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Wells Fargo (WFC)
NYSE:WFC

Wells Fargo (WFC) AI Stock Analysis

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WF

Wells Fargo

(NYSE:WFC)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(6.09%Upside)
Wells Fargo's overall stock score is bolstered by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. While valuation metrics are reasonable, economic uncertainties and regulatory changes pose challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and robust credit performance contribute positively to its outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings and Growth Potential
Analyst reiterates a Buy rating and raises the price objective to $90, indicating confidence in Wells Fargo's future growth.
Investor Sentiment
There is potential for a new pool of investors who were previously fatigued by regulatory overhang to invest in Wells Fargo due to its unique growth story and potential for efficiency gains.
Regulatory Changes
The Federal Reserve lifted Wells Fargo's asset cap, allowing the bank to accelerate growth and achieve peer-leading ROTCE and operating efficiency.
Negative Factors
Market Share Recovery
Wells Fargo is entering a competitive market as it seeks to regain lost deposit market share and funding for growth in several business areas.
Regulatory and Legal Pressures
Despite improvements, Wells Fargo still faces a challenge to completely overcome the economic and reputational consequences associated with legacy issues.

Wells Fargo (WFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wells Fargo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWells Fargo & Company is a diversified, community-based financial services company with a significant presence in the United States. It operates in three primary business segments: Community Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. The company offers a wide array of financial products and services, including consumer banking, corporate banking, investment banking, mortgage lending, and asset management. As one of the largest banks in the U.S., Wells Fargo serves millions of customers through a vast network of branches, ATMs, and digital platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyWells Fargo makes money through various revenue streams primarily from its extensive range of financial services and products. The company's primary sources of revenue include interest income from loans and credit products, such as mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards. Additionally, it earns fees from non-interest income sources like banking services, wealth and investment management, and transaction processing. Another significant contributor to its revenue is its wholesale banking operations, which provide services to businesses, governments, and institutions. Cross-selling of products and services to its existing customer base also plays a crucial role in its earnings. The company's partnerships with fintech firms and technology investments enhance its digital offerings, contributing to customer acquisition and retention, which in turn supports its revenue growth.

Wells Fargo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Loans by Segment
Average Loans by Segment
Shows the distribution of loan portfolios across various segments, indicating lending focus and potential exposure to credit risk or growth opportunities.
Chart InsightsWells Fargo's average loans in Consumer Banking and Lending have been on a downward trend since 2022, reflecting a cautious consumer environment. Meanwhile, Commercial Banking loans have stabilized, with modest growth in pockets, aligning with the earnings call's mention of increased demand from commercial clients. Corporate and Investment Banking loans have seen a decline, possibly due to strategic repositioning and regulatory impacts. Wealth and Investment Management loans show resilience, with recent growth aligning with enhanced collaboration efforts. Despite challenges, Wells Fargo's strategic focus on fee-based revenue and risk management supports its long-term stability.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Wells Fargo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 11, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 27.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment with notable achievements in earnings growth, credit performance, and strategic progress being offset by challenges such as declines in net interest income, economic uncertainty, and regulatory impacts. While the company is making progress in its strategic priorities and capital return, it faces headwinds from a volatile economic environment and regulatory uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Diluted Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share increased by 16% from a year ago, reflecting solid performance despite revenue decline from lower net interest income.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned $4.8 billion of capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with diluted average common shares outstanding down 8% from a year ago.
Credit Performance Improvement
Credit performance improved with lower net charge-offs driven by better performance in the commercial portfolio.
Progress on Strategic Priorities
Five consent orders were terminated in the first quarter, indicating significant progress in risk and control work.
Growth in Fee-based Revenue
Fee-based revenue grew across many businesses, driven by investments to diversify revenues.
Consumer and Commercial Loan Growth
Loan growth was modest, with pockets of increased demand from commercial clients.
Expansion in Commercial Banking
Strong growth in investment banking fees, especially in debt capital markets.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Interest Income
Net interest income declined by $341 million or 3% from the fourth quarter due to lower rates and fewer days in the quarter.
Non-interest Income Stability Concerns
Non-interest income was stable compared to a year ago, with impairments in the venture capital portfolio and losses from investment portfolio repositioning.
Uncertainty in Economic Environment
Anticipated slower economic environment in 2025 due to policy changes and trade barriers, posing risks to business performance.
Potential Impact of Regulatory Environment
Uncertainty regarding the impact of regulatory changes and the asset cap on future growth opportunities.
Commercial Loan Balances Stability
Average commercial loan balances were stable, with modest growth observed only in certain segments.
Company Guidance
During the Wells Fargo & Company First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 16% increase in diluted earnings per share year-over-year. Despite a decline in revenue due to lower net interest income, Wells Fargo saw growth in fee-based revenue across various businesses. The company returned $4.8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, while its diluted average common shares outstanding decreased by 8% from the previous year. The bank's credit performance improved, with net charge-offs lower than both the previous year and the fourth quarter. Expenses were reduced as part of efficiency initiatives, and strong credit discipline was maintained. Strategic priorities included the termination of five consent orders in the first quarter, contributing to a total of eleven terminations since 2019, and significant progress in risk and control work. The company also noted growth in its card business, increased collaboration in wealth and investment management, and strong investment banking fee generation. Looking forward, Wells Fargo expects modest economic growth in 2025, with potential impacts from regulatory changes and trade policies, but remains confident in its strong balance sheet and ability to support customers.

