tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Campbell Soup (CPB)
NASDAQ:CPB
Advertisement

Campbell Soup (CPB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,346 Followers

Top Page

CPB

Campbell Soup

(NASDAQ:CPB)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(9.10% Upside)
Campbell Soup's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and a stable EBIT margin, but is tempered by declining profit margins, high leverage, and a significant drop in free cash flow. The stock's valuation is reasonable, supported by a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and earnings call insights highlight challenges from declining organic sales and tariff impacts.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Campbell's products and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Effective cost management enhances profitability and provides financial flexibility to invest in growth and innovation, strengthening competitive positioning.
Brand Performance
Strong brand performance, particularly in high-growth categories, can drive market share gains and support sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Eroding profit margins suggest challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability and competitiveness.
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if earnings growth does not keep pace with debt obligations.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant drop in free cash flow raises concerns about cash generation capabilities, which are crucial for funding operations and strategic investments.

Campbell Soup (CPB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Campbell Soup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCampbell Soup Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum baby food and snacks; V8 juices and beverages; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products; Milano cookies and Goldfish crackers; and Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory Pretzel Crisps, Pop Secret popcorn, Emerald nuts, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCampbell Soup Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food products across various segments. The company's main revenue streams include retail sales of soups, sauces, and snacks through supermarkets and grocery stores, as well as food service sales to restaurants and catering businesses. Additionally, Campbell's benefits from international sales, reaching consumers in markets outside the United States. The company has strategic partnerships with retailers and food distributors that enhance its market reach and distribution capabilities. Furthermore, Campbell's invests in product innovation and marketing to drive consumer demand and brand loyalty, which are critical for sustaining its earnings.

Campbell Soup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which products or services are performing well and contributing most to Campbell Soup's top line.
Chart InsightsCampbell Soup's Meals and Beverages segment shows strong growth, driven by consumer trends favoring home cooking, with a notable 6% increase in organic net sales. This contrasts with the Snacks segment, which is struggling due to competitive pressures and a 5% decline in organic net sales. The company's earnings guidance is cautious, reflecting challenges from tariffs and a slower recovery in the Snacks business, impacting overall financial performance. Investors should monitor the macro environment and competitive landscape as these factors could influence future results.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Campbell Soup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some positive developments in brand performance and cost savings, but also significant challenges from declining organic sales, reduced EBIT and EPS, and the looming impact of tariffs.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Slightly Ahead of Expectations
Fourth-quarter earnings performance was slightly ahead of expectations, despite the challenging operating environment.
Strong In-Market Performance
Meals and Beverages in-market consumption outpaced the category, driven by at-home cooking trends.
Rao's Brand Performance
Rao's brand returned to high single-digit consumption growth, contributing positively to the Italian sauce category.
Milano White Chocolate Success
Milano White Chocolate innovation led to a 27% increase in dollar consumption for the Milano brand.
Progress in Cost Savings
Delivered $145 million in cost savings in fiscal 2025, exceeding expectations and increasing the target to $375 million by fiscal 2028.
Negative Updates
Decline in Organic Net Sales
Organic net sales declined 3% in Q4, driven by unfavorable volume and mix.
Adjusted EBIT and EPS Decrease
Adjusted EBIT and EPS both decreased by 2% in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs are expected to have a significant impact, contributing to a decline in adjusted EPS by 16% to 11% in fiscal 2026.
Snacks Segment Pressure
Snacks segment experienced a 2% decline in organic net sales, with challenges in pretzels, chips, and crackers categories.
Company Guidance
During the Campbell Soup Company's fourth quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance for fiscal 2026 were discussed. The company reported a slight overperformance compared to expectations, with net sales up 1% and adjusted EBIT and adjusted EPS down 2% year-over-year. Organic net sales for the quarter declined 3%, primarily due to shipment timing reversals from Q3. Full-year fiscal 2025 net sales grew by 6%, largely driven by the acquisition of Sovos Brands, while adjusted EBIT increased by 2%. For fiscal 2026, Campbell anticipates a 4% tariff impact on the cost of products sold and aims to mitigate approximately 60% of this through various strategies. Guidance for fiscal 2026 includes reported net sales expected to decrease by 2% to flat and organic net sales ranging from a 1% decline to a 1% increase. Adjusted EBIT is projected to decline between 9% and 13%, with adjusted EPS expected to be down 12% to 18%. The quarter's in-market consumption decreased by 1%, while full-year organic net sales declined by 1% due to volume and mix pressures. Campbell also increased its cost savings target to $375 million by fiscal 2028, a 50% increase from the previous estimate, to counterbalance the tariff impact and support brand investment and innovation.

