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Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
NYSE:WFC
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Wells Fargo (WFC) AI Stock Analysis

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WFC

Wells Fargo

(NYSE:WFC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
â–²(11.23% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/29/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance with strong profitability but rising leverage and volatile cash flow, plus a positive earnings call featuring reiterated guidance, improving efficiency/credit, and strong capital returns. Valuation is supportive (P/E ~12.39 and ~2.07% yield), and the technical setup is constructive with the stock trading above key moving averages, though limited momentum indicators cap conviction.
Positive Factors
Diversified segment momentum
Broad-based growth across investment banking, markets and wealth diversifies revenue beyond core lending. Higher-fee businesses and growing AUM (> $2.4T) create more stable, fee-based income that reduces earnings cyclicality and supports long-term return targets even if loan growth slows.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
A meaningful rise in leverage increases sensitivity to funding and credit stress and reduces balance-sheet flexibility. Higher debt-to-equity can amplify losses in downturns, complicate capital planning, and may force deleveraging or constrain payouts if regulator or markets demand stronger buffers.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified segment momentum
Broad-based growth across investment banking, markets and wealth diversifies revenue beyond core lending. Higher-fee businesses and growing AUM (> $2.4T) create more stable, fee-based income that reduces earnings cyclicality and supports long-term return targets even if loan growth slows.
Read all positive factors

Wells Fargo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Loans by Segment
Average Loans by Segment
Shows the distribution of loan portfolios across various segments, indicating lending focus and potential exposure to credit risk or growth opportunities.
Chart InsightsConsumer loans retraced earlier declines and have rebounded into 2025–Q1 2026, but the recent surge in system loan growth is coming disproportionately from Corporate & Investment Banking and Commercial loans, with Wealth lending also gradually expanding. Management’s call confirms strong period‑end loan growth and expects mid‑single‑digit average loan growth through 2026, which supports revenue upside; however, NII upside may be tempered by NIM compression, a shift to higher‑cost deposits, and sizable NDFI exposure—monitor margins and credit quality as the mix shifts toward wholesale lending.
Data provided by:The Fly

Wells Fargo (WFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wells Fargo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consume...
How the Company Makes Money
Wells Fargo primarily makes money by earning (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest (fee-based) income. Net interest income is generated by taking in customer deposits and other funding at a cost (interest paid on deposits and borrowings) and...

Wells Fargo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broad set of positive operating and financial trends: double‑digit improvements in EPS, revenue growth, strong loan and deposit expansion, improving efficiency, robust investment banking and markets momentum, and better credit metrics. Management reiterated full‑year NII guidance and a clear focus on achieving a 17%–18% RoTCE target. Counterbalancing these positives are near‑term margin pressure from growth in interest‑bearing deposits and markets financing, reliance on lumpy venture gains, declines in home lending/servicing revenue, and some regulatory/capital rule uncertainty. On balance the company showed sustainable operational momentum, but investors should watch NIM trajectory, deposit mix, and the translation of markets balance sheet growth into stable long‑term returns.
Positive Updates
Strong EPS and Revenue Growth
Diluted EPS of $2.00, up 25% year over year; total revenue grew 9% year over year, driven by broad-based strength across all operating segments.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin Pressure and Near-term Compression
Net interest margin declined 4 basis points from the prior quarter and management expects modest NIM compression in Q3 (broadly in line with Q2's decline from Q1) before stabilizing in Q4. Growth in interest-bearing deposits and markets financing (lower spread) are cited as main drivers of NIM pressure.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong EPS and Revenue Growth
Diluted EPS of $2.00, up 25% year over year; total revenue grew 9% year over year, driven by broad-based strength across all operating segments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance for net interest income of $50 billion, plus or minus (with NII ex‑markets ~ $48 billion and markets NII ~ $2 billion), and said they expect stronger H2 versus H1 revenue growth, modest net interest margin compression in Q3 (broadly in line with Q2’s decline from Q1) before stabilizing in Q4, and full‑year noninterest expense of about $55.7 billion (with somewhat higher revenue‑related expenses in H2 offset by lower other expenses from continued efficiency). They also highlighted Q2 operating metrics supporting the outlook: average loans up 12% YoY, average deposits up 10% YoY (non‑interest bearing balances now expected to be relatively stable versus prior expectations), Q2 net income $4.1B and diluted EPS $2 (up 17% and 25% YoY, respectively), RoTCE 17.7% in Q2 (16.1% YTD) toward a medium‑term 17%–18% target, CET1 10.3% (target range 10.0%–10.5%), net loan charge‑offs 34 bps (down 10 bps YoY), efficiency ratio 60% (improved 4 ppts YoY), headcount 197k (24 consecutive quarters of reductions), continued capital returns ($9.8B returned in H1, including $7.0B buybacks; $3.0B repurchased in Q2), an expected 11% Q3 dividend increase to $0.50 subject to board approval, and an estimated ~7% RWA reduction under the proposed capital rules.

