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PepsiCo (PEP)
NASDAQ:PEP

PepsiCo (PEP) AI Stock Analysis

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PepsiCo

(NASDAQ:PEP)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$154.00
▲(12.84%Upside)
PepsiCo's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives to enhance liquidity and drive international growth. However, technical indicators and valuation suggest some caution, and challenges from tariffs and North American market conditions weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Cost Structure
Re-thinking NA food cost structure could add up to 4 points to EPS growth, providing breathing room or funds to reinvest.
International Growth
International segment maintained momentum with 5% y/y organic revenue growth, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of at least mid-single digit expansion.
Negative Factors
Cost Structure Pressure
If no action is taken on cost structure, PEP remains at the whims of the category, potentially putting more pressure on the stock.
Earnings Guidance
Revised core EPS guidance in USD terms from low single-digit growth to a 3% decline due to cost pressures and demand uncertainties linked to Trump’s tariff policies.
Sales and Profit Expectations
Management lowered sales and profit expectations for PFNA due to continued pressure from the cumulative impact of inflation and value-conscious shopping.

PepsiCo (PEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PepsiCo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPepsiCo, Inc. manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through seven segments: Frito-Lay North America; Quaker Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; Latin America; Europe; Africa, Middle East and South Asia; and Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China Region. It provides dips, cheese-flavored snacks, and spreads, as well as corn, potato, and tortilla chips; cereals, rice, pasta, mixes and syrups, granola bars, grits, oatmeal, rice cakes, simply granola, and side dishes; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; ready-to-drink tea, coffee, and juices; dairy products; and sparkling water makers and related products. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, and others through a network of direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and distributor networks, as well as directly to consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyPepsiCo generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide array of food and beverage products across multiple global markets. The company's revenue model is centered around its diverse portfolio of brands, which includes both carbonated and non-carbonated beverages, savory snacks, cereals, and other food products. Key revenue streams include the retail sales of these products in supermarkets, convenience stores, and through vending machines, as well as direct sales to restaurants, schools, and other institutions. PepsiCo also benefits from strategic partnerships and distribution agreements, which enhance its market reach and accessibility. The company's earnings are influenced by consumer preferences, marketing strategies, and its ability to innovate and adapt to changing market trends.

PepsiCo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across different business units, indicating which areas are growing or shrinking and how diversified the company’s revenue streams are.
Chart InsightsPepsiCo's international markets are driving growth, with a notable 5% increase, despite challenges in North America. The earnings call highlights strong performance in Europe, India, and Brazil, countering subdued results from Frito-Lay North America due to consumer price sensitivity. The company is focused on operational excellence and portfolio transformation to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and tariffs, aiming for long-term profitability. The beverage segment shows improvement, with Pepsi and Gatorade gaining market share, reflecting strategic investments in innovation and efficiency.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PepsiCo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights international growth and operational improvements, particularly in the beverage segment, but is weighed down by reduced earnings forecasts due to tariffs and challenges in Frito North America and certain international markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Business Growth
The international segment is the largest growth engine for PepsiCo, showing a solid 5% growth in the quarter. Key markets like Europe, India, and Brazil are performing well, contributing to the company's overall growth.
Improved Operational Excellence
PepsiCo is focusing on operational excellence across its business units. The company is improving execution, cost efficiency, and leveraging better data and systems, especially in its Frito-Lay segment.
Positive Performance in Beverage Segment
The beverage segment in North America is showing improvement with Pepsi gaining market share and Gatorade regaining share in the sports drink category. Margin improvement is driven by operational excellence.
Portfolio Transformation and Innovation
PepsiCo is investing in portfolio transformation, focusing on offering more options like increased functionality in snacks and expanding in new segments like protein and fiber.
Negative Updates
Reduced Full-Year Earnings Outlook
The full-year earnings outlook has been reduced due to tariffs, macroeconomic uncertainty, and subdued performance in Frito North America. These factors have led to a reevaluation of growth expectations.
Frito North America Challenges
Frito North America is experiencing volume weakness, particularly in higher price points and larger packs. There is a need for more strategic investment and revenue management to address consumer price sensitivity.
Tariffs Impact
New tariffs have been introduced since the start of the year, impacting the company's financial guidance. Mitigation plans are in place, but some will take time to execute.
Challenges in China and Mexico
PepsiCo faces a slowdown in consumer spending in China and the impact of the U.S. economy on Mexico, indicating potential challenges in these markets.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 first quarter earnings call, PepsiCo provided updated guidance reflecting several key metrics. The company adjusted its full-year earnings outlook due to new tariffs, heightened macroeconomic and consumer uncertainty, and subdued performance from Frito-Lay North America. Despite these challenges, PepsiCo maintained its low-single-digit organic revenue growth guidance, citing strong performance in international markets, particularly a solid 5% growth in the quarter. The company's strategy includes continued investment in its international business, which is expected to drive long-term growth and profitability. Additionally, PepsiCo is focused on executing a multi-faceted playbook for Frito-Lay, emphasizing value investments, portfolio transformation, and operational excellence to navigate the challenging consumer environment.

