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Interactive Brokers (IBKR)
NASDAQ:IBKR

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) AI Stock Analysis

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IBKR

Interactive Brokers

(NASDAQ:IBKR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(1.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (revenue scale-up, improving margins, and exceptional cash generation) and a constructive earnings call highlighting record results and accelerating client growth. This is tempered by a higher valuation (P/E ~32 with a low yield) and only neutral-to-mixed technicals (near-term weakness versus the 20-day average despite a longer-term uptrend).
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Interactive Brokers generates very large and recurring operating and free cash flow that closely tracks net income, giving durable internal funding for product investment, buybacks or capital buffers. Strong cash conversion supports long‑term financial flexibility and reinvestment even through cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth moderation
Recent deceleration in revenue growth reduces headroom for sustained margin expansion and makes earnings more reliant on non‑operational levers. If trading activity and balances slow, incremental profit leverage may weaken, constraining durable EPS growth over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Interactive Brokers generates very large and recurring operating and free cash flow that closely tracks net income, giving durable internal funding for product investment, buybacks or capital buffers. Strong cash conversion supports long‑term financial flexibility and reinvestment even through cycles.
Read all positive factors

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Interactive Brokers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as an automated electronic broker in the United States and internationally. The company engages in the execution, clearance, and settlement of trades in stocks, options, futures, foreign exchange instrument...
How the Company Makes Money
IBKR primarily earns revenue from a diversified set of brokerage and market-related activities tied to client trading and client balances. Key revenue streams include: (1) Commissions and transaction-based fees: IBKR charges clients for executing ...

Interactive Brokers Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Customer Accounts
Total Customer Accounts
Tracks the total number of customer accounts, indicating the company’s market reach and growth in user base, which can drive future revenue.
Chart InsightsInteractive Brokers is experiencing robust growth in customer accounts, with a notable acceleration in 2025, adding 528,000 accounts year-to-date, surpassing all of 2023. This growth is fueled by strategic advancements, including enhanced trading platforms and new product offerings. Despite challenges in the cryptocurrency sector and potential risks from interest rate fluctuations, the company's strong financial performance, particularly in commission and net interest income, underscores its competitive edge. The significant increase in overnight trading volumes further highlights the platform's global appeal and strategic success.
Data provided by:The Fly

Interactive Brokers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted multiple strong operational and financial outcomes: record annual net revenues (> $6B), sustained quarterly adjusted pretax income above $1B, double-digit growth across commissions, net interest income and trading volumes, rapid client and assets growth (+1M accounts, client equity +37%), and meaningful platform and product expansion (AI features, new markets, ForecastX momentum). Lowlights included a non-core currency diversification loss, lower commission per order due to mix and regulatory fee changes, regulatory uncertainty for prediction markets, modest crypto traction, sensitivity to future rate cuts (25 bp scenario impacts), and ongoing advertising-driven expense increases. Overall, the positives — magnitude of revenue and volume growth, strong margins, client outperformance, and balance sheet strength — materially outweigh the identified challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Annual and Quarterly Financials
Full-year net revenues exceeded $6.0 billion for the first time; quarterly adjusted pretax income surpassed $1 billion for the fifth consecutive quarter. Pretax margin matched the third-quarter record of 79% and achieved a record 77% for the year.
Negative Updates
Non-Core Loss in Currency Diversification Program
Other income was $10 million reported (and $37 million adjusted), driven primarily by a loss in the currency diversification program, which reduced non-core income for the quarter.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Annual and Quarterly Financials
Full-year net revenues exceeded $6.0 billion for the first time; quarterly adjusted pretax income surpassed $1 billion for the fifth consecutive quarter. Pretax margin matched the third-quarter record of 79% and achieved a record 77% for the year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking guidance was focused and metric-driven: they expect the National Trust Charter bank to be operational by the end of the year if approved, and quantified rate sensitivity—estimating a 25 basis‑point cut in U.S. fed funds would reduce annual net interest income by about $77 million (and a 25 bp reduction across non‑USD benchmarks would cut NII by about $31 million), noting that balance growth would mitigate those impacts; expense growth is expected to remain moderate and roughly in line with recent trends (headcount rose ~6% to 3,182 in 2025, compensation increased ~10%, compensation-to-adjusted-net-revenues was 9% in Q4 and ~10% for the year); account growth should continue ( >1,000,000 net new accounts in 2025), overnight trading and new products are key growth drivers (overnight volume +76% QoQ, +130% YoY; ForecastX traded 286 million pairs in Q4 vs. 15 million in Q3, with >10,000 instruments and 4 quoting members), and geographic/product expansion will continue (new markets in 2025 and further country rollouts planned for 2026), while a European banking license is not urgent (Ireland most likely eventual location).

Interactive Brokers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and improving profitability, supported by exceptional operating/free cash flow and high cash conversion. Key risks are decelerating recent revenue growth and uncertainty created by the sharp reported swing in debt levels in 2025.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.23B9.32B7.79B4.19B2.94B
Gross Profit9.19B8.29B6.87B3.41B2.31B
EBITDA9.09B7.99B6.60B3.11B2.09B
Net Income984.00M755.00M600.00M380.00M308.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets203.24B150.14B128.25B115.14B109.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.96B3.63B3.75B3.44B2.40B
Total Debt19.00M16.26B11.36B8.96B11.80B
Total Liabilities182.77B133.54B114.18B103.53B98.89B
Stockholders Equity5.36B4.28B3.58B2.85B2.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.74B8.68B4.50B3.90B5.82B
Operating Cash Flow15.81B8.72B4.54B3.97B5.90B
Investing Cash Flow-171.00M-44.00M-52.00M-67.00M-188.00M
Financing Cash Flow-969.00M-833.00M-624.00M-470.00M-523.00M

Interactive Brokers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.21
Price Trends
50DMA
70.57
Positive
100DMA
68.95
Positive
200DMA
66.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
56.30
Neutral
STOCH
84.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.82, above the 50-day MA of 70.57, and above the 200-day MA of 66.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBKR.

Interactive Brokers Risk Analysis

Interactive Brokers disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Interactive Brokers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Interactive Brokers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$30.86B23.8922.99%1.06%16.74%26.74%
78
Outperform
$28.66B28.2113.10%0.45%22.17%40.13%
75
Outperform
$31.73B29.1119.88%0.46%11.88%28.96%
70
Outperform
$29.20B14.0616.94%1.26%6.45%5.85%
68
Neutral
$26.49B20.0620.10%1.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$25.03B32.5618.57%0.32%35.19%-18.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
71.21
28.59
67.09%
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
295.95
83.23
39.13%
LPLA
LPL Financial
312.53
2.16
0.70%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
146.19
12.65
9.47%
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
280.14
-37.83
-11.90%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
121.44
-6.12
-4.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026