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Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX)
NASDAQ:MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings

(NASDAQ:MKTX)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$189.00
▲(16.40% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, strong revenue growth, low leverage), tempered by weakening free-cash-flow growth and softer technical momentum. Valuation remains on the expensive side for the current setup, while earnings-call execution highlights and capital return actions provide incremental support.
Positive Factors
Profitability & margins
Sustained high gross and net margins reflect a capital-light, software-driven marketplace model with recurring data and transaction fees. Durable margin structure supports reinvestment in product and shareholder returns while insulating profitability from cyclical volume swings.
Cash generation & capital returns
Consistent free cash flow generation funds dividend payments and sizable buybacks, demonstrating healthy internal funding for capital allocation. Reliable FCF provides flexibility for strategic investment, buybacks/ASR and cushioning against slower trading volumes.
Low financial leverage
Extremely low leverage affords balance sheet flexibility to invest in technology, pursue M&A, or fund repurchases without stressing liquidity. A conservative capital structure reduces bankruptcy risk and preserves optionality through economic cycles.
Negative Factors
Weakening free cash flow and ROE
A slight decline in free-cash-flow growth and falling ROE signal slowing efficiency in converting earnings to cash and returns on equity. If the trends persist, they could limit reinvestment, reduce buyback capacity, and pressure long-term shareholder returns.
Pressure in U.S. credit commissions
Structural shifts—growth of portfolio trading and smaller-sized trades—are compressing commission capture in core U.S. credit. Sustained lower commission capture reduces revenue resilience and requires product strategy to offset declines in the firm’s largest market.
Technology and product execution risk
Management cited the need for faster tech enhancements to boost growth; slower product rollout risks losing share as fixed-income markets adopt new protocols. Execution lag on platform features could materially limit long-term revenue capture and competitiveness.

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marketaxess Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer companies worldwide. It offers the access to liquidity in the U.S. investment-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, and U.S. Treasuries, as well as municipal bonds, emerging market debts, Eurobonds, and other fixed income securities. The company, through its Open Trading protocols, executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds. It also offers trading-related products and services, including composite+ pricing and other market data products to assist clients with trading decisions; auto-execution and other execution services for clients requiring specialized workflow solutions; connectivity solutions that facilitate straight-through processing; and technology services to optimize trading environments. In addition, the company provides various pre-and post-trade services, such as trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. MarketAxess Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarketAxess generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to clients for trades executed on its platform. The company earns a commission for each trade, which varies based on the type of security and the volume traded. Additionally, MarketAxess generates revenue from subscription fees for its market data services, which provide clients with access to real-time pricing and analytics. Moreover, the company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with broker-dealers and financial institutions that enhance its platform offerings and expand its user base. Overall, its revenue model is heavily reliant on the volume of trading activity on its platform and the demand for fixed-income securities.

Marketaxess Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Daily Volume by Type
Average Daily Volume by Type
Monitors trading volumes across different product types, indicating market activity levels and the company's ability to capture trading demand.
Chart InsightsMarketAxess is experiencing robust growth in both credit and rates trading volumes, with recent quarters showing significant increases. The latest earnings call highlights record trading volumes, with credit surpassing $1 trillion and rates reaching $2 trillion. This growth is driving a 12% rise in commission revenue. However, challenges remain in the U.S. high-grade market share, which dipped in July due to macroeconomic factors. Despite these hurdles, strategic initiatives in block and portfolio trading are yielding strong advances, positioning MarketAxess for continued expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Marketaxess Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth outside the U.S. credit market, significant growth in key trading channels, and successful global expansion. However, challenges in U.S. credit revenue, flat commission revenue, and a higher tax rate were notable concerns. The sentiment is impacted by balanced highlights and lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth Outside U.S. Credit
Revenue growth outside of U.S. credit was strong at 10%.
Significant Growth in Key Trading Channels
Client-initiated channel saw 10% growth in block trading ADV across U.S. credit, emerging markets, and Eurobonds. Portfolio trading channel saw a 20% increase in total portfolio trading ADV with record U.S. high-yield ADV. Dealer-initiated channel experienced an 18% increase in dealer-initiated ADV.
Launch of New Trading Protocols
Introduction of closing auctions to the fixed income market, expected to provide an end-of-day liquidity solution.
Global Expansion and Diversification
36% of global credit trading volume is now driven by clients outside of North America, up from 29% in 2020.
Improved Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Generated $385 million in free cash flow over the trailing 12 months and repurchased 595,000 shares year-to-date through October 2025 for a total of $120 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in U.S. Credit Revenue
Revenue was $209 million in the quarter, up slightly from the prior year, but revenue growth in U.S. credit has been impacted by the growth of new protocols like portfolio trading and smaller-sized trades moving from RFQ to portfolio trades at lower capture rates.
Flat Total Commission Revenue
Total commission revenue was flat compared to the prior year, with a 9% decline in U.S. high-grade and flat growth in U.S. high yield.
Lower Total Credit Commissions
Total credit commission revenue of $165 million was down 2% compared to the prior year.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 27.1%, up from 23% in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the MarketAxess Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted its strategic focus on adapting to challenging market conditions and addressing competitive pressures, particularly in U.S. credit. Revenue for the quarter was $209 million, with a slight year-over-year increase driven by a 10% growth outside of U.S. credit. The company's initiatives resulted in a 10% growth in block trading average daily volume (ADV) across U.S. credit, emerging markets, and Eurobonds, with a 21% increase in October. Portfolio trading ADV grew by 20%, with U.S. high-yield ADV reaching record levels. Market share in U.S. credit portfolio trading rose by 300 basis points. Dealer-initiated ADV increased by 18%, supported by strong growth in Mid-X for Eurobonds and U.S. credit. The company also introduced a new closing auction protocol for the fixed income market, aiming to provide an end-of-day liquidity solution. Despite these advancements, the company acknowledged the need for faster technology enhancements to drive higher revenue growth, while maintaining strong expense control with a full-year expense guidance at the low end of $505 million to $525 million.

