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General Mills Inc (GIS)
:GIS
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General Mills (GIS) AI Stock Analysis

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GIS

General Mills

(NYSE:GIS)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$53.00
â–²(6.75% Upside)
General Mills' overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators show bearish trends, and corporate events may pose short-term financial challenges. Strategic initiatives and innovation provide a positive outlook, but caution is advised due to market volatility and leverage concerns.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
The plan to launch a broader array of products across multiple formats and drive meaningful distribution nationwide for its Fresh launch.
Volume and Market Share
Sequential volume share improvements are encouraging as analysts look ahead to easier compares.
Negative Factors
Consumer Pressure
GIS sees a continued US consumer under pressure, for which GIS does not expect meaningful improvement over the next 12 months.
Earnings Guidance
FY26 EPS guidance is worse than expected due to higher investments, and some challenges will linger into FY27, making core profitability uncertain.

General Mills (GIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Mills, Inc. manufactures and markets branded consumer foods worldwide. The company operates in five segments: North America Retail; Convenience Stores & Foodservice; Europe & Australia; Asia & Latin America; and Pet. It offers ready-to-eat cereals, refrigerated yogurt, soup, meal kits, refrigerated and frozen dough products, dessert and baking mixes, bakery flour, frozen pizza and pizza snacks, snack bars, fruit and salty snacks, ice cream, nutrition bars, wellness beverages, and savory and grain snacks, as well as various organic products, including frozen and shelf-stable vegetables. It also supplies branded and unbranded food products to the North American foodservice and commercial baking industries; and manufactures and markets pet food products, including dog and cat food. The company markets its products under the Annie's, Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Blue Buffalo, Blue Basics, Blue Freedom, Bugles, Cascadian Farm, Cheerios, Chex, Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Cocoa Puffs, Cookie Crisp, EPIC, Fiber One, Food Should Taste Good, Fruit by the Foot, Fruit Gushers, Fruit Roll-Ups, Gardetto's, Go-Gurt, Gold Medal, Golden Grahams, Häagen-Dazs, Helpers, Jus-Rol, Kitano, Kix, Lärabar, Latina, Liberté, Lucky Charms, Muir Glen, Nature Valley, Oatmeal Crisp, Old El Paso, Oui, Pillsbury, Progresso, Raisin Nut Bran, Total, Totino's, Trix, Wanchai Ferry, Wheaties, Wilderness, Yoki, and Yoplait trademarks. It sells its products directly, as well as through broker and distribution arrangements to grocery stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, natural food chains, e-commerce retailers, commercial and noncommercial foodservice distributors and operators, restaurants, convenience stores, and pet specialty stores, as well as drug, dollar, and discount chains. The company operates 466 leased and 392 franchise ice cream parlors. General Mills, Inc. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Mills generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food products across various channels, including grocery stores, supermarkets, and online retailers. The company's revenue model is built around several key segments, including North America Retail, International, and Pet segment. The North America Retail segment, which includes popular products like cereals and snacks, constitutes the majority of the company's revenue. Additionally, General Mills benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, which enhance product visibility and accessibility. The company also invests in innovation and marketing to drive brand loyalty and expand its customer base. Seasonal promotions and new product launches further contribute to revenue growth, along with the company's focus on sustainability, which resonates with modern consumers. Overall, General Mills' diverse product offerings, strong brand portfolio, and effective distribution strategies play a crucial role in its financial success.

General Mills Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business segment, indicating which products or services are most successful and where growth is occurring or slowing.
Chart InsightsGeneral Mills' North America Retail segment shows resilience with a recovery in late 2024 after a dip, indicating potential stabilization. The International segment remains volatile, reflecting challenges in global markets. The Pet segment's growth is inconsistent, possibly due to fluctuating consumer demand. North America Foodservice exhibits a strong upward trend, suggesting a robust recovery in foodservice demand. Overall, strategic focus on North America and Foodservice could be key to offsetting international uncertainties and capturing domestic growth opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

