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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS
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Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$783.00
â–²(7.41%Upside)
Goldman Sachs' strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant contributors to the score, indicating bullish momentum and strategic growth initiatives. However, concerns over negative revenue growth and cash flow issues slightly dampen the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Goldman Sachs has significant excess capital for share buybacks, having already repurchased $3 billion in shares in the second quarter.
Earnings
Goldman Sachs' second-quarter earnings per share exceeded expectations due to strong equity trading, advisory services, and asset and wealth management fees.
Financial Performance
Goldman Sachs showed impressive growth in its Global Banking and Markets division, outperforming peers with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase.
Negative Factors
Investment Challenges
Goldman Sachs faced challenges with negative equity gains from the sale of remaining on-balance-sheet investments.
Stock Performance
Choppy stock performance reflects very high expectations and questions around 'is this as good as it gets?'
Valuation Concerns
The stock is rated as Equal-weight because the multiple looks fully valued at 13 times the 2026 EPS.

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., a financial institution, provides a range of financial services for corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The company's Investment Banking segment provides financial advisory services, including strategic advisory assignments related to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense activities, restructurings, and spin-offs; and middle-market lending, relationship lending, and acquisition financing, as well as transaction banking services. This segment also offers underwriting services, such as equity underwriting for common and preferred stock and convertible and exchangeable securities; and debt underwriting for various types of debt instruments, including investment-grade and high-yield debt, bank and bridge loans, and emerging-and growth-market debt, as well as originates structured securities. Its Global Markets segment is involved in client execution activities for cash and derivative instruments; credit and interest rate products; and provision of equity intermediation and equity financing, clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as mortgages, currencies, commodities, and equities related products. The company's Asset Management segment manages assets across various classes, including equity, fixed income, hedge funds, credit funds, private equity, real estate, currencies, and commodities; and provides customized investment advisory solutions, as well as invests in corporate, real estate, and infrastructure entities. Its Consumer & Wealth Management segment offers wealth advisory and banking services, including financial planning, investment management, deposit taking, and lending; private banking; and unsecured loans, as well as accepts saving and time deposits. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldman Sachs makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily derived from four main business segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. In Investment Banking, the company earns revenue from advisory fees related to mergers and acquisitions, underwriting fees from equity and debt issuances, and loan syndications. The Global Markets segment generates income from facilitating client transactions in fixed income, currency, commodities, and equity products, primarily through market-making and proprietary trading. Asset Management provides revenue through management and incentive fees earned on assets under management, which include investment funds and separate accounts. Consumer & Wealth Management generates income from management fees on client assets, transaction fees, and lending activities, including personal loans and credit card offerings. Additionally, Goldman Sachs benefits from strategic partnerships and investments that enhance its financial product offerings and market reach.

