Want to see COCO full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Vita Coco Company
(NASDAQ:COCO)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(19.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
COCO scores well primarily on strong financial performance (expanding margins, strong recent cash generation, and a very conservative balance sheet) and a constructive earnings update with raised FY2026 guidance. The score is held back by a premium valuation (P/E 36.30) and mixed near-term technical positioning with the stock below key short-term moving averages, alongside noted second-half cost/mix and capacity risks.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Extremely low leverage and a growing equity base give Vita Coco durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports M&A (Copra), buybacks, and capacity investments without stressing liquidity, and reduces bankruptcy risk during demand or cost shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Near-term capacity constraints (~95% utilization)
Running close to capacity limits the ability to convert strong demand into volume without near-term capital investment. If capacity expansion timelines slip, incremental sales, especially in peak seasons or for private-label partners, could be constrained and raise per-unit costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Extremely low leverage and a growing equity base give Vita Coco durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports M&A (Copra), buybacks, and capacity investments without stressing liquidity, and reduces bankruptcy risk during demand or cost shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Vita Coco Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Geography
Shows revenue distribution across different regions, highlighting areas of strong performance and potential growth or risk due to regional market dynamics.
Shows revenue distribution across different regions, highlighting areas of strong performance and potential growth or risk due to regional market dynamics.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyVita Coco Company (COCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.99B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.23M
Price to Earnings (P/E)36.3
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth26.10%
EPS Growth69.15%
CountryUS
Employees336
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.92
Shares Outstanding57,397,083
10 Day Avg. Volume1,270,696
30 Day Avg. Volume1,228,725
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.61
Price to Book (P/B)9.10
Price to Sales (P/S)4.95
P/FCF Ratio77.31
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$83.40Price Target Upside26.42% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)1.95
Revenue Forecast (FY)$792.96M
Vita Coco Company Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. is a global beverage enterprise, founded in New York in 2004, primarily engaged in the development, marketing, and distribution of its flagship Vita Coco-branded coconut water. Its extensive market presence spans the Un...
How the Company Makes Money
Vita Coco makes money primarily by manufacturing, sourcing, branding, and selling packaged beverages—most importantly coconut water—at a wholesale margin to retailers and distributors. Its core revenue stream is net sales of Vita Coco branded coco...
Vita Coco Company Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed robust commercial and financial performance: strong revenue growth, materially improved margins, expanded EBITDA and earnings, healthy cash and no debt, and a strategic acquisition (Copra) to access the super-premium segment. Offsetting risks include rising input and freight costs, supply disruption from a Philippines earthquake (~1% production impact), near-term capacity constraints (running close to ~95%), and incremental SG&A / integration conservatism that will pressure H2 margins. Management raised full-year guidance and retains a confident long-term view, but near-term inflation and mix effects moderate upside.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q2 net sales rose 28% year-over-year (+$47M) to $216M, driven by Vita Coco Coconut Water growth of 21% and private label growth of 83%.
Negative Updates
Cost Inflation Pressures
Rising costs in packaging materials, domestic logistics and supplier energy are expected to impact gross margin starting mid-Q3; company may consider price increases in early 2027 if costs persist.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q2 net sales rose 28% year-over-year (+$47M) to $216M, driven by Vita Coco Coconut Water growth of 21% and private label growth of 83%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year 2026 guidance to net sales of $790–$805 million, gross margin of approximately 40% and adjusted EBITDA of $154–$161 million (including the recently acquired Copra, which projects >$100 million calendar 2026 net sales), and is modeling U.S. category growth of ~20%; consolidated Vita Coco Coconut Water net‑sales growth is expected to be high‑teens to 20% (U.S. Vita Coco mid‑ to high‑teens) while U.S. private label net sales are forecast to grow ~90–100% for the year. They plan branded price increases in the low single digits (resulting in minimal consolidated net pricing), expect second‑half gross margin to be lower than the first half as cost inflation and freight lags flow through despite tariff refunds boosting full‑year margin, anticipate ~1 point of SG&A leverage versus 2025, and reiterated a long‑term algorithm of mid‑teens branded net‑sales growth and adjusted EBITDA in the high‑teens.Vita Coco Company Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 706.02M | 609.78M | 516.01M | 493.61M | 427.79M | 379.51M |
| Gross Profit | 289.23M | 221.52M | 198.78M | 180.07M | 103.36M | 113.15M |
| EBITDA | 143.38M | 94.04M | 71.53M | 58.61M | 12.29M | 26.66M |
| Net Income | 109.45M | 71.32M | 55.95M | 46.63M | 7.81M | 19.02M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 572.94M | 461.16M | 362.38M | 285.68M | 200.36M | 197.48M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 278.64M | 196.87M | 164.67M | 132.54M | 19.63M | 28.69M |
| Total Debt | 14.06M | 14.82M | 435.00K | 1.22M | 2.83M | 76.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 172.04M | 129.62M | 103.56M | 83.25M | 59.27M | 74.31M |
| Stockholders Equity | 400.90M | 331.54M | 258.82M | 202.44M | 141.09M | 123.17M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 124.44M | 39.02M | 41.92M | 106.56M | -11.92M | -16.72M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 131.69M | 47.17M | 42.90M | 107.16M | -10.94M | -16.17M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -7.36M | -8.25M | -974.00K | -594.00K | -982.00K | -557.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -12.35M | -7.53M | -8.30M | 6.29M | 3.03M | -26.80M |
Vita Coco Company Technical Analysis
Negative
65.97
Price Trends
74.90
Negative
65.69
Positive
58.15
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.97
Positive
36.56
Neutral
27.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.62, below the 50-day MA of 74.90, and above the 200-day MA of 58.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for COCO.
Vita Coco Company Risk Analysis
Vita Coco Company disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vita Coco Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Vita Coco Company Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $3.99B | 36.30 | 31.09% | ― | 26.10% | 69.15% | |
71 Outperform | $5.70B | 16.57 | 16.39% | 4.12% | 13.18% | 11.27% | |
67 Neutral | $3.05B | 16.60 | 32.19% | ― | -1.73% | -1.71% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
57 Neutral | $12.98B | 24.94 | 122.90% | 0.54% | 8.81% | 14.00% | |
53 Neutral | $123.94M | -15.51 | -13.99% | ― | 9.76% | 67.59% | |
51 Neutral | $473.37M | -3.64 | -3133.06% | ― | 11.40% | 36.08% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
COCO
Vita Coco Company
67.54
32.28
91.55%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
107.04
27.29
34.23%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
192.39
81.35
73.26%
FIZZ
National Beverage
32.69
-8.73
-21.07%
OTLY
Oatly Group
15.26
0.04
0.26%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.64
-1.46
-47.10%
Vita Coco Company Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Vita Coco Completes Copra Acquisition, Expanding Premium Portfolio
Positive
Jul 22, 2026
On July 22, 2026, Vita Coco completed the acquisition of Copra, Inc., a leading producer of super-premium Thai Nam Hom coconut water, in a transaction that immediately adds a cold-chain, super-premium segment to Vita Coco’s existing coconut ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vita Coco Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
On June 3, 2026, The Vita Coco Company, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with approximately 88.49 percent of eligible voting power represented in person or by proxy. Stockholders elected Class II directors Shelley Broader, Michael Kir...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.