Mondelez International (MDLZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $89.33B
• Dividend Yield: 2.73%
• Average Volume (3M): 6.45M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.07
• Revenue Growth: 0.90%
• EPS Growth: -14.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: 90,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Food Confectioners
• EPS (TTM): 0.74
• Shares Outstanding: 1,294,815,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 7,883,551
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,446,461
• PEG Ratio: -2.56
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 30.59
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.09
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.67
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.14
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.30
• 1Y Price Target: $72.88
• Price Target Upside: 5.64% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $73.00 ▲(5.81%Upside)

Mondelez International's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and cash flow generation, is the most significant factor in its overall stock score. The earnings call supports this with strategic execution and revenue gains, despite challenges like cocoa costs. Technical analysis indicates market indecision, and the valuation reflects a premium pricing. These factors combine to provide a solid foundation for the company's stock score, though vigilance on cost management and market trends is advisable.

Positive Factors

Market Share Gains

MDLZ's volume share is up ~100 bps y/y, an improvement from +55 bps in the prior 8 weeks, indicating strong volume-led share gains.

Pricing Power

Scanner data indicates minimal demand elasticity for MDLZ's chocolate business, reinforcing the durability of MDLZ's pricing power.

Sales Rebound

Management expressed strong confidence in a sales rebound due to one-off factors reversing and favorable foreign exchange impacts.

Negative Factors

Earnings Guidance

Cautious earnings guidance of 10% decline in earnings on high cocoa prices.

Operating Profit Pressure

There is an assumption of ongoing pressure on operating profit due to unfavorable cocoa costs.

US Performance

Weaker-than-expected results were acknowledged in the U.S. with a decline of 3.6%.

Mondelez International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a multinational confectionery, food, and beverage company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. It operates in the snack food sector and is known for its leading global brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, Trident, and Ritz. The company primarily focuses on producing chocolate, biscuits, gum, candy, cheese, and powdered beverages, serving markets across North America, Europe, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

How the Company Makes Money

Mondelez International generates revenue through the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of its diverse portfolio of snack food products. The company's key revenue streams include sales of chocolate products, biscuits, gum and candy, and cheese and grocery items. Mondelez International leverages its well-established brand portfolio to secure strong market positions globally. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its product offerings and reach. Mondelez also employs pricing strategies and innovation in product development to sustain growth in competitive markets. Revenue is further supported by strategic acquisitions and investments in emerging markets to capture new consumer segments.

Mondelez International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mondelez International exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, despite variability in profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, with increasing liabilities warranting attention. Cash flow metrics are robust, indicating financial flexibility and support for future growth.

Income Statement

Mondelez International shows strong revenue growth with a steady rise from $26.58 billion in 2020 to $36.46 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025. The gross profit margin has remained robust, with the latest TTM figure at approximately 32.73%. However, the net profit margin has shown some variability, with a decrease to around 9.88% TTM from 12.66% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect solid operational efficiency, maintaining stability above 11% and 15%, respectively. The overall trend suggests strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, though there is room for improvement in net profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a sound financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.78 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Stockholders' equity has shown resilience despite slight fluctuations, reflecting stability. The equity ratio stands at 37.41%, showcasing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, the company's total liabilities have increased, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet shows a balanced approach to leverage and equity, though increased liabilities warrant attention.

Cash Flow

Mondelez's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.3 TTM, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at about 0.92, showing solid free cash generation. While free cash flow growth has been uneven, the company's ability to maintain healthy cash metrics demonstrates financial flexibility and resilience. This strength in cash flows supports future growth opportunities and dividend potential.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	36.46B	36.44B	36.02B	31.50B	28.72B	26.58B
Gross Profit	11.94B	14.26B	13.76B	11.31B	11.25B	10.45B
EBITDA	5.95B	8.07B	7.64B	4.76B	5.85B	4.92B
Net Income	3.60B	4.61B	4.96B	2.72B	4.30B	3.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	68.93B	68.50B	71.39B	71.16B	67.09B	67.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.56B	1.35B	1.81B	1.92B	3.55B	3.62B
Total Debt	20.16B	18.37B	19.95B	23.54B	19.97B	20.52B
Total Liabilities	43.10B	41.54B	43.02B	44.24B	38.77B	40.16B
Stockholders Equity	25.79B	26.93B	28.33B	26.88B	28.27B	27.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.31B	3.52B	3.60B	3.00B	3.18B	3.10B
Operating Cash Flow	4.68B	4.91B	4.71B	3.91B	4.14B	3.96B
Investing Cash Flow	721.00M	526.00M	2.81B	-4.89B	-26.00M	500.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-5.26B	-5.78B	-7.56B	-456.00M	-4.07B	-2.21B

Mondelez International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 68.99
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDLZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.19, above the 50-day MA of 66.43, and above the 200-day MA of 64.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDLZ.

Mondelez International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
HSY	75 Outperform	$35.75B	21.77	37.48%	3.10%	-5.91%	-19.78%
KHC	74 Outperform	$31.55B	12.09	5.36%	6.00%	-4.25%	-4.04%
MDLZ	72 Outperform	$89.33B	25.64	13.27%	2.73%	0.90%	-14.60%
KR	70 Outperform	$46.17B	18.98	24.06%	1.83%	-2.11%	25.03%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$27.34B	15.36	-4.01%	3.14%	1.00%	1.98%
K	64 Neutral	$27.76B	20.16	39.05%	2.85%	-12.00%	49.20%
GIS	63 Neutral	$28.83B	12.97	24.57%	4.51%	-1.87%	-5.16%

Mondelez International Corporate Events

Mondelez Approves New Severance Plan for Executives

On May 20, 2025, Mondelēz International, Inc. announced the approval of a new Severance Plan for Key Executives, which includes various benefits such as cash severance, health benefits, and equity award accelerations, aimed at providing support upon termination without cause or resignation for good reason. The following day, the company held its annual shareholders’ meeting, where 10 directors were elected, and several proposals were voted on, including the approval of executive compensation and the Global Employee Stock Purchase Matching Plan, while several shareholder proposals were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDLZ) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondelez International stock, see the MDLZ Stock Forecast page.

Mondelez International Completes $1.6 Billion Notes Offering

On May 1, 2025, Mondelez International announced the pricing of a senior notes offering, including notes due in 2028, 2030, and 2035, totaling $1.6 billion. The issuance, completed on May 6, 2025, was facilitated through agreements with several underwriters and modifications to existing indentures, reflecting the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to manage its debt and financing structure.