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Vita Coco Company (COCO)
NASDAQ:COCO

Vita Coco Company (COCO) AI Stock Analysis

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COCO

Vita Coco Company

(NASDAQ:COCO)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$62.00
▲(12.73% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial health (profitability, low leverage, high ROE, and improved free cash flow) and a constructive earnings update with raised full-year guidance. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive MACD. The main offset is valuation risk due to a high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet / low leverage
Very low leverage and a high equity ratio give Vita Coco durable financial flexibility. This supports funding international expansion, marketing and working capital through category cycles, reduces refinancing risk and preserves capacity for opportunistic M&A or capex over the next 2–6 months.
Improved free cash flow generation
A large jump in free cash flow provides a sustainable internal funding source for growth initiatives and buffer against input-cost shocks. Strong FCF reduces reliance on external financing, enabling continued investment in distribution, marketing and margin recovery over the medium term.
Tariff relief reduces structural cost headwind
A formal tariff exemption materially lowers the company’s import cost base going forward, offering a durable margin tailwind once inventory turns. This regulatory change improves long-term competitiveness in the U.S. market and reduces sensitivity to trade-policy volatility.
Negative Factors
Tariff-driven cost pressure
Elevated tariffs materially raised cost of goods and compressed margins, exposing the business to trade-policy risk. Even with relief, existing inventory incurred higher costs and supply-chain complexity remains a recurring structural vulnerability for margins and pricing strategy.
Gross margin pressure
A sustained decline in gross margin suggests input-cost inflation and operational pressure. Lower margins limit ability to fund marketing and channel investments without hurting profitability, making margin recovery and cost control critical for durable earnings growth.
Product concentration risk
Heavy reliance on coconut water concentrates revenue and exposes Vita Coco to category-specific shocks—supply disruptions, changing consumer tastes or intensified competition. Limited diversification raises the risk that a single adverse trend could materially impact revenue predictability.

Vita Coco Company (COCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vita Coco Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Vita Coco Company, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes coconut water products under the Vita Coco brand name in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers coconut oil and coconut milk; Hydration Drink Mix, a powdered form of flavored coconut water; sparkling water; Runa, a plant-based energy drink; purified water under the Ever & Ever brand name; and PWR LIFT, a protein-infused fitness drink. It distributes its products through club, food, drug, mass, convenience, e-commerce, and foodservice channels. In addition, the company supplies coconut water and coconut oil categories to retailers. The company was formerly known as All Market Inc. and changed its name to The Vita Coco Company, Inc. in September 2021.The Vita Coco Company, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVita Coco generates revenue primarily through the sale of its coconut water and related beverage products. The company distributes its products through various channels, including supermarkets, convenience stores, health food stores, and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers and distributors, as well as partnerships with major grocery chains and food service providers. Additionally, the company benefits from brand loyalty and recognition, allowing it to maintain a premium pricing strategy. Significant partnerships with beverage distributors and collaborations with health-oriented brands further enhance its market reach and profitability.

Vita Coco Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Geography
Gross Profit by Geography
Reveals profitability across various regions, indicating where the company is most efficient and where it might improve margins.
Chart InsightsVita Coco's gross profit in the Americas and International markets has surged in recent quarters, driven by robust sales of Vita Coco Coconut Water, particularly in the U.S., U.K., and Germany. Despite inflationary pressures and tariff impacts reducing gross margins, the company remains optimistic, buoyed by strong international expansion and the successful launch of Vita Coco Treats. Strategic investments in marketing and supply chain are expected to support continued growth, although challenges like declining private label sales and distribution issues with Walmart could pose risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vita Coco Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong sales growth and financial performance, especially in international markets, but was tempered by challenges such as increased tariffs and their impact on costs and private label sales. Despite these challenges, the company raised its sales guidance, indicating confidence in continued growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Sales Growth
Net sales increased by 37% year-over-year to $182 million in Q3, with Vita Coco Coconut Water growing by 42%.
Record International Performance
International segment saw net sales up 48%, driven by strong growth in Europe, particularly in the U.K. and Germany.
Increased Guidance
The company raised its full-year net sales guidance to between $580 million and $595 million.
Healthy Cash Position
Total cash on hand of $204 million with no debt under the revolving credit facility.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA was $32 million, up from $23 million in 2024, driven by higher net sales and gross profit.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
U.S. tariffs on coconut water imports increased costs, with an estimated blended rate of 23% affecting 60% of the global cost of goods.
Private Label Decline
Private label sales in the Americas decreased by 13% to $14 million.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margins finished at 38%, down 110 basis points from the prior year due to higher product costs and tariffs.
Company Guidance
During The Vita Coco Company's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance metrics and optimistic future expectations despite some challenges. The coconut water category is experiencing significant growth, with year-to-date increases of 22% in the U.S., 32% in the U.K., and over 100% in Germany. Vita Coco's retail growth is robust, with retail dollar growth of 21% in the U.S., 32% in the U.K., and over 200% in Germany. The company's net sales increased by 37% in the quarter, driven by a 42% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water sales. The gross margin for the quarter was 38%, slightly down from the previous year's 39%, primarily due to higher product costs and tariffs. Despite these challenges, net income attributable to shareholders rose to $24 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, up from $19 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, in the previous year. The company raised its full-year net sales guidance to between $580 million and $595 million and anticipates an adjusted EBITDA of $90 million to $95 million. Looking ahead, the company is focused on mitigating tariff impacts while maintaining strong growth trends and investing in category development in priority markets.

