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JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
NYSE:JPM

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) AI Stock Analysis

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JPM

JPMorgan Chase

(NYSE:JPM)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$346.00
â–²(9.08% Upside)
JPMorgan Chase's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, challenges in cash flow management and potential risks from increased credit costs and high debt levels temper the outlook. Technical indicators suggest moderate bullish momentum, but valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly priced.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates a robust business model and effective market strategies, supporting long-term financial health and competitiveness.
Asset and Wealth Management Performance
Record performance in asset management reflects strong client trust and effective management, contributing to sustained profitability and market leadership.
Strategic Initiative in Security & Resiliency
The initiative positions JPMorgan to capitalize on growing sectors, enhancing its market position and long-term growth prospects in strategic industries.
Negative Factors
Increased Credit Costs
Rising credit costs can pressure margins and profitability, indicating potential risk management challenges that may affect future earnings stability.
Decline in CET1 Ratio
A declining CET1 ratio suggests reduced capital adequacy, potentially limiting the bank's ability to absorb losses and impacting financial resilience.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory fines highlight compliance issues, which can lead to reputational damage and increased scrutiny, affecting operational efficiency and market trust.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JPMorgan Chase Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Corporate & Investment Bank (CIB), Commercial Banking (CB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). The CCB segment offers s deposit, investment and lending products, payments, and services to consumers; lending, deposit, and cash management and payment solutions to small businesses; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit card, auto loan, and leasing services. The CIB segment provides investment banking products and services, including corporate strategy and structure advisory, and equity and debt markets capital-raising services, as well as loan origination and syndication; payments and cross-border financing; and cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, and research. This segment also offers securities services, including custody, fund accounting and administration, and securities lending products for asset managers, insurance companies, and public and private investment funds. The CB segment provides financial solutions, including lending, payments, investment banking, and asset management to small business, large and midsized companies, local governments, and nonprofit clients; and commercial real estate banking services to investors, developers, and owners of multifamily, office, retail, industrial, and affordable housing properties. The AWM segment offers multi-asset investment management solutions in equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds to institutional clients and retail investors; and retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, trusts and estates, loans, mortgages, deposits, and investment management products. The company also provides ATM, online and mobile, and telephone banking services. JPMorgan Chase & Co. was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyJPMorgan Chase generates revenue through several key streams. The bulk of its income comes from net interest income, which arises from the interest earned on loans and securities minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Additionally, the company earns substantial fees from its investment banking activities, including advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, underwriting of securities, and market-making activities. The Asset & Wealth Management segment contributes through management fees and performance-based fees from investment products. Furthermore, the Commercial Banking division generates revenue through lending, treasury services, and other financial products targeted at mid-sized businesses. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with technology firms for fintech solutions, also enhance its service offerings and revenue potential, while a strong global presence allows it to capitalize on international markets.

JPMorgan Chase Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Reflects the total market value of assets managed on behalf of clients, indicating the scale and influence of the firm's investment management operations.
Chart InsightsJPMorgan Chase's Assets Under Management have shown a robust upward trajectory, nearly doubling from late 2019 to mid-2025. This growth is supported by strong performance in asset and wealth management, with a reported 10% revenue increase year-on-year and significant long-term net inflows. Despite challenges like revenue decline and increased expenses, the firm's AWM success and strategic focus on investment banking and card services suggest resilience and potential for continued growth in AUM.
Data provided by:The Fly

JPMorgan Chase Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance across most segments, with significant revenue growth and resilient consumer behavior. However, challenges such as increased credit costs due to fraud and a decrease in the CET1 ratio present potential risks. The overall outlook remains optimistic but cautious regarding specific headwinds in deposits and credit costs.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Financial Performance
JPMorgan Chase reported a net income of $14.4 billion with an EPS of $5.07 and an ROTCE of 20%. Revenue increased by 9% year on year to $47.1 billion, driven by higher markets revenue and fees across asset management, investment banking, and payment.
Record Asset and Wealth Management Performance
Asset and Wealth Management reported a net income of $1.7 billion, with a pretax margin of 36% and record revenue of $6.1 billion, up 12% year on year. AUM reached $4.6 trillion, up 18%, and client assets of $6.8 trillion, up 20% year on year.
Commercial Banking Success
The CIB reported net income of $6.9 billion, with revenue up 17% year on year to $19.9 billion. This was driven by higher revenues across markets, payments, investment banking, and securities.
Consumer and Community Banking Resilience
CCB reported net income of $5 billion, with revenue of $19.5 billion up 9% year on year. Consumers and small businesses remain resilient, with stable credit metrics and slightly better than expected early-stage delinquencies.
Negative Updates
Increased Credit Costs and Charge-offs
Credit costs were $3.4 billion with net charge-offs of $2.6 billion. In wholesale, charge-offs were elevated due to instances of fraud in secured lending facilities.
Decline in CET1 Ratio
The CET1 ratio decreased by 30 basis points to 14.8% compared to the previous quarter, primarily due to increased wholesale lending.
Potential Headwinds for Deposit Growth
Retail deposit growth expectations have been adjusted due to lower personal savings rates and higher yield-seeking flows, pushing the growth inflection point slightly.
Company Guidance
During JPMorgan Chase's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, CFO Jeremy Barnum provided guidance for the upcoming quarters, highlighting several key metrics. The firm anticipates fourth-quarter net interest income (NII) excluding markets to be approximately $23.5 billion, with total NII around $25 billion. Full-year adjusted expenses are projected to reach $95.9 billion, driven by a robust revenue environment. For 2025, the card net charge-off rate is expected to be about 3.3%, influenced by favorable delinquency trends. Looking ahead to 2026, the preliminary central case for NII excluding markets is approximately $95 billion, although this is subject to the completion of the annual budget cycle and market conditions. Barnum noted that while the consensus for 2026 expenses and NII might appear low, further detailed guidance will be provided during the fourth-quarter earnings release.

