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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial (SMFG)
:SMFG

Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) AI Stock Analysis

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SMFG

Sumitomo Mitsui

(NYSE:SMFG)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
â–²(14.91% Upside)
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's solid revenue growth, profitability, and robust cash flow generation support its financial stability. While the stock shows bullish momentum, caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is fair, with a reasonable P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Efficient cash generation supports financial stability and provides flexibility for investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding business operations and market presence, enhancing long-term profitability and competitive position.
Project Financing
Involvement in large-scale project financing showcases SMFG's capability to participate in significant industry trends, like the AI boom, boosting its market influence.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in maintaining market share or adapting to market changes, potentially affecting long-term performance.
Moderate Leverage
While typical for banks, moderate leverage can limit financial flexibility, especially in volatile markets, impacting strategic initiatives.
Equity Ownership Increase
Increasing equity stakes in other firms can strain resources and may divert focus from core operations, affecting overall strategic execution.

Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sumitomo Mitsui Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) is a leading financial services company based in Japan, primarily engaged in banking, leasing, and investment activities. The group operates through its core subsidiary, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC), which provides a broad range of financial services, including corporate banking, retail banking, and asset management. Additionally, SMFG is involved in securities, credit cards, and insurance services, catering to both individual and corporate clients across domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneySMFG generates revenue through multiple key streams: interest income from loans and advances made to customers, fees from various banking services, and revenue from investment activities. The company earns interest income primarily from its lending operations, which include corporate loans, consumer loans, and mortgages. Additionally, SMFG benefits from transaction fees related to payment processing, wealth management, and asset management services. The group also has significant investments in securities and other financial instruments that provide dividends and capital gains, contributing to its overall earnings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions and corporations further enhance its service offerings and revenue potential.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group presents a solid financial profile with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position and moderate leverage, typical for the banking sector. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting the company's financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Sumitomo Mitsui has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin is healthy, reflecting profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with a positive equity ratio, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio shows moderate leverage, which is typical for the banking sector. Return on equity is good, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Sumitomo Mitsui exhibits strong free cash flow growth, highlighting efficient cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating good cash profitability. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting the company's ability to convert net income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.68T9.66T8.77T5.78T3.80T3.57T
Gross Profit4.83T4.72T4.16T3.51T3.15T2.69T
EBITDA1.95T1.98T1.64T1.37T1.17T899.42B
Net Income1.39T1.18T962.95B805.84B706.63B512.81B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.60T10.00T>10.00T>75.91T74.79T10.00T>
Total Debt58.32T58.30T34.26T46.16T32.12T30.36T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity15.17T14.70T14.66T12.68T12.10T11.83T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.004.60T250.98B-6.19T1.26T18.47T
Operating Cash Flow0.004.97T642.86B-5.90T1.55T18.80T
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.51T-918.90B5.93T-2.41T-7.68T
Financing Cash Flow0.00-480.15B280.69B-357.78B-485.34B-562.58B

Sumitomo Mitsui Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.84
Price Trends
50DMA
16.83
Positive
100DMA
16.60
Positive
200DMA
15.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
70.04
Negative
STOCH
73.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.91, above the 50-day MA of 16.83, and above the 200-day MA of 15.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMFG.

Sumitomo Mitsui Risk Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sumitomo Mitsui reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sumitomo Mitsui Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$284.68B14.9411.56%1.84%-4.37%26.41%
78
Outperform
$245.54B14.948.66%4.36%-9.54%-22.46%
77
Outperform
$178.66B14.009.01%2.50%-1.09%8.53%
76
Outperform
$119.88B12.859.09%2.63%-0.66%23.90%
72
Outperform
$165.73B10.9712.54%1.90%-15.34%16.71%
68
Neutral
$195.80B15.396.88%2.08%-0.62%105.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
18.99
4.08
27.36%
C
Citigroup
111.74
42.24
60.78%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
75.24
29.40
64.14%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
16.00
4.02
33.56%
WFC
Wells Fargo
92.59
23.30
33.63%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
11.50
6.76
142.62%

Sumitomo Mitsui Corporate Events

Sumitomo Mitsui Releases Interim Financial Results for September 2025
Dec 4, 2025

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. has released its unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the six months ended September 30, 2025. These statements, prepared in accordance with Japanese GAAP, highlight the company’s financial position and performance during this period. The report, published on November 28, 2025, shows a slight decrease in total assets from March 31, 2025, to September 30, 2025. This financial disclosure provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s operational health and strategic positioning within the financial industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025