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Celsius Holdings (CELH)
NASDAQ:CELH
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Celsius Holdings (CELH) AI Stock Analysis

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CELH

Celsius Holdings

(NASDAQ:CELH)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(9.37% Upside)
Celsius Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly through partnerships and acquisitions. However, high valuation metrics and technical indicators suggest caution. The company's robust cash flow and strategic corporate actions, such as share buybacks, support its growth potential, but cost pressures and inventory challenges present near-term risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, positioning Celsius Holdings for continued expansion and market leadership.
Strategic Partnerships
The strategic partnership with PepsiCo enhances distribution capabilities and market penetration, providing a durable competitive advantage in the energy drink sector.
Cash Flow Growth
Strong cash flow growth supports financial flexibility, enabling investment in growth opportunities and providing a buffer against economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin Decline
Declining net profit margins suggest rising costs or inefficiencies, which could pressure profitability and impact long-term financial health if not addressed.
Cost Pressures
Ongoing cost pressures from tariffs and commodities can erode margins, necessitating strategic cost management to maintain profitability.
Inventory Management Challenges
Inventory management challenges can lead to operational inefficiencies and potential disruptions, impacting the company's ability to meet demand effectively.

Celsius Holdings (CELH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Celsius Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelsius Holdings, Inc. develops, processes, markets, distributes, and sells functional drinks and liquid supplements in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers various carbonated and non-carbonated functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS Originals name; dietary supplement in carbonated flavors, including apple jack'd, orangesicle, inferno punch, cherry lime, blueberry pomegranate, strawberry dragon fruit, tangerine grapefruit, and jackfruit under the CELSIUS HEAT name; and branched-chain amino acids functional energy drink that fuels muscle recovery under the CELSIUS BCCA+ENERGY name. The company also provides CELSIUS On-the-Go, a powdered form of the active ingredients in functional energy drinks in individual On-The-Go packets and canisters; and sparkling grapefruit, cucumber lime, and orange pomegranate, as well as pineapple coconut, watermelon berry, and strawberries and cream non-carbonated functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS Sweetened. It distributes its products through direct-to-store delivery distributors and direct to retailers, including supermarkets, convenience stores, drug stores, nutritional stores, and mass merchants, as well as health clubs, spas, gyms, the military, and e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Vector Ventures, Inc. and changed its name to Celsius Holdings, Inc. in January 2007. Celsius Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelsius Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its energy drinks and dietary supplements. The company leverages various sales channels, including direct-to-consumer sales via its website, retail partnerships with grocery chains, convenience stores, and fitness-focused establishments. Key revenue streams include the sale of branded energy drinks, which are available in both traditional retail and online platforms. Additionally, Celsius has established significant partnerships with distributors and retailers, enhancing its market reach and visibility. The company also benefits from increasing consumer trends towards healthier lifestyles and functional beverages, allowing it to capture a growing segment of health-conscious consumers.

Celsius Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCelsius Holdings' North American revenue experienced a sharp decline in Q3 2024, reflecting challenges highlighted in their earnings call, such as slowed velocity and changes in distributor incentives. However, international revenue surged by 41%, driven by strong growth in markets like the UK and Australia. The acquisition of Alani Nu is expected to bolster their market share and drive future growth. Despite a 7% overall revenue decline, the company is focusing on operational excellence and international expansion to sustain growth in 2025.
Data provided by:The Fly

Celsius Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive trajectory for Celsius Holdings, with substantial revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and successful integration of acquisitions. However, there are notable challenges related to inventory management, cost pressures, and integration expenses that could impact short-term performance. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, but with some near-term uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue for Q3 2025 reached approximately $725 million, reflecting a 173% increase compared to the previous year.
Strategic Partnership with PepsiCo
Enhanced partnership with PepsiCo, including becoming PepsiCo's U.S. Strategic Energy Drink Captain and integrating Alani Nu into PepsiCo's distribution network starting December 1, 2025.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin for the quarter improved to 51.3% from 46% a year ago, driven by better product mix and scale benefits.
Alani Nu's Strong Performance
Alani Nu's revenue nearly doubled, increasing by 99% due to strong limited-time offerings and organic growth.
Successful Integration of Rockstar Energy
Rockstar Energy contributed approximately $18 million in revenue during its first month under Celsius ownership.
Expansion of International Markets
Notable growth in international markets, particularly in Australia, with plans for further expansion in Europe and other regions.
Leadership Enhancements
New leadership appointments, including Rishi Daing as Chief Marketing Officer and Garrett Quigley as President of Celsius International, to strengthen the company's strategic direction.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Inventory Management
Significant noise in inventory levels due to timing of acquisitions, promotions, and transitions, leading to potential disruptions in Q4 2025.
Tariff and Cost Pressures
Increased tariffs and higher commodity costs impacting margins, with expectations of further pressure in Q4 2025.
Integration Costs for Alani Nu
Approximately $247 million in distributor termination expenses due to Alani Nu's transition into PepsiCo's distribution network, although cash neutral.
Potential Q4 Margin Pressure
Anticipated gross margin pressure in Q4 2025 due to increased freight, scrap, and promotional costs during integration activities.
Company Guidance
During the Celsius Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on a variety of metrics. The consolidated revenue for the quarter was reported at approximately $725 million, marking a 173% increase from the previous year. The Celsius brand's U.S. scanner growth rate was 13%, with a revenue growth rate of 44% year-over-year. Alani Nu's revenue nearly doubled, growing by 99%, and Rockstar Energy contributed roughly $18 million in revenue. The company's gross margin improved to 51.3% from 46% a year ago, with year-to-date gross margin at 51.6%. Sales and marketing expenses represented about 20% of sales, while general and administrative expenses were approximately 6% of sales, excluding acquisition costs. The company reduced its total debt to roughly $700 million, lowering annual interest rate expenses by approximately $20 million beginning in 2026. Looking ahead, Celsius Holdings expects continued growth, with a focus on stabilizing Rockstar Energy and integrating Alani Nu into the Pepsi distribution network, anticipating a phased load-in approach from Q4 into Q1 2026.