JPMorgan Chase Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JPMorgan Chase exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by robust margins and effective equity utilization. However, challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating and free cash flows, and high total debt pose potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
JPMorgan Chase demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.81%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 60.21% and a net profit margin of 20.89% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 26.21% and 29.10%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity is strong at 16.42%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the high total debt remains a potential risk factor.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
JPMorgan Chase's cash flow statement reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, indicating cash flow management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains at 1.0, indicating some level of cash flow stability relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue277.73B270.79B236.27B153.82B127.24B129.84B
Gross Profit167.19B158.78B145.67B121.39B130.91B102.47B
EBITDA81.02B83.02B69.12B53.22B67.49B44.43B
Net Income58.03B58.47B49.55B37.68B48.33B29.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.56T4.00T3.88T3.67T3.74T3.38T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments729.25B866.01B816.64B763.93B1.03T883.56B
Total Debt496.56B751.15B653.07B542.50B548.94B542.10B
Total Liabilities4.20T3.66T3.55T3.37T3.45T3.11T
Stockholders Equity360.21B344.76B327.88B292.33B294.13B279.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.75B-42.01B12.97B107.12B78.08B-79.91B
Operating Cash Flow-119.75B-42.01B12.97B107.12B78.08B-79.91B
Investing Cash Flow-294.83B-163.40B67.64B-137.82B-129.34B-261.91B
Financing Cash Flow277.38B63.45B-25.57B-126.26B275.99B596.64B

JPMorgan Chase Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price317.21
Price Trends
50DMA
307.69
Positive
100DMA
303.84
Positive
200DMA
280.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.53
Negative
RSI
56.05
Neutral
STOCH
67.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 317.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 311.12, above the 50-day MA of 307.69, and above the 200-day MA of 280.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JPM.

JPMorgan Chase Risk Analysis

JPMorgan Chase disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JPMorgan Chase reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JPMorgan Chase Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$291.97B15.3211.56%1.83%-4.37%26.41%
76
Outperform
$281.28B18.1715.15%2.18%7.22%48.18%
73
Outperform
$267.98B18.1513.57%1.57%2.31%44.49%
72
Outperform
$863.53B15.7116.35%1.79%1.89%12.32%
72
Outperform
$403.61B15.069.87%1.95%0.15%33.84%
68
Neutral
$205.52B16.156.88%2.02%-0.62%105.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
317.21
83.76
35.88%
BAC
Bank of America
55.27
12.37
28.83%
C
Citigroup
114.86
46.97
69.19%
MS
Morgan Stanley
176.98
55.92
46.19%
WFC
Wells Fargo
93.01
23.97
34.72%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
893.48
334.12
59.73%

JPMorgan Chase Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
JPMorgan Chase Board Member Todd Combs Resigns
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 7, 2025, Todd A. Combs announced his resignation from the Board of Directors of JPMorgan Chase & Co., effective immediately. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, indicating a smooth transition and continuity in the board’s operations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
JPMorgan Chase Closes $5 Billion Note Offerings
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. successfully closed public offerings of $2 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Notes due 2031 and $3 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Notes due 2036. These offerings, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, signify a strategic financial maneuver to potentially enhance liquidity and financial flexibility, impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Financial Disclosures
JPMorgan Chase Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation Held
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. held an investor presentation to review its third-quarter earnings for 2025. The presentation included slides that were made available on the firm’s website. The information shared in the presentation is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the firm has issued a disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements, noting that actual results may differ due to various risks and uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025