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Campbell Soup (CPB)
NASDAQ:CPB
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Campbell Soup (CPB) AI Stock Analysis

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CPB

Campbell Soup

(NASDAQ:CPB)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(5.79% Upside)
Campbell Soup's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and a stable EBIT margin, but is tempered by declining profit margins and high leverage. The technical analysis shows mixed signals, with short-term bullish momentum but longer-term bearish trends. Valuation is fair, with an attractive dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted both positive brand performance and significant challenges, particularly from tariffs and declining organic sales.
Positive Factors
Consumer Trends
The Meals and Beverage segment is well-aligned with consumer trends, particularly with the growing interest in cooking from scratch and protein-rich soups.
Cost Savings
Management raised its expected productivity savings by 50% from $250m to $375m, showing a strong commitment to efficiency improvements.
Earnings
CPB shares were up following a solid 4Q EPS beat and FY26 guidance that was ahead of investor expectations.
Negative Factors
Organic Sales Decline
Campbell reported a decline in organic sales driven by a decrease in underlying volume/mix.
Tariffs Impact
Tariffs and other cost headwinds are expected to negatively impact margins in FY26, raising COGS by an extra 4%.
Volume Pressure
The rally in the stock is viewed as premature given the risk to FY26 guidance from continued volume pressure in Snacks and lack of pricing power across Meals.

Campbell Soup (CPB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Campbell Soup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCampbell Soup Company, commonly known as Campbell's, is a global food company based in Camden, New Jersey. Established in 1869, the company is primarily known for its soups, but its product offerings also include sauces, beverages, snacks, and packaged meals. Campbell's operates through several segments, including Meals & Beverages, Snacks, and International, catering to a diverse customer base across retail, food service, and international markets. The brand is recognized for its iconic tomato soup and a range of other well-known products, including Pepperidge Farm and V8.
How the Company Makes MoneyCampbell Soup Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food products across various segments. The company's main revenue streams include retail sales of soups, sauces, and snacks through supermarkets and grocery stores, as well as food service sales to restaurants and catering businesses. Additionally, Campbell's benefits from international sales, reaching consumers in markets outside the United States. The company has strategic partnerships with retailers and food distributors that enhance its market reach and distribution capabilities. Furthermore, Campbell's invests in product innovation and marketing to drive consumer demand and brand loyalty, which are critical for sustaining its earnings.

Campbell Soup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which products or services are performing well and contributing most to Campbell Soup's top line.
Chart InsightsCampbell Soup's Meals and Beverages segment shows strong growth, driven by consumer trends favoring home cooking, with a notable 6% increase in organic net sales. This contrasts with the Snacks segment, which is struggling due to competitive pressures and a 5% decline in organic net sales. The company's earnings guidance is cautious, reflecting challenges from tariffs and a slower recovery in the Snacks business, impacting overall financial performance. Investors should monitor the macro environment and competitive landscape as these factors could influence future results.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Campbell Soup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with some positive developments in brand performance and cost savings, but also significant challenges from declining organic sales, reduced EBIT and EPS, and the looming impact of tariffs.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Slightly Ahead of Expectations
Fourth-quarter earnings performance was slightly ahead of expectations, despite the challenging operating environment.
Strong In-Market Performance
Meals and Beverages in-market consumption outpaced the category, driven by at-home cooking trends.
Rao's Brand Performance
Rao's brand returned to high single-digit consumption growth, contributing positively to the Italian sauce category.
Milano White Chocolate Success
Milano White Chocolate innovation led to a 27% increase in dollar consumption for the Milano brand.
Progress in Cost Savings
Delivered $145 million in cost savings in fiscal 2025, exceeding expectations and increasing the target to $375 million by fiscal 2028.
Negative Updates
Decline in Organic Net Sales
Organic net sales declined 3% in Q4, driven by unfavorable volume and mix.
Adjusted EBIT and EPS Decrease
Adjusted EBIT and EPS both decreased by 2% in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs are expected to have a significant impact, contributing to a decline in adjusted EPS by 16% to 11% in fiscal 2026.
Snacks Segment Pressure
Snacks segment experienced a 2% decline in organic net sales, with challenges in pretzels, chips, and crackers categories.
Company Guidance
During the Campbell Soup Company's fourth quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance for fiscal 2026 were discussed. The company reported a slight overperformance compared to expectations, with net sales up 1% and adjusted EBIT and adjusted EPS down 2% year-over-year. Organic net sales for the quarter declined 3%, primarily due to shipment timing reversals from Q3. Full-year fiscal 2025 net sales grew by 6%, largely driven by the acquisition of Sovos Brands, while adjusted EBIT increased by 2%. For fiscal 2026, Campbell anticipates a 4% tariff impact on the cost of products sold and aims to mitigate approximately 60% of this through various strategies. Guidance for fiscal 2026 includes reported net sales expected to decrease by 2% to flat and organic net sales ranging from a 1% decline to a 1% increase. Adjusted EBIT is projected to decline between 9% and 13%, with adjusted EPS expected to be down 12% to 18%. The quarter's in-market consumption decreased by 1%, while full-year organic net sales declined by 1% due to volume and mix pressures. Campbell also increased its cost savings target to $375 million by fiscal 2028, a 50% increase from the previous estimate, to counterbalance the tariff impact and support brand investment and innovation.

