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BellRing Brands Inc Class A (BRBR)
NYSE:BRBR

BellRing Brands (BRBR) AI Stock Analysis

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BRBR

BellRing Brands

(NYSE:BRBR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(8.32% Upside)
BellRing Brands' strong cash flow and strategic initiatives like share repurchases and board expansion are positive. However, financial instability due to high leverage and competitive challenges weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Strength
Very strong free cash flow growth and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio indicate durable cash conversion. This provides the company flexibility to fund marketing, R&D, repurchases or deleveraging without relying solely on external financing, improving long-term resilience.
Brand and Category Leadership
Premier Protein's rising consumption and top household penetration demonstrate durable consumer loyalty and category leadership in ready-to-drink protein. Strong repeat rates and retail acceptance support sustained shelf space, pricing power and cross-channel growth over multiple quarters.
Strategic Capital Allocation
A sizable, flexible $600M buyback authorization reflects management confidence and provides a lever to return excess cash. When paired with robust cash generation, disciplined repurchases can sustainably enhance per-share economics and signal long-term focus on shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Weak Balance Sheet / Negative Equity
Negative equity and a heavily leveraged capital structure materially constrain financial flexibility. This raises refinancing and covenant risks, limits ability to invest or pursue M&A, and increases vulnerability to demand shocks or cost inflation over a multi-quarter horizon.
Legal Settlement Exposure
A $90M class-action settlement represents a lasting cash outflow and potential insurance or reserves use. It reduces capacity for deleveraging or reinvestment, may increase compliance and legal costs, and can strain retailer or consumer perceptions if recurring issues arise.
Competitive and Margin Pressure
Rising insurgent brands and commodity inflation/tariffs are structural risks that compress adjusted EBITDA margins from 20.8% toward guidance of 18%. Sustained margin pressure can erode cash generation, necessitate higher marketing spend or price rises that hurt volume and long-term profitability.

BellRing Brands (BRBR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BellRing Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States and internationally. It offers ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands. The company sells its products through club, food, drug, mass, eCommerce, specialty, and convenience channels. BellRing Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyBellRing Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its protein products across various channels. Its direct-to-consumer revenue comes from online sales through its e-commerce platform, while retail sales are driven through partnerships with major grocery chains, convenience stores, and health clubs. The company benefits from brand loyalty and recognition, which helps maintain strong sales volumes. Additionally, strategic partnerships with retailers enhance distribution efficiency and market reach, contributing significantly to overall earnings. Seasonal promotions and marketing campaigns also play a crucial role in driving sales and expanding customer engagement.

BellRing Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong fiscal 2025 performance with significant share repurchases and market leadership in the ready-to-drink shake category. However, challenges such as increased competition, forecasted decline in Q1 2026 sales, and impacts of inflation and tariffs were noted.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Performance
Net sales grew 16% and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 20.8%. The company generated $261 million in cash flow from operations with a net leverage ratio of 2.1x.
Record-Breaking Share Repurchases
BellRing Brands repurchased approximately 7% of its shares outstanding, amounting to $473 million, and continued repurchasing in October with an additional $40 million.
Premier Protein's Market Leadership
Premier Protein shake consumption grew 20% in Q4, maintaining category-leading metrics such as #1 household penetration and highest repeat rate.
Innovation and Market Expansion
Launch of almond milkshakes as the #2 turning 4 count in the non-dairy RTD set and new Coffeehouse shake line to meet protein and energy consumer needs.
Negative Updates
Competitive Challenges and Market Dynamics
Increased competition in the ready-to-drink shake category, with insurgent brands impacting market dynamics and causing some market share shifts.
Q1 2026 Forecasted Decline
Q1 net sales are expected to decrease by approximately 5% due to tough club channel comparisons and non-repeating promotions.
Impact of Commodity Inflation and Tariffs
Significant commodity inflation and tariffs are expected to impact adjusted EBITDA margins, projected to decline to 18% in fiscal 2026.
Company Guidance
During the BellRing Brands Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a strong year with net sales growth of 16% and an adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 20.8%. They highlighted a robust cash flow generation, with $261 million in cash flow from operations and a net leverage ratio of 2.1x. The company repurchased 9 million shares, representing approximately 7% of shares outstanding. For fiscal year 2026, BellRing expects 4% to 8% net sales growth, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 18%. The ready-to-drink shake category grew 15% in Q4, with Premier Protein shake consumption increasing by 20%, driven by promotions. BellRing aims for long-term annual net sales growth of 7% to 9% and adjusted EBITDA margins of 18% to 20%, with continued investment in brand support and marketing.

