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The Hershey Company (HSY)
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The Hershey Company (HSY) AI Stock Analysis

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HSY

The Hershey Company

(NYSE:HSY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$211.00
▲(15.74% Upside)
Hershey's overall stock score reflects strong financial health and positive technical indicators, which are the most significant factors. The valuation is somewhat high, and mixed earnings call sentiment introduces caution. Despite challenges, the company's strategic focus on innovation and market positioning supports its potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue expectations indicates strong market demand and effective execution, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Innovation and Brand Investment
Ongoing innovation and brand investments strengthen competitive positioning and drive sustainable revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins Decline
Declining margins may pressure profitability, requiring effective cost management and pricing strategies to sustain earnings.
Impact of Cocoa and Tariffs
Rising cocoa costs and tariffs could impact cost structure and margins, necessitating strategic sourcing and pricing adjustments.
Pressure in Take-home Chocolate Segment
Increased competition in the chocolate segment may erode market share, requiring innovation and differentiation to maintain leadership.

The Hershey Company (HSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Hershey Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Hershey Company (HSY) is a leading American confectionery manufacturer known for its wide range of chocolate and non-chocolate products. Founded in 1894 and headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania, the company operates primarily in the snacks and confections sector. Hershey's core products include iconic chocolate bars, such as Hershey's Milk Chocolate, Reese's Peanut Butter Cups, and Kit Kat, as well as a variety of non-chocolate snacks and seasonal products. The company has a strong presence in both the domestic and international markets, continually innovating to meet consumer demands.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Hershey Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of its confectionery products, which are distributed through various channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and vending machines. Key revenue streams include sales from chocolate bars, candies, and related snacks. Hershey's strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors enhance its market reach and ensure consistent product availability. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and advertising to strengthen brand loyalty, driving consumer demand for its products. Seasonal product offerings, such as Halloween and Christmas-themed candies, also contribute significantly to sales during peak times.

The Hershey Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where The Hershey Company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsHershey's U.S. revenue shows strong growth, driven by strategic pricing and innovation in salty snacks, despite challenges like cocoa inflation and tariffs. The latest earnings call highlights optimism in pricing strategies and operational efficiencies, projecting a significant gross margin expansion by 2026. The 'All Other' category remains stable, but faces pressure from private labels and declining convenience store traffic. Hershey's focus on technology investments and potential tariff relief could further bolster its growth trajectory, aligning with its long-term ambitions.
Data provided by:The Fly

The Hershey Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call portrays a mixed sentiment. While there is strong growth in salty snacks and positive contributions from innovation, challenges such as disappointing Halloween sales and ongoing cocoa cost pressures weigh on the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Salty Snacks Growth
Salty snacks saw a 14% year-over-year increase in consumption, driven by strong performance in brands like SkinnyPop and Dot's, which gained market share and showed robust growth.
Positive Innovation Impact
Innovation, particularly the REESE'S Oreo launch, has driven category growth and market engagement, with plans for a strong pipeline in 2026 and 2027.
Everyday CMG Business Double-Digit Growth
The everyday CMG business experienced double-digit growth over the past four weeks, indicating strong consumer demand and effective pricing strategy.
Negative Updates
Disappointing Halloween Sales
Halloween sales were slower than expected, with a notable dependence on the last week of sales to meet projections, partly attributed to the holiday falling on a Friday.
International Segment Loss
The international segment reported a loss due to higher cocoa costs and competitive pricing pressures, with challenges expected to persist until cocoa becomes deflationary.
Cocoa Cost Challenges
Cocoa costs remain 70% higher than in 2023, impacting margins, with inflationary pressures expected to continue into 2026 despite some recent moderation.
Company Guidance
During The Hershey Company’s third quarter 2025 Q&A session, the company provided guidance concerning its expectations for 2026, emphasizing a focus on balanced growth and long-term investment. Hershey anticipates a non-algorithm year for both top and bottom lines, with potential for above-algorithm EPS growth, contingent on factors such as elasticity and cocoa costs. The company noted that cocoa costs have moderated but remain 70% higher than 2023 levels, with some expected inflation in 2026. Hershey plans to rebuild margins gradually while maintaining its revenue growth algorithm of 2% to 4%. Despite challenges like Halloween sales softness, the company highlighted strong everyday confectionery growth and robust innovation pipelines, with a focus on consumer insights and strategic pricing to ensure competitiveness. The guidance remains cautious amid variable factors, with a commitment to investing in brand strength and market positioning for long-term success.

