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Pilgrim's Pride (PPC)
NASDAQ:PPC

Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) AI Stock Analysis

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PPC

Pilgrim's Pride

(NASDAQ:PPC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(12.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance and a materially stronger balance sheet, supported by an undemanding P/E valuation. Technicals are moderately positive with the stock trading above key moving averages. The latest earnings call tempers the outlook due to Q4 margin compression, Mexico weakness, litigation charges, and higher 2026 capex, which increase near-term volatility risk.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet deleveraging and liquidity
A materially stronger capital structure and low leverage reduce financial risk and interest burden, giving management durable flexibility to fund operations, invest and absorb shocks. This improves resilience through commodity cycles and supports strategic spending without immediate refinancing pressure.
Improved cash generation and positive free cash flow
Sustained operating cash generation and positive free cash flow strengthen the company's ability to fund capex, pay down debt, and invest in higher-margin initiatives. Over a multi-quarter horizon this underpins capital allocation optionality and limits reliance on external financing despite prior cyclical FCF volatility.
Prepared-foods brand momentum (Just BARE)
Strong branded growth shifts mix toward higher-margin prepared foods and builds durable retail presence. Market-share gains and accelerated brand velocity reduce reliance on commodity tray-pack volumes, supporting more stable margins and long-term growth from value-added products and distribution scale.
Negative Factors
Margin volatility and recent Q4 compression
Significant margin deterioration highlights structural exposure to commodity pricing and mix shifts. Persistent margin volatility undermines earnings predictability and free cash flow stability, complicating long-term planning and increasing the execution burden on pricing, procurement and product-mix strategies.
Mexico profitability deterioration and import pressure
Sustained margin erosion in Mexico reflects competitive import dynamics and weaker live-market fundamentals. Regional structural pressure can persist absent price or cost fixes, reducing the benefit of geographic diversification and requiring capital or strategic repositioning to restore long-run profitability.
Elevated near-term capital expenditure requirements
Higher sustained capex to expand capacity and convert plants increases cash investment needs and execution risk. While capacity projects can drive future margin improvement, elevated spending pressures near-term free cash flow and requires disciplined returns on incremental investment to avoid diluting balance-sheet gains.

Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pilgrim's Pride Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPilgrim's Pride Corporation engages in the production, processing, marketing and distribution of fresh, frozen and value-added chicken, and pork products to retailers, distributors, and foodservice operators in the United States, the United Kingdom, Mexico, the Middle East, Asia, Continental Europe, and internationally. The company offers fresh products, including pre-marinated or non-marinated chicken, frozen whole chickens, breast fillets, mini breast fillets and prepackaged case-ready chicken, primary pork cuts, and pork and pork ribs; prepared products, which include portion-controlled breast fillets, tenderloins and strips, delicatessen products, salads, formed nuggets and patties, and bone-in chicken parts; processed sausages, bacon, slow cooked, smoked meat, gammon joints, as well as variety of meat products, pre-packed meats, sandwich and deli counter meats, pulled pork balls, meatballs, and coated foods. In addition, its exported products include whole chickens and chicken parts sold either refrigerated for distributors in the U.S. or frozen for distribution to export markets and primary pork cuts, hog heads and trotters frozen for distribution to export markets. The company offers its products under the Pilgrim's, Just BARE, Gold'n Pump, Gold Kist, County Pride, Pierce Chicken, Pilgrim's Mexico, County Post, Savoro, To-Ricos, Del Dia, Moy Park, O'Kane, Richmond, Fridge Raiders, and Denny brands. Pilgrim's Pride Corporation sells its products to the foodservice market principally consists of chain restaurants, food processors, broad-line distributors, and other institutions; and retail market, which comprise primarily grocery store chains, wholesale clubs, and other retail distributors. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Greeley, Colorado. Pilgrim's Pride Corporation operates as a subsidiary of JBS S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyPilgrim’s Pride makes money by producing and selling poultry products across multiple channels and product formats. Its revenue model is primarily volume- and price-driven: the company processes chicken and sells finished products to (1) retail customers (e.g., packaged fresh and frozen chicken and value-added items), (2) foodservice customers (restaurants, quick-service chains, and institutional buyers), and (3) industrial customers (food manufacturers purchasing chicken as an ingredient). A meaningful portion of earnings can come from higher-margin value-added and prepared foods (such as seasoned, marinated, cooked, or otherwise further-processed items) compared with commodity tray-pack or bulk chicken. Profitability is influenced by the spread between selling prices and key input costs (notably feed ingredients and labor/processing costs), product mix (value-added vs. commodity), and demand conditions in its end markets. The company also generates revenue from selling different parts of the bird into different markets, including domestic sales and exports, where pricing and demand can vary by cut and geography; optimizing this “whole-bird” utilization supports overall returns. Significant factors contributing to earnings typically include long-term relationships with major retail and foodservice customers, the ability to supply consistent volumes at required specifications, and operational scale in processing and distribution. Specific material partnership terms, customer concentration figures, or segment-level revenue splits are not provided here: null.

