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Mondelez International (MDLZ)
NASDAQ:MDLZ
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Mondelez International (MDLZ) AI Stock Analysis

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MDLZ

Mondelez International

(NASDAQ:MDLZ)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
â–²(4.72%Upside)
Mondelez International's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and cash flow generation, is the most significant factor in its overall stock score. The earnings call supports this with strategic execution and revenue gains, despite challenges like cocoa costs. Technical analysis indicates market indecision, and the valuation reflects a premium pricing. These factors combine to provide a solid foundation for the company's stock score, though vigilance on cost management and market trends is advisable.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Mondelez International shows prospects for earnings per share growth twice that of peers despite a discount in price-to-earnings ratio.
Market Share
MDLZ gained approximately 100 basis points of market share year over year, driven by volumes.
Negative Factors
Cocoa Prices
Cautious earnings guidance of 10% decline in earnings on high cocoa prices.
US Market Performance
Weaker-than-expected results were acknowledged in the U.S. with a decline of 3.6%.

Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mondelez International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a multinational confectionery, food, and beverage company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. It operates in the snack food sector and is known for its leading global brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, Trident, and Ritz. The company primarily focuses on producing chocolate, biscuits, gum, candy, cheese, and powdered beverages, serving markets across North America, Europe, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyMondelez International generates revenue through the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of its diverse portfolio of snack food products. The company's key revenue streams include sales of chocolate products, biscuits, gum and candy, and cheese and grocery items. Mondelez International leverages its well-established brand portfolio to secure strong market positions globally. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its product offerings and reach. Mondelez also employs pricing strategies and innovation in product development to sustain growth in competitive markets. Revenue is further supported by strategic acquisitions and investments in emerging markets to capture new consumer segments.

Mondelez International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which product lines or services are driving growth and which areas might need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsMondelez International's chocolate segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by strategic pricing and product innovation, despite high cocoa costs. The biscuits and baked snacks segment shows modest growth, hindered by North American challenges like retailer destocking and soft consumer demand. The company is focusing on brand loyalty and sustainability, with a strong emphasis on expanding distribution in emerging markets. Despite a decline in volume mix, Mondelez maintains a positive outlook for revenue growth, expecting approximately 5% for the year, while navigating consumer confidence volatility.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Mondelez International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong results in emerging markets and strategic actions to manage inflation, but ongoing challenges in North America and external environmental factors such as weather and tariffs. The company maintains a cautious outlook for the second half of the year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Emerging Markets Performance
Double-digit growth in emerging markets with sustained volume and value growth and good share gains in Brazil, India, and Mexico.
Good European Performance
Resilient business in Europe with strong share gains, despite significant price increases in the chocolate category.
Strategic Pricing Actions
Incremental pricing in North America and strategic pricing actions globally to boost revenue and manage costs amid inflation concerns.
Favorable Cocoa Market Trends
Recent favorable direction in cocoa market fundamentals with potential material benefits from lower cocoa butter ratios.
Negative Updates
Weak North American Market
Continued consumer anxiety in North America leading to a decline in volume in the biscuits category and overall weak demand.
Retailer Destocking in North America
Unexpected retailer destocking in North America impacting revenue and inventory management.
Impact of European Heat Wave
Unpredictable weather in Europe led to lower chocolate volumes, affecting the company's flexibility in managing forecasts.
Cautious Outlook for Second Half
Maintained cautious outlook for the second half due to uncertain consumer behavior and potential impacts of tariffs in the US.
Company Guidance
In the Mondelez International 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Call, the company reported strong performance metrics, with a focus on geographical variances and future strategies. The company experienced strong pricing strategies and a flattish volume/mix adjusted for downsizing, leading to a better-than-expected bottom line. Notably, emerging markets achieved double-digit growth, with significant share gains in Brazil, India, and Mexico, while North America faced challenges due to consumer anxiety and inflation. Mondelez maintained its full-year outlook, despite softness in certain categories, with careful planning accounting for potential headwinds like chocolate elasticity and U.S. market conditions. The company also addressed future pricing strategies and cost controls to bolster North American performance, highlighting a rebound in profitability expected in Q4 through strategic pricing and channel focus. Additionally, Mondelez discussed the impact of cocoa market dynamics, indicating potential pricing adjustments based on cocoa price fluctuations while planning increased investments in working media for 2026 to support brand strength amid economic pressures.

