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Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG)
NYSE:MUFG
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Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) AI Stock Analysis

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MUFG

Mitsubishi UFJ

(NYSE:MUFG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$15.50
â–²(1.37% Upside)
Overall, Mitsubishi UFJ is well-positioned with strong financial performance marked by significant revenue growth and profitability. Technical indicators suggest stable momentum, while valuation metrics show a fair market price. The earnings call provided positive guidance despite some financial challenges, contributing to a moderately strong stock score.

Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitsubishi UFJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MUFG Bank, Ltd. that provides various financial services in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Digital Service Business Group; Retail & Commercial Banking Business Group; Japanese Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Asset Management & Investor Services Business Group; Global Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Global Commercial Banking Business Group; and Global Markets Business Group segments. The company offers commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products and services to retail, and small and medium-sized enterprise customers. It also provides M&As and real estate-related services; digital-based financial services; credit cards; and trust banking and securities products and services, as well as engages in the lending, fund settlement, and foreign exchange businesses. In addition, it offers corporate, investment, and transaction banking services for large corporate and financial institutions; asset management and administration services for corporations and pension funds; loans, deposits, fund transfers, and investments services for retail, small and medium-sized enterprise, as well as corporate customers; fixed income instruments, currencies, equities, and other investment products; originates and distributes of financial products; and provides treasury services. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMUFG generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from net interest income, which is derived from lending activities, where it provides loans to individuals and corporations at interest rates higher than its borrowing costs. Additionally, MUFG generates fee-based income through its investment banking services, which include underwriting, advisory services, and asset management. The company also benefits from trading and investment activities within its global markets division, which involves trading securities, foreign exchange, and derivatives. Significant partnerships with corporations and institutions enhance its capabilities and lead to increased business opportunities, while its extensive network of branches and digital banking services contributes to customer acquisition and retention, further bolstering its earnings.

Mitsubishi UFJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with record high profits and an upward revision of earnings targets. Shareholder returns were increased with higher dividend forecasts and share repurchases. However, the performance in global markets and the impact of FX fluctuations presented challenges. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Profits
Net operating profits were JPY 1,305.3 billion, up by JPY 219.5 billion year-on-year, marking the third consecutive year of record high first half profits. Net income reached JPY 1,258.1 billion, the highest profit since MUFG was established.
Revised Upward Earnings Targets
The company revised its net income target upwards by JPY 250 billion to JPY 1,750 billion for FY'24, due to strong growth in customer segments and progress in equity holdings sales.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Annual dividend forecast raised to JPY 60, an increase of JPY 10 against the initial forecast, with additional share repurchase of up to JPY 300 billion.
Improved Expense Ratio
Expense ratio improved by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 55.1% due to successful expense controls and gross profit increase.
Reduction in Equity Holdings
Significant reduction in equity holdings, with sales reaching JPY 170 billion in the first half, and an agreed amount to be sold reaching over 60% of the revised target.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Global Markets
Profits in the global markets business group decreased due to limited decline in US interest rates, though it is trending in line with fiscal year expectations.
Impact of Yen Fluctuations
The FX impact was significant, with a stronger yen against the dollar and a weaker yen against the Thai Baht, affecting gross profits and expenses.
Overseas Credit Costs
Credit costs increased at overseas subsidiaries due to business expansion in Asia and economic slowdown in the region, although within expectations.
Company Guidance
During the call, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) provided detailed guidance for the first half of fiscal year 2024, highlighting key financial metrics and future targets. The group reported a record high net operating profit of JPY1,305.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of JPY219.5 billion, marking the third consecutive year of record profits for the first half. Net income also reached an unprecedented JPY1,258.1 billion, the first time it exceeded JPY1 trillion in the first half. The company revised its fiscal year 2024 profit target upwards to JPY1,750 billion, reflecting an 83% progress towards its initial target. The increase in profits was driven by strong customer segment performance and significant gains from the sale of equity holdings. MUFG also announced an increase in its annual dividend forecast to JPY60 and plans for an additional JPY300 billion share repurchase, with a focus on maintaining a CET1 ratio within the target range of 9.5% to 10.5%. The bank aims to achieve a return on equity (ROE) of around 9% ahead of schedule, with plans to revise its medium to long-term targets to reflect ongoing growth and profitability improvements.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet shows a well-managed equity position, albeit with high leverage. Cash flow management needs attention due to high capital expenditures affecting free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitsubishi UFJ has shown a strong revenue growth trend over the past years, with a notable increase of 14.12% in the latest annual report. The gross profit and net profit margins are robust at 56.53% and 14.99% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting stable operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 4.97%, although high leverage is evident with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36. The return on equity of 9.08% is competitive within the industry, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the high debt levels could pose financial risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow management presents mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.44, showing strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow has been negative, indicating heavy capital expenditures impacting cash reserves. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -2.42, suggesting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.43T12.43T10.89T8.43T5.25T5.33T
Gross Profit7.03T7.03T5.38T5.38T4.37T4.04T
EBITDA2.55T2.97T2.41T1.90T1.85T1.40T
Net Income1.86T1.86T1.49T1.12T1.13T777.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt89.40T89.40T25.75T47.28T19.11T18.09T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity20.52T20.52T19.59T17.23T17.02T16.80T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-450.29B-10.31T13.03T9.25T34.51T
Operating Cash Flow0.006.42B-9.84T13.43T9.64T34.90T
Investing Cash Flow0.00-186.95B-1.27T-10.68T-2.20T-10.14T
Financing Cash Flow0.00-861.12B8.31B-977.14B-875.97B-436.07B

Mitsubishi UFJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.29
Price Trends
50DMA
14.28
Positive
100DMA
13.60
Positive
200DMA
12.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Positive
RSI
57.48
Neutral
STOCH
27.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.04, above the 50-day MA of 14.28, and above the 200-day MA of 12.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MUFG.

Mitsubishi UFJ Risk Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mitsubishi UFJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mitsubishi UFJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$218.15B12.7810.69%5.09%-2.96%-13.66%
77
Outperform
$263.26B14.0911.51%2.01%0.37%19.89%
76
Outperform
$173.17B14.249.43%2.29%0.82%28.48%
76
Outperform
$105.94B13.388.23%2.49%0.67%11.85%
74
Outperform
$141.66B9.8912.85%2.44%-14.74%17.03%
73
Outperform
$177.78B14.286.64%2.36%0.52%89.25%
68
Neutral
$17.90B11.8610.29%3.72%9.74%1.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
15.29
4.84
46.32%
C
Citigroup
96.57
36.94
61.95%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
64.47
23.47
57.24%
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
16.42
3.07
23.00%
WFC
Wells Fargo
82.18
25.08
43.92%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
9.53
4.86
104.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2025