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Celsius Holdings (CELH)
NASDAQ:CELH
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Celsius Holdings (CELH) AI Stock Analysis

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CELH

Celsius Holdings

(NASDAQ:CELH)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(15.83% Upside)
Celsius Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are major strengths, driving the overall score. However, the high valuation and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions temper the score. The company's growth trajectory remains promising, but investors should be cautious of potential margin pressures.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Combined Celsius and Alani Nu energy sales growth accelerated significantly, indicating strong market performance.
Revenue Growth
CELH delivered an impressive beat with both revenue and EBITDA easily topping consensus estimates, driven by continued strength in Alani Nu and improving consumption trends of the core Celsius brand.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Alani Nu is considered a strategic fit and a catalyst for revenue growth reacceleration, with the potential to achieve $50M in cost synergies over two years.
Negative Factors
Analyst Rating
Reiterate Underperform rating based on valuation, despite raising the price objective from $35 to $40.
Cost Pressures
Aluminum-related cost pressures are expected to begin weighing on margins as CELH works through its existing inventory reserve.
Valuation Concerns
Valuation post share price reaction sits well in excess of SMID cap peers.

Celsius Holdings (CELH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Celsius Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelsius Holdings, Inc. is a global wellness company that specializes in developing and marketing fitness drinks and supplements. Founded in 2004, the company operates primarily in the health and wellness sector, offering a range of products designed to boost energy and enhance metabolic performance. Celsius is known for its flagship line of functional beverages, which includes carbonated and non-carbonated drinks enriched with vitamins, minerals, and other performance-driven ingredients. The company focuses on health-conscious consumers and targets the fitness and lifestyle markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelsius Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverage products, which are distributed through various channels including retail, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. Key revenue streams include sales from its energy drinks, which are marketed as fitness-enhancing beverages, and a growing line of related supplements. The company has established partnerships with major retailers and distributors, which expand its market reach and enhance brand visibility. Additionally, Celsius benefits from consumer trends favoring healthier lifestyle choices, increasing demand for functional beverages, and effective marketing strategies that resonate with fitness enthusiasts and health-conscious individuals.

Celsius Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCelsius Holdings' North American revenue experienced a sharp decline in Q3 2024, reflecting challenges highlighted in their earnings call, such as slowed velocity and changes in distributor incentives. However, international revenue surged by 41%, driven by strong growth in markets like the UK and Australia. The acquisition of Alani Nu is expected to bolster their market share and drive future growth. Despite a 7% overall revenue decline, the company is focusing on operational excellence and international expansion to sustain growth in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Celsius Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Celsius Holdings highlighted significant revenue growth driven by brand performance and market expansion, particularly with the Alani Nu brand. However, there are concerns about future margin pressures due to rising input costs and tariffs. The company remains optimistic about continued growth and operational discipline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Celsius Holdings reported revenue of $739.3 million for Q2 2025, an 84% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by $301.2 million in revenue from the Alani Nu brand and $438.1 million from the Celsius brand.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was a record in excess of $200 million in Q2 2025, reflecting strong integration and execution across the company's operations.
Increased Household Penetration
The Celsius Holdings portfolio reached a 43% household penetration with repeat rates over 65%, indicating strong consumer loyalty and brand equity.
Alani Nu Brand Performance
Alani Nu brand reported dollar sales up 129% with a share increase of 3.2 points year-over-year, making it the largest share gainer in RTD energy, reaching a 6.3 share.
International Revenue Growth
International revenue grew 27% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with strong contributions from Australia, the U.K., and France.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Q2 consolidated gross margin held relatively steady at 51.5%, down 50 basis points year-over-year, with anticipated margin pressure from higher input costs in the latter half of the year.
Impact of Tariffs and Costs
There is an expected impact on margins from tariffs and increased raw material costs, particularly in aluminum, in Q3 and Q4.
Increased Operating Expenses
G&A expenses were $86 million or 11.7% of revenue, driven by $16 million in acquisition-related costs and $13.8 million related to contingent consideration.
Company Guidance
During the Celsius Holdings Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a significant 84% year-over-year increase in revenue, amounting to $739.3 million, largely driven by $301.2 million in revenue from the newly acquired Alani Nu brand and $438.1 million from the core Celsius brand. The consolidated gross margin was 51.5%, supported by favorable material costs and improved production yields. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter exceeded $200 million, marking a record achievement. The company anticipates achieving $50 million in run-rate cost synergies over two years post the Alani Nu acquisition. Additionally, Celsius Holdings achieved a 17.3% dollar share in the RTD energy category, with unit sales increasing by 31.2% and dollar sales growing by 28.9%. Looking ahead, Celsius Holdings expects margin pressure from higher input costs in the latter half of 2025 but remains focused on operational discipline and brand leadership to sustain its growth trajectory.

