tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Conagra Brands (CAG)
NYSE:CAG
Advertisement

Conagra Brands (CAG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,865 Followers

Top Page

CAG

Conagra Brands

(NYSE:CAG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
â–²(7.76% Upside)
Conagra Brands' overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, neutral technical indicators, and attractive valuation. The company's strong dividend yield and low P/E ratio are significant positives. However, declining revenue, cash flow challenges, and inflationary pressures pose risks. The earnings call highlighted strategic successes but also underscored ongoing challenges, leading to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing net debt enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing Conagra to better navigate economic uncertainties and invest in growth opportunities.
Frozen Portfolio Performance
Improvement in frozen portfolio volumes indicates strong demand and effective market positioning, contributing to long-term growth in a key segment.
Supply Chain Efficiency
High service levels and productivity gains reflect operational excellence, supporting margin stability and customer satisfaction in the long term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in organic net sales suggests challenges in maintaining market share and growth, potentially impacting future revenue and profitability.
Inflationary Pressures
High inflation rates increase input costs, squeezing margins and potentially leading to higher prices, which can affect demand and profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting Conagra's ability to invest in growth initiatives and manage financial obligations effectively.

Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conagra Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States. The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States. The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States. The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands. The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc. and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc. in November 2016. Conagra Brands, Inc. was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyConagra Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across multiple categories, including frozen, refrigerated, and shelf-stable goods. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to retailers, food service distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels. Key revenue streams include branded products, private label offerings, and innovative new products that cater to consumer trends such as health and wellness. Furthermore, Conagra has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service companies to enhance distribution and visibility of its brands, contributing to increased market penetration and sales. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, which further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Conagra Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows sales performance across various business divisions, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsConagra Brands' Grocery and Snacks segment shows resilience with stable revenue, while International and Foodservice segments face challenges. The Refrigerator and Frozen segment is experiencing volatility, but the company is optimistic about volume growth in frozen snacks, supported by strategic investments. Despite inflation and tariff pressures, Conagra is focusing on productivity and supply chain improvements, aiming for long-term margin expansion. The company's debt reduction plan and consumer response to premium products like Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets highlight strategic shifts to navigate current financial pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Conagra Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable successes in divestitures, reduction of net debt, and strong supply chain performance. However, the decline in net sales, reduced EPS, and inflationary pressures balanced out these positives.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestitures and Debt Reduction
Conagra Brands successfully completed the divestitures of Chef Boyardee, Van de Camps, and Mrs. Paul's, using the proceeds to reduce net debt by more than $400 million in Q1.
Frozen Portfolio Performance
The frozen portfolio showed solid progress with volumes improving 3.2 points in Q1 compared to Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by service recovery and share gains in frozen vegetables, meals, and prepared chicken.
Supply Chain Success
Achieved 98% service levels in Q1 and delivered productivity gains exceeding 5% of cost of goods sold, attributed to core productivity programs and tariff navigation.
Snacking Domain Growth
Strong volume in strategic protein snacks categories with meat snacks up 4% and seeds up 2%. Despite some merchandising timing shifts, the total snacks picture showed slight volume performance exceeding category averages.
Negative Updates
Decline in Organic Net Sales
Conagra Brands' organic net sales were $2.6 billion, a 0.6% decline versus the prior year, with volumes down 1.2%.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share Drop
Adjusted EPS for Q1 was $0.39, down $0.14 compared to the year-ago period, driven by lower adjusted operating profit and a higher adjusted tax rate.
Elevated Inflation and Tariffs
Inflation was approximately 7% in Q1, with proteins being a major headwind. Tariff costs were higher than initially projected, affecting operating margin expectations.
Grocery and Snacks Margin Decline
Adjusted operating margin in Grocery and Snacks declined 97 basis points due to unfavorable product mix and higher inflation despite select price increases.
Company Guidance
In the Conagra Brands Fiscal 2026 Q1 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance amidst a challenging environment characterized by persistent inflation and weak consumer sentiment. The guidance projects organic net sales growth between -1% and +1%, an adjusted operating margin of approximately 11% to 11.5%, and adjusted EPS ranging from $1.7 to $1.85 per share. Conagra emphasized strong execution on their frozen and snacking strategies, achieving a 3.2 point improvement in frozen volumes and a 98% service level. They reduced net debt by over $400 million through divestitures, aligning with their disciplined capital allocation strategy. Despite inflation in animal proteins and tariffs nudging inflation estimates slightly higher to the low 7% range, the company remains committed to a balanced capital approach, including $450 million in planned CapEx and maintaining a $1.4 annual dividend rate.

