tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Procter & Gamble (PG)
NYSE:PG

Procter & Gamble (PG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
16,105 Followers

Top Page

PG

Procter & Gamble

(NYSE:PG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$168.00
▲(10.69% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by PG’s strong profitability and returns on equity, supported by maintained guidance and continued shareholder returns. The rating is tempered by weakening recent free-cash-flow momentum, mixed technical setup (below the 200-day average and stretched oscillators), and a valuation that is reasonable but not clearly discounted.
Positive Factors
High Profitability and ROE
Sustained high margins and very strong return on equity indicate durable pricing power, operating efficiency, and capital allocation skill. This profitability supports reinvestment, debt servicing and shareholder distributions, underpinning long-term financial resilience across cycles.
Iconic Brands and Global Footprint
A broad portfolio of leading household and personal-care brands creates a structural moat via brand equity, shelf placement and retailer scale. This entrenched market position enables premium pricing, faster innovation rollouts (e.g., Pampers Prestige) and durable revenue streams across geographies.
Consistent Shareholder Returns and Capital Allocation
A multi-decade dividend track record and planned ~$15B FY26 returns reflect disciplined capital allocation and signal predictable cash deployment. Reliable returns support investor confidence and indicate management prioritizes steady payouts alongside strategic reinvestment and buybacks.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Deterioration
A sharp decline in free cash flow growth and weakening cash conversion reduces financial flexibility for capex, M&A and buybacks. Persisting lower FCF could force trade-offs between investment in supply chain/innovation and sustaining shareholder returns over the next several quarters.
Stalled Organic Revenue and Volume Weakness
Essentially flat organic growth and negative volumes show limited top-line momentum and dependence on pricing/mix. Structural volume weakness amid competitive pressure and inventory effects risks protracted low growth absent sustained share gains or new category expansion.
Margin Compression and Share/Execution Pressure
Material margin contraction and regional/segment execution gaps (notably North America and Grooming) signal competitive intensity, higher promotions, and reinvestment needs. Persistent margin and share erosion could constrain profit recovery and require prolonged productivity or pricing actions.

Procter & Gamble (PG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Procter & Gamble Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Procter & Gamble Company provides branded consumer packaged goods worldwide. It operates through five segments: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments under the Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice brands; and antiperspirants and deodorants, personal cleansing, and skin care products under the Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II brands. The Grooming segment provides shave care products and appliances under the Braun, Gillette, and Venus brand names. The Health Care segment offers toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other oral care products under the Crest and Oral-B brand names; and gastrointestinal, rapid diagnostics, respiratory, vitamins/minerals/supplements, pain relief, and other personal health care products under the Metamucil, Neurobion, Pepto-Bismol, and Vicks brands. The Fabric & Home Care segment provides fabric enhancers, laundry additives, and laundry detergents under the Ariel, Downy, Gain, and Tide brands; and air care, dish care, P&G professional, and surface care products under the Cascade, Dawn, Fairy, Febreze, Mr. Clean, and Swiffer brands. The Baby, Feminine & Family Care segment offers baby wipes, taped diapers, and pants under the Luvs and Pampers brands; adult incontinence and feminine care products under the Always, Always Discreet, and Tampax brands; and paper towels, tissues, and toilet papers under the Bounty, Charmin, and Puffs brands. The company sells its products primarily through mass merchandisers, e-commerce, grocery stores, membership club stores, drug stores, department stores, distributors, wholesalers, specialty beauty stores, high-frequency stores, pharmacies, electronics stores, and professional channels, as well as directly to consumers. The Procter & Gamble Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyProcter & Gamble generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer products across various categories. The company employs a revenue model based on direct sales to retailers and distributors, as well as online sales through e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include sales from personal care products, household cleaning items, and health care products. Procter & Gamble also benefits from brand loyalty and premium pricing on its established brands, which allows for significant profit margins. Additionally, the company engages in strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors to enhance market penetration and improve product availability. Factors contributing to its earnings include effective marketing strategies, innovation in product development, and a strong supply chain management system.

