Mondelez International (MDLZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $80.19B
• Dividend Yield: 3.13%
• Average Volume (3M): 7.12M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 22.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.13
• Revenue Growth: 3.14%
• EPS Growth: -5.80%
• Country: US
• Employees: 90,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Food Confectioners
• EPS (TTM): 0.73
• Shares Outstanding: 1,293,945,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,553,680
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,124,191
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.34
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.90
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.92
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.92
• 1Y Price Target: $72.88
• Price Target Upside: 19.46% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 18

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $70.00 ▲(14.74% Upside)

Mondelez International's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and resilience in emerging markets and Europe, despite challenges in North America. The technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, while the valuation is moderate with a decent dividend yield. The earnings call highlights a cautious but optimistic outlook, particularly with expected improvements in North America.

Positive Factors

Emerging Markets Growth

Strong growth in emerging markets indicates Mondelez's ability to capitalize on expanding consumer bases, ensuring long-term revenue enhancement and market penetration.

Natural Food Dyes Initiative

Switching to natural food dyes aligns with health-conscious consumer trends, potentially boosting brand reputation and demand for Mondelez products.

Strong Cash Flow Management

Effective cash flow management ensures Mondelez can fund operations, invest in growth opportunities, and maintain financial stability over the long term.

Negative Factors

North America Challenges

Weakness in North America could hinder overall revenue growth and profitability, as this market is crucial for Mondelez's performance.

Declining Free Cash Flow Growth

A decline in free cash flow growth could impact Mondelez's ability to reinvest in the business and manage debt, affecting long-term financial health.

High Debt Levels

High debt levels may limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting Mondelez's long-term financial stability.

Mondelez International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a multinational confectionery, food, and beverage company headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. It operates in the global snack food sector, with a diverse portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Triscuit. The company focuses on producing biscuits, chocolate, gum, candy, and powdered beverages, catering to a wide range of consumer preferences and dietary needs. Mondelez is committed to sustainability and innovation, continually evolving its product offerings to meet changing consumer trends.

How the Company Makes Money

Mondelez International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide array of snack food products across various markets globally. Its revenue model is built on several key streams, including retail sales through supermarkets, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms. The company benefits from strong brand recognition and loyalty, allowing it to command premium pricing on many of its products. Additionally, Mondelez engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service providers, enhancing distribution channels and expanding market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include effective marketing strategies, product innovation, and a focus on emerging markets where demand for snack foods is growing.

Mondelez International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mondelez International shows a robust financial performance with steady revenue growth and strong profitability margins. However, high debt levels and declining free cash flow growth present potential risks.

Income Statement

Mondelez International shows a robust financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, demonstrating strong growth momentum. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 32.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM is lower at 9.8%, suggesting room for improving profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect solid operational efficiency, standing at 12.4% and 15.7%, respectively. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to TTM is 1.8%, indicating steady but modest growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82, suggesting moderate leverage and a balanced capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 13.9% for TTM, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.9%, indicating a solid asset base funded by equity. Despite the strong equity position, the high level of total debt could pose potential risks if not managed effectively.

Cash Flow

Mondelez demonstrates strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79 for TTM, reflecting effective cash conversion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.14, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate from the previous period is negative at -18.8%, suggesting a decline in cash flow generation that could impact future liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	37.10B	36.44B	36.02B	31.50B	28.72B	26.58B
Gross Profit	12.05B	14.26B	13.76B	11.31B	11.25B	10.45B
EBITDA	6.00B	8.07B	7.64B	4.76B	5.85B	4.92B
Net Income	3.64B	4.61B	4.96B	2.72B	4.30B	3.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	71.02B	68.50B	71.39B	71.16B	67.09B	67.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.50B	1.35B	1.81B	1.92B	3.55B	3.62B
Total Debt	21.50B	18.37B	19.95B	23.54B	19.97B	20.52B
Total Liabilities	44.77B	41.54B	43.02B	44.24B	38.77B	40.16B
Stockholders Equity	26.19B	26.93B	28.33B	26.88B	28.27B	27.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	2.86B	3.52B	3.60B	3.00B	3.18B	3.10B
Operating Cash Flow	4.16B	4.91B	4.71B	3.91B	4.14B	3.96B
Investing Cash Flow	782.00M	526.00M	2.81B	-4.89B	-26.00M	500.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-5.04B	-5.78B	-7.56B	-456.00M	-4.07B	-2.21B

Mondelez International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 61.01
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDLZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.01, below the 50-day MA of 61.92, and below the 200-day MA of 63.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDLZ.

Mondelez International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
HSY	76 Outperform	$37.73B	24.73	35.89%	3.02%	2.55%	-16.52%
MDLZ	74 Outperform	$80.19B	22.28	13.51%	3.13%	3.14%	-5.80%
KR	71 Outperform	$45.46B	17.38	24.83%	1.91%	-2.13%	3.22%
GIS	67 Neutral	$26.23B	9.07	30.98%	5.05%	-3.26%	25.58%
K	64 Neutral	$28.86B	21.70	36.00%	2.76%	-6.38%	45.73%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
KHC	56 Neutral	$30.35B	-5.67	-11.68%	6.30%	-3.83%	-384.08%

Mondelez International Corporate Events

Mondelez International’s Mixed Earnings Call Highlights

Mondelez International’s recent earnings call painted a picture of mixed performance, with notable strengths in emerging markets and strategic actions to tackle inflation. However, the company faces ongoing challenges in North America and external environmental factors such as weather and tariffs. Despite these hurdles, Mondelez maintains a cautious outlook for the second half of the year.

Mondelēz International Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Mondelēz International, Inc., a leading global snacking company, operates in over 150 countries with iconic brands such as Oreo, Ritz, and Cadbury Dairy Milk. The company is a significant player in the food and beverage industry, known for its diverse product portfolio and strong market presence.