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Wells Fargo (WFC)
NYSE:WFC

Wells Fargo (WFC) AI Stock Analysis

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WFC

Wells Fargo

(NYSE:WFC)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$104.00
â–²(10.09% Upside)
Wells Fargo's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and technical analysis, indicating positive momentum and strategic growth opportunities. Financial performance shows robust profitability but highlights the need for improved cash flow management. Valuation remains attractive, supporting the stock's potential for future gains.
Positive Factors
Lifting of Asset Cap
The removal of the asset cap enables Wells Fargo to expand its operations and grow its asset base, enhancing its competitive position and allowing for strategic growth opportunities.
Investment Banking Growth
Strong growth in investment banking fees indicates robust demand for advisory services and enhances revenue diversification, supporting long-term financial stability.
AI Leadership Appointment
Appointing a leader for AI initiatives positions Wells Fargo to leverage technology for operational efficiency and innovation, which is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Higher leverage can increase financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting the company's financial flexibility and stability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flows indicate potential liquidity issues, which could constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations.
Decline in Commercial Real Estate Revenue
A decline in commercial real estate revenue reflects challenges in this segment, which could impact overall revenue growth and profitability if not addressed.

Wells Fargo (WFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wells Fargo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies. Its products and services include banking and credit products across various industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management services. The Corporate and Investment Banking segment offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. Its products and services comprise corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth, and ultra-high-net worth clients. It also operates through financial advisors. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyWells Fargo generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from fees for services. Key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, residential mortgages, and credit card lending. Additionally, the company earns fees from wealth management services, investment banking, and transaction services. Significant partnerships with various financial institutions and businesses enhance its product offerings and customer reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the management of interest rates, loan demand, and the overall economic environment.

Wells Fargo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Loans by Segment
Average Loans by Segment
Shows the distribution of loan portfolios across various segments, indicating lending focus and potential exposure to credit risk or growth opportunities.
Chart InsightsWells Fargo's average loans in Consumer Banking and Lending have been declining since 2022, reflecting a strategic shift amid competitive pressures. However, the recent earnings call highlights a positive outlook with the removal of the asset cap, allowing for more aggressive growth in deposits and loan allocations. Despite modest loan growth expectations, the focus on investment banking growth and improved credit performance suggests strategic diversification. The potential for increased dividends and stock buybacks indicates confidence in financial stability, though competitive pressure on loan yields remains a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Wells Fargo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with significant progress in financial performance, removal of the asset cap, and strategic growth initiatives. However, there are challenges in certain segments like auto revenue and commercial banking revenue.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income and Earnings Growth
Net income for the second quarter was $5.5 billion, or $1.60 per diluted common share, up from both the first quarter and a year ago.
Asset Cap Removal
The asset cap was removed, marking a pivotal milestone in the company's transformation, allowing for more flexibility in capital allocation.
Investment Banking Fees Increase
Investment banking fees increased by 16% during the first half of the year, indicating strong growth in corporate investment banking.
Credit Performance Improvement
Credit performance improved with lower net loan charge-offs compared to both the previous quarter and a year ago.
Dividend Increase
The company expects to increase its third-quarter common stock dividend by 12.5% to $0.45 per share, subject to board approval.
Negative Updates
Auto Revenue Decline
Auto revenue decreased by 15% from a year ago, driven by lower loan balances and loan spread compression.
Commercial Banking Revenue Decline
Revenue in commercial banking was down 6% from a year ago due to lower net interest income and the impact of lower interest rates.
Mortgage Market Weakness
The mortgage market continued to be weak compared to historical levels due to the high rate environment, affecting home lending revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Wells Fargo Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics indicating its financial health and strategic direction. Net income for the second quarter was reported at $5.5 billion, or $1.60 per diluted common share, showcasing an increase from both the previous quarter and year. The company also highlighted a 23% reduction in headcount over five years, improving operational efficiency. Notably, Wells Fargo's asset cap was removed, allowing more flexibility in capital allocation, which is expected to bolster growth in loans and deposits. The bank's return on tangible common equity improved, and a significant reduction in net loan charge-offs was achieved, reflecting strong credit performance. Additionally, the expected stress capital buffer will decrease by 120 basis points starting in the fourth quarter, reducing the required CET1 regulatory minimum plus buffers to 8.5%. The company announced a proposed 12.5% increase in its third-quarter dividend to $0.45 per share, pending board approval. Wells Fargo also committed to a $40 billion stock repurchase program, having already repurchased over $6 billion in the first half of the year. These metrics underscore the bank's ongoing focus on enhancing shareholder value and financial resilience while pursuing strategic growth initiatives.