Conagra Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conagra Brands presents a mixed financial picture. The income statement shows profitability but declining revenue and margins. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage and stability, with a significant reduction in debt. However, cash flow metrics indicate challenges in cash generation and conversion efficiency. Overall, while the company maintains a stable financial position, the declining trends in revenue and cash flow warrant attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Conagra Brands shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.40%, indicating a contraction in sales. Gross profit margin stands at 25.35%, which is reasonable but has decreased compared to previous periods. The net profit margin is 7.42%, showing profitability but also a decline from prior years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 9.94% and 15.52%, respectively, reflecting operational efficiency but also a downward trend. Overall, the company maintains profitability, but the declining revenue and margins are concerning.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Conagra Brands indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in the TTM, significantly improved from previous years, suggesting reduced leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is at 9.60%, indicating a decent return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the improved debt metrics suggest a stronger equity position. The company has successfully reduced its debt burden, enhancing financial stability, though the ROE has decreased from past performance.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows challenges, with a free cash flow growth rate of -12.42% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74, reflecting moderate cash conversion efficiency. While the company generates positive cash flow, the declining growth and moderate conversion ratios highlight potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.45B11.61B12.05B12.28B11.54B11.18B
Gross Profit2.90B3.12B3.35B3.28B2.82B3.40B
EBITDA1.91B1.96B1.44B1.47B1.79B2.22B
Net Income850.10M1.15B347.20M683.60M888.20M1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.17B20.93B20.86B22.05B22.44B22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments698.10M68.00M77.70M93.30M83.30M79.20M
Total Debt8.28B8.31B8.61B9.42B9.18B9.19B
Total Liabilities12.26B12.00B12.35B13.25B13.57B13.56B
Stockholders Equity8.92B8.93B8.44B8.74B8.79B8.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B1.30B1.63B633.20M712.90M961.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.54B1.69B2.02B995.40M1.18B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow246.10M-542.20M-375.00M-354.90M-434.90M-340.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-1.16B-1.66B-631.60M-738.00M-1.61B

Conagra Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.56
Price Trends
50DMA
18.90
Negative
100DMA
19.57
Negative
200DMA
22.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
48.45
Neutral
STOCH
37.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.53, below the 50-day MA of 18.90, and below the 200-day MA of 22.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAG.

Conagra Brands Risk Analysis

Conagra Brands disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conagra Brands reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conagra Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$18.12B23.3713.92%2.67%1.64%-1.83%
68
Neutral
$25.81B9.1630.98%5.00%-3.26%25.58%
67
Neutral
$9.14B15.3015.64%5.06%6.40%6.17%
64
Neutral
$8.88B10.479.65%7.54%-4.11%72.17%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$29.74B12.81-11.68%6.27%-3.83%-384.08%
49
Neutral
$11.23B22.22-21.32%4.12%2.54%-293.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAG
Conagra Brands
18.56
-9.28
-33.33%
CPB
Campbell Soup
30.86
-14.37
-31.77%
GIS
General Mills
48.39
-17.37
-26.41%
SJM
JM Smucker
105.30
-9.96
-8.64%
MKC
McCormick & Company
67.54
-8.62
-11.32%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
25.52
-8.07
-24.03%

Conagra Brands Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Conagra Brands Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Conagra Brands completed a public offering of $1 billion in senior notes, split between $500 million due in 2030 and $500 million due in 2035. This move, facilitated by major financial institutions, aims to strengthen the company’s financial position, with implications for its debt management and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAG) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conagra Brands stock, see the CAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2025