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Citigroup (C)
NYSE:C

Citigroup (C) AI Stock Analysis

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C

Citigroup

(NYSE:C)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$89.00
â–²(4.56%Upside)
Citigroup's overall stock score reflects strong earnings growth and positive technical momentum, tempered by financial leverage and cash flow challenges. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, further supported by strategic initiatives and capital returns.
Positive Factors
Financial Efficiency
Citi's efficiency has improved significantly, showing a decrease in efficiency ratios over the years, reflecting better cost management and operational performance.
Profitability
Over the last year, each of the five business areas within Citigroup are tracking improved profitability, especially wealth and banking, which have acquired a sharpened focus under new leadership.
Strategic Vision
Jane Fraser's strategic vision for Citigroup includes international consumer exits, balance sheet de-risking, tech/personnel investments, streamlining businesses, and hiring external talent, which gives Citi a fighting chance of becoming competitive.
Negative Factors
Financial Benefits
Citi is about three-quarters done with restructuring efforts, but only about one-quarter of financial benefits are reflected, indicating potential for improved performance.
Restructuring Challenges
Citi is estimated to be three-quarters done with its restructuring but has seen only a quarter of the financial benefits.
Workforce Cuts
Two-thirds of the way through targeted workforce cuts, driven by a simplified structure and optimized operations, suggesting further potential headcount reduction.

Citigroup (C) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citigroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitigroup Inc. is a leading global financial services company, providing a wide array of financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions. The company operates through two primary segments: Global Consumer Banking (GCB) and Institutional Clients Group (ICG). Citigroup offers comprehensive banking services, including retail banking, credit cards, investment banking, securities brokerage, wealth management, and transaction services.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitigroup generates revenue through a diverse range of financial services and products offered under its Global Consumer Banking and Institutional Clients Group segments. In the GCB segment, the company earns income from retail banking services such as deposits, loans, and mortgages, as well as credit card services where it charges interest and fees. The ICG segment generates revenue from investment banking activities, including advisory and underwriting services, trading and securities services, and lending to institutional clients. Additionally, Citigroup earns fees from asset management and private banking services. The company's global presence and extensive client network are significant factors contributing to its revenue generation capabilities. Citigroup's strategic partnerships and digital banking initiatives also play a crucial role in enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base.

Citigroup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from institutional clients, highlighting Citigroup's performance in investment banking, trading, and other financial services for large organizations.
Chart InsightsCitigroup's Institutional Revenue shows robust growth in Treasury and Trade Solutions, with a notable surge in Securities Services in 2024. Fixed Income Markets remain volatile, while Equity Markets and Investment Banking are recovering, aligning with a 23% increase in equities revenue reported in the earnings call. Despite challenges in non-interest revenue, the bank's strategic focus on transformation and AI investments, coupled with strong capital returns, provides a positive outlook amidst macroeconomic uncertainties.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Citigroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter with significant growth in net income and revenues across various segments, particularly in wealth management and markets. However, challenges in non-interest revenue and a decline in retail services highlight areas of concern. Overall, the firm's strategic initiatives and strong capital returns provide a positive outlook despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income and Revenue Growth
Reported net income of $4.1 billion and earnings per share of $1.96 with an ROTCE of 9.1%. Total revenues were up 3%, driven by growth in each of the businesses.
Positive Operating Leverage Across All Segments
Citi delivered its third consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage for each of its five lines of business and the fourth consecutive quarter for the firm overall.
Record Performance in Wealth Management
Wealth revenues were up 24%, with growth across Citi Gold, the private bank, and Wealth at Work. The segment delivered record revenue this quarter with improved efficiency and returns.
Strong Performance in Markets
Markets revenues were up 12%, with equities revenues increasing by 23% and fixed income revenues by 8%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage in markets.
Increased Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned $2.8 billion in capital to shareholders, including $1.75 billion of buybacks, which is the highest quarterly amount since 2022.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Non-Interest Revenue
Non-interest revenues excluding markets were down 6% as better results in banking and wealth were more than offset by declines in all other segments, USPB, and services.
Retail Services Revenue Decline
Retail services revenues declined by 11%, primarily driven by higher partner payment accruals.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Credit Concerns
The firm faced a cost of credit of $2.7 billion, primarily consisting of net credit losses and a firm-wide net ACL build reflecting uncertainty and deterioration in the macroeconomic outlook.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Citi reported a net income of $4.1 billion, translating to earnings per share of $1.96 and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 9.1%. The bank achieved a 5% year-over-year decline in expenses and delivered positive operating leverage across its five business lines for the third consecutive quarter, and for the firm overall, for the fourth quarter. Revenues increased by 3% to $21.6 billion, driven by growth in each business segment. The services segment recorded its highest first-quarter revenue in a decade, while markets revenue rose 12%, with a notable 23% increase in equities. The banking division experienced a 12% revenue increase, partly due to M&A revenue nearly doubling. Wealth management revenues grew by 24%, driven by an 11% organic growth in client investments. US Personal Banking (USPB) saw a 2% uptick, supported by increased loan balances in branded cards. Citi returned $2.8 billion in capital to shareholders, including $1.75 billion in buybacks, and ended the quarter with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.4% and a tangible book value per share of $90. The bank remains focused on transformation investments and leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance client experience.

Citigroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citigroup shows strong revenue growth and profitability, but high leverage and negative cash flow highlight financial challenges. The income statement's strength is offset by a weak balance sheet and cash flow issues.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Citigroup's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement reflects strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 77.1% and a solid net profit margin of 13.6%. Revenue growth over recent years shows a positive trend with a 38% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual period. However, the EBIT margin has seen some fluctuation, indicating potential volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Citigroup's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.52, which suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is relatively low at 8.3%, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. Despite this, the return on equity of 6.3% is moderate, suggesting adequate profitability relative to equity. The high level of cash and short-term investments provides a buffer against potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting a disconnect between profitability and cash generation. Citigroup's operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, which may signal inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.15B170.71B155.38B100.22B79.87B88.83B
Gross Profit71.25B71.12B67.90B69.37B75.78B58.12B
EBITDA22.20B21.36B17.47B23.07B31.43B17.57B
Net Income13.38B12.68B9.23B14.85B21.95B11.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.57T2.35T2.41T2.42T2.29T2.26T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments527.78B498.02B506.00B580.77B541.33B638.78B
Total Debt748.78B590.56B602.18B521.15B473.63B500.73B
Total Liabilities2.36T2.14T2.21T2.21T2.09T2.06T
Stockholders Equity212.41B208.60B205.45B201.19B201.97B199.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-73.96B-26.17B-80.00B19.44B42.97B-26.93B
Operating Cash Flow-67.55B-19.67B-73.42B25.07B47.09B-23.49B
Investing Cash Flow-27.58B86.25B-8.46B-79.45B-110.75B-92.44B
Financing Cash Flow134.32B-38.30B687.00M137.76B17.27B233.59B

Citigroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price85.12
Price Trends
50DMA
74.35
Positive
100DMA
73.17
Positive
200DMA
70.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.62
Negative
RSI
79.01
Negative
STOCH
95.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For C, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 85.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.10, above the 50-day MA of 74.35, and above the 200-day MA of 70.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for C.

Citigroup Risk Analysis

Citigroup disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citigroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citigroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BABAC
81
Outperform
$354.90B14.079.46%2.21%8.23%16.15%
80
Outperform
$212.07B11.2410.83%3.25%-1.91%-6.79%
JPJPM
78
Outperform
$797.91B14.0917.25%1.95%12.41%23.05%
CC
76
Outperform
$157.60B13.336.30%2.65%2.97%87.82%
76
Outperform
$156.11B13.239.18%1.93%5.39%20.82%
WFWFC
76
Outperform
$258.71B14.2811.05%2.01%3.51%16.51%
67
Neutral
$16.67B11.469.71%3.91%11.61%-9.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
C
Citigroup
85.12
22.56
36.06%
BAC
Bank of America
47.32
7.37
18.45%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
60.79
19.34
46.66%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
289.91
85.81
42.04%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
13.72
2.79
25.53%
WFC
Wells Fargo
80.12
20.58
34.56%

Citigroup Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Citigroup Appoints Jonathan Moulds as Independent Director
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Citigroup‘s Board of Directors elected Jonathan Moulds as an independent director, appointing him to the Risk Management and Transformation Oversight Committees. Moulds, who has a distinguished career in financial services, including roles at Bank of America and Barclays, is expected to enhance Citi’s board with his expertise in global markets and operational efficiency. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Citi’s governance and oversight, potentially impacting the company’s operations and industry positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Citigroup Stockholders Approve Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Citigroup Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. The stockholders approved an amendment to the Citigroup 2019 Stock Incentive Plan, increasing the authorized shares by 30 million. Additionally, 12 directors were elected, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and the 2024 Executive Compensation was approved. However, several stockholder proposals, including those on golden parachutes, Indigenous Peoples’ rights, climate change, and animal welfare, were not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025