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JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
NYSE:JPM
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JPMorgan Chase (JPM) AI Stock Analysis

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JPM

JPMorgan Chase

(NYSE:JPM)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$331.00
â–²(10.60% Upside)
JPMorgan Chase's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the notes offering, further bolster its market position. However, high leverage and negative cash flows present risks that require monitoring.
Positive Factors
Earnings
JPM delivered a strong, 11% EPS beat vs. consensus and raised NII guidance.
Financial Performance
JPMorgan's core ROTCE is significantly higher than its peers, indicating strong financial performance.
Market Position
The stock valuation is at a 35% P/E discount to S&P and barely a premium to banking peers, highlighting its dominant market positioning and revenue diversity.
Negative Factors
Macro Uncertainties
Caution is advised due to macro uncertainties such as trade tensions and policy shifts, which could increase provisions and non-performing loans.
Market Reaction
A relatively mild market reaction to a strong performance report highlights concerns about the stock's valuation.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation feels rich with the company trading at a high price compared to its tangible book value and implied cost of equity.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JPMorgan Chase Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Corporate & Investment Bank (CIB), Commercial Banking (CB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). The CCB segment offers s deposit, investment and lending products, payments, and services to consumers; lending, deposit, and cash management and payment solutions to small businesses; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit card, auto loan, and leasing services. The CIB segment provides investment banking products and services, including corporate strategy and structure advisory, and equity and debt markets capital-raising services, as well as loan origination and syndication; payments and cross-border financing; and cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, and research. This segment also offers securities services, including custody, fund accounting and administration, and securities lending products for asset managers, insurance companies, and public and private investment funds. The CB segment provides financial solutions, including lending, payments, investment banking, and asset management to small business, large and midsized companies, local governments, and nonprofit clients; and commercial real estate banking services to investors, developers, and owners of multifamily, office, retail, industrial, and affordable housing properties. The AWM segment offers multi-asset investment management solutions in equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds to institutional clients and retail investors; and retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, trusts and estates, loans, mortgages, deposits, and investment management products. The company also provides ATM, online and mobile, and telephone banking services. JPMorgan Chase & Co. was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyJPMorgan Chase generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income, fees, and investment returns. The Consumer & Community Banking segment earns money by offering savings and checking accounts, mortgages, auto loans, and credit cards, which generate interest income as well as fees from transactions and account maintenance. The Corporate & Investment Bank segment earns significant revenue through advisory and underwriting fees from mergers and acquisitions, capital market activities, and trading and investment management services. The Commercial Banking division derives revenue from lending services to mid-sized companies and other businesses, while the Asset & Wealth Management segment generates fees from managing client portfolios and providing investment advice. Additionally, JPMorgan Chase benefits from strategic partnerships and technology investments that enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall profitability.

JPMorgan Chase Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Reflects the total market value of assets managed on behalf of clients, indicating the scale and influence of the firm's investment management operations.
Chart InsightsJPMorgan Chase's Assets Under Management have shown a robust upward trajectory, nearly doubling from late 2019 to mid-2025. This growth is supported by strong performance in asset and wealth management, with a reported 10% revenue increase year-on-year and significant long-term net inflows. Despite challenges like revenue decline and increased expenses, the firm's AWM success and strategic focus on investment banking and card services suggest resilience and potential for continued growth in AUM.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

JPMorgan Chase Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong net income, ROTCE, and revenue growth in key segments like CIB and Asset & Wealth Management. However, challenges included an overall revenue decline, increased credit costs, and a decrease in the CET1 ratio. Despite the mixed results, the positive aspects outweighed the negative, indicating a generally positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income and ROTCE
JPMorgan Chase reported a net income of $15 billion and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 21% for Q2 2025.
CIB Revenue Growth
The Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB) reported a net income of $6.7 billion on revenue of $19.5 billion, up 9% year-on-year, with strong performance in advisory and debt underwriting fees.
Asset & Wealth Management Success
Asset & Wealth Management reported net income of $1.5 billion, with a pretax margin of 34% and revenue growth of 10% year-on-year driven by management fees and net inflows.
Continued Growth in Card Services & Auto
Card Services & Auto revenue was up 15% year-on-year, driven by higher revolving balances and auto lease income.
Markets Revenue Increase
Markets revenue was up 15% year-on-year, with strong performance in fixed income and equities.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue was $45.7 billion, down $5.3 billion or 10% year-on-year, driven by lower non-interest revenue.
Home Lending Revenue Decrease
Home Lending revenue was down 5% year-on-year, primarily due to lower net interest income.
Increased Credit Costs
Credit costs were $2.8 billion, with net charge-offs of $2.4 billion and a net reserve build of $439 million.
CET1 Ratio Decline
CET1 ratio decreased by 40 basis points to 15% due to capital distributions and higher risk-weighted assets.
Company Guidance
During the JPMorgan Chase Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided indicating expectations for NII ex Markets to be approximately $92 billion, driven by changes in the forward curve and strong deposit growth in Payments and Security Services, alongside balanced growth in Card. The total NII guidance is set at about $95.5 billion, suggesting $3.5 billion from Markets NII. Adjusted expenses are anticipated to be around $95.5 billion, primarily due to the impact of a weaker dollar, which is expected to be largely bottom-line neutral. Additionally, the Card net charge-off rate is projected to remain roughly at 3.6%. Despite dynamic environmental challenges, the firm remains committed to navigating uncertainties effectively.

