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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

72Outperform
Goldman Sachs demonstrates strong financial performance with notable revenue and profit growth, supported by strategic initiatives. High leverage and cash flow management pose challenges, but valuation metrics and positive earnings call sentiment reinforce confidence. Corporate events further bolster long-term prospects, making GS a stable investment with growth potential, despite some risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Investment banking fees and trading revenue have been stronger than expected, contributing to substantial EPS growth.
Share Buyback
The authorization of a $40bn share buyback program should be impactful in offering downside protection to the stock and EPS/ROTCE defensibility.
Shareholder Returns
Goldman Sachs has been an outperformer in terms of shareholder return, with above-average ROE and significant capital returns through dividends and share repurchases.
Negative Factors
Investment Banking
IB fees were down with weakness in advisory revenues, indicating some challenges in that area.
Macro Risks
There is downside risk to the stock if an S&P sell-off accelerates on a worsening macro-economic outlook and/or if tariff driven uncertainties get worse.
Market Conditions
Potential risks include global economic slowdown, prolonged high market interest rates, and contraction in market liquidity.

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoldman Sachs Group Inc. is a leading global investment banking, securities, and investment management firm that provides a broad range of financial services to a substantial and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals. Founded in 1869 and headquartered in New York City, Goldman Sachs operates through four main business segments: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The company is renowned for its expertise in mergers and acquisitions, underwriting, and trading, as well as its asset and wealth management services.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldman Sachs generates revenue through several key streams. In its Investment Banking segment, the company earns fees from advising on mergers and acquisitions, underwriting for equity and debt issuances, and other financial advisory services. The Global Markets segment provides market-making and trading services, earning income from buying and selling financial products such as equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities. In Asset Management, Goldman Sachs collects management and performance fees for its services in managing a wide array of investment products, including mutual funds, hedge funds, and private equity. Consumer & Wealth Management generates revenue by offering private wealth management and consumer banking services, including lending and deposit products. Additionally, Goldman Sachs forms strategic partnerships with various financial institutions and technology firms to enhance its offerings and expand its market reach, which also contributes to its revenue.

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Supervision
Assets Under Supervision
Indicates the total value of assets managed or overseen, reflecting the firm's scale, client trust, and potential fee income.
Chart InsightsGoldman Sachs' Assets Under Supervision have consistently grown, reaching a record $3.1 trillion, driven by 28 consecutive quarters of long-term fee-based net inflows. This growth underscores the firm's strategic success in Asset & Wealth Management, contributing significantly to their robust financial performance. Despite challenges like regulatory uncertainty and Platform Solutions' impact on ROE, the firm's leadership in investment banking and focus on efficiency and capital solutions position it well for future growth, particularly with anticipated increases in M&A and IPO activity in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goldman Sachs shows strong financial health with revenue and profit growth, and improving margins. However, high leverage poses risks, and cash flow management needs improvement, despite profitability gains.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Goldman Sachs displays a robust performance in its income statement with a consistent revenue growth from $46.25B in 2023 to $52.16B in 2024, showing a growth rate of 12.77%. The gross profit margin remains stable at 100% due to the nature of its business model. Net profit margin improved significantly from 18.41% in 2023 to 27.36% in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the company experienced fluctuations in EBIT margin, moving from 29.09% in 2023 to 61.71% in 2024, reflecting some volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with a stockholders' equity of $122B in 2024, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.89, which suggests high leverage. The equity ratio stands at 7.30%, indicating a moderate portion of assets financed by equity. Return on equity increased from 7.28% in 2023 to 11.70% in 2024, highlighting improved utilization of shareholder funds. However, the overall high leverage presents potential risks if market conditions change unfavorably.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with operating cash flow being negative in 2023, recovering slightly in 2024. The free cash flow remains a concern, with fluctuations in recent years, suggesting potential liquidity management issues. The absence of operating cash flow and free cash flow metrics in 2024 limits comprehensive analysis. This reflects a need for better cash flow management despite improved profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
53.51B46.25B47.37B59.34B44.56B
Gross Profit
53.51B46.25B47.37B59.34B44.56B
EBIT
18.40B10.74B13.49B27.04B12.48B
EBITDA
20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B14.38B
Net Income Common Stockholders
14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B9.46B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
182.09B241.58B597.57B261.02B156.53B
Total Assets
1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T1.16T
Total Debt
342.56B333.25B308.00B301.00B266.00B
Net Debt
160.46B91.67B-158.94B40.00B110.00B
Total Liabilities
1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T1.07T
Stockholders Equity
122.00B116.91B117.00B110.00B96.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-15.30B-14.90B4.96B-3.75B-20.04B
Operating Cash Flow
-13.21B-12.59B8.71B921.00M-13.73B
Investing Cash Flow
-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B-34.36B
Financing Cash Flow
7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B70.38B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price566.10
Price Trends
50DMA
547.89
Positive
100DMA
577.22
Negative
200DMA
545.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.64
Negative
RSI
60.78
Neutral
STOCH
91.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 566.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 516.19, above the 50-day MA of 547.89, and above the 200-day MA of 545.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$151.97B24.7814.12%1.25%2.32%37.66%
73
Outperform
$72.41B24.7419.26%0.58%15.28%23.59%
RJRJF
73
Outperform
$28.22B13.2618.91%1.35%11.79%25.74%
73
Outperform
$25.57B22.7942.26%0.37%23.20%2.38%
GSGS
72
Outperform
$153.67B12.2012.27%2.12%2.89%68.64%
MSMS
71
Outperform
$174.38B12.6813.88%3.17%6.57%55.54%
64
Neutral
$12.65B9.748.04%17044.64%12.65%-5.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
566.10
137.38
32.04%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
181.55
62.21
52.13%
LPLA
LPL Financial
333.56
64.00
23.74%
MS
Morgan Stanley
120.22
29.48
32.49%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
141.76
19.09
15.56%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
83.11
8.13
10.84%