BellRing Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BellRing Brands shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, but financial instability due to high leverage and negative equity poses risks. Strong cash flow performance provides some cushion against these balance sheet weaknesses.
Income Statement
BellRing Brands shows a consistent revenue growth trend, with a 4.15% increase in the latest year. Gross profit margin remains stable around 33%, while net profit margin has slightly decreased to 9.33%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in profitability margins suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
The company has a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -2.39, indicating financial instability. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses relative to equity. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk in terms of financial leverage.
Cash Flow
BellRing Brands exhibits strong cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 105.68%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.92, and free cash flow covers net income entirely, indicating efficient cash generation and management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.32B2.32B2.00B1.67B1.37B1.25B
Gross Profit770.40M770.40M707.30M530.20M421.80M386.20M
EBITDA362.20M376.00M424.20M315.60M216.10M220.10M
Net Income216.20M216.20M246.50M165.50M82.30M27.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets941.00M941.00M837.00M691.60M707.20M696.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.10M89.10M71.10M48.40M35.80M152.60M
Total Debt1.11B1.11B839.60M865.00M938.00M608.40M
Total Liabilities1.39B1.39B1.04B1.02B1.08B762.00M
Stockholders Equity-453.90M-453.90M-205.90M-323.50M-376.20M-3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow255.90M255.90M197.80M213.80M19.20M224.50M
Operating Cash Flow260.60M260.60M199.60M215.60M21.00M226.10M
Investing Cash Flow-4.70M-4.70M-1.80M-1.80M-1.80M-1.60M
Financing Cash Flow-238.30M-238.30M-175.10M-201.70M-135.00M-120.90M

BellRing Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.08
Price Trends
50DMA
28.78
Negative
100DMA
32.48
Negative
200DMA
46.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.90
Positive
RSI
29.55
Positive
STOCH
26.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.24, below the 50-day MA of 28.78, and below the 200-day MA of 46.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRBR.

BellRing Brands Risk Analysis

BellRing Brands disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BellRing Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Increasing scrutiny and evolving expectations and in some cases conflicting expectations from customers, suppliers, regulators, investors, and other stakeholders with respect to our environmental, social and governance ("ESG") practices may impose additional costs on us or expose us to new or additional risks. Q3, 2025

BellRing Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$4.64B27.0817.25%2.35%3.16%6.47%
69
Neutral
$2.25B11.4313.73%9.15%0.26%-19.45%
67
Neutral
$2.74B13.7516.05%-10.17%
65
Neutral
$1.91B23.695.17%8.98%-26.29%
64
Neutral
$5.06B17.798.56%2.97%-2.68%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$7.98B-80.52-1.16%7.87%-5.82%-119.70%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRBR
BellRing Brands
23.08
-49.72
-68.30%
CAG
Conagra Brands
16.57
-7.29
-30.55%
FLO
Flowers Foods
10.46
-7.44
-41.56%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
21.26
-11.72
-35.54%
MZTI
Marzetti Company
166.86
2.60
1.58%
POST
Post Holdings
97.57
-9.33
-8.73%

BellRing Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
BellRing Brands Announces $600M Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 19, 2025, BellRing Brands, Inc. announced the approval of a new $600 million share repurchase authorization, effective immediately, while canceling its previous $400 million authorization. The new authorization, which spans two years, allows for flexible repurchase methods and does not obligate the company to buy a specific amount of shares. The decision reflects BellRing’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRBR) stock is a Hold with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BellRing Brands stock, see the BRBR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
BellRing Brands Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 12, 2025, BellRing Brands announced the expansion of its Board of Directors from seven to eight members, effective January 1, 2026, with the appointment of David I. Finkelstein. Finkelstein, a seasoned executive with extensive experience in finance and mergers and acquisitions, will also join the Audit Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s financial oversight and strategic capabilities, potentially strengthening its position in the convenient nutrition industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRBR) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BellRing Brands stock, see the BRBR Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
BellRing Brands Reaches Settlement in Joint Juice Lawsuit
Negative
Oct 23, 2025

BellRing Brands‘ subsidiary, Premier Nutrition, has been involved in multiple class action lawsuits concerning its Joint Juice product. On June 25, 2025, Premier Nutrition reached a settlement in principle to pay $90 million to resolve these claims. By October 2025, a Stipulation of Settlement was executed, and a motion for preliminary approval was filed, awaiting a decision.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRBR) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BellRing Brands stock, see the BRBR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025