Pilgrim's Pride Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mixed but resilient: the company delivered full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, strengthened European results, accelerated branded prepared foods (notably Just BARE), and maintains a strong balance sheet and liquidity position. However, Q4 margin compression, severe short-term weakness in Mexico, sizable litigation charges, and commodity/capacity headwinds create notable near-term earnings pressure and increased investment needs. Management emphasizes operational improvements and growth investments to mitigate volatility.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fiscal 2025 Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Net revenues increased to $18.5B in fiscal 2025 (up 3.5% vs FY2024) and adjusted EBITDA rose to ~$2.27B (management cited a ~2.5% YoY increase), with adjusted EBITDA margin remaining above 12% for a second consecutive year.
U.S. Full-Year Strength
U.S. net revenues grew to $11.0B from $10.6B (≈+3.8% YoY) and U.S. adjusted EBITDA increased to $1.63B (≈+4.5% YoY) with a strong full-year margin of 14.8%, driven by fresh retail, QSR key customers, and operational efficiency gains.
European Profitability Gains
Europe Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $131.4M (up 12.2% YoY) and full-year European adjusted EBITDA improved 11.4% to $453.1M from $406.9M, driven by productivity improvements, mix optimization and brand/portfolio diversification.
Prepared Foods and Brand Momentum (Just BARE)
Prepared foods sales grew 18% YoY in the quarter; Just BARE combined retail sales reached $1.0B and the brand gained ~300 basis points of retail market share YoY in prepared/frozen where it also had the highest velocity in the category.
Operational Improvements and Projects on Track
Operational excellence initiatives improved processing/live efficiencies (Big Bird) and several CAPEX projects—Big Bird plant conversion, Mexico expansions, and a new prepared foods facility in Georgia—are on schedule, supporting capacity and margin improvements.
Improved Restructuring and Cost Discipline
Recognized ~$31M of restructuring charges in 2025 versus $93M in 2024 (a reduction of ~66.7%), reflecting progress on efficiency programs and an expectation that the majority of restructuring charges are behind the company.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Net debt approximately $2.45B with leverage <1.1x LTM adjusted EBITDA, and liquidity exceeding $1.8B (cash + available credit); no immediate short-term cash maturities (bonds mature 2031-2034; credit facilities to 2028).
Sustainability and Team Member Programs
Reduced carbon-based processing emission intensity year-over-year and expanded team development: over 2,300 team members or dependents enrolled in the Better Futures program with 780 already started on academic pathways.
Negative Updates
Q4 Margin and Adjusted EBITDA Compression
Q4 adjusted EBITDA declined to $415.1M from $525.7M a year ago (≈-21% YoY) and Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 9.2% from 12.0% in the prior-year quarter (≈-280 basis points), reflecting commodity pricing headwinds and mix impacts.
Mexico Q4 Earnings Collapse
Mexico Q4 adjusted EBITDA fell to $9.5M from $36.9M a year ago (≈-74% YoY). Full-year Mexico adjusted EBITDA margin dropped to 8.8% from 11.8% the prior year (≈-300 basis points), driven by increased imports of animal proteins and weaker live market fundamentals.
Big Bird Commodity Pressure
Commodity cutout values in Big Bird fell nearly 20% YoY, pressuring profitability despite operational efficiency improvements and partially offset by internal supply strategies.
Substantial Litigation-Related Charges in Q4
Recorded approximately $77M of litigation-related settlement charges in the year/quarter, contributing to GAAP volatility and affecting Q4 results.
Hatchability and Breeding Flock Concerns
Hatchability remained below the five-year average; USDA-reported breeding flock down ~1.9% YoY and pullet placements down ~3.1% vs prior year (Jan 2026), contributing to tighter supply dynamics despite improved layer productivity.
Consumer and Foodservice Headwinds
Consumer sentiment remains weak due to inflation; foodservice traffic (especially full-service) pressured, with rising dining costs limiting demand—partially offset by QSR and non-commercial growth but reducing end-market visibility.
Near-Term CapEx Increase and Cash Flow Implications
Planned capital expenditures for 2026 are forecast at $900–$950M (vs $711M in 2025), an increase of roughly $200M (~28–34%), which will raise cash investment needs while management expects to maintain disciplined allocation.
Market Disruptions and Export Risks
Global trade disruptions (HPAI-related restrictions) and ASF impacts in Spain/Europe have pressured certain categories (e.g., pork/sausage in the UK), and increased low-cost imports to markets like Mexico; while effects were described as relatively muted for exports as a whole, regional disruptions remain a risk.
Company Guidance
The company provided forward-looking financial and operational guidance for 2026, including expected net interest expense of $115–$125 million, an anticipated effective tax rate of ~25%, and capital expenditures of $900–$950 million (including sustaining CapEx of ~$400 million per year); depreciation & amortization is forecast at ~$520 million and SG&A run-rate around $140 million per quarter. Balance sheet/liquidity metrics include net debt of ~$2.45 billion with leverage <1.1x LTM adjusted EBITDA and over $1.8 billion of cash/available credit, with no near-term maturities (bonds maturing 2031–2034; U.S. credit facilities to 2028). Operational expectations call for moderate broiler production growth of ~1% in 2026 (USDA: overall protein availability +1.5%), USDA January 2026 layer flock down 1.9% and pullet placements down 3.1%, and commodity outlooks (corn ending stocks ~2,200,000,000; soy ending stocks +3,000,000 bushels, +7% YoY; global wheat +41M MT). Management reiterated project timing (Big Bird conversion and Mexican projects on track to complete by April; Porvenir capacity doubling coming online in Q2; Georgia prepared foods work continuing into 2027) and said most restructuring charges are behind them.