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in assets under supervision, wealth management, and alternatives fundraising. However, macroeconomic uncertainty and a challenging investment banking environment were noted as significant concerns. The firm demonstrated robust equity performance and capital management initiatives, but faced declines in advisory revenues and increased credit provisions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Assets Under Supervision
Assets under supervision rose to a record $3.2 trillion, marking the 29th consecutive quarter of long-term fee-based net inflows.
Strong Wealth Management Growth
Total Wealth Management revenue grew 11% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, with client assets reaching a record of $1.6 trillion.
Significant Fundraising in Alternatives
Raised another $19 billion in the quarter for alternatives, bringing total fundraising to $342 billion since 2019.
Impressive Equity Performance
Equities net revenues were a record $4.2 billion in the quarter, with equities intermediation revenues rising 28% year-over-year.
Capital Management Flexibility
The Board authorized a multi-year share repurchase program of up to $40 billion, providing increased capital management flexibility.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Expectations for US growth have fallen from over 2% to 0.5%, with increased recession risks and global economic slowdown.
Volatile Investment Banking Environment
Volatile market conditions led to more muted investment banking activity than expected at the beginning of the year.
Decline in Advisory Revenues
Advisory revenues of $792 million were down compared to the prior year, amid a challenging market environment.
Credit Provisions
Provision for credit losses was $287 million, primarily related to the credit card portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the Goldman Sachs First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported net revenues of $15.1 billion and earnings per share of $14.12, reflecting a strong performance with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.9% and a return on tangible equity (ROTE) of 18%. Global Banking & Markets generated revenues of $10.7 billion, with an ROE exceeding 20%. Despite a challenging market environment, assets under supervision reached a record $3.2 trillion, marking the 29th consecutive quarter of long-term fee-based net inflows. Investment banking activities faced a volatile backdrop, with advisory revenues at $792 million, while equity and debt underwriting revenues reached $370 million and $752 million, respectively. The Wealth Management division reported an 11% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.2 billion. Goldman Sachs also highlighted its successful use of technology, particularly AI, to enhance efficiency and client service. Despite global economic uncertainties, the firm remains optimistic about its strategic positioning and capital management, with a focus on sustaining its dividend growth and executing a new $40 billion share repurchase program.

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Shareholders Approve Stock Incentive Plan
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on April 23, 2025, Goldman Sachs shareholders approved the Amended and Restated Stock Incentive Plan (2025), which extends the equity plan’s term through 2029 and includes administrative enhancements. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of 14 directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, while several shareholder proposals were not approved.

Spark’s Take on GS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GS is a Outperform.

Goldman Sachs demonstrates robust revenue and profit growth, supported by strategic initiatives and leadership changes. While high leverage and cash flow challenges require attention, the stock maintains fair valuation metrics and positive earnings call sentiment. Technical analysis indicates a cautious short-term outlook, but the overall performance and strategic positioning suggest a stable investment with growth potential despite some risks.

To see Spark’s full report on GS stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Goldman Sachs reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with net revenues of $15.06 billion and net earnings of $4.74 billion, marking a 6% increase in revenues compared to the same period in 2024. The firm’s performance was driven by record net revenues in its Global Banking & Markets division, particularly in equities and fixed income, currency, and commodities. The firm also maintained its leading position in mergers and acquisitions and equity offerings, while its asset and wealth management division saw a slight decrease in revenues. The results underscore Goldman Sachs’ ability to support clients amidst a changing operating environment and highlight its strategic priorities.

Spark’s Take on GS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GS is a Outperform.

Goldman Sachs demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, supported by strategic initiatives and leadership changes. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges require attention. Technical analysis indicates a cautious short-term outlook, while valuation metrics suggest a fair pricing with a decent dividend yield. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and corporate events further bolsters confidence in the stock, making it a stable investment with growth potential despite some risks.

To see Spark’s full report on GS stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goldman Sachs Appoints McClure and Waldron to Board
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Goldman Sachs announced the appointment of KC McClure and John Waldron to its Board of Directors. McClure, who retired from Accenture, will join the Board’s Audit, Governance, and Risk Committees on April 1, 2025. Her extensive experience in finance and operations is expected to enhance the Board’s capabilities. Waldron, President and COO of Goldman Sachs, will provide insights into the firm’s execution priorities, although he will not serve on any committees. These appointments aim to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and long-term value creation for shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.