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Vita Coco Company (COCO)
NASDAQ:COCO
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Vita Coco Company (COCO) AI Stock Analysis

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COCO

Vita Coco Company

(NASDAQ:COCO)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(7.38% Upside)
Vita Coco Company demonstrates strong financial performance with robust growth and profitability metrics, contributing significantly to the overall score. The optimistic outlook from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential, despite valuation concerns and technical indicators suggesting caution. The absence of notable corporate events maintains focus on core financial and strategic factors.
Positive Factors
Pricing Power
Revised tariffs look manageable given sourcing flexibility, pricing power.
Product Expansion
Vita Coco is expanding its product offerings, which is likely to enhance its market presence.
Sales Growth
COCO's US retail sales growth remains strong even with 5-6% retail pricing now in place, up +17.0% for the 12 weeks 7/13/25.
Negative Factors
Gross Margins
Management continues to expect FY25 gross margins of 35% to 37%, representing around 250 basis points of gross margin contraction at the midpoint.
Profit Margins
There are concerns about rising costs impacting profit margins.

Vita Coco Company (COCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vita Coco Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVita Coco Company (COCO) is a leading beverage company that primarily operates within the natural and organic beverage sector. The company is best known for its flagship product, Vita Coco coconut water, which has gained popularity as a hydrating and refreshing drink. In addition to coconut water, the company offers a range of coconut-based products, including coconut milk and coconut oil, catering to health-conscious consumers seeking natural alternatives to traditional beverages and cooking ingredients.
How the Company Makes MoneyVita Coco Company generates revenue through the sale of its coconut-based beverages and products. The company's primary revenue stream comes from its flagship product, Vita Coco coconut water, which is distributed through various retail channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and online platforms. Vita Coco leverages a global supply chain to source coconuts and produce its products, ensuring a steady supply to meet consumer demand. The company focuses on expanding its market presence through strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, as well as marketing initiatives to increase brand visibility and consumer engagement. Additionally, Vita Coco explores new product innovations and extensions to capture market share in the growing natural and organic beverage sector.

Vita Coco Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Geography
Gross Profit by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Vita Coco Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, successful international expansion, and the promising launch of Vita Coco Treats. However, challenges such as declining private label sales, gross margin pressure, and distribution issues with Walmart were noted. The company also faces uncertainty regarding U.S. tariffs. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is optimistic due to strong brand growth and healthy financial positioning.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales increased by 17% year-over-year to $169 million for Q2 2025, driven by a 25% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water.
International Expansion Success
International net sales grew 37%, with Vita Coco Coconut Water growing 43%, driven by strong performance in the U.K. and Germany.
Launch of Vita Coco Treats
Successful national rollout of Vita Coco Treats in the U.S., contributing positively to net sales and adding 4% to the growth rate of Vita Coco Coconut Water in Q2 U.S. retail scans.
U.S. Commercial Initiatives
Emphasis on Vita Coco multipacks, Farmers Organic, and Juice, expansion in convenience stores, and national launch of Vita Coco Treats.
Healthy Balance Sheet
Total cash on hand of $167 million with no debt under the revolving credit facility as of June 30, 2025.
Efficient Inventory Management
Improved inventory levels expected to drive consumer trial and incremental promotional opportunities in the second half of the year.
Negative Updates
Private Label Decline
Private label sales decreased by 25% due to the impact of previously discussed private label losses.
Gross Margin Pressure
Consolidated gross margins decreased to 36% in Q2 2025, down approximately 450 basis points from the previous year, due to inflationary cost factors and a 10% baseline tariff.
Walmart Distribution Challenges
U.S. branded scan results slightly behind category growth due to changes in the Walmart set. Preliminary discussions suggest potential improvements in distribution by 2026.
SG&A Increase
Operating expenses increased due to higher marketing expenses, people-related costs, increased reserves for bad debt, and overlap of rent expense for the new office.
Tariff Uncertainty
Uncertainty regarding future U.S. tariff outcomes, with current guidance based on a 10% baseline tariff affecting approximately 60% of global cost of goods sold.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, The Vita Coco Company provided guidance reflecting robust growth and strategic initiatives. Net sales were up 17%, reaching $169 million, with Vita Coco Coconut Water sales climbing 25%. The company highlighted strong performance in the U.S. and international markets, particularly in the UK and Germany, with international sales growing 37%. Despite challenges such as inflationary pressures and a 10% baseline tariff impacting gross margins, which decreased to 36% from 41% in Q2 2024, the company remains optimistic. They raised their full-year net sales guidance to $565-$580 million and expect adjusted EBITDA between $86-$92 million. The introduction of Vita Coco Treats contributed positively, and the company anticipates continued expansion and innovation efforts, particularly in the coconut milk-based beverage sector. They are strategically investing in marketing and supply chain resources to support growth, especially in international markets. The company is also navigating potential tariff impacts, with a diversified supply chain providing some flexibility.

