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General Mills (GIS)
NYSE:GIS

General Mills (GIS) AI Stock Analysis

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GI

General Mills

(NYSE:GIS)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
â–²(6.42%Upside)
General Mills demonstrates strong financial stability and profitability, but faces challenges with revenue declines and debt levels. The company is undervalued with a solid dividend yield. Strategic initiatives in cost savings and reinvestment provide a balanced outlook amidst market challenges. Bearish technical indicators and a recent corporate event suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Innovation
Optimism for FY26 'big bet' innovation and renovation suggests a broader view of mix levers beyond price modifications.
Productivity
Good visibility exists into a 5% productivity gain in the near future, with new efficiencies providing further contributions.
Volume Improvement
The company has shown the ability to drive volume improvement at Pillsbury, Totino’s, and Blue Buffalo in recent months.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Higher investment and tariff related costs lead to lower EPS estimates.
Market Share
Mills’ US consumption trends have been soft largely as a result of market share losses within its categories.
Sales Performance
Volume improvements have not been enough to offset price investments, leaving dollar sales still down year over year.

General Mills (GIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Mills, Inc. manufactures and markets branded consumer foods worldwide. The company operates in five segments: North America Retail; Convenience Stores & Foodservice; Europe & Australia; Asia & Latin America; and Pet. It offers ready-to-eat cereals, refrigerated yogurt, soup, meal kits, refrigerated and frozen dough products, dessert and baking mixes, bakery flour, frozen pizza and pizza snacks, snack bars, fruit and salty snacks, ice cream, nutrition bars, wellness beverages, and savory and grain snacks, as well as various organic products, including frozen and shelf-stable vegetables. It also supplies branded and unbranded food products to the North American foodservice and commercial baking industries; and manufactures and markets pet food products, including dog and cat food. The company markets its products under the Annie's, Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Blue Buffalo, Blue Basics, Blue Freedom, Bugles, Cascadian Farm, Cheerios, Chex, Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Cocoa Puffs, Cookie Crisp, EPIC, Fiber One, Food Should Taste Good, Fruit by the Foot, Fruit Gushers, Fruit Roll-Ups, Gardetto's, Go-Gurt, Gold Medal, Golden Grahams, Häagen-Dazs, Helpers, Jus-Rol, Kitano, Kix, Lärabar, Latina, Liberté, Lucky Charms, Muir Glen, Nature Valley, Oatmeal Crisp, Old El Paso, Oui, Pillsbury, Progresso, Raisin Nut Bran, Total, Totino's, Trix, Wanchai Ferry, Wheaties, Wilderness, Yoki, and Yoplait trademarks. It sells its products directly, as well as through broker and distribution arrangements to grocery stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, natural food chains, e-commerce retailers, commercial and noncommercial foodservice distributors and operators, restaurants, convenience stores, and pet specialty stores, as well as drug, dollar, and discount chains. The company operates 466 leased and 392 franchise ice cream parlors. General Mills, Inc. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Mills generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer food products across different categories, including cereals, snacks, meals, baking products, and pet foods. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales through grocery stores, supermarkets, and mass merchandisers, as well as foodservice sales to restaurants and other foodservice providers. Additionally, General Mills benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures which help expand its market reach and product offerings. The company focuses on brand strength, innovation, and supply chain efficiency to maintain and grow its earnings. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include consumer trends, pricing strategies, and cost management initiatives.

General Mills Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business segment, indicating which products or services are most successful and where growth is occurring or slowing.
Chart InsightsGeneral Mills' North America Retail segment shows resilience with a recent uptick, despite a dip earlier in 2024. The Pet segment faces headwinds from retailer inventory reductions, impacting sales. International sales remain sluggish, reflecting global economic pressures. The North America Foodservice segment is gaining momentum, likely benefiting from strategic investments. The latest earnings call highlights a focus on cost savings and reinvestment into pricing and marketing, aiming to boost competitiveness amid consumer value-seeking behavior. These strategic shifts are crucial as the company navigates challenges in consumer confidence and inventory headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

