Mondelez International (MDLZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $81.08B
• Dividend Yield: 2.98%
• Average Volume (3M): 7.95M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 22.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.10
• Revenue Growth: 3.14%
• EPS Growth: -5.80%
• Country: US
• Employees: 90,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 61
• Industry: Food Confectioners
• EPS (TTM): 0.73
• Shares Outstanding: 1,293,945,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 7,112,419
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,952,486
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.33
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.90
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.92
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.92
• 1Y Price Target: $74.78
• Price Target Upside: 18.81% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $70.00 ▲(11.22% Upside)

Mondelez International is well-positioned with strong financial performance, despite challenges in free cash flow and debt management. Mixed technical indicators and strategic actions from the earnings call indicate both opportunities and risks, while valuation metrics suggest moderate attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Earnings Growth

Mondelez International shows prospects for earnings per share growth twice that of peers despite a discount in price-to-earnings ratio.

Market Share

MDLZ gained approximately 100 basis points of market share year over year, driven by volumes.

Sales Rebound

Management expressed strong confidence in a sales rebound due to one-off factors reversing and favorable foreign exchange impacts.

Negative Factors

Management Outlook

Management's cautious tone contrasted with the market's hopes for positive forecast revisions.

Pricing Strategy

The decision in the U.S. to raise prices on selected biscuits items sounds a bit risky given the heightened volume pressure already in the category.

Sales Decline

MDLZ's chocolate sales declined -1.2% y/y in the latest 4-wk period, well below the +13.5% result in the prior 4-wks, driven by softer category growth due to record temperatures in the region.

Mondelez International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a multinational confectionery, food, and beverage company headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. It operates in the global snack food sector, with a diverse portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, and Triscuit. The company focuses on producing biscuits, chocolate, gum, candy, and powdered beverages, catering to a wide range of consumer preferences and dietary needs. Mondelez is committed to sustainability and innovation, continually evolving its product offerings to meet changing consumer trends.

How the Company Makes Money

Mondelez International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide array of snack food products across various markets globally. Its revenue model is built on several key streams, including retail sales through supermarkets, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms. The company benefits from strong brand recognition and loyalty, allowing it to command premium pricing on many of its products. Additionally, Mondelez engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service providers, enhancing distribution channels and expanding market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include effective marketing strategies, product innovation, and a focus on emerging markets where demand for snack foods is growing.

Mondelez International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mondelez International shows a robust financial performance with steady revenue growth and strong profitability margins. However, high debt levels and declining free cash flow growth present potential risks.

Income Statement

Mondelez International shows a robust financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, demonstrating strong growth momentum. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 32.5%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM is lower at 9.8%, suggesting room for improving profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect solid operational efficiency, standing at 12.4% and 15.7%, respectively. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to TTM is 1.8%, indicating steady but modest growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82, suggesting moderate leverage and a balanced capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 13.9% for TTM, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 36.9%, indicating a solid asset base funded by equity. Despite the strong equity position, the high level of total debt could pose potential risks if not managed effectively.

Cash Flow

Mondelez demonstrates strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79 for TTM, reflecting effective cash conversion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.14, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate from the previous period is negative at -18.8%, suggesting a decline in cash flow generation that could impact future liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	37.10B	36.44B	36.02B	31.50B	28.72B	26.58B
Gross Profit	12.05B	14.26B	13.76B	11.31B	11.25B	10.45B
EBITDA	6.00B	8.07B	7.64B	4.76B	5.85B	4.92B
Net Income	3.64B	4.61B	4.96B	2.72B	4.30B	3.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	71.02B	68.50B	71.39B	71.16B	67.09B	67.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.50B	1.35B	1.81B	1.92B	3.55B	3.62B
Total Debt	21.50B	18.37B	19.95B	23.54B	19.97B	20.52B
Total Liabilities	44.77B	41.54B	43.02B	44.24B	38.77B	40.16B
Stockholders Equity	26.19B	26.93B	28.33B	26.88B	28.27B	27.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	2.86B	3.52B	3.60B	3.00B	3.18B	3.10B
Operating Cash Flow	4.16B	4.91B	4.71B	3.91B	4.14B	3.96B
Investing Cash Flow	782.00M	526.00M	2.81B	-4.89B	-26.00M	500.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-5.04B	-5.78B	-7.56B	-456.00M	-4.07B	-2.21B

Mondelez International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 62.94
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDLZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.75, below the 50-day MA of 66.29, and below the 200-day MA of 63.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDLZ.

Mondelez International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
HSY	78 Outperform	$36.65B	24.02	35.89%	3.02%	2.55%	-16.52%
GIS	70 Outperform	$27.07B	12.18	24.57%	4.85%	-1.87%	-5.16%
KR	70 Outperform	$46.76B	19.22	24.06%	1.82%	-2.11%	25.03%
K	69 Neutral	$27.83B	20.93	36.00%	2.85%	-6.38%	45.73%
MDLZ	67 Neutral	$81.08B	22.88	13.51%	2.98%	3.14%	-5.80%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$20.95B	14.50	-4.08%	3.12%	2.72%	-11.24%
KHC	57 Neutral	$32.75B	12.81	-11.68%	5.78%	-3.83%	-384.08%

Mondelez International Corporate Events

Mondelez Approves New Severance Plan for Executives

On May 20, 2025, Mondelēz International, Inc. announced the approval of a new Severance Plan for Key Executives, which includes various benefits such as cash severance, health benefits, and equity award accelerations, aimed at providing support upon termination without cause or resignation for good reason. The following day, the company held its annual shareholders’ meeting, where 10 directors were elected, and several proposals were voted on, including the approval of executive compensation and the Global Employee Stock Purchase Matching Plan, while several shareholder proposals were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDLZ) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mondelez International stock, see the MDLZ Stock Forecast page.