.87B2.32B1.78B
Total Liabilities
10.39B8.31B7.31B6.32B5.21B
Stockholders Equity
2.93B2.08B2.17B1.67B1.31B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-284.94M109.33M1.64B237.15M634.41M
Operating Cash Flow
277.59M512.61M1.95B453.13M789.94M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.59B-860.19M-376.40M-458.64M-187.50M
Financing Cash Flow
1.42B-208.53M-504.27M278.84M-275.19M

LPL Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price333.56
Price Trends
50DMA
327.15
Negative
100DMA
336.15
Negative
200DMA
291.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Negative
RSI
54.10
Neutral
STOCH
92.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 333.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 307.72, above the 50-day MA of 327.15, and above the 200-day MA of 291.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LPLA.

LPL Financial Risk Analysis

LPL Financial disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LPL Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LPL Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.40B31.0120.45%1.33%9.06%6.10%
TWTW
77
Outperform
$33.54B60.849.14%0.30%28.86%29.26%
RJRJF
73
Outperform
$28.22B13.2618.91%1.35%11.79%25.74%
73
Outperform
$25.57B22.7942.26%0.37%23.20%2.38%
SFSF
69
Neutral
$8.91B16.5013.32%2.01%12.85%20.21%
64
Neutral
$12.65B9.748.04%17044.64%12.65%-5.11%
JEJEF
59
Neutral
$9.73B16.346.38%2.97%16.62%139.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPLA
LPL Financial
333.56
64.00
23.74%
JEF
Jefferies
49.27
5.42
12.36%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
225.68
24.56
12.21%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
141.76
19.09
15.56%
SF
Stifel Financial
89.41
9.09
11.32%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
141.86
37.67
36.16%

LPL Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -7.72%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by LPL Financial with record organic asset growth, strategic acquisitions, and impressive financial results. However, there are challenges related to seasonal headwinds and ongoing expense growth. The positive highlights, especially the strong asset growth and financial performance, outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook overall.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Organic Asset Growth
LPL Financial delivered industry-leading organic asset growth of 10% in 2024, aided by the onboarding of Prudential Advisors and setting recruiting records in both independent advisor and institutional channels.
Q4 Record Organic Net New Assets
In Q4, LPL Financial attracted record organic net new assets of $68 billion, representing a 17% annualized growth rate, leading to total assets reaching a new high of $1.7 trillion.
Acquisition and Integration Milestones
LPL Financial closed the acquisition of Atria Wealth Solutions and onboarded Prudential Advisors, with the transaction progressing well, on track to meet a 80% retention target.
Strong Financial Performance
LPL Financial achieved record adjusted earnings per share of $16.51 for the year and $4.25 for Q4. Gross profit increased by $100 million sequentially to $1,228 million.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Headwinds in Recruiting
The company noted natural seasonal headwinds to advisory movement in December, which typically carries into January, impacting recruiting momentum.
Challenges with Core G&A Growth
Core G&A expenses grew by approximately 8% in 2024, with expectations to grow in the range of 6% to 8% in 2025, indicating ongoing cost pressures despite efforts to drive operating leverage.
Impact of Interest Expense
Interest expense increased to $82 million in Q4, driven by higher revolver balances following the Atria transaction, though the company expects $5 million of annual interest expense savings from refinancing.
Company Guidance
In LPL Financial Holdings Inc.'s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted significant growth and strategic initiatives. Key metrics included a record adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $16.51 for the year and $4.25 for the quarter. The firm achieved industry-leading organic asset growth of 10%, with total assets reaching $1.7 trillion and organic net new assets of $68 billion, representing a 17% annualized growth rate. Recruitment efforts were strong, with $79 billion in recruited assets for the quarter and $149 billion for the year. The integration of Prudential Advisors added $63 billion to the recruited assets in Q4. Looking ahead, LPL Financial plans to maintain client centricity, empower employees, and improve operating leverage, with expectations for continued recruiting momentum and strategic focus on expanding capabilities and services across wealth management.

LPL Financial Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LPL Financial Announces Acquisition of Commonwealth Network
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 28, 2025, LPL Financial Holdings Inc. announced its agreement to acquire Commonwealth Financial Network for $2.7 billion in cash. This acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2025, will integrate Commonwealth’s 2,900 independent advisors managing $285 billion in assets into LPL’s network. The move aims to enhance LPL’s service offerings and expand its market presence in the wealth management industry. Commonwealth’s CEO will join LPL’s Management Committee, and the company will retain its brand while benefiting from LPL’s scale and resources.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.