Procter & Gamble Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows sales performance across various divisions, indicating which areas are growing or declining and how the company is diversifying its revenue streams.
Chart InsightsProcter & Gamble's Fabric and Homecare segment is experiencing a slowdown, aligning with the earnings call's report of declines in organic sales for Fabric Care. However, the Beauty and Healthcare segments show resilience, with steady growth trends. The earnings call highlights strong performance in Greater China and Latin America, which could bolster future revenue. Despite these positives, global market share challenges and restructuring efforts in North America and Europe present potential risks. P&G's strategic focus on innovation, such as the Tide upgrade, aims to counteract these challenges and sustain growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Procter & Gamble Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced/Neutral — The call presented a mix of encouraging operational and regional wins (strong productivity, meaningful innovation successes in China, Mexico and Latin America, and maintained guidance) alongside clear near-term challenges (U.S. weakness, family care decline, margin compression and market share pressure). Management expressed confidence in back-half recovery and multi-year investments in data, AI and supply chain, but the company still faces notable execution and macro risks that temper upside in the near term.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Organic Sales with Mixed Volume/Pricing
Organic sales were in line with the prior year (0%); volume declined ~1 percentage point while pricing added ~1 point and mix was flat for the quarter.
Category and Regional Strengths
Seven of 10 product categories held or grew organic sales — Hair Care grew mid-single digits; Skin & Personal Care, Personal Health Care, Home Care, and Oral Care each up low single digits. Seven of 10 regions grew organic sales with Latin America up ~8%, Europe (aggregate) up ~1%, Greater China organic sales up ~3% (Pampers and SK-II each up mid-teens or more), and enterprise markets growing mid-single digits.
Notable Product Wins and Innovation Momentum
Successful innovations are already driving growth: Pampers Prestige in Greater China delivered double-digit organic growth and ~3 percentage points of share gain over 18 months; Downy Intense in Mexico produced double-digit organic growth and >2 points value share growth; Tide Boosted and TideEVO are positioned for back-half rollouts.
Strong Productivity and Cash Returns
Reported productivity improvement of ~270 basis points. Adjusted free cash flow productivity was 88% this quarter. The company returned $4.8 billion to shareholders (≈$2.5B dividends and $2.3B share repurchases) in the quarter.
Guidance Maintained and Confidence in Back Half
Fiscal 2026 guidance ranges were maintained: organic sales growth of in line to +4% and core EPS growth in line to +4% (range noted ~€6.83 to $7.09 per share). Management expects the second half to be stronger and embedded plans to accelerate growth and share recovery.
Technology, Data and Supply Chain Investment
Progress on digital transformation and capability building: petabyte-scale data lake, AI/gen-AI and programmatic media tools, Supply Chain 3.0 and capacity additions — management expects these platforms to generate scalable benefits over the next 12–18 months.
Negative Updates
North America Weakness and Inventory Headwinds
North America organic sales down ~2%; volume down ~3 points (including roughly a ~2-point headwind from prior-period trade inventory effects). Management pointed to US as the primary drag and emphasized it as an area requiring faster execution.
Family Care and Some Category Declines
Family Care organic sales were down approximately 10%, primarily due to prior-period dynamics. Baby care and feminine care were down low single digits for the quarter.
Margin Compression
Core gross margin contracted ~50 basis points and operating margin contracted ~70 basis points versus prior year (currency-neutral core operating margin down ~80 basis points). This despite strong productivity gains, reflecting reinvestment and top-line softness.
Market Share and Volume Pressures
Global market share was down about 20 basis points; overall volume/usage growth remains slow to flat, and management highlighted elevated promotion dynamics and competitive intensity (noted promotional activity higher by ~200–300 basis points in investor discussion).
Grooming Segment Weakness
Grooming organic sales were flat with volumes turning negative and margins contracting significantly (management noted nearly a 300 basis point margin contraction in the segment), reflecting timing/phasing of initiatives and execution gap in the U.S.
Ongoing Cost and External Headwinds
Guidance incorporates headwinds: 30–50 basis points from product/market exits, approximately $500 million before-tax higher costs from tariffs, a ~$200 million after-tax FX tailwind offset, and a ~$250 million after-tax headwind from core tax rate/other below-the-line items; modestly higher interest expense expected.
Company Guidance
The company said it is maintaining fiscal 2026 guidance, targeting organic sales growth of in line to +4% (with global market growth for its portfolio ~2% value), core EPS growth of in line to +4% (implying a core EPS range of $6.83–$7.09 per share), and adjusted free cash flow productivity of 85%–90%; this guidance assumes commodity costs roughly in line with last year, includes a 30–50 basis point headwind from product/market exits, a foreign‑exchange tailwind of roughly $200 million after tax, about $500 million before tax of higher tariff costs, modestly higher interest expense, and a core effective tax rate of 20%–21% (combined ~ $250 million after‑tax headwind to earnings); the plan factors in increased capital spending to add capacity and calls for returning roughly $15 billion to shareholders in FY26 (about $10 billion in dividends and $5 billion in share repurchases).