Pilgrim's Pride Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent-cycle improvement: revenue accelerated into 2025 with a meaningful margin rebound (net margin ~5.9% in 2025 vs ~1.9% in 2023; gross margin ~12.7% vs ~6.4%). Balance-sheet leverage improved sharply by 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.05x), reducing financial risk. Offsetting factor is historical volatility in margins and free cash flow (negative FCF in 2021 and weaker 2022–2023).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over the cycle, with a sharp acceleration in 2025 (annual revenue up strongly versus 2024). Profitability also improved meaningfully from the weaker 2023 backdrop: net margin rebounded to ~5.9% in 2025 from ~1.9% in 2023, and gross margin nearly doubled from ~6.4% (2023) to ~12.7% (2025). Offsetting these positives, margins have been volatile across years (notably 2021–2023), which is typical for the category but still raises earnings stability risk.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Leverage improved dramatically by 2025, with total debt falling to ~$0.2B and debt-to-equity dropping to ~0.05x (from ~0.82x in 2024 and >1.0x in 2021–2023), signaling a much stronger capital structure. Equity remains sizable (~$3.7B), and returns on equity are strong in 2024–2025 (~26%–29%), consistent with improved profitability. The main watch item is the sharp year-over-year debt change (2024 to 2025), which suggests a major paydown or reclassification and can make trend comparisons less smooth.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation strengthened substantially in 2024–2025, with operating cash flow at ~$2.0B in 2024 and ~$1.37B in 2025, and free cash flow positive and sizable (including a very large jump in 2025 versus 2024 per the provided growth figure). Free cash flow tracked earnings well in 2024 (about 76% of net income) and was exceptionally strong relative to earnings in 2025 (about 100%). The weaker point is consistency: free cash flow was negative in 2021 and much lower in 2022–2023, indicating higher cash-flow volatility through the cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.50B17.88B17.36B17.47B14.78B
Gross Profit2.36B2.31B1.12B1.81B1.37B
EBITDA2.12B2.01B987.39M1.58B619.01M
Net Income1.08B1.09B321.57M745.93M31.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.34B10.65B9.81B9.26B8.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments640.24M2.05B697.75M400.99M427.66M
Total Debt3.35B3.47B3.61B3.53B3.57B
Total Liabilities6.65B6.40B6.47B6.40B6.32B
Stockholders Equity3.68B4.24B3.33B2.84B2.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow660.58M1.51B134.06M182.75M-55.21M
Operating Cash Flow1.37B1.99B677.88M669.86M326.46M
Investing Cash Flow-705.51M-460.80M-503.35M-445.25M-1.32B
Financing Cash Flow-2.11B-150.91M116.73M-232.01M901.31M