Campbell Soup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Campbell Soup shows strong revenue growth and a stable EBIT margin, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and high leverage. The significant drop in free cash flow is a concern, indicating a need for improved cash generation and cost management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Campbell Soup has demonstrated a solid revenue growth rate of 27.4% in the most recent year, indicating strong sales momentum. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased over the years, from 34.5% in 2020 to 30.4% in 2025, suggesting some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin has also declined from 11.8% in 2021 to 5.9% in 2025, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite these pressures, the company maintains a stable EBIT margin of around 10.9% in 2025.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 1.99 in 2024 to 1.76 in 2025, indicating a reduction in leverage. However, it remains relatively high, suggesting potential risk if earnings do not continue to grow. Return on equity has slightly improved to 15.4% in 2025, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced approach to asset management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has decreased significantly, with a negative growth rate of -84.4% in 2025, raising concerns about cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.62 suggests that a substantial portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, but the declining trend is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.25B10.25B9.64B9.36B8.56B8.48B
Gross Profit3.13B3.12B2.97B2.92B2.63B2.81B
EBITDA1.56B1.56B1.41B1.70B1.50B1.86B
Net Income602.00M602.00M567.00M858.00M757.00M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.90B14.90B15.23B12.06B11.89B11.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.00M132.00M108.00M189.00M109.00M69.00M
Total Debt7.21B7.21B7.54B4.97B5.05B5.29B
Total Liabilities10.99B10.99B11.44B8.39B8.56B8.58B
Stockholders Equity3.90B3.90B3.79B3.66B3.33B3.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow717.00M705.00M668.00M773.00M939.00M760.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B1.13B1.19B1.14B1.18B1.03B
Investing Cash Flow-187.00M-187.00M-3.13B-340.00M-230.00M-158.00M
Financing Cash Flow-931.00M-919.00M1.86B-723.00M-910.00M-1.67B

Campbell Soup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.08
Price Trends
50DMA
32.67
Negative
100DMA
32.71
Negative
200DMA
35.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
43.19
Neutral
STOCH
25.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.16, below the 50-day MA of 32.67, and below the 200-day MA of 35.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPB.

Campbell Soup Risk Analysis

Campbell Soup disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Campbell Soup reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Campbell Soup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.63B7.8033.10%2.06%63.27%
71
Outperform
$8.68B7.5712.90%7.70%-3.64%231.77%
68
Neutral
$7.70B22.0620.56%2.66%-0.25%-49.73%
67
Neutral
$26.72B9.4830.60%4.81%-3.26%25.58%
67
Neutral
$9.56B15.9915.64%4.80%6.40%6.17%
54
Neutral
$11.65B-7.96-24.63%3.97%2.54%-293.39%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPB
Campbell Soup
32.08
-14.95
-31.79%
CAG
Conagra Brands
18.18
-12.50
-40.74%
GIS
General Mills
50.09
-20.82
-29.36%
SJM
JM Smucker
109.21
-7.18
-6.17%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
40.53
1.52
3.90%
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
55.22
-7.97
-12.61%

Campbell Soup Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Campbell Soup Appoints New Senior VP and Controller
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Campbell Soup Company announced that Stanley Polomski, its Senior Vice President & Controller, will transition to a new role as Senior Vice President, Business Process Optimization, effective September 22, 2025. Subsequently, on September 3, 2025, the company appointed Kelly L. Palumbo as the new Senior Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective the same date. Ms. Palumbo, who brings extensive experience from her previous roles at Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. and Johnson & Johnson, will receive a comprehensive compensation package, including a base salary, bonuses, and stock units. This leadership change is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPB) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Campbell Soup stock, see the CPB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025