Procter & Gamble Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability for a consumer staples business (TTM gross margin ~51%, operating margin ~26%, net margin ~20%) and very strong ROE (~32%) support a high score. Offsetting factors are essentially flat recent revenue growth (~0.3% latest annual) and a notable recent deterioration in cash-flow momentum (TTM free cash flow growth ~-64% and weaker cash conversion).
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
PG shows strong and improving profitability, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin ~51%, operating margin ~26%, and net margin ~20%—all solid for a consumer staples business. Earnings power has expanded versus prior years (notably higher margins than 2022–2024). The main weak spot is growth: revenue growth is essentially flat in the latest annual period (~0.3%), while the TTM growth figure is unusually high and appears non-recurring versus the multi-year trend.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks healthy with moderate leverage: debt-to-equity is ~0.67 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), broadly stable across the period, and equity has grown over time. Profitability on shareholders’ capital is very strong (TTM return on equity ~32%), indicating efficient capital use. The trade-off is that leverage remains meaningful (debt in the mid-$30B range), which can limit flexibility if rates stay high or cash generation softens.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is solid in absolute terms (TTM operating cash flow ~$19.1B; free cash flow ~$14.8B), and free cash flow covers a large portion of earnings (TTM free cash flow is ~79% of net income). However, the recent trajectory is the concern: free cash flow declined sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (growth ~-64%) after being stronger in 2024, and operating cash flow relative to reported earnings is only about ~50% in the last two periods, suggesting weaker cash conversion recently.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.28B84.04B82.01B80.19B76.12B
Gross Profit43.12B43.19B39.25B38.03B39.01B
EBITDA23.92B22.58B21.77B21.24B20.85B
Net Income15.97B14.88B14.65B14.74B14.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.23B122.37B120.83B117.21B119.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.56B9.48B8.25B7.21B10.29B
Total Debt35.46B33.37B35.42B32.29B32.84B
Total Liabilities72.95B71.81B73.76B70.35B72.65B
Stockholders Equity52.01B50.29B46.78B46.59B46.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.04B16.52B13.79B13.57B15.58B
Operating Cash Flow17.82B19.85B16.85B16.72B18.37B
Investing Cash Flow-3.82B-3.50B-3.50B-4.42B-2.83B
Financing Cash Flow-14.04B-14.86B-12.15B-14.88B-21.53B

Procter & Gamble Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price151.77
Price Trends
50DMA
144.24
Positive
100DMA
147.02
Positive
200DMA
151.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.90
Negative
RSI
65.68
Neutral
STOCH
73.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 151.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.63, above the 50-day MA of 144.24, and below the 200-day MA of 151.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PG.