Wells Fargo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wells Fargo shows strong profitability with a robust gross profit margin of 64.5% and a net profit margin of 17.2%. However, increased leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.25 and negative cash flows in the TTM highlight potential financial risks. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow management and controlling debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Wells Fargo has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 18.9%. The gross profit margin is robust at 64.5%, and the net profit margin has improved to 17.2%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in revenue from 2024 to 2025 suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 2.25 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity remains solid at 11.7%, reflecting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the increased debt levels warrant caution.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Wells Fargo's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The company needs to improve its cash flow management to ensure long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue122.56B125.40B115.34B83.44B83.08B82.23B
Gross Profit79.07B77.96B77.20B72.83B83.32B60.13B
EBITDA30.19B30.92B27.91B22.46B37.45B10.72B
Net Income21.06B19.72B19.14B13.68B22.11B3.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06T1.93T1.93T1.88T1.95T1.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments486.13B363.46B362.61B272.75B411.47B485.00B
Total Debt408.42B281.88B297.15B226.01B195.10B271.95B
Total Liabilities1.88T1.75T1.75T1.70T1.76T1.77T
Stockholders Equity181.15B179.12B185.74B180.23B187.61B184.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.22B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Operating Cash Flow-14.22B3.04B40.36B27.05B-11.53B2.05B
Investing Cash Flow-103.39B-15.65B16.04B-42.48B-7.62B122.55B
Financing Cash Flow106.00B-21.53B20.49B-59.65B-11.24B-1.24B

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price94.47
Price Trends
50DMA
87.33
Positive
100DMA
83.80
Positive
200DMA
78.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.30
Negative
RSI
72.80
Negative
STOCH
93.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.69, above the 50-day MA of 87.33, and above the 200-day MA of 78.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WFC.

Wells Fargo Risk Analysis

Wells Fargo disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wells Fargo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wells Fargo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$299.15B15.7011.56%1.80%-4.37%26.41%
78
Outperform
$272.79B16.808.66%4.14%-9.54%-22.46%
76
Outperform
$85.40B12.5811.69%3.77%2.91%33.77%
72
Outperform
$410.77B15.339.87%1.93%0.15%33.84%
72
Outperform
$896.09B16.3016.35%1.79%1.89%12.32%
68
Neutral
$217.50B17.096.88%1.94%-0.62%105.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WFC
Wells Fargo
95.30
25.70
36.93%
BAC
Bank of America
56.25
12.91
29.79%
C
Citigroup
121.56
52.48
75.97%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
79.58
32.87
70.37%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
329.17
93.00
39.38%
USB
US Bancorp
54.94
8.54
18.41%

Wells Fargo Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wells Fargo Announces Redemption of Debentures
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Wells Fargo announced the redemption of its Floating Rate Junior Subordinated Deferrable Interest Debentures due January 15, 2027, with the optional prepayment date set for January 15, 2026. This redemption will remove a covenant that previously restricted Wells Fargo’s ability to repurchase or redeem its 3.90% Fixed Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Class A Preferred Stock, Series BB, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wells Fargo Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Wells Fargo announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting a net income of $5.6 billion, or $1.66 per diluted share. The company experienced an increase in total revenue to $21.4 billion compared to the previous year. Notable changes included a restructuring of business segments and a significant share repurchase program. Additionally, Charlie Scharf was appointed as Chairman of the Board, with Steven Black named as Lead Independent Director, signaling strategic leadership changes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025