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Church & Dwight Company (CHD)
NYSE:CHD

Church & Dwight (CHD) AI Stock Analysis

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Church & Dwight

(NYSE:CHD)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
Church & Dwight's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong financial performance and challenges in technical indicators and valuation. The company shows robust financial health and strategic focus on core brands, but faces bearish market momentum and an overvalued stock price. Earnings call insights highlight both strengths in brand performance and challenges in sales and tariffs, slightly lifting the score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The acquisition of Touchland aligns well with Church & Dwight's criteria as it is the fastest growing brand in hand sanitizer, asset light, and gross margin accretive.
Financial Strategy
CHD's strong balance sheet position supports its ability to engage in further mergers and acquisitions without financial strain.
Market Expansion
There is potential for Touchland to increase household penetration, widen customer demographics, and expand distribution both within the U.S. and internationally.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
CHD reported softer than expected Q1 results and lowered its full year guidance due to the combined impact of tariffs, slower category growth due to macroeconomic uncertainty, and elevated input costs.
Guidance Reduction
Church & Dwight's business model and categories have not maintained the above-peer growth rate expected, leading to a reduction in 2025 guidance.
Market Conditions
Management lowered guidance for U.S. category growth, indicating weakening conditions that may continue to worsen.

Church & Dwight (CHD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Church & Dwight Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChurch & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates through three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers cat litters, carpet deodorizers, laundry detergents, and baking soda, as well as other baking soda based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; battery-operated and manual toothbrushes under the SPINBRUSH brand; home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR brand; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; gummy dietary supplements under the L'IL CRITTERS and VITAFUSION brands; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers and replacement showerheads under the WATERPIK brand; FLAWLESS products; cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand; and oral care products under the THERABREATH brand. Its specialty products include animal productivity products, such as MEGALAC rumen bypass fat, a supplement that enables cows to maintain energy levels during the period of high milk production; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN, which are used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as provides needed protein; and CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic. The company offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. It sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, and websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. The company was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyChurch & Dwight generates revenue primarily through the sale of consumer products across various categories. The company's revenue model is centered on its strong brand portfolio, which includes household, personal care, and health-related products. Key revenue streams include sales from its well-established brands such as Arm & Hammer, Trojan, and OxiClean. The company leverages its broad distribution network to sell products through major retailers, e-commerce channels, and international markets. Strategic acquisitions and product innovations also play a significant role in driving growth and expanding market share. Partnerships with retailers for shelf space and marketing initiatives further contribute to its earnings.

Church & Dwight Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Church & Dwight demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The company has a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage, though rising operational costs have slightly impacted profitability margins. Overall, the company is well-positioned for continued financial stability and growth.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Church & Dwight shows a solid gross profit margin of 45.7% and a net profit margin of 9.6% for the latest year, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, there has been a decline in EBIT margin from 18% in the previous year to 13.2%, suggesting increased operational costs. Revenue growth is healthy at 4.1%, demonstrating steady market expansion.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.51, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is 13.4%, showing effective use of equity financing to generate profits. With an equity ratio of 49.1%, Church & Dwight maintains a balanced financial structure, though there's room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.97, suggesting strong cash generation capability. Free cash flow has grown by 21%, reflecting efficient capital management. The company maintains a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67, indicative of solid cash reserves for future growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.07B6.11B5.87B5.38B5.19B4.90B
Gross Profit
2.73B2.79B2.59B2.25B2.26B2.21B
EBIT
797.40M807.10M1.06B597.80M1.08B1.03B
EBITDA
1.06B1.06B1.30B826.30M1.30B1.22B
Net Income Common Stockholders
577.70M585.30M755.60M413.90M827.50M785.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.07B964.10M344.50M270.30M240.60M183.10M
Total Assets
8.96B8.88B8.57B8.35B8.00B7.41B
Total Debt
2.21B2.20B2.61B2.67B2.56B2.16B
Net Debt
1.13B1.24B2.26B2.40B2.32B1.98B
Total Liabilities
4.40B4.52B4.71B4.86B4.76B4.39B
Stockholders Equity
0.004.36B3.86B3.49B3.23B3.02B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
928.90M976.40M807.10M706.40M875.00M891.40M
Operating Cash Flow
1.08B1.16B1.03B885.20M993.80M990.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-153.20M-183.30M-234.30M-728.60M-682.00M-608.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-195.30M-343.40M-725.60M-120.90M-252.10M-360.10M

Church & Dwight Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price95.94
Price Trends
50DMA
101.06
Negative
100DMA
103.64
Negative
200DMA
103.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.46
Negative
RSI
46.67
Neutral
STOCH
76.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 95.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.59, below the 50-day MA of 101.06, and below the 200-day MA of 103.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHD.

