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Conagra Brands (CAG)
NYSE:CAG

Conagra Brands (CAG) AI Stock Analysis

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CAG

Conagra Brands

(NYSE:CAG)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
â–˛(3.06% Upside)
Conagra Brands' overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly declining revenue and profitability. While the earnings call suggests some optimism with expected sales growth and innovation, valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and technical indicators pointing to a bearish trend weigh on the score. The high dividend yield provides some support, but operational and market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Health & Wellness Focus
Focusing on health and wellness trends aligns with consumer preferences, potentially driving long-term growth in the frozen and snack categories.
Project Catalyst Implementation
Project Catalyst's focus on AI and process efficiency can enhance operational effectiveness, leading to cost savings and improved margins over time.
Strong Snack Segment Growth
Robust growth in the snack segment indicates strong consumer demand and effective marketing, supporting revenue growth and market position.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
A declining revenue trend suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact long-term financial health and market competitiveness.
Operating Margin Pressure
Pressure on operating margins can limit profitability and financial flexibility, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Cost of Goods Sold Inflation
Sustained inflation in cost of goods sold can erode profit margins and necessitate price increases, potentially affecting consumer demand.

Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Conagra Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States. The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States. The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States. The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands. The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc. and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc. in November 2016. Conagra Brands, Inc. was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyConagra Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaged food products across multiple categories, including frozen, refrigerated, and shelf-stable goods. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to retailers, food service distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels. Key revenue streams include branded products, private label offerings, and innovative new products that cater to consumer trends such as health and wellness. Furthermore, Conagra has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and food service companies to enhance distribution and visibility of its brands, contributing to increased market penetration and sales. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand awareness and consumer engagement, which further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Conagra Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows sales performance across various business divisions, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsConagra Brands' revenue from the International and Foodservice segments is declining, while Grocery and Snacks and Refrigerator and Frozen segments show volatility. Despite inflationary pressures and supply constraints impacting margins, the company is investing in volume growth, particularly in frozen snacks, which has seen strong consumer response. Strategic investments in supply chain resilience and product innovation, like the successful Banquet Mega Chicken Fillets, aim to offset inflation impacts and enhance long-term brand value, though profitability remains under pressure due to persistent inflation and material cost increases.
Data provided by:The Fly

Conagra Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 19, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook for Conagra Brands. The company is experiencing positive trends in sales growth and innovation, particularly in the snacks and frozen segments, and is optimistic about future efficiency gains from Project Catalyst. However, challenges such as the Ardent Mills EPS impact, operating margin pressures, and impairment charges due to stock price declines are significant concerns. The balance of these factors suggests cautious optimism but underscores notable challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Organic Sales Growth Expected
Despite not providing formal quarterly guidance, Conagra Brands expects organic net sales growth in the second half of Fiscal Year 2026, supported by momentum in December and favorable inventory and trade conditions.
Innovation and Health & Wellness Focus
Conagra Brands has reported continued success and improvement in its innovation performance, with a focus on health and wellness trends such as protein presence, clean labels, and vegetable nutrition, particularly benefiting frozen and snack categories.
Project Catalyst Implementation
Project Catalyst aims to reengineer core business processes using AI and technology for increased effectiveness and efficiency, which is expected to deliver significant returns in the future.
Strong Snack Segment Growth
The snack segment, particularly Slim Jim and Fatty, is experiencing robust growth due to a strong marketing plan and favorable consumer trends.
Negative Updates
Ardent Mills EPS Shortfall
The company acknowledged a shortfall related to Ardent Mills, estimated to impact EPS by approximately $0.05, due to various challenges in the P&L.
3Q Operating Margin Pressure
Operating margins in the third quarter are expected to be below second-quarter levels due to increased A&P spending and inventory absorption headwinds.
Impairment Charge Due to Stock Decline
Conagra Brands took a sizable impairment charge related to a sustained decline in stock price and market cap, requiring an increased discount rate in their financial assessments.
Chicken Supply Chain Challenges
The company continues to face challenges in the chicken segment, despite completion of the Baked Chicken facility, and has had to invest in increasing capacity for popular new products.
Company Guidance
During the Conagra Brands Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Q&A Call, the company provided guidance indicating a positive outlook for organic net sales growth in the second half of the fiscal year. Despite not offering formal quarterly guidance, CEO Sean Connolly emphasized momentum going into the second half, expecting organic net sales growth. CFO Dave Marberger highlighted managing trade inventory shifts from Q2 to Q3 and overcoming supply constraints from the previous year. The company maintained its annual sales and operating margin outlook, despite a $30 million shortfall from Ardent Mills, by leveraging favorable factors such as tariff timing and chicken inflation. Conagra also expressed optimism about its Project Catalyst initiative, which aims to enhance core business processes through automation and AI, promising efficiency gains in the future. Additionally, the company is focused on expanding its presence in high-priority segments like frozen and snacks, driven by strong innovation and promotional activities, while maintaining confidence in its ability to manage inflationary pressures and achieve margin expansion over time.

