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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$1,068.00
â–²(14.25% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong operating performance and a constructive technical uptrend, reinforced by an upbeat earnings call highlighting market leadership and AWM scale. Offsetting factors are elevated balance-sheet leverage, weak/volatile cash flow conversion, and only moderate valuation support given the P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue & Margins
Sustained near‑term revenue acceleration and healthy margins point to durable franchise strength across investment banking, markets and asset management. High top‑line growth with double‑digit margins supports reinvestment, talent retention and long‑term profitability resilience.
M&A Advisory Leadership
Market leadership in M&A creates a persistent advisory fee moat and deep client relationships. Being materially ahead of peers suggests sustainable origination pipelines, cross‑sell opportunities and pricing power that should continue to drive fee income over multiple market cycles.
Scale in Asset & Wealth Management
Large AWM scale and a strategic shift to third‑party, fee‑driven funds reduce balance‑sheet intensity and concentrate recurring management fees. This improves capital efficiency, steadier revenue streams and lowers earnings volatility versus balance‑sheet investing over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
A high leverage profile and a low equity base increase sensitivity to market shocks and regulatory capital shifts. Elevated debt magnifies losses in downturns, constrains strategic flexibility, and can force defensive capital actions that limit growth or shareholder returns over time.
Weak Cash‑Flow Conversion
Significant deterioration in free cash flow and poor conversion of reported income into cash signals earnings quality and working capital risks. Persistent cash‑flow weakness can reduce capacity for buybacks, dividends and capital deployment, pressuring long‑term shareholder returns.
Apple Card Portfolio Transition
Losing the Apple Card issuer role and ~$20B of card balances is a structural retreat from a consumer platform; it trims loan book scale and recurring consumer revenue. While it releases reserves, the move narrows long‑term consumer growth optionality and ecosystem leverage.

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The company's Investment Banking segment provides financial advisory services, including strategic advisory assignments related to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense activities, restructurings, and spin-offs; and middle-market lending, relationship lending, and acquisition financing, as well as transaction banking services. This segment also offers underwriting services, such as equity underwriting for common and preferred stock and convertible and exchangeable securities; and debt underwriting for various types of debt instruments, including investment-grade and high-yield debt, bank and bridge loans, and emerging-and growth-market debt, as well as originates structured securities. Its Global Markets segment is involved in client execution activities for cash and derivative instruments; credit and interest rate products; and provision of equity intermediation and equity financing, clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as mortgages, currencies, commodities, and equities related products. The company's Asset Management segment manages assets across various classes, including equity, fixed income, hedge funds, credit funds, private equity, real estate, currencies, and commodities; and provides customized investment advisory solutions, as well as invests in corporate, real estate, and infrastructure entities. Its Consumer & Wealth Management segment offers wealth advisory and banking services, including financial planning, investment management, deposit taking, and lending; private banking; and unsecured loans, as well as accepts saving and time deposits. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldman Sachs generates revenue through several key streams. The Investment Banking segment contributes significantly by advising clients on mergers and acquisitions, underwriting public offerings, and facilitating capital raising efforts. The Global Markets segment earns revenue through trading and market-making activities in equities, fixed income, and commodities, capitalizing on price fluctuations and liquidity needs. Asset Management services generate fees from managing investments on behalf of institutional and individual clients, while Consumer & Wealth Management offers financial planning and investment services that also produce advisory and management fees. Additionally, Goldman Sachs has formed strategic partnerships and alliances that enhance its service offerings and broaden its client base, contributing to its overall earnings. The firm's diversified approach across different sectors helps mitigate risks and stabilize revenue streams.

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Goldman Sachs is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsGoldman Sachs' revenue growth in the Americas is robust, driven by strong M&A and advisory activities, as highlighted in the earnings call. EMEA also shows strength, aligning with the firm's top position in M&A league tables. However, Asia's growth is more moderate, possibly impacted by geopolitical risks. The firm's strategic focus on AI and asset management is expected to bolster future revenue streams, despite challenges in regulatory environments and debt underwriting. Overall, the positive momentum in key segments suggests a promising outlook for sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant achievements in investment banking, financing, and asset management. However, challenges in the private equity harvesting environment and regulatory uncertainty persist.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Second quarter net revenues of $14.6 billion, earnings per share of $10.91, and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%.
Investment Banking Achievements
Announced M&A volumes are 30% higher year over year and 15% greater than the comparable five-year average. Notable deals include Energy Energy's $12 billion portfolio and Salesforce's $8 billion acquisition of Informatica.
Record Financing Business
Both fixed and equities financing hit revenue records, contributing to a 23% year-over-year increase in total financing revenues.
