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BellRing Brands Inc Class A (BRBR)
NYSE:BRBR

BellRing Brands (BRBR) AI Stock Analysis

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BRBR

BellRing Brands

(NYSE:BRBR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(4.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong revenue and cash generation but a notably risky balance sheet (negative equity, higher debt) and margin compression. Technicals are a clear drag with the stock in a pronounced downtrend despite oversold readings. Valuation is reasonable on P/E, while the earnings call was constructive on guidance and buybacks but tempered by near-term margin headwinds and competitive/promotional pressure.
Positive Factors
Sustained revenue growth
BellRing’s top line shows durable expansion — TTM revenue grew ~19% and multiyear growth from $1.25B to ~$2.32B — reflecting broad channel distribution and demand for Premier and Dymatize. Persistent scale supports retailer access, manufacturing leverage, and funding for marketing and innovation.
Negative Factors
Highly leveraged balance sheet with negative equity
Negative equity (~-$511M) and ~$1.18B of debt against ~$1.06B of assets create a highly leveraged capital structure. This materially reduces financial flexibility, heightens refinancing and covenant risk, and limits the firm's ability to absorb shocks or pursue sizable M&A without additional capital actions.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue growth
BellRing’s top line shows durable expansion — TTM revenue grew ~19% and multiyear growth from $1.25B to ~$2.32B — reflecting broad channel distribution and demand for Premier and Dymatize. Persistent scale supports retailer access, manufacturing leverage, and funding for marketing and innovation.
Read all positive factors

BellRing Brands (BRBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BellRing Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States and internationally. It offers ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands...
How the Company Makes Money
BellRing makes money by manufacturing (directly and/or through third-party co-manufacturers) and selling branded convenient nutrition products—primarily RTD protein shakes, protein powders, and nutrition bars—under its Premier Protein and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: operational momentum, brand strength, product innovation, and deliberate investments underpin confidence in the medium-term growth story (narrowed FY guidance, continued repurchases, strong campaign and merchandising starts). However, sizeable margin pressure from commodity inflation, tariffs, a significant adjusted gross margin decline (~730 bps ex-hedges), promotional intensity from insurgent competitors (notably in club), and near-term EBITDA margin compression (Q2 ~13%) temper the outlook. Management expects an acceleration in growth and margin improvement in the second half driven by distribution, advertising, innovation and cost savings, making the narrative constructive but mixed in the near term.
Positive Updates
Company Revenue and Quarterly Results
Total BellRing net sales for Q1 were $537 million, up 1% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $90 million with a margin of 16.8%. Gross profit was $161 million with a gross margin of 29.9%.
Negative Updates
Premier Quarterly Consumption Decline
Premier RTD shake consumption was down 2% in Q1 (lapping +23% in FY25) and Premier net sales were down 1% for the quarter. Consumption performance was slightly below prior outlook due to delays in mass retailer promo activation and higher-than-expected promotional activity from insurgent brands.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Company Revenue and Quarterly Results
Total BellRing net sales for Q1 were $537 million, up 1% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $90 million with a margin of 16.8%. Gross profit was $161 million with a gross margin of 29.9%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company narrowed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to $2.41–$2.46 billion (up 4–6%) and raised adjusted EBITDA guidance to $425–$440 million (about an 18% margin), reflecting updated consumption assumptions and higher whey and tariff costs; Q1 net sales were $537 million (+1%) with adjusted EBITDA of $90 million (16.8% margin), gross profit $161 million (29.9% gross margin) and adjusted gross margin down ~730 bps ex-hedges. Management expects Q2 net sales growth of ~3–4% with a Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin of ~13%, H1 adjusted EBITDA margin of ~15% and significant sequential margin improvement in H2; Premier net sales were down 1% (Premier RTD consumption -2% in Q1, January consumption +6% all channels / +16% ex-club), Dymatize sales outperformed (up double digits internationally), tariffs are expected to drag ~80 bps of gross margin, mix pressure of ~300 bps is embedded at the midpoint, advertising run-rate ~4% of sales, net leverage was 2.5x and the company repurchased $97 million of stock in Q1.

BellRing Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and still-healthy operating profitability are meaningful positives, and operating/free cash flow are solid in absolute terms. However, the balance sheet is a major constraint with persistently negative equity and rising debt, and margins have compressed versus last year, limiting the overall financial performance score.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.32B2.00B1.67B1.37B1.25B
Gross Profit729.10M770.40M707.30M530.20M421.80M386.20M
EBITDA325.70M376.00M424.20M315.60M216.10M220.10M
Net Income183.00M216.20M246.50M165.50M82.30M27.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B941.00M837.00M691.60M707.20M696.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.10M89.10M71.10M48.40M35.80M152.60M
Total Debt1.18B1.11B839.60M865.00M938.00M608.40M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.39B1.04B1.02B1.08B762.00M
Stockholders Equity-510.70M-453.90M-205.90M-323.50M-376.20M-3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow246.90M255.90M197.80M213.80M19.20M224.50M
Operating Cash Flow254.50M260.60M199.60M215.60M21.00M226.10M
Investing Cash Flow-7.60M-4.70M-1.80M-1.80M-1.80M-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow-220.40M-238.30M-175.10M-201.70M-135.00M-120.90M

BellRing Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.73
Price Trends
50DMA
18.28
Negative
100DMA
23.26
Negative
200DMA
32.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Negative
RSI
40.83
Neutral
STOCH
47.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.52, below the 50-day MA of 18.28, and below the 200-day MA of 32.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRBR.

BellRing Brands Risk Analysis

BellRing Brands disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BellRing Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BellRing Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.96B19.0617.97%2.35%3.16%6.47%
64
Neutral
$1.33B19.235.04%8.98%-26.29%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$4.87B13.238.49%2.97%-2.68%
57
Neutral
$1.84B18.24-47.89%16.05%-10.17%
54
Neutral
$7.45B11.30-0.51%7.87%-5.82%-119.70%
52
Neutral
$1.71B27.306.02%9.15%0.26%-19.45%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRBR
BellRing Brands
15.73
-58.28
-78.75%
CAG
Conagra Brands
15.58
-8.12
-34.25%
FLO
Flowers Foods
8.08
-8.68
-51.79%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
14.41
-21.86
-60.27%
MZTI
Marzetti Company
144.38
-32.63
-18.44%
POST
Post Holdings
101.54
-14.04
-12.15%

BellRing Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BellRing Brands Grants Special RSUs Amid CEO Transition
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
On February 19, 2026, BellRing Brands, Inc. approved a special grant of restricted stock units for several named executive officers, including the chief financial, growth, legal and supply chain officers, with grant date fair values ranging from a...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BellRing Brands CEO retirement and Q1 2026 results
Negative
Feb 3, 2026
On February 2, 2026, BellRing Brands President and CEO Darcy H. Davenport notified the board of her intention to retire, effective upon the appointment of a successor or by September 30, 2026, with the company stating her departure is not related ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
BellRing Brands Shareholders Back Board and Governance Plans
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
On January 28, 2026, BellRing Brands, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually via live audio-only webcast, with 84.74% of outstanding shares represented, and stockholders elected all director nominees to serve until the 2027 annual ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026