General Mills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic focus on returning to volume growth and investing in innovation, particularly in the pet food segment. Despite challenges in pricing and category growth, the company's strategic initiatives and successful product launches provide optimism for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Volume Growth in North America Retail
Investments in Pillsbury, Totino's, soup, cereal, and fruit snacks have led to expected results, indicating a successful strategy in returning to volume growth in North America Retail (NAR).
Blue Buffalo National Launch
The Blue Buffalo brand is set for a national launch with new fresh pet food offerings. The company has learned from previous tests and is confident in building a profitable business with strong consumer reception and retailer support.
Share Growth in International and Other Segments
The company reported share growth in international markets, food service, health care, and pet segments, providing confidence in their strategic approach.
Strong Innovation Pipeline
The company highlighted significant innovation, particularly in protein products and fresh pet food, with a 25% increase in new product profiles in North America Retail and a 30% increase overall.
Negative Updates
Pet Food Segment Volatility
The pet food segment has experienced significant lumpiness due to a high proportion of e-commerce sales, impacting inventory levels and financial stability.
Pricing Challenges in Specific Categories
Targeted pricing actions are being taken in specific categories to align with competition, acknowledging that pricing adjustments have affected dollar shares in some segments.
Category Growth Below Long-Term Expectations
Overall category growth is expected to be below long-term expectations, particularly in international markets and the pet segment, affecting the company's growth outlook.
Company Guidance
In the General Mills Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company emphasized its focus on returning to volume growth, particularly in North America Retail (NAR). They highlighted strategic investments in value and advertising for brands like Pillsbury and Totino's, which were expanded to soup, cereal, and fruit snacks, leading to expected positive outcomes. The company also noted significant new product launches and renovations, such as fresh pet food and Häagen-Dazs stick bars, aiming to drive business growth. International and foodservice sectors, alongside healthcare and pet categories, showed share growth, providing confidence for further investments. General Mills plans to support these efforts with record levels of holistic margin management and productivity initiatives, viewing fiscal 2026 as an investment year with expected payoffs based on recent positive trends.

General Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Mills shows stable financial performance with strong cash flow generation and consistent profit margins. However, the slowing revenue growth and increased leverage pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
General Mills shows a stable financial performance with a consistent gross profit margin averaging around 33-35% over the years. The net profit margin has slightly declined from 14.6% in 2022 to 11.7% in 2025, indicating some pressure on net income relative to revenue. Revenue growth has been modest, with a slight decrease in recent years, suggesting a need for strategic initiatives to boost top-line growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained stable, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio that has increased from 1.47 in 2020 to 1.62 in 2025, reflecting higher leverage which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity has decreased from 33.1% in 2020 to 24.8% in 2025, highlighting reduced profitability on shareholder equity. The equity ratio has remained relatively stable, showcasing a balanced approach toward asset financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
General Mills has demonstrated robust operating cash flows, with a strong free cash flow position consistently exceeding $2 billion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been favorable, underscoring the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Free cash flow growth has been positive, although it has decelerated in recent years, pointing to potential challenges in maintaining growth without strategic reinvestment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.49B19.49B19.86B20.09B18.99B18.13B
Gross Profit6.72B6.73B6.93B6.55B6.40B6.45B
EBITDA3.76B3.92B4.08B4.08B4.16B3.89B
Net Income2.28B2.28B2.50B2.59B2.71B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.07B33.07B31.47B31.45B31.09B31.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments363.90M363.90M418.00M702.70M819.20M1.87B
Total Debt15.30B15.30B13.32B12.06B11.98B13.01B
Total Liabilities23.86B23.86B21.82B20.75B20.30B21.46B
Stockholders Equity9.20B9.20B9.40B10.45B10.54B9.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.29B2.29B2.53B2.09B2.75B2.45B
Operating Cash Flow2.92B2.92B3.30B2.78B3.32B2.98B
Investing Cash Flow-1.79B-1.79B-1.20B-346.40M-1.69B-512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.18B-1.18B-2.27B-2.40B-2.50B-2.72B

General Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price49.65
Price Trends
50DMA
51.00
Negative
100DMA
53.19
Negative
200DMA
56.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
43.16
Neutral
STOCH
43.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 49.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.78, below the 50-day MA of 51.00, and below the 200-day MA of 56.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIS.

General Mills Risk Analysis

General Mills disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Mills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$9.15B7.9813.27%7.38%-3.64%231.77%
66
Neutral
$26.93B12.1224.57%4.88%-1.87%-5.16%
66
Neutral
$15.66B20.959.39%4.05%-1.01%-2.93%
66
Neutral
$18.71B24.2014.19%2.59%0.89%4.85%
63
Neutral
$20.74B14.39-8.06%3.17%2.73%-9.96%
60
Neutral
$11.82B22.22-17.87%3.92%6.69%-261.87%
54
Neutral
$32.75B12.81-11.68%5.78%-3.83%-384.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIS
General Mills
49.35
-17.69
-26.39%
CAG
Conagra Brands
19.17
-10.16
-34.64%
HRL
Hormel Foods
28.48
-2.98
-9.47%
SJM
JM Smucker
111.47
-4.76
-4.10%
MKC
McCormick & Company
68.41
-7.97
-10.43%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
27.67
-5.90
-17.58%

General Mills Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
General Mills Launches Global Transformation Initiative
Negative
May 27, 2025

On May 20, 2025, General Mills announced a multi-year global transformation initiative aimed at enhancing productivity through improved business processes and organizational changes. This initiative, expected to be completed by fiscal 2028, will incur charges of approximately $130 million, with significant expenses recorded in fiscal 2025, primarily for severance, impacting the company’s financials and operational strategy.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
General Mills Appoints New Group President for North America
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, General Mills announced the appointment of Dana M. McNabb as Group President for North America Retail and North America Pet, effective June 1, 2025. This strategic leadership change is expected to impact the company’s operations and market positioning in the North American retail and pet food sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025