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Marketaxess (MKTX)
:MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) AI Stock Analysis

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Marketaxess Holdings

(NASDAQ:MKTX)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$242.00
▲(8.28%Upside)
Marketaxess Holdings receives a solid score due to its strong financial stability, positive strategic developments in the earnings call, and promising corporate leadership changes. However, valuation concerns and mixed technical indicators moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Expansion
MKTX is bringing new products, protocols, and innovation to the marketplace at an accelerating pace that can support structural market share gains as they electronify credit markets.
Strategic Growth
New block trading solutions in emerging markets and Eurobonds showed substantial growth, highlighting successful strategic initiatives.
Volume Growth
MKTX reported monthly volumes with credit volumes 8% above certain estimates and 3% above consensus, indicating strong performance.
Negative Factors
Credit Fee Weakness
Credit fees per million for 1Q25 were lower than previous quarter and below estimates, due to a shift in product and protocol mix.
Fee Capture
Lower fee capture is expected due to a protocol and product mix shift towards lower-fee products, as well as lower duration across the platform.
Market Share Challenges
US HG and HY market share declined year-over-year, indicating challenges in maintaining market position.

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marketaxess Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer companies worldwide. It offers the access to liquidity in the U.S. investment-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, and U.S. Treasuries, as well as municipal bonds, emerging market debts, Eurobonds, and other fixed income securities. The company, through its Open Trading protocols, executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds. It also offers trading-related products and services, including composite+ pricing and other market data products to assist clients with trading decisions; auto-execution and other execution services for clients requiring specialized workflow solutions; connectivity solutions that facilitate straight-through processing; and technology services to optimize trading environments. In addition, the company provides various pre-and post-trade services, such as trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. MarketAxess Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarketAxess generates revenue through its electronic trading platform by charging commission fees on the trades executed by its clients. The company offers a range of trading protocols, including request-for-quote (RFQ) and all-to-all trading, allowing participants to trade directly with one another. These commissions are typically charged based on the volume and value of the trades. Additionally, MarketAxess earns revenue from its post-trade services, which include trade matching, regulatory reporting, and data analytics. The company's robust data and analytics tools provide valuable insights for clients, contributing to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers also play a significant role in its earnings by enhancing platform capabilities and expanding its client base.

Marketaxess Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Daily Volume by Type
Average Daily Volume by Type
Monitors trading volumes across different product types, indicating market activity levels and the company's ability to capture trading demand.
Chart InsightsMarketAxess is experiencing robust growth in trading volumes, particularly in the Rates segment, which surged 93% year-over-year, reflecting increased client adoption of rates algorithms. Credit volumes also show a positive trend, with a recent uptick. Despite a slight revenue dip, strategic investments in automation and new trading solutions are driving record trading activity, positioning the company well for future growth. However, challenges such as declining U.S. credit commission revenue and new tax reserves pose potential risks.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Marketaxess Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strong areas of growth, particularly in emerging markets, automation, and portfolio trading, along with successful share repurchases. However, challenges remain, including a decline in U.S. credit commission revenue and a slight overall revenue decrease. The establishment of a new tax reserve also adds financial uncertainty.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in U.S. Government Bonds
Achieved a single-day trading record of $102 billion on April 9, with clients leveraging rates algos to execute $36 billion or 11% of the week's trading volume.
Record International and New Product Revenue
Record commission revenue in international and new product areas, including emerging markets, municipals, and U.S. government bonds.
Growth in Automation and Algo Usage
Record trade volumes of $110 billion, up 17%, with 249 active automation clients and 80 clients enabled for the Algo suite, up 25% from the prior year.
Strong Portfolio and Dealer-Initiated Trading
Record total Portfolio Trading (PT) ADV of $1.3 billion and record U.S. credit PT ADV of $1.1 billion. Dealer RFQ and Mid-X ADV was a record $1.9 billion, representing a 45% increase.
Increase in Market Volatility Driving Record Trading ADV
Trading ADV grew 68% year-over-year to a record $57 billion, with a 32% growth in total credit ADV and 93% growth in total rates ADV.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased 251,000 shares year-to-date for a total of $52 million, with $173 million remaining on the board authorization.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Credit Commission Revenue
U.S. credit commission revenue decreased by 7%, driven by lower fee per million and lower market share.
Lower Total Revenue Year-Over-Year
Total revenue was $209 million, compared to $210 million in the prior year, with a 2% decrease in commission revenue.
Establishment of New Tax Reserve
A new reserve was established for uncertain tax positions due to a recent ruling, leading to an increase in the expected effective tax rate to 41%-42% on a GAAP basis.
Company Guidance
In the MarketAxess first quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Chris Concannon highlighted significant achievements driven by strategic initiatives and technological investments. The company recorded a single-day trading record of $102 billion in U.S. government bonds on April 9, bolstered by increased client use of rates algorithms with a 97% passive execution rate. Total trading ADV reached a record $57 billion in April, with U.S. credit and rates growing 32% and 93% year-over-year, respectively. The firm also saw a 42% increase in municipal bonds ADV, and dealer RFQ and Mid-X ADV reached a record $1.9 billion, up 45%. Despite a 2% decrease in total revenue to $209 million, MarketAxess achieved 7% growth in services revenue and maintained expense growth at 2%. The company also announced plans to roll out an enhanced RFQ solution and a high-touch block trading solution, aiming to further capture market share and adapt to the evolving trading environment.