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Supervision
Assets Under Supervision
Indicates the total value of assets managed or overseen, reflecting Goldman Sachs' scale, client trust, and potential fee income.
Chart InsightsGoldman Sachs' assets under supervision have consistently grown, reaching a record $3.2 trillion, driven by 29 consecutive quarters of fee-based net inflows. This growth is bolstered by strong wealth management and alternatives fundraising, despite a challenging investment banking environment. The firm's strategic use of AI and robust capital management, including a $40 billion share repurchase program, further enhances its competitive positioning. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and increased credit provisions pose potential risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record revenues, significant growth in asset and wealth management, and substantial investments in AI. However, challenges remain in the form of a tough harvesting environment, regulatory uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. The sentiment is positive due to the strong highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenues
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. delivered net revenues of $14.6 billion for the second quarter of 2025, indicating strong performance across various segments.
Strong Investment Banking Performance
Investment banking clients continued to rely on Goldman Sachs' M&A franchise, with announced M&A volumes for the year to date 30% higher year over year and 15% greater than the comparable five-year average.
Advisory Revenues Surge
Advisory revenues rose 71% year over year, reflecting strength in the Americas and EMEA, securing the number one position in M&A league tables.
Asset and Wealth Management Growth
Wealth management client assets rose to a record $1.7 trillion, with total assets under supervision reaching a new high of $3.3 trillion.
AI Integration and Innovation
Goldman Sachs is investing in AI, rolling out the GS AI assistant firm-wide and collaborating with Cognition Labs to enhance software development and efficiency.
Dividend Increase
The board approved a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 a share, marking a 400% increase since 2018.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Harvesting Environment
The environment for harvesting private equity-type portfolio assets remains challenging, impacting the ability to monetize certain investments.
Regulatory Uncertainty
There is ongoing ambiguity regarding regulatory requirements and capital buffers, affecting strategic planning and capital allocation.
Geopolitical Risks
Geopolitical concerns, particularly in the Middle East, and unresolved trade agreements pose risks to global economic stability.
Decline in Debt Underwriting Revenues
Debt underwriting revenues fell 5% amid lower leveraged finance activity.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. reported robust financial metrics, including net revenues of $14.6 billion and earnings per share of $10.91, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8% for the quarter and 14.8% for the first half of the year. The investment banking segment saw a 30% year-over-year increase in announced M&A volumes, while the advisory backlog rose for the fifth consecutive quarter. Capital markets activity accelerated with 11 IPOs priced globally. The asset and wealth management division raised $18 billion, achieving record assets under supervision of $3.3 trillion. The firm also highlighted a significant improvement in its stress capital buffer to 3.4% and increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to $4 per share. Additionally, Goldman Sachs is investing in AI to enhance operational efficiency and productivity, with initiatives like the GS AI assistant and a partnership with Cognition Labs. Despite ongoing uncertainties in the global economic landscape, the firm remains focused on risk management and capital deployment to support client needs and drive sustainable growth.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goldman Sachs exhibits strong profitability metrics, with high gross and net profit margins and impressive EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, revenue growth is negative, and cash flow analysis reveals significant liquidity concerns with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Goldman Sachs' income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is strong at 90.1% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly declined to 28.9% TTM, suggesting increased costs or reduced revenue efficiency. Revenue growth is negative at -3.8% TTM, reflecting a potential challenge in maintaining revenue streams. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 31.5% and 35.9% TTM respectively, highlighting profitability before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable yet cautious outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.04 TTM, indicating manageable leverage compared to equity. Return on equity is impressive at 84.3% TTM, showcasing strong returns. However, the equity ratio of 100% reflects a potential over-reliance on equity financing, which may limit leverage benefits. Overall, the financial position is strong but could be optimized for better capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some areas of concern. Operating cash flow is negative at -22.4 billion TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow is also negative at -24.5 billion TTM, pointing to potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -1.51 TTM, suggesting inefficiencies in cash conversion. While free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.65 TTM, further emphasizing cash management concerns.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B53.50B
Gross Profit52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B41.46B
EBITDA20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B14.38B
Net Income14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B9.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T1.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B588.48B
Total Debt616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B420.96B
Total Liabilities1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T1.07T
Stockholders Equity122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B95.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.30B-14.90B4.96B-3.75B-20.04B
Operating Cash Flow-13.21B-12.59B8.71B921.00M-13.73B
Investing Cash Flow-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B-34.36B
Financing Cash Flow7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B70.38B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price728.98
Price Trends
50DMA
654.67
Positive
100DMA
596.78
Positive
200DMA
588.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
18.50
Positive
RSI
69.89
Neutral
STOCH
91.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 728.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 708.71, above the 50-day MA of 654.67, and above the 200-day MA of 588.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$28.20B33.1719.15%0.77%12.25%20.76%
80
Outperform
$30.13B26.2440.36%0.32%26.32%8.63%
78
Outperform
$33.66B15.7818.22%1.16%9.01%14.86%
77
Outperform
$227.72B16.1114.13%2.60%6.31%45.50%
74
Outperform
$172.88B25.6215.59%1.08%4.64%54.26%
71
Outperform
$220.16B15.8112.78%1.67%-0.34%45.85%
64
Neutral
$6.69B10.237.22%190.13%24.15%5.15%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
728.98
240.20
49.14%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
65.50
35.98
121.88%
LPLA
LPL Financial
380.04
159.73
72.50%
MS
Morgan Stanley
143.01
42.05
41.65%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
168.53
53.45
46.45%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
97.06
31.38
47.78%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

Goldman Sachs reported its second quarter 2025 earnings with net revenues of $14.58 billion and net earnings of $3.72 billion, reflecting a 15% increase in net revenues compared to the same period in 2024. The firm announced an increase in the quarterly dividend to $4.00 per common share for the third quarter, highlighting strong performance in Global Banking & Markets, particularly in investment banking and equities, despite a slight decline in Asset & Wealth Management revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Buy with a $553.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goldman Sachs Announces 33% Dividend Increase Post-CCAR
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 27, 2025, the Federal Reserve released the results of its 2025 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) stress test process, which indicated that Goldman Sachs’ Stress Capital Buffer (SCB) requirement will be 3.4%, resulting in a Standardized Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio requirement of 10.9%, effective October 1. The firm’s capital plan includes a 33% increase in the common stock dividend from $3.00 to $4.00 per share beginning July 1, 2025, subject to approval by the Board of Directors. This move reflects Goldman Sachs’ efforts to reduce capital intensity and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s intention to implement a more transparent and fair approach to stress tests, supporting the firm’s ability to serve clients, invest in businesses, and support economic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Hold with a $550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025