Wells Fargo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wells Fargo exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. The balance sheet is solid, with moderate leverage and a healthy equity position. However, liquidity management and cash conversion efficiency could be improved.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Wells Fargo demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent revenue growth trend, evidenced by a 1.87% increase in TTM revenue compared to the annual report from 2024. Gross profit and EBIT margins are robust, at 100.38% and 64.35%, respectively, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin of 25.18% suggests room for improvement in net efficiency. Notably, the company has maintained positive revenue growth over the years.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 9.29%, showing a solid capital base relative to total assets. Return on equity is healthy at 11.04%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the decrease in cash and short-term investments over the TTM period highlights potential liquidity concerns.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.21, showing some room for improvement in cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also 0.21, suggesting that while free cash flow is positive, cash generation relative to profit is modest. Positive free cash flow growth indicates ongoing operational cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.55B125.40B115.34B83.44B83.08B82.23B
Gross Profit77.25B77.96B77.20B72.83B83.32B60.13B
EBITDA30.70B30.92B27.91B22.46B37.45B10.72B
Net Income20.00B19.72B19.14B13.68B22.11B3.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.95T1.93T1.93T1.88T1.95T1.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments352.31B363.46B362.61B272.75B411.47B485.00B
Total Debt313.44B281.88B297.15B226.01B195.10B271.95B
Total Liabilities1.77T1.75T1.75T1.70T1.76T1.77T
Stockholders Equity181.09B179.12B185.74B180.23B187.61B184.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.12B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Operating Cash Flow4.12B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow-64.25B-15.65B16.04B-42.48B-7.62B122.55B
Financing Cash Flow-32.29B-21.53B20.49B-59.65B-11.24B-1.24B

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.12
Price Trends
50DMA
73.73
Positive
100DMA
72.92
Positive
200DMA
69.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Negative
RSI
68.66
Neutral
STOCH
92.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.99, above the 50-day MA of 73.73, and above the 200-day MA of 69.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFC.

Wells Fargo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BABAC
81
Outperform
$354.90B14.079.46%2.21%8.23%16.15%
80
Outperform
$212.07B11.2410.83%3.25%-1.91%-6.79%
JPJPM
78
Outperform
$797.91B14.0917.25%1.95%12.41%23.05%
WFWFC
76
Outperform
$258.71B14.2811.05%2.01%3.51%16.51%
CC
76
Outperform
$157.60B13.336.30%2.65%2.97%87.82%
76
Outperform
$156.11B13.239.18%1.93%5.39%20.82%
67
Neutral
$16.67B11.469.71%3.91%11.61%-9.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFC
Wells Fargo
80.12
20.58
34.56%
BAC
Bank of America
47.32
7.37
18.45%
C
Citigroup
85.12
22.56
36.06%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
60.79
19.34
46.66%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
289.91
85.81
42.04%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
13.72
2.79
25.53%

Wells Fargo Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wells Fargo Amends Certificate for Preferred Stock
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Wells Fargo & Company filed a Certificate Eliminating the Certificate of Designations for its 5.875% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Class A Preferred Stock, Series U, with the Delaware Secretary of State. This action effectively removed all matters related to the Series U Preferred from the company’s Restated Certificate of Incorporation, reflecting a strategic decision that could impact the company’s capital structure and shareholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (WFC) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wells Fargo stock, see the WFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wells Fargo’s Asset Cap Lifted by Federal Reserve
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Wells Fargo announced that the Federal Reserve has lifted the asset growth limits imposed on the company under a 2018 consent order. This decision followed comprehensive improvements in board effectiveness and operational risk programs, verified by independent and Federal Reserve reviews. The lifting of the asset cap is seen as a pivotal milestone in Wells Fargo’s transformation journey, with CEO Charlie Scharf highlighting the company’s strengthened position and future growth plans. In recognition of the employees’ contributions to this achievement, Wells Fargo is awarding a special $2,000 stock grant to all full-time employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (WFC) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wells Fargo stock, see the WFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Wells Fargo Announces Redemption of Capital Securities
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Wells Fargo & Company and Wells Fargo Bank announced the redemption of capital securities issued by CoreStates Capital II and CoreStates Capital III, with the redemption date set for June 30, 2025. This move will result in no outstanding capital securities for these trusts, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and signaling a strategic shift in managing its capital resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (WFC) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wells Fargo stock, see the WFC Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wells Fargo Announces Redemption of Preferred Stock
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Wells Fargo announced the redemption of all 80,000 outstanding shares of its 5.875% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Class A Preferred Stock, Series U, and the related depositary shares, effective June 16, 2025. This move will result in no remaining shares of the Series U Preferred Stock or Depositary Shares, impacting the company’s financial structure and potentially affecting stakeholders involved with these securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (WFC) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wells Fargo stock, see the WFC Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Wells Fargo Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

Wells Fargo reported a net income of $4.9 billion, or $1.39 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a 16% increase in diluted earnings per share from the previous year. The company also repurchased 44.5 million shares of common stock and noted gains from the sale of a segment of its commercial mortgage servicing business, as well as tax benefits, despite some losses on debt securities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 04, 2025