Celsius Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celsius Holdings shows strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and a strong cash flow position. However, recent decreases in net profit margin and ROE suggest areas for improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Celsius Holdings demonstrates impressive revenue growth with a notable increase from 2021 to 2025. The company has achieved strong gross profit and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The consistent increase in EBITDA and EBIT margins further emphasizes operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased in the latest TTM period, which requires monitoring.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity ratio, reflecting a strong financial position with a significant proportion of equity in its asset base. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating prudent financial leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased slightly due to lower net income, which could impact future investment returns.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Celsius Holdings shows robust operating cash flow, with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow is positive and growing, reflecting effective cash management. Despite the positive cash flow trends, the free cash flow growth rate has slowed in the latest TTM period, warranting attention to ensure continued cash flow strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.33B1.36B1.32B653.60M314.27M130.73M
Gross Profit670.37M680.21M633.14M270.87M128.17M60.97M
EBITDA133.22M163.00M269.59M-155.88M-2.79M11.32M
Net Income111.68M145.07M226.80M-187.28M3.94M8.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.77B1.54B1.22B314.02M131.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments977.28M890.19M755.98M614.16M16.25M43.25M
Total Debt19.70M20.25M2.19M1.22M1.37M1.12M
Total Liabilities591.92M542.46M447.87M357.49M96.97M26.96M
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.22B1.09B864.58M217.04M104.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow205.81M239.51M123.78M99.92M-99.74M2.82M
Operating Cash Flow231.62M262.90M141.22M108.18M-96.59M3.40M
Investing Cash Flow-104.14M-101.73M-14.20M-5.67M-1.26M757.00K
Financing Cash Flow-30.67M-25.97M-25.22M534.11M71.39M15.57M

Celsius Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.57
Price Trends
50DMA
48.66
Positive
100DMA
43.02
Positive
200DMA
35.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.16
Negative
RSI
69.60
Neutral
STOCH
68.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CELH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.75, above the 50-day MA of 48.66, and above the 200-day MA of 35.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CELH.

Celsius Holdings Risk Analysis

Celsius Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celsius Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celsius Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$60.66B38.7924.10%3.70%-0.53%
75
Outperform
$15.53B165.957.91%11.85%-64.69%
75
Outperform
$1.94B31.6224.35%11.97%16.10%
63
Neutral
$3.98B21.2937.23%0.81%5.51%
63
Neutral
$20.46B14.51-3.60%3.15%2.60%-5.31%
54
Neutral
$206.86M-22.11%-1.08%54.50%
52
Neutral
$561.96M-114.20%4.47%42.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CELH
Celsius Holdings
59.57
21.48
56.39%
MNST
Monster Beverage
62.12
15.07
32.03%
FIZZ
National Beverage
42.46
-2.97
-6.54%
OTLY
Oatly Group
18.54
0.24
1.31%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.76
1.73
167.96%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
33.52
8.36
33.23%

Celsius Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celsius Holdings Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Celsius Holdings reported record revenue of $739 million, an 84% increase from the previous year, driven by the acquisition of Alani Nu and rising demand for its energy drink portfolio. The company’s market share in the U.S. energy drink category rose to 17.3%, with significant growth in both domestic and international markets. Despite a slight decrease in gross margin, the company’s net income increased by 25%, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic execution in a rapidly evolving market.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Celsius Holdings Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Celsius Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were approved. Notably, the company’s stockholders agreed to amend the Articles of Incorporation to increase the authorized Common Stock from 300 million to 400 million shares. Additionally, the election of nine directors, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year 2025 were confirmed.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celsius Holdings Discusses Alani Nu Integration Strategy
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Celsius Holdings presented a modeling conference call discussing its strategic plans and financial expectations. The presentation highlighted the integration of Alani Nu, a leading energy drink brand with a strong female consumer base, into Celsius’ operations. This move is expected to enhance Celsius’ market position and expand its product offerings, leveraging Alani Nu’s established distribution network and marketing strategies. The announcement is significant for stakeholders as it outlines Celsius’ growth strategy and potential impact on its financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025