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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial (SMFG)
NYSE:SMFG
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Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) AI Stock Analysis

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SMFG

Sumitomo Mitsui

(NYSE:SMFG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
â–²(34.53% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by decent but risk-moderated fundamentals (revenue volatility, high/variable leverage, and uneven cash flows), supported by constructive technical trend signals. A very low P/E and a solid dividend yield materially lift the overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
SMFG's broad financial-services franchise spans lending, transaction banking, capital markets, and leasing across retail, SME and corporate clients domestically and internationally. This diversification supports more stable fee and interest income and reduces reliance on any single product or market over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High and volatile leverage
Debt-to-equity rising toward ~4.0x and moving materially year-to-year increases balance-sheet risk and reduces financial flexibility. Elevated leverage magnifies the impact of credit losses or market stress, constraining capital allocation and limiting room to expand lending or absorb shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
SMFG's broad financial-services franchise spans lending, transaction banking, capital markets, and leasing across retail, SME and corporate clients domestically and internationally. This diversification supports more stable fee and interest income and reduces reliance on any single product or market over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sumitomo Mitsui Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking, leasing, securities, consumer finance, and other services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through f...
How the Company Makes Money
SMFG primarily makes money through its banking and related financial services businesses. A core revenue stream is net interest income: the group earns interest on loans and other interest-earning assets (e.g., corporate and consumer loans, projec...

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and equity have improved over the multi-year period (ROE ~8% in 2025), but the latest year’s sharp revenue drop (~-29%) raises durability risk. Balance-sheet risk is elevated due to high/volatile leverage (debt-to-equity up to ~4.0x), and cash flows have been notably inconsistent despite a strong recent rebound.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.82T9.66T8.77T5.78T3.80T
Gross Profit5.87T4.72T4.16T3.51T3.15T
EBITDA2.70T1.98T1.64T1.37T1.17T
Net Income1.68T1.18T962.95B805.84B706.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.83T10.00T>10.00T>75.91T74.79T
Total Debt58.66T58.30T34.26T46.16T32.12T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity15.85T14.70T14.66T12.68T12.10T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.34T4.60T250.98B-6.19T1.26T
Operating Cash Flow7.54T4.97T642.86B-5.90T1.55T
Investing Cash Flow-21.91T-4.51T-918.90B5.93T-2.41T
Financing Cash Flow6.83T-480.15B280.69B-357.78B-485.34B

Sumitomo Mitsui Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.84
Price Trends
50DMA
21.35
Positive
100DMA
21.33
Positive
200DMA
19.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
67.24
Neutral
STOCH
84.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.32, below the 50-day MA of 21.35, and below the 200-day MA of 19.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMFG.

Sumitomo Mitsui Risk Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sumitomo Mitsui reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sumitomo Mitsui Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$321.13B14.1512.07%4.14%-6.12%12.49%
70
Outperform
$146.71B15.0110.37%2.54%4.88%39.26%
68
Neutral
$219.31B14.5311.49%2.48%3.82%34.94%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$222.82B14.687.53%1.94%3.02%27.74%
65
Neutral
$240.78B11.9412.04%1.80%1.28%16.35%
64
Neutral
$180.25B9.7515.73%1.85%-14.46%36.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
23.58
8.43
55.64%
C
Citigroup
135.15
58.63
76.61%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
92.62
35.42
61.93%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
20.05
6.21
44.87%
WFC
Wells Fargo
81.62
6.93
9.28%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
12.47
4.58
57.95%

Sumitomo Mitsui Corporate Events

Sumitomo Mitsui Updates Subordinated Indenture to Support New Global Note Issuance
Mar 3, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to incorporate by reference a new Second Supplemental Indenture into its existing shelf registration for debt securities. The...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026