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PepsiCo (PEP)
NASDAQ:PEP
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PepsiCo (PEP) AI Stock Analysis

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PEP

PepsiCo

(NASDAQ:PEP)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$171.00
▲(8.45% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/16/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (steady growth, strong margins, reliable free cash flow) and a supportive earnings call with affirmed guidance and improving operating trends. This is tempered by elevated leverage and only neutral-to-mixed technical momentum, while valuation appears reasonable but not a clear bargain.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
PepsiCo’s consistently strong operating cash flow and recurring positive free cash flow provide durable funding for dividends, buybacks, targeted M&A and brand investment. Steady cash conversion underpins financial resilience and the ability to sustain shareholder returns and reinvest through economic cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
PepsiCo’s elevated leverage limits balance-sheet flexibility and raises interest-rate and refinancing risk over time. High debt amplifies returns but reduces the firm’s cushion against downturns, constraining optionality for large-scale investments or aggressive buybacks if margins or cash flow were to weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
PepsiCo’s consistently strong operating cash flow and recurring positive free cash flow provide durable funding for dividends, buybacks, targeted M&A and brand investment. Steady cash conversion underpins financial resilience and the ability to sustain shareholder returns and reinvest through economic cycles.
Read all positive factors

PepsiCo (PEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PepsiCo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PepsiCo, Inc. manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through seven segments: Frito-Lay North America; Quaker Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; Latin ...
How the Company Makes Money
PepsiCo primarily makes money by selling branded food and beverage products through a mix of direct-to-store delivery and warehouse distribution to large retailers, convenience stores, e-commerce customers, and foodservice operators. Revenue is ge...

PepsiCo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, indicating which areas are growing or shrinking and how diversified the company’s revenue streams are.
Chart InsightsPepsiCo restructured reporting in 2025—legacy Frito‑Lay and regional series give way to new PFNA/food regional lines, so direct year‑over‑year comparisons can mislead; instead track PFNA and Beverages NA as the core profit drivers. Management expects PFNA volume, net‑revenue and margin expansion early in 2026, supported by double‑digit shelf gains, productivity‑funded marketing reinvestment and several acquisitions converting to organic later in the year. Key risks: GLP‑1‑driven downsizing and distributor/integration execution could blunt the upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

PepsiCo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized meaningful early signs of recovery across North America Foods and Beverages, solid international momentum, and tangible productivity gains that support guidance. Management acknowledged macro and geopolitical risks (inflationary pressure from the Iran conflict, SNAP changes, GLP-1 uncertainty) but believes near-term hedges, productivity initiatives and pricing/pack strategies provide sufficient flexibility to manage 2026. Execution risk remains the primary caveat.
Positive Updates
Company Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Organic revenue increased ~2.6% in Q1 and core EPS rose 9%; core operating margin expanded by about 10 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating topline recovery with improved profitability.
Negative Updates
Inflation and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Management acknowledged inflationary pressure tied to the Iran conflict and broader macro volatility; magnitude and duration remain uncertain and could require a mix of price, productivity and growth offsets beyond current assumptions.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Company Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Organic revenue increased ~2.6% in Q1 and core EPS rose 9%; core operating margin expanded by about 10 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating topline recovery with improved profitability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
PepsiCo affirmed its 2026 guidance, saying it can mitigate near‑term inflation (supported by ~6–12 month hedges) and still expects to deliver the company targets embedded in guidance: organic sales growth of 2%–4% for the year (with the expectation to be toward the upper end in the back half) and continued margin progress; Q1 results included organic revenue +2.6%, core EPS +9% and core operating margin up ~10 basis points. Management called out North America Foods momentum (PFNA: volume +2%, unit growth ~4%, ~300 million incremental occasions in Q1 and an expectation of organic revenue growth and core operating margin expansion for the segment), PBNA reported total growth of ~9% (roughly +2% organic plus ~7 points from added platforms) with volumes roughly flat ex–case‑pack water transition and an expectation of positive case‑pack water volume in coming quarters, and they reiterated productivity, pricing/price‑pack architecture and leveraging scale as the levers to drive results.

PepsiCo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: steady revenue growth, strong sector-level gross margins, and consistently positive free cash flow with a TTM rebound. The key offset is elevated leverage (debt >2x equity) and some recent net-margin compression, which reduces financial flexibility.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue95.45B93.92B91.85B91.47B86.39B79.47B
Gross Profit51.60B50.86B50.11B49.59B45.82B42.40B
EBITDA15.08B15.54B16.68B15.75B14.92B14.90B
Net Income8.74B8.24B9.58B9.07B8.91B7.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.65B107.40B99.47B100.50B92.19B92.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.83B9.53B9.27B10.00B5.35B5.99B
Total Debt52.73B49.90B44.95B44.66B39.55B40.78B
Total Liabilities89.11B86.85B81.30B81.86B74.91B76.23B
Stockholders Equity21.38B20.41B18.04B18.50B17.15B16.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.84B7.67B7.19B7.92B5.60B6.99B
Operating Cash Flow13.10B12.09B12.51B13.44B10.81B11.62B
Investing Cash Flow-6.12B-6.88B-5.47B-5.50B-2.43B-3.27B
Financing Cash Flow-5.08B-4.98B-7.56B-3.01B-8.52B-10.78B

PepsiCo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price157.67
Price Trends
50DMA
159.50
Negative
100DMA
152.43
Positive
200DMA
146.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
53.43
Neutral
STOCH
67.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 157.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.63, below the 50-day MA of 159.50, and above the 200-day MA of 146.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PEP.

PepsiCo Risk Analysis

PepsiCo disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PepsiCo reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PepsiCo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$338.22B21.0343.62%2.92%6.74%27.16%
77
Outperform
$75.42B39.2725.65%10.70%30.49%
71
Outperform
$215.14B21.9343.94%3.91%4.29%-6.45%
69
Neutral
$42.20B18.1324.48%2.52%6.82%44.68%
64
Neutral
$39.58B33.147.25%3.12%9.19%21.61%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$8.67B99.614.66%85.54%-46.89%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEP
PepsiCo
154.59
28.88
22.98%
KO
Coca-Cola
78.19
8.49
12.18%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
28.87
-4.14
-12.55%
MNST
Monster Beverage
75.20
15.18
25.29%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
92.29
4.11
4.66%
CELH
Celsius Holdings
33.57
-1.95
-5.49%

PepsiCo Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
PepsiCo Issues €2.5 Billion Euro-Denominated Senior Notes
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
On February 4, 2026, PepsiCo announced a euro-denominated senior notes offering comprising €500 million in floating rate notes due 2028, €650 million of 3.300% notes due 2034, €850 million of 3.700% notes due 2038 and €500 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026