PepsiCo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PepsiCo demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability and growth as highlighted by its income statement. While leverage is a moderate concern as reflected in the balance sheet, the company's cash flow is robust, indicating efficient cash management and generation.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
PepsiCo's income statement shows strong stability and growth. The gross profit margin is healthy, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin is solid, indicating profitability. Revenue growth is consistent over the years, with slight fluctuations. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderately high debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates some leverage risk. However, the return on equity is strong, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a balanced capital structure, although there's room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
PepsiCo's cash flow is robust, with stable free cash flow and operating cash flow to net income ratio indicating efficient cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, suggesting good cash generation capacity. These metrics underscore the company's ability to support operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.52B91.85B91.47B86.39B79.47B70.37B
Gross Profit50.10B50.11B49.59B45.82B42.40B38.58B
EBITDA16.57B16.68B15.75B14.92B14.90B13.22B
Net Income9.37B9.58B9.07B8.91B7.62B7.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.74B99.47B100.50B92.19B92.38B92.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.58B9.27B10.00B5.35B5.99B9.55B
Total Debt48.52B44.95B44.66B39.55B40.78B44.61B
Total Liabilities83.21B81.30B81.86B74.91B76.23B79.37B
Stockholders Equity18.39B18.04B18.50B17.15B16.04B13.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.27B7.19B7.92B5.60B6.99B6.37B
Operating Cash Flow12.57B12.51B13.44B10.81B11.62B10.61B
Investing Cash Flow-6.14B-5.47B-5.50B-2.43B-3.27B-11.62B
Financing Cash Flow-5.80B-7.56B-3.01B-8.52B-10.78B3.82B

PepsiCo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price136.48
Price Trends
50DMA
130.98
Positive
100DMA
138.56
Negative
200DMA
147.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
64.73
Neutral
STOCH
91.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 136.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.75, above the 50-day MA of 130.98, and below the 200-day MA of 147.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PEP.

PepsiCo Risk Analysis

PepsiCo disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PepsiCo reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PepsiCo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$42.93B27.9417.43%1.88%11.73%-15.34%
PEPEP
77
Outperform
$187.12B20.0750.06%4.17%-0.38%2.23%
76
Outperform
$61.97B41.6220.00%1.47%-4.87%
KOKO
75
Outperform
$308.49B28.7040.98%2.88%1.15%0.28%
KDKDP
72
Outperform
$45.59B30.416.13%2.72%3.95%-28.73%
69
Neutral
$10.11B20.1636.83%0.86%3.21%31.84%
53
Neutral
C$4.38B3.83-22.83%4.39%8.13%2.00%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEP
PepsiCo
136.48
-22.13
-13.95%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
115.95
8.86
8.27%
KO
Coca-Cola
70.91
8.96
14.46%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
33.84
2.06
6.48%
MNST
Monster Beverage
63.04
13.29
26.71%
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
93.58
21.75
30.28%

PepsiCo Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
PepsiCo Enters New $5 Billion Credit Agreements
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, PepsiCo terminated its previous $5 billion 364-day and five-year unsecured revolving credit agreements and simultaneously entered into new agreements of the same value with Citibank, N.A. as the administrative agent. These new credit agreements allow PepsiCo and its subsidiaries to borrow up to $5 billion in U.S. Dollars and/or Euros, with options to increase commitments and extend terms, supporting general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move enhances PepsiCo’s liquidity and flexibility, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEP) stock is a Buy with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PepsiCo stock, see the PEP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
PepsiCo Shareholders Approve Directors, Reject ESG Proposals
Neutral
May 9, 2025

During the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 7, 2025, PepsiCo announced the election of 15 directors, the ratification of KPMG LLP as its accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation. However, shareholders voted against proposals related to non-sugar sweetener risks, racial equity audits, biodiversity risks, and sustainable packaging, indicating a focus on traditional business operations over new sustainability and social governance initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025