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HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC)
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HSBC Holdings (HSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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HSBC

HSBC Holdings

(NYSE:HSBC)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
â–²(17.25% Upside)
HSBC's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The bank's robust revenue growth, zero debt position, and strategic focus on wealth management contribute positively. However, mixed technical indicators and challenges in Hong Kong real estate slightly temper the outlook.

HSBC Holdings (HSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HSBC Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHSBC Holdings plc is a British multinational banking and financial services organization, headquartered in London. It operates in various sectors including retail banking, wealth management, commercial banking, and global banking and markets. HSBC provides a wide range of core products and services, such as personal banking products, credit cards, mortgages, investment services, and corporate financing solutions, catering to both individual and institutional clients around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyHSBC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income is derived from the interest earned on loans and advances to customers, minus the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. Non-interest income includes fees and commissions from various services such as investment banking, wealth management, and transaction services. Additionally, HSBC benefits from its significant global presence, allowing it to capitalize on cross-border transactions and foreign exchange services. Strategic partnerships with fintech companies and other financial institutions also enhance its service offerings and revenue potential. Furthermore, HSBC's focus on emerging markets provides opportunities for growth, particularly in Asia, where demand for banking services is rising.

HSBC Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Profit by Segment
Operating Profit by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and where there may be challenges or opportunities for growth.
Chart InsightsHSBC's Wealth & Personal Banking and Commercial Banking segments have shown robust growth, with notable increases in operating profit since 2020. The latest earnings call highlights continued strength in the wealth segment, supported by $22 billion in new assets and a surge in Hong Kong customers. However, the Corporate Centre's volatility, particularly a significant loss in late 2024, raises concerns. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts, HSBC's strategic focus on wealth growth and capital returns, including a $3 billion buyback, underpins its resilience.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

HSBC Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth in revenues and strategic upgrades to financial targets, supported by solid performance in Wealth management and customer deposits. However, legal provisions and challenges in Hong Kong commercial real estate posed concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased by $500 million to $17.9 billion, driven by a 29% growth in fee and other income from the Wealth segment.
Positive RoTE Performance
Annualized RoTE was 16.4% in the third quarter and 17.6% year-to-date, excluding notable items.
Customer Deposit Growth
Customer deposit balances grew by $86 billion, reaching $1.7 trillion, including held-for-sale balances.
Upgraded Financial Targets
HSBC upgraded its 2025 banking NII to $43 billion or better and its 2025 RoTE, excluding notable items, to be mid-teens or better.
Strategic Investments and Exits
Announced intention to privatize Hang Seng Bank, and strategic exits from HSBC Malta and Retail Banking in Sri Lanka.
Wealth Management Expansion
Net new invested assets were $29 billion, with more than half coming from Asia, demonstrating a successful strategy in Wealth management.
Negative Updates
Legal Provisions Impact
Recorded $1.4 billion of legal provisions on historical matters, including $1.1 billion related to Madoff litigation.
Challenges in Hong Kong Commercial Real Estate
Stage III loan ratio increased from 16% to 20%, indicating ongoing challenges in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector.
Company Guidance
During the HSBC Holdings plc third-quarter earnings call, Group CFO Pam Kaur highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The bank reported a robust quarter with total revenues rising by $500 million to $17.9 billion, driven by a 29% increase in wealth-related fee income. HSBC's annualized RoTE was 17.6% year-to-date, excluding notable items, with a CET1 capital ratio of 14.5%. The bank upgraded its 2025 banking net interest income (NII) guidance to $43 billion or better and expects its 2025 RoTE to be mid-teens or better. HSBC is pursuing strategic growth by privatizing Hang Seng Bank and continues to exit nonstrategic activities, having announced 11 exits this year. The bank is also on track to achieve a target of around 3% cost growth in 2025 compared to 2024. Notably, customer deposits grew by $86 billion, with $1.7 trillion in balances, and the bank announced a strategic review of its Egyptian retail banking business while maintaining its wholesale banking activities in the region.

HSBC Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HSBC has demonstrated strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The zero debt position in 2024 significantly strengthens its balance sheet, although there is room for improvement in operational efficiency as indicated by the slight decrease in return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HSBC has demonstrated a strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth, particularly from 2023 to 2024, showing a growth rate of 7.28%. The net profit margin improved slightly to 35.45% in 2024 from 37.34% in 2023, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024 suggests a potential need for detailed operational cost analysis.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects solid financial stability with zero total debt in 2024, enhancing the debt-to-equity ratio. HSBC's equity ratio remained strong, maintaining investor confidence. However, the return on equity slightly decreased to 12.96% in 2024 from 12.70% in 2023, indicating a slight dip in efficiency in generating returns on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
HSBC's cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth of 73.34% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.72 in 2024 signifies effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio slightly declined from 1.50 in 2023 to 2.56 in 2024, suggesting potential reinvestment or operational changes.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue119.37B61.25B56.35B76.17B73.95B77.46B
Gross Profit65.82B67.40B64.44B53.72B64.25B63.28B
EBITDA27.45B36.39B33.81B20.91B23.19B14.02B
Net Income18.92B23.98B23.53B15.56B13.92B5.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.21T3.02T3.04T2.97T2.96T2.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments246.36B284.51B299.57B350.05B422.44B328.73B
Total Debt486.32B242.35B426.69B204.24B395.44B378.87B
Total Liabilities3.01T2.82T2.85T2.77T2.75T2.78T
Stockholders Equity171.84B184.97B185.33B177.83B198.25B196.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0061.42B35.42B22.02B100.75B178.71B
Operating Cash Flow0.0065.31B39.11B26.43B104.31B182.22B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-76.56B-62.91B-34.48B27.54B-22.43B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-26.46B-17.56B-6.29B-10.79B-4.64B

HSBC Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.67
Price Trends
50DMA
68.16
Positive
100DMA
65.12
Positive
200DMA
59.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
58.16
Neutral
STOCH
78.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.82, below the 50-day MA of 68.16, and above the 200-day MA of 59.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HSBC.

HSBC Holdings Risk Analysis

HSBC Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HSBC Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HSBC Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$240.73B14.748.66%4.68%-9.54%-22.46%
76
Outperform
$273.51B14.3511.56%1.92%-4.37%26.41%
71
Outperform
$172.31B14.039.43%1.39%0.82%28.48%
70
Outperform
$390.98B14.629.87%2.02%1.36%33.84%
70
Outperform
$850.36B15.3216.35%1.79%1.95%12.32%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$185.95B14.206.88%2.30%-0.63%105.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
69.85
25.44
57.28%
BAC
Bank of America
53.54
9.18
20.69%
C
Citigroup
101.01
33.84
50.38%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
309.25
67.31
27.82%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
15.07
3.80
33.72%
WFC
Wells Fargo
87.13
16.24
22.91%

HSBC Holdings Corporate Events

HSBC Holdings Reports Mixed 2025 Interim Results
Jul 31, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc is a global banking and financial services organization, operating across various segments such as commercial banking, wealth management, and global banking and markets. Known for its extensive international presence, HSBC serves millions of customers worldwide.

HSBC Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

HSBC Holdings plc’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, tempered by some significant challenges. The sentiment was balanced, highlighting strong revenue and shareholder returns, alongside impressive customer growth and technological investments. However, concerns were raised about the Hong Kong Commercial Real Estate (CRE) market, HIBOR-related headwinds, and an impairment in BoCom, reflecting a mix of positive achievements and existing challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025