Church & Dwight Risk Analysis

Church & Dwight disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Church & Dwight reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Church & Dwight Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.18B25.2722.16%2.35%10.32%18.55%
73
Outperform
$45.56B43.2710.22%3.43%-1.18%-29.18%
KMKMB
70
Outperform
$46.97B19.29229.84%3.48%-3.12%34.80%
CLCL
65
Neutral
$75.04B26.22977.07%2.18%0.98%12.12%
64
Neutral
$8.82B14.564.78%173.92%3.50%2.20%
CHCHD
63
Neutral
$23.63B41.1613.35%1.19%2.18%-26.08%
CLCLX
62
Neutral
$16.13B23.501176.27%3.73%-2.64%189.29%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHD
Church & Dwight
95.94
-7.04
-6.84%
CLX
Clorox
130.88
6.14
4.92%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
92.59
2.59
2.88%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
130.00
12.13
10.29%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
141.55
16.84
13.50%
KVUE
Kenvue, Inc.
23.73
5.18
27.92%

Church & Dwight Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While Church & Dwight demonstrated strong brand performance, especially in online sales and certain product categories like TheraBreath and HERO, the company faced challenges with organic sales decline and tariff exposure. The strategic decision to exit certain businesses aims to focus on core brands and mitigate tariff impacts. However, the decline in U.S. organic sales and struggles in the gummy vitamin business present significant challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Brand Performance
Church & Dwight gained share in nine of its 14 major brands, with more than 80% of the business growing volume share in the quarter.
Online Sales Growth
Online sales reached close to 23% of global sales, indicating significant growth in the online class of trade.
TheraBreath and HERO Performance
THERABREATH mouthwash consumption grew 26%, and HERO acne care grew consumption by 13%, both significantly outpacing their categories.
International Business Growth
The international business delivered sales growth of 2.7% in the quarter, with organic sales increasing by 5.8%.
EPS Performance
Adjusted EPS was $0.91, beating the outlook by $0.01.
Negative Updates
Organic Sales Decline
Organic sales decreased by 1.2%, primarily due to retail destocking which accounted for a 300 basis point drag.
U.S. Organic Sales Decline
U.S. organic sales declined by 3%, driven entirely by negative volume from retail destocking.
Gummy Vitamin Business Struggles
The gummy vitamin category grew 4.8%, but Church & Dwight's consumption was down 19%.
Revenue and Organic Sales Decline
Reported revenue was down 2.4%, and organic sales were down 1.2% for the quarter.
Tariff Exposure
The company is projecting a gross 12-month run rate tariff exposure of $190 million, with a net impact expected to reduce exposure by approximately 80%.
Company Guidance
In the Church & Dwight's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that included several key metrics. The full-year organic sales growth outlook was revised to 0% to 2%, reflecting a weaker U.S. consumer environment and no anticipated bounce-back from Q1 retailer destocking, which accounted for a 300 basis point drag on organic sales. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 was $0.91, slightly exceeding expectations by $0.01. The company also discussed strategic actions, such as pursuing alternatives for the Flawless, Spinbrush, and Waterpik showerhead businesses, which generate 2% of total net sales but have below-average profitability. Additionally, they aim to reduce their 12-month run rate tariff exposure of $190 million by approximately 80% through portfolio decisions and supply chain actions. ARM & HAMMER brands showed strong performance, with laundry detergent consumption growing 3.4% and unit dose rising 26.9% despite the overall category decline. The company remains committed to marketing investments, targeting 11% of net sales for the year, and anticipates EPS growth in the back half of 2025.

Church & Dwight Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Church & Dwight Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

On March 14, 2025, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. announced the appointment of Lee McChesney as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective March 24, 2025. This change is part of a leadership transition where the current CFO, Richard Dierker, will become the CEO on April 2, 2025, following Matthew T. Farrell’s retirement. This strategic move is expected to impact the company’s operations and leadership structure significantly.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.