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Bank of America (BAC)
NYSE:BAC

Bank of America (BAC) AI Stock Analysis

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Bank of America

(NYSE:BAC)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
Bank of America's stock reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, balanced with technical analysis showing some bearish indicators. The valuation is attractive, providing a modest growth outlook with income potential. Key strengths include robust earnings growth and solid strategic positioning, while challenges involve managing financial leverage and cash flow volatility.
Positive Factors
Asset Quality
Strong asset quality is evident, as Bank of America has consistently outperformed peers in the annual Fed stress test for the past five years, showing the lowest potential loan losses in a severe downturn.
Financial Performance
Bank of America's strength in traditional banking is supported by superior loan, deposit, and checking account growth, along with effective expense management.
Revenue Growth
Investment and brokerage fees surge, contributing to an 11% rise in earnings.
Negative Factors
Competition
Organic growth faces challenges due to increased competition in traditional banking and lagging share growth in capital markets and wealth.
Interest Margin
Bank of America is underearning, as indicated by a depressed Net Interest Margin compared to base and Blue Sky scenarios.
Macroeconomic Risks
Recessionary risks include potential impacts from higher than expected inflation and Fed rate cuts, which may lead to slower loan growth and higher delinquencies.

Bank of America (BAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank of America Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBank of America Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services for individual consumers, small and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and governments worldwide. Its Consumer Banking segment offers traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit and IRAs, noninterest-and interest-bearing checking accounts, and investment accounts and products; and credit and debit cards, residential mortgages, and home equity loans, as well as direct and indirect loans, such as automotive, recreational vehicle, and consumer personal loans. The company's Global Wealth & Investment Management segment offers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement products and services; and wealth management solutions, as well as customized solutions, including specialty asset management services. Its Global Banking segment provides lending products and services, including commercial loans, leases, commitment facilities, trade finance, and commercial real estate and asset-based lending; treasury solutions, such as treasury management, foreign exchange, and short-term investing options and merchant services; working capital management solutions; and debt and equity underwriting and distribution, and merger-related and other advisory services. The company's Global Markets segment offers market-making, financing, securities clearing, settlement, and custody services, as well as risk management products using interest rate, equity, credit, currency and commodity derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed-income, and mortgage-related products. As of December 31, 2021, it served approximately 67 million consumer and small business clients with approximately 4,200 retail financial centers; approximately 16,000 ATMs; and digital banking platforms with approximately 41 million active users. The company was founded in 1784 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBank of America generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary sources include net interest income, which arises from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits, and non-interest income, which includes fees and commissions from banking services, wealth management, and investment banking. The company also benefits from trading activities and investment management fees. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with various financial and technology firms further enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Bank of America Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Consumer Checking Accounts
Consumer Checking Accounts
Tracks the number of consumer checking accounts, reflecting customer base size and engagement, which are critical for cross-selling opportunities.
Chart InsightsConsumer checking accounts at Bank of America have shown consistent growth, increasing steadily each quarter. This trend aligns with the bank's broader financial performance, as highlighted in the latest earnings call, which reported record deposit growth and strong digital engagement. The bank's ability to attract and retain consumers is crucial, especially amid concerns about higher expenses and regulatory challenges. Continued growth in checking accounts reflects consumer confidence and engagement, which is vital as the bank navigates potential economic shifts and lower GDP growth expectations for 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Bank of America Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Bank of America reported a strong first quarter in 2025 with significant growth in net income, deposits, and digital engagement. Wealth management and sales trading segments showed robust performance. However, concerns about lower GDP growth forecasts, increased expenses, and the regulatory environment posed potential challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q1 2025
Bank of America reported $7.4 billion in net income, with a year-over-year growth of 11%, and $0.90 in EPS, marking an 18% increase. Revenue grew by 6% year-over-year, reaching $27.5 billion.
Record Deposit Growth
Deposits grew for the seventh consecutive quarter, now totaling nearly $2 trillion, with an 8% increase from the mid-2023 low point.
Continued Success in Wealth Management
Wealth Management added 7,200 net new households, with net AUM flows of $24 billion in Q1 2025, and asset management fees growing 15% year-over-year.
Digital Engagement Expansion
Bank of America reported over 14 billion logins in 2024, with digital sales reaching 65% of total consumer product sales.
Robust Sales and Trading Performance
Sales and trading revenue grew 9% year-over-year, achieving a 16% return on allocated capital.
Negative Updates
Lower GDP Growth Expectations
Bank of America's research team has lowered GDP growth rates for 2025, with no expected rate cuts during the year due to anticipated inflation control.
Higher Expenses
Non-interest expense increased to $17.8 billion, up from the previous quarter due to elevated payroll taxes, litigation costs, and markets revenue-related costs.
Impact of Regulatory Environment
Concerns remain regarding the regulatory environment, including the impact of potential tariffs and the need for adjustments in regulatory capital requirements.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Bank of America reported a robust financial performance with a net income of $7.4 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.90. Year-over-year, the bank achieved a 6% growth in revenue, an 11% increase in net income, and an 18% rise in EPS. The bank's return on assets stood at 89 basis points, while the return on tangible common equity was 14%. Net interest income grew by 3%, and deposits increased for the seventh consecutive quarter, reaching nearly $2 trillion, marking an 8% rise from mid-2023. The commercial loan portfolio experienced growth across nearly every line of business, and the wealth management sector added 7,200 net new households with $24 billion in net assets under management flows. With over $200 billion in regulatory capital and nearly $1 trillion in liquidity, the bank is well-positioned to support its clients and navigate potential economic changes. Additionally, consumer spending showed a 4.4% growth in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, reflecting continued consumer engagement despite a predicted GDP growth slowdown for 2025.

