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HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC)
:HSBC

HSBC Holdings (HSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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HSBC

HSBC Holdings

(NYSE:HSBC)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(17.25% Upside)
HSBC's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The bank's robust revenue growth, zero debt position, and strategic focus on wealth management contribute positively. However, mixed technical indicators and challenges in Hong Kong real estate slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth, particularly in the wealth segment, indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies that are likely to sustain future growth.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling HSBC to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations, supporting long-term stability.
Strategic Focus on Wealth Management
HSBC's focus on expanding its wealth management services, especially in Asia, positions it well to capitalize on growing demand in emerging markets, driving future revenue.
Negative Factors
Legal Provisions Impact
Significant legal provisions can strain financial resources and impact profitability, potentially diverting focus from core business operations and strategic initiatives.
Challenges in Hong Kong Real Estate
Rising loan defaults in Hong Kong's real estate sector could affect asset quality and increase risk exposure, challenging HSBC's financial performance in this key market.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, driven by legal provisions and planned investments, may pressure margins and reduce profitability, impacting HSBC's ability to achieve financial targets.

HSBC Holdings (HSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HSBC Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHSBC Holdings plc is a global banking and financial services organization headquartered in London, United Kingdom. It operates in various sectors including retail banking, commercial banking, investment banking, and wealth management. The company serves millions of customers across the world, providing a comprehensive range of financial products and services, including personal and business banking, insurance, and asset management. HSBC is particularly known for its strong international presence, facilitating cross-border transactions and catering to multinational corporations.
How the Company Makes MoneyHSBC generates revenue through multiple streams primarily by providing financial services across its various business segments. Key revenue sources include interest income from loans and advances, fees and commissions from banking services, and trading income from its investment banking arm. The retail banking and wealth management segment earns income through interest on personal loans, mortgages, and credit cards, as well as fees for wealth management services. The commercial banking segment contributes through lending to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and corporate clients. Additionally, HSBC benefits from its investment banking division, which engages in advisory services, capital markets transactions, and proprietary trading. Significant partnerships with multinational corporations and governmental bodies enhance its ability to facilitate global trade and investment, further contributing to its earnings.

HSBC Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Profit by Segment
Operating Profit by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and where there may be challenges or opportunities for growth.
Chart InsightsHSBC's Wealth & Personal Banking and Commercial Banking segments have shown robust growth, with notable increases in operating profit since 2020. The latest earnings call highlights continued strength in the wealth segment, supported by $22 billion in new assets and a surge in Hong Kong customers. However, the Corporate Centre's volatility, particularly a significant loss in late 2024, raises concerns. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts, HSBC's strategic focus on wealth growth and capital returns, including a $3 billion buyback, underpins its resilience.
Data provided by:The Fly

HSBC Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth in revenues and strategic upgrades to financial targets, supported by solid performance in Wealth management and customer deposits. However, legal provisions and challenges in Hong Kong commercial real estate posed concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased by $500 million to $17.9 billion, driven by a 29% growth in fee and other income from the Wealth segment.
Positive RoTE Performance
Annualized RoTE was 16.4% in the third quarter and 17.6% year-to-date, excluding notable items.
Customer Deposit Growth
Customer deposit balances grew by $86 billion, reaching $1.7 trillion, including held-for-sale balances.
Upgraded Financial Targets
HSBC upgraded its 2025 banking NII to $43 billion or better and its 2025 RoTE, excluding notable items, to be mid-teens or better.
Strategic Investments and Exits
Announced intention to privatize Hang Seng Bank, and strategic exits from HSBC Malta and Retail Banking in Sri Lanka.
Wealth Management Expansion
Net new invested assets were $29 billion, with more than half coming from Asia, demonstrating a successful strategy in Wealth management.
Negative Updates
Legal Provisions Impact
Recorded $1.4 billion of legal provisions on historical matters, including $1.1 billion related to Madoff litigation.
Challenges in Hong Kong Commercial Real Estate
Stage III loan ratio increased from 16% to 20%, indicating ongoing challenges in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector.
Company Guidance
During the HSBC Holdings plc third-quarter earnings call, Group CFO Pam Kaur highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The bank reported a robust quarter with total revenues rising by $500 million to $17.9 billion, driven by a 29% increase in wealth-related fee income. HSBC's annualized RoTE was 17.6% year-to-date, excluding notable items, with a CET1 capital ratio of 14.5%. The bank upgraded its 2025 banking net interest income (NII) guidance to $43 billion or better and expects its 2025 RoTE to be mid-teens or better. HSBC is pursuing strategic growth by privatizing Hang Seng Bank and continues to exit nonstrategic activities, having announced 11 exits this year. The bank is also on track to achieve a target of around 3% cost growth in 2025 compared to 2024. Notably, customer deposits grew by $86 billion, with $1.7 trillion in balances, and the bank announced a strategic review of its Egyptian retail banking business while maintaining its wholesale banking activities in the region.

