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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS
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Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$1,011.00
â–²(9.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow and high leverage despite improved profitability. Support comes from a strong technical uptrend, reasonable valuation (low-to-moderate P/E), and a positive earnings-call tone highlighted by strong results and continued capital returns, partially offset by capital/expense and macro risks.
Positive Factors
Franchise strength in Markets & Banking
Leading GBM outcomes and top M&A/advisory rankings reflect durable client franchises and market-making scale. Persistent leadership in deal flow and trading builds recurring fee and flow revenue, supporting structural profitability across business cycles and enabling reinvestment in client platforms.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow materially reduces financial flexibility and undermines the quality of reported earnings. Persistent cash outflows increase reliance on market funding or capital actions, constraining durable investment in growth initiatives and elevating refinancing risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise strength in Markets & Banking
Leading GBM outcomes and top M&A/advisory rankings reflect durable client franchises and market-making scale. Persistent leadership in deal flow and trading builds recurring fee and flow revenue, supporting structural profitability across business cycles and enabling reinvestment in client platforms.
Read all positive factors

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Goldman Sachs is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmericas remains the revenue driver but is highly cyclical—2025 showed strong GBM and advisory-driven upside earlier in the year, then a Q4 pullback likely amplified by the Apple Card transition and deposit NIM pressure that will damp future platform revenues. Asia is quietly accelerating, consistent with AWM/alternatives fee and fundraising momentum, while EMEA’s rebound looks driven by advisory/transaction spikes. Management’s record IB backlog and capital return capacity point to upside if markets hold, but macro/NIM risks make near-term volatility likely.
Data provided by:The Fly

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets,...
How the Company Makes Money
Goldman Sachs makes money primarily by earning fees, commissions, interest income, and trading-related revenues across its core business lines. (1) Investment banking: It earns advisory fees for mergers, acquisitions, restructurings, and other str...

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized a strong quarter with multiple record and near-record outcomes (net revenue, EPS, GBM revenue, equities revenues, AUM/AUS and sustained long-term inflows). Management highlighted strategic wins (Innovator acquisition), digital engagement growth, and continued capital returns while retaining a regulatory capital buffer. Offsetting items included increased macro volatility, some FICC sub‑segment weakness (rates and mortgages), higher provisions ($315M) tied to loan growth and impairments, elevated non‑compensation (transaction) expenses that pushed the efficiency ratio slightly above target, and a quarterly CET1 decline driven by RWA growth and large buybacks. On balance, the positive operational and franchise metrics materially outweigh the measured headwinds and one‑time/regulatory driven capital deployment choices.
Positive Updates
Strong overall financial performance
Net revenues of $17.2B, net earnings of $5.6B and EPS of $17.55 (all the second-highest in Goldman Sachs history), producing ROE of 19.8% and ROTE of 21.3%.
Negative Updates
Heightened macro volatility and geopolitical uncertainty
Quarter-end environment featured rising volatility and weaker sentiment driven by AI-driven disruption concerns, software sector stress, private credit scrutiny and the conflict in the Middle East — which tempered IPO and sponsor activity in March.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong overall financial performance
Net revenues of $17.2B, net earnings of $5.6B and EPS of $17.55 (all the second-highest in Goldman Sachs history), producing ROE of 19.8% and ROTE of 21.3%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking guidance emphasized a full‑year effective tax rate of ~20%, a continued push toward a 60% efficiency ratio (Q1 was 60.5%), and a conservative capital posture with CET1 at 12.5% (110 bps above the 11.4% requirement) to allow continued deployment into client franchises (prime brokerage, acquisition financing) while returning $6.4 billion to common shareholders this quarter (record $5.0 billion repurchases and $1.4 billion dividends). They said Platform Solutions revenues (Q1 $411M) should run lower for the rest of the year, alternatives fundraising is on track after $26 billion raised in Q1 (alternatives AUS $429B; private credit raised $10B toward a ~$300B private‑credit target), and they expect to prudently grow financing (FICC + equities financing $3.7B; equities financing $2.6B, +59% YoY) supported by a $253B loan book and Q1 net interest income of $3.7B, while accelerating One GS 3.0 cloud/data/AI investments to improve operating leverage and returns.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns improved meaningfully (TTM net margin ~16.3%, ROE ~14.6%), but the balance sheet is highly levered (debt-to-equity ~5.43) and cash generation is a major weakness with sustained negative operating and free cash flow (TTM OCF about -$39.8B; FCF about -$41.9B). Revenue also declined ~11.5% TTM, reinforcing cyclicality risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.77B125.10B126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B
Gross Profit61.53B59.40B52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B
EBITDA24.94B24.03B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B
Net Income18.07B17.18B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06T1.81T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.01B624.53B921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B
Total Debt749.47B609.53B616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B
Total Liabilities1.94T1.68T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T
Stockholders Equity122.78B124.97B122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.92B-47.22B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B1.63B
Operating Cash Flow-39.79B-45.15B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B6.30B
Investing Cash Flow-77.79B-44.23B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B
Financing Cash Flow127.57B66.10B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price925.95
Price Trends
50DMA
888.60
Positive
100DMA
899.91
Positive
200DMA
840.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
16.44
Negative
RSI
63.77
Neutral
STOCH
53.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 925.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 935.92, above the 50-day MA of 888.60, and above the 200-day MA of 840.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$311.94B11.4616.38%2.14%16.32%29.43%
72
Outperform
$363.56B10.3010.50%1.93%-1.69%20.90%
71
Outperform
$29.64B13.0517.21%1.26%5.83%1.44%
70
Outperform
$809.16B12.4316.32%1.79%1.33%2.47%
70
Outperform
$156.71B16.5519.08%1.07%8.11%53.31%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$289.73B11.4114.58%1.55%2.63%26.98%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
982.12
396.03
67.57%
BAC
Bank of America
51.23
8.87
20.95%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
301.98
46.28
18.10%
MS
Morgan Stanley
197.77
74.49
60.42%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
152.07
7.53
5.21%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
90.11
3.89
4.52%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Goldman Sachs Simplifies Capital Structure After Series Redemption
Positive
May 12, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a leading global financial services provider, has further streamlined its capital structure by eliminating a class of preferred equity tied to its Restated Certificate of Incorporation. The move reflects ongoing optimization o...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Shareholders Back Board, Reject Governance Changes
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a global investment banking and financial services firm, held its annual meeting of shareholders on April 29, 2026, where all 13 nominated directors, including Chief Executive Officer David Solomon and President John Waldron, ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Announces Retirement of Board Member Mittal
Neutral
Mar 13, 2026
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. announced that Board member Lakshmi Mittal will retire from its Board of Directors at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, in line with the Board’s age-based retirement policy. His retirement...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Goldman Sachs Announces Forthcoming Retirement of Chief Legal Officer
Neutral
Feb 13, 2026
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. announced that Kathryn H. Ruemmler has decided to retire from her positions as Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel, effective June 30, 2026. Her planned departure signals an upcoming leadership transition in the f...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026