Bank of America Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bank of America exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The improved free cash flow in the TTM is a positive sign, although cash flow volatility remains a concern. The balance sheet reveals significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Overall, the bank is on a solid trajectory but must address leverage and cash flow stability to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Bank of America has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase from the previous year, indicating robust performance in its core banking operations. The net profit margin of 27.32% in the TTM is strong, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. However, the declining EBITDA margin from 29.21% in 2023 to 22.64% in the TTM suggests potential cost pressures or changes in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, increasing from 2.04 in 2023 to 1.17 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. Despite this, the equity ratio remains stable at around 8.95%, suggesting a balanced approach to capital structure. The return on equity is strong at 9.42% in the TTM, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds, but the increasing leverage poses potential risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The TTM cash flow indicates a positive turnaround with a free cash flow of $6.73 billion, contrasting with negative figures in prior years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, reflecting moderate cash conversion efficiency. However, the fluctuations in cash flow highlight potential volatility in cash management and investment activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
123.06B101.89B98.58B94.95B89.11B85.53B
Gross Profit
103.44B101.89B98.58B94.95B89.11B85.53B
EBIT
31.59B29.25B28.34B30.97B33.98B19.00B
EBITDA
50.82B29.25B30.40B32.95B35.87B20.84B
Net Income Common Stockholders
27.85B27.13B26.52B27.53B31.98B17.89B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
609.23B885.86B754.61B638.85B798.19B728.84B
Total Assets
3.35T3.26T3.18T3.05T3.17T2.82T
Total Debt
721.90B658.43B618.19B498.55B496.20B452.58B
Net Debt
448.32B368.31B276.77B261.09B140.83B65.57B
Total Liabilities
3.05T2.97T2.89T2.78T2.90T2.55T
Stockholders Equity
295.58B295.56B291.65B273.20B270.07B272.92B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.73B-8.80B44.98B-6.33B-7.19B37.99B
Operating Cash Flow
4.55B-8.80B44.98B-6.33B-7.19B37.99B
Investing Cash Flow
-19.37B-90.69B-35.39B-2.53B-313.29B-177.66B
Financing Cash Flow
-8.29B60.37B93.34B-106.04B291.65B355.82B

Bank of America Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.38
Price Trends
50DMA
40.95
Positive
100DMA
42.70
Positive
200DMA
42.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Positive
RSI
62.31
Neutral
STOCH
81.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.91, above the 50-day MA of 40.95, and above the 200-day MA of 42.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BAC.

Bank of America Risk Analysis

Bank of America disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank of America reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bank of America Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JPJPM
82
Outperform
$734.29B12.8617.25%1.91%12.48%23.05%
80
Outperform
$208.00B11.0110.83%5.53%-1.91%-6.79%
WFWFC
76
Outperform
$246.18B13.5911.05%2.12%3.51%16.51%
CC
74
Outperform
$142.94B12.096.30%2.93%2.97%87.82%
BABAC
73
Outperform
$334.11B13.259.46%2.30%8.23%16.15%
65
Neutral
$156.52B13.239.18%1.71%13.21%-12.06%
64
Neutral
$12.77B9.777.59%16985.66%12.31%-7.69%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAC
Bank of America
44.38
5.32
13.62%
C
Citigroup
76.67
16.91
28.30%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
59.60
17.82
42.65%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
261.95
66.53
34.04%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
13.78
3.68
36.44%
WFC
Wells Fargo
74.90
17.91
31.43%

Bank of America Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bank of America Shareholders Approve Equity Plan Changes
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Bank of America Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. Shareholders approved the amendment and restatement of the Bank of America Corporation Equity Plan, which includes increasing the shares available for grant by 100 million, capping the value of shares granted to non-employee directors, and extending the plan’s expiration date to 2035. These changes are expected to support the company’s compensation strategy and maintain its competitive positioning in the industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bank of America Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Bank of America reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income of $7.4 billion and earnings per share of $0.90, reflecting an increase from the previous year. The company saw a 6% rise in revenue to $27.4 billion, driven by growth in net interest income and fee income across all segments. The bank’s balance sheet remained robust with approximately $2 trillion in deposits, and it returned $6.5 billion to shareholders. Despite potential economic changes, Bank of America remains confident in its strategic investments and diverse business model to continue delivering value to its clients and shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.