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Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
NYSE:CL

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) AI Stock Analysis

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CL

Colgate-Palmolive

(NYSE:CL)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
â–²(2.99% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven mainly by strong cash-flow generation and a durable revenue base, partially offset by elevated balance-sheet risk (high leverage vs. very thin equity). Technical indicators are weak and weigh on the rating, while valuation is mixed (reasonable yield but negative P/E). The earnings call supports steady execution (Hill’s/emerging markets strength) but highlights meaningful near-term uncertainty and a wide guidance range.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Robust OCF ($4.2B) and FCF ($3.6B) in 2025 create a durable internal funding engine for dividends, buybacks, capex and disciplined M&A. Strong cash conversion cushions volatile earnings, funds reinvestment in brands and supports debt service, improving strategic optionality over months.
Resilient revenue base
Multi-year revenue growth to $20.4B reflects durable demand for staple CPG categories. Broad global distribution, repeat purchase behavior and scale in oral, personal and home care underpin predictable volumes and make revenue less cyclical, supporting steady midterm cash flow generation.
High-growth pockets: Hill's and emerging markets
Premium pet nutrition (Hill's >5% ex‑private‑label growth) and emerging-markets organic growth (~4.5%) create durable above-category growth drivers. Vet-recommended pet food and faster EM expansion improve mix and margin potential, providing structural contributors to sales and profit over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage / thin equity
An ~$8B debt load against extremely thin equity ($54M) produces an aggressive capital structure with limited cushion. This raises refinancing, covenant and solvency risk under stress, constrains flexibility for large strategic moves and elevates the cost of adverse shocks over the medium term.
Low and volatile category growth
Structural category expansion at ~1.5%–2.5% and a wide 1%–4% guidance range limit organic volume upside. Slower end‑market growth increases reliance on price/mix, productivity and M&A to drive meaningful top-line gains, making sustainable growth harder over the next several quarters.
Cost and portfolio pressures
Persistent raw-material inflation, tariff exposure and elevated promotional activity compress margins and force ongoing productivity programs. Management also disclosed impairments and portfolio adjustments, signaling some structural pressure that may require sustained reallocation or cost actions to restore returns.

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Colgate-Palmolive Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionColgate-Palmolive Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Oral, Personal and Home Care; and Pet Nutrition. The Oral, Personal and Home Care segment offers toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash, bar and liquid hand soaps, shower gels, shampoos, conditioners, deodorants and antiperspirants, skin health products, dishwashing detergents, fabric conditioners, household cleaners, and other related items. This segment markets and sells its products under various brands, which include Colgate, Darlie, elmex, hello, meridol, Sorriso, Tom's of Maine, Irish Spring, Palmolive, Protex, Sanex, Softsoap, Lady Speed Stick, Speed Stick, EltaMD, Filorga, PCA SKIN, Ajax, Axion, Fabuloso, Murphy, Suavitel, Soupline, and Cuddly to a range of traditional and eCommerce retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. It also includes pharmaceutical products for dentists and other oral health professionals. The Pet Nutrition segment offers pet nutrition products for everyday nutritional needs under the Hill's Science Diet brand; and a range of therapeutic products to manage disease conditions in dogs and cats under the Hill's Prescription Diet brand. This segment markets and sells its products through pet supply retailers, veterinarians, and eCommerce retailers. Colgate-Palmolive Company was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyColgate-Palmolive primarily makes money by selling consumer packaged goods (CPG) and pet nutrition products to trade customers around the world. Its revenue model is largely volume- and price-driven: it manufactures or sources finished goods, sells them through retail and professional channels, and earns revenue recognized upon transfer of control of products to customers (typically when shipped/delivered based on contract terms). Key revenue streams include: 1) Oral Care: Toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash and related products sold under the Colgate brand are a major sales engine. These products benefit from repeat purchase behavior and broad distribution, supporting steady revenue through frequent replenishment. 2) Personal Care: Soaps, body washes, deodorants and other personal care items sold under brands such as Palmolive, Sanex, and Irish Spring contribute incremental sales, often competing in mass-market and value segments. 3) Home Care: Household cleaning categories such as dishwashing liquids and other cleaners generate revenue through staple household consumption and retailer replenishment cycles. 4) Pet Nutrition (Hill’s): Hill’s Science Diet and Hill’s Prescription Diet generate revenue from pet food sold through pet specialty retail, e-commerce, and veterinary/professional channels. Prescription Diet products are tied to veterinary recommendation, and Hill’s can earn from both consumer demand and professional distribution. How earnings are supported: - Brand-driven pricing and mix: Strong brands allow the company to use a combination of pricing actions, premium product tiers, and product innovation to improve revenue per unit (mix) while maintaining scale. - Global scale and distribution: Colgate-Palmolive sells through large retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and online marketplaces; broad shelf presence and supply reliability help sustain volumes. - Trade promotion and customer programs: Like many CPG companies, it uses promotional spending (e.g., discounts, allowances, in-store programs) to drive sell-through and retailer support; these reduce reported net sales but are intended to expand volume and market share. - Input-cost management and manufacturing efficiency: While not a direct revenue line, cost management supports profitability on sales; gross margin depends on commodity inputs, packaging, logistics, and plant efficiency. Significant partnerships or factors contributing to earnings: Specific material partnerships are not available in this prompt (null).

