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Citigroup (C)
NYSE:C
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Citigroup (C) AI Stock Analysis

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C

Citigroup

(NYSE:C)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$107.00
â–˛(0.26% Upside)
Citigroup's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and valuation, offset by financial challenges and high leverage. The earnings call was a significant positive factor, showcasing record revenues and strategic growth initiatives. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in cash flow and leverage, weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Technology Integration
Citigroup's focus on AI and technology integration enhances operational efficiency and competitive advantage, supporting long-term growth and adaptability in a tech-driven financial landscape.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Strong capital returns reflect Citigroup's robust financial position and commitment to shareholder value, indicating confidence in future cash generation and financial stability.
Leadership Change
Jane Fraser's appointment as Chair strengthens leadership continuity and strategic direction, potentially enhancing decision-making and corporate governance over the long term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, potentially impacting Citigroup's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows highlight potential liquidity challenges, which could constrain Citigroup's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives without relying on external financing.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates difficulties in expanding market share and generating top-line growth, which could affect long-term profitability and competitive positioning.

Citigroup (C) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citigroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitigroup Inc., a diversified financial services holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions in North America, Latin America, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Global Consumer Banking (GCB) and Institutional Clients Group (ICG). The GCB segment offers traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, Citi-branded cards, and Citi retail services. It also provides various banking, credit card, lending, and investment services through a network of local branches, offices, and electronic delivery systems. The ICG segment offers wholesale banking products and services, including fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory, private banking, cash management, trade finance, and securities services to corporate, institutional, public sector, and high-net-worth clients. As of December 31, 2020, it operated 2,303 branches primarily in the United States, Mexico, and Asia. Citigroup Inc. was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitigroup generates revenue through multiple streams. Its Global Consumer Banking segment earns money primarily from interest income on loans, fees from credit card services, and various banking fees. The Institutional Clients Group contributes significantly through investment banking services, including advisory fees, underwriting, and trading revenues. Additionally, Citigroup benefits from asset management fees and transaction-related fees in its wealth management services. The company's extensive network of partnerships with financial institutions and corporations enhances its ability to offer integrated financial solutions, further bolstering its earnings. Key factors contributing to its revenue include global economic conditions, interest rate fluctuations, and the performance of the capital markets.

Citigroup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Institutional Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from institutional clients, highlighting Citigroup's performance in investment banking, trading, and other financial services for large organizations.
Chart InsightsCitigroup's Institutional Revenue shows robust growth in Treasury and Trade Solutions, driven by strategic enhancements in client offerings. Securities Services and Fixed Income Markets also exhibit strong upward trends, aligning with Citi's record performance in Markets and Banking, as highlighted in their earnings call. However, Corporate Lending remains volatile, reflecting broader economic uncertainties. The earnings call underscores Citi's strategic focus on its Services division, which is performing exceptionally well, and anticipates continued revenue growth, supported by significant advisory roles in major transactions.
Data provided by:The Fly

Citigroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenues across all business segments, significant growth in wealth management, and substantial capital returns to shareholders. Innovation through AI and technology integration was also emphasized. However, the call noted challenges such as goodwill impairment, economic concerns in China and Europe, and an increase in corporate non-accrual loans.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Reported net income of $3.8 billion and EPS of $1.86, with an adjusted EPS of $2.24. Revenues were up 9% across all businesses, driving positive operating leverage.
Record Third-Quarter Revenue
Every business segment reported record third-quarter revenue, with notable growth in Services (7%), Markets (15%), and Investment Banking fees (17%).
Wealth Management Growth
Wealth revenue increased by 8%, with a record net new investment assets of $18.6 billion and client investment assets up 14%.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned over $6 billion in capital to shareholders, including $5 billion in share repurchases, exceeding guidance by $1 billion.
Innovation and Technology Integration
Significant progress in AI integration, with 180,000 colleagues using proprietary AI tools, and the launch of agentik.ai for 5,000 colleagues.
Negative Updates
Goodwill Impairment Impact
The quarter included a significant goodwill impairment related to the Banamex transaction, impacting reported EPS and ROTCE.
Challenges in China and Europe
China's domestic spending slowdown and Europe's structural challenges were noted as concerns affecting global economic performance.
Corporate Non-Accrual Loans Increase
Corporate non-accrual loans increased due to idiosyncratic downgrades, though they remain low overall.
Expense Increase
Expenses increased by 9%, driven by goodwill impairment and higher compensation and benefits, though adjusted expenses were up 3%.
Company Guidance
In Citigroup Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial results, including a net income of $3.8 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.86, with a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 8%. Excluding the goodwill impairment from the Banamex transaction, the adjusted EPS was $2.24 and the adjusted ROTCE was 9.7%. Revenue increased by 9%, with each business segment achieving record third-quarter revenues. The Services division saw a 7% revenue growth, and Assets Under Custody and Administration (AUCA) grew by 13%, reaching nearly $30 trillion. In the markets segment, revenues rose by 15%, driven by high activity and a 40% increase in prime balances. Banking fees increased by 17% due to CEO confidence fueled by record equity prices. The wealth segment reported an 8% revenue growth, with net new investment assets of $18.6 billion and a 14% increase in client investment assets. The firm returned over $6 billion to common shareholders, including $5 billion in share repurchases, exceeding prior guidance. Citigroup ended the quarter with a common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 13.2%, over 100 basis points above the regulatory requirement.

Citigroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Citigroup's financial statements reflect challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management, with high leverage posing additional risks. While profitability margins show some operational improvements, the overall financial health is impacted by negative cash flows and high debt levels.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Citigroup's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 43.11%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 8.45% from 19.71% in 2022. Revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating challenges in expanding top-line revenue. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight improvements, suggesting operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in volatile markets. Return on equity is moderate at 6.72%, reflecting decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 8.13%, showing a relatively low proportion of equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM, which is concerning. However, free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.07, suggesting that despite negative cash flows, the company is generating cash relative to its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue168.35B170.71B155.38B100.22B79.87B88.83B
Gross Profit74.33B71.12B67.90B69.37B75.78B58.12B
EBITDA22.98B21.36B17.47B23.07B31.43B17.57B
Net Income14.69B12.68B9.23B14.85B21.95B11.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.64T2.35T2.41T2.42T2.29T2.26T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments672.58B498.02B506.00B580.77B541.33B638.78B
Total Debt720.24B590.56B602.18B521.15B473.63B500.73B
Total Liabilities2.43T2.14T2.21T2.21T2.09T2.06T
Stockholders Equity213.02B208.60B205.45B201.19B201.97B199.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-74.35B-26.17B-80.00B19.44B42.97B-26.93B
Operating Cash Flow-69.39B-19.67B-73.42B25.07B47.09B-23.49B
Investing Cash Flow-47.56B86.25B-8.46B-79.45B-110.75B-92.44B
Financing Cash Flow144.76B-38.30B687.00M137.76B17.27B233.59B

Citigroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.72
Price Trends
50DMA
99.54
Positive
100DMA
97.19
Positive
200DMA
84.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.24
Negative
RSI
66.89
Neutral
STOCH
87.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For C, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.08, above the 50-day MA of 99.54, and above the 200-day MA of 84.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for C.

Citigroup Risk Analysis

Citigroup disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citigroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citigroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$247.11B15.208.66%4.55%-9.54%-22.46%
76
Outperform
$270.97B14.2211.56%1.90%-4.37%26.41%
76
Outperform
$244.50B16.5613.57%1.67%2.31%44.49%
72
Outperform
$840.96B15.3016.35%1.78%1.89%12.32%
70
Outperform
$388.42B14.509.87%2.02%0.15%33.84%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$184.63B14.516.88%2.17%-0.62%105.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
C
Citigroup
106.72
37.15
53.40%
BAC
Bank of America
54.09
8.79
19.40%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
72.01
27.14
60.49%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
312.13
73.78
30.95%
WFC
Wells Fargo
89.35
17.84
24.95%
GS
Goldman Sachs Group
836.57
249.83
42.58%

Citigroup Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Citigroup Awards CEO Jane Fraser $25M Equity Package
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Citigroup‘s Board of Directors awarded CEO Jane Fraser a one-time equity award valued at $25 million in Restricted Stock Units and 1.055 million stock options, reflecting her leadership and strategic execution. This decision underscores the Board’s confidence in Fraser’s ability to drive long-term growth and stability, as evidenced by Citi’s organizational transformation, strategic asset sales, and stock performance improvements since 2022.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Hold with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Citigroup Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 15, 2025

Citigroup Inc., a leading global financial services corporation, operates in over 180 countries offering a wide range of financial products and services to corporations, governments, investors, institutions, and individuals. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Citigroup announced a net income of $3.8 billion, or $1.86 per diluted share, on revenues of $22.1 billion, reflecting a 9% increase in revenues compared to the same period last year.

Citigroup’s Earnings Call: Record Revenues and Strategic Growth
Oct 15, 2025

Citigroup Inc.’s latest earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by record revenues across all business segments and notable growth in wealth management. The sentiment was largely positive, buoyed by substantial capital returns to shareholders and advancements in AI and technology integration. However, the call did not shy away from addressing challenges, including goodwill impairment, economic concerns in China and Europe, and a rise in corporate non-accrual loans.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Citigroup Announces Sale of Banamex Stake
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Citigroup Inc. announced that CHPAF Holdings S.A.P.I de C.V., owned by Fernando Chico Pardo and his family, agreed to purchase a 25% equity stake in Grupo Financiero Banamex, S.A. de C.V. for approximately USD 2.3 billion. This transaction, expected to close in the second half of 2026, marks the start of a strategic relationship with Pardo, who will become Chair of Banamex’s Board of Directors. Additionally, Citi reported a non-cash goodwill impairment of USD 726 million due to the transaction, which is capital neutral to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (C) stock is a Buy with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citigroup stock, see the C Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025