Mondelez International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mondelez International exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, despite variability in profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, with increasing liabilities warranting attention. Cash flow metrics are robust, indicating financial flexibility and support for future growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Mondelez International shows strong revenue growth with a steady rise from $26.58 billion in 2020 to $36.46 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025. The gross profit margin has remained robust, with the latest TTM figure at approximately 32.73%. However, the net profit margin has shown some variability, with a decrease to around 9.88% TTM from 12.66% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect solid operational efficiency, maintaining stability above 11% and 15%, respectively. The overall trend suggests strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, though there is room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a sound financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.78 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Stockholders' equity has shown resilience despite slight fluctuations, reflecting stability. The equity ratio stands at 37.41%, showcasing a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, the company's total liabilities have increased, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet shows a balanced approach to leverage and equity, though increased liabilities warrant attention.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Mondelez's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.3 TTM, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at about 0.92, showing solid free cash generation. While free cash flow growth has been uneven, the company's ability to maintain healthy cash metrics demonstrates financial flexibility and resilience. This strength in cash flows supports future growth opportunities and dividend potential.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.44B36.02B31.50B28.72B26.58B
Gross Profit14.26B13.76B11.31B11.25B10.45B
EBITDA8.07B7.64B4.76B5.85B4.92B
Net Income4.61B4.96B2.72B4.30B3.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets68.50B71.39B71.16B67.09B67.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.35B1.81B1.92B3.55B3.62B
Total Debt18.37B19.95B23.54B19.97B20.52B
Total Liabilities41.54B43.02B44.24B38.77B40.16B
Stockholders Equity26.93B28.33B26.88B28.27B27.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.52B3.60B3.00B3.18B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow4.91B4.71B3.91B4.14B3.96B
Investing Cash Flow526.00M2.81B-4.89B-26.00M500.00M
Financing Cash Flow-5.78B-7.56B-456.00M-4.07B-2.21B

Mondelez International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.71
Price Trends
50DMA
67.43
Positive
100DMA
66.56
Positive
200DMA
64.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Negative
RSI
56.87
Neutral
STOCH
68.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDLZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.88, above the 50-day MA of 67.43, and above the 200-day MA of 64.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDLZ.

Mondelez International Risk Analysis

Mondelez International disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mondelez International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mondelez International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$33.44B12.815.36%5.66%-4.25%-4.04%
73
Outperform
$37.39B22.7637.48%2.94%-5.91%-19.78%
72
Outperform
$90.09B25.8613.27%2.70%0.90%-14.60%
68
Neutral
$45.83B18.8424.06%1.85%-2.11%25.03%
65
Neutral
$26.91B15.40-1.16%3.07%1.05%5.03%
64
Neutral
$27.68B20.1039.05%2.86%-12.00%49.20%
63
Neutral
$27.04B12.1624.57%4.82%-1.87%-5.16%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDLZ
Mondelez International
69.71
4.53
6.95%
GIS
General Mills
50.02
-15.32
-23.45%
HSY
The Hershey Company
186.23
-1.63
-0.87%
K
Kellanova
80.14
24.18
43.21%
KR
Kroger Company
69.30
15.75
29.41%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
28.56
-3.57
-11.11%

Mondelez International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mondelez Approves New Severance Plan for Executives
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Mondelēz International, Inc. announced the approval of a new Severance Plan for Key Executives, which includes various benefits such as cash severance, health benefits, and equity award accelerations, aimed at providing support upon termination without cause or resignation for good reason. The following day, the company held its annual shareholders’ meeting, where 10 directors were elected, and several proposals were voted on, including the approval of executive compensation and the Global Employee Stock Purchase Matching Plan, while several shareholder proposals were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDLZ) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondelez International stock, see the MDLZ Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Mondelez International Completes $1.6 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Mondelez International announced the pricing of a senior notes offering, including notes due in 2028, 2030, and 2035, totaling $1.6 billion. The issuance, completed on May 6, 2025, was facilitated through agreements with several underwriters and modifications to existing indentures, reflecting the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to manage its debt and financing structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 24, 2025