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Bank of America (BAC)
NYSE:BAC

Bank of America (BAC) AI Stock Analysis

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BAC

Bank of America

(NYSE:BAC)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
â–²(12.19% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by solid profitability and ROE but weighed down by weak cash flow conversion, negative TTM revenue growth, and high leverage. The latest earnings call was a meaningful positive (NII and operating leverage guidance, stable credit, strong capital returns), while technicals are mixed with weaker near-term trend but supportive longer-term averages. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and ~2% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified Business Model & Scale
Bank of America’s broad franchise across consumer, corporate, markets and wealth provides durable revenue diversification and cross-sell opportunities. Scale lowers per-unit costs, supports product bundling, and cushions earnings across cycles, strengthening long-term resilience.
Strong Profitability and Efficiency
Sustained net margins and mid-to-high single digit ROE, combined with repeated operating leverage gains, indicate disciplined expense management and scalable revenue growth. This supports durable earnings power and the ability to invest while returning capital to shareholders.
Robust Loan Growth and NII Outlook
Consistent loan growth across consumer and commercial categories, plus explicit NII guidance, suggests a sustainable net interest income runway. Loan expansion and asset repricing support recurring core earnings and long-term net interest margin stability.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
A steep decline in free cash flow growth and very low conversion of reported income to operating cash signals potential stress in cash generation. Over time this can constrain investment, dividend sustainability, and flexibility to absorb shocks or pursue strategic opportunities.
High Leverage & CET1 Pressure
Elevated leverage combined with a CET1 ratio trimmed by accounting reclassification tightens capital management. Persistent capital pressure can force more conservative lending, slower buybacks, or higher capital buffers, affecting growth and shareholder returns over months.
Deposit Mix & Rate Sensitivity
Modest deposit growth and balance migration to cash alternatives weaken low-cost funding. Combined with meaningful NII sensitivity to rate cuts, this increases earnings volatility under changing rate scenarios and complicates long-term net interest income planning.

Bank of America (BAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank of America Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBank of America Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services for individual consumers, small and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and governments worldwide. Its Consumer Banking segment offers traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit and IRAs, noninterest-and interest-bearing checking accounts, and investment accounts and products; and credit and debit cards, residential mortgages, and home equity loans, as well as direct and indirect loans, such as automotive, recreational vehicle, and consumer personal loans. The company's Global Wealth & Investment Management segment offers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement products and services; and wealth management solutions, as well as customized solutions, including specialty asset management services. Its Global Banking segment provides lending products and services, including commercial loans, leases, commitment facilities, trade finance, and commercial real estate and asset-based lending; treasury solutions, such as treasury management, foreign exchange, and short-term investing options and merchant services; working capital management solutions; and debt and equity underwriting and distribution, and merger-related and other advisory services. The company's Global Markets segment offers market-making, financing, securities clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as risk management products using interest rate, equity, credit, currency and commodity derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed-income, and mortgage-related products. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 67 million consumer and small business clients with approximately 4,200 retail financial centers; approximately 16,000 ATMs; and digital banking platforms with approximately 41 million active users. The company was founded in 1784 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBank of America generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is net interest income, which comes from the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. Additionally, the bank earns significant income from non-interest sources, including fees for account services, asset management, investment banking, and trading activities. The bank also generates revenue through its wealth management division, which offers investment advice and financial planning services. Partnerships with financial technology firms enhance its digital offerings, while collaborations with other financial institutions and corporate clients contribute to its investment banking revenues. Overall, the diverse range of services provided allows Bank of America to capitalize on multiple revenue opportunities across different market segments.