General Mills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
General Mills is working on improving its competitive position through cost savings and increased investment in innovation and marketing. However, challenges such as reduced consumer confidence, increased focus on value, and inventory headwinds present significant hurdles. The company's strategy to address these issues offers a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Savings Initiatives
General Mills plans to achieve at least 5% HMM savings and an additional $100 million in cost savings, which will be reinvested to drive growth and competitiveness.
Improvement in Key Brands
Brands like Blue Buffalo, Pillsbury, and Totino's have improved due to sharpened price points and better marketing, showing effective competition in the market.
Innovation and Marketing Plans
The company plans to increase marketing spend and introduce significant new products in fiscal 2026, focusing on fewer but bigger innovations.
Negative Updates
Consumer Confidence and Value Seeking
The consumer environment has not improved as expected, with confidence indices at levels similar to 2008, leading to a strong focus on value among consumers.
Retailer Inventory Headwinds
Unexpected retailer inventory reductions, particularly in the Pet segment, contributed to a 5-point drag on results, affecting dry pet food sales.
Challenges in Snacking Categories
Fruit snacks and snack bars faced challenges due to value-seeking behavior by consumers and increased private-label competition.
Company Guidance
During the General Mills Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They emphasized a focus on accelerating organic growth into fiscal 2026, with at least 5% Holistic Margin Management (HMM) savings and an additional $100 million in cost savings. Furthermore, General Mills plans to reinvest the benefits from these cost-saving initiatives, including the 53rd week, into strategic areas such as pricing, marketing, and innovation. The fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 will see increased investments, particularly in pricing adjustments for fruit snacks, and a double-digit increase in marketing spend on major brands like Blue Buffalo, Pillsbury, and Cereal. The company aims to enhance competitiveness by aligning pricing strategies with consumer value-seeking behavior, supported by robust marketing and innovative product offerings.

General Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Mills shows strong profitability and cash generation with stable margins and resilient cash flow. However, recent revenue declines and increased debt levels are concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
General Mills exhibits solid profitability with a stable gross profit margin and resilient EBIT and EBITDA margins over TTM. However, revenue has slightly declined compared to the previous period, signaling potential challenges in growth. Net profit margin remains healthy, indicating effective cost management despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging debt. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial foundation, though the increase in total debt over recent periods warrants monitoring. Return on equity indicates effective utilization of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, outperforming net income, which highlights strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow remains stable, supporting ongoing investment and debt servicing. Although the free cash flow growth rate is modest, the company's cash flow metrics remain strong.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.64B19.86B20.09B18.99B18.13B17.63B
Gross Profit
6.95B6.93B6.55B6.40B6.45B6.13B
EBIT
3.58B3.43B3.43B3.48B3.14B2.95B
EBITDA
3.99B4.08B4.08B4.16B3.89B3.67B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.56B2.50B2.59B2.71B2.34B2.18B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
521.30M418.00M702.70M819.20M1.87B1.68B
Total Assets
32.71B31.47B31.45B31.09B31.84B30.81B
Total Debt
14.19B13.32B12.06B11.98B13.01B13.92B
Net Debt
13.67B12.90B11.48B11.41B11.50B12.24B
Total Liabilities
23.19B21.82B20.75B20.30B21.46B21.91B
Stockholders Equity
9.26B9.40B10.45B10.54B9.47B8.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.48B2.53B2.09B2.75B2.45B3.22B
Operating Cash Flow
3.17B3.30B2.78B3.32B2.98B3.68B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.27B-1.20B-346.40M-1.69B-512.80M-486.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-954.40M-2.27B-2.40B-2.50B-2.72B-1.94B

General Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.56
Price Trends
50DMA
55.53
Negative
100DMA
57.44
Negative
200DMA
61.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
41.05
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.24, below the 50-day MA of 55.53, and below the 200-day MA of 61.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIS.

General Mills Risk Analysis

General Mills disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Mills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MKMKC
73
Outperform
$19.84B25.4114.73%2.43%0.40%10.89%
HRHRL
71
Outperform
$16.82B22.499.39%3.79%-1.01%-2.93%
KHKHC
68
Neutral
$30.87B11.825.36%6.13%-4.25%-4.04%
CACAG
67
Neutral
$10.30B31.563.67%6.49%-3.15%-65.38%
65
Neutral
$8.82B14.914.71%6.22%3.60%-2.66%
GIGIS
63
Neutral
$29.33B11.7627.37%4.48%-2.62%4.27%
SJSJM
60
Neutral
$10.19B22.22-17.87%4.51%7.07%-181.54%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIS
General Mills
53.56
-10.24
-16.05%
CAG
Conagra Brands
21.57
-5.68
-20.84%
HRL
Hormel Foods
30.58
0.97
3.28%
SJM
JM Smucker
95.72
-12.19
-11.30%
MKC
McCormick & Company
74.01
6.11
9.00%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
26.08
-5.18
-16.57%

General Mills Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
General Mills Launches Global Transformation Initiative
Negative
May 27, 2025

On May 20, 2025, General Mills announced a multi-year global transformation initiative aimed at enhancing productivity through improved business processes and organizational changes. This initiative, expected to be completed by fiscal 2028, will incur charges of approximately $130 million, with significant expenses recorded in fiscal 2025, primarily for severance, impacting the company’s financials and operational strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GIS) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Mills stock, see the GIS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
General Mills Appoints New Group President for North America
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 19, 2025, General Mills announced the appointment of Dana M. McNabb as Group President for North America Retail and North America Pet, effective June 1, 2025. This strategic leadership change is expected to impact the company’s operations and market positioning in the North American retail and pet food sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GIS) stock is a Hold with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Mills stock, see the GIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.