Vita Coco Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals with solid profitability (TTM gross margin 35.99%, net margin 11.35%), very low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.043), and strong ROE (23.90%). Free cash flow growth is strong (113.23% TTM), though cash conversion is only moderate (operating cash flow to net income 0.47) and EBIT/EBITDA margins show some year-over-year pressure.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vita Coco Company demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 8.83%. The gross profit margin is healthy at 35.99%, and the net profit margin has improved to 11.35%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.043, indicating minimal leverage. Return on equity is strong at 23.90%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 70.18%, showcasing a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Vita Coco has shown significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 113.23% TTM, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.47, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, reflecting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue609.29M516.01M493.61M427.79M379.51M310.64M
Gross Profit219.32M198.78M180.07M103.36M113.15M104.86M
EBITDA80.22M71.53M58.61M12.29M26.66M32.58M
Net Income69.16M55.95M46.63M7.81M19.02M32.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets461.29M362.38M285.68M200.36M197.48M183.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments203.71M164.67M132.54M19.63M28.69M72.18M
Total Debt14.01M435.00K1.22M2.83M76.00K25.06M
Total Liabilities137.56M103.56M83.25M59.27M74.31M81.56M
Stockholders Equity323.73M258.82M202.44M141.09M123.17M102.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.95M41.92M106.56M-11.92M-16.72M32.93M
Operating Cash Flow57.99M42.90M107.16M-10.94M-16.17M33.32M
Investing Cash Flow-5.05M-974.00K-594.00K-982.00K-557.00K-375.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.86M-8.30M6.29M3.03M-26.80M2.05M

Vita Coco Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.00
Price Trends
50DMA
53.70
Positive
100DMA
47.74
Positive
200DMA
41.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
53.60
Neutral
STOCH
79.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.28, above the 50-day MA of 53.70, and above the 200-day MA of 41.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COCO.

Vita Coco Company Risk Analysis

Vita Coco Company disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vita Coco Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vita Coco Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.13B47.5724.02%23.12%16.20%
72
Outperform
$5.57B18.8416.18%3.98%-2.81%-2.66%
70
Outperform
$3.32B17.8140.93%0.97%0.36%
64
Neutral
$12.82B24.1241.92%0.61%4.22%22.24%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
46
Neutral
$129.76M-23.12%6.17%41.09%
38
Underperform
$325.40M-180.66%3.37%46.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COCO
Vita Coco Company
55.00
17.92
48.33%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
105.57
30.65
40.91%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
150.00
13.28
9.71%
FIZZ
National Beverage
35.46
-4.89
-12.12%
OTLY
Oatly Group
10.73
0.08
0.75%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.73
-1.93
-52.73%

Vita Coco Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vita Coco Expands Board and Names New Commercial Chief
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, The Vita Coco Company’s board expanded from nine to ten members and appointed veteran retail and consumer brands executive Shelley Broader as a Class II director, with her term running until the next annual shareholders’ meeting, adding deep global leadership and transformation experience that is expected to support the company’s growth and governance capabilities. Also effective January 1, 2026, the board named Charles van Es as Chief Commercial Officer, putting him in charge of global commercial strategy and market development while he continues to oversee the U.S. market, a move that consolidates commercial leadership as the company scales its beverage portfolio globally without changing his compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (COCO) stock is a Buy with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vita Coco Company stock, see the COCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Vita Coco Gains Tariff Relief on Coconut Water
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Vita Coco announced that its coconut water products will be exempt from reciprocal tariffs following a recent Executive Order, reducing the average tariff rate from 23% to approximately 6%. Despite the tariff relief, the company does not anticipate a significant impact on its 2025 financial results due to existing inventory that has already incurred tariffs.

The most recent analyst rating on (COCO) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vita Coco Company stock, see the COCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026