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BellRing Brands Inc Class A (BRBR)
NYSE:BRBR
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BellRing Brands (BRBR) AI Stock Analysis

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BRBR

BellRing Brands

(NYSE:BRBR)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(4.70% Upside)
BellRing Brands' overall score is driven by strong revenue growth and strategic brand performance, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, significant financial risks due to high leverage and weakened cash flow generation, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh down the score. The stock's moderate valuation provides some support, but the absence of a dividend yield may deter certain investors.
Positive Factors
Brand Metrics
Premier Protein continues to post record brand metrics, with household penetration reaching 21.6%.
Market Position
Premier Protein’s leading market share position in the attractive convenient market is a favorable factor for BellRing.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Increased competition in RTD is creating noise, making BRBR's execution around innovation all the more important.
Guidance and Sentiment
The company disappointed investors by narrowing their guidance range to 14-16%, primarily due to their cautiousness about heightened competitive intensity at their largest customer.

BellRing Brands (BRBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BellRing Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States and internationally. It offers ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands. The company sells its products through club, food, drug, mass, eCommerce, specialty, and convenience channels. BellRing Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyBellRing Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded nutrition products, which are distributed across a variety of channels including club stores, e-commerce platforms, convenience stores, and other retail outlets. The company's key revenue streams come from the sales of its ready-to-drink protein shakes, protein powders, and nutrition bars. BellRing Brands leverages strong brand recognition and strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors to maximize its market reach. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and product innovation to drive consumer demand and expand its customer base, which is a significant factor contributing to its earnings.

BellRing Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -26.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected strong performance and strategic growth in key areas such as revenue, brand penetration, and innovation. However, legal and margin pressures, along with increased competition and future cost concerns, present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales were $548 million, up 6% over the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was $120 million.
Premier Protein Brand Performance
Premier Protein net sales grew 6% with both volume and pricing up 3%. The brand hit an all-time high in household penetration, reaching 21.6% of consumers.
Ready-to-Drink Shake Market Expansion
RTDs grew 16% this quarter with 70% of that growth coming from volume. Premier Protein contributed approximately 1/4 of that growth.
Successful Innovation Launches
Two new shake lines launched this year: Indulgence and Almondmilkshakes. Indulgence showed strong performance with half of sales driven by category expansion.
Positive Cash Flow and Share Repurchases
Generated $40 million in cash flow from operations in the third quarter and repurchased 1.3 million shares at an average price of $65.07 per share.
Negative Updates
Legal Provision Impact
A $68 million provision for legal matters related to the Joint Juice brand, which was discontinued in 2023, impacted SG&A expenses.
Gross Margin Pressure
Adjusted gross profit margin of 35.1% decreased 130 basis points, pressured by input cost inflation and incremental trade expenses.
Increased Competition in Club Channel
Several competitors gained short-term space in club channels, potentially increasing competitive pressure and reversing some gains.
Tariff Impact on Future Costs
Higher tariffs expected on dairy protein sourced from New Zealand and the EU could lead to a low single-digit impact on fiscal '26 total cost of goods sold.
Company Guidance
During the BellRing Brands Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call, several key metrics and guidance insights were provided. The company reported net sales of $548 million, marking a 6% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $120 million, translating to a margin of 22%. Premier Protein's consumption grew by 19% in Q3, driven largely by volume gains which accounted for approximately 60% of this growth. The ready-to-drink (RTD) shake category experienced a 16% growth this quarter, with 70% of this growth stemming from volume. Premier Protein, holding a 25% market share in the RTD segment, contributed approximately a quarter of the category's growth. BellRing Brands' fiscal year 2025 guidance was tightened to a net sales range of $2.28 billion to $2.32 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $480 million to $490 million. The company anticipates ending the fiscal year with a net leverage below 2x, supported by strong operating cash flow expected in the fourth quarter.

BellRing Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BellRing Brands shows strong revenue and profit growth with improved margins. However, financial stability is a concern due to high leverage and negative equity. Effective cash flow management is a positive, but high debt servicing could impact future cash availability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
BellRing Brands exhibits strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $1,371.5 million in 2022 to $2,192.1 million in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin has improved from 30.8% in 2022 to 35.8% in TTM, indicating better cost management or pricing power. The net profit margin increased from 8.5% to 12.8% within the same period, demonstrating enhanced profitability. However, the reliance on high leverage could pose a risk if revenue growth slows.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a negative stockholders' equity of -$254.1 million as of TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, indicating potential financial risk. Despite this, the equity ratio has improved slightly due to asset growth. However, the persistent negative equity points to financial instability, necessitating careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has remained positive and relatively stable, and free cash flow has shown growth, moving from $19.2 million in 2022 to $157.1 million in TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting effective cash conversion. Nonetheless, the high financing cash outflow indicates significant debt servicing, which could impact future cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.22B2.00B1.67B1.37B1.25B988.30M
Gross Profit788.10M707.30M530.20M421.80M386.20M338.00M
EBITDA367.30M387.70M315.60M248.20M217.60M189.30M
Net Income228.30M246.50M165.50M116.00M114.40M100.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets993.70M837.00M691.60M707.20M696.50M653.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.70M71.10M48.40M35.80M152.60M48.70M
Total Debt1.01B833.10M856.80M929.50M597.50M686.40M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.04B1.02B1.08B762.00M814.50M
Stockholders Equity-309.90M-205.90M-323.50M-376.20M-3.06B-2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.90M197.80M213.80M19.20M224.50M95.10M
Operating Cash Flow40.10M199.60M215.60M21.00M226.10M97.20M
Investing Cash Flow-4.90M-1.80M-1.80M-1.80M-1.60M-2.10M
Financing Cash Flow-144.90M-175.10M-201.70M-135.00M-120.90M-52.60M

BellRing Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.16
Price Trends
50DMA
57.24
Negative
100DMA
63.98
Negative
200DMA
68.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.29
Positive
RSI
22.08
Positive
STOCH
17.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.24, below the 50-day MA of 57.24, and below the 200-day MA of 68.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.08 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRBR.

BellRing Brands Risk Analysis

BellRing Brands disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BellRing Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BellRing Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$5.71B18.569.15%1.48%9.36%
70
Outperform
$9.04B7.8813.27%7.27%-3.64%231.77%
69
Neutral
$7.41B21.2420.26%2.82%-0.25%-49.73%
65
Neutral
$9.73B21.5611.67%4.68%8.65%-38.57%
63
Neutral
$20.32B12.52-7.33%3.14%2.92%-10.01%
58
Neutral
$4.59B22.26-190.65%16.27%5.13%
56
Neutral
$11.69B22.22-17.87%3.89%6.69%-261.87%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRBR
BellRing Brands
39.16
-15.84
-28.80%
CPB
Campbell Soup
32.91
-14.15
-30.07%
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.25
-9.33
-32.65%
SJM
JM Smucker
110.95
-2.70
-2.38%
POST
Post Holdings
102.90
-9.80
-8.70%
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
52.12
-5.68
-9.83%

BellRing Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
BellRing Brands Announces Board Leadership Changes
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Elliot H. Stein, Jr. announced his resignation from the Board of Directors of BellRing Brands, Inc., effective September 30, 2026. His departure was not due to any disagreements with the company. The Board has made several changes to its leadership and committee assignments, effective immediately, to ensure a smooth transition of responsibilities. Thomas P. Erickson has been appointed as the lead independent director, Shawn W. Conway as Chair of the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committee, and Jennifer Kuperman as a member of the Executive Committee. These changes are part of the Board’s regular review process to align roles with the skills and experience of its members.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRBR) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BellRing Brands stock, see the BRBR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025