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Procter & Gamble (PG)
NYSE:PG

Procter & Gamble Company (PG) AI Stock Analysis

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PG

Procter & Gamble Company

(NYSE:PG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$187.00
▲( 12.75% Upside)
Procter & Gamble's solid financial performance and strategic initiatives significantly strengthen its position despite technical and valuation challenges. The company's focus on innovation and stable market share, coupled with a positive earnings call and corporate events, contribute to a strong overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Brand strength
P&G's strengths, including superior brand equity, rapid innovation, and robust marketing capabilities, make it an attractive long-term investment despite the current volatile environment.
Cost-saving initiatives
P&G continues to implement comprehensive cost-saving initiatives and operational improvements to support earnings, providing flexibility to reinvest in growth initiatives and support market share gains.
Innovation and pricing
P&G expects to raise prices on innovations, which could help improve future sales.
Negative Factors
Financial guidance
The results were sluggish and the guidance for the fiscal year was cut, which was expected to impact the stock negatively.
Market challenges
Demand softness in developed markets and a value-conscious consumer hinder P&G's ability to take additional pricing.
Tariff impact
Tariff headwinds are expected to impact P&G's earnings, with an estimated impact of $1-1.5bn.

Procter & Gamble Company (PG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Procter & Gamble Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Procter & Gamble Company provides branded consumer packaged goods worldwide. It operates through five segments: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments under the Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice brands; and antiperspirants and deodorants, personal cleansing, and skin care products under the Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II brands. The Grooming segment provides shave care products and appliances under the Braun, Gillette, and Venus brand names. The Health Care segment offers toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other oral care products under the Crest and Oral-B brand names; and gastrointestinal, rapid diagnostics, respiratory, vitamins/minerals/supplements, pain relief, and other personal health care products under the Metamucil, Neurobion, Pepto-Bismol, and Vicks brands. The Fabric & Home Care segment provides fabric enhancers, laundry additives, and laundry detergents under the Ariel, Downy, Gain, and Tide brands; and air care, dish care, P&G professional, and surface care products under the Cascade, Dawn, Fairy, Febreze, Mr. Clean, and Swiffer brands. The Baby, Feminine & Family Care segment offers baby wipes, taped diapers, and pants under the Luvs and Pampers brands; adult incontinence and feminine care products under the Always, Always Discreet, and Tampax brands; and paper towels, tissues, and toilet papers under the Bounty, Charmin, and Puffs brands. The company sells its products primarily through mass merchandisers, e-commerce, grocery stores, membership club stores, drug stores, department stores, distributors, wholesalers, specialty beauty stores, high-frequency stores, pharmacies, electronics stores, and professional channels, as well as directly to consumers. The Procter & Gamble Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyProcter & Gamble makes money through the sale of a diverse range of consumer goods products across multiple categories. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the volume of products sold under its various brand names. Key revenue streams include the beauty segment, which encompasses hair care and skin care products; the grooming segment, which includes shaving products and appliances; the health care segment, offering oral care and personal health products; the fabric and home care segment, which consists of laundry detergents and cleaning products; and the baby, feminine, and family care segment, which features diapers, wipes, and paper products. P&G's earnings are significantly supported by its global distribution network, strategic marketing initiatives, and continuous product innovation. The company also benefits from economies of scale and strong brand recognition, which contribute to its competitive advantage in the consumer goods market.

Procter & Gamble Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales figures for each business unit, revealing which areas are contributing most to overall revenue and indicating potential growth opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsProcter & Gamble's Beauty and Grooming segments show resilience with steady revenue growth, but Healthcare and Fabric & Homecare face challenges from slowing consumer demand and geopolitical tensions. Despite these headwinds, strategic innovations and strong performance in Latin America provide a positive outlook. The company is navigating macroeconomic volatility with a focus on productivity and innovation, aiming for organic sales growth of 2% in fiscal 2025. However, currency and commodity cost pressures remain significant risks, potentially impacting margins and growth trajectories.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Procter & Gamble Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Procter & Gamble's financial statements indicate robust profitability, effective leverage management, and strong cash generation. The income statement shows strong profitability with stable margins despite a slight revenue decline. The balance sheet reflects strong financial stability with efficient equity utilization. However, a decline in free cash flow growth is notable, but overall, the company's financial position remains strong.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Procter & Gamble shows strong profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 62.83% and a Net Profit Margin of 18.46% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Despite a slight revenue decline of 0.13% compared to the previous year, the company maintains stable EBIT and EBITDA margins at 23.81% and 26.67%, respectively. Overall, these metrics indicate solid financial performance and profitability resilience in the current market.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.65, suggesting effective leverage management. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 29.49%, highlighting efficient utilization of shareholders' equity. An Equity Ratio of 42.72% further supports the company's stable capital structure. The metrics suggest strong financial stability and efficient equity utilization, though vigilance on debt levels is prudent.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -9.07%, indicating a decrease from the previous year. Nonetheless, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is a robust 1.20, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.97, underscoring strong cash generation relative to net income. While cash flow generation remains solid, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
83.93B84.04B82.01B80.19B76.12B70.95B
Gross Profit
43.05B43.19B39.25B38.03B39.01B35.70B
EBIT
19.98B18.55B18.13B17.81B17.99B15.71B
EBITDA
23.39B22.70B21.82B21.24B20.85B19.31B
Net Income Common Stockholders
15.49B14.88B14.65B14.74B14.31B13.03B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.12B9.48B8.25B7.21B10.29B16.18B
Total Assets
122.98B122.37B120.83B117.21B119.31B120.70B
Total Debt
34.14B33.37B34.61B31.49B31.99B34.72B
Net Debt
25.02B23.89B26.36B24.28B21.70B18.54B
Total Liabilities
70.44B71.81B73.76B70.35B72.65B73.82B
Stockholders Equity
52.27B50.29B46.78B46.59B46.38B46.52B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
15.03B16.52B13.79B13.57B15.58B14.33B
Operating Cash Flow
18.59B19.85B16.85B16.72B18.37B17.40B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.27B-3.50B-3.50B-4.42B-2.83B3.04B
Financing Cash Flow
-12.92B-14.86B-12.15B-14.88B-21.53B-8.37B

Procter & Gamble Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.86
Price Trends
50DMA
163.95
Positive
100DMA
165.04
Positive
200DMA
166.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
57.25
Neutral
STOCH
90.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 161.55, above the 50-day MA of 163.95, and below the 200-day MA of 166.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PG.

