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Citigroup (C)
NYSE:C
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Citigroup (C) AI Stock Analysis

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C

Citigroup

(NYSE:C)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$101.00
â–²(6.56% Upside)
Citigroup's overall score is driven by strong earnings performance and strategic capital returns, moderated by high debt levels and liquidity concerns. Technical indicators support a positive momentum, while valuation metrics indicate fair pricing. Corporate events further reinforce a robust capital strategy.
Positive Factors
Management Strategy
Management actions under CEO Jane Fraser are making Citigroup competitive and putting the bank on a path to sustained 10%+ returns starting 2026.
Profitability
Citi continues to make progress in improving profitability and growing revenues.
Regulatory Environment
Expense flexibility is expected to improve with a more balanced regulatory backdrop, enhancing profitability.
Share Buybacks
The stock reacted favorably to management's guidance for at least $4 billion in buybacks, indicating strong capital flexibility.
Negative Factors
Non-Performing Loans
Non-performing loans rose sharply, led by C&I loans in Markets and wealth management loans.
Wealth Segment
Core trends in Wealth segment were tepid with a very sharp slowdown in net new assets invested.

Citigroup (C) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citigroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitigroup Inc., a diversified financial services holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions in North America, Latin America, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Global Consumer Banking (GCB) and Institutional Clients Group (ICG). The GCB segment offers traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, Citi-branded cards, and Citi retail services. It also provides various banking, credit card, lending, and investment services through a network of local branches, offices, and electronic delivery systems. The ICG segment offers wholesale banking products and services, including fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory, private banking, cash management, trade finance, and securities services to corporate, institutional, public sector, and high-net-worth clients. As of December 31, 2020, it operated 2,303 branches primarily in the United States, Mexico, and Asia. Citigroup Inc. was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitigroup generates revenue primarily through interest income, fees, and commissions. Key revenue streams include consumer banking, which provides interest income from loans and fees from services like credit cards and personal loans; institutional clients group, which earns through advisory fees, trading income, and lending; and investment banking, which contributes through underwriting and advisory services. Additionally, Citigroup benefits from asset management and wealth management services. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and corporations enhance its service offerings, while its global presence allows it to capitalize on diverse markets and economic conditions, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Citigroup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from institutional clients, highlighting Citigroup's performance in investment banking, trading, and other financial services for large organizations.
Chart InsightsCitigroup's Institutional Revenue shows robust growth in Treasury and Trade Solutions, driven by strategic enhancements in client offerings. Securities Services and Fixed Income Markets also exhibit strong upward trends, aligning with Citi's record performance in Markets and Banking, as highlighted in their earnings call. However, Corporate Lending remains volatile, reflecting broader economic uncertainties. The earnings call underscores Citi's strategic focus on its Services division, which is performing exceptionally well, and anticipates continued revenue growth, supported by significant advisory roles in major transactions.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Citigroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth across several key segments, including Services, Markets, Banking, and Wealth. Despite some challenges in retail services and increased transformation expenses, the positive achievements, such as record revenues and substantial capital returns to shareholders, indicate a robust overall performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Citi reported net income of $4 billion and earnings per share of $1.96, with revenues up 8% year-over-year. Three of the five businesses had record second-quarter revenues.
Services and Markets Growth
Services achieved a 23% ROTCE for the quarter with revenue up 8%. Markets revenues increased by 16%, marking the best second quarter since 2020.
Banking and Wealth Expansion
Banking revenues rose 18%, and Wealth recorded a 20% increase in revenues with a pre-tax margin of 29%.
Capital Returns to Shareholders
Citi returned over $3 billion in capital to shareholders this quarter, including $2 billion in share repurchases. The common equity tier one capital ratio was 13.5%.
Positive Operating Leverage
Positive operating leverage was achieved at both the firm and business levels, contributing to strong financial results.
Negative Updates
Retail Services Pressure
Retail services experienced pressure due to lower sales activity at partner locations.
Increased Transformation Expenses
Transformation expenses are expected to increase significantly in 2025, although they are projected to decrease in 2026 and beyond.
Challenges in Certain Markets
Corporate nonaccrual loans increased due to idiosyncratic downgrades, despite overall low levels.
Moderate Growth in US Personal Banking
US Personal Banking revenues were up by 6%, with branded cards increasing 11%, but retail services revenues declined by 5%.
Company Guidance
During Citi's 2025 Q2 earnings call, key financial metrics were highlighted, showcasing strong performance across various business segments. The company reported a net income of $4 billion and earnings per share of $1.96, with a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 8.7%. Revenues increased by 8%, with notable growth in markets (up 16%) and banking (up 18%). Services stood out with a 23% ROTCE, while wealth management achieved a pre-tax margin of 29% and a 20% revenue increase. Citi also returned over $3 billion to shareholders, including $2 billion in share repurchases, and ended the quarter with a common equity tier one capital ratio of 13.5%. The call emphasized the strategic progress, with improvements in risk management, automation, and digital asset innovations, alongside plans for continued capital returns and a focus on achieving a 10% to 11% ROTCE target next year.

Citigroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citigroup demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a high gross profit margin and net income growth. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and negative cash flow indicate significant leverage and liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Citigroup's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement reflects strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 77.1% and a solid net profit margin of 13.6%. Revenue growth over recent years shows a positive trend with a 38% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. However, the EBIT margin has seen some fluctuation, indicating potential volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Citigroup's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.52, which suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is relatively low at 8.3%, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. Despite this, the return on equity of 6.3% is moderate, suggesting adequate profitability relative to equity. The high level of cash and short-term investments provides a buffer against potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting a disconnect between profitability and cash generation. Citigroup's operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, which may signal inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue170.71B155.38B100.22B79.87B88.83B
Gross Profit71.12B67.90B69.37B75.78B58.12B
EBITDA21.36B17.47B23.07B31.43B17.57B
Net Income12.68B9.23B14.85B21.95B11.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35T2.41T2.42T2.29T2.26T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments498.02B506.00B580.77B541.33B638.78B
Total Debt590.56B602.18B521.15B473.63B500.73B
Total Liabilities2.14T2.21T2.21T2.09T2.06T
Stockholders Equity208.60B205.45B201.19B201.97B199.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.17B-80.00B19.44B42.97B-26.93B
Operating Cash Flow-19.67B-73.42B25.07B47.09B-23.49B
Investing Cash Flow86.25B-8.46B-79.45B-110.75B-92.44B
Financing Cash Flow-38.30B687.00M137.76B17.27B233.59B

Citigroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price94.78
Price Trends
50DMA
91.02
Positive
100DMA
81.22
Positive
200DMA
76.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.45
Positive
RSI
54.63
Neutral
STOCH
78.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For C, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.22, above the 50-day MA of 91.02, and above the 200-day MA of 76.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for C.

Citigroup Risk Analysis

Citigroup disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citigroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citigroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$222.29B12.7810.69%5.12%-2.96%-13.66%
79
Outperform
$375.83B14.869.46%2.06%4.95%20.49%
77
Outperform
$828.83B15.4716.13%1.77%4.00%8.73%
77
Outperform
$225.60B16.4212.78%1.78%3.53%45.85%
77
Outperform
$263.26B14.0911.51%2.02%0.37%19.89%
73
Outperform
$177.78B14.286.64%2.41%0.52%89.25%
68
Neutral
$17.95B11.5410.27%3.74%9.64%1.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
C
Citigroup
94.78
35.64
60.26%
BAC
Bank of America
50.42
10.89
27.55%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
64.08
22.96
55.84%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
299.70
85.19
39.71%
WFC
Wells Fargo
81.78
24.92
43.83%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
730.85
250.02
52.00%

Citigroup Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citigroup Establishes New Preferred Stock Series GG
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Citigroup Inc. filed a Certificate of Designations with the State of Delaware to establish a new series of preferred stock, the 6.875% Fixed Rate Reset Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series GG. This move, effective immediately upon filing, amends Citigroup’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation and reflects the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially impacting its financial operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Citigroup Completes 2025 Stress Test, Plans Dividend Increase
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Citigroup announced the completion of the Federal Reserve Board’s 2025 annual supervisory stress test, resulting in a reduced Stress Capital Buffer requirement of 3.6% and a preliminary Standardized Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio requirement of 11.6%. As of March 31, 2025, Citi’s CET1 capital ratio stood at 13.4%, exceeding the regulatory requirement. Citi plans to increase its quarterly common stock dividend and continues its $20 billion share repurchase program, having repurchased $3.75 billion year-to-date. These actions reflect Citi’s strong capital position and strategic focus on returning capital to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Citigroup Appoints Jonathan Moulds as Independent Director
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Citigroup‘s Board of Directors elected Jonathan Moulds as an independent director, appointing him to the Risk Management and Transformation Oversight Committees. Moulds, who has a distinguished career in financial services, including roles at Bank of America and Barclays, is expected to enhance Citi’s board with his expertise in global markets and operational efficiency. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Citi’s governance and oversight, potentially impacting the company’s operations and industry positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025