Colgate-Palmolive Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Oral, Personal, and Home Care Revenue Breakdown
Oral, Personal, and Home Care Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from core product categories, indicating consumer demand trends and the company's market position in each segment.
Chart InsightsColgate-Palmolive's revenue in North America and Latin America shows resilience, with recent growth despite consumer caution and market softness. The earnings call highlights strategic focus on innovation and acquisitions, like Prime100, to drive growth. However, challenges persist in Europe and Asia, with consumer price resistance and operational issues in China. The company's productivity initiatives aim to offset cost pressures and maintain profitability, suggesting a strategic pivot towards efficiency and innovation to navigate the current economic landscape.
Data provided by:The Fly

Colgate-Palmolive Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a constructive but cautious outlook: management highlighted clear operational and financial wins (record operating cash flow, stronger Q4 momentum, strong Hill's and emerging market performance, successful M&A integration) and ambitious capability investments (omnichannel, RGM, AI, supply chain). At the same time, the company faces meaningful near-term headwinds — low category growth, U.S. volume weakness, cost inflation, tariff exposure, FX volatility and promotional risk — which temper near-term upside and produced a wide 2026 guidance range. Overall, the tone is optimistic about long-term strategy execution but prudent about short-term uncertainty.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Investment in Capabilities and Advertising Efficiency
Company is accelerating investments in omnichannel, RGM, digital, data/AI and supply chain; A&P dollars were up ~5% year-over-year on a dollar basis while A&P as a percent of sales was slightly down, reflecting focus on optimization and efficiency.
Delivered Growth Across Key Financial Metrics in 2025
Company reported growth in organic sales, net sales, gross profit, base-business EPS and free cash flow in 2025 despite headwinds; completed 2025 strategy adding $5.0 billion in sales.
Q4 Momentum — Organic Growth and Sequential Improvement
Exited 2025 with improved momentum: organic sales growth in all four categories in Q4 and sequential improvement versus Q3 in every division except North America; underlying organic sales in Q4 were in excess of 3% when excluding the private-label exit.
Strong Hill's Performance
Hill's delivered strong results: ex-private-label growth cited as in excess of 5%, underlying volume positive (about +2% when adjusting for a ~360 basis-point private-label drag), with prescription diet and therapeutic segments gaining share.
Emerging Markets Strength
Emerging markets grew broadly in the quarter (about +4.5% organic growth), with Latin America notably strong (Mexico and Brazil both high-single-digit organic growth) and solid improvement across Asia and Africa.
Record Operating Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
Delivered record operating cash flow of $4.2 billion in 2025, improved free cash flow and low leverage, providing balance sheet flexibility for reinvestment, dividends, buybacks and disciplined M&A.
Prime 100 Acquisition Performing Ahead of Plan
Prime 100 (fresh pet food acquisition) is performing ahead of expectations and is being integrated while management evaluates broader applicability of learnings.
Negative Updates
Low and Volatile Category Growth
Category growth has stabilized at levels below historical norms (management cited ~1.5%–2.5%), prompting a conservative and wide 2026 organic sales guidance range of 1%–4% due to continued uncertainty.
Cost Pressures — Raw Materials and Tariffs
Higher-than-anticipated raw material inflation and the impact of higher tariffs weighed on margins and operating results in 2025.
North America Underperformance and Category Weakness
North America lagged the company overall (no sequential improvement versus Q3), with significant U.S. category softness: multiple categories showed negative volume (9 categories down in Oct, 10 in Nov, 6 in Dec) and Home Care / fabric softeners experienced mid-single-digit volume declines.
Promotional Pressure and Pantry Destocking
Management highlighted elevated promotional activity, pantry destocking and couponing dynamics that are suppressing volumes and could pressure margins if promotion increases further.
Private-Label Impact and Planned Exit
Private-label business created a meaningful drag on volumes in the period (approx. 360 basis points negative impact) and the company is planning an exit which affected comparables.
Foreign Exchange Volatility Risk
Although FX was modestly favorable in Q4 and management expects a low-single-digit revenue benefit in early 2026, FX has historically been unfavorable (8 of the last 10 years) and remains a volatile risk to results.
Impairment and Market-Driven Adjustments
Management referenced an impairment announced with the release, indicating some assets were written down due to changing market conditions — a sign of portfolio pressures and the need for continued optimization.
Company Guidance
Colgate guided 2026 net and organic sales growth to a wide 1%–4% range (with the company saying worse category growth would land it near the low end, current category rates would put it near the middle, and stronger categories would push it toward the high end), citing stabilized category growth around roughly 1.5%–2.5%; the guidance reflects Q4 momentum (underlying organic sales >3% excluding private label), stronger emerging markets (Q4 organic ~4.5%), and brand strengths such as Hill’s (Hill’s ex‑private label growth in excess of 5% in Q4). They expect foreign exchange to be a low‑single‑digit benefit to revenue in 2026, focused mainly in H1 (FX was slightly favorable in Q4 but has been favorable only 2 of the last 10 years), and said FX should be used flexibly—part reinvested in A&P and capabilities and part contributing to the bottom line—while SGPP, RGM and productivity actions provide additional upside to margins and EPS.