Celsius Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celsius Holdings shows strong revenue growth and a healthy gross profit margin. However, declining net profit and EBIT margins suggest potential cost pressures. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but returns on equity could be improved. Strong cash flow growth and management are notable strengths, positioning the company well for future investments and growth opportunities.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Celsius Holdings shows strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 27.57%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 51.38%, indicating efficient production and sales processes. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 2.57% in the TTM, suggesting rising costs or other expenses impacting profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt. The return on equity is relatively low at 3.41% in the TTM, suggesting limited returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is robust, showing a strong capital structure with significant equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Celsius Holdings demonstrates impressive free cash flow growth of 148.34% in the TTM, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, indicating a conservative cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.89, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.13B1.36B1.32B653.60M314.27M130.73M
Gross Profit1.09B680.21M633.14M270.87M128.17M60.97M
EBITDA129.61M163.00M269.59M-155.88M-2.79M11.32M
Net Income64.38M145.07M226.80M-187.28M3.94M8.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.27B1.77B1.54B1.22B314.02M131.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments805.96M890.19M755.98M614.16M16.25M43.25M
Total Debt861.47M20.25M2.19M1.22M1.37M1.12M
Total Liabilities2.30B542.46M447.87M357.49M96.97M26.96M
Stockholders Equity2.96B1.22B1.09B864.58M217.04M104.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow523.61M239.51M123.78M99.92M-99.74M2.82M
Operating Cash Flow554.55M262.90M141.22M108.18M-96.59M3.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.36B-101.73M-14.20M-5.67M-1.26M757.00K
Financing Cash Flow832.40M-25.97M-25.22M534.11M71.39M15.57M

Celsius Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price42.06
Price Trends
50DMA
52.87
Negative
100DMA
53.19
Negative
200DMA
45.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.21
Negative
RSI
40.16
Neutral
STOCH
82.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CELH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.60, below the 50-day MA of 52.87, and below the 200-day MA of 45.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CELH.

Celsius Holdings Risk Analysis

Celsius Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celsius Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celsius Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$72.05B41.9825.54%7.62%12.77%
74
Outperform
$3.11B47.2024.02%23.12%16.20%
69
Neutral
$3.11B16.7745.84%0.46%0.91%
67
Neutral
$10.84B462.713.06%55.07%-87.01%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$5.88B-2.08%2.52%244.82%-119.23%
54
Neutral
$193.51M-23.12%6.17%41.09%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CELH
Celsius Holdings
42.06
11.50
37.63%
PRMB
Primo Brands
15.87
-14.70
-48.09%
MNST
Monster Beverage
73.74
20.53
38.58%
FIZZ
National Beverage
33.25
-15.02
-31.12%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.58
-0.55
-17.57%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
54.56
18.28
50.39%

Celsius Holdings Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Celsius Holdings Announces $300 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Celsius Holdings announced a $300 million share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors. This move highlights the company’s strong financial position and cash generation capabilities, allowing it to repurchase shares when undervalued while continuing to invest in growth initiatives across its functional beverages portfolio.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celsius Holdings Reports Significant Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Celsius Holdings reported a significant revenue increase for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $725.1 million, primarily driven by the acquisition of Alani Nu and Rockstar Energy, and the growth of the CELSIUS brand. Despite a net income loss, the company achieved a 173% revenue growth compared to the previous year, reflecting strong consumer demand and strategic distribution enhancements. The partnership with PepsiCo and the expansion of their energy drink portfolio have positioned Celsius Holdings for future growth, although the company faced increased expenses due to distributor termination costs and marketing investments.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Celsius Holdings Announces Credit Agreement Refinancing
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Celsius Holdings, Inc. announced a refinancing amendment to its Credit Agreement, which reduced interest rates on its $900 million Term Loan Facility and $100 million Revolving Facility by 0.75%. This financial maneuver, involving a new $700 million term loan and $200 million cash on hand, allowed the company to repay its existing term loan without incurring prepayment penalties, potentially enhancing its financial stability and operational flexibility.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Celsius Holdings Considers Repricing Credit Facilities
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

Celsius Holdings is considering repricing its existing credit facilities and has shared selected financial information to comply with regulatory requirements. The company recently completed the acquisition of Alani Nutrition LLC on April 1, 2025, and has provided unaudited pro forma financial information, which may differ from future financial outcomes. This move is part of the company’s strategy to refinance its debt and optimize its financial operations, although there are no guarantees of completing the refinancing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025