Bank of America Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Consumer Checking Accounts
Consumer Checking Accounts
Tracks the number of consumer checking accounts, reflecting customer base size and engagement, which are critical for cross-selling opportunities.
Chart InsightsBank of America's Consumer Checking Accounts have shown consistent growth, reflecting strong consumer banking performance. The latest earnings call highlights a strategic focus on organic growth and technology innovation, contributing to this upward trend. The addition of 5 million new accounts over six years underscores the bank's successful customer acquisition strategy. Despite challenges in commercial real estate, the bank's robust deposit growth and record net interest income signal a positive outlook for continued expansion in consumer banking.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bank of America Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 14, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broad set of positive operational and financial results — strong revenue and NII growth, robust loan growth, improving asset quality, record Global Markets performance, meaningful operating leverage and substantial shareholder returns. Notable near-term challenges include a modest deposit growth backdrop, the capital impact of an accounting change, ongoing expense and investment needs, rate-sensitivity risks, and regulatory uncertainties (including potential policy actions affecting card yields). On balance, the positive results, forward guidance (NII 5%–7% and continued operating leverage), and momentum across wealth, markets and lending significantly outweigh the disclosed challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly and Annual Profitability
Q4 net income of $7.6 billion, up 12% year-over-year; Q4 EPS $0.98, up 18% year-over-year. Full-year net income grew 13% and EPS grew 19% to $3.81.
Revenue and NII Growth
Q4 revenue up 7% year-over-year; full-year revenue around $113 billion, up 7%. Net interest income (FTE) of $15.9 billion, up 10% year-over-year.
Loan and Deposit Expansion
Average loans grew 8% year-over-year (Q4 loans $1.17 trillion, +$90 billion YoY); average deposits grew ~3% year-over-year. Loans outpaced industry growth and each loan category (card, mortgage, auto, home equity) increased YoY.
Operating Leverage and Expense Discipline
Generated ~330 basis points of operating leverage in Q4 and ~250 basis points for the full year driven by revenue growth and disciplined expense management; Q4 noninterest expense $17.4 billion, up <4% YoY.
Capital Returns and Shareholder Metrics
Returned >$30 billion to shareholders for the year (41% more vs prior year); Q4 capital returned $8.4 billion (dividends $2.1B, share repurchases $6.3B). Tangible book value per share $28.73, up 9% YoY; diluted shares reduced ~300 million (~4%).
Strong Wealth & Asset Flows
Global Wealth & Investment Management revenue $25 billion (up 9% YoY) and net income nearly $4.7 billion (up 10% YoY). Client balances grew ~$500 billion to $4.8 trillion; AUM flows and total flows were strong (AUM flows ~$82B; other flows contributed to combined firm flows cited at ~$115B).
Record Global Markets Performance
Global Markets delivered a record year: revenue $24 billion (up 10% YoY) and earnings $6.1 billion (up 8% YoY); Sales & Trading revenue (ex-DVA) up 10% YoY with equities trading up ~23% driven by Asia activity.
Improving Asset Quality
Net charge-offs $1.3 billion in Q4; total net charge-off ratio 44 basis points, down 10 basis points YoY. Provision expense of $1.3 billion largely matched charge-offs.
Digital & AI Progress and Productivity
Continued digital adoption (e.g., Erica, Zelle) and AI deployment; technology initiatives expanding (noted run-rate spend increases and initiatives). Reported internal productivity gains (example: ~30% reduction in coding time equivalent to ~2,000 FTEs saved) and several hundred million dollars of AI-related investment.
Forward NII & Operating Leverage Guidance
Management reiterated guidance of 5%–7% NII growth for 2026 (based on the implied curve with two rate cuts), and expects ~200 basis points of operating leverage in 2026; Q1 NII expected to grow roughly 7% YoY (with caveats).
Negative Updates
Accounting Change Impact on Regulatory Capital
Adopted a change in accounting for tax-related equity investments and recast prior periods; this produced an approximate $2.1 billion reduction in CET1 capital (roughly 12 basis points) and contributed to a CET1 ratio decline from 11.6% to 11.4%.
Modest Deposit Growth and Mix Headwinds
Average deposits grew only ~3% YoY and consumer deposit growth was described as modest/sluggish in parts of the call; management noted some migration of balances to off-balance-sheet cash alternatives (e.g., money funds), which has impacted deposit mix and pricing dynamics.
Expense Headwinds and Near-Term Expense Growth
Noninterest expense increased due to revenue-related incentives, higher brokerage/clearing/exchange costs, and technology investments. Q1 2026 expense expected to be ~4% above Q1 2025 (seasonal payroll taxes and absence of a Q4 FDIC benefit noted).
Capital & Regulatory Uncertainty
Final regulatory rule details (e.g., leverage/regulatory capital rules starting in 2026) remain pending; management flagged ongoing uncertainty around optimal CET1 pacing and how to best manage ratios while returning capital to shareholders.
Interest Rate Sensitivity Risk
Management disclosed rate sensitivity: an instantaneous 100 bps decline (from curve-implied levels) would reduce NII growth over the next 12 months by approximately $2.0 billion; a 100 bps increase would add ~ $0.7 billion—highlighting downside vulnerability to faster-than-anticipated cuts.
Policy / Regulatory Risk to Card Business
Potential policy actions (e.g., proposed caps on credit card yields) remain a risk; management warned caps could restrict credit availability and have unintended consequences for consumers and card balances.
One-time Shifts and Revenue Mix Effects
There was an observed ~ $100 million shift of Global Markets activity into NII vs fees this quarter (a geographic/booking effect expected to reverse), indicating some quarter-to-quarter noise in revenue composition.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 NII growth of 5%–7% (Investor Day range) and said Q1 NII should be roughly +7% y/y (using Q4 as a base after a ~$100m markets shift and two fewer interest days), noting a 100 bps instantaneous rate cut would reduce 12‑month NII growth by about $2.0bn while a 100 bps rise would add ≈$700m; they expect $12–15bn of MBS/mortgage assets to roll off quarterly and be replaced at ~150–200 bps higher. On costs, Q1 expense is expected to be ~4% above Q1 ’25 and the firm targets roughly 200 bps of operating leverage for 2026 (vs. a 200–300 bps medium‑term range), after delivering 330 bps in Q4 and 250 bps for FY25. Credit guidance assumes continued stability (Q4 net charge‑offs $1.3bn; NCO ratio 44 bps, down 10 bps y/y; provision $1.3bn). Capital/other metrics: CET1 11.4% (vs 11.6% prior), supplemental leverage ratio 5.7% (vs minimums 5% and 3.75% under new rule), TLAC $467bn, tangible book $28.73 (+9% y/y), diluted shares down ~300m (−4%), Q4 capital returned $8.4bn ($2.1bn dividend, $6.3bn buybacks) and >$30bn for FY25 (41% higher), effective tax rate ≈20% for 2026, loans averaged $1.17tn (+8% y/y) with embedded mid‑single‑digit loan growth, and average deposits were +3% y/y with rate paid on deposits ~163 bps (consumer deposits ≈55 bps).