Marketaxess Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth (TTM revenue growth 25.2%, gross margin 71.94%, net margin 26.02%) supported by a solid balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.048). Offsetting factors include declining ROE versus prior years and slightly weakening free cash flow trend (FCF growth -1.63%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Marketaxess Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 25.2%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 71.94%, and the net profit margin is solid at 26.02%. However, there is a slight decline in net profit margin compared to the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.048, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is decent at 15.97%, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a stable financial position with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.44. However, the free cash flow has declined, with a negative growth rate of -1.63%. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 0.91, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue839.26M817.10M752.55M718.30M698.95M689.13M
Gross Profit555.75M563.35M528.62M518.53M511.96M511.18M
EBITDA455.44M442.61M411.09M406.14M395.01M418.34M
Net Income219.56M274.18M258.06M250.22M257.89M299.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B1.79B2.02B1.61B1.53B1.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments473.30M649.25M522.25M464.75M517.93M479.15M
Total Debt66.87M72.65M79.68M82.68M88.42M93.61M
Total Liabilities623.73M400.56M722.10M526.68M489.14M376.37M
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.39B1.29B1.08B1.04B955.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow346.04M375.30M281.32M237.36M231.47M358.86M
Operating Cash Flow399.75M385.24M333.77M289.23M282.09M404.49M
Investing Cash Flow-91.66M-86.94M-155.29M-86.27M-67.69M68.87M
Financing Cash Flow-268.83M-201.38M-147.06M-242.38M-189.78M-145.11M

Marketaxess Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price162.37
Price Trends
50DMA
172.40
Negative
100DMA
171.65
Negative
200DMA
189.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.87
Positive
RSI
33.04
Neutral
STOCH
14.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 162.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 170.06, below the 50-day MA of 172.40, and below the 200-day MA of 189.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MKTX.

Marketaxess Holdings Risk Analysis

Marketaxess Holdings disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marketaxess Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marketaxess Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$23.84B33.9710.51%0.45%22.17%40.13%
70
Outperform
$6.04B27.2615.88%1.66%3.96%-20.33%
70
Outperform
$6.15B19.9114.47%32.53%13.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$5.79B7.4727.69%2.88%27.66%131.25%
66
Neutral
$5.24B21.5530.80%4.06%1.58%1.93%
62
Neutral
$6.09B25.2519.30%1.63%12.77%36.43%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
162.37
-35.78
-18.06%
SNEX
StoneX Group
117.37
37.12
46.26%
LAZ
Lazard
55.25
2.90
5.54%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
344.47
31.36
10.02%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
37.82
-1.38
-3.53%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
100.82
-22.13
-18.00%

Marketaxess Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
MarketAxess Adds Independent Directors to Strengthen Board
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 22, 2026, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. elected Douglas A. Cifu, co-founder and former CEO of Virtu Financial, and Kenneth T. Schiciano, a senior advisor and longtime executive at private equity firm TA Associates, to its board of directors, with their appointments effective March 1, 2026. Announced publicly on January 26, 2026, the additions bring substantial experience in financial technology, market structure and private equity to the MarketAxess board, reinforcing the company’s strategic focus on next-generation trading protocols, data-driven solutions and the ongoing digital transformation of fixed-income markets; both directors have been deemed independent under Nasdaq rules and will receive the same compensation as other non-employee directors, with committee assignments to be determined later.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $195.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
MarketAxess Announces Stock Repurchase Increase
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. announced new medium-term financial targets and an increase in its stock repurchase authorization to $505 million, reflecting the Board’s confidence in its long-term strategy and commitment to stockholder value creation. The company plans to enter into an Accelerated Stock Repurchase agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank to repurchase $300 million of its common stock, funded by cash on hand and borrowings, with the remaining $205 million available for future repurchases.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $183.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MarketAxess Holdings Announces Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings announced a regular quarterly dividend of $0.76 per share, payable on December 3, 2025, to shareholders as of November 19, 2025. The company reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 10% revenue growth outside U.S. credit and record trading volumes in its U.S. credit portfolio. Despite a slight decline in diluted EPS and net income, MarketAxess is making significant progress with new initiatives aimed at increasing market share and revenue growth in U.S. credit.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $179.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026