HSBC Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HSBC has demonstrated strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The zero debt position in 2024 significantly strengthens its balance sheet, although there is room for improvement in operational efficiency as indicated by the slight decrease in return on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HSBC has demonstrated a strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth, particularly from 2023 to 2024, showing a growth rate of 7.28%. The net profit margin improved slightly to 35.45% in 2024 from 37.34% in 2023, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024 suggests a potential need for detailed operational cost analysis.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects solid financial stability with zero total debt in 2024, enhancing the debt-to-equity ratio. HSBC's equity ratio remained strong, maintaining investor confidence. However, the return on equity slightly decreased to 12.96% in 2024 from 12.70% in 2023, indicating a slight dip in efficiency in generating returns on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
HSBC's cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth of 73.34% from 2023 to 2024, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.72 in 2024 signifies effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio slightly declined from 1.50 in 2023 to 2.56 in 2024, suggesting potential reinvestment or operational changes.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue119.37B61.25B56.35B76.17B73.95B77.46B
Gross Profit65.82B67.40B64.44B53.72B64.25B63.28B
EBITDA20.85B36.39B33.81B20.91B23.19B14.02B
Net Income18.92B23.98B23.53B15.56B13.92B5.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.21T3.02T3.04T2.97T2.96T2.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments246.36B284.51B299.57B350.05B422.44B328.73B
Total Debt486.32B242.35B426.69B204.24B395.44B378.87B
Total Liabilities3.01T2.82T2.85T2.77T2.75T2.78T
Stockholders Equity171.84B184.97B185.33B177.83B198.25B196.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0061.42B35.42B22.02B100.75B178.71B
Operating Cash Flow0.0065.31B39.11B26.43B104.31B182.22B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-76.56B-62.91B-34.48B27.54B-22.43B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-26.46B-17.56B-6.29B-10.79B-4.64B

HSBC Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.67
Price Trends
50DMA
69.76
Positive
100DMA
67.65
Positive
200DMA
62.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.11
Negative
RSI
68.55
Neutral
STOCH
93.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.17, below the 50-day MA of 69.76, and above the 200-day MA of 62.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HSBC.

HSBC Holdings Risk Analysis

HSBC Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HSBC Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HSBC Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$291.18B15.2811.56%1.83%-4.37%26.41%
78
Outperform
$255.38B15.838.66%4.37%-9.54%-22.46%
77
Outperform
$179.57B14.369.01%2.50%-1.09%8.53%
72
Outperform
$402.66B15.039.87%1.96%0.15%33.84%
72
Outperform
$867.09B15.7816.35%1.79%1.89%12.32%
68
Neutral
$200.04B15.726.88%2.08%-0.62%105.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
74.99
28.91
62.74%
BAC
Bank of America
55.14
10.70
24.08%
C
Citigroup
111.80
42.24
60.72%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
318.52
83.91
35.77%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
16.01
4.22
35.79%
WFC
Wells Fargo
92.76
22.31
31.67%

HSBC Holdings Corporate Events

HSBC Executive Acquires Shares Under Incentive Plan
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, Ian Stuart, Chief Executive of HSBC UK Bank plc, acquired 14 ordinary shares of HSBC Holdings plc under the company’s UK Share Incentive Plan. This transaction, disclosed in compliance with the UK version of the EU Market Abuse Regulation, highlights the ongoing participation of senior management in the company’s equity plans, potentially aligning their interests with those of shareholders.

HSBC Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights as of November 2025
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, HSBC Holdings plc announced that its issued share capital consisted of 17,175,239,862 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This update on voting rights is crucial for shareholders who need to calculate their interests in compliance with the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, as well as the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Ordinance.

HSBC Proposes Privatization of Hang Seng Bank with Executive Consents
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, HSBC Holdings announced a proposal for the privatization of Hang Seng Bank Limited by The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited through a scheme of arrangement. The announcement detailed the granting of relevant consents by the Executive under the Takeovers Code, allowing HSBC Asia Pacific and its affiliates to engage in specific securities dealings related to Hang Seng Bank during the offer period. These consents ensure compliance with the Takeovers Code while facilitating the Group’s ordinary business activities, such as structured products, market making, and passive index-tracking funds. The announcement highlights HSBC’s strategic move to consolidate its operations in the region, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

HSBC Holdings Updates on Hang Seng Bank Privatization Proposal
Nov 28, 2025

On November 27, 2025, HSBC Holdings, along with HSBC Asia Pacific and Hang Seng Bank, announced an update on the proposed privatization of Hang Seng Bank by way of a scheme of arrangement. This proposal, initially announced on October 9, 2025, involves the withdrawal of Hang Seng Bank shares from listing. The companies are preparing the necessary Scheme Document, which is expected to be dispatched by December 17, 2025, and are seeking court directions for a meeting to approve the scheme. This move is part of HSBC’s strategic efforts to streamline operations and enhance its market positioning in the Asia-Pacific region.

HSBC Executive Barry O’Byrne Sells Shares Worth Over £1 Million
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Barry O’Byrne, the Chief Executive of International Wealth and Premier Banking at HSBC Holdings, sold 92,389 ordinary shares of the company at a price of £11.010132 per share on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction, which totaled £1,017,215.09, was disclosed in accordance with the UK version of the EU Market Abuse Regulation, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance. The sale of shares by a senior executive may have implications for stakeholders, potentially reflecting personal financial strategies or signaling changes in executive confidence.

HSBC Appoints Wei Sun Christianson as Independent Director
Nov 12, 2025

On 10 November 2025, HSBC Holdings plc announced the appointment of Wei Sun Christianson as an Independent non-executive Director, effective 1 January 2026. Wei Sun, with extensive banking and regulatory experience, previously served as Co-CEO of Morgan Stanley Asia Pacific and CEO of Morgan Stanley China. Her appointment is expected to strengthen HSBC’s strategic focus in key markets such as Hong Kong and Mainland China, enhancing the board’s expertise in these regions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025