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Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX)
NASDAQ:MKTX
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Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings

(NASDAQ:MKTX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$187.00
â–²(13.89% Upside)
Marketaxess Holdings shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation suggests the stock is relatively expensive. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both growth opportunities and challenges. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the capital markets industry, but investors should be cautious of the current market conditions and valuation.
Positive Factors
Global Expansion
The increase in global credit trading volume indicates successful international expansion, diversifying revenue sources and reducing dependence on the U.S. market.
Innovative Trading Solutions
New trading protocols like closing auctions enhance liquidity and market efficiency, potentially attracting more participants and increasing trading volume.
Strong Financial Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability, allowing for strategic investments and resilience in economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Challenges in U.S. Credit Revenue
The shift to new trading protocols at lower capture rates challenges traditional revenue streams, potentially impacting profitability in the U.S. market.
Flat Commission Revenue
Flat commission revenue suggests difficulty in increasing transaction fees, which may pressure margins if not offset by volume growth.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
A higher tax rate reduces net income, potentially affecting cash flow and the ability to reinvest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders.

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marketaxess Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer companies worldwide. It offers the access to liquidity in the U.S. investment-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, and U.S. Treasuries, as well as municipal bonds, emerging market debts, Eurobonds, and other fixed income securities. The company, through its Open Trading protocols, executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds. It also offers trading-related products and services, including composite+ pricing and other market data products to assist clients with trading decisions; auto-execution and other execution services for clients requiring specialized workflow solutions; connectivity solutions that facilitate straight-through processing; and technology services to optimize trading environments. In addition, the company provides various pre-and post-trade services, such as trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. MarketAxess Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarketAxess generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged on trades executed on its platform. The company earns a commission for each transaction conducted by its clients, which includes institutional investors and broker-dealers. Additionally, MarketAxess provides subscription-based services for market data and analytics, offering valuable insights to its users. The firm also benefits from partnerships with various financial institutions, enhancing its market reach and trading volume. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growth of electronic trading in fixed-income markets, increased trading activity, and the expansion of its product offerings and client base.

Marketaxess Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Daily Volume by Type
Average Daily Volume by Type
Monitors trading volumes across different product types, indicating market activity levels and the company's ability to capture trading demand.
Chart InsightsMarketAxess is experiencing robust growth in both credit and rates trading volumes, with recent quarters showing significant increases. The latest earnings call highlights record trading volumes, with credit surpassing $1 trillion and rates reaching $2 trillion. This growth is driving a 12% rise in commission revenue. However, challenges remain in the U.S. high-grade market share, which dipped in July due to macroeconomic factors. Despite these hurdles, strategic initiatives in block and portfolio trading are yielding strong advances, positioning MarketAxess for continued expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Marketaxess Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth outside the U.S. credit market, significant growth in key trading channels, and successful global expansion. However, challenges in U.S. credit revenue, flat commission revenue, and a higher tax rate were notable concerns. The sentiment is impacted by balanced highlights and lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth Outside U.S. Credit
Revenue growth outside of U.S. credit was strong at 10%.
Significant Growth in Key Trading Channels
Client-initiated channel saw 10% growth in block trading ADV across U.S. credit, emerging markets, and Eurobonds. Portfolio trading channel saw a 20% increase in total portfolio trading ADV with record U.S. high-yield ADV. Dealer-initiated channel experienced an 18% increase in dealer-initiated ADV.
Launch of New Trading Protocols
Introduction of closing auctions to the fixed income market, expected to provide an end-of-day liquidity solution.
Global Expansion and Diversification
36% of global credit trading volume is now driven by clients outside of North America, up from 29% in 2020.
Improved Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Generated $385 million in free cash flow over the trailing 12 months and repurchased 595,000 shares year-to-date through October 2025 for a total of $120 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in U.S. Credit Revenue
Revenue was $209 million in the quarter, up slightly from the prior year, but revenue growth in U.S. credit has been impacted by the growth of new protocols like portfolio trading and smaller-sized trades moving from RFQ to portfolio trades at lower capture rates.
Flat Total Commission Revenue
Total commission revenue was flat compared to the prior year, with a 9% decline in U.S. high-grade and flat growth in U.S. high yield.
Lower Total Credit Commissions
Total credit commission revenue of $165 million was down 2% compared to the prior year.
Increased Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 27.1%, up from 23% in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the MarketAxess Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted its strategic focus on adapting to challenging market conditions and addressing competitive pressures, particularly in U.S. credit. Revenue for the quarter was $209 million, with a slight year-over-year increase driven by a 10% growth outside of U.S. credit. The company's initiatives resulted in a 10% growth in block trading average daily volume (ADV) across U.S. credit, emerging markets, and Eurobonds, with a 21% increase in October. Portfolio trading ADV grew by 20%, with U.S. high-yield ADV reaching record levels. Market share in U.S. credit portfolio trading rose by 300 basis points. Dealer-initiated ADV increased by 18%, supported by strong growth in Mid-X for Eurobonds and U.S. credit. The company also introduced a new closing auction protocol for the fixed income market, aiming to provide an end-of-day liquidity solution. Despite these advancements, the company acknowledged the need for faster technology enhancements to drive higher revenue growth, while maintaining strong expense control with a full-year expense guidance at the low end of $505 million to $525 million.

