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General Mills (GIS)
NYSE:GIS

General Mills (GIS) AI Stock Analysis

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GIS

General Mills

(NYSE:GIS)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(16.12% Upside)
General Mills' overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by technical indicators suggesting limited momentum and potential overbought conditions. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with both positive initiatives and challenges, while the supply chain restructuring introduces additional risks.
Positive Factors
Product Innovation
Increased product innovation can drive market share growth and enhance competitive positioning, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
North America Retail Growth
Growth in North America Retail indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, contributing to sustained revenue growth.
Pet Business Momentum
Momentum in the Pet segment reflects successful product offerings and market penetration, supporting diversified revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth suggests potential difficulties in expanding sales, which could hinder future profitability and market share.
Supply Chain Restructuring Risks
The restructuring poses risks of operational disruptions and financial costs, potentially affecting efficiency and stakeholder relations.

General Mills (GIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Mills, Inc. manufactures and markets branded consumer foods worldwide. The company operates in five segments: North America Retail; Convenience Stores & Foodservice; Europe & Australia; Asia & Latin America; and Pet. It offers ready-to-eat cereals, refrigerated yogurt, soup, meal kits, refrigerated and frozen dough products, dessert and baking mixes, bakery flour, frozen pizza and pizza snacks, snack bars, fruit and salty snacks, ice cream, nutrition bars, wellness beverages, and savory and grain snacks, as well as various organic products, including frozen and shelf-stable vegetables. It also supplies branded and unbranded food products to the North American foodservice and commercial baking industries; and manufactures and markets pet food products, including dog and cat food. The company markets its products under the Annie's, Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Blue Buffalo, Blue Basics, Blue Freedom, Bugles, Cascadian Farm, Cheerios, Chex, Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Cocoa Puffs, Cookie Crisp, EPIC, Fiber One, Food Should Taste Good, Fruit by the Foot, Fruit Gushers, Fruit Roll-Ups, Gardetto's, Go-Gurt, Gold Medal, Golden Grahams, Häagen-Dazs, Helpers, Jus-Rol, Kitano, Kix, Lärabar, Latina, Liberté, Lucky Charms, Muir Glen, Nature Valley, Oatmeal Crisp, Old El Paso, Oui, Pillsbury, Progresso, Raisin Nut Bran, Total, Totino's, Trix, Wanchai Ferry, Wheaties, Wilderness, Yoki, and Yoplait trademarks. It sells its products directly, as well as through broker and distribution arrangements to grocery stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, natural food chains, e-commerce retailers, commercial and noncommercial foodservice distributors and operators, restaurants, convenience stores, and pet specialty stores, as well as drug, dollar, and discount chains. The company operates 466 leased and 392 franchise ice cream parlors. General Mills, Inc. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Mills generates revenue through the sale of its extensive portfolio of food products, which are distributed through various channels including supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the direct sale of consumer packaged goods, with significant revenue streams coming from its branded products across cereals, snacks, and frozen foods. Additionally, General Mills benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and foodservice operators, enhancing its distribution capabilities. The company also invests in innovation and marketing to drive brand loyalty and expand its market share, contributing to its overall earnings. Overall, the combination of a diverse product offering, effective marketing strategies, and strong distribution partnerships positions General Mills to capitalize on consumer trends and preferences in the food industry.

General Mills Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business segment, indicating which products or services are most successful and where growth is occurring or slowing.
Chart InsightsGeneral Mills' North America Retail segment is experiencing a decline in net sales, reflecting broader challenges in volume growth and market conditions. Despite this, the company is optimistic about its strategic investments in innovation and marketing, which have shown positive results in international and foodservice growth. The Pet segment faces mixed performance, with some product successes but ongoing challenges. The recent earnings call highlights a focus on innovation and cost management, with expectations of improved profitability in the latter half of the fiscal year despite current profit pressures.
Data provided by:The Fly