Asset and Wealth Management Success
Raised $18 billion in alternatives, with wealth management client assets reaching a record $1.7 trillion. Total assets under supervision rose to $3.3 trillion.
Dividend Increase
A 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 a share, marking a 400% increase since 2018.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Harvesting Environment
The environment for harvesting private equity-type portfolio assets remains challenging, impacting the reduction of historical principal investments.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Lack of transparency in regulatory stress testing continues to pose challenges in capital planning and allocation.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. achieved robust financial results, reflecting their strategic focus and market resilience. The firm generated net revenues of $14.6 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) of $10.91 and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%, reaching a 14.8% ROE for the first half of the year. Investment banking activities were particularly strong, with announced M&A volumes up 30% year-over-year and 15% higher than the five-year average. The firm priced 11 IPOs globally, including notable names like Circle and Chime, and saw a fifth consecutive quarter of advisory backlog growth. Their financing businesses hit revenue records, contributing to a 23% increase in total financing revenues year-over-year. In asset and wealth management, client assets reached a record $1.7 trillion, and assets under supervision rose to $3.3 trillion, marking 30 consecutive quarters of long-term fee-based net inflows. The board approved a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 per share, underscoring confidence in the firm's revenue durability and growth strategy.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goldman Sachs shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a high gross profit margin and net profit margin. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and negative cash flows present potential risks, indicating the need for improved cash flow management.
Income Statement
Goldman Sachs has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 26.9% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a gross profit margin of 43.3% and a net profit margin of 12.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.86, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. However, the return on equity is strong at 12.7%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Goldman Sachs faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.09, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. The significant growth in free cash flow from the previous period is a positive sign.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue127.21B126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B53.50B
Gross Profit57.34B52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B41.46B
EBITDA23.41B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B14.38B
Net Income16.67B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B9.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.81T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T1.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments516.00B921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B588.48B
Total Debt665.00B616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B420.96B
Total Liabilities1.68T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T1.07T
Stockholders Equity124.00B122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B95.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.77B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B1.63B-24.84B
Operating Cash Flow17.89B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B6.30B-18.54B
Investing Cash Flow-46.31B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B-34.36B
Financing Cash Flow41.53B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B70.38B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price934.83
Price Trends
50DMA
842.66
Positive
100DMA
803.28
Positive
200DMA
709.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
26.89
Negative
RSI
64.52
Neutral
STOCH
78.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 934.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 903.37, above the 50-day MA of 842.66, and above the 200-day MA of 709.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$282.24B18.9913.57%1.55%2.31%44.49%
76
Outperform
$293.69B18.9615.15%2.14%7.22%48.18%
76
Outperform
$32.48B16.3617.64%1.26%6.45%5.85%
74
Outperform
$181.12B23.7717.05%1.07%5.90%66.60%
72
Outperform
$406.31B15.319.87%1.93%0.15%33.84%
72
Outperform
$890.15B16.3416.35%1.79%1.89%12.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
934.83
386.03
70.34%
BAC
Bank of America
56.18
12.09
27.42%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
329.79
94.74
40.31%
MS
Morgan Stanley
184.68
64.59
53.78%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
168.38
16.18
10.63%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
101.34
29.45
40.97%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Unveils Reorganized Segment Reporting Structure
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025, Goldman Sachs reorganized its reporting structure across three existing business segments—Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management and Platform Solutions—without changing its historical consolidated financial results. The firm shifted its transaction banking business into Global Banking & Markets, reclassified certain institutional loan facilitation and structured letters of credit into FICC financing, and began allocating Urban Investment Group results across all three segments to reflect the shared nature of Community Reinvestment Act obligations. Within Asset & Wealth Management, equity and debt investments are now reported together as Goldman continues to pivot from balance-sheet investing toward a scaled, third-party funds-driven model, while Platform Solutions is refocused chiefly on Apple Card and exited businesses. The recast segment data from 2021 through 2025 provide investors with a clearer view of profitability and capital deployment by line of business, underscoring a strategic shift away from broad consumer ambitions toward core institutional, wealth and fee-based asset management franchises.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Hold with a $604.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Goldman Sachs reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net revenues of $15.18 billion, a 20% increase from the same period in 2024, and net earnings of $4.10 billion. The firm’s earnings per share rose to $12.25, reflecting significant growth in its Global Banking & Markets and Asset & Wealth Management divisions. The company’s annualized return on equity was 14.2%, and its book value per share increased by 1.2% during the quarter. These results underscore Goldman Sachs’ robust performance across various financial segments, driven by higher investment banking fees and increased activity in mergers and acquisitions, as well as strong performance in its asset management operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Buy with a $720.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026