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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
Goldman Sachs demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and strategic initiatives, although revenue growth and cash flow remain areas of concern. The stock is fairly valued with a reasonable dividend yield. Positive corporate events and a favorable earnings call sentiment support confidence in the stock, despite macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Investment banking fees and trading revenue have been stronger than expected, contributing to substantial EPS growth.
Shareholder Returns
Goldman Sachs has been an outperformer in terms of shareholder return, with above-average ROE and significant capital returns through dividends and share repurchases.
Trading Environment
The current environment is still supportive of a healthy trading backdrop for both equities and FICC.
Negative Factors
Global Economic Risks
Potential risks include global economic slowdown, prolonged high market interest rates, and contraction in market liquidity.
Investment Banking Challenges
IB fees were down with weakness in advisory revenues, indicating some challenges in that area.
Macro Economic Concerns
Goldman's corporate and institutional clients are concerned by the significant uncertainty that has constrained their ability to make important decisions.

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The company's Investment Banking segment provides financial advisory services, including strategic advisory assignments related to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense activities, restructurings, and spin-offs; and middle-market lending, relationship lending, and acquisition financing, as well as transaction banking services. This segment also offers underwriting services, such as equity underwriting for common and preferred stock and convertible and exchangeable securities; and debt underwriting for various types of debt instruments, including investment-grade and high-yield debt, bank and bridge loans, and emerging-and growth-market debt, as well as originates structured securities. Its Global Markets segment is involved in client execution activities for cash and derivative instruments; credit and interest rate products; and provision of equity intermediation and equity financing, clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as mortgages, currencies, commodities, and equities related products. The company's Asset Management segment manages assets across various classes, including equity, fixed income, hedge funds, credit funds, private equity, real estate, currencies, and commodities; and provides customized investment advisory solutions, as well as invests in corporate, real estate, and infrastructure entities. Its Consumer & Wealth Management segment offers wealth advisory and banking services, including financial planning, investment management, deposit taking, and lending; private banking; and unsecured loans, as well as accepts saving and time deposits. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldman Sachs makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily derived from four main business segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. In Investment Banking, the company earns revenue from advisory fees related to mergers and acquisitions, underwriting fees from equity and debt issuances, and loan syndications. The Global Markets segment generates income from facilitating client transactions in fixed income, currency, commodities, and equity products, primarily through market-making and proprietary trading. Asset Management provides revenue through management and incentive fees earned on assets under management, which include investment funds and separate accounts. Consumer & Wealth Management generates income from management fees on client assets, transaction fees, and lending activities, including personal loans and credit card offerings. Additionally, Goldman Sachs benefits from strategic partnerships and investments that enhance its financial product offerings and market reach.

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Supervision
Assets Under Supervision
Shows the total value of client assets managed, indicating the scale of operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsGoldman Sachs' assets under supervision have consistently grown, reaching a record $3.2 trillion, driven by 29 consecutive quarters of fee-based net inflows. This growth is bolstered by strong wealth management and alternatives fundraising, despite a challenging investment banking environment. The firm's strategic use of AI and robust capital management, including a $40 billion share repurchase program, further enhances its competitive positioning. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and increased credit provisions pose potential risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goldman Sachs shows a mixed financial health profile with strong profitability metrics but challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The balance sheet is strong, but cash flow issues need attention for sustained stability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Goldman Sachs' income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is strong at 90.1% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly declined to 28.9% TTM, suggesting increased costs or reduced revenue efficiency. Revenue growth is negative at -3.8% TTM, reflecting a potential challenge in maintaining revenue streams. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 31.5% and 35.9% TTM respectively, highlighting profitability before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable yet cautious outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.04 TTM, indicating manageable leverage compared to equity. Return on equity is impressive at 84.3% TTM, showcasing strong returns. However, the equity ratio of 100% reflects a potential over-reliance on equity financing, which may limit leverage benefits. Overall, the financial position is strong but could be optimized for better capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some areas of concern. Operating cash flow is negative at -22.4 billion TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow is also negative at -24.5 billion TTM, pointing to potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -1.51 TTM, suggesting inefficiencies in cash conversion. While free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.65 TTM, further emphasizing cash management concerns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.47B53.51B46.25B47.37B59.34B44.56B
Gross Profit
46.36B53.51B46.25B47.37B59.34B44.56B
EBIT
16.20B18.40B10.74B13.49B27.04B12.48B
EBITDA
18.47B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B14.38B
Net Income Common Stockholders
14.88B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B9.46B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
924.88B921.83B241.58B597.57B261.02B156.53B
Total Assets
1.77T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T1.16T
Total Debt
609.74B616.93B333.25B308.00B301.00B266.00B
Net Debt
442.33B434.84B91.67B-158.94B40.00B110.00B
Total Liabilities
1.64T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T1.07T
Stockholders Equity
124.30B122.00B116.91B117.00B110.00B96.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-24.50B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B-3.75B-20.04B
Operating Cash Flow
-22.40B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B921.00M-13.73B
Investing Cash Flow
-64.39B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B-34.36B
Financing Cash Flow
42.98B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B70.38B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price598.54
Price Trends
50DMA
550.18
Positive
100DMA
579.19
Positive
200DMA
553.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.47
Negative
RSI
60.59
Neutral
STOCH
41.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 598.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 580.36, above the 50-day MA of 550.18, and above the 200-day MA of 553.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$30.18B26.1240.36%0.32%26.32%8.63%
77
Outperform
$158.64B26.5414.12%1.16%2.32%37.66%
73
Outperform
$87.36B28.5319.26%0.48%14.67%23.59%
RJRJF
73
Outperform
$30.79B14.7018.84%1.28%11.79%25.74%
MSMS
71
Outperform
$202.56B14.8113.88%2.93%6.53%55.54%
GSGS
66
Neutral
$183.56B13.8812.26%1.98%7.70%68.64%
64
Neutral
$12.66B9.797.67%17015.07%12.23%-6.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
598.54
147.32
32.65%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
206.61
79.44
62.47%
LPLA
LPL Financial
372.50
89.08
31.43%
MS
Morgan Stanley
126.07
30.17
31.46%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
146.47
22.38
18.04%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
87.40
16.13
22.63%

