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Wells Fargo (WFC)
NYSE:WFC
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Wells Fargo (WFC) AI Stock Analysis

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WFC

Wells Fargo

(NYSE:WFC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$90.00
â–²(7.00% Upside)
Wells Fargo's overall stock score of 72 reflects a balanced outlook. The most significant factor is the positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting strategic growth initiatives and improved financial resilience. While technical analysis and valuation are supportive, financial performance shows mixed results with strong profitability but concerns over cash flow and leverage.
Positive Factors
Asset Cap Removal
The removal of the asset cap provides Wells Fargo with greater flexibility in capital allocation, enabling potential growth in loans and deposits. This structural change can enhance the bank's competitive position and support long-term expansion.
Credit Performance
Improved credit performance with lower net loan charge-offs indicates strong risk management and financial health. This enhances the bank's ability to maintain profitability and stability over the long term.
Investment Banking Growth
The growth in investment banking fees reflects Wells Fargo's strengthening position in corporate investment banking. This trend supports revenue diversification and long-term growth potential in a competitive sector.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can pose risks in volatile markets, potentially straining financial flexibility. This could impact the bank's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns effectively.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow indicates inefficiencies in converting income to cash, which can hinder the bank's ability to fund operations and investments. This poses a risk to long-term financial stability and growth.
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness. This trend may affect the bank's ability to sustain profitability and expand its customer base over time.

Wells Fargo (WFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wells Fargo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies. Its products and services include banking and credit products across various industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management services. The Corporate and Investment Banking segment offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. Its products and services comprise corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth, and ultra-high-net worth clients. It also operates through financial advisors. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyWells Fargo generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees from various financial services. Its main revenue streams include net interest income from a diverse portfolio of loans, including residential mortgages, auto loans, and commercial loans, as well as service fees from deposit accounts, investment services, and wealth management. Additionally, the bank earns income through its capital markets and investment banking services, which include underwriting, advisory, and trading services. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and technology companies enhance Wells Fargo's capabilities and customer offerings, contributing to its overall earnings. The bank also benefits from its extensive branch network and digital banking services, which help attract and retain customers while driving transaction-based revenue.

Wells Fargo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Loans by Segment
Average Loans by Segment
Shows the distribution of loan portfolios across various segments, indicating lending focus and potential exposure to credit risk or growth opportunities.
Chart InsightsWells Fargo's average loans in Consumer Banking and Lending have been declining since 2022, reflecting a strategic shift amid competitive pressures. However, the recent earnings call highlights a positive outlook with the removal of the asset cap, allowing for more aggressive growth in deposits and loan allocations. Despite modest loan growth expectations, the focus on investment banking growth and improved credit performance suggests strategic diversification. The potential for increased dividends and stock buybacks indicates confidence in financial stability, though competitive pressure on loan yields remains a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Wells Fargo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with significant progress in financial performance, removal of the asset cap, and strategic growth initiatives. However, there are challenges in certain segments like auto revenue and commercial banking revenue.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income and Earnings Growth
Net income for the second quarter was $5.5 billion, or $1.60 per diluted common share, up from both the first quarter and a year ago.
Asset Cap Removal
The asset cap was removed, marking a pivotal milestone in the company's transformation, allowing for more flexibility in capital allocation.
Investment Banking Fees Increase
Investment banking fees increased by 16% during the first half of the year, indicating strong growth in corporate investment banking.
Credit Performance Improvement
Credit performance improved with lower net loan charge-offs compared to both the previous quarter and a year ago.
Dividend Increase
The company expects to increase its third-quarter common stock dividend by 12.5% to $0.45 per share, subject to board approval.
Negative Updates
Auto Revenue Decline
Auto revenue decreased by 15% from a year ago, driven by lower loan balances and loan spread compression.
Commercial Banking Revenue Decline
Revenue in commercial banking was down 6% from a year ago due to lower net interest income and the impact of lower interest rates.
Mortgage Market Weakness
The mortgage market continued to be weak compared to historical levels due to the high rate environment, affecting home lending revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Wells Fargo Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics indicating its financial health and strategic direction. Net income for the second quarter was reported at $5.5 billion, or $1.60 per diluted common share, showcasing an increase from both the previous quarter and year. The company also highlighted a 23% reduction in headcount over five years, improving operational efficiency. Notably, Wells Fargo's asset cap was removed, allowing more flexibility in capital allocation, which is expected to bolster growth in loans and deposits. The bank's return on tangible common equity improved, and a significant reduction in net loan charge-offs was achieved, reflecting strong credit performance. Additionally, the expected stress capital buffer will decrease by 120 basis points starting in the fourth quarter, reducing the required CET1 regulatory minimum plus buffers to 8.5%. The company announced a proposed 12.5% increase in its third-quarter dividend to $0.45 per share, pending board approval. Wells Fargo also committed to a $40 billion stock repurchase program, having already repurchased over $6 billion in the first half of the year. These metrics underscore the bank's ongoing focus on enhancing shareholder value and financial resilience while pursuing strategic growth initiatives.

