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Marketaxess (MKTX)
NASDAQ:MKTX
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Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings

(NASDAQ:MKTX)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$129.00
▼(-23.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
MKTX’s score is driven by strong underlying business quality and favorable valuation (high profitability, low leverage, and a low P/E with a meaningful yield), reinforced by a positive earnings call with record results and margin expansion. These strengths are partially offset by notably weak technical momentum and softer recent cash-flow momentum.
Positive Factors
High Profitability & Margins
MarketAxess sustains very high gross and net margins, reflecting scale in electronic execution and high-margin information services. Durable margin structure supports long-term cash generation and reinvestment capacity, insulating earnings through business-cycle variation in trade volumes.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Conversion
A meaningful year-over-year decline in trailing free cash flow and inconsistent operating cash relative to net income indicate cash conversion risk. This variability can constrain discretionary investments and capital returns if volumes or fee mix weaken for several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability & Margins
MarketAxess sustains very high gross and net margins, reflecting scale in electronic execution and high-margin information services. Durable margin structure supports long-term cash generation and reinvestment capacity, insulating earnings through business-cycle variation in trade volumes.
Read all positive factors

Marketaxess Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Daily Volume by Type
Average Daily Volume by Type
Monitors trading volumes across different product types, indicating market activity levels and the company's ability to capture trading demand.
Chart InsightsMarketAxess Holdings is experiencing robust growth in average daily volume, particularly in the Rates segment, which has seen a significant uptick. Despite challenges in U.S. credit revenue, the company is expanding globally, with 36% of trading volume now from outside North America. Strategic initiatives like the introduction of new trading protocols and a focus on block and portfolio trading are driving this growth. However, the company faces pressure from flat commission revenues and a higher tax rate, which could impact future profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marketaxess Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. develops and operates a premier electronic trading platform, serving institutional investors and broker-dealers globally. This platform provides essential access to deep liquidity across a broad spectrum of fixed-income a...
How the Company Makes Money
MarketAxess primarily earns revenue by charging fees tied to activity on its electronic trading platforms and by selling subscription-based data, analytics, and related services. The largest driver is transaction-based revenue: when clients execut...

Marketaxess Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial picture: record revenue, commission growth, EPS +20%, improved operating margin, strong free cash flow, and pronounced international/EM momentum. Management acknowledged near-term headwinds in April (lower volatility, heavy new issuance, TRACE duplicate reporting) and mix-driven fee pressure, but outlined concrete product initiatives (DirectBooks new-issue pilot, closing auction enhancements, AI-driven analytics) and technology investments to address market-share and execution gaps. Overall, highlights notably outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Total Revenue and Revenue Growth
Record total revenue of ~$230–233 million in Q1 2026, up 12% year-over-year; revenue outside U.S. credit grew 20%, reflecting strong international product contributions and the RFQ Hub acquisition.
Negative Updates
April Volume Decline and Market Share Pressure
Trading volumes declined in April versus Q1 levels driven by a return to lower volatility and tighter credit spreads; April new issuance activity and holiday timing reduced estimated U.S. high-grade market share and made comps tougher year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Total Revenue and Revenue Growth
Record total revenue of ~$230–233 million in Q1 2026, up 12% year-over-year; revenue outside U.S. credit grew 20%, reflecting strong international product contributions and the RFQ Hub acquisition.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated near-term operational guidance emphasizing product rollouts and capital discipline: a pilot of its DirectBooks new-issue trading solution will begin at the end of May with a broader new-issue/block trading solution and click‑to‑trade on the break coming in H2 2026 (straight‑through processing of allocations slated for August), and management expects to address April market‑share headwinds (adjusted TRACE duplicates may have inflated volumes by up to ~8%, which would have raised MarketAxess’s April market share by ~160 bps) as activity rebounds in May amid a robust new‑issue market (industry forecasts ~ $2 trillion in 2026). Financial and operating metrics underpinning that guidance include record Q1 revenue up 12% to ~$230–233M, total commission revenue $203M (credit commissions $184M), services revenue $30M (+10%), diluted EPS $2.20 GAAP / $2.25 ex‑notables (+20% YoY), operating margin ~44% (+~200 bps), non‑GAAP expenses up 8%, trailing‑12‑month free cash flow $316M, cash/investments $537M, $137M drawn on the facility at end‑April and $205M remaining on the repurchase authorization after completing a $300M ASR and returning $60M; trading KPIs supporting growth include block ADD $7B, global portfolio trading ADV $1.9B (+51%), automation volume $144B, EM volumes +30% with 1,547 active client firms, and U.S. high‑yield open trading penetration at 47%.

Marketaxess Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and returns (very strong margins and ~24% ROE) with low leverage, but recent cash-flow momentum is a key drag (TTM free cash flow down materially and cash conversion variability) alongside modest margin compression versus earlier years.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue875.65M849.20M817.92M750.90M718.71M701.03M
Gross Profit617.11M593.40M573.61M524.13M519.48M528.79M
EBITDA462.32M452.70M442.61M411.09M406.14M395.01M
Net Income309.44M246.63M274.18M258.06M250.22M257.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B1.81B1.79B2.02B1.61B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments440.37M568.46M649.25M522.25M464.75M517.93M
Total Debt291.96M284.94M72.65M79.68M82.68M88.42M
Total Liabilities1.10B650.35M400.56M722.10M526.68M489.14M
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.15B1.39B1.29B1.08B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow236.13M373.94M328.67M281.32M237.36M231.47M
Operating Cash Flow277.18M382.14M385.24M333.77M289.23M282.09M
Investing Cash Flow-99.03M-96.72M-86.94M-155.29M-86.27M-67.69M
Financing Cash Flow-283.97M-332.37M-201.38M-147.06M-242.38M-189.78M

Marketaxess Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price169.00
Price Trends
50DMA
143.01
Negative
100DMA
158.66
Negative
200DMA
164.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.58
Negative
RSI
34.60
Neutral
STOCH
68.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 169 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.11, above the 50-day MA of 143.01, and above the 200-day MA of 164.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MKTX.

Marketaxess Holdings Risk Analysis

Marketaxess Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marketaxess Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marketaxess Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$23.48B24.3313.64%0.45%18.26%66.10%
78
Outperform
$11.02B23.0019.31%23.83%45.00%
77
Outperform
$9.78B9.8535.67%2.88%28.84%73.53%
76
Outperform
$5.81B19.7021.56%1.63%30.99%32.50%
72
Outperform
$4.28B13.7324.27%1.66%7.85%46.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$4.36B15.8933.24%4.06%9.04%-13.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
120.33
-95.45
-44.23%
SNEX
StoneX Group
139.01
82.56
146.27%
LAZ
Lazard
44.30
2.35
5.61%
PIPR
Piper Sandler
81.80
19.81
31.95%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
63.07
21.52
51.78%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
99.49
-39.21
-28.27%

Marketaxess Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MarketAxess Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Governance Status Quo
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 10, 2026, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with 90.75% of eligible shares represented, and shareholders elected all nominated directors by wide margins, signaling strong support for the current board....
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MarketAxess Posts Record Q1 Results and Boosts Capital Returns
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 7, 2026, MarketAxess reported first-quarter 2026 results showing record revenue of $233.4 million, up 12% year on year, driven by a 20% rise in revenue outside U.S. credit and strong gains in emerging markets and eurobonds. Commission and s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2026