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in assets under supervision, wealth management, and alternatives fundraising. However, macroeconomic uncertainty and a challenging investment banking environment were noted as significant concerns. The firm demonstrated robust equity performance and capital management initiatives, but faced declines in advisory revenues and increased credit provisions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Assets Under Supervision
Assets under supervision rose to a record $3.2 trillion, marking the 29th consecutive quarter of long-term fee-based net inflows.
Strong Wealth Management Growth
Total Wealth Management revenue grew 11% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, with client assets reaching a record of $1.6 trillion.
Significant Fundraising in Alternatives
Raised another $19 billion in the quarter for alternatives, bringing total fundraising to $342 billion since 2019.
Impressive Equity Performance
Equities net revenues were a record $4.2 billion in the quarter, with equities intermediation revenues rising 28% year-over-year.
Capital Management Flexibility
The Board authorized a multi-year share repurchase program of up to $40 billion, providing increased capital management flexibility.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Expectations for US growth have fallen from over 2% to 0.5%, with increased recession risks and global economic slowdown.
Volatile Investment Banking Environment
Volatile market conditions led to more muted investment banking activity than expected at the beginning of the year.
Decline in Advisory Revenues
Advisory revenues of $792 million were down compared to the prior year, amid a challenging market environment.
Credit Provisions
Provision for credit losses was $287 million, primarily related to the credit card portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the Goldman Sachs First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported net revenues of $15.1 billion and earnings per share of $14.12, reflecting a strong performance with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.9% and a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 18%. Global Banking & Markets generated revenues of $10.7 billion, with an ROE exceeding 20%. Despite a challenging market environment, assets under supervision reached a record $3.2 trillion, marking the 29th consecutive quarter of long-term fee-based net inflows. Investment banking activities faced a volatile backdrop, with advisory revenues at $792 million, while equity and debt underwriting revenues reached $370 million and $752 million, respectively. The Wealth Management division reported an 11% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.2 billion. Goldman Sachs also highlighted its successful use of technology, particularly AI, to enhance efficiency and client service. Despite global economic uncertainties, the firm remains optimistic about its strategic positioning and capital management, with a focus on sustaining its dividend growth and executing a new $40 billion share repurchase program.

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Shareholders Approve Stock Incentive Plan
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on April 23, 2025, Goldman Sachs shareholders approved the Amended and Restated Stock Incentive Plan (2025), which extends the equity plan’s term through 2029 and includes administrative enhancements. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of 14 directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, while several shareholder proposals were not approved.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Goldman Sachs reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with net revenues of $15.06 billion and net earnings of $4.74 billion, marking a 6% increase in revenues compared to the same period in 2024. The firm’s performance was driven by record net revenues in its Global Banking & Markets division, particularly in equities and fixed income, currency, and commodities. The firm also maintained its leading position in mergers and acquisitions and equity offerings, while its asset and wealth management division saw a slight decrease in revenues. The results underscore Goldman Sachs’ ability to support clients amidst a changing operating environment and highlight its strategic priorities.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goldman Sachs Appoints McClure and Waldron to Board
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Goldman Sachs announced the appointment of KC McClure and John Waldron to its Board of Directors. McClure, who retired from Accenture, will join the Board’s Audit, Governance, and Risk Committees on April 1, 2025. Her extensive experience in finance and operations is expected to enhance the Board’s capabilities. Waldron, President and COO of Goldman Sachs, will provide insights into the firm’s execution priorities, although he will not serve on any committees. These appointments aim to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and long-term value creation for shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.