Conagra Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Conagra Brands faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. While the balance sheet shows improved leverage, the reduced return on equity indicates profitability concerns. Cash flow analysis reveals pressure on free cash flow generation, impacting overall financial health. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and enhance cash generation to improve its financial standing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Conagra Brands shows a declining revenue trend with a negative growth rate in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin is significantly low, with a negative net income in the TTM period, highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has significantly decreased, reflecting reduced profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow has declined, indicating reduced cash available after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong, but the negative free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period raises concerns about cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.61B12.05B12.28B11.54B11.18B
Gross Profit3.00B3.33B3.26B2.84B3.18B
EBITDA1.97B1.45B1.69B1.94B2.22B
Net Income1.15B347.20M683.60M888.20M1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.93B20.86B22.05B22.44B22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.00M77.70M93.30M83.30M79.20M
Total Debt8.31B8.65B9.47B9.24B9.23B
Total Liabilities12.00B12.35B13.25B13.57B13.56B
Stockholders Equity8.93B8.44B8.74B8.79B8.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.63B633.20M712.90M961.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.69B2.02B995.40M1.18B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow-542.20M-375.00M-354.90M-434.90M-340.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-1.66B-631.60M-738.00M-1.61B

Conagra Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.98
Price Trends
50DMA
17.53
Negative
100DMA
18.04
Negative
200DMA
19.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
40.08
Neutral
STOCH
20.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.47, below the 50-day MA of 17.53, and below the 200-day MA of 19.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CAG.

Conagra Brands Risk Analysis

Conagra Brands disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Conagra Brands reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Conagra Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$18.49B23.8413.92%2.61%1.64%-1.83%
66
Neutral
$25.29B10.0727.29%5.11%-5.65%0.41%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$8.51B14.3214.82%5.46%2.71%4.90%
52
Neutral
$8.26B-82.51-1.16%7.87%-5.82%-119.70%
49
Neutral
$10.58B-8.73-17.44%4.40%-0.66%-326.55%
48
Neutral
$28.59B-6.37-9.73%6.63%-3.70%-431.05%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAG
Conagra Brands
16.98
-8.88
-34.34%
CPB
Campbell Soup
27.68
-12.17
-30.54%
GIS
General Mills
46.64
-14.31
-23.48%
SJM
JM Smucker
97.95
-9.22
-8.60%
MKC
McCormick & Company
68.92
-7.21
-9.47%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
23.70
-5.21
-18.02%

Conagra Brands Corporate Events

Conagra Brands’ Earnings Call: Balancing Success and Challenges
Oct 7, 2025

Conagra Brands’ recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, highlighting both successes and challenges. The company celebrated achievements in divestitures, debt reduction, and supply chain performance. However, these positives were tempered by declines in net sales, reduced earnings per share (EPS), and ongoing inflationary pressures.

Executive/Board Changes
Conagra Brands Appoints New Senior Vice President
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Conagra Brands announced the appointment of Melissa Napier as Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller, effective October 17, 2025. Napier, who has extensive experience in the food industry and finance, will report to CFO David Marberger. This leadership change is part of Conagra’s strategic management adjustments following the departure of William E. Johnson.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAG) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conagra Brands stock, see the CAG Stock Forecast page.

Conagra Brands Reports Q1 2026 Earnings Amid Challenges
Oct 2, 2025

Conagra Brands, Inc., a leading branded food company in North America, is known for its diverse portfolio of popular food brands and its focus on innovation and collaboration to meet changing consumer preferences. In its first-quarter earnings report for fiscal year 2026, Conagra Brands announced a 5.8% decrease in reported net sales and a 64.9% drop in reported diluted earnings per share compared to the previous year. Despite these declines, the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, highlighting its strategic execution and progress in reshaping its portfolio.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Conagra Brands Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Conagra Brands held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected eleven directors to serve until the 2025 Annual Meeting, did not approve the executive officer compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAG) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conagra Brands stock, see the CAG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Conagra Brands Announces Resignation of Senior VP
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 17, 2025, William E. Johnson announced his resignation as Senior Vice President and Corporate Controller of Conagra Brands, effective October 17, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. David S. Marberger, the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will assume the role of principal accounting officer temporarily without additional compensation until a successor is appointed.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAG) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Conagra Brands stock, see the CAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 21, 2025