Post Holdings (POST) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.43B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 753.75K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.14
• Revenue Growth: 2.97%
• EPS Growth: -2.68%
• Country: US
• Employees: 11,480
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 2.09
• Shares Outstanding: 52,154,797
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,032,880
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 753,749
• PEG Ratio: -7.86
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.74
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.59
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.73
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.54
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.58
• 1Y Price Target: $123.00
• Price Target Upside: 23.06% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): 7.63
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $8.66B

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $107.00 ▲(7.05% Upside)

Post Holdings shows a solid financial foundation with consistent revenue growth and operational efficiency. The earnings call provided positive guidance, particularly in the Foodservice segment, but highlighted challenges in cereal and pet food volumes. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, impacting the overall score. The stock's valuation is moderate, with no dividend yield to attract income investors.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.

Operational Efficiency

Stable EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect efficient operations, enabling the company to maintain profitability despite market fluctuations.

Cash Flow Management

Strong cash flow management enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.

Decline in Cereal Volumes

Declining cereal volumes indicate competitive pressures and changing consumer preferences, which may affect long-term revenue.

Competitive Pressure

Intense competition in the cereal market could erode market share and margins, challenging the company's growth prospects.

Post Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, Refrigerated Retail, and BellRing Brands. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereal and hot cereal products. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, and drug store customers, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The Weetabix segment primarily markets and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, breakfast drinks, and muesli. This segment sells its products to grocery stores, discounters, wholesalers, and convenience stores, as well as through ecommerce. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. It serves foodservice distributors and national restaurant chains. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausages, cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated products for grocery stores and mass merchandise customers. The BellRing Brands segment markets and distributes ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, powders, nutrition bars, and supplements. It serves club stores, food, drug and mass customers, and online retailers, as well as specialty retailers, convenience stores, and distributors. Post Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

How the Company Makes Money

Post Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse food products across multiple segments. Key revenue streams include ready-to-eat cereals, which are marketed under well-known brands such as Grape Nuts and Honey Bunches of Oats, and refrigerated products, including eggs and dairy items. The company also benefits from its nutritional supplements division, which offers protein powders and bars. Significant partnerships with retailers enable Post to expand its distribution reach, while acquisitions of complementary brands enhance its product portfolio and market presence. Additionally, the company leverages private label offerings, allowing it to serve a broader customer base and stabilize revenue through various retail partnerships.

Post Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Post Holdings exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and stable operational margins. While leverage remains a concern, improvements in cash flow metrics and debt management are positive signs. Continued focus on cost management and leverage reduction could enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

Post Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in gross profit margins. However, the net profit margin has seen some fluctuations, indicating potential cost management issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained relatively stable, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time, indicating better leverage management, but it remains relatively high, posing a risk. Return on equity has shown variability, reflecting inconsistent profitability. The equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has increased, supporting the company's ability to cover net income. Free cash flow growth has been positive, although there have been fluctuations. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates a healthy conversion of profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.16B	8.16B	7.92B	6.99B	5.85B	4.98B
Gross Profit	2.15B	2.15B	2.16B	1.76B	1.26B	1.23B
EBITDA	1.33B	1.33B	1.27B	1.10B	1.59B	913.10M
Net Income	335.70M	335.70M	366.70M	301.30M	756.60M	166.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.53B	13.53B	12.85B	11.65B	11.31B	12.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	176.70M	176.70M	787.40M	103.90M	681.30M	664.50M
Total Debt	7.42B	7.42B	7.06B	6.23B	6.10B	6.57B
Total Liabilities	9.76B	9.76B	8.75B	7.80B	7.74B	9.36B
Stockholders Equity	3.75B	3.75B	4.09B	3.84B	3.25B	2.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	488.10M	488.10M	502.20M	447.30M	128.90M	395.70M
Operating Cash Flow	998.30M	998.30M	931.70M	750.30M	384.20M	588.20M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.42B	-1.42B	-677.50M	-669.30M	-221.00M	-793.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-188.60M	-188.60M	415.60M	-555.70M	-386.70M	-167.50M

Post Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 99.95
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For POST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 99.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.55, below the 50-day MA of 105.62, and below the 200-day MA of 109.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for POST.