Colgate-Palmolive Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and improving cash generation (operating cash flow $4.2B; free cash flow $3.6B in 2025) and steady multi-year revenue growth support a solid operating profile. This is tempered by a highly aggressive capital structure (high debt with extremely thin equity) and weaker earnings momentum in 2025, which raise financial risk despite resilient operations.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from $16.5B (2020) to $20.4B (2025), pointing to a resilient top line. Profitability is solid with consistently strong gross profit levels, but earnings momentum is mixed: net income fell to $2.1B in 2025 from $2.9B in 2024, suggesting margin pressure and/or higher costs below the operating line despite stable operating profit.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage is the clear weak spot. Total debt remains high at ~$8.0B (2025) while equity is extremely thin ($54M in 2025; $212M in 2024), which leaves little balance-sheet cushion and makes the company more exposed to shocks. While assets are stable (~$16B), the capital structure is aggressive and has become more equity-light over time.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash generation is a major strength. Operating cash flow is strong and improving ($4.2B in 2025 vs. $4.1B in 2024), and free cash flow is robust at $3.6B in 2025 with positive growth. Free cash flow has generally tracked well versus earnings in the years provided, supporting flexibility for dividends, debt service, and reinvestment even when reported net income fluctuates.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.38B20.10B19.46B17.97B17.42B
Gross Profit12.25B12.11B11.25B10.15B10.29B
EBITDA3.96B4.85B4.25B3.37B3.76B
Net Income2.13B2.89B2.30B1.78B2.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.33B16.05B16.39B15.73B15.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B1.10B966.00M775.00M832.00M
Total Debt7.99B8.51B9.06B9.27B7.83B
Total Liabilities15.96B15.50B15.44B14.93B14.07B
Stockholders Equity54.00M212.00M609.00M401.00M609.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.63B3.55B3.04B1.86B2.76B
Operating Cash Flow4.20B4.11B3.75B2.56B3.33B
Investing Cash Flow-817.00M-534.00M-742.00M-1.60B-592.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.26B-3.39B-2.79B-952.00M-2.77B

Colgate-Palmolive Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.30
Price Trends
50DMA
89.76
Positive
100DMA
83.87
Positive
200DMA
84.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
43.94
Neutral
STOCH
13.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.27, above the 50-day MA of 89.76, and above the 200-day MA of 84.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CL.

Colgate-Palmolive Risk Analysis

Colgate-Palmolive disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Colgate-Palmolive reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Colgate-Palmolive Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$353.53B20.0531.23%2.92%1.23%17.97%
73
Outperform
$23.25B27.6217.16%1.38%1.45%42.04%
69
Neutral
$141.93B20.7626.01%3.74%-0.30%-14.60%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$72.38B-429.64431.59%2.67%-0.05%2.49%
61
Neutral
$33.28B16.63155.28%5.03%-10.04%-23.41%
56
Neutral
$13.55B19.521502.49%5.05%-9.35%123.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
89.94
2.60
2.98%
CHD
Church & Dwight
97.31
-8.69
-8.20%
CLX
Clorox
111.40
-27.77
-19.96%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
100.48
-33.11
-24.78%
PG
Procter & Gamble
151.48
-11.75
-7.20%
UL
Unilever
65.42
4.56
7.50%

Colgate-Palmolive Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Colgate-Palmolive Refreshes Board With New Bristol Myers Leader
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

On March 12, 2026, Colgate-Palmolive’s board elected Christopher S. Boerner, Board Chair and Chief Executive Officer of Bristol Myers Squibb, to join its board effective March 15, 2026, adding deep global pharmaceutical and healthcare experience to the consumer products group’s governance. Boerner, a veteran of Bristol Myers Squibb, Seattle Genetics, Genentech and McKinsey, will be compensated under Colgate-Palmolive’s standard non-employee director program, while Steven A. Cahillane has informed the board he will not stand for reelection at the May 8, 2026 annual meeting due to the demands of his new role as Chief Executive Officer of The Kraft Heinz Company, signaling a continued refresh of the company’s board with leaders from adjacent industries.

The most recent analyst rating on (CL) stock is a Buy with a $104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colgate-Palmolive stock, see the CL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026