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Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
NYSE:GS
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Goldman Sachs Group (GS) AI Stock Analysis

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GS

Goldman Sachs Group

(NYSE:GS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$897.00
â–²(11.25% Upside)
Goldman Sachs' strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic growth in investment banking and asset management further supports a positive outlook. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges, along with moderate valuation metrics, slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Collaboration
This collaboration enhances Goldman Sachs' market reach and product offerings, particularly in retirement and wealth management, which can drive long-term growth and client retention.
Investment Banking Achievements
Strong performance in investment banking, particularly in M&A, highlights Goldman Sachs' competitive edge and ability to capitalize on market opportunities, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Asset and Wealth Management Success
Record levels in asset and wealth management indicate robust client trust and effective management strategies, ensuring steady fee-based income and long-term financial stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, especially in volatile markets, potentially impacting Goldman Sachs' ability to manage economic downturns and maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows may limit Goldman Sachs' ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, posing a risk to long-term operational sustainability.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Ongoing regulatory uncertainty can hinder Goldman Sachs' strategic planning and capital allocation, potentially affecting its competitive positioning and financial performance.

Goldman Sachs Group (GS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoldman Sachs Group, Inc. is a leading global investment banking, securities, and investment management firm headquartered in New York City. Established in 1869, the firm operates in various segments, including Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. Goldman Sachs provides a wide array of services such as mergers and acquisitions advisory, underwriting of securities, trading and market-making activities, and asset management solutions for institutions and individuals.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoldman Sachs generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary sources include Investment Banking fees from advisory services on mergers and acquisitions, underwriting services for equity and debt offerings, and other related activities. In Global Markets, the firm earns trading revenue from buying and selling various securities, derivatives, and other financial instruments on behalf of clients and for its own account. The Asset Management segment contributes fees from managing investments for institutions and individuals, including hedge funds, mutual funds, and private equity. Additionally, the Consumer & Wealth Management division generates revenue through wealth management services and consumer banking products. Significant partnerships and strategic alliances enhance its capabilities and market reach, while a strong reputation and expertise in financial markets attract high-profile clients, contributing to consistent earnings growth.

Goldman Sachs Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Supervision
Assets Under Supervision
Indicates the total value of assets managed or overseen, reflecting Goldman Sachs' scale, client trust, and potential fee income.
Chart InsightsGoldman Sachs' assets under supervision have shown consistent growth, reaching a record $3.3 trillion, driven by strong performance in wealth management and strategic investments in AI. The recent earnings call highlighted robust financial metrics and a 33% dividend increase, indicating confidence in sustained growth. However, challenges such as regulatory uncertainty and geopolitical risks remain. The firm's focus on AI and capital markets activity suggests a strategic pivot to enhance efficiency and capitalize on emerging opportunities, positioning it well for future expansion despite potential headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Goldman Sachs Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant achievements in investment banking, financing, and asset management. However, challenges in the private equity harvesting environment and regulatory uncertainty persist.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Second quarter net revenues of $14.6 billion, earnings per share of $10.91, and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%.
Investment Banking Achievements
Announced M&A volumes are 30% higher year over year and 15% greater than the comparable five-year average. Notable deals include Energy Energy's $12 billion portfolio and Salesforce's $8 billion acquisition of Informatica.
Record Financing Business
Both fixed and equities financing hit revenue records, contributing to a 23% year-over-year increase in total financing revenues.
Asset and Wealth Management Success
Raised $18 billion in alternatives, with wealth management client assets reaching a record $1.7 trillion. Total assets under supervision rose to $3.3 trillion.
Dividend Increase
A 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 a share, marking a 400% increase since 2018.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Harvesting Environment
The environment for harvesting private equity-type portfolio assets remains challenging, impacting the reduction of historical principal investments.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Lack of transparency in regulatory stress testing continues to pose challenges in capital planning and allocation.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. achieved robust financial results, reflecting their strategic focus and market resilience. The firm generated net revenues of $14.6 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) of $10.91 and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%, reaching a 14.8% ROE for the first half of the year. Investment banking activities were particularly strong, with announced M&A volumes up 30% year-over-year and 15% higher than the five-year average. The firm priced 11 IPOs globally, including notable names like Circle and Chime, and saw a fifth consecutive quarter of advisory backlog growth. Their financing businesses hit revenue records, contributing to a 23% increase in total financing revenues year-over-year. In asset and wealth management, client assets reached a record $1.7 trillion, and assets under supervision rose to $3.3 trillion, marking 30 consecutive quarters of long-term fee-based net inflows. The board approved a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 per share, underscoring confidence in the firm's revenue durability and growth strategy.