General Mills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 17, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in North America Retail and successful product launches like Love Made Fresh, contributing to positive momentum. However, concerns about the sustainability of volume growth, challenges in certain categories like dog feeding and cereal, and cost pressures indicate a mixed outlook.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
North America Retail Growth
North America Retail volumes improved due to strategic pricing and product innovation, with growth in 8 of the top 10 categories.
Love Made Fresh Launch Success
The Love Made Fresh launch reached about 5% market share with 4.8 out of 5 star ratings, and is on track to reach 5,000 coolers by year-end.
Pet Business Momentum
The Pet business, including Life Protection Formula and Cat business, is seeing growth in pound share, contributing to overall momentum.
Expected Profit Growth in Q4
General Mills anticipates profit growth in Q4 due to favorable trade timing and the 53rd week.
High Success Rate of Pricing Adjustments
90% of price investments are performing at or ahead of the company's expectations.
Negative Updates
Sustainability of Volume Growth
Concerns about the sustainability of volume growth in North America Retail due to shipment timing benefits.
Dog Feeding Category Lag
Dog feeding continues to lag in growth due to shifts to unmeasured channels, smaller dog sizes, and pullback in discretionary segments.
Challenges in Cereal Category
Cereal pounds are down about 3%, with consumers moving to high-protein alternatives.
Higher Cost of Volume
Anticipated higher cost of volume is expected to pressure margins in the third quarter.
Wilderness Brand Underperformance
The Wilderness brand in the Pet segment is underperforming, with strategies being revised for improvement.
Company Guidance
During the General Mills, Inc. Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Call, CEO Jeffrey Harmening highlighted several key performance metrics. Organic sales improved with a focus on holistic margin management (HMM) and transformation initiatives. North America Retail volumes grew, with strategic base price adjustments proving successful in 90% of cases. Product innovation is expected to rise by 25% this year, aiding in pound share growth in 8 of the top 10 categories. The North America Pet segment showed positive momentum, with Love Made Fresh reaching 5% market share and a 4.8-star product rating. The company is on track to meet its goal of 5,000 coolers by January's end. Overall, there's a projected 5% HMM for the year, with expectations for top-line and profit growth in the second half, particularly in Q4, due to favorable trade timing and an extra week.

General Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Mills demonstrates solid profitability and operational efficiency, though recent revenue and cash flow trends highlight potential areas for improvement. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which requires careful management. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with room for growth.
Income Statement
General Mills shows a stable gross profit margin and a healthy net profit margin, though both have slightly declined in the TTM period. Revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in sales expansion. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, suggesting higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is strong, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow and free cash flow have shown some volatility, with recent declines in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting reasonable cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.16B19.49B19.86B20.09B18.99B18.13B
Gross Profit6.58B6.73B6.93B6.55B6.40B6.45B
EBITDA3.78B3.92B4.08B4.08B4.16B3.89B
Net Income2.92B2.30B2.50B2.59B2.71B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.02B33.07B31.47B31.45B31.09B31.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments952.90M363.90M418.00M702.70M819.20M1.87B
Total Debt14.41B15.30B13.32B12.06B11.98B13.01B
Total Liabilities23.50B23.86B21.82B20.75B20.30B21.46B
Stockholders Equity9.51B9.20B9.40B10.45B10.54B9.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10B2.29B2.53B2.09B2.75B2.45B
Operating Cash Flow2.69B2.92B3.30B2.78B3.32B2.98B
Investing Cash Flow47.90M-1.79B-1.20B-346.40M-1.69B-512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-2.26B-1.18B-2.27B-2.40B-2.50B-2.72B

General Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.92
Price Trends
50DMA
46.62
Negative
100DMA
47.83
Negative
200DMA
50.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.78
Positive
RSI
34.66
Neutral
STOCH
8.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.34, below the 50-day MA of 46.62, and below the 200-day MA of 50.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIS.

General Mills Risk Analysis

General Mills disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Mills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$18.01B23.4313.92%2.61%1.64%-1.83%
68
Neutral
$12.58B26.746.02%4.82%1.55%-40.81%
66
Neutral
$23.43B9.6327.29%5.19%-5.65%0.41%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$7.89B13.6714.82%5.64%2.71%4.90%
49
Neutral
$10.44B-8.71-17.44%4.45%-0.66%-326.55%
48
Neutral
$27.73B-6.30-9.73%6.75%-3.70%-431.05%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIS
General Mills
43.92
-13.38
-23.35%
CPB
Campbell Soup
26.46
-10.30
-28.01%
HRL
Hormel Foods
22.87
-6.45
-22.00%
SJM
JM Smucker
97.82
-0.35
-0.36%
MKC
McCormick & Company
67.13
-2.29
-3.30%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
23.43
-3.73
-13.73%

General Mills Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
General Mills Concludes Annual Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On September 30, 2025, General Mills held its Annual Meeting with 461,600,339 shares represented. Key outcomes included the election of directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of the independent accounting firm. Notably, shareholder proposals on regenerative agriculture practices and separating the roles of Board Chair and CEO were not approved, indicating a preference for current governance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GIS) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Mills stock, see the GIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
General Mills Announces Major Supply Chain Restructuring
Negative
Oct 1, 2025

On September 25, 2025, General Mills approved a multi-year initiative to enhance its supply chain competitiveness, involving the closure of several manufacturing facilities and asset consolidation. This restructuring is expected to incur approximately $82 million in charges, with $17 million being cash, and aims to be completed by the end of fiscal 2029, potentially impacting stakeholders and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GIS) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Mills stock, see the GIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 17, 2025