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Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG)
NYSE:MUFG

Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) AI Stock Analysis

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Mitsubishi UFJ

(NYSE:MUFG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$15.50
â–²(12.97%Upside)
Overall, Mitsubishi UFJ is well-positioned with strong financial performance marked by significant revenue growth and profitability. Technical indicators suggest stable momentum, while valuation metrics show a fair market price. The earnings call provided positive guidance despite some financial challenges, contributing to a moderately strong stock score.

Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitsubishi UFJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MUFG Bank, Ltd. that provides various financial services in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Digital Service Business Group; Retail & Commercial Banking Business Group; Japanese Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Asset Management & Investor Services Business Group; Global Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Global Commercial Banking Business Group; and Global Markets Business Group segments. The company offers commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products and services to retail, and small and medium-sized enterprise customers. It also provides M&As and real estate-related services; digital-based financial services; credit cards; and trust banking and securities products and services, as well as engages in the lending, fund settlement, and foreign exchange businesses. In addition, it offers corporate, investment, and transaction banking services for large corporate and financial institutions; asset management and administration services for corporations and pension funds; loans, deposits, fund transfers, and investments services for retail, small and medium-sized enterprise, as well as corporate customers; fixed income instruments, currencies, equities, and other investment products; originates and distributes of financial products; and provides treasury services. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMUFG generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily centered around its core banking operations. The company earns income from interest on loans provided to individuals and businesses, as well as from fees and commissions for various financial services including asset management, investment banking, securities trading, and advisory services. Additionally, MUFG benefits from its global presence, leveraging international markets to enhance its income through foreign exchange transactions and cross-border business activities. The group's strategic partnerships and alliances, both domestically and internationally, further bolster its revenue by expanding its reach and capabilities in delivering comprehensive financial solutions.

Mitsubishi UFJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 3.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant positive achievements, such as record high net operating profit and increased profits attributable to owners, alongside improvements in expense ratios and shareholder returns. However, there are notable challenges, including a decrease in global markets profit, increased credit costs, and a decline in the CET1 ratio. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is slightly positive given the strong financial performance and strategic shareholder return initiatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Operating Profit
Net operating profit increased ¥249.4 billion to ¥1,843.7 billion, a record high, offsetting the impact of the sale of MUB.
Increase in Profits Attributable to Owners of Parent
Profits attributable to owners of parent increased by ¥374.2 billion year-on-year to ¥1,490.7 billion, the highest profit in MUFG history.
Significant Improvement in Expense Ratio
Expense ratio improved significantly to 61%, down 3.5 percentage points from the same period last year due to gross profit growth and successful expense control.
Dividend Increase and Share Repurchase
Dividend per common stock forecast is set at ¥50, an increase of ¥9 for two consecutive years. Additionally, repurchase of own shares up to ¥100 billion was resolved.
Strong Increase in Net Operating Profit in Customer Segments
Total net operating profit of Customer segments rose sharply by ¥470.3 billion due to an increase in lending, deposit interest income, and fee income.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Global Markets Profit
Global Markets posted a decrease in profit due to an increase in foreign currency funding costs in treasury business and significant impact of portfolio rebalancing.
Increase in Credit Costs
Total credit cost amounted to ¥497.9 billion, reflecting the absence of the reversal of reserves in the previous year and an increase in overseas allowances, including the impact of acquisitions and individual company factors.
Decline in CET1 Ratio
CET1 ratio declined by approximately 50 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 10.1%, partly due to technical factors and foreign currency translation reserve changes.
Reduction Target in Equity Holdings
Target for reduction in equity holdings decreased from ¥500 billion to ¥350 billion, citing negotiation challenges and remaining bedrock brands.
Company Guidance
In the recent Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group briefing, Mr. Jun Togawa, the Group CFO, presented the financial highlights for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024. Key metrics included a ¥229.5 billion year-on-year increase in gross profits and a notable growth in net fees and commissions by approximately ¥130 billion, attributed primarily to foreign loans and the Wealth Management business. Despite inflationary pressures and the impact of a weaker yen, G&A expenses decreased by ¥19.9 billion, improving the expense ratio to 61%. The net operating profit rose by ¥249.4 billion, reaching a record high of ¥1,843.7 billion. The profits attributable to owners of the parent surged by ¥374.2 billion to ¥1,490.7 billion, marking the highest profit in the company's history. Additionally, the ROE stood at 8.5%, or 8.1% when excluding certain effects. The CET1 ratio was reported at 10.1%, and the company outlined a target ROE of around 9% by the end of the new medium-term business plan, with a financial target for FY '24 set at ¥1.5 trillion profits attributable to owners of the parent. Shareholder returns included a forecasted dividend per common stock of ¥50, alongside a share repurchase plan of up to ¥100 billion.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet shows a well-managed equity position, albeit with high leverage. Cash flow management needs attention due to high capital expenditures affecting free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitsubishi UFJ has shown a strong revenue growth trend over the past years, with a notable increase of 14.12% in the latest annual report. The gross profit and net profit margins are robust at 56.53% and 14.99% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting stable operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 4.97%, although high leverage is evident with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36. The return on equity of 9.08% is competitive within the industry, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the high debt levels could pose financial risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow management presents mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.44, showing strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow has been negative, indicating heavy capital expenditures impacting cash reserves. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -2.42, suggesting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.43T10.89T4.00T5.25T5.33T
Gross Profit7.03T5.38T4.00T4.37T4.04T
EBITDA2.97T2.41T1.90T1.85T1.40T
Net Income1.86T1.49T1.12T1.13T777.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt89.40T25.75T47.28T19.11T18.09T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity20.52T19.59T17.23T17.02T16.80T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-450.29B-10.31T13.03T9.25T34.51T
Operating Cash Flow6.42B-9.84T13.43T9.64T34.90T
Investing Cash Flow-186.95B-1.27T-10.68T-2.20T-10.14T
Financing Cash Flow-861.12B8.31B-977.14B-875.97B-436.07B

Mitsubishi UFJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.72
Price Trends
50DMA
13.22
Positive
100DMA
12.98
Positive
200DMA
12.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
53.72
Neutral
STOCH
84.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.70, above the 50-day MA of 13.22, and above the 200-day MA of 12.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MUFG.

Mitsubishi UFJ Risk Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mitsubishi UFJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mitsubishi UFJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$212.07B11.2410.83%3.25%-1.91%-6.79%
SASAN
78
Outperform
$123.17B8.8713.25%3.01%0.26%19.35%
77
Outperform
$97.85B12.817.92%2.50%0.23%18.12%
76
Outperform
$156.11B13.239.18%1.93%5.39%20.82%
CC
76
Outperform
$157.60B13.336.30%2.65%2.97%87.82%
WFWFC
76
Outperform
$258.71B14.2811.05%2.01%3.51%16.51%
67
Neutral
$16.67B11.469.71%3.91%11.61%-9.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
13.72
3.13
29.56%
C
Citigroup
85.12
23.77
38.74%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
60.79
19.59
47.55%
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
15.11
1.66
12.34%
WFC
Wells Fargo
80.12
20.95
35.41%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
8.30
3.68
79.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2025