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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF)
NASDAQ:RMCF

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) AI Stock Analysis

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RMCF

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory

(NASDAQ:RMCF)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-0.66% Downside)
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining profitability and increased leverage, which are the most impactful factors. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to ongoing losses. While recent strategic initiatives and corporate events provide some positive outlook, they are overshadowed by the company's financial difficulties.
Positive Factors
Franchise Expansion
The addition of 34 new stores represents significant growth potential, enhancing market presence and revenue streams through franchise expansion.
Brand Modernization
Rebranding efforts aim to enhance customer experience and align stores with a modern identity, potentially increasing customer engagement and sales.
Operational Improvements
Investments in technology and automation can improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance product quality, supporting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Negative Profit Margins
Declining profit margins indicate cost pressures and inefficiencies, challenging the company's ability to maintain profitability and financial health.
Increased Financial Leverage
Higher leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow indicates operational challenges and liquidity risks, potentially impacting the company's ability to fund growth and meet obligations.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) is a premier manufacturer and retailer of gourmet chocolates and confections, founded in 1981 in Durango, Colorado. The company specializes in handcrafted chocolates, fudge, and a variety of other sweet treats, catering to both individual consumers and wholesale clients. RMCF operates a network of franchise stores, retail locations, and e-commerce platforms, positioning itself in the specialty chocolate and confectionery sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyRocky Mountain Chocolate Factory generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from retail sales in its franchised and corporate-owned stores, where customers purchase a wide range of chocolate products. The company also earns significant income from wholesale distribution, supplying chocolate and confections to various retailers and food service companies. E-commerce sales through its online store add another revenue stream, allowing direct access to consumers nationwide. Additionally, RMCF benefits from strategic partnerships with other businesses, including co-branding opportunities and seasonal promotions, which enhance brand visibility and sales. Overall, their diversified revenue model, encompassing retail, wholesale, and online sales, contributes to the company's financial performance.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant efforts in brand modernization, franchise expansion, and operational improvements, contributing to revenue growth. However, financial challenges such as a negative gross profit, net loss, and increased borrowing point to ongoing difficulties. The sentiment is balanced with both promising developments and notable challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the quarter was $6.8 million, up from $6.4 million in the same period last year, with product sales increasing to $5.2 million from $4.9 million.
Franchise Development and Expansion
New store openings and franchise agreements signed in strategic locations such as Charleston, South Carolina, and Jersey Shore Premium Outlets, with a strong development pipeline and remodels showing immediate sales pickup.
Brand Modernization
Significant progress in rebranding efforts including a new logo, store design, packaging, and website, aiming for a cohesive customer experience and aligning stores with the new brand identity within 24 months.
Digital and Operational Improvements
Deployment of new technology and automation in production, refreshed website launch, and partnerships with third-party delivery services like DoorDash to enhance customer engagement and sales.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Profit
Total product and retail gross profit was negative $33,000 compared to $0.6 million in the previous year, due to inventory adjustments and other comparability factors.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $0.7 million or a negative $0.09 per share, compared to a net loss of $0.7 million or a negative $0.11 per share in the previous year.
Increased Borrowing
The company added $1.8 million in new borrowings to support working capital and seasonal needs, increasing total debt outstanding to $7.8 million.
Cash Burn Concerns
Despite assurances that cash burn will not continue, the company is currently experiencing cash burn, with potential concerns about future equity financing.
Company Guidance
During the conference call discussing Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's financial results for the fiscal second quarter of 2026, the company provided guidance emphasizing strategic initiatives and operational improvements. Key metrics included total revenue of $6.8 million, a 6.25% increase from the previous year, with product sales rising to $5.2 million and franchise and royalty fees increasing to $1.6 million. Despite a net loss of $0.7 million, the company highlighted the potential for future profitability driven by franchise growth, operational efficiency, and brand development. Notable efforts included the onboarding of a new VP of Operations to reduce costs, improvement of in-stock items, and the expansion of production capabilities to meet seasonal demand. The company's cash position improved to $2 million, supported by new borrowings, while total debt stood at $7.8 million. With a focus on increasing franchisee engagement, refreshing the brand identity, and leveraging digital and delivery platforms, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory aims to enhance shareholder value and achieve long-term growth and profitability.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profitability margins, increased leverage, and negative cash flows. These issues highlight operational inefficiencies and market pressures, posing substantial financial risks.
Income Statement
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory has experienced declining revenue with a negative trend in profitability margins. The gross profit margin has decreased from 36.9% in 2020 to 11% in 2025, indicating cost pressures or inefficiencies. The net profit margin has been negative over recent years, with a downward trajectory from 3.2% in 2020 to -20.7% in 2025. Revenue growth has been unstable, with significant declines, especially evident from 2024 to 2025. This trend reflects challenges in maintaining a stable revenue stream and profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's financial leverage has increased, with the debt-to-equity ratio rising from 0.14 in 2020 to 1.03 in 2025, indicating higher financial risk. The equity ratio has declined, reflecting a reduced buffer to absorb potential losses. Additionally, return on equity has been consistently negative due to ongoing net losses, showcasing poor returns for shareholders. The balance sheet indicates a weakened financial position and reduced investor confidence.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has turned negative, with significant declines from 2020 to 2025, reflecting operational challenges. Free cash flow has also deteriorated, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The cash flow situation poses liquidity risks and limits the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.99M29.58M27.95M30.43M29.49M21.76M
Gross Profit4.88M3.25M4.71M8.15M8.96M4.52M
EBITDA-2.82M-4.72M-3.94M-4.10M223.65K-282.87K
Net Income-4.73M-6.12M-4.17M-5.68M-341.70K-899.78K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.25M21.18M20.58M21.99M26.88M24.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.02M720.00K2.08M4.72M7.59M5.63M
Total Debt9.44M7.21M2.94M2.39M1.81M1.96M
Total Liabilities16.13M14.20M9.94M7.62M7.48M5.98M
Stockholders Equity6.13M6.97M10.64M14.37M19.40M18.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.52M-10.36M-5.45M-3.10M1.92M-181.22K
Operating Cash Flow-1.06M-6.59M-2.44M-2.10M2.86M67.35K
Investing Cash Flow-2.19M-1.66M-1.45M-767.82K-605.00K-70.99K
Financing Cash Flow4.30M6.89M1.25M0.00-299.06K814.86K