Goldman Sachs Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goldman Sachs shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a net profit margin of 12.3%. However, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.86 and negative cash flows present risks. The company must address these challenges to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Goldman Sachs has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 26.9% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a gross profit margin of 43.3% and a net profit margin of 12.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.86, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. However, the return on equity is strong at 12.7%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Goldman Sachs faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.09, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash relative to its net income. The significant growth in free cash flow from the previous period is a positive sign.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue126.58B126.85B108.42B68.71B64.99B53.50B
Gross Profit54.79B52.16B45.23B44.65B58.98B41.46B
EBITDA19.37B20.79B15.60B15.94B29.06B14.38B
Net Income15.56B14.28B8.52B11.26B21.64B9.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79T1.68T1.64T1.44T1.46T1.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.72B921.83B924.95B721.95B778.72B588.48B
Total Debt603.19B616.93B583.13B434.55B487.76B420.96B
Total Liabilities1.66T1.55T1.52T1.32T1.35T1.07T
Stockholders Equity124.10B122.00B116.91B117.19B109.93B95.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.88B-15.30B-14.90B4.96B1.63B-24.84B
Operating Cash Flow-22.85B-13.21B-12.59B8.71B6.30B-18.54B
Investing Cash Flow-70.48B-49.62B-17.31B-75.96B-30.46B-34.36B
Financing Cash Flow32.09B7.32B27.80B59.60B134.74B70.38B

Goldman Sachs Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price806.32
Price Trends
50DMA
740.45
Positive
100DMA
684.25
Positive
200DMA
627.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
20.05
Negative
RSI
64.05
Neutral
STOCH
63.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 806.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 770.35, above the 50-day MA of 740.45, and above the 200-day MA of 627.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 20.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GS.

Goldman Sachs Group Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
28.59B33.6817.37%0.76%12.30%20.76%
76
Outperform
256.55B18.2112.81%2.35%6.36%45.50%
76
Outperform
$243.86B17.7412.78%1.61%3.53%45.85%
75
Outperform
34.96B17.2117.40%1.11%9.42%14.86%
70
Outperform
171.41B25.4212.28%1.13%4.64%54.26%
65
Neutral
26.96B23.0522.03%0.35%29.23%13.45%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
792.43
311.11
64.64%
IBKR
Interactive Brokers
65.49
31.62
93.36%
LPLA
LPL Financial
340.48
110.94
48.33%
MS
Morgan Stanley
160.76
61.39
61.78%
RJF
Raymond James Financial
175.81
52.42
42.48%
SCHW
Charles Schwab
93.91
30.68
48.52%

Goldman Sachs Group Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

Goldman Sachs reported its second quarter 2025 earnings with net revenues of $14.58 billion and net earnings of $3.72 billion, reflecting a 15% increase in net revenues compared to the same period in 2024. The firm announced an increase in the quarterly dividend to $4.00 per common share for the third quarter, highlighting strong performance in Global Banking & Markets, particularly in investment banking and equities, despite a slight decline in Asset & Wealth Management revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Buy with a $553.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goldman Sachs Announces 33% Dividend Increase Post-CCAR
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 27, 2025, the Federal Reserve released the results of its 2025 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) stress test process, which indicated that Goldman Sachs’ Stress Capital Buffer (SCB) requirement will be 3.4%, resulting in a Standardized Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio requirement of 10.9%, effective October 1. The firm’s capital plan includes a 33% increase in the common stock dividend from $3.00 to $4.00 per share beginning July 1, 2025, subject to approval by the Board of Directors. This move reflects Goldman Sachs’ efforts to reduce capital intensity and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s intention to implement a more transparent and fair approach to stress tests, supporting the firm’s ability to serve clients, invest in businesses, and support economic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GS) stock is a Hold with a $550.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Goldman Sachs Group stock, see the GS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025