Campbell Soup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Campbell Soup shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining net margins and high financial leverage. Cash flow generation is robust, yet translating net income into free cash flow remains a concern. Managing leverage and improving profitability margins are crucial for financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Campbell Soup's revenue growth has shown positive momentum, with a 6.16% increase in the latest TTM period compared to the previous annual report. While the gross profit margin remains stable at 30.21%, net profit margin has decreased to 4.44%, indicating some pressure on profitability. However, the EBIT margin at 10.55% and EBITDA margin at 13.48% suggest reasonable operational efficiency. The company's ability to grow revenue is a strong point, but declining net profitability might be a concern moving forward.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.78, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity is moderate at 11.73%, suggesting decent profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 26.10%, highlighting a lower proportion of equity financing compared to total assets. While the company maintains a solid asset base, the high leverage needs careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.56, reflecting robust cash generation capability relative to net earnings. Free cash flow growth rate is healthy at 20.96%, supporting further investments and debt servicing. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.78 indicates that net earnings do not fully translate into free cash flow, which could affect liquidity in the long term. Overall, cash flow is a strong area for Campbell Soup, but attention to cash conversion efficiency is recommended.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.25B10.25B9.64B9.36B8.56B8.48B
Gross Profit3.13B3.12B2.97B2.92B2.63B2.81B
EBITDA1.56B1.56B1.41B1.70B1.50B1.86B
Net Income602.00M602.00M567.00M858.00M757.00M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.90B14.90B15.23B12.06B11.89B11.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.00M132.00M108.00M189.00M109.00M69.00M
Total Debt6.86B6.86B7.54B4.97B5.05B5.29B
Total Liabilities10.99B10.99B11.44B8.39B8.56B8.58B
Stockholders Equity3.90B3.90B3.79B3.66B3.33B3.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow705.00M705.00M668.00M773.00M939.00M760.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B1.13B1.19B1.14B1.18B1.03B
Investing Cash Flow-187.00M-187.00M-3.13B-340.00M-230.00M-158.00M
Financing Cash Flow-931.00M-919.00M1.86B-723.00M-910.00M-1.67B

Campbell Soup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.03
Price Trends
50DMA
31.94
Positive
100DMA
33.18
Positive
200DMA
36.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
60.21
Neutral
STOCH
85.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.46, above the 50-day MA of 31.94, and below the 200-day MA of 36.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CPB.

Campbell Soup Risk Analysis

Campbell Soup disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Campbell Soup reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Campbell Soup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.52B8.5333.13%2.06%63.27%
73
Outperform
$27.04B12.3424.57%4.76%-1.87%-5.16%
72
Outperform
$9.21B8.0313.27%7.26%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
$10.15B16.9315.64%4.53%6.40%6.17%
69
Neutral
$8.08B23.1720.26%2.53%-0.25%-49.73%
63
Neutral
$20.52B14.80-2.68%3.09%1.95%-4.76%
55
Neutral
$12.00B22.22-21.32%3.86%2.54%-293.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPB
Campbell Soup
34.03
-15.71
-31.58%
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.28
-11.69
-37.75%
GIS
General Mills
50.58
-21.58
-29.91%
SJM
JM Smucker
112.51
-2.99
-2.59%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
44.29
6.07
15.88%
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
58.00
-3.65
-5.92%

Campbell Soup Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Campbell Soup Appoints New Senior VP and Controller
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Campbell Soup Company announced that Stanley Polomski, its Senior Vice President & Controller, will transition to a new role as Senior Vice President, Business Process Optimization, effective September 22, 2025. Subsequently, on September 3, 2025, the company appointed Kelly L. Palumbo as the new Senior Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective the same date. Ms. Palumbo, who brings extensive experience from her previous roles at Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. and Johnson & Johnson, will receive a comprehensive compensation package, including a base salary, bonuses, and stock units. This leadership change is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and strategic direction.

Private Placements and Financing
Campbell Soup Extends Credit Agreement Maturity Date
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Campbell Soup Company extended the maturity date of its $1.85 billion Five-Year Credit Agreement by one year, now set to mature on April 16, 2030. This extension maintains all other terms of the agreement and reflects ongoing relationships with lenders providing various financial services, which may impact the company’s financial operations and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board Changes
Campbell Soup Appoints Mary Malone to Board
Neutral
Jul 18, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Campbell Soup Company’s Board of Directors elected Mary Alice Dorrance Malone, Jr. as a director, with her term set to expire at the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Ms. Malone, Jr. was also appointed to the Compensation and Organization Committee and the Finance and Corporate Development Committee, reflecting a strategic move to strengthen the company’s governance and operational oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025