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Citigroup (C)
NYSE:C

Citigroup (C) AI Stock Analysis

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C

Citigroup

(NYSE:C)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$127.00
â–²(6.99% Upside)
Score is held back primarily by weaker financial health signals (negative TTM operating/free cash flow and high leverage), partially offset by strong technical momentum and a solid earnings update featuring broad-based revenue strength and significant capital returns. Valuation is reasonable and recent corporate actions are mixed due to the expected Russia exit loss.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 9% revenue growth across all segments indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Capital Return
Significant capital returns to shareholders reflect strong cash generation and financial health, enhancing shareholder value over time.
Regulatory Compliance
The termination of regulatory orders indicates improved compliance and risk management, strengthening Citi's operational stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flows suggest potential liquidity challenges, which could constrain investment and operational capabilities in the long term.
Russia Exit Loss
The significant loss from exiting Russia could impact financial results and strategic positioning, despite being capital neutral.

Citigroup (C) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citigroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitigroup Inc., a diversified financial services holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions in North America, Latin America, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Global Consumer Banking (GCB) and Institutional Clients Group (ICG). The GCB segment offers traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, Citi-branded cards, and Citi retail services. It also provides various banking, credit card, lending, and investment services through a network of local branches, offices, and electronic delivery systems. The ICG segment offers wholesale banking products and services, including fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory, private banking, cash management, trade finance, and securities services to corporate, institutional, public sector, and high-net-worth clients. As of December 31, 2020, it operated 2,303 branches primarily in the United States, Mexico, and Asia. Citigroup Inc. was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitigroup generates revenue through multiple streams. Its Global Consumer Banking segment earns money primarily from interest income on loans, fees from credit card services, and various banking fees. The Institutional Clients Group contributes significantly through investment banking services, including advisory fees, underwriting, and trading revenues. Additionally, Citigroup benefits from asset management fees and transaction-related fees in its wealth management services. The company's extensive network of partnerships with financial institutions and corporations enhances its ability to offer integrated financial solutions, further bolstering its earnings. Key factors contributing to its revenue include global economic conditions, interest rate fluctuations, and the performance of the capital markets.

Citigroup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from institutional clients, highlighting Citigroup's performance in investment banking, trading, and other financial services for large organizations.
Chart InsightsCitigroup's Institutional Revenue shows robust growth in Treasury and Trade Solutions, driven by strategic enhancements in client offerings. Securities Services and Fixed Income Markets also exhibit strong upward trends, aligning with Citi's record performance in Markets and Banking, as highlighted in their earnings call. However, Corporate Lending remains volatile, reflecting broader economic uncertainties. The earnings call underscores Citi's strategic focus on its Services division, which is performing exceptionally well, and anticipates continued revenue growth, supported by significant advisory roles in major transactions.
Data provided by:The Fly

Citigroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenues across all business segments, significant growth in wealth management, and substantial capital returns to shareholders. Innovation through AI and technology integration was also emphasized. However, the call noted challenges such as goodwill impairment, economic concerns in China and Europe, and an increase in corporate non-accrual loans.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Reported net income of $3.8 billion and EPS of $1.86, with an adjusted EPS of $2.24. Revenues were up 9% across all businesses, driving positive operating leverage.
Record Third-Quarter Revenue
Every business segment reported record third-quarter revenue, with notable growth in Services (7%), Markets (15%), and Investment Banking fees (17%).
Wealth Management Growth
Wealth revenue increased by 8%, with a record net new investment assets of $18.6 billion and client investment assets up 14%.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned over $6 billion in capital to shareholders, including $5 billion in share repurchases, exceeding guidance by $1 billion.
Innovation and Technology Integration
Significant progress in AI integration, with 180,000 colleagues using proprietary AI tools, and the launch of agentik.ai for 5,000 colleagues.
Negative Updates
Goodwill Impairment Impact
The quarter included a significant goodwill impairment related to the Banamex transaction, impacting reported EPS and ROTCE.
Challenges in China and Europe
China's domestic spending slowdown and Europe's structural challenges were noted as concerns affecting global economic performance.
Corporate Non-Accrual Loans Increase
Corporate non-accrual loans increased due to idiosyncratic downgrades, though they remain low overall.
Expense Increase
Expenses increased by 9%, driven by goodwill impairment and higher compensation and benefits, though adjusted expenses were up 3%.
Company Guidance
In Citigroup Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial results, including a net income of $3.8 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.86, with a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 8%. Excluding the goodwill impairment from the Banamex transaction, the adjusted EPS was $2.24 and the adjusted ROTCE was 9.7%. Revenue increased by 9%, with each business segment achieving record third-quarter revenues. The Services division saw a 7% revenue growth, and Assets Under Custody and Administration (AUCA) grew by 13%, reaching nearly $30 trillion. In the markets segment, revenues rose by 15%, driven by high activity and a 40% increase in prime balances. Banking fees increased by 17% due to CEO confidence fueled by record equity prices. The wealth segment reported an 8% revenue growth, with net new investment assets of $18.6 billion and a 14% increase in client investment assets. The firm returned over $6 billion to common shareholders, including $5 billion in share repurchases, exceeding prior guidance. Citigroup ended the quarter with a common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 13.2%, over 100 basis points above the regulatory requirement.

Citigroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citigroup's financial statements reflect challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management, with high leverage posing additional risks. While profitability margins show some operational improvements, the overall financial health is impacted by negative cash flows and high debt levels.
Income Statement
Citigroup's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 43.11%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 8.45% from 19.71% in 2022. Revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating challenges in expanding top-line revenue. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight improvements, suggesting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in volatile markets. Return on equity is moderate at 6.72%, reflecting decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 8.13%, showing a relatively low proportion of equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM, which is concerning. However, free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.07, suggesting that despite negative cash flows, the company is generating cash relative to its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.35B170.71B155.38B100.22B79.87B88.83B
Gross Profit74.33B71.12B67.90B69.37B75.78B58.12B
EBITDA22.98B21.36B17.47B23.07B31.43B17.57B
Net Income14.69B12.68B9.23B14.85B21.95B11.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.64T2.35T2.41T2.42T2.29T2.26T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments672.58B498.02B506.00B580.77B541.33B638.78B
Total Debt720.24B590.56B602.18B521.15B473.63B500.73B
Total Liabilities2.43T2.14T2.21T2.21T2.09T2.06T
Stockholders Equity213.02B208.60B205.45B201.19B201.97B199.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-74.35B-26.17B-80.00B19.44B42.97B-26.93B
Operating Cash Flow-69.39B-19.67B-73.42B25.07B47.09B-23.49B
Investing Cash Flow-47.56B86.25B-8.46B-79.45B-110.75B-92.44B
Financing Cash Flow144.76B-38.30B687.00M137.76B17.27B233.59B

Citigroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.70
Price Trends
50DMA
105.95
Positive
100DMA
101.57
Positive
200DMA
89.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.92
Positive
RSI
68.19
Neutral
STOCH
51.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For C, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.15, above the 50-day MA of 105.95, and above the 200-day MA of 89.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for C.

Citigroup Risk Analysis

Citigroup disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citigroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citigroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$292.56B15.6811.56%1.80%-4.37%26.41%
78
Outperform
$271.50B16.988.66%4.14%-9.54%-22.46%
73
Outperform
$263.64B18.5713.57%1.55%2.31%44.49%
72
Outperform
$401.64B15.259.87%1.93%0.15%33.84%
72
Outperform
$877.17B16.1216.35%1.79%1.89%12.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$208.79B16.696.88%1.94%-0.62%105.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
C
Citigroup
118.70
47.92
67.70%
BAC
Bank of America
55.95
11.58
26.10%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
80.45
33.76
72.31%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
325.48
88.40
37.29%
WFC
Wells Fargo
95.20
24.70
35.04%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
914.34
342.62
59.93%

Citigroup Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Citigroup Board Approves Sale of Remaining Russian Operations
Negative
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Citigroup’s board approved a plan to sell AO Citibank, which houses Citi’s remaining operations in Russia and is currently reported across its Services, Markets, Banking and Legacy Franchises segments. As a result, Citi will classify its Russian business as held for sale beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025, with the transaction expected to be signed and closed in the first half of 2026, triggering an approximately $1.2 billion pre-tax loss on sale in the fourth quarter tied largely to previously accumulated currency translation adjustment losses. The loss recognition, which is recorded as a reduction of Other Revenue via a valuation allowance and incorporates expected benefits from derecognizing a fully reserved net investment and anticipated sale proceeds, is described as capital neutral to Citi’s Common Equity Tier 1 ratio once the related CTA amounts are released from accumulated other comprehensive income, though the ultimate loss remains subject to foreign exchange movements.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Citigroup Establishes New Series of Preferred Stock
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Citigroup Inc. filed a Certificate of Designations with the Delaware Secretary of State to establish a new series of preferred stock, the 6.625% Fixed Rate Reset Noncumulative Preferred Stock, Series HH. This move, effective immediately upon filing, is part of Citigroup’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure and offer diversified investment options, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Hold with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Citigroup Announces New CFO in Leadership Transition
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Citigroup announced a significant leadership transition, appointing Gonzalo Luchetti as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective March 2026, succeeding Mark Mason, who will become Executive Vice Chair and Senior Executive Advisor. This change is part of a broader strategic restructuring to integrate Retail Banking into the Wealth business and establish U.S. Consumer Cards as a core business, aiming to enhance Citi’s competitive positioning and growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Citigroup Awards CEO Jane Fraser $25M Equity Package
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Citigroup‘s Board of Directors awarded CEO Jane Fraser a one-time equity award valued at $25 million in Restricted Stock Units and 1.055 million stock options, reflecting her leadership and strategic execution. This decision underscores the Board’s confidence in Fraser’s ability to drive long-term growth and stability, as evidenced by Citi’s organizational transformation, strategic asset sales, and stock performance improvements since 2022.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Hold with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025