Pilgrim's Pride Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.67
Price Trends
50DMA
41.11
Negative
100DMA
39.79
Negative
200DMA
41.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.55
Positive
RSI
28.92
Positive
STOCH
16.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.59, below the 50-day MA of 41.11, and below the 200-day MA of 41.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.92 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PPC.

Pilgrim's Pride Risk Analysis

Pilgrim's Pride disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pilgrim's Pride reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pilgrim's Pride Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.47B8.7330.72%1.81%24.67%
68
Neutral
$12.31B18.816.13%4.82%1.55%-40.81%
66
Neutral
$16.06B2.6732.16%9.72%119.48%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$10.71B-3.86-21.55%4.45%-0.66%-326.55%
58
Neutral
$7.37B-1.13%7.87%-5.82%-119.70%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
35.67
-6.03
-14.46%
CAG
Conagra Brands
15.40
-8.48
-35.52%
HRL
Hormel Foods
22.37
-6.31
-22.01%
SJM
JM Smucker
100.41
-5.04
-4.78%
JBS
JBS
15.03
1.36
9.95%

Pilgrim's Pride Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pilgrim’s Pride Reports Q4 Revenue Growth Amid Margin Pressure
Negative
Feb 12, 2026

Pilgrim’s Pride reported financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 28, 2025, showing net revenue of $4.52 billion, up from $4.37 billion a year earlier, but with profitability under pressure as gross profit, operating income and net income all declined year over year and EPS fell to $0.37 from $0.99. Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted to 9.2% from 12.0% as U.S. commodity pricing weighed on its Big Bird business despite growth with key retail and foodservice customers, Europe delivered continued profit improvement through cost and efficiency gains, and Mexico saw profitability weaken amid increased imports, while industry data indicated modestly higher broiler placements, slight growth in egg sets and cold storage inventories that were just above prior-year levels but still below the five-year average.

Selling, general and administrative expenses were lower than in the prior-year quarter due mainly to reduced legal settlements and defense costs, but higher net interest expense reflected lower interest income after dividends paid in 2025 reduced cash balances. Sector-wide supply indicators showed declining pullet placements and a smaller broiler layer flock offset by slightly higher eggs per hundred hens and hatchability, along with a mixed cold storage profile in which total chicken inventories rose modestly, breast meat and whole bird stocks increased, but wings, dark meat and paws inventories declined, underscoring an evolving supply-demand balance that will influence pricing and margins across Pilgrim’s Pride’s key product categories.

The most recent analyst rating on (PPC) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pilgrim’s Pride stock, see the PPC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026