Bank of America Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid (TTM net margin 15.70%, EBIT margin 17.14%) and ROE is healthy (9.92%), but revenue growth is slightly negative (TTM -0.34%), leverage is high (debt-to-equity 2.33), and cash generation is a key weak spot with sharply negative free cash flow growth (TTM -371.06%) and a very low operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.024).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Bank of America shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -0.34%. However, the company maintains a solid net profit margin of 15.70% and an EBIT margin of 17.14%, reflecting stable profitability. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, indicating efficient cost management. Despite the recent revenue decline, the company has managed to sustain profitability, which is a positive sign.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Bank of America reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity remains strong at 9.92%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 8.94%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. While the high leverage poses a risk, the company's ability to maintain a solid ROE is commendable.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights challenges in cash generation, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -371.06% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.024, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains at 1.0, suggesting that the company is able to cover its net income with free cash flow. The cash flow position needs improvement to ensure long-term financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.84B192.43B171.91B115.05B93.85B93.75B
Gross Profit101.44B96.07B94.19B92.41B93.71B74.21B
EBITDA34.66B31.44B30.40B32.95B35.87B20.84B
Net Income29.65B27.13B26.52B27.53B31.98B17.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.40T3.26T3.18T3.05T3.17T2.82T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments957.70B642.92B608.07B458.25B654.54B621.50B
Total Debt707.77B658.43B618.19B498.55B496.20B452.58B
Total Liabilities3.10T2.97T2.89T2.78T2.90T2.55T
Stockholders Equity304.15B295.56B291.65B273.20B270.07B272.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.47B-8.80B44.98B-6.33B-7.19B37.99B
Operating Cash Flow61.47B-8.80B44.98B-6.33B-7.19B37.99B
Investing Cash Flow-134.57B-90.69B-35.39B-2.53B-313.29B-177.66B
Financing Cash Flow151.02B60.37B93.34B-106.04B291.65B355.82B

