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Conagra Brands (CAG)
NYSE:CAG
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Conagra Brands (CAG) AI Stock Analysis

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CAG

Conagra Brands

(NYSE:CAG)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$21.50
â–²(11.51% Upside)
Conagra Brands' overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation with attractive valuation metrics. However, technical indicators and earnings call insights highlight challenges such as high leverage, inflationary pressures, and supply constraints. The company's strategic investments in productivity and supply chain improvements are positive steps towards mitigating these risks.
Positive Factors
Brand Renovation
Conagra has successfully renovated the Healthy Choice brand and upgraded the Banquet line, moving in the right direction for high protein and high fiber snacks.
Debt Management
Conagra Brands expects to pay down $700 million of debt this year, which indicates a focus on managing debt levels amidst financial challenges.
Negative Factors
Cost Inflation
Elevated cost inflation, particularly in protein, is anticipated to impact Conagra Brands' financial performance negatively.
Financial Outlook
The FY26 financial outlook for Conagra Brands is significantly below expectations, highlighting challenges with expected earnings per share.
Pricing and Consumer Sensitivity
Similar to other CPG companies, Conagra Brands sees continued pressure on the US consumer, with shoppers still looking for value and displaying increased sensitivity to dollars per item.

Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conagra Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConagra Brands, Inc. is a North American packaged foods company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. It operates in the consumer foods sector, offering a diverse portfolio of products that includes frozen meals, snacks, condiments, and meals sold under well-known brands such as Marie Callender's, Healthy Choice, Banquet, Reddi-wip, and Orville Redenbacher's. Conagra focuses on innovation and sustainability, aiming to meet evolving consumer preferences through its extensive range of food offerings across various distribution channels, including grocery stores, restaurants, and food service operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyConagra Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across multiple categories, including frozen, refrigerated, and shelf-stable goods. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to retailers, food service distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels. Key revenue streams include branded products, private label offerings, and innovative new products that cater to consumer trends such as health and wellness. Furthermore, Conagra has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service companies to enhance distribution and visibility of its brands, contributing to increased market penetration and sales. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, which further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Conagra Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows sales performance across various business divisions, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsConagra Brands' Grocery and Snacks segment shows resilience with stable revenue, while International and Foodservice segments face challenges. The Refrigerator and Frozen segment is experiencing volatility, but the company is optimistic about volume growth in frozen snacks, supported by strategic investments. Despite inflation and tariff pressures, Conagra is focusing on productivity and supply chain improvements, aiming for long-term margin expansion. The company's debt reduction plan and consumer response to premium products like Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets highlight strategic shifts to navigate current financial pressures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Conagra Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of Conagra's position. While the company has seen strong consumer response and successful innovations in certain segments, it is also facing persistent inflation and supply constraints affecting margins and profitability. Investments in productivity and supply chain resilience provide a positive outlook for future margin expansion.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Consumer Response to Volume Investments
Conagra received a tremendous consumer response to their volume-focused investments in frozen snacks, leading to a return to absolute volume growth in Q2 of the previous year.
Productivity and Tariff Mitigation Efforts
In fiscal 2026, productivity and tariff mitigation efforts are expected to be over 5%, demonstrating strong operational efficiencies.
Supply Chain Resiliency Investments
Investments in the supply chain, including a new chicken plant, are expected to repatriate outsourced production at lower costs, contributing to future margin expansion.
Successful Innovation in Frozen Foods
The launch of Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets exceeded sales expectations, highlighting the success of premiumization in their frozen food segment.
Negative Updates
Persistent Inflation and Margin Compression
Conagra is experiencing its sixth consecutive year of above-average inflation, leading to temporary margin compression with an additional 11% cost increase across fiscal 2025 and 2026.
Challenges with Supply Constraints
Supply constraints affected the response to consumer investments, hindering growth in certain periods.
High Inflation in Material Costs
Animal protein costs, a significant part of material costs, are inflating at double digits, affecting overall inflation rates.
Pressure on Profitability
Conagra expects operating margins to face pressure due to high inflation and increased investments in supply chain resilience and volume growth.
Company Guidance
During the Conagra Brands Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided detailed guidance for fiscal 2026, highlighting several key metrics and strategic priorities. The company anticipates a 4% core inflation rate, with significant cost pressures in animal proteins, corrugated cocoa, and manufacturing labor. Despite a challenging inflationary environment, Conagra plans to invest in volume growth, particularly in its frozen snacks segment, while also implementing a 5% productivity target, inclusive of tariff mitigation efforts. The company aims to offset inflation impacts partially and projects a 90% cash flow conversion, with plans to reduce debt by $700 million. Conagra also emphasized ongoing investments in supply chain resiliency and innovation, with a focus on premiumizing products such as the successful Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets. Management remains committed to maintaining its dividend while strategically managing pricing and volume growth to enhance long-term brand value and shareholder returns.

