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Vita Coco Company (COCO)
NASDAQ:COCO
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Vita Coco Company (COCO) AI Stock Analysis

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COCO

Vita Coco Company

(NASDAQ:COCO)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(24.34% Upside)
Vita Coco Company demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driving confidence in future growth. The technical indicators show bullish momentum, although valuation metrics suggest the stock is priced for high growth. The absence of a dividend yield and potential tariff impacts are risks to consider.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in net sales reflects strong market demand and effective sales strategies, indicating robust growth potential.
International Expansion
The strong international sales growth, particularly in Europe, underscores the company's successful global expansion strategy and market penetration.
Balance Sheet Strength
A healthy cash position and minimal debt enhance financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Tariff Challenges
Increased tariffs raise production costs, potentially squeezing margins and affecting competitive pricing, posing a risk to profitability.
Gross Margin Pressure
The decline in gross margins due to higher costs suggests challenges in maintaining cost efficiency, which could impact long-term profitability.
Private Label Decline
The decline in private label sales indicates potential market share loss in this segment, affecting overall revenue diversification and growth.

Vita Coco Company (COCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vita Coco Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Vita Coco Company, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes coconut water products under the Vita Coco brand name in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers coconut oil and coconut milk; Hydration Drink Mix, a powdered form of flavored coconut water; sparkling water; Runa, a plant-based energy drink; purified water under the Ever & Ever brand name; and PWR LIFT, a protein-infused fitness drink. It distributes its products through club, food, drug, mass, convenience, e-commerce, and foodservice channels. In addition, the company supplies coconut water and coconut oil categories to retailers. The company was formerly known as All Market Inc. and changed its name to The Vita Coco Company, Inc. in September 2021.The Vita Coco Company, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVita Coco generates revenue primarily through the sale of its coconut water and related beverage products. The company distributes its products through various channels, including supermarkets, convenience stores, health food stores, and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers and distributors, as well as partnerships with major grocery chains and food service providers. Additionally, the company benefits from brand loyalty and recognition, allowing it to maintain a premium pricing strategy. Significant partnerships with beverage distributors and collaborations with health-oriented brands further enhance its market reach and profitability.

Vita Coco Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Geography
Gross Profit by Geography
Reveals profitability across various regions, indicating where the company is most efficient and where it might improve margins.
Chart InsightsVita Coco's gross profit in the Americas and International markets has surged in recent quarters, driven by robust sales of Vita Coco Coconut Water, particularly in the U.S., U.K., and Germany. Despite inflationary pressures and tariff impacts reducing gross margins, the company remains optimistic, buoyed by strong international expansion and the successful launch of Vita Coco Treats. Strategic investments in marketing and supply chain are expected to support continued growth, although challenges like declining private label sales and distribution issues with Walmart could pose risks.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Vita Coco Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong sales growth and financial performance, especially in international markets, but was tempered by challenges such as increased tariffs and their impact on costs and private label sales. Despite these challenges, the company raised its sales guidance, indicating confidence in continued growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Sales Growth
Net sales increased by 37% year-over-year to $182 million in Q3, with Vita Coco Coconut Water growing by 42%.
Record International Performance
International segment saw net sales up 48%, driven by strong growth in Europe, particularly in the U.K. and Germany.
Increased Guidance
The company raised its full-year net sales guidance to between $580 million and $595 million.
Healthy Cash Position
Total cash on hand of $204 million with no debt under the revolving credit facility.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA was $32 million, up from $23 million in 2024, driven by higher net sales and gross profit.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
U.S. tariffs on coconut water imports increased costs, with an estimated blended rate of 23% affecting 60% of the global cost of goods.
Private Label Decline
Private label sales in the Americas decreased by 13% to $14 million.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margins finished at 38%, down 110 basis points from the prior year due to higher product costs and tariffs.
Company Guidance
During The Vita Coco Company's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance metrics and optimistic future expectations despite some challenges. The coconut water category is experiencing significant growth, with year-to-date increases of 22% in the U.S., 32% in the U.K., and over 100% in Germany. Vita Coco's retail growth is robust, with retail dollar growth of 21% in the U.S., 32% in the U.K., and over 200% in Germany. The company's net sales increased by 37% in the quarter, driven by a 42% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water sales. The gross margin for the quarter was 38%, slightly down from the previous year's 39%, primarily due to higher product costs and tariffs. Despite these challenges, net income attributable to shareholders rose to $24 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, up from $19 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, in the previous year. The company raised its full-year net sales guidance to between $580 million and $595 million and anticipates an adjusted EBITDA of $90 million to $95 million. Looking ahead, the company is focused on mitigating tariff impacts while maintaining strong growth trends and investing in category development in priority markets.