Wells Fargo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wells Fargo exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. The balance sheet is solid with moderate leverage and a healthy equity position. However, there is potential for enhancing net efficiency and liquidity management, and cash flow efficiency could improve.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Wells Fargo demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent revenue growth trend, evidenced by a 1.87% increase in TTM revenue compared to the annual report from 2024. Gross profit and EBIT margins are robust, at 100.38% and 64.35%, respectively, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin of 25.18% suggests room for improvement in net efficiency. Notably, the company has maintained positive revenue growth over the years.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 9.29%, showing a solid capital base relative to total assets. Return on equity is healthy at 11.04%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the decrease in cash and short-term investments over the TTM period highlights potential liquidity concerns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.21, showing some room for improvement in cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also 0.21, suggesting that while free cash flow is positive, cash generation relative to profit is modest. Positive free cash flow growth indicates ongoing operational cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue122.33B125.40B115.34B83.44B83.08B82.23B
Gross Profit77.62B77.96B77.20B72.83B83.32B60.13B
EBITDA30.90B30.92B27.91B22.46B37.45B10.72B
Net Income20.58B19.72B19.14B13.68B22.11B3.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.98T1.93T1.93T1.88T1.95T1.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments379.43B363.46B362.61B272.75B411.47B485.00B
Total Debt364.23B281.88B297.15B226.01B195.10B271.95B
Total Liabilities1.80T1.75T1.75T1.70T1.76T1.77T
Stockholders Equity181.11B179.12B185.74B180.23B187.61B184.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.14B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Operating Cash Flow-9.14B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow-41.62B-15.65B16.04B-42.48B-7.62B122.55B
Financing Cash Flow13.12B-21.53B20.49B-59.65B-11.24B-1.24B

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price84.11
Price Trends
50DMA
80.47
Positive
100DMA
78.26
Positive
200DMA
74.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Negative
RSI
61.72
Neutral
STOCH
75.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.99, above the 50-day MA of 80.47, and above the 200-day MA of 74.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFC.

Wells Fargo Risk Analysis

Wells Fargo disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wells Fargo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wells Fargo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
241.11B13.9212.96%4.69%-2.96%-13.66%
74
Outperform
382.94B15.149.37%2.05%4.95%20.49%
74
Outperform
861.83B16.0515.84%1.69%4.00%8.73%
74
Outperform
152.48B10.6412.75%2.26%-14.74%17.03%
72
Outperform
$272.81B14.5211.51%1.96%0.37%19.89%
70
Outperform
187.13B15.236.65%2.24%0.52%89.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFC
Wells Fargo
84.11
31.67
60.39%
BAC
Bank of America
51.70
13.35
34.81%
C
Citigroup
101.65
43.07
73.52%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
69.89
27.71
65.69%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
313.42
107.85
52.46%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
10.29
5.42
111.29%

Wells Fargo Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wells Fargo Awards CEO $30M Equity Package
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Wells Fargo‘s Board of Directors awarded CEO Charles W. Scharf a one-time equity award valued at approximately $30 million in Restricted Share Rights and 1.046 million Stock Options, vesting over a six-year period. This decision reflects the Board’s intention to retain Mr. Scharf and recognize his leadership in transforming the company, enhancing shareholder value, and achieving significant regulatory milestones. Additionally, the Board plans to appoint Mr. Scharf as Chairman, with a Lead Independent Director to ensure continued independent oversight. These actions are part of a broader strategy to align executive compensation with long-term shareholder value and maintain competitive positioning within the financial industry.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Wells Fargo Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.5 billion for the second quarter of 2025, translating to $1.60 per diluted share. This reflects an increase from the previous year, driven by efforts to boost fee-based income and growth in both net interest and noninterest income. The company also repurchased $3.0 billion worth of common stock and gained $253 million from acquiring the remaining interest in its merchant services joint venture.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wells Fargo Amends Certificate for Preferred Stock
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Wells Fargo & Company filed a Certificate Eliminating the Certificate of Designations for its 5.875% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Class A Preferred Stock, Series U, with the Delaware Secretary of State. This action effectively removed all matters related to the Series U Preferred from the company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation, reflecting a strategic decision that could impact the company’s capital structure and shareholder relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025