Conagra Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conagra Brands demonstrates a solid financial position with strong operational margins and recent improvements in net income and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and inconsistent revenue growth present challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Conagra Brands shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has been stable, indicating consistent production efficiency. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated due to variable net income, with a significant increase in the most recent year. Revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with some periods of decline, but a recovery in the latest year. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting strong operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk in volatile market conditions. Return on equity has improved recently due to increased net income, suggesting better use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset financing structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Conagra's cash flow statement reveals some challenges. Free cash flow has shown volatility, with recent growth indicating better capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid, suggesting effective cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has shown instability, highlighting potential issues in translating profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.61B11.61B12.05B12.28B11.54B11.18B
Gross Profit3.01B3.12B3.35B3.28B2.82B3.40B
EBITDA1.96B1.96B1.44B1.47B1.79B2.22B
Net Income1.15B1.15B347.20M683.60M888.20M1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.93B20.93B20.86B22.05B22.44B22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.00M68.00M77.70M93.30M83.30M79.20M
Total Debt8.31B8.31B8.61B9.42B9.18B9.19B
Total Liabilities12.00B12.00B12.35B13.25B13.57B13.56B
Stockholders Equity8.93B8.93B8.44B8.74B8.79B8.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.30B1.63B633.20M712.90M961.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.69B1.69B2.02B995.40M1.18B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow-542.20M-542.20M-375.00M-354.90M-434.90M-340.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-1.16B-1.66B-631.60M-738.00M-1.61B

Conagra Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.28
Price Trends
50DMA
19.24
Positive
100DMA
20.95
Negative
200DMA
23.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
51.43
Neutral
STOCH
50.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.19, above the 50-day MA of 19.24, and below the 200-day MA of 23.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CAG.

Conagra Brands Risk Analysis

Conagra Brands disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conagra Brands reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conagra Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$27.04B12.3424.57%4.76%-1.87%-5.16%
72
Outperform
$9.21B8.0313.27%7.26%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
$10.15B16.9315.64%4.53%6.40%6.17%
69
Neutral
$19.03B24.6214.19%2.50%0.89%4.85%
63
Neutral
$20.52B14.80-2.68%3.09%1.95%-4.76%
56
Neutral
$32.30B12.81-11.68%5.86%-3.83%-384.08%
55
Neutral
$12.00B22.22-21.32%3.86%2.54%-293.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.28
-11.69
-37.75%
CPB
Campbell Soup
34.03
-15.71
-31.58%
GIS
General Mills
50.58
-21.58
-29.91%
SJM
JM Smucker
112.51
-2.99
-2.59%
MKC
McCormick & Company
70.91
-10.44
-12.83%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
27.29
-6.83
-20.02%

Conagra Brands Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Conagra Brands Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Conagra Brands completed a public offering of $1 billion in senior notes, split between $500 million due in 2030 and $500 million due in 2035. This move, facilitated by major financial institutions, aims to strengthen the company’s financial position, with implications for its debt management and market operations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Conagra Brands Secures $2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Conagra Brands entered into a Third Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, establishing a $2.0 billion revolving credit facility. This new agreement replaces a prior facility and extends the maturity date to June 27, 2030. The facility includes provisions for interest rates based on the company’s credit ratings and contains customary covenants and events of default terms. The agreement enhances Conagra’s financial flexibility and may impact its operational strategies and stakeholder engagements.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Conagra Brands Director Fran Horowitz to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Fran Horowitz informed Conagra Brands, Inc. that she will not stand for reelection to the Board of Directors at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders in September. Her decision was not due to any disagreement with the Board or the Company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025