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XLP - ETF AI Analysis

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XLP

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
XLP’s rating reflects a solid but not outstanding consumer staples portfolio, led by strong holdings like Walmart, PepsiCo, and Monster Beverage, which benefit from robust financial performance, growth initiatives, and generally supportive technical trends. However, weaker technical and valuation profiles in names like Philip Morris, Colgate-Palmolive, Altria, and Mondelez weigh on the fund, as several of these companies face high leverage, margin or operational challenges, and cautious outlooks. The main risk factor is the fund’s concentration in the consumer staples sector, which limits diversification and ties performance closely to the health and valuation of this single defensive segment.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Leading Consumer Staples Holdings
Top positions like Walmart, Costco, and other major household brands have delivered generally strong year-to-date results, supporting the fund’s returns.
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Negative Factors
Sector Concentration Risk
Almost all of the ETF’s assets are in the consumer defensive sector, so it may lag when other parts of the market are doing better.
U.S.-Only Exposure
The fund is almost entirely invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market faces challenges.
Heavy Reliance on Top Holdings
A small group of large companies makes up a significant portion of the portfolio, increasing the impact if any of these stocks stumble.

XLP vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XLP Summary

XLP is an ETF that follows the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector index, focusing on companies that sell everyday essentials like food, drinks, and household products. It holds well-known names such as Walmart and Coca-Cola, which tend to see steady demand whether the economy is strong or weak. Investors might consider XLP if they want a more defensive, stabilizing piece in their portfolio with exposure to established, dividend-paying companies. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in U.S. consumer staples stocks, so it can still go up and down with that sector and the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which means you’ll pay $0.80 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is lower than average because it’s a passively managed ETF that tracks an index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?The XLP ETF, focused on U.S. consumer staples, could benefit from stable demand for essential goods, even during economic downturns, as its top holdings include resilient companies like Walmart and Procter & Gamble. However, rising interest rates or inflation could increase costs for these companies, potentially impacting profitability, while regulatory changes in industries like tobacco or beverages could pose additional risks.

XLP Top 10 Holdings

XLP is leaning heavily on a few consumer giants, with Walmart and Costco setting a steady, if not explosive, pace as core anchors. The real spark lately has come from beverage and snack powerhouses like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, which have been rising and giving the fund a bit more fizz. Tobacco names such as Philip Morris and Altria are also climbing, quietly boosting returns despite longer-term concerns. Overall, this is a U.S.-focused, consumer-staples story: defensive, brand-heavy, and concentrated in household names that tend to hold up when the broader market gets choppy.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Walmart11.70%$1.93B$984.24B44.94%
78
Outperform
Costco9.43%$1.55B$440.42B7.03%
72
Outperform
Procter & Gamble7.77%$1.28B$356.32B-8.94%
69
Neutral
Coca-Cola6.43%$1.06B$333.87B11.00%
75
Outperform
Philip Morris5.74%$946.29M$259.72B10.26%
61
Neutral
PepsiCo4.69%$773.08M$218.87B8.08%
78
Outperform
Altria Group4.68%$772.46M$110.91B14.76%
64
Neutral
Colgate-Palmolive4.68%$771.20M$71.83B-1.33%
63
Neutral
Mondelez International4.30%$708.95M$70.96B-14.80%
62
Neutral
Target3.44%$567.54M$53.78B10.72%
70
Neutral

XLP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
84.44
Negative
100DMA
80.95
Positive
200DMA
80.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
38.80
Neutral
STOCH
11.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XLP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.62, equal to the 50-day MA of 84.44, and equal to the 200-day MA of 80.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XLP.

XLP Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$16.55B0.08%
69
Neutral
$110.07B0.09%
74
Outperform
$86.90B0.08%
76
Outperform
$47.39B0.08%
72
Outperform
$40.21B0.08%
73
Outperform
$39.29B0.08%
74
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund
84.25
7.03
9.10%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
XLK
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLV
Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLE
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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