Bank of America Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price52.59
Price Trends
50DMA
53.97
Negative
100DMA
52.38
Positive
200DMA
47.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
36.79
Neutral
STOCH
12.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 52.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.33, below the 50-day MA of 53.97, and above the 200-day MA of 47.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BAC.

Bank of America Risk Analysis

Bank of America disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank of America reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bank of America Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$278.79B17.268.66%4.14%-9.54%-22.46%
77
Outperform
$279.73B18.1713.57%1.55%2.31%44.49%
75
Outperform
$838.10B15.3816.06%1.79%1.89%12.32%
73
Outperform
$280.16B14.2611.85%1.80%-4.37%26.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$383.23B13.7710.23%1.93%0.15%33.84%
60
Neutral
$201.13B16.086.72%1.94%-0.62%105.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAC
Bank of America
52.59
7.01
15.38%
C
Citigroup
117.46
41.07
53.76%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
82.83
34.68
72.04%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
309.26
60.10
24.12%
WFC
Wells Fargo
88.96
14.63
19.68%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
975.86
375.13
62.45%

Bank of America Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bank of America posts strong Q4 2025 earnings growth
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Bank of America reported that its fourth-quarter 2025 net income rose to $7.6 billion, with earnings per share up 18% year-on-year to $0.98, on revenue of $28.4 billion driven by higher net interest income, asset management fees and sales and trading revenue. Full-year 2025 net income reached $30.5 billion, with EPS up 19% from 2024, supported by 10 consecutive quarters of deposit growth to an average $2.01 trillion, 8% loan growth across all business segments, and improved efficiency, while the bank returned $8.4 billion to shareholders in the quarter and maintained a CET1 capital ratio of 11.4%, underscoring strong balance sheet resilience and sustained operating momentum across consumer, wealth, corporate banking and markets franchises.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAC) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of America stock, see the BAC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bank of America Updates Accounting for Tax Equity Investments
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

Bank of America has retrospectively changed its accounting methods for tax-related equity investments in affordable housing and wind and solar renewable energy, moving affordable housing and eligible wind investments from the equity method to the proportional amortization method and spreading solar investment tax credits and related costs over the productive life of the facilities rather than recognizing them upfront. The revisions primarily reclassify amounts between noninterest income and income tax expense with an insignificant impact on annual net income, but they reduced retained earnings by $1.7 billion and would have lowered common equity tier 1 capital by an estimated $2.1 billion, equating to a 13-basis-point hit to the CET1 ratio as of September 30, 2025, and raised the third-quarter 2025 effective tax rate to about 20%, offering investors a presentation that better aligns reported results with the economic profile of these investments without requiring restatement of regulatory capital ratios.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAC) stock is a Buy with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of America stock, see the BAC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Bank of America Appoints New Executive Officers
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Bank of America Corporation’s Board of Directors designated certain management members as executive officers, including Brian T. Moynihan as Chair and CEO. The appointments of Dean C. Athanasia and James P. DeMare as Co-Presidents were announced on September 12, 2025, with their roles effective December 31, 2025. Consequently, several members will no longer be executive officers, impacting the corporation’s management structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAC) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of America stock, see the BAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026