Procter & Gamble Company Risk Analysis

Procter & Gamble Company disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Procter & Gamble Company reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Item 2.Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIESPeriodTotal Number of Shares Purchased (1)Average Price Paid per Share (2)Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (3)Approximate Dollar Value of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under Our Share Repurchase Program1/01/2024 - 1/31/2024- - - (3)2/01/2024 - 2/29/20243,156,831 $158.393,156,831 (3)3/01/2024 - 3/31/20243,107,656 160.89 3,107,656 (3)Total6,264,487 $159.636,264,487 Q1, 2024
2.
Item 5.Other Information Q1, 2024

Procter & Gamble Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PGPG
76
Outperform
$388.87B26.3430.29%2.46%-0.16%2.74%
ULUL
76
Outperform
$158.77B25.5930.53%2.91%1.99%-10.59%
73
Outperform
$45.56B43.2710.22%3.43%-1.18%-29.18%
KMKMB
70
Outperform
$46.97B19.29229.84%3.48%-3.12%34.80%
CLCL
65
Neutral
$75.04B26.22977.07%2.18%0.98%12.12%
64
Neutral
$8.82B14.564.78%173.92%3.50%2.20%
CHCHD
63
Neutral
$23.63B41.1613.35%1.19%2.18%-26.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PG
Procter & Gamble Company
165.86
6.64
4.17%
CHD
Church & Dwight
95.94
-7.04
-6.84%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
92.59
2.59
2.88%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
141.55
16.84
13.50%
UL
Unilever
63.78
11.37
21.69%
KVUE
Kenvue, Inc.
23.73
5.18
27.92%

Procter & Gamble Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a cautious outlook with several challenges such as slowing consumer demand in key markets, headwinds from currency and commodity costs, and geopolitical tensions. However, there are positive signs with consistent market share performance, strong innovation pipelines, and robust growth in Latin America. The company's commitment to innovation and dividend growth provides a balanced perspective amidst a volatile environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Sales Growth
Organic sales for the quarter grew 1%, with volume and mix in line with the prior year and pricing adding one point to organic sales growth.
Encouraging Market Share Trends
Market share held up well within the quarter, and private label shares in both the US and Europe continue to trend downwards.
Innovation and Market Expansion
Notable innovations include Crest 3D White Deep Stain Remover and Oral-B iO10 and iO2 toothbrushes, which have driven market share growth.
Dividend Increase
Procter & Gamble announced a 5% increase in their dividend, marking the 69th consecutive annual dividend increase.
Strong Performance in Latin America
Latin America delivered 6% organic sales growth despite difficult consumer dynamics in Mexico.
Negative Updates
Slowing Consumer Demand in Key Markets
Consumer and retail volatility heavily impacted top and bottom lines in the US and Europe, with organic sales growth in North America slowing to 1% from a 4% trend.
Challenges in France and China
France faced significant headwinds with organic sales down high teens, while China saw a 2% decline in organic sales.
Currency and Commodity Cost Headwinds
The company faces a $200 million headwind from commodity costs and a similar amount from currency impacts after tax.
Middle East Tensions
Tensions in the Middle East have continued to put pressure on markets and US brands.
Retail Inventory Destocking
The US market experienced retail inventory destocking, which contributed to a slowdown in consumer takeaway.
Company Guidance
In the fiscal 2025 guidance provided by The Procter & Gamble Company, CFO Andre Schulten highlighted an expected organic sales growth of approximately 2% for the fiscal year, with fourth-quarter growth anticipated to be between 0.5% and 4.5%. The core EPS forecast is set at $6.72 to $6.82 per share, indicating an increase of 2% to 4% from the previous year. Despite challenging market conditions, the company plans to maintain robust investment levels in innovation and brand superiority, supported by a forecasted 90% adjusted free cash flow productivity. The company returned $3.8 billion to shareholders in the third quarter and plans to return $16 to $17 billion over the fiscal year. Additionally, a headwind of approximately $200 million from commodity costs and foreign exchange rates, along with a $100 to $160 million impact from tariffs in Q4, is anticipated. The guidance underscores Procter & Gamble's strategic focus on productivity improvements and innovation to navigate through macroeconomic volatility and deliver sustained growth.

Procter & Gamble Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Procter & Gamble Unveils New Supply Chain Strategy
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Procter & Gamble announced a significant strategic initiative aimed at enhancing its operational efficiency and market competitiveness. The company revealed plans to streamline its supply chain processes, which is expected to bolster its position in the consumer goods industry by reducing costs and improving product delivery times.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Procter & Gamble Reports Strong Quarterly Earnings Growth
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Procter & Gamble announced its quarterly earnings, revealing a significant increase in net sales driven by strong consumer demand across its product categories. The company’s strategic focus on innovation and premium product offerings has bolstered its market position, leading to improved financial performance and positive outlooks for stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.