Vita Coco Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vita Coco Company exhibits strong financial health with impressive growth and profitability metrics. The low leverage and high return on equity highlight financial stability and efficient use of resources. Cash flow management is adequate, though there is room for improvement in operational cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Vita Coco Company shows robust revenue growth, with TTM revenue increasing by 8.52% from the previous annual period. Gross profit margins are strong at 36.12%, indicating efficient production processes. The net profit margin of 11.50% reflects effective cost management. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 12.37% and 12.91% respectively, demonstrating solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on Equity is impressive at 21.69%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 70.50% underscores a solid capital structure with substantial equity backing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, although it has decreased compared to the previous period, resulting in an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44. Free cash flow growth is solid, with a slight decline, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.42, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue559.88M516.01M493.61M427.79M379.51M310.64M
Gross Profit202.22M198.78M180.73M103.36M113.15M104.86M
EBITDA72.49M71.53M58.61M14.06M26.66M46.52M
Net Income64.41M55.95M46.63M7.81M19.02M32.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets421.08M362.38M285.68M197.76M197.48M183.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments168.31M164.67M132.54M19.63M28.69M72.18M
Total Debt14.77M435.00K1.22M48.00K76.00K25.06M
Total Liabilities124.14M103.56M83.25M56.66M74.31M81.56M
Stockholders Equity296.94M258.82M202.44M141.09M123.17M102.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.14M41.92M106.56M-11.92M-16.72M32.93M
Operating Cash Flow28.26M42.90M107.16M-10.94M-16.17M33.32M
Investing Cash Flow-2.07M-974.00K-594.00K-982.00K-557.00K-375.00K
Financing Cash Flow-8.81M-8.30M6.29M3.03M-26.80M2.05M

Vita Coco Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.25
Price Trends
50DMA
35.91
Positive
100DMA
34.90
Positive
200DMA
35.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
61.23
Neutral
STOCH
89.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.51, above the 50-day MA of 35.91, and above the 200-day MA of 35.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COCO.

Vita Coco Company Risk Analysis

Vita Coco Company disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vita Coco Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vita Coco Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.44B11.7024.18%7.72%17.01%11.63%
77
Outperform
$2.09B33.9424.35%11.97%16.10%
63
Neutral
$3.85B20.7037.23%0.81%5.51%
63
Neutral
$20.49B14.78-2.88%3.11%1.86%-5.76%
54
Neutral
$203.11M-22.11%-1.08%54.50%
52
Neutral
$519.53M-114.20%4.47%42.22%
39
Underperform
$49.02M-161.48%24.52%-7.31%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COCO
Vita Coco Company
37.25
12.14
48.35%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
19.06
5.44
39.94%
FIZZ
National Beverage
41.33
-3.72
-8.26%
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group
3.08
-0.35
-10.20%
OTLY
Oatly Group
17.14
-0.22
-1.27%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.65
1.63
159.80%

Vita Coco Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Vita Coco Extends Key Agreement with Century Pacific
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Vita Coco’s subsidiary, All Market Singapore PTE Ltd., amended its Manufacturing and Purchasing Agreement with Century Pacific Agricultural Ventures, Inc. The amendment extends the agreement to December 31, 2030, revises pricing and volume terms, and imposes sustainability obligations on Century Pacific, including adherence to ethical trade audits.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vita Coco Company Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, The Vita Coco Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 89% of the voting power was represented. During the meeting, Aishetu Fatima Dozie, Martin Roper, and John Zupo were elected as Class I directors, and the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. Additionally, an advisory vote on executive compensation was approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025