Vita Coco Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vita Coco Company exhibits strong financial health with impressive growth and profitability metrics. The low leverage and high return on equity highlight financial stability and efficient use of resources. Cash flow management is adequate, though there is room for improvement in operational cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Vita Coco Company shows robust revenue growth, with TTM revenue increasing by 8.52% from the previous annual period. Gross profit margins are strong at 36.12%, indicating efficient production processes. The net profit margin of 11.50% reflects effective cost management. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 12.37% and 12.91% respectively, demonstrating solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on Equity is impressive at 21.69%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 70.50% underscores a solid capital structure with substantial equity backing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive, although it has decreased compared to the previous period, resulting in an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44. Free cash flow growth is solid, with a slight decline, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.42, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue609.29M516.01M493.61M427.79M379.51M310.64M
Gross Profit219.32M198.78M180.73M103.36M113.15M104.86M
EBITDA77.59M71.53M58.61M14.06M26.66M46.52M
Net Income69.16M55.95M46.63M7.81M19.02M32.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets461.29M362.38M285.68M197.76M197.48M183.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments203.71M164.67M132.54M19.63M28.69M72.18M
Total Debt14.01M435.00K1.22M48.00K76.00K25.06M
Total Liabilities137.56M103.56M83.25M56.66M74.31M81.56M
Stockholders Equity323.73M258.82M202.44M141.09M123.17M102.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow57.87M41.92M106.56M-11.92M-16.72M32.93M
Operating Cash Flow57.99M42.90M107.16M-10.94M-16.17M33.32M
Investing Cash Flow-5.05M-974.00K-594.00K-982.00K-557.00K-375.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.86M-8.30M6.29M3.03M-26.80M2.05M

Vita Coco Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.82
Price Trends
50DMA
40.57
Positive
100DMA
38.21
Positive
200DMA
36.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
53.41
Neutral
STOCH
25.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.13, above the 50-day MA of 40.57, and above the 200-day MA of 36.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COCO.

Vita Coco Company Risk Analysis

Vita Coco Company disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vita Coco Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vita Coco Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.38B36.1724.02%23.12%16.20%
74
Outperform
$4.65B15.4516.18%3.83%-2.81%-2.66%
71
Outperform
$11.51B20.8541.92%0.74%4.22%22.24%
64
Neutral
$3.14B16.4845.84%0.46%0.91%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$175.38M-23.12%6.17%41.09%
47
Neutral
$460.66M-180.66%3.37%46.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COCO
Vita Coco Company
42.11
6.85
19.43%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
90.18
11.45
14.54%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
137.78
16.65
13.75%
FIZZ
National Beverage
32.91
-16.81
-33.81%
OTLY
Oatly Group
15.19
0.07
0.46%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.67
0.75
39.06%

Vita Coco Company Corporate Events

Vita Coco Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results, Raises Guidance
Oct 30, 2025

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. is a leading platform in the beverage industry, known for its flagship coconut water brand, Vita Coco, which offers healthy, nutritious, and great-tasting products. The company has reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in net sales and net income. Net sales increased by 37% to $182 million, driven by a 42% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water sales. The company also saw a rise in net income to $24 million and an increase in non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA to $32 million.

Vita Coco’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Vita Coco Company, Inc. painted a picture of robust top-line growth, primarily driven by the impressive performance of their coconut water segment and successful new product launches. However, the call also highlighted some challenges, including declining private label sales, pressure on gross margins, and increased SG&A costs, which suggest a mixed outlook for the company.

Vita Coco Company Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Jul 31, 2025

The Vita Coco Company, Inc., a leader in the better-for-you beverage sector, is renowned for its flagship coconut water brand, Vita Coco, which offers a range of healthy and nutritious drinks. In its latest earnings report, Vita Coco Company announced a 17% increase in net sales for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $169 million, driven by a significant 25% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water sales. The company also reported a net income increase of $4 million, totaling $23 million, although its Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA saw a decrease of $3 million to $29 million.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025