JPMorgan Chase Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JPMorgan Chase showcases strong revenue and profitability growth, maintaining healthy margins. However, high leverage and negative cash flows suggest potential financial risks. The company's strong equity and returns provide a buffer, but cash flow management requires attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
JPMorgan Chase has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $153.8B in 2022 to $273.4B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. Gross profit margins remain healthy at 58.8% for TTM 2025, indicating effective cost control. Net profit margin also showcases robust performance at 21.8% for TTM 2025. The firm's EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate strong operational profitability. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 2.86 in TTM 2025, indicating a higher leverage which could pose risks. However, the equity ratio is stable at 8.1%, reflecting a solid capital structure. Return on equity is impressive at 17.0% for TTM 2025, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The balance sheet shows strength in equity but highlights potential risks with high leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The operating cash flow has turned negative to -$139.7B in TTM 2025, raising concerns about cash generation from operations. Free cash flow is also negative, indicating challenges in liquidity management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting issues in converting profits to cash. Cash flow management needs improvement, although financing activities are robust.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue270.79B236.27B153.82B127.24B129.84B
Gross Profit158.78B145.67B121.39B130.91B102.47B
EBITDA83.02B69.12B53.22B67.49B44.43B
Net Income58.47B49.55B37.68B48.33B29.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.00T3.88T3.67T3.74T3.38T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments866.01B816.64B763.93B1.03T883.56B
Total Debt751.15B653.07B542.50B548.94B542.10B
Total Liabilities3.66T3.55T3.37T3.45T3.11T
Stockholders Equity344.76B327.88B292.33B294.13B279.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.01B12.97B107.12B78.08B-79.91B
Operating Cash Flow-42.01B12.97B107.12B78.08B-79.91B
Investing Cash Flow-163.40B67.64B-137.82B-129.34B-261.91B
Financing Cash Flow63.45B-25.57B-126.26B275.99B596.64B

JPMorgan Chase Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price299.28
Price Trends
50DMA
289.73
Positive
100DMA
270.02
Positive
200DMA
258.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.11
Negative
RSI
61.63
Neutral
STOCH
87.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 299.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 292.54, above the 50-day MA of 289.73, and above the 200-day MA of 258.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JPM.

JPMorgan Chase Risk Analysis

JPMorgan Chase disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JPMorgan Chase reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JPMorgan Chase Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$224.58B12.9310.69%5.08%-2.96%-13.66%
79
Outperform
$372.20B14.499.46%2.06%4.95%20.49%
77
Outperform
$820.99B15.1316.13%1.77%4.00%8.73%
77
Outperform
$261.11B13.7511.51%2.00%0.37%19.89%
76
Outperform
$174.07B14.409.43%2.26%0.82%28.48%
73
Outperform
$176.21B14.056.64%2.35%0.52%89.25%
68
Neutral
$17.84B12.0310.32%3.73%9.70%0.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
299.28
81.95
37.71%
BAC
Bank of America
50.38
11.17
28.49%
C
Citigroup
96.87
36.83
61.34%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
64.60
22.95
55.10%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
15.28
5.09
49.95%
WFC
Wells Fargo
82.50
26.40
47.06%

JPMorgan Chase Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
JPMorgan Chase Completes $4 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. successfully completed a public offering of $4 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due in 2036. This financial move, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, signifies a strategic effort to bolster the company’s financial standing and potentially enhance its market position, impacting stakeholders by providing additional capital for future growth and operational flexibility.

Financial Disclosures
JPMorgan Chase Q2 2025 Earnings Presentation Held
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. held an investor presentation to review its second quarter earnings for 2025. The presentation included slides that were made available on the firm’s website, but the information is not considered filed for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The report also contained forward-looking statements, highlighting potential risks and uncertainties that could affect actual results, as outlined in the firm’s previous filings with the SEC.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
JPMorgan Chase Announces Preliminary Stress Capital Buffer
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. released a statement regarding its preliminary Stress Capital Buffer requirement. This announcement is significant as it impacts the firm’s regulatory capital requirements and could influence its financial strategies and stakeholder relations.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
JPMorgan Chase Releases 2025 Dodd-Frank Stress Test Results
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, JPMorgan Chase released the results of its 2025 Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test, which were conducted for both the firm and its national banking association. The results, which are not deemed filed for certain regulatory purposes, provide insights into the firm’s financial resilience and compliance with regulatory requirements, impacting its operations and industry positioning.

Shareholder Meetings
JPMorgan Chase Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, JPMorgan Chase held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where 85.21% of total shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected 12 director nominees, all receiving at least 92.98% of the votes cast. Additionally, shareholders approved the advisory resolution on executive compensation and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025. However, proposals for an independent board chairman and a report on the social impacts of transition finance were not approved.

Business Operations and Strategy
JPMorgan Chase Holds Investor Day Presentation
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. held an Investor Day presentation to provide investors with insights into the firm’s various lines of business. The presentation included forward-looking statements, which are based on current management beliefs and expectations but are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These statements are not incorporated into the firm’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933, and actual results may differ from those projected.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025