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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS
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Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$1,151.00
â–²(8.46% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/28/26
The score is driven by strong earnings-call momentum and supportive technical trend, partially offset by weaker underlying financial quality signals—especially sustained negative operating/free cash flow and elevated leverage. Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield, providing a moderate cushion but not enough to fully offset balance-sheet and cash-flow risk.
Positive Factors
Market-leading Global Banking & Markets franchise
Sustained leadership in market-making, trading and client execution delivers high ROE and recurring intermediation economics. A record GBM quarter evidences scale, client trust, and structural access to flow-driven revenues that support durable earnings through market cycles.
Negative Factors
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative OCF and FCF weaken financial flexibility and raise questions about earnings quality; reliance on non-cash gains and capital-markets timing can mask real cash-generation issues, limiting ability to fund growth or cushion shocks without issuing liabilities or preferred equity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Market-leading Global Banking & Markets franchise
Sustained leadership in market-making, trading and client execution delivers high ROE and recurring intermediation economics. A record GBM quarter evidences scale, client trust, and structural access to flow-driven revenues that support durable earnings through market cycles.
Read all positive factors

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Goldman Sachs is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmericas has reasserted itself as the primary growth engine with a recent sharp pickup alongside a notable Asian surge — evidence that the firm’s record GBM and equities‑financing momentum (management called out record equities and strong financing) is driving geographic concentration of revenues. EMEA is recovering more gradually. This mix matters because the gains are market‑sensitive and tied to higher‑risk financing activity that has lifted RWAs and compressed CET1 despite hefty buybacks; expect outsized earnings upside in good markets but greater capital and volatility exposure if activity cools.
Data provided by:The Fly

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) is a global financial services firm that provides investment banking, securities and market-making services, and asset and wealth management to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Goldman Sachs primarily makes money by earning fees and spreads across four main revenue streams: (1) Investment banking: Goldman earns advisory fees for mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings, and other strategic assignments, and ear...

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operating quarter with broad-based record revenues, record EPS, robust investment banking, equities and FICC performance, significant AWM inflows, record alternatives fundraising, and disciplined capital returns. Management also highlighted strategic positioning to capture a multi-year AI infrastructure cycle and demonstrated capital and stress-test strength. Noted risks include a $102 million PCL on wholesale loans, a decline in the SLR to 4.3% (capacity constraints for balance-sheet-intensive financing), rising transaction-related non-comp expenses, pockets of pressure within alternatives, subdued sponsor volumes, and the potential non-linear nature of the AI cycle. Overall, the positive accomplishments and momentum materially outweigh the manageable and called-out challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Firmwide Financial Results
Net revenues of $20.3 billion (record); diluted earnings per share of $20.98 (record); ROE 23.5% and ROTE 25.5% for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Provision for Credit Losses and Wholesale Impairments
Provision for credit losses of $102 million in the quarter, primarily reflecting impairments related to wholesale loans.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Firmwide Financial Results
Net revenues of $20.3 billion (record); diluted earnings per share of $20.98 (record); ROE 23.5% and ROTE 25.5% for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's near‑term guidance emphasized continued momentum and several numeric expectations: full‑year alternatives fundraising is now expected to exceed $125 billion (Q2 gross $59bn, YTD $85bn; private credit $31bn in Q2), Platform Solutions revenues are expected to be broadly consistent with Q2 ($221m), incentive fees should increase materially for the remainder of the year (Q2 incentive fees $112m), and the full‑year effective tax rate is expected to be ~20% (YTD 18.5%). They reiterated capital priorities to invest in the business, sustainably grow the dividend (quarterly dividend raised to $5, +25% YoY, +150% over five years) and return excess capital via buybacks (Q2 repurchases $4bn), noting a CET1 ratio of 12.9% (150 bps above the 11.4% requirement) and a 3.4% stress capital buffer effective through September 2027. Contextual Q2 metrics underpinning the guidance included net revenues $20.3bn, EPS $20.98, ROE 23.5% / ROTE 25.5%, GBM revenues $15.5bn, equities $7.4bn, FICC $4.6bn, AWM revenues $4.6bn, assets under supervision $4.0tn (wealth client assets ≈$2.0tn), Q2 long‑term net inflows $91bn (34th consecutive quarter), total loans $261bn (up 3% seq), net interest income $4.0bn, provision for credit losses $102m, Q2 operating expenses $11.7bn (YTD $22.1bn) and a YTD efficiency ratio of 58.8% (improved 320 bps); management also noted the investment‑banking backlog is the highest in five years and expressed confidence the franchise "flywheel" will continue.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns improved meaningfully (TTM net income $18.1B, ~16.3% net margin; ROE ~14.6%), but risks are elevated due to declining TTM revenue (~-11.5%), high and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~5.43), and sustained negative operating/free cash flow (TTM OCF about -$39.8B; FCF about -$41.9B).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.77B125.10B126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B
Gross Profit61.53B59.40B52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B
EBITDA24.94B24.03B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B
Net Income18.07B17.18B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06T1.81T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments706.68B624.53B921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B
Total Debt694.19B609.53B616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B
Total Liabilities1.94T1.68T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T
Stockholders Equity122.78B124.97B122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.92B-47.22B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B1.63B
Operating Cash Flow-39.79B-45.15B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B6.30B
Investing Cash Flow-77.79B-44.23B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B
Financing Cash Flow127.57B66.10B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$181.44B19.0720.40%1.16%11.20%48.07%
79
Outperform
$940.11B15.1217.81%1.70%8.17%19.76%
78
Outperform
$33.61B15.0524.51%1.25%7.75%12.12%
76
Outperform
$438.07B14.0511.13%1.80%-2.06%27.92%
76
Outperform
$331.32B16.9218.22%1.86%17.82%40.08%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$302.34B15.5116.96%1.60%2.31%42.87%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
1,018.38
322.81
46.41%
BAC
Bank of America
61.95
17.26
38.63%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
351.79
67.85
23.90%
MS
Morgan Stanley
210.42
74.41
54.71%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
175.98
15.15
9.42%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
105.24
10.91
11.56%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Goldman Sachs Issues New Series AA Preferred Stock
Positive
Jul 27, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. filed a Certificate of Designations in Delaware for its 6.500% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series AA, with a liquidation preference of $25,000 per share. The filing supports an offeri...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Goldman Sachs Plans New Preferred Stock Offering
Neutral
Jul 20, 2026
On July 20, 2026, Goldman Sachs announced a proposed public offering of depositary shares, each representing a 1/25th interest in a new series of Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series AA. The bank plans to use part of the net pro...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs posts strong Q2 earnings and dividend hike
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Goldman Sachs reported second-quarter net revenues of $20.34 billion and net earnings of $6.63 billion, with diluted EPS of $20.98, annualized ROE of 23.5% and book value per share rising to $367.67. The firm also announced an in...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Increases Dividend After Strong Fed Review
Positive
Jun 24, 2026
On June 24, 2026, the Federal Reserve released its 2026 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review results, confirming that Goldman Sachs remains well capitalized to withstand a wide range of economic conditions. In line with unchanged stress capit...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Goldman Sachs Simplifies Capital Structure After Series Redemption
Positive
May 12, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a leading global financial services provider, has further streamlined its capital structure by eliminating a class of preferred equity tied to its Restated Certificate of Incorporation. The move reflects ongoing optimization o...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs Shareholders Back Board, Reject Governance Changes
Neutral
May 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs Group, a global investment banking and financial services firm, held its annual meeting of shareholders on April 29, 2026, where all 13 nominated directors, including Chief Executive Officer David Solomon and President John Waldron, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 28, 2026