The Hershey Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Hershey Company demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While profitability margins have declined, the company has improved its leverage position. Overall, Hershey maintains a stable financial position with potential for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The Hershey Company shows consistent revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 1.72%. However, there is a noticeable decline in profitability margins, with the TTM gross profit margin at 37.74% compared to 47.32% in 2024. Net profit margin also decreased to 11.84% from 19.83% in 2024. Despite these declines, the company maintains a solid revenue base and profitability, indicating stable operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.07 in the TTM period, down from 1.16 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 29.44% from 47.11% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Hershey's cash flow performance is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 36.66% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.66, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.49B11.20B11.16B10.42B8.97B8.15B
Gross Profit4.30B5.30B5.00B4.50B4.05B3.70B
EBITDA2.26B3.10B2.75B2.44B2.24B1.94B
Net Income1.36B2.22B1.86B1.64B1.48B1.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.58B12.95B11.90B10.95B10.41B9.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B730.75M401.90M463.89M329.27M1.14B
Total Debt5.74B5.45B5.13B5.12B5.38B4.82B
Total Liabilities9.01B8.23B7.80B7.65B7.66B6.89B
Stockholders Equity4.56B4.71B4.10B3.30B2.76B2.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.16B1.93B1.55B1.81B1.59B1.26B
Operating Cash Flow2.29B2.53B2.32B2.33B2.08B1.70B
Investing Cash Flow-793.17M-960.31M-1.20B-787.38M-2.22B-531.28M
Financing Cash Flow-985.97M-1.30B-1.15B-1.42B-681.14M-499.23M

The Hershey Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price182.30
Price Trends
50DMA
182.47
Negative
100DMA
183.25
Negative
200DMA
174.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.85
Positive
RSI
48.17
Neutral
STOCH
24.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HSY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 182.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.66, below the 50-day MA of 182.47, and above the 200-day MA of 174.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HSY.

The Hershey Company Risk Analysis

The Hershey Company disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Hershey Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Hershey Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$36.97B27.2731.01%3.03%4.71%-23.03%
66
Neutral
$2.66B29.2610.48%0.95%0.34%0.85%
63
Neutral
$24.50B8.7030.98%5.27%-3.26%25.58%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$70.85B20.5113.07%3.49%4.13%-5.19%
49
Neutral
$10.68B-17.44%4.33%-0.66%-326.55%
49
Neutral
$28.81B-9.73%6.57%-3.70%-431.05%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HSY
The Hershey Company
180.78
-1.86
-1.02%
GIS
General Mills
45.96
-17.29
-27.34%
SJM
JM Smucker
100.68
-9.82
-8.89%
TR
Tootsie Roll
37.23
6.21
20.02%
MDLZ
Mondelez International
54.76
-5.17
-8.63%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
24.51
-5.30
-17.77%

The Hershey Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hershey Updates By-laws to Enhance Governance
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, The Hershey Company amended its By-laws to enhance corporate governance. The amendments, effective immediately, remove the provision allowing Michele Buck to hold the Chairman position, eliminate references to the Lead Independent Director, and clarify the roles of the Governance Committee Chair and Vice Chairman during emergencies or the CEO’s unavailability.

Private Placements and Financing
Hershey Enters New $1.875 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, The Hershey Company entered into a new five-year credit agreement with several financial institutions, allowing it to borrow up to $1.875 billion, with an option to increase by $1 billion. This new agreement replaces a previous credit facility established in April 2023, which allowed for borrowing up to $1.35 billion. The updated credit agreement is expected to enhance Hershey’s financial flexibility for general corporate purposes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025