Marketaxess Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marketaxess Holdings demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains a conservative leverage position, which supports financial stability. While profitability metrics remain strong, the slight decline in net profit margin and return on equity indicates potential areas for improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Marketaxess Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a 25% increase in TTM, supported by a solid gross profit margin of 71.94%. The net profit margin is healthy at 26.02%, although it has decreased from the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations. However, the decline in net profit margin suggests rising costs or other financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.048, reflecting conservative leverage. The return on equity is strong at 15.97%, although it has decreased compared to previous years, indicating potential challenges in generating returns. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow growth is positive at 4.70%, indicating good cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.44, showing efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.91, suggesting effective cash management. However, the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue839.26M817.10M752.55M718.30M698.95M689.13M
Gross Profit555.75M563.35M528.62M518.53M511.96M511.18M
EBITDA455.44M442.61M411.09M406.14M395.01M418.34M
Net Income219.56M274.18M258.06M250.22M257.89M299.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B1.79B2.02B1.61B1.53B1.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments473.30M649.25M522.25M464.75M517.93M479.15M
Total Debt66.87M72.65M79.68M82.68M88.42M93.61M
Total Liabilities623.73M400.56M722.10M526.68M489.14M376.37M
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.39B1.29B1.08B1.04B955.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow346.04M375.30M281.32M237.36M231.47M358.86M
Operating Cash Flow399.75M385.24M333.77M289.23M282.09M404.49M
Investing Cash Flow-91.66M-86.94M-155.29M-86.27M-67.69M68.87M
Financing Cash Flow-268.83M-201.38M-147.06M-242.38M-189.78M-145.11M

Marketaxess Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price164.20
Price Trends
50DMA
169.33
Negative
100DMA
182.16
Negative
200DMA
197.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Positive
RSI
44.04
Neutral
STOCH
21.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 164.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 165.52, below the 50-day MA of 169.33, and below the 200-day MA of 197.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MKTX.

Marketaxess Holdings Risk Analysis

Marketaxess Holdings disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marketaxess Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marketaxess Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.41B7.6529.43%2.75%27.66%131.25%
76
Outperform
$12.42B21.5411.73%1.51%7.54%2.73%
75
Outperform
$28.59B30.9219.82%0.44%11.88%28.96%
73
Outperform
$6.10B27.9315.88%1.85%3.96%-20.33%
68
Neutral
$25.52B36.8610.51%0.44%22.17%40.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
$11.81B19.716.29%2.78%-5.41%25.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
163.89
-95.44
-36.80%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
65.02
18.79
40.64%
JEF
Jefferies
57.56
-19.12
-24.93%
SF
Stifel Financial
122.00
8.77
7.75%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
35.76
-1.36
-3.66%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
108.86
-25.26
-18.83%

Marketaxess Holdings Corporate Events

MarketAxess Reports Growth Amid U.S. Credit Challenges
Nov 8, 2025

MarketAxess Holdings Inc., a prominent electronic trading platform for fixed-income securities, has announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing growth in several strategic areas. The company operates in the financial services sector, providing innovative trading solutions to institutional investors and broker-dealers globally.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MarketAxess Holdings Announces Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings announced a regular quarterly dividend of $0.76 per share, payable on December 3, 2025, to shareholders as of November 19, 2025. The company reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 10% revenue growth outside U.S. credit and record trading volumes in its U.S. credit portfolio. Despite a slight decline in diluted EPS and net income, MarketAxess is making significant progress with new initiatives aimed at increasing market share and revenue growth in U.S. credit.

The most recent analyst rating on (MKTX) stock is a Hold with a $179.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marketaxess Holdings stock, see the MKTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025