Post Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BRFS	79 Outperform	―	―	―	―	-1.19%	78.79%
POST	66 Neutral	$5.43B	18.97	8.56%	―	2.97%	-2.68%
FLO	66 Neutral	$2.27B	11.73	13.73%	9.04%	0.26%	-19.45%
CAG	64 Neutral	$8.54B	10.07	9.65%	7.92%	-4.11%	72.17%
BRBR	63 Neutral	$3.70B	18.41	―	―	16.05%	-10.17%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
LW	60 Neutral	$8.29B	28.57	16.22%	2.49%	<0.01%	-51.18%

Post Holdings Corporate Events

Post Holdings Reports Mixed Financial Results for 2025

Post Holdings, Inc., based in St. Louis, Missouri, is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating in various food categories, including ready-to-eat cereals, refrigerated foods, and foodservice products. The company owns well-known brands such as Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Michael Foods, and Bob Evans Farms.

Post Holdings Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Growth and Challenges

Post Holdings Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among investors and analysts. The company showcased strong operational performance and strategic investments, yet faced challenges in specific segments such as cereal and pet food. While robust cash flow management and growth in select areas were highlighted, volume declines and competitive pressures posed significant hurdles.

Post Holdings Approves Stock-Based Awards for Executives

On November 18, 2025, Post Holdings, Inc.’s Corporate Governance and Compensation Committee approved stock-based awards for its executive officers, including restricted stock units (RSUs) and performance-based restricted stock units (PRSUs) under the 2021 Long-Term Incentive Plan. These awards are part of the company’s strategy to align executive compensation with shareholder interests, with PRSUs based on total shareholder return compared to peers over a three-year period, impacting the company’s executive retention and performance incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (POST) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Post Holdings stock, see the POST Stock Forecast page.

Post Holdings Chairman William Stiritz Announces Retirement

On November 18, 2025, William P. Stiritz announced his retirement as Chairman of Post Holdings‘ Board of Directors, effective December 16, 2025, after serving since 2012. Robert V. Vitale, the company’s President and CEO, will succeed him as Chairman. Post Holdings reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting a 11.8% increase in net sales for the quarter to $2.2 billion and a 9.6% increase in Adjusted EBITDA for the year to $1.54 billion. The company completed acquisitions of 8th Avenue Food & Provisions and Potato Products of Idaho, impacting its Consumer Brands and Refrigerated Retail segments. Despite these gains, the company faced challenges such as a decline in Post Consumer Brands’ net sales and a decrease in net earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (POST) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Post Holdings stock, see the POST Stock Forecast page.

Post Holdings Amends Bylaws to Empower Shareholders

On October 16, 2025, Post Holdings, Inc. amended its bylaws to allow shareholders with at least 25% of voting stock to call special meetings. This change enhances shareholder engagement and could impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (POST) stock is a Buy with a $119.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Post Holdings stock, see the POST Stock Forecast page.

Post Holdings Announces $500M Share Repurchase Plan

On August 29, 2025, Post Holdings announced a definitive agreement to sell the pasta business of its subsidiary, 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, to Richardson (US) Holdings Limited for $375 million in cash and the assumption of $80 million in leaseback financial liabilities. This transaction is expected to close in the first fiscal quarter of 2026, with Post retaining the nut butters, fruit and nut products, and granola businesses, which are projected to contribute $45-50 million in Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2026. Additionally, Post’s Board of Directors approved a new $500 million share repurchase authorization effective August 29, 2025, replacing the previous authorization and allowing flexibility in repurchasing shares without obligating the company to acquire any specific number.

The most recent analyst rating on (POST) stock is a Hold with a $131.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Post Holdings stock, see the POST Stock Forecast page.