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.51
Price Trends
50DMA
1.69
Positive
100DMA
1.65
Positive
200DMA
1.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
65.07
Neutral
STOCH
69.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RMCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.77, below the 50-day MA of 1.69, and below the 200-day MA of 1.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RMCF.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Risk Analysis

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$38.34B28.2831.01%3.00%4.71%-23.03%
66
Neutral
$2.63B28.5610.48%0.95%0.34%0.85%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$69.67B20.5813.07%3.53%4.13%-5.19%
57
Neutral
$733.16M-1.43-55.07%3.34%-10.40%-1904.10%
43
Neutral
$15.60M-3.25-56.79%8.09%17.25%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RMCF
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
2.00
-0.69
-25.65%
HSY
The Hershey Company
184.75
31.29
20.39%
TR
Tootsie Roll
36.83
7.57
25.87%
MDLZ
Mondelez International
53.99
-0.96
-1.75%
DNUT
Krispy Kreme
4.27
-4.79
-52.86%

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rocky Mountain Chocolate boosts capital and board governance
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory completed a $2.7 million private placement of 1.5 million common shares at $1.80 each to ARM-D Rocky Mountain Chocolate Holdings, with proceeds earmarked for general working capital. In connection with the deal, the company granted the investor resale registration and preemptive rights, imposed standstill and 25% ownership caps on both the new investor and existing holder Global Value Investment Corporation, and added investor designee Alberto Pérez-Jácome Friscione to its board and key committees, a move the company believes cures any potential Nasdaq board-composition non-compliance and strengthens its governance and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (RMCF) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory stock, see the RMCF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025