Wells Fargo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid for a diversified bank (TTM net margin ~17.5%, EBIT margin ~21.2%) and ROE is healthy (~12.6%), but the financial profile is held back by an uneven revenue growth path and a meaningful increase in leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.55 TTM vs ~1.25–1.60 in 2022–2024). Cash flow is the weakest area due to multi-year volatility despite a positive TTM rebound.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue129.10B123.53B125.40B115.34B83.44B83.08B
Gross Profit83.28B80.04B77.96B77.20B72.83B83.32B
EBITDA33.13B29.35B30.92B27.91B22.46B37.45B
Net Income22.65B21.34B19.72B19.14B13.68B22.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28T2.15T1.93T1.93T1.88T1.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments939.76B471.55B363.46B362.61B272.75B411.47B
Total Debt459.14B425.72B281.88B297.15B226.01B195.10B
Total Liabilities2.10T1.97T1.75T1.75T1.70T1.76T
Stockholders Equity180.19B181.12B179.12B185.74B180.23B187.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.17B-19.00B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B
Operating Cash Flow19.17B-19.00B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B
Investing Cash Flow-253.87B-192.41B-15.65B16.04B-42.48B-7.62B
Financing Cash Flow217.90B177.59B-21.53B20.49B-59.65B-11.24B

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price86.31
Price Trends
50DMA
83.20
Positive
100DMA
80.97
Positive
200DMA
84.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Positive
RSI
53.62
Neutral
STOCH
41.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 86.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.61, above the 50-day MA of 83.20, and above the 200-day MA of 84.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WFC.

Wells Fargo Risk Analysis

Wells Fargo disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wells Fargo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wells Fargo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$940.11B15.1217.81%1.70%8.17%19.76%
73
Outperform
$438.07B14.0511.13%1.80%-2.06%27.92%
73
Outperform
$367.67B17.4111.41%3.62%-6.12%12.49%
73
Outperform
$98.00B12.5812.49%3.25%2.42%19.99%
72
Outperform
$258.34B12.3312.57%2.09%4.24%18.04%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$226.92B14.048.39%1.82%3.91%37.25%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFC
Wells Fargo
86.45
10.34
13.59%
BAC
Bank of America
61.95
17.26
38.63%
C
Citigroup
132.45
42.66
47.50%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
106.42
47.91
81.87%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
351.79
67.85
23.90%
USB
US Bancorp
63.01
20.75
49.12%

Wells Fargo Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Wells Fargo Posts Strong Second-Quarter 2026 Earnings
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Wells Fargo reported second quarter 2026 net income of $6.4 billion, equivalent to $2.00 per diluted share, with total revenue rising to $22.6 billion from $20.8 billion a year earlier. The results reflected a 9% year-over-year r...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wells Fargo Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
At its April 28, 2026 annual shareholder meeting, Wells Fargo investors approved an amendment and restatement of the bank’s 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan, reauthorized executive pay on an advisory basis, and ratified KPMG as the independent ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026