Marketaxess Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marketaxess Holdings shows strong profitability and financial stability with low leverage and efficient cash flow management. However, there are challenges in revenue growth and net profit margins, which slightly decreased.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Marketaxess Holdings shows a solid gross profit margin of approximately 69% and an EBIT margin of 41% TTM, indicating strong profitability. However, the net profit margin decreased to 27% TTM from 34% in the previous year, reflecting a slight decline in net efficiency. Revenue growth is modest, with a recent decline of 0.3% TTM, suggesting potential revenue stabilization challenges.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 and a high equity ratio of 72% TTM, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Return on equity of 16% TTM shows effective utilization of equity to generate profits, although slightly lower than 20% last year.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Marketaxess Holdings demonstrates robust cash flow management, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.9 TTM, indicating efficient cash generation. Free cash flow decreased slightly by 2.1% TTM, pointing to stable but slightly declining cash availability for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
814.94M817.10M752.55M718.30M698.95M689.13M
Gross Profit
564.50M566.53M482.92M536.20M528.03M532.24M
EBIT
337.25M340.87M315.02M326.88M337.24M374.73M
EBITDA
424.31M432.77M395.10M393.97M397.51M417.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
216.63M274.18M258.06M250.22M257.89M299.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
486.22M649.25M550.96M430.75M506.74M460.86M
Total Assets
1.88B1.79B2.02B1.61B1.53B1.33B
Total Debt
70.80M72.65M79.68M82.68M88.42M93.61M
Net Debt
-415.42M-471.82M-371.60M-348.07M-418.31M-367.25M
Total Liabilities
530.78M400.56M722.10M526.68M489.14M376.37M
Stockholders Equity
1.35B1.39B1.29B1.08B1.04B955.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
367.58M375.30M281.32M237.36M231.47M358.86M
Operating Cash Flow
410.95M385.24M333.77M289.23M282.09M404.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-79.19M-86.94M-155.29M-86.27M-67.69M68.87M
Financing Cash Flow
-225.90M-201.38M-147.06M-242.38M-189.78M-145.11M

Marketaxess Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price223.50
Price Trends
50DMA
219.32
Positive
100DMA
212.92
Positive
200DMA
233.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.92
Negative
RSI
56.25
Neutral
STOCH
84.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 223.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 220.41, above the 50-day MA of 219.32, and below the 200-day MA of 233.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MKTX.

Marketaxess Holdings Risk Analysis

Marketaxess Holdings disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marketaxess Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marketaxess Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$85.43B27.9019.26%0.61%14.67%23.59%
80
Outperform
$6.46B12.0923.87%2.29%26.02%142.79%
75
Outperform
$8.43B39.0516.25%1.35%7.22%-15.53%
TWTW
73
Outperform
$32.66B56.759.14%0.35%28.86%29.26%
SFSF
72
Outperform
$10.01B18.5711.48%1.93%12.85%20.21%
JEJEF
67
Neutral
$11.12B18.686.38%3.06%16.62%139.24%
64
Neutral
$12.87B9.767.85%78.04%12.07%-7.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
223.50
30.48
15.79%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
208.17
89.15
74.90%
JEF
Jefferies
52.69
7.30
16.08%
SF
Stifel Financial
95.97
16.30
20.46%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
41.93
19.33
85.53%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
139.81
35.08
33.50%

Marketaxess Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MarketAxess Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 2, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Nitin A. Mirwani as Chief Accounting Officer, effective June 23, 2025. This strategic move is expected to strengthen the company’s financial leadership. Additionally, on June 4, 2025, the company held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals, including the election of directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, were voted upon. The meeting saw a significant shareholder turnout, with 88.3% of shares represented.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $202.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MarketAxess Appoints Dean Berry as COO and CEO
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Dean Berry as Group Chief Operating Officer and Chief Executive Officer for EMEA & APAC, effective in the fourth quarter of 2025. Berry, with extensive experience in electronic trading and financial markets, is expected to drive innovation and efficiency across MarketAxess’s global operations, enhancing its industry positioning and potentially benefiting stakeholders through improved trading solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MarketAxess Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting record trading volumes across various product areas despite a slight decline in total revenues compared to the previous year. The company reported a decrease in U.S. credit commission revenue, offset by growth in emerging markets and Eurobonds, and emphasized its strategic advancements in trading capabilities to enhance market share in U.S. credit.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.