Procter & Gamble Risk Analysis

Procter & Gamble disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Procter & Gamble reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Procter & Gamble Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$352.71B22.2131.58%2.92%1.23%17.97%
73
Outperform
$147.51B24.5028.36%3.74%-0.30%-14.60%
66
Neutral
$33.34B23.1213.47%4.85%-2.94%34.54%
65
Neutral
$72.78B32.411602.26%2.67%-0.05%2.49%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$33.18B16.27147.22%5.03%-10.04%-23.41%
56
Neutral
$41.54B-44.63-20.73%1.30%-6.36%-554.84%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PG
Procter & Gamble
151.77
-12.48
-7.60%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
90.29
5.35
6.30%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
115.28
33.94
41.73%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
99.99
-25.33
-20.21%
UL
Unilever
68.36
8.64
14.48%
KVUE
Kenvue, Inc.
17.40
-2.99
-14.66%

Procter & Gamble Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Procter & Gamble Posts Flat Q2 Results, Maintains 2026 Outlook
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

Procter & Gamble reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 22, 2026, that were broadly flat year-on-year, as base-period dynamics and soft underlying market trends weighed on performance. Organic sales were unchanged, with 1% pricing growth offset by a 1% decline in volume, and seven of ten product categories managed to grow or hold organic sales. Global aggregate value share slipped by 20 basis points, with half of the company’s top 50 category/country combinations holding or gaining share, underscoring intensifying competition and mixed category momentum. Core earnings per share were steady at $1.88 (or $1.85 on a currency-neutral basis), while adjusted free cash flow productivity was a robust 88%. Segment results were uneven: Beauty and Health Care delivered organic sales growth but faced margin pressure from higher marketing, tariffs and unfavorable mix; Grooming and Fabric & Home Care saw weaker net earnings despite pricing support; and Baby, Feminine and Family Care posted a 4% organic sales decline on 5% lower volume and a 9% drop in net earnings despite some value share gains in Baby Care. For fiscal 2026, management maintained guidance for organic sales growth of 0%–4% and core EPS growth of 0%–4%, with all-in EPS expected to rise 1%–6%, and outlined plans for strong cash returns via roughly $10 billion in dividends and $5 billion in share repurchases, even as tariffs, tax headwinds and persistent cost pressures remain key constraints.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Hold with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Procter & Gamble Declares Quarterly Dividend, Extending Streak
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Procter & Gamble’s board declared a quarterly dividend of $1.0568 per share on its common stock and Series A and Series B ESOP Convertible Class A preferred shares, payable on or after February 17, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 23, 2026. The announcement underscores P&G’s long-standing commitment to shareholder returns, extending its track record of 135 consecutive years of dividend payments and 69 consecutive years of dividend increases, reinforcing its positioning as a reliable income stock for investors who depend on steady cash distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Buy with a $158.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Procter & Gamble Announces Health Care CEO Retirement
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Procter & Gamble announced that Jennifer Davis, the current Chief Executive Officer of their Health Care division, will retire on June 30, 2026, after over 33 years with the company. Her departure marks a significant transition for the company, potentially impacting its leadership dynamics and strategic direction within the health care sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Hold with a $152.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Procter & Gamble Completes $258M Floating Rate Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Procter & Gamble successfully completed a public offering of $258,889,000 in Floating Rate Notes due in 2075. This financial move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to manage its long-term debt and strengthen its financial position, potentially impacting its market standing and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Hold with a $153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Procter & Gamble Raises €1 Billion in Offering
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Procter & Gamble successfully closed a significant underwritten public offering, raising €1 billion through notes due in 2033 and 2045, and $1.25 billion through notes due in 2032 and 2035. This strategic financial move is likely to impact the company’s funding capabilities and market positioning, potentially enhancing its operational flexibility and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Hold with a $153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Procter & Gamble Reports Q1 FY 2026 Results
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

Procter & Gamble reported its Q1 FY 2026 results, highlighting a 2% growth in organic sales driven by pricing and mix, despite a challenging geopolitical and competitive environment. The company achieved a 3% increase in core earnings per share, with productivity savings partially offsetting tariff costs and negative category mix. While some segments experienced a decrease in value share, others like Global Personal Care saw slight increases. The company also provided guidance for FY 2026, projecting organic sales growth between 0% to 4% and core EPS growth from 0% to 4%, while acknowledging potential headwinds such as commodity cost increases and geopolitical disruptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